RickyInno的个人主页 - 老虎社区

RickyInno

RickyInno

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IP属地：天津

39关注

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3主题

0勋章

2021-03-11

$Yalla Group(YALA)$今晚能到24吗老铁们

2021-01-30

上市即巅峰，我感觉这逼没准上市就破发

消息称快手IPO定价115港元/股，位于指导区间顶端

2020-12-30

$理想汽车(LI)$今晚看到33！

2020-12-15

** 2050年狗剩真不是人

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-12-12

$Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc(INO)$我有点想不明白来这个相关股票发负面新闻或者负面消息的人的底层逻辑！有点讲不通啊！

2020-12-12

$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$我感觉0.4就可以入场了！下周还是有利好消息的！0.4大概率还是赚的！

2020-12-12

$Greenwich Lifesciences Inc(GLSI)$我感觉现在可以入场了！大概率两点是上涨的！玩短线的可以下注了！买定离手哈！

2020-11-30

$理想汽车(LI)$ 哎希望能涨回去

2020-11-18

$理想汽车(LI)$淡定些想想每一个利好和负面消息的底层逻辑就不会纠结一时得失了

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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老铁们","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328018081","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3903,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":312099871,"gmtCreate":1611968774793,"gmtModify":1703757167347,"author":{"id":"3565779908009919","authorId":"3565779908009919","name":"RickyInno","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53ddf461151d0caba355b32ef97b4f2f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565779908009919","authorIdStr":"3565779908009919"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"上市即巅峰，我感觉这逼没准上市就破发","listText":"上市即巅峰，我感觉这逼没准上市就破发","text":"上市即巅峰，我感觉这逼没准上市就破发","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/312099871","repostId":"1148323876","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148323876","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1611936378,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148323876?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-30 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02828\">恒生中国企业</a>指数、恒生科技指数和恒生综合指数。</p><p>分析师Brian Freitas表示，快手需要较IPO价格区间的高端上涨约60%，才能取得快速加入富时全球指数的资格。若快速加入包括富时全球指数在内的所有指数，将意味着被动型基金必须购买该公司26%的自由流通股。</p><p>小摩发表研究报告指，快手若完全行使超额配售权，上市后总市值可能高达620亿美元，合计指数浮动市值约为27亿至30亿美元。根据快速纳入机制，快手有望在上市第10个交易日获纳入恒生科技指数，触发约1.07亿美元的潜在被动流入。</p><p>国企指数方面，若要被快速纳入，快手的市值必须在目前国企指数成份股中排名前十，换言之其价格在上市首日将要上涨约44%以上，并超越排名第十的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">京东健康</a>，才可符合要求。由于快手采用同股不同权投票架构，该行估计要等到2021年9月后才将被纳入互联互通名单。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>消息称快手IPO定价115港元/股，位于指导区间顶端</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n消息称快手IPO定价115港元/股，位于指导区间顶端\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-30 00:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>据彭博报道，快手科技香港IPO定价为每股115港元，位于指导价区间顶端。</p><p>此前据国际金融评论IFR报道，快手香港IPO面向散户发行部分获得1.28万亿港元认购。据此计算，公司超额认购高达1218倍，超越<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02158\">医渡科技</a>成为港股冻资王。</p><p>此前公司招股书显示，快手此次IPO向全球公开发售共计3.65亿股，其中约3.56亿股为机构客户，仅约913万股为散户认购的额度总额。</p><p>公司发售价区间设定为每股105港元-115港元。105港元-115港元的发售价，对应的市值分别为4314亿港元和4724亿港元，估值将达到556亿美元至609亿美元（约4337亿至4750亿港元），远超预期的500亿美元。</p><p>快手IPO遭到散户们的热捧。本周二开放散户认购当天，股票融资贷款需求创下认购首日的纪录新高，首日散户认购额度已经超了198.9倍。</p><p>快手国际配售部分也已录得足额认购，公司将引入10名基石投资者，包括新加坡主权基金GIC、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>、淡马锡、博裕资本及阿布扎比投资局等，认购约24.5亿美元等值股份。</p><p>投资分析机构Smartkarma发表报告指，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">快手科技</a>可能会迅速加入MSCI标准指数、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02828\">恒生中国企业</a>指数、恒生科技指数和恒生综合指数。</p><p>分析师Brian Freitas表示，快手需要较IPO价格区间的高端上涨约60%，才能取得快速加入富时全球指数的资格。若快速加入包括富时全球指数在内的所有指数，将意味着被动型基金必须购买该公司26%的自由流通股。</p><p>小摩发表研究报告指，快手若完全行使超额配售权，上市后总市值可能高达620亿美元，合计指数浮动市值约为27亿至30亿美元。根据快速纳入机制，快手有望在上市第10个交易日获纳入恒生科技指数，触发约1.07亿美元的潜在被动流入。</p><p>国企指数方面，若要被快速纳入，快手的市值必须在目前国企指数成份股中排名前十，换言之其价格在上市首日将要上涨约44%以上，并超越排名第十的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">京东健康</a>，才可符合要求。由于快手采用同股不同权投票架构，该行估计要等到2021年9月后才将被纳入互联互通名单。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a05003ea47bd73f11bd992a9431f6d4","relate_stocks":{"01024":"快手-W"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148323876","content_text":"据彭博报道，快手科技香港IPO定价为每股115港元，位于指导价区间顶端。此前据国际金融评论IFR报道，快手香港IPO面向散户发行部分获得1.28万亿港元认购。据此计算，公司超额认购高达1218倍，超越医渡科技成为港股冻资王。此前公司招股书显示，快手此次IPO向全球公开发售共计3.65亿股，其中约3.56亿股为机构客户，仅约913万股为散户认购的额度总额。公司发售价区间设定为每股105港元-115港元。105港元-115港元的发售价，对应的市值分别为4314亿港元和4724亿港元，估值将达到556亿美元至609亿美元（约4337亿至4750亿港元），远超预期的500亿美元。快手IPO遭到散户们的热捧。本周二开放散户认购当天，股票融资贷款需求创下认购首日的纪录新高，首日散户认购额度已经超了198.9倍。快手国际配售部分也已录得足额认购，公司将引入10名基石投资者，包括新加坡主权基金GIC、贝莱德、淡马锡、博裕资本及阿布扎比投资局等，认购约24.5亿美元等值股份。投资分析机构Smartkarma发表报告指，快手科技可能会迅速加入MSCI标准指数、恒生中国企业指数、恒生科技指数和恒生综合指数。分析师Brian 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2050年 狗剩真不是人&nbsp;","listText":"** 2050年 狗剩真不是人&nbsp;","text":"** 2050年 狗剩真不是人","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/394671586","repostId":"2091016823","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2091016823","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"企业号ir源","home_visible":0,"media_name":"腾讯官方","id":"1015542224","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fd9b9eb62721bb6357cadf2784158e4"},"pubTimestamp":1607977707,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2091016823?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-12-15 04:28","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"华尔街券商对电动汽车股蔚来、小鹏和理想汽车估价","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2091016823","media":"腾讯官方","summary":"股价近期不断上涨，蔚来、理想汽车和小鹏中国的电动汽车股票越来越令市场着迷，华尔街分析师也开始对这些股价高涨的电动汽车股重新评估：高盛高盛分析师研究的在美上市的纯电动汽车制造商包括理想和蔚来汽车。他对理想汽车给予了买入评级，并给予蔚来持平的评级。他将蔚来和小鹏的股票评级定为买入，并为这两家公司设定了每股50美元的目标价。股票估值的方式有很多种，这一评估中国电动汽车股票的实践表明了这一点。","content":"<p>股价近期不断上涨，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>和小鹏中国的电动汽车股票越来越令市场着迷，华尔街分析师也开始对这些股价高涨的电动汽车股重新评估：</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>（Goldman Sachs）</b></p><p>高盛分析师研究的在美上市的纯电动汽车制造商包括理想（Li Auto）和蔚来汽车（NIO）。他对理想汽车给予了买入评级，并给予蔚来持平的评级。他将理想的股票目标价设定为每股60美元，对蔚来汽车股票的目标价设定为每股59美元。</p><p>他使用三阶段现金流折现模型对两家公司进行估值。对于未能实现盈利的公司通常会用未来的销售额、利润率和股东可获得的现金进行预测。所有的现金流都以投资者可接受的回报率折现。</p><p>将其分为三个阶段——增长阶段、合并阶段和成熟阶段——反映了随着时间的推移增长正在减速的事实。</p><p>他预计，理想的销量将从2020年的3万辆增加到2030年的170万辆，到2050年达到500万辆。对于蔚来的销量从2020年的4.3万辆上升到2030年的80万辆，2050年达到320万辆。</p><p>贴现现金流有助于估值股票，但他看到的价值在于增长。分析师预计，理想至2050年将增长166倍。平均年增长率约为11%。NIO将实现74倍的增长，在蔚来以年均9%的速度增长。</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>）</b></p><p>摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）分析师Tim Hsiao也对理想和蔚来进行了评级，对两者的评级均为买入。他对理想和蔚来分别设定了26美元和33美元的目标价。两家公司的股价都在这一点位之上，但他已经有约一个月没有更新股价目标了。</p><p>对于蔚来，他像高盛一样使用贴现现金流，但Hsiao没有像高盛那样明确地说明他的假设。他的模型得出的价格比这位高盛分析师低44%左右。</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>（UBS）</b></p><p>高盛和摩根士丹利分析师没有对小鹏进行评估，但瑞银（UBS）分析师Paul Gong将小鹏的股票评级定为持有，目标价为59美元。这一目标是以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>目前12倍的市盈率为基准，基于企业对2022年销售额的11倍。</p><p>他还有一个贴现现金流模型，对小鹏的股票价格评估为40美元。这与他设定的每股59美元的目标价相去甚远，但这一目标“可能反映了近期市场对中国电动汽车主题的乐观情绪”。他预计“市场将持续乐观”。</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>（J.P. Morgan）</b></p><p>摩根大通分析师Nick Lai对蔚来和小鹏以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>有看法。他将蔚来和小鹏的股票评级定为买入，并为这两家公司设定了每股50美元的目标价。他将比亚迪股票评级为“持有”，目标价为200港元。</p><p>Lai对比亚迪电池业务的市盈率为80倍，电动汽车制造业务的市盈率为50倍。他认为，电动汽车的高倍数是合理的，因为他认为电动汽车占新车销量的比例将从2019年的5%上升到2025年的20%。</p><p>对于蔚来和小鹏，摩根大通的Nick Lai使用了三倍于2025年预期销售额的估值，但他指出，这一倍数相对于特斯拉有折扣。特斯拉的估值大约是2025年预计销量的5倍。</p><p>这是一种相对的方法——没有讨论3倍或5倍的销售额是否合适。但成长型投资者在评估股票时，通常会将其与其他成长型公司进行比较。它可能比使用贴现现金流更容易。不管怎样，准确预测50年后的未来是非常困难的。</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0H7D.UK\">德意志银行</a>（Deutsche Bank）</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>分析师Edison Yu看好蔚来股票，将评级设定为买入。和Nick Lai一样，他的目标价是50美元，他也使用市售比倍数来评估蔚来股票。</p><p>他最近将蔚来的目标价从每股34美元上调至50美元。新目标是基于2022年预计销售额的10倍，高于2022年预计销售额的8倍。Edison Yu指出，这一倍数处于“纯电动行业同行”的高端，但他表示，“蔚来的高端市场地位、雄心勃勃的品牌和技术路线图”证明了这一点。</p><p>他将蔚来的销售倍数与小鹏和特斯拉进行比较。</p><p>股票估值的方式有很多种，这一评估中国电动汽车股票的实践表明了这一点。无论选择哪种估值方法，股票的表现往往取决于业务执行情况。就电动汽车股票而言，分析师和投资者都预期会有很大的增长。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>华尔街券商对电动汽车股蔚来、小鹏和理想汽车估价</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华尔街券商对电动汽车股蔚来、小鹏和理想汽车估价\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fd9b9eb62721bb6357cadf2784158e4);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">腾讯官方 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-12-15 04:28</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>股价近期不断上涨，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>和小鹏中国的电动汽车股票越来越令市场着迷，华尔街分析师也开始对这些股价高涨的电动汽车股重新评估：</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>（Goldman Sachs）</b></p><p>高盛分析师研究的在美上市的纯电动汽车制造商包括理想（Li Auto）和蔚来汽车（NIO）。他对理想汽车给予了买入评级，并给予蔚来持平的评级。他将理想的股票目标价设定为每股60美元，对蔚来汽车股票的目标价设定为每股59美元。</p><p>他使用三阶段现金流折现模型对两家公司进行估值。对于未能实现盈利的公司通常会用未来的销售额、利润率和股东可获得的现金进行预测。所有的现金流都以投资者可接受的回报率折现。</p><p>将其分为三个阶段——增长阶段、合并阶段和成熟阶段——反映了随着时间的推移增长正在减速的事实。</p><p>他预计，理想的销量将从2020年的3万辆增加到2030年的170万辆，到2050年达到500万辆。对于蔚来的销量从2020年的4.3万辆上升到2030年的80万辆，2050年达到320万辆。</p><p>贴现现金流有助于估值股票，但他看到的价值在于增长。分析师预计，理想至2050年将增长166倍。平均年增长率约为11%。NIO将实现74倍的增长，在蔚来以年均9%的速度增长。</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>）</b></p><p>摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）分析师Tim Hsiao也对理想和蔚来进行了评级，对两者的评级均为买入。他对理想和蔚来分别设定了26美元和33美元的目标价。两家公司的股价都在这一点位之上，但他已经有约一个月没有更新股价目标了。</p><p>对于蔚来，他像高盛一样使用贴现现金流，但Hsiao没有像高盛那样明确地说明他的假设。他的模型得出的价格比这位高盛分析师低44%左右。</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>（UBS）</b></p><p>高盛和摩根士丹利分析师没有对小鹏进行评估，但瑞银（UBS）分析师Paul Gong将小鹏的股票评级定为持有，目标价为59美元。这一目标是以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>目前12倍的市盈率为基准，基于企业对2022年销售额的11倍。</p><p>他还有一个贴现现金流模型，对小鹏的股票价格评估为40美元。这与他设定的每股59美元的目标价相去甚远，但这一目标“可能反映了近期市场对中国电动汽车主题的乐观情绪”。他预计“市场将持续乐观”。</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>（J.P. Morgan）</b></p><p>摩根大通分析师Nick Lai对蔚来和小鹏以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>有看法。他将蔚来和小鹏的股票评级定为买入，并为这两家公司设定了每股50美元的目标价。他将比亚迪股票评级为“持有”，目标价为200港元。</p><p>Lai对比亚迪电池业务的市盈率为80倍，电动汽车制造业务的市盈率为50倍。他认为，电动汽车的高倍数是合理的，因为他认为电动汽车占新车销量的比例将从2019年的5%上升到2025年的20%。</p><p>对于蔚来和小鹏，摩根大通的Nick Lai使用了三倍于2025年预期销售额的估值，但他指出，这一倍数相对于特斯拉有折扣。特斯拉的估值大约是2025年预计销量的5倍。</p><p>这是一种相对的方法——没有讨论3倍或5倍的销售额是否合适。但成长型投资者在评估股票时，通常会将其与其他成长型公司进行比较。它可能比使用贴现现金流更容易。不管怎样，准确预测50年后的未来是非常困难的。</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0H7D.UK\">德意志银行</a>（Deutsche Bank）</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>分析师Edison Yu看好蔚来股票，将评级设定为买入。和Nick Lai一样，他的目标价是50美元，他也使用市售比倍数来评估蔚来股票。</p><p>他最近将蔚来的目标价从每股34美元上调至50美元。新目标是基于2022年预计销售额的10倍，高于2022年预计销售额的8倍。Edison Yu指出，这一倍数处于“纯电动行业同行”的高端，但他表示，“蔚来的高端市场地位、雄心勃勃的品牌和技术路线图”证明了这一点。</p><p>他将蔚来的销售倍数与小鹏和特斯拉进行比较。</p><p>股票估值的方式有很多种，这一评估中国电动汽车股票的实践表明了这一点。无论选择哪种估值方法，股票的表现往往取决于业务执行情况。就电动汽车股票而言，分析师和投资者都预期会有很大的增长。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/feebf0ff4401232c3ecc332f566f18e0","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2091016823","content_text":"股价近期不断上涨，蔚来、理想汽车和小鹏中国的电动汽车股票越来越令市场着迷，华尔街分析师也开始对这些股价高涨的电动汽车股重新评估：高盛（Goldman Sachs）高盛分析师研究的在美上市的纯电动汽车制造商包括理想（Li Auto）和蔚来汽车（NIO）。他对理想汽车给予了买入评级，并给予蔚来持平的评级。他将理想的股票目标价设定为每股60美元，对蔚来汽车股票的目标价设定为每股59美元。他使用三阶段现金流折现模型对两家公司进行估值。对于未能实现盈利的公司通常会用未来的销售额、利润率和股东可获得的现金进行预测。所有的现金流都以投资者可接受的回报率折现。将其分为三个阶段——增长阶段、合并阶段和成熟阶段——反映了随着时间的推移增长正在减速的事实。他预计，理想的销量将从2020年的3万辆增加到2030年的170万辆，到2050年达到500万辆。对于蔚来的销量从2020年的4.3万辆上升到2030年的80万辆，2050年达到320万辆。贴现现金流有助于估值股票，但他看到的价值在于增长。分析师预计，理想至2050年将增长166倍。平均年增长率约为11%。NIO将实现74倍的增长，在蔚来以年均9%的速度增长。摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）分析师Tim Hsiao也对理想和蔚来进行了评级，对两者的评级均为买入。他对理想和蔚来分别设定了26美元和33美元的目标价。两家公司的股价都在这一点位之上，但他已经有约一个月没有更新股价目标了。对于蔚来，他像高盛一样使用贴现现金流，但Hsiao没有像高盛那样明确地说明他的假设。他的模型得出的价格比这位高盛分析师低44%左右。瑞银（UBS）高盛和摩根士丹利分析师没有对小鹏进行评估，但瑞银（UBS）分析师Paul Gong将小鹏的股票评级定为持有，目标价为59美元。这一目标是以特斯拉目前12倍的市盈率为基准，基于企业对2022年销售额的11倍。他还有一个贴现现金流模型，对小鹏的股票价格评估为40美元。这与他设定的每股59美元的目标价相去甚远，但这一目标“可能反映了近期市场对中国电动汽车主题的乐观情绪”。他预计“市场将持续乐观”。摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）摩根大通分析师Nick Lai对蔚来和小鹏以及比亚迪有看法。他将蔚来和小鹏的股票评级定为买入，并为这两家公司设定了每股50美元的目标价。他将比亚迪股票评级为“持有”，目标价为200港元。Lai对比亚迪电池业务的市盈率为80倍，电动汽车制造业务的市盈率为50倍。他认为，电动汽车的高倍数是合理的，因为他认为电动汽车占新车销量的比例将从2019年的5%上升到2025年的20%。对于蔚来和小鹏，摩根大通的Nick Lai使用了三倍于2025年预期销售额的估值，但他指出，这一倍数相对于特斯拉有折扣。特斯拉的估值大约是2025年预计销量的5倍。这是一种相对的方法——没有讨论3倍或5倍的销售额是否合适。但成长型投资者在评估股票时，通常会将其与其他成长型公司进行比较。它可能比使用贴现现金流更容易。不管怎样，准确预测50年后的未来是非常困难的。德意志银行（Deutsche Bank）德意志银行分析师Edison Yu看好蔚来股票，将评级设定为买入。和Nick Lai一样，他的目标价是50美元，他也使用市售比倍数来评估蔚来股票。他最近将蔚来的目标价从每股34美元上调至50美元。新目标是基于2022年预计销售额的10倍，高于2022年预计销售额的8倍。Edison Yu指出，这一倍数处于“纯电动行业同行”的高端，但他表示，“蔚来的高端市场地位、雄心勃勃的品牌和技术路线图”证明了这一点。他将蔚来的销售倍数与小鹏和特斯拉进行比较。股票估值的方式有很多种，这一评估中国电动汽车股票的实践表明了这一点。无论选择哪种估值方法，股票的表现往往取决于业务执行情况。就电动汽车股票而言，分析师和投资者都预期会有很大的增长。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":395416923,"gmtCreate":1607706168862,"gmtModify":1703849661122,"author":{"id":"3565779908009919","authorId":"3565779908009919","name":"RickyInno","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53ddf461151d0caba355b32ef97b4f2f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565779908009919","idStr":"3565779908009919"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>我感觉0.4就可以入场了！下周还是有利好消息的！0.4大概率还是赚的！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>我感觉0.4就可以入场了！下周还是有利好消息的！0.4大概率还是赚的！","text":"$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$我感觉0.4就可以入场了！下周还是有利好消息的！0.4大概率还是赚的！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/395416923","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":395418912,"gmtCreate":1607705926236,"gmtModify":1703849659907,"author":{"id":"3565779908009919","authorId":"3565779908009919","name":"RickyInno","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53ddf461151d0caba355b32ef97b4f2f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565779908009919","idStr":"3565779908009919"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLSI\">$Greenwich Lifesciences Inc(GLSI)$</a>我感觉现在可以入场了！大概率两点是上涨的！玩短线的可以下注了！买定离手哈！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLSI\">$Greenwich Lifesciences Inc(GLSI)$</a>我感觉现在可以入场了！大概率两点是上涨的！玩短线的可以下注了！买定离手哈！","text":"$Greenwich Lifesciences Inc(GLSI)$我感觉现在可以入场了！大概率两点是上涨的！玩短线的可以下注了！买定离手哈！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/395418912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391474935,"gmtCreate":1606751745027,"gmtModify":1703844247450,"author":{"id":"3565779908009919","authorId":"3565779908009919","name":"RickyInno","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53ddf461151d0caba355b32ef97b4f2f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565779908009919","idStr":"3565779908009919"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a> 哎 希望能涨回去","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a> 哎 希望能涨回去","text":"$理想汽车(LI)$ 哎 希望能涨回去","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02c65c4a0f428f59d340ffeac3722ed9","width":"1242","height":"2001"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391474935","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1780,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":395486846,"gmtCreate":1607708778585,"gmtModify":1703849673489,"author":{"id":"3565779908009919","authorId":"3565779908009919","name":"RickyInno","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53ddf461151d0caba355b32ef97b4f2f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565779908009919","idStr":"3565779908009919"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INO\">$Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc(INO)$</a>我有点想不明白来这个相关股票发负面新闻或者负面消息的人的底层逻辑！有点讲不通啊！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INO\">$Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc(INO)$</a>我有点想不明白来这个相关股票发负面新闻或者负面消息的人的底层逻辑！有点讲不通啊！","text":"$Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc(INO)$我有点想不明白来这个相关股票发负面新闻或者负面消息的人的底层逻辑！有点讲不通啊！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/395486846","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1848,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}