投机倒把宗师的个人主页 - 老虎社区

投机倒把宗师

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IP属地：湖北

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投机倒把宗师

2021-02-25

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$搁这跑心电图呢

投机倒把宗师

2022-05-10

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$跌！我空的每一手单子，都是打向美帝的一颗子弹！

投机倒把宗师

2022-01-26

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$都在赌美联储继续放水啊

投机倒把宗师

2020-12-09

企业贷都要还不上了还大涨……明年二三月份美股会暴跌马克思说的资本主义十年一次的经济危机还从来没失效过

美股明年再涨22％？华尔街20大机构这么说，建议买这些股票

投机倒把宗师

2022-05-05

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$接着奏乐接着舞

投机倒把宗师

2022-05-19

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$心电图……

投机倒把宗师

2022-11-23

这做多信号也太明显了

抱歉，原内容已删除

投机倒把宗师

2022-04-28

$道琼斯(.DJI)$空头加油！**美国！

投机倒把宗师

2023-03-23

$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$

投机倒把宗师

2023-02-28

说明高盛开始偷偷建仓了

高盛大砍Q2布油均价预测，三位数油价还能指望吗？

投机倒把宗师

2022-11-30

高盛反着买，别墅靠大海。看来明年油价011美元了

高盛预测OPEC+减产可能性极高，明年油价将达110美元/桶

投机倒把宗师

2022-06-24

好文章

抱歉，原内容已删除

投机倒把宗师

2022-05-12

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$今夜熔断！

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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/>\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WTI原油期货“跳水”，欧盟考虑对俄油限价每桶65至70美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWTI原油期货“跳水”，欧盟考虑对俄油限价每桶65至70美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-23 18:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>据知情人士透露，欧盟正在与G7合作，讨论将俄罗斯原油价格限制在每桶65至70美元之间。欧盟各国将于周三举行会议，目的是批准封顶机制和拟议的价格水平。</p><p>知情人士说，欧盟和七国集团可能会在周三晚些时候宣布价格上限水平。该价格区间远高于俄罗斯的生产成本，因此该上限可能对交易的影响极小。但几名欧盟外交官说，提议的价格太高了。该上限需要得到所有成员国的支持才能通过。</p><p>这个由G7推动的上限计划有两个目的：保持俄罗斯石油的流动，以避免全球价格飙升，同时限制莫斯科的收入。</p><p>美、布两油持续走低，WTI原油下跌3.1%，现报78.44美元/桶；布伦特原油下跌3.32%，现报85.43美元/桶。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e85479c1084c99e8e15aa77d53f11af\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"833\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de9d244bddce5c6696b209bd516783dd\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"836\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4e05ec77979a5299f730b563d0cf690","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155787295","content_text":"据知情人士透露，欧盟正在与G7合作，讨论将俄罗斯原油价格限制在每桶65至70美元之间。欧盟各国将于周三举行会议，目的是批准封顶机制和拟议的价格水平。知情人士说，欧盟和七国集团可能会在周三晚些时候宣布价格上限水平。该价格区间远高于俄罗斯的生产成本，因此该上限可能对交易的影响极小。但几名欧盟外交官说，提议的价格太高了。该上限需要得到所有成员国的支持才能通过。这个由G7推动的上限计划有两个目的：保持俄罗斯石油的流动，以避免全球价格飙升，同时限制莫斯科的收入。美、布两油持续走低，WTI原油下跌3.1%，现报78.44美元/桶；布伦特原油下跌3.32%，现报85.43美元/桶。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":683124838,"gmtCreate":1656076456428,"gmtModify":1704864062422,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好文章","listText":"好文章","text":"好文章","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683124838","repostId":"1104471087","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1104471087","pubTimestamp":1656075148,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104471087?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-24 20:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储加息恐止于今年，之后将是300个基点的降息？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104471087","media":"金十数据","summary":"美联储“鹰”不了太久，零利率与大印美钞的时代恐怕又要回来……在全球范围内，以美国为首的西方国家对俄罗斯的制裁造成了大宗商品和食品高通胀。在输入性通胀面前，美联储毫无招架之力，持续的大幅加息适得其反，市","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>美联储“鹰”不了太久，零利率与大印美钞的时代恐怕又要回来……</blockquote><p>在全球范围内，以美国为首的西方国家对俄罗斯的制裁造成了大宗商品和食品高通胀。在输入性通胀面前，美联储毫无招架之力，持续的大幅加息适得其反，市场对美国经济衰退的担忧逐渐升温。</p><p>金融博客零对冲认为，在一场毁灭性的衰退浪潮席卷整个美国之后不久，为了“救灾”，美联储将匆忙开启新一轮量化宽松。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978b922973899fb0cbc8ee7c20ef19c9\" tg-width=\"1005\" tg-height=\"603\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>考虑到经济衰退已开始被市场定价，那么市场唯一的问题是，<b>美国经济衰退将于何时爆发？</b>对此，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>（DB）认为是2023年；野村证券最新（6月19日）预计，这个时间最早将是2022年下半年。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f628805dca60eb3c64f52fb4ca77e824\" tg-width=\"752\" tg-height=\"596\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>而金融博客零对冲甚至认为，<b>早在三个月前，美国经济可能就已经开始衰退了</b>。美联储再加息几次，就会在今年结束加息周期。</p><p>彭博分析师Edward Bolingbroke称，随着美国经济衰退的可能性接近100%，隔夜利率掉期市场的加息溢价正逐渐下滑，6月23日的交易日内出现了另一次大幅的政策重新定价。</p><p>如下图所示，交易员们<b>不再预计美联储在12月FOMC会议之后会继续加息</b>。相反，目前的欧洲美元利差显示，交易员预计明年会出现近50个基点的降息。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59f714d951141419b529444575ac205f\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>具体而言，最新数据显示，市场预计美联储在12月会议前还将加息175个基点。这可以被解读为，<b>在美联储放慢加息脚步之前，还会再以75个基点的幅度加息一次</b>。目前，在今年7、9、11、12月的FOMC会议上，美联储可能的加息组合包括:</p><blockquote>1、75个基点+50个基点+25个基点+25个基点；</blockquote><blockquote>2、75个基点+50个基点+50个基点，在12月FOMC会议上暂停加息。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa45c20bb5a34070b91470a8b3a61386\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"846\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>经济衰退的可能性越高，美联储在7月和9月加息75个基点的可能性就越低。事实上，正如下图所示，7月和9月加息75个基点的可能性正在迅速下降（分别为68%和22%），而在12月和明年2月加息25个基点的可能性也大幅下滑。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2103374f78824fd2600a43cb4ebb0f87\" tg-width=\"1001\" tg-height=\"603\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>简而言之，市场正在对美联储在中期选举前结束加息周期进行定价。</p><p>结束加息之后会发生什么呢？零对冲认为，考虑到美国经济将受到重创，美联储将在2023年初（甚至2022年底）仓促降息，随之而来的就是量化宽松。尽管美联储还没有把这作为他们的基本方针，但他们正越来越近靠近这一方针。</p><p>在上周末发布的报告中，野村证券（Nomura）将2022年年底出现衰退作为基本预测情景，该行认为，随着衰退加剧，美联储认为失业率上升和整体需求减弱将压低通胀，并对此信心满满。野村补充称：</p><blockquote>“在年度通胀仍在上升的背景下，美联储可能在几个月的时间内，将联邦基金利率提升至在限制性水平（3%-3.5%）。我们预计美联储将提前开始降息，降息将始于2023年9月，而不是2024年初。理由是，更高的失业率和更弱的经济增长应该会增加美联储‘通胀将持续回到2%’的信心。”</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de71c40d45faa98bc550640fe3ef773f\" tg-width=\"736\" tg-height=\"536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>因此，野村证券认为，美联储将从2023年9月份开始，在每次FOMC会议上降息25个基点，这终将导致2023年底联邦基金利率为2.875%，2024年底为0.875%<b>。这相当于在18个月左右的时间里，美联储将降息300个基点。</b></p><p>零对冲同意野村证券预测的宽松规模，但也认为野村证券低估了美联储即将进行降息的速度。依照历史经验，一旦美联储的加息周期达到顶峰，美联储的政策就会开始急速转向。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acd9045ca0ba0ca6ac49221de1b72202\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>零对冲认为，一旦美联储开启新一轮量化宽松，那必然是突飞猛进的：美联储将在几周内多次大幅降息，在极短的时间内将联邦基金利率推回到零。</p></body></html>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储加息恐止于今年，之后将是300个基点的降息？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储加息恐止于今年，之后将是300个基点的降息？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-24 20:52 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/96039><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美联储“鹰”不了太久，零利率与大印美钞的时代恐怕又要回来……在全球范围内，以美国为首的西方国家对俄罗斯的制裁造成了大宗商品和食品高通胀。在输入性通胀面前，美联储毫无招架之力，持续的大幅加息适得其反，市场对美国经济衰退的担忧逐渐升温。金融博客零对冲认为，在一场毁灭性的衰退浪潮席卷整个美国之后不久，为了“救灾”，美联储将匆忙开启新一轮量化宽松。考虑到经济衰退已开始被市场定价，那么市场唯一的问题是，美国...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/96039\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{"513500":"标普500ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/96039","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104471087","content_text":"美联储“鹰”不了太久，零利率与大印美钞的时代恐怕又要回来……在全球范围内，以美国为首的西方国家对俄罗斯的制裁造成了大宗商品和食品高通胀。在输入性通胀面前，美联储毫无招架之力，持续的大幅加息适得其反，市场对美国经济衰退的担忧逐渐升温。金融博客零对冲认为，在一场毁灭性的衰退浪潮席卷整个美国之后不久，为了“救灾”，美联储将匆忙开启新一轮量化宽松。考虑到经济衰退已开始被市场定价，那么市场唯一的问题是，美国经济衰退将于何时爆发？对此，德意志银行（DB）认为是2023年；野村证券最新（6月19日）预计，这个时间最早将是2022年下半年。而金融博客零对冲甚至认为，早在三个月前，美国经济可能就已经开始衰退了。美联储再加息几次，就会在今年结束加息周期。彭博分析师Edward Bolingbroke称，随着美国经济衰退的可能性接近100%，隔夜利率掉期市场的加息溢价正逐渐下滑，6月23日的交易日内出现了另一次大幅的政策重新定价。如下图所示，交易员们不再预计美联储在12月FOMC会议之后会继续加息。相反，目前的欧洲美元利差显示，交易员预计明年会出现近50个基点的降息。具体而言，最新数据显示，市场预计美联储在12月会议前还将加息175个基点。这可以被解读为，在美联储放慢加息脚步之前，还会再以75个基点的幅度加息一次。目前，在今年7、9、11、12月的FOMC会议上，美联储可能的加息组合包括:1、75个基点+50个基点+25个基点+25个基点；2、75个基点+50个基点+50个基点，在12月FOMC会议上暂停加息。经济衰退的可能性越高，美联储在7月和9月加息75个基点的可能性就越低。事实上，正如下图所示，7月和9月加息75个基点的可能性正在迅速下降（分别为68%和22%），而在12月和明年2月加息25个基点的可能性也大幅下滑。简而言之，市场正在对美联储在中期选举前结束加息周期进行定价。结束加息之后会发生什么呢？零对冲认为，考虑到美国经济将受到重创，美联储将在2023年初（甚至2022年底）仓促降息，随之而来的就是量化宽松。尽管美联储还没有把这作为他们的基本方针，但他们正越来越近靠近这一方针。在上周末发布的报告中，野村证券（Nomura）将2022年年底出现衰退作为基本预测情景，该行认为，随着衰退加剧，美联储认为失业率上升和整体需求减弱将压低通胀，并对此信心满满。野村补充称：“在年度通胀仍在上升的背景下，美联储可能在几个月的时间内，将联邦基金利率提升至在限制性水平（3%-3.5%）。我们预计美联储将提前开始降息，降息将始于2023年9月，而不是2024年初。理由是，更高的失业率和更弱的经济增长应该会增加美联储‘通胀将持续回到2%’的信心。”因此，野村证券认为，美联储将从2023年9月份开始，在每次FOMC会议上降息25个基点，这终将导致2023年底联邦基金利率为2.875%，2024年底为0.875%。这相当于在18个月左右的时间里，美联储将降息300个基点。零对冲同意野村证券预测的宽松规模，但也认为野村证券低估了美联储即将进行降息的速度。依照历史经验，一旦美联储的加息周期达到顶峰，美联储的政策就会开始急速转向。零对冲认为，一旦美联储开启新一轮量化宽松，那必然是突飞猛进的：美联储将在几周内多次大幅降息，在极短的时间内将联邦基金利率推回到零。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":615289572,"gmtCreate":1652970725497,"gmtModify":1652970725497,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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23:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股明年再涨22％？华尔街20大机构这么说，建议买这些股票","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2089407819","media":"腾讯美股","summary":"华尔街20大机构这么说，并建议买入这些股票 来源：腾讯美股腾讯证券12月8日讯，据一份最新调查显示，在接受调查的20名美股市场策略师中，预测美国股市在进入2021年之后仍将继续上涨的受访者占到了多数，他们预计明年标普500指数将在当前水平的基础上进一步上涨8%至22%。此次调查是以电子邮件问卷的形式在11月25日至12月3日之间进行的。参与调查的一家大型机构预计，到2021年底人民币兑美元汇率将达到6.25。","content":"<p><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/spider2020128/106/w544h362/20201208/333f-keyancx2574513.png/w720fin.jpg\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"362\">据一份最新调查显示，在接受调查的20名美股市场策略师中，预测美国股市在进入2021年之后仍将继续上涨的受访者占到了多数，他们预计明年标普500指数将在当前水平的基础上进一步上涨8%至22%。</p><p>这20位市场策略师来自美国各大金融机构，其中有12人预计标普500指数明年将会升至4000点到4500点之间。相比之下，这项基准股指周一报收于3691.96点，略低于今年以来的收盘高点。</p><p>在这些受访者中，14位策略师将其对明年美国股市的看法描述为“谨慎乐观”，3人称其“非常乐观”，还有3人称其抱有“谨慎”立场。持乐观立场的分析人士提到，他们对美国继续实施经济刺激措施和新冠肺炎疫苗上市的前景抱有希望，此前英国等多个国家已经开始推出疫苗。</p><p>4位策略师预计，标普500指数明年将收于3500点至4000点之间；而在另一方面，4位分析师预计该指数将跌至3000点到3500点区间。</p><p>此次调查是以电子邮件问卷的形式在11月25日至12月3日之间进行的。</p><p><b>新冠病毒疫苗</b></p><p>受访者对标普500指数明年的目标点位作出了范围很广的预期，这突显出随着新冠肺炎免疫进程的启动，疫苗的生产和分发计划存在着不确定性。根据约翰霍普金斯大学(Johns Hopkins University)提供的数据，美国现在一周平均每天有2000多人死于新冠病毒感染，创下自疫情开始以来死亡人数最多的纪录。</p><p>尽管如此，大多数分析师仍对明年的整体美股市场前景抱有乐观态度。</p><p>一位分析师表示：“我们相信，随着我们迈向2021年，在疫苗分发和全球经济活动增加的推动之下，美国和全球经济将继续真正地‘重启’。”</p><p>这位分析师继续说道：“我们的假设情境是，2021年经济增长和企业盈利将会反弹，同时利率保持在低位，而财政刺激措施将被加入系统之中，总体来说这对风险资产是个有利的背景。”</p><p>另一位受访者表示：“我们认为，低息环境再加上标普500指数的盈利回升，将导致股市在2021年创下新高。”</p><p><b>谨慎乐观</b></p><p>尽管许多接受调查的策略师都为标普500指数设定了雄心勃勃的目标，但就连一些乐观的受访者也表示，他们将密切关注疫情的管理状况以及各国政府为提振经济而采取的措施。</p><p>一位分析师表示：“我认为，随着世界重新‘上线’，（标普500指数）有15%的上行空间。全球央行注入了如此之多的流动性以帮助阻止市场崩盘，而市场状况日益正常化，这就为下一轮牛市提供了理由。”另外，这位分析师称其也在关注其他一些问题，如“美国的刺激计划被推迟、可能会有的下一波新冠肺炎感染浪潮、以及疫苗供应可能会有的短缺状况”等。</p><p><b>美元和其他货币</b></p><p>接受调查的策略师们还分享了对外汇市场的展望，其中只有3人表示，在美元、欧元、人民币、日元和英镑这几种货币中，美元是其最看好的货币。</p><p>在20位分析师中，有6人认为明年欧元的涨幅将是最大的，而7位分析师认为是人民币。</p><p>“我们预计，在明年的头几个月时间里，欧元区经济将从双底衰退中反弹，再加上市场对美国宽松的财政和货币政策感到担心，以及美国贸易和预算赤字的增加，都将起到推动欧元走强的作用。”一位接受调查的策略师表示。“获得‘鼓励奖’的则将是澳元和人民币，前者是由于大宗商品价格不断上涨，后者则是由于受到中国经济持续复苏的提振。”</p><p>参与调查的一家大型机构预计，到2021年底人民币兑美元汇率将达到6.25。相比之下，人民币兑美元汇率最新报6.54。</p><p>另一位受访者预测，欧元区的政策将增强人们对疫情过后欧洲经济复苏的信心。他表示：“我实际上认为欧元将在明年年初下跌，但将在明年大部分时间里令人意外地恢复近期的涨势。”</p><p>“欧洲将比美国更早走出这波新的新冠病毒浪潮，这将帮助其比美国更快地复苏。”这位分析师继续说道。“更重要的是，欧洲央行在2021年将保持比美联储更宽松的政策。”</p><p><b>2021年的选股</b></p><p>在被问及2021年投资者将押注于哪些顶级股票和行业板块时，大多数受访者都回答说，他们看好那些将可受益于疫情过后经济重启的廉价“周期性”股票，这种股票会随着整体经济体的动能而发生变动。</p><p>买方分析师将<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHI\">贝克休斯</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>、维萨和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪士尼</a>列为2021年里<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300785\">值得买</a>入并持有的股票。</p><p>一位分析师表示：“高通很有价值，2021年年底的目标价为每股170美元。”他指出，智能手机领域中出现了5G技术，而高通获得了“苹果公司为2020年假期发布的新款iPhone的新的芯片客户”。</p><p>但总体而言，2020年里颇受市场青睐的科技股几乎没有被提及。一位策略师表示：“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>仍值得买入，12个月目标价为每股2119美元。随着旅游等行业的反弹，谷歌正在追赶其他大型科技公司，广告支出正在反弹。”</p><p>一位参与调查的知名机构投资者表示，整体上来说看好新兴市场而非发达市场，并预计到2021年底，明晟新兴市场指数(MSCI Emerging Market Index)将上涨18%。</p>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股明年再涨22％？华尔街20大机构这么说，建议买这些股票\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-12-08 23:33 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/relnews/us/2020-12-08/doc-iiznezxs5922809.shtml><strong>腾讯美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>据一份最新调查显示，在接受调查的20名美股市场策略师中，预测美国股市在进入2021年之后仍将继续上涨的受访者占到了多数，他们预计明年标普500指数将在当前水平的基础上进一步上涨8%至22%。这20位市场策略师来自美国各大金融机构，其中有12人预计标普500指数明年将会升至4000点到4500点之间。相比之下，这项基准股指周一报收于3691.96点，略低于今年以来的收盘高点。在这些受访者中，14位...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/relnews/us/2020-12-08/doc-iiznezxs5922809.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/spider2020128/106/w544h362/20201208/333f-keyancx2574513.png/w720fin.jpg","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","FXE":"欧元做多ETF-CurrencyShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","CYB":"人民币ETF-WisdomTree Dreyfus","SPY":"标普500ETF","EUO":"欧元ETF-ProShares两倍做空","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/relnews/us/2020-12-08/doc-iiznezxs5922809.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2089407819","content_text":"据一份最新调查显示，在接受调查的20名美股市场策略师中，预测美国股市在进入2021年之后仍将继续上涨的受访者占到了多数，他们预计明年标普500指数将在当前水平的基础上进一步上涨8%至22%。这20位市场策略师来自美国各大金融机构，其中有12人预计标普500指数明年将会升至4000点到4500点之间。相比之下，这项基准股指周一报收于3691.96点，略低于今年以来的收盘高点。在这些受访者中，14位策略师将其对明年美国股市的看法描述为“谨慎乐观”，3人称其“非常乐观”，还有3人称其抱有“谨慎”立场。持乐观立场的分析人士提到，他们对美国继续实施经济刺激措施和新冠肺炎疫苗上市的前景抱有希望，此前英国等多个国家已经开始推出疫苗。4位策略师预计，标普500指数明年将收于3500点至4000点之间；而在另一方面，4位分析师预计该指数将跌至3000点到3500点区间。此次调查是以电子邮件问卷的形式在11月25日至12月3日之间进行的。新冠病毒疫苗受访者对标普500指数明年的目标点位作出了范围很广的预期，这突显出随着新冠肺炎免疫进程的启动，疫苗的生产和分发计划存在着不确定性。根据约翰霍普金斯大学(Johns Hopkins University)提供的数据，美国现在一周平均每天有2000多人死于新冠病毒感染，创下自疫情开始以来死亡人数最多的纪录。尽管如此，大多数分析师仍对明年的整体美股市场前景抱有乐观态度。一位分析师表示：“我们相信，随着我们迈向2021年，在疫苗分发和全球经济活动增加的推动之下，美国和全球经济将继续真正地‘重启’。”这位分析师继续说道：“我们的假设情境是，2021年经济增长和企业盈利将会反弹，同时利率保持在低位，而财政刺激措施将被加入系统之中，总体来说这对风险资产是个有利的背景。”另一位受访者表示：“我们认为，低息环境再加上标普500指数的盈利回升，将导致股市在2021年创下新高。”谨慎乐观尽管许多接受调查的策略师都为标普500指数设定了雄心勃勃的目标，但就连一些乐观的受访者也表示，他们将密切关注疫情的管理状况以及各国政府为提振经济而采取的措施。一位分析师表示：“我认为，随着世界重新‘上线’，（标普500指数）有15%的上行空间。全球央行注入了如此之多的流动性以帮助阻止市场崩盘，而市场状况日益正常化，这就为下一轮牛市提供了理由。”另外，这位分析师称其也在关注其他一些问题，如“美国的刺激计划被推迟、可能会有的下一波新冠肺炎感染浪潮、以及疫苗供应可能会有的短缺状况”等。美元和其他货币接受调查的策略师们还分享了对外汇市场的展望，其中只有3人表示，在美元、欧元、人民币、日元和英镑这几种货币中，美元是其最看好的货币。在20位分析师中，有6人认为明年欧元的涨幅将是最大的，而7位分析师认为是人民币。“我们预计，在明年的头几个月时间里，欧元区经济将从双底衰退中反弹，再加上市场对美国宽松的财政和货币政策感到担心，以及美国贸易和预算赤字的增加，都将起到推动欧元走强的作用。”一位接受调查的策略师表示。“获得‘鼓励奖’的则将是澳元和人民币，前者是由于大宗商品价格不断上涨，后者则是由于受到中国经济持续复苏的提振。”参与调查的一家大型机构预计，到2021年底人民币兑美元汇率将达到6.25。相比之下，人民币兑美元汇率最新报6.54。另一位受访者预测，欧元区的政策将增强人们对疫情过后欧洲经济复苏的信心。他表示：“我实际上认为欧元将在明年年初下跌，但将在明年大部分时间里令人意外地恢复近期的涨势。”“欧洲将比美国更早走出这波新的新冠病毒浪潮，这将帮助其比美国更快地复苏。”这位分析师继续说道。“更重要的是，欧洲央行在2021年将保持比美联储更宽松的政策。”2021年的选股在被问及2021年投资者将押注于哪些顶级股票和行业板块时，大多数受访者都回答说，他们看好那些将可受益于疫情过后经济重启的廉价“周期性”股票，这种股票会随着整体经济体的动能而发生变动。买方分析师将埃克森美孚、雪佛龙、贝克休斯、波音、高通、维萨和迪士尼列为2021年里值得买入并持有的股票。一位分析师表示：“高通很有价值，2021年年底的目标价为每股170美元。”他指出，智能手机领域中出现了5G技术，而高通获得了“苹果公司为2020年假期发布的新款iPhone的新的芯片客户”。但总体而言，2020年里颇受市场青睐的科技股几乎没有被提及。一位策略师表示：“谷歌仍值得买入，12个月目标价为每股2119美元。随着旅游等行业的反弹，谷歌正在追赶其他大型科技公司，广告支出正在反弹。”一位参与调查的知名机构投资者表示，整体上来说看好新兴市场而非发达市场，并预计到2021年底，明晟新兴市场指数(MSCI Emerging Market 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14:19","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"高盛大砍Q2布油均价预测，三位数油价还能指望吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2314854341","media":"金十数据","summary":"高盛仍看好布油年底涨至每桶100美元，如果加上欧佩克“助攻”，油价涨势将更加可观。能源巨头也一致认为油价“破百”不是梦.....","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>鉴于原油价格一直在一个区间内震荡，一直看多大宗商品和石油的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>开始下调它的油价预期。</p><p>该投行<b>现在预计布油在第二季度的平均价格为每桶90美元，而之前的预期为每桶105美元，但仍认为年底布油年底前将涨至每桶100美元。</b></p><p>高盛策略师表示，中国燃料需求强劲回升，而其他产油国供应趋平，这将推动石油市场在今年下半年出现供应不足，导致欧佩克在6月会议上逆转其减产决定。</p><p>高盛策略师在一份标注日期为2月26日（周日）的报告中称，<b>假设欧佩克在下半年将日产量增加100万桶，预计油价将在12月前逐步升至每桶100美元。然而，如果欧佩克维持产量政策不变，那么布油可能会在12月达到每桶107美元，并在此后继续走高。</b></p><p>由欧佩克和俄罗斯等盟友组成的欧佩克+去年10月同意在2023年底前将石油日产量目标削减200万桶。本月早些时候，沙特能源部长阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹·本·萨勒曼王子表示，目前的欧佩克+石油产量协议将被保持至今年年底。</p><p>并不是所有投行都像高盛一样对油价前景保持乐观。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>本月表示，除非重大地缘政治事件再次扰乱市场，否则布油价格预计不会在2023年达到每桶100美元。该投行指出，俄罗斯原油产量预计将在6月份恢复，而高油价将阻止美国回购原油以补充战略石油储备 （SPR）。</p><p>对于油价能否再度“破百”的争议，能源巨头的意见却稍显统一。</p><p>周一，全球最大的独立石油交易商维多集团（Vitol Group）首席执行官Russell Hardy在接受电视采访时表示，<b>今年下半年油价可能升至每桶90美元至100美元的区间，因其预计全球需求将在供应受限的情况下达到创纪录水平。</b>Hardy称，“这是一种真实存在的可能性。”</p><p>根据Hardy的说法，在柴油、石脑油和液化石油气（LPG）需求激增的推动下，2023年全球石油需求将比2022年增加220万桶/日，达到创纪录水平。他补充道：</p><blockquote>“相比之下，现实情况是供应方面没有太多增长空间，因此油价反弹的潜力肯定存在。”</blockquote><p>Hardy表示，由于脱碳浪潮加快，石油需求预计将在本世纪末达到峰值，但仍需要对石油供应进行投资。</p><p>美国最大的页岩生产商之一<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PXD\">先锋自然资源</a>公司也预计油价到今年年底将达到每桶100美元。先锋公司首席执行官斯科特·谢菲尔德本月早些时候表示：</p><blockquote>“随着中国需求的显著回升，布油价格“将在今年夏天突破每桶90美元，并在今年下半年的某个时候进一步涨至每桶100美元。”</blockquote></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛大砍Q2布油均价预测，三位数油价还能指望吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-28 14:19 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=107438&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>鉴于原油价格一直在一个区间内震荡，一直看多大宗商品和石油的高盛开始下调它的油价预期。该投行现在预计布油在第二季度的平均价格为每桶90美元，而之前的预期为每桶105美元，但仍认为年底布油年底前将涨至每桶100美元。高盛策略师表示，中国燃料需求强劲回升，而其他产油国供应趋平，这将推动石油市场在今年下半年出现供应不足，导致欧佩克在6月会议上逆转其减产决定。高盛策略师在一份标注日期为2月26日（周日）的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=107438&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daaedcaccaa2d56d7f72b7ce290f1d25","relate_stocks":{"IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","GS":"高盛","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","USO":"美国原油ETF","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=107438&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2314854341","content_text":"鉴于原油价格一直在一个区间内震荡，一直看多大宗商品和石油的高盛开始下调它的油价预期。该投行现在预计布油在第二季度的平均价格为每桶90美元，而之前的预期为每桶105美元，但仍认为年底布油年底前将涨至每桶100美元。高盛策略师表示，中国燃料需求强劲回升，而其他产油国供应趋平，这将推动石油市场在今年下半年出现供应不足，导致欧佩克在6月会议上逆转其减产决定。高盛策略师在一份标注日期为2月26日（周日）的报告中称，假设欧佩克在下半年将日产量增加100万桶，预计油价将在12月前逐步升至每桶100美元。然而，如果欧佩克维持产量政策不变，那么布油可能会在12月达到每桶107美元，并在此后继续走高。由欧佩克和俄罗斯等盟友组成的欧佩克+去年10月同意在2023年底前将石油日产量目标削减200万桶。本月早些时候，沙特能源部长阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹·本·萨勒曼王子表示，目前的欧佩克+石油产量协议将被保持至今年年底。并不是所有投行都像高盛一样对油价前景保持乐观。摩根大通本月表示，除非重大地缘政治事件再次扰乱市场，否则布油价格预计不会在2023年达到每桶100美元。该投行指出，俄罗斯原油产量预计将在6月份恢复，而高油价将阻止美国回购原油以补充战略石油储备 （SPR）。对于油价能否再度“破百”的争议，能源巨头的意见却稍显统一。周一，全球最大的独立石油交易商维多集团（Vitol Group）首席执行官Russell Hardy在接受电视采访时表示，今年下半年油价可能升至每桶90美元至100美元的区间，因其预计全球需求将在供应受限的情况下达到创纪录水平。Hardy称，“这是一种真实存在的可能性。”根据Hardy的说法，在柴油、石脑油和液化石油气（LPG）需求激增的推动下，2023年全球石油需求将比2022年增加220万桶/日，达到创纪录水平。他补充道：“相比之下，现实情况是供应方面没有太多增长空间，因此油价反弹的潜力肯定存在。”Hardy表示，由于脱碳浪潮加快，石油需求预计将在本世纪末达到峰值，但仍需要对石油供应进行投资。美国最大的页岩生产商之一先锋自然资源公司也预计油价到今年年底将达到每桶100美元。先锋公司首席执行官斯科特·谢菲尔德本月早些时候表示：“随着中国需求的显著回升，布油价格“将在今年夏天突破每桶90美元，并在今年下半年的某个时候进一步涨至每桶100美元。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":620272867,"gmtCreate":1669812014959,"gmtModify":1669812016908,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"高盛反着买，别墅靠大海。看来明年油价011美元了","listText":"高盛反着买，别墅靠大海。看来明年油价011美元了","text":"高盛反着买，别墅靠大海。看来明年油价011美元了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/620272867","repostId":"2287638668","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2287638668","pubTimestamp":1669778508,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2287638668?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-30 11:21","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"高盛预测OPEC+减产可能性极高，明年油价将达110美元/桶","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2287638668","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，在通胀仍处高位、经济衰退担忧加剧以及市场正评估即将生效的西方对俄罗斯石油实施价格上限的影响之际，高盛预测OPEC+极有可能采取进一步措施来阻止油价下跌并试图平衡市场供需。高盛大宗商品全球主管 Jeff Currie 周二表示，多种因素导致该行近几个月下调了对油价的预测。不仅如此，OPEC+最近暗示可能实施更大幅度的减产以刺激原油价格回升。不过也有消息称，OPEC + 正讨论在 12 月 4 日每日增产 50 万桶原油的计划。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>智通财经APP获悉，在通胀仍处高位、经济衰退担忧加剧以及市场正评估即将生效的西方对俄罗斯石油实施价格上限的影响之际，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>预测OPEC+极有可能采取进一步措施来阻止油价下跌并试图平衡市场供需。据了解，OPEC+将于12月4日在奥地利维也纳召开会议，决定下一阶段的生产政策。</p><p>高盛大宗商品全球主管 Jeff Currie 周二表示，多种因素导致该行近几个月下调了对油价的预测。他点出两大因素，首先是美元，其次是俄罗斯原油。据悉，俄罗斯正努力在 12 月 5 日价格上限生效前将自己的原油推向市场。</p><p>Currie表示其对2023年的中期石油前景“非常乐观”，高盛将“坚持其立场”，对明年布伦特原油的预测为每桶110美元。截至发稿，布伦特原油涨1.25%，报84.94美元/桶。这意味着，和当前大约85美元每桶的价格相比，明年油价还有近30%的上涨空间。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32ad3497f18a34b8f155aa97e3bb8856\" tg-width=\"737\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>不过，Currie也承认，未来存在“很多不确定性”。布伦特原油期货价格在今年2月份东欧地缘冲突爆发后飙涨，并在3月至6月长时间维持在110美元上方，并多次达到120美元上方。随后价格开始逐步走低。</p><p>此外，Currie 也提到，OPEC + 需要讨论是否应对中国需求进一步疲软的情形，因此减产的可能性很大。此前，OPEC+在10月初同意，从11月开始，每天减产200万桶，当时这一举措招致美国的强烈不满，因为美国曾要求OPEC+维持产量甚至增产以缓解美国通胀，并帮助全球经济复苏。</p><p>不仅如此，OPEC+最近暗示可能实施更大幅度的减产以刺激原油价格回升。周一据报道称，在全球原油需求放缓的情况下，沙特和其他产油国考虑在即将召开的OPEC+会议上宣布新的减产措施。</p><p>不过也有消息称，OPEC + 正讨论在 12 月 4 日每日增产 50 万桶原油的计划。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高盛预测OPEC+减产可能性极高，明年油价将达110美元/桶</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛预测OPEC+减产可能性极高，明年油价将达110美元/桶\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-30 11:21 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/839391.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，在通胀仍处高位、经济衰退担忧加剧以及市场正评估即将生效的西方对俄罗斯石油实施价格上限的影响之际，高盛预测OPEC+极有可能采取进一步措施来阻止油价下跌并试图平衡市场供需。据了解，OPEC+将于12月4日在奥地利维也纳召开会议，决定下一阶段的生产政策。高盛大宗商品全球主管 Jeff Currie 周二表示，多种因素导致该行近几个月下调了对油价的预测。他点出两大因素，首先是美元，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/839391.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef375710aa7a4298de56c8827d8139df","relate_stocks":{"IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","GS":"高盛","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","USO":"美国原油ETF","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/839391.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2287638668","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，在通胀仍处高位、经济衰退担忧加剧以及市场正评估即将生效的西方对俄罗斯石油实施价格上限的影响之际，高盛预测OPEC+极有可能采取进一步措施来阻止油价下跌并试图平衡市场供需。据了解，OPEC+将于12月4日在奥地利维也纳召开会议，决定下一阶段的生产政策。高盛大宗商品全球主管 Jeff Currie 周二表示，多种因素导致该行近几个月下调了对油价的预测。他点出两大因素，首先是美元，其次是俄罗斯原油。据悉，俄罗斯正努力在 12 月 5 日价格上限生效前将自己的原油推向市场。Currie表示其对2023年的中期石油前景“非常乐观”，高盛将“坚持其立场”，对明年布伦特原油的预测为每桶110美元。截至发稿，布伦特原油涨1.25%，报84.94美元/桶。这意味着，和当前大约85美元每桶的价格相比，明年油价还有近30%的上涨空间。不过，Currie也承认，未来存在“很多不确定性”。布伦特原油期货价格在今年2月份东欧地缘冲突爆发后飙涨，并在3月至6月长时间维持在110美元上方，并多次达到120美元上方。随后价格开始逐步走低。此外，Currie 也提到，OPEC + 需要讨论是否应对中国需求进一步疲软的情形，因此减产的可能性很大。此前，OPEC+在10月初同意，从11月开始，每天减产200万桶，当时这一举措招致美国的强烈不满，因为美国曾要求OPEC+维持产量甚至增产以缓解美国通胀，并帮助全球经济复苏。不仅如此，OPEC+最近暗示可能实施更大幅度的减产以刺激原油价格回升。周一据报道称，在全球原油需求放缓的情况下，沙特和其他产油国考虑在即将召开的OPEC+会议上宣布新的减产措施。不过也有消息称，OPEC + 正讨论在 12 月 4 日每日增产 50 万桶原油的计划。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":683124838,"gmtCreate":1656076456428,"gmtModify":1704864062422,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好文章","listText":"好文章","text":"好文章","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683124838","repostId":"1104471087","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":612229911,"gmtCreate":1652362722933,"gmtModify":1652362722933,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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