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1个2
2021-09-24
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@交易汇_股指大赢家:思考美联储释放四大利空下,美股不跌反涨的理由为何
1个2
2021-08-23
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
1个2
2021-08-06
$Eros STX Global Corporation(ESGC)$
传奇一样的公司
1个2
2021-07-30
$Eros STX Global Corporation(ESGC)$
毁灭社会价值的公司的结局必然也是被社会所毁灭。印度方面人品问题很大,美国方面创始人被抓走坐牢,两个公司合并后走的是诈骗的老路,这条路必然是一条绝路。
1个2
2021-07-23
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
需要来一根大阴棒,如同高途,好未来,新东方,一棒插到2块钱。
1个2
2021-07-23
$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$
上天台
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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美联储较六月调降今年GDP及调升通胀预期 可说也奇怪,利空环伺下,美股不跌反涨。在凌晨两点结果公布前美股早已大涨,这部份或可以归因于亚洲「雷曼再起」疑虑的消除,也可以是政府举债上限难题在众议院得到了初步的解决。但消息公布后美股持续强势,并未随著市场消化后而走低,收盘时道琼斯、Nasdaq及标普涨幅都在1%左右,让一堆专家摸不著头绪,鹰派的政策却迎来美股走扬? 因为无法找到因果关系,因此在后续的相关报导中,有看到略过说明的,却也有看到因为美股收涨,就用美联储政策「其实」没那么鹰派来解释。可再怎么看,收资金、早加息、降GDP、升通胀,从正常的逻辑来看都算股市的偏空因素,不能因为股市涨了,就把鹰派的利空说成不是利空。 漫长的操作岁月我学到了一件事,要能够在金融操作有大斩获,独立思考、不随波逐流是很重要的条件。逻辑永远比赚赔重要,因为拉长次数来看,决定赚赔的还是对的思维模式。能够判断别人的观点是否有逻辑上的瑕疵,就能够客观思考,不陷入固有框架而受限。 遇到美联储利空,股市却不跌反涨。我宁可用其它方式来解读,却也不愿意说成白马非马。几种可能性中,极少数的可能性是市场错误定价,会在之后的行情中调整回来,但在讯息传递深具效率性、参与者专业程度相对高的美股来说,机率是很低的。 利空不跌是行情重要解读之一 另一种可能性是,在美联储早已充分沟通下,本次相关的利空都已被市场预期。这种观点大部分成立,但","listText":"2021年9月,一向引领全球央行的美联储终于跟上了欧央的脚步,于FOMC会议之后进一步明确了缩减购债。搭配还是坚持通胀是暂时性的观点,可以看出美联储的难处。把本次会后内容与上个月底的全球央行会议上鲍尔的谈话做个对比,原本预期年底Taper的时间点于此次进一步确认,可以发现政策转向明显更为鹰派。此外,点阵图暗示2022年提早加息的机率大增、下调今年GDP预期及提高通胀数据,四个面向,对股市都是利空。 美联储较六月调降今年GDP及调升通胀预期 可说也奇怪,利空环伺下,美股不跌反涨。在凌晨两点结果公布前美股早已大涨,这部份或可以归因于亚洲「雷曼再起」疑虑的消除,也可以是政府举债上限难题在众议院得到了初步的解决。但消息公布后美股持续强势,并未随著市场消化后而走低,收盘时道琼斯、Nasdaq及标普涨幅都在1%左右,让一堆专家摸不著头绪,鹰派的政策却迎来美股走扬? 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Inc.(WISH)$</a>需要来一根大阴棒,如同高途,好未来,新东方,一棒插到2块钱。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>需要来一根大阴棒,如同高途,好未来,新东方,一棒插到2块钱。","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$需要来一根大阴棒,如同高途,好未来,新东方,一棒插到2块钱。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175556796","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":175234902,"gmtCreate":1627033367906,"gmtModify":1627034096346,"author":{"id":"3562242616545258","authorId":"3562242616545258","name":"1个2","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>上天台","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>上天台","text":"$ContextLogic 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Inc.(WISH)$</a>需要来一根大阴棒,如同高途,好未来,新东方,一棒插到2块钱。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>需要来一根大阴棒,如同高途,好未来,新东方,一棒插到2块钱。","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$需要来一根大阴棒,如同高途,好未来,新东方,一棒插到2块钱。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175556796","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":899285700,"gmtCreate":1628200973500,"gmtModify":1628200973500,"author":{"id":"3562242616545258","authorId":"3562242616545258","name":"1个2","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESGC\">$Eros STX Global Corporation(ESGC)$</a>传奇一样的公司","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESGC\">$Eros STX Global Corporation(ESGC)$</a>传奇一样的公司","text":"$Eros STX Global Corporation(ESGC)$传奇一样的公司","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68c382c8daa2394391632ab14f1034e6","width":"1080","height":"681"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899285700","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861076806,"gmtCreate":1632445726305,"gmtModify":1632445726305,"author":{"id":"3562242616545258","authorId":"3562242616545258","name":"1个2","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861076806","repostId":"863235022","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":863235022,"gmtCreate":1632395556466,"gmtModify":1640065140955,"author":{"id":"4088318450089710","authorId":"4088318450089710","name":"交易汇_股指大赢家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d99b8aa323101af9989e8f6b8a12c16","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"思考美联储释放四大利空下,美股不跌反涨的理由为何","htmlText":"2021年9月,一向引领全球央行的美联储终于跟上了欧央的脚步,于FOMC会议之后进一步明确了缩减购债。搭配还是坚持通胀是暂时性的观点,可以看出美联储的难处。把本次会后内容与上个月底的全球央行会议上鲍尔的谈话做个对比,原本预期年底Taper的时间点于此次进一步确认,可以发现政策转向明显更为鹰派。此外,点阵图暗示2022年提早加息的机率大增、下调今年GDP预期及提高通胀数据,四个面向,对股市都是利空。 美联储较六月调降今年GDP及调升通胀预期 可说也奇怪,利空环伺下,美股不跌反涨。在凌晨两点结果公布前美股早已大涨,这部份或可以归因于亚洲「雷曼再起」疑虑的消除,也可以是政府举债上限难题在众议院得到了初步的解决。但消息公布后美股持续强势,并未随著市场消化后而走低,收盘时道琼斯、Nasdaq及标普涨幅都在1%左右,让一堆专家摸不著头绪,鹰派的政策却迎来美股走扬? 因为无法找到因果关系,因此在后续的相关报导中,有看到略过说明的,却也有看到因为美股收涨,就用美联储政策「其实」没那么鹰派来解释。可再怎么看,收资金、早加息、降GDP、升通胀,从正常的逻辑来看都算股市的偏空因素,不能因为股市涨了,就把鹰派的利空说成不是利空。 漫长的操作岁月我学到了一件事,要能够在金融操作有大斩获,独立思考、不随波逐流是很重要的条件。逻辑永远比赚赔重要,因为拉长次数来看,决定赚赔的还是对的思维模式。能够判断别人的观点是否有逻辑上的瑕疵,就能够客观思考,不陷入固有框架而受限。 遇到美联储利空,股市却不跌反涨。我宁可用其它方式来解读,却也不愿意说成白马非马。几种可能性中,极少数的可能性是市场错误定价,会在之后的行情中调整回来,但在讯息传递深具效率性、参与者专业程度相对高的美股来说,机率是很低的。 利空不跌是行情重要解读之一 另一种可能性是,在美联储早已充分沟通下,本次相关的利空都已被市场预期。这种观点大部分成立,但","listText":"2021年9月,一向引领全球央行的美联储终于跟上了欧央的脚步,于FOMC会议之后进一步明确了缩减购债。搭配还是坚持通胀是暂时性的观点,可以看出美联储的难处。把本次会后内容与上个月底的全球央行会议上鲍尔的谈话做个对比,原本预期年底Taper的时间点于此次进一步确认,可以发现政策转向明显更为鹰派。此外,点阵图暗示2022年提早加息的机率大增、下调今年GDP预期及提高通胀数据,四个面向,对股市都是利空。 美联储较六月调降今年GDP及调升通胀预期 可说也奇怪,利空环伺下,美股不跌反涨。在凌晨两点结果公布前美股早已大涨,这部份或可以归因于亚洲「雷曼再起」疑虑的消除,也可以是政府举债上限难题在众议院得到了初步的解决。但消息公布后美股持续强势,并未随著市场消化后而走低,收盘时道琼斯、Nasdaq及标普涨幅都在1%左右,让一堆专家摸不著头绪,鹰派的政策却迎来美股走扬? 因为无法找到因果关系,因此在后续的相关报导中,有看到略过说明的,却也有看到因为美股收涨,就用美联储政策「其实」没那么鹰派来解释。可再怎么看,收资金、早加息、降GDP、升通胀,从正常的逻辑来看都算股市的偏空因素,不能因为股市涨了,就把鹰派的利空说成不是利空。 漫长的操作岁月我学到了一件事,要能够在金融操作有大斩获,独立思考、不随波逐流是很重要的条件。逻辑永远比赚赔重要,因为拉长次数来看,决定赚赔的还是对的思维模式。能够判断别人的观点是否有逻辑上的瑕疵,就能够客观思考,不陷入固有框架而受限。 遇到美联储利空,股市却不跌反涨。我宁可用其它方式来解读,却也不愿意说成白马非马。几种可能性中,极少数的可能性是市场错误定价,会在之后的行情中调整回来,但在讯息传递深具效率性、参与者专业程度相对高的美股来说,机率是很低的。 利空不跌是行情重要解读之一 另一种可能性是,在美联储早已充分沟通下,本次相关的利空都已被市场预期。这种观点大部分成立,但","text":"2021年9月,一向引领全球央行的美联储终于跟上了欧央的脚步,于FOMC会议之后进一步明确了缩减购债。搭配还是坚持通胀是暂时性的观点,可以看出美联储的难处。把本次会后内容与上个月底的全球央行会议上鲍尔的谈话做个对比,原本预期年底Taper的时间点于此次进一步确认,可以发现政策转向明显更为鹰派。此外,点阵图暗示2022年提早加息的机率大增、下调今年GDP预期及提高通胀数据,四个面向,对股市都是利空。 美联储较六月调降今年GDP及调升通胀预期 可说也奇怪,利空环伺下,美股不跌反涨。在凌晨两点结果公布前美股早已大涨,这部份或可以归因于亚洲「雷曼再起」疑虑的消除,也可以是政府举债上限难题在众议院得到了初步的解决。但消息公布后美股持续强势,并未随著市场消化后而走低,收盘时道琼斯、Nasdaq及标普涨幅都在1%左右,让一堆专家摸不著头绪,鹰派的政策却迎来美股走扬? 因为无法找到因果关系,因此在后续的相关报导中,有看到略过说明的,却也有看到因为美股收涨,就用美联储政策「其实」没那么鹰派来解释。可再怎么看,收资金、早加息、降GDP、升通胀,从正常的逻辑来看都算股市的偏空因素,不能因为股市涨了,就把鹰派的利空说成不是利空。 漫长的操作岁月我学到了一件事,要能够在金融操作有大斩获,独立思考、不随波逐流是很重要的条件。逻辑永远比赚赔重要,因为拉长次数来看,决定赚赔的还是对的思维模式。能够判断别人的观点是否有逻辑上的瑕疵,就能够客观思考,不陷入固有框架而受限。 遇到美联储利空,股市却不跌反涨。我宁可用其它方式来解读,却也不愿意说成白马非马。几种可能性中,极少数的可能性是市场错误定价,会在之后的行情中调整回来,但在讯息传递深具效率性、参与者专业程度相对高的美股来说,机率是很低的。 利空不跌是行情重要解读之一 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>上天台","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>上天台","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$上天台","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175234902","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}