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Henryz
高性能计算码农一枚:-)
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Henryz
2021-11-11
$AGC 20220121 10.0 CALL(AGC)$
期权吃小肉
Henryz
2021-08-08
这件事上这么多环节这么多高p都出问题,外加hr也是一朵奇葩。。。大佬没听过也可以解释为“何不食肉糜”,不了解底下的人。这不是个别人出问题,而是一票人出问题。不知道还有多少老鼠屎
抱歉,原内容已删除
Henryz
2021-07-04
爆炸性新闻,滴滴明天要大暴跌了
抱歉,原内容已删除
Henryz
2021-04-01
字节咋不叫价四万亿美元估值[可爱] [可爱]
市场消息:字节跳动的最新估值接近4000亿美元
Henryz
2021-03-02
$Vector Acquisition Corp(VACQ)$
$Holicity Inc(HOL)$
火箭公司就是干!!!strong hold[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]
Henryz
2021-02-23
$Holicity Inc(HOL)$
越跌越买,这种豪华版研发团队不常见,3月要是火箭发射成功,要蹭蹭蹭往上涨。。。小卫星的发射需求很大,一旦火箭成本下去,完全不愁订单
Henryz
2021-02-04
$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$
终于爆发了[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]
Henryz
2021-02-03
$Holicity Inc(HOL)$
送卫星的太空快递公司,这种好票不是什么时候都有,strong hold!!![哇塞] [哇塞] [哇塞]
Henryz
2021-02-02
$Foley Trasimene Acquisition II Corp(BFT)$
坚定持有[微笑]
Henryz
2021-01-31
迟早会回归价值,历史车轮只会往前走[喷血]
华尔街权利的游戏:一场自下而上革命正在发生
Henryz
2021-01-31
裁判下场踢球[笑哭]
谈Robinhood暂停GME交易的合理性
Henryz
2021-01-31
$Foley Trasimene Acquisition II Corp(BFT)$
放了好久还没出投票时间,strong hold[得意] [得意]
Henryz
2021-01-30
$AMD(AMD)$
Robinhood 这是脑子有病,竟然限制起amd了,无法无天啊,有本事限制所有美股…这个自由国也太扯了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]
Henryz
2021-01-27
$Foley Trasimene Acquisition II Corp(BFT)$
小小入一笔,等暴涨[财迷] [财迷]
Henryz
2021-01-25
$Churchill Capital Corp IV(CCIV)$
14.4的本,希望合并成功,赚一波[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]
Henryz
2021-01-14
$隆基股份(601012)$
坚定持有,越掉越买[得意] [得意] [得意] [得意]
Henryz
2021-01-05
$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$
ARK基金买入SKLZ, 等起飞[财迷] [财迷] [得意] [得意] [爱你]
Henryz
2020-12-25
中国20年阴阳好投资:一个醉酒
$贵州茅台(600519)$
,一个解酒
$片仔癀(600436)$
[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心]
Henryz
2020-12-20
$京东健康(06618)$
互联网医疗,17年就真实享受过这个新领域带来的方便,当时用的是好医生。。。随着社会进步,这一块能给病患带来极大便利(诊前/诊后咨询,普通医疗服务等等),是个相当好的赛道,长持
Henryz
2020-12-20
$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$
游戏平台公司,盈利模式特别有意思,长期看好[得意] [得意]
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">$AGC 20220121 10.0 CALL(AGC)$</a>期权吃小肉","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">$AGC 20220121 10.0 CALL(AGC)$</a>期权吃小肉","text":"$AGC 20220121 10.0 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[可爱] ","listText":"字节咋不叫价四万亿美元估值[可爱] [可爱] ","text":"字节咋不叫价四万亿美元估值[可爱] [可爱]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357225737","repostId":"1146146540","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146146540","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1617280156,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146146540?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-01 20:29","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"市场消息:字节跳动的最新估值接近4000亿美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146146540","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"一位消息人士称,随着短视频分享应用程序TikTok的中国所有者巩固其在全球科技独角兽中的领先地位,对私募股权投资者而言,字节跳动的最新估值接近4000亿美元。(新浪)如果该消息准确,基于分析公司CB ","content":"<p>一位消息人士称,随着短视频分享应用程序TikTok的中国所有者巩固其在全球科技独角兽中的领先地位,对私募股权投资者而言,字节跳动的最新估值接近4000亿美元。(新浪)</p><p>如果该消息准确,基于分析公司CB Insights的数据,则4000亿美元的新估值几乎是字节跳动在2020年3月C轮融资后1400亿美元估值的三倍。</p><p>一年前,字节跳动向员工授予了公司股票,当时为公司估值1000亿美元。两周前,其估值升至2700亿美元。据字节跳动员工称,上周这一数字又跃升至3000亿美元。</p><p>相比之下,竞争对手快手当前的市值约为1500亿美元。事实上,快手的市值,也为字节跳动的估值提供了基准。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>市场消息:字节跳动的最新估值接近4000亿美元</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n市场消息:字节跳动的最新估值接近4000亿美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-01 20:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>一位消息人士称,随着短视频分享应用程序TikTok的中国所有者巩固其在全球科技独角兽中的领先地位,对私募股权投资者而言,字节跳动的最新估值接近4000亿美元。(新浪)</p><p>如果该消息准确,基于分析公司CB Insights的数据,则4000亿美元的新估值几乎是字节跳动在2020年3月C轮融资后1400亿美元估值的三倍。</p><p>一年前,字节跳动向员工授予了公司股票,当时为公司估值1000亿美元。两周前,其估值升至2700亿美元。据字节跳动员工称,上周这一数字又跃升至3000亿美元。</p><p>相比之下,竞争对手快手当前的市值约为1500亿美元。事实上,快手的市值,也为字节跳动的估值提供了基准。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2958907307044929d330311c413c1a4f","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146146540","content_text":"一位消息人士称,随着短视频分享应用程序TikTok的中国所有者巩固其在全球科技独角兽中的领先地位,对私募股权投资者而言,字节跳动的最新估值接近4000亿美元。(新浪)如果该消息准确,基于分析公司CB Insights的数据,则4000亿美元的新估值几乎是字节跳动在2020年3月C轮融资后1400亿美元估值的三倍。一年前,字节跳动向员工授予了公司股票,当时为公司估值1000亿美元。两周前,其估值升至2700亿美元。据字节跳动员工称,上周这一数字又跃升至3000亿美元。相比之下,竞争对手快手当前的市值约为1500亿美元。事实上,快手的市值,也为字节跳动的估值提供了基准。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":365345996,"gmtCreate":1614698485515,"gmtModify":1703480095424,"author":{"id":"3561424519475845","authorId":"3561424519475845","authorIdStr":"3561424519475845","name":"Henryz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/523d8325b7d30d0480a915ad1943d080","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VACQ\">$Vector Acquisition Corp(VACQ)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOL\">$Holicity Inc(HOL)$</a>火箭公司就是干!!!strong hold[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VACQ\">$Vector Acquisition Corp(VACQ)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOL\">$Holicity 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[哇塞]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e3297acfe4f861ab765463ef4911c65","width":"750","height":"2470"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/314692912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":315329627,"gmtCreate":1612201492469,"gmtModify":1703758828078,"author":{"id":"3561424519475845","authorId":"3561424519475845","authorIdStr":"3561424519475845","name":"Henryz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/523d8325b7d30d0480a915ad1943d080","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BFT\">$Foley Trasimene Acquisition II Corp(BFT)$</a>坚定持有[微笑] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BFT\">$Foley Trasimene Acquisition II Corp(BFT)$</a>坚定持有[微笑] ","text":"$Foley Trasimene Acquisition II Corp(BFT)$坚定持有[微笑]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0b7fca536930302eefac468c4b2e3a7","width":"750","height":"2280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/315329627","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":312173674,"gmtCreate":1612077684798,"gmtModify":1703757660410,"author":{"id":"3561424519475845","authorId":"3561424519475845","authorIdStr":"3561424519475845","name":"Henryz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/523d8325b7d30d0480a915ad1943d080","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"迟早会回归价值,历史车轮只会往前走[喷血] ","listText":"迟早会回归价值,历史车轮只会往前走[喷血] ","text":"迟早会回归价值,历史车轮只会往前走[喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/312173674","repostId":"1157990182","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157990182","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国最具影响力的财经新闻媒体《财经》携手道琼斯媒体集团,引入百年历史的《巴伦》(Barron's)独家内容,打造涵盖全球金融信息、市场动态、行业分析、公司研究及理财顾问评估的全球投资平台。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"巴伦周刊","id":"1063202233","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd0fd02e1b0644cdbe57505e702dacab"},"pubTimestamp":1611933039,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157990182?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-29 23:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"华尔街权利的游戏:一场自下而上革命正在发生","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157990182","media":"巴伦周刊","summary":"一场“权利的游戏”正在华尔街上演。围绕GameStop展开的拉锯战也许只是个起点,新一代投资者发起了一场自下而上的革命,并正在颠覆华尔街精英们写好的游戏规则。\n如果从1月11日RC Venture的三","content":"<p>一场“权利的游戏”正在华尔街上演。围绕GameStop展开的拉锯战也许只是个起点,新一代投资者发起了一场自下而上的革命,并正在颠覆华尔街精英们写好的游戏规则。</p>\n<p>如果从1月11日RC Venture的三名成员加入GameStop董事会并引发股价上涨和随后的空头狙击算起,这场牵动巨额资金的“核弹级”斗法已经持续了十几天时间。尤其是最近5个交易日,GameStop股价走势可谓“上可九天揽月,下可五洋捉鳖”。仅仅是周四(1月28日)这天,就曾最低下探到113.50美元,最高达到483美元,甚至在盘前一度触及500美元。</p>\n<p>如果再想到指数级增长的散户在Reddit网站 WallStreetBets(华尔街赌徒)论坛上喊着冲锋口号、互相打气,以及多家对冲基金跌下神坛、甚至要借钱续命,甚至不难从中品出“大卫与歌利亚巨人之战”的热血味道。</p>\n<p>不过,这并不是故事的全部,也不是故事的结束。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8be62534a1edadc0f457543b6fde9cfe\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>\n<p><b>Meme投资者登场了</b></p>\n<p>“如今,你一方面拥有价值和增长,另一方面则拥有Meme(在人与人之间传播的概念和行为,中文经常翻译为“梗”),” WallStreetBets论坛的创建者杰米·罗格辛斯基(Jaime Rogozinski)对《巴伦周刊》说。“婴儿潮一代会问千禧一代,‘你是什么,增长还是价值投资者?” 他会回答:“我是一个Meme投资者,我要打爆你(kick your ass)。’”</p>\n<p>罗格辛斯基在2012年创办了 WallStreetBets,因为他想学习“高风险、高回报的交易”,但当时在线社区的重点是“分散和控制风险”。他认为,那些嘲笑Robinhood投资者的人没有抓住重点。</p>\n<p>罗格辛斯基还拿“真假Zoom”乌龙事件举例,一些交易员把一家中国小型手机零部件制造商当成ZOOM Video Communications (ZM),结果导致前者股价多次飙升。“人们说,‘这些傻瓜不知道自己在做什么——他们投资错了公司。’我的回答是,谁是傻瓜?他们赚的钱比投资那家真的Zoom公司还要多。”</p>\n<p>罗格辛斯基所说的“Meme投资者”在最近十几天呈指数级增长,截至周三(1月27日),WallStreetBets论坛上有300万多万成员,并且数字还在攀升。而且随着人数越来越多,已经演变为一场运动,他们的目的是向华尔街发起挑战,惩罚这些利用别人的财务困境来发财的专业投资人。</p>\n<p>周三,CNBC还邀请了著名科技投资者Chamath Palihapitiya进行了一场精彩对话。他认为华尔街上的量化基金也不看基本面来买卖,凭什么他们不看基本面就可以不受到指责,而散户不看基本面就要被指责?他的发言被很多散户直呼过瘾,认为他完美传递了散户的心声。</p>\n<p>Reddit联合创始人亚历克西斯·奥哈尼安(Alexis Ohanian)在接受CNBC采访时说,散户购买狂潮将GameStop和其他股票推高是互联网潜力的最高潮,是“自下而上的革命”。</p>\n<p>“我不认为我们会回到这之前的世界,因为我认为这些社区是互联网的副产品,”他说。“无论是这个平台还是另一个平台,这都是新常态。”</p>\n<p>奥哈尼安认为,GameStop起初的交易可能没有那么政治化,但与其他在线运动一样,它开始“发展并拥有自己的生命”。他认为现在发生的事情是十年前“占领华尔街”运动的演变。</p>\n<p>他也在Twitter上提醒那些考虑加入这场运动的普通人:<b>“请不要投资你不能失去的钱。”</b></p>\n<p><b>机构资金下场了</b></p>\n<p>不过,目前一些投资者最大的担忧是,本周美股这种“叫嚣乎东西,隳突乎南北”的震荡可能再次发生。《巴伦周刊》指出,与普遍看法相反的是,推动股价上蹿下跳的不仅仅是散户,一些坐盘交易员和高频交易员这样的专业人士可能也在参与其中。这意味着,他们可能会继续放大散户掀起的动能。</p>\n<p>研究公司 New Constructs 的首席执行官、前瑞士信贷分析师大卫•特雷纳告诉《巴伦周刊》 : “这里绝对有机构资金在起作用。”。他表示: “如果你看看盘中的股票走势,就会发现有1万股为单位的大宗交易。”这表明,专业交易员已经搅了进来。</p>\n<p>散户投资者很可能确实开启了这场狂热,但机构投资者随后乘着牛市行情上车。特雷纳表示: “市场上有的是不计后果、毫无戒心的投资者在推动股票走势,你(机构投资者)就能看到资金流动。”</p>\n<p>另外一些人则不同意专业交易员应负重大责任的说法。Exencial Wealth Advisors的高级投资组合经理乔恩•伯克特-劳伦特(Jon Burckett-St. Laurent)认为可能有一些机构资金搭上了散户狂热的东风,但他不认同“散户不足以推动市场”的观点。</p>\n<p><b>大股东套现离场了</b></p>\n<p>在一片喧哗中,从事件主角逐渐演变为角斗场的GameStop公司也在周四发布声明,这是该公司在股价呈抛物线走势后第一次发声。</p>\n<p>这份声明与事件本身“不能说关系不大,只能说毫无关联”。该公司表扬了自身致力于建设LGBTQ(少数群体)友好型工作场所的努力,但并未回答投资者关心任何问题,比如它在12月曾表示要通过公开市场出售股票,是否仍计划进行?最近股价飙涨后,公司做了什么?</p>\n<p>哥伦比亚大学法学院教授、证券法专家约翰•科菲(John Coffee)告诉《巴伦周刊》说,GameStop应该担心声誉风险。“他们本可以发表声明说,‘我们无法解释,我们不是幕后黑手。我们对我们的公司有信心,但我们不会就目前的股价是否是一项好投资做任何陈述。’”</p>\n<p>他补充称: “一些管理层并不谨慎,还有一些管理层希望相信它将继续上涨。但该公司应担负起比其它任何人更大的责任。”</p>\n<p>值得注意的是,GameStop在1月28日还向监管机构提交了一份文件,其中披露,GameStop的大股东、韩国资产管理公司MUST Asset Management在周三已出售其持有的该公司的全部股份。周三,GameStop上涨了141%,周四下跌了44.29%。</p>\n<p><b>Game还没Stop</b></p>\n<p>在散户忙着空城掠地的时候,华尔街的精英们显然也没闲着。先是WSB论坛的服务器被Discord平台封杀了一段时间,临时被迫转为私人服务,后来又恢复,随后包括Robinhood、Webull Financial LLC、E*Trade Financial Corp.和盈透证券在内的多家券商都对GameStop采取了限制交易措施,这让原本希望抓住本周惊人涨势获利的交易员只剩下两个选择:持有或卖出股票。</p>\n<p>Robinhood在声明中说,新限制适用于美国航空(AAL),AMC娱乐(AMC),黑莓(BB),和诺基亚(NOK)等股票的买卖。</p>\n<p>这一被网友称为“拔网线”的措施招致了用户猛烈抨击,一些国会议员甚至呼吁就此事举行听证会。目前,包括白宫和证券交易委员会(SEC)在内的美国立法者和监管机构已经表示,他们正在关注股市和期权市场近期的动荡。</p>\n<p>1月28日,WSB论坛出现了一封全网刷屏的公开信,斥责以梅尔文资本(Melvin Capital)为代表的华尔街机构,称他们在2008年的金融危机中给数以百万的普通民众制造了莫大的苦难,却没有受到任何惩罚,反而得到救助,如今又公然非法做空游戏驿站这样的个股、还搞市场操纵,没有从危机中吸取丝毫教训。</p>\n<p>公开信还指责CNBC这样的主流媒体收受大企业的赞助,为他们发声,将散户的热炒游戏驿站等个股妖魔化,并称“我们整整一代人都会记得你的作为”。</p>\n<p>公开信呼吁婴儿潮一代老年人不要受媒体的蛊惑,希望他们理解,现在遭散户攻击的华尔街机构正是当年金融危机期间让他们的子孙受苦的元凶,散户现在就是在把握一生难得一次的机会惩罚这些机构。</p>\n<p>投资公司VanEck分析员约翰李(John Patrick Lee)也认为,GameStop的事件反映了新一代与华尔街这种建制之间的冲突。“我认为这不会是昙花一现的现象。”</p>\n<p>Gamestop事件短时间内应该不会“Gamestop”(游戏停止)。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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}\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华尔街权利的游戏:一场自下而上革命正在发生\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1063202233\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd0fd02e1b0644cdbe57505e702dacab);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">巴伦周刊 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-29 23:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>一场“权利的游戏”正在华尔街上演。围绕GameStop展开的拉锯战也许只是个起点,新一代投资者发起了一场自下而上的革命,并正在颠覆华尔街精英们写好的游戏规则。</p>\n<p>如果从1月11日RC Venture的三名成员加入GameStop董事会并引发股价上涨和随后的空头狙击算起,这场牵动巨额资金的“核弹级”斗法已经持续了十几天时间。尤其是最近5个交易日,GameStop股价走势可谓“上可九天揽月,下可五洋捉鳖”。仅仅是周四(1月28日)这天,就曾最低下探到113.50美元,最高达到483美元,甚至在盘前一度触及500美元。</p>\n<p>如果再想到指数级增长的散户在Reddit网站 WallStreetBets(华尔街赌徒)论坛上喊着冲锋口号、互相打气,以及多家对冲基金跌下神坛、甚至要借钱续命,甚至不难从中品出“大卫与歌利亚巨人之战”的热血味道。</p>\n<p>不过,这并不是故事的全部,也不是故事的结束。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8be62534a1edadc0f457543b6fde9cfe\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>\n<p><b>Meme投资者登场了</b></p>\n<p>“如今,你一方面拥有价值和增长,另一方面则拥有Meme(在人与人之间传播的概念和行为,中文经常翻译为“梗”),” WallStreetBets论坛的创建者杰米·罗格辛斯基(Jaime Rogozinski)对《巴伦周刊》说。“婴儿潮一代会问千禧一代,‘你是什么,增长还是价值投资者?” 他会回答:“我是一个Meme投资者,我要打爆你(kick your ass)。’”</p>\n<p>罗格辛斯基在2012年创办了 WallStreetBets,因为他想学习“高风险、高回报的交易”,但当时在线社区的重点是“分散和控制风险”。他认为,那些嘲笑Robinhood投资者的人没有抓住重点。</p>\n<p>罗格辛斯基还拿“真假Zoom”乌龙事件举例,一些交易员把一家中国小型手机零部件制造商当成ZOOM Video Communications (ZM),结果导致前者股价多次飙升。“人们说,‘这些傻瓜不知道自己在做什么——他们投资错了公司。’我的回答是,谁是傻瓜?他们赚的钱比投资那家真的Zoom公司还要多。”</p>\n<p>罗格辛斯基所说的“Meme投资者”在最近十几天呈指数级增长,截至周三(1月27日),WallStreetBets论坛上有300万多万成员,并且数字还在攀升。而且随着人数越来越多,已经演变为一场运动,他们的目的是向华尔街发起挑战,惩罚这些利用别人的财务困境来发财的专业投资人。</p>\n<p>周三,CNBC还邀请了著名科技投资者Chamath Palihapitiya进行了一场精彩对话。他认为华尔街上的量化基金也不看基本面来买卖,凭什么他们不看基本面就可以不受到指责,而散户不看基本面就要被指责?他的发言被很多散户直呼过瘾,认为他完美传递了散户的心声。</p>\n<p>Reddit联合创始人亚历克西斯·奥哈尼安(Alexis Ohanian)在接受CNBC采访时说,散户购买狂潮将GameStop和其他股票推高是互联网潜力的最高潮,是“自下而上的革命”。</p>\n<p>“我不认为我们会回到这之前的世界,因为我认为这些社区是互联网的副产品,”他说。“无论是这个平台还是另一个平台,这都是新常态。”</p>\n<p>奥哈尼安认为,GameStop起初的交易可能没有那么政治化,但与其他在线运动一样,它开始“发展并拥有自己的生命”。他认为现在发生的事情是十年前“占领华尔街”运动的演变。</p>\n<p>他也在Twitter上提醒那些考虑加入这场运动的普通人:<b>“请不要投资你不能失去的钱。”</b></p>\n<p><b>机构资金下场了</b></p>\n<p>不过,目前一些投资者最大的担忧是,本周美股这种“叫嚣乎东西,隳突乎南北”的震荡可能再次发生。《巴伦周刊》指出,与普遍看法相反的是,推动股价上蹿下跳的不仅仅是散户,一些坐盘交易员和高频交易员这样的专业人士可能也在参与其中。这意味着,他们可能会继续放大散户掀起的动能。</p>\n<p>研究公司 New Constructs 的首席执行官、前瑞士信贷分析师大卫•特雷纳告诉《巴伦周刊》 : “这里绝对有机构资金在起作用。”。他表示: “如果你看看盘中的股票走势,就会发现有1万股为单位的大宗交易。”这表明,专业交易员已经搅了进来。</p>\n<p>散户投资者很可能确实开启了这场狂热,但机构投资者随后乘着牛市行情上车。特雷纳表示: “市场上有的是不计后果、毫无戒心的投资者在推动股票走势,你(机构投资者)就能看到资金流动。”</p>\n<p>另外一些人则不同意专业交易员应负重大责任的说法。Exencial Wealth Advisors的高级投资组合经理乔恩•伯克特-劳伦特(Jon Burckett-St. Laurent)认为可能有一些机构资金搭上了散户狂热的东风,但他不认同“散户不足以推动市场”的观点。</p>\n<p><b>大股东套现离场了</b></p>\n<p>在一片喧哗中,从事件主角逐渐演变为角斗场的GameStop公司也在周四发布声明,这是该公司在股价呈抛物线走势后第一次发声。</p>\n<p>这份声明与事件本身“不能说关系不大,只能说毫无关联”。该公司表扬了自身致力于建设LGBTQ(少数群体)友好型工作场所的努力,但并未回答投资者关心任何问题,比如它在12月曾表示要通过公开市场出售股票,是否仍计划进行?最近股价飙涨后,公司做了什么?</p>\n<p>哥伦比亚大学法学院教授、证券法专家约翰•科菲(John Coffee)告诉《巴伦周刊》说,GameStop应该担心声誉风险。“他们本可以发表声明说,‘我们无法解释,我们不是幕后黑手。我们对我们的公司有信心,但我们不会就目前的股价是否是一项好投资做任何陈述。’”</p>\n<p>他补充称: “一些管理层并不谨慎,还有一些管理层希望相信它将继续上涨。但该公司应担负起比其它任何人更大的责任。”</p>\n<p>值得注意的是,GameStop在1月28日还向监管机构提交了一份文件,其中披露,GameStop的大股东、韩国资产管理公司MUST Asset Management在周三已出售其持有的该公司的全部股份。周三,GameStop上涨了141%,周四下跌了44.29%。</p>\n<p><b>Game还没Stop</b></p>\n<p>在散户忙着空城掠地的时候,华尔街的精英们显然也没闲着。先是WSB论坛的服务器被Discord平台封杀了一段时间,临时被迫转为私人服务,后来又恢复,随后包括Robinhood、Webull Financial LLC、E*Trade Financial Corp.和盈透证券在内的多家券商都对GameStop采取了限制交易措施,这让原本希望抓住本周惊人涨势获利的交易员只剩下两个选择:持有或卖出股票。</p>\n<p>Robinhood在声明中说,新限制适用于美国航空(AAL),AMC娱乐(AMC),黑莓(BB),和诺基亚(NOK)等股票的买卖。</p>\n<p>这一被网友称为“拔网线”的措施招致了用户猛烈抨击,一些国会议员甚至呼吁就此事举行听证会。目前,包括白宫和证券交易委员会(SEC)在内的美国立法者和监管机构已经表示,他们正在关注股市和期权市场近期的动荡。</p>\n<p>1月28日,WSB论坛出现了一封全网刷屏的公开信,斥责以梅尔文资本(Melvin Capital)为代表的华尔街机构,称他们在2008年的金融危机中给数以百万的普通民众制造了莫大的苦难,却没有受到任何惩罚,反而得到救助,如今又公然非法做空游戏驿站这样的个股、还搞市场操纵,没有从危机中吸取丝毫教训。</p>\n<p>公开信还指责CNBC这样的主流媒体收受大企业的赞助,为他们发声,将散户的热炒游戏驿站等个股妖魔化,并称“我们整整一代人都会记得你的作为”。</p>\n<p>公开信呼吁婴儿潮一代老年人不要受媒体的蛊惑,希望他们理解,现在遭散户攻击的华尔街机构正是当年金融危机期间让他们的子孙受苦的元凶,散户现在就是在把握一生难得一次的机会惩罚这些机构。</p>\n<p>投资公司VanEck分析员约翰李(John Patrick Lee)也认为,GameStop的事件反映了新一代与华尔街这种建制之间的冲突。“我认为这不会是昙花一现的现象。”</p>\n<p>Gamestop事件短时间内应该不会“Gamestop”(游戏停止)。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb5398fed733ffbbc94ab1b9a49946a8","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GME":"游戏驿站",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157990182","content_text":"一场“权利的游戏”正在华尔街上演。围绕GameStop展开的拉锯战也许只是个起点,新一代投资者发起了一场自下而上的革命,并正在颠覆华尔街精英们写好的游戏规则。\n如果从1月11日RC Venture的三名成员加入GameStop董事会并引发股价上涨和随后的空头狙击算起,这场牵动巨额资金的“核弹级”斗法已经持续了十几天时间。尤其是最近5个交易日,GameStop股价走势可谓“上可九天揽月,下可五洋捉鳖”。仅仅是周四(1月28日)这天,就曾最低下探到113.50美元,最高达到483美元,甚至在盘前一度触及500美元。\n如果再想到指数级增长的散户在Reddit网站 WallStreetBets(华尔街赌徒)论坛上喊着冲锋口号、互相打气,以及多家对冲基金跌下神坛、甚至要借钱续命,甚至不难从中品出“大卫与歌利亚巨人之战”的热血味道。\n不过,这并不是故事的全部,也不是故事的结束。\n\nMeme投资者登场了\n“如今,你一方面拥有价值和增长,另一方面则拥有Meme(在人与人之间传播的概念和行为,中文经常翻译为“梗”),” WallStreetBets论坛的创建者杰米·罗格辛斯基(Jaime Rogozinski)对《巴伦周刊》说。“婴儿潮一代会问千禧一代,‘你是什么,增长还是价值投资者?” 他会回答:“我是一个Meme投资者,我要打爆你(kick your ass)。’”\n罗格辛斯基在2012年创办了 WallStreetBets,因为他想学习“高风险、高回报的交易”,但当时在线社区的重点是“分散和控制风险”。他认为,那些嘲笑Robinhood投资者的人没有抓住重点。\n罗格辛斯基还拿“真假Zoom”乌龙事件举例,一些交易员把一家中国小型手机零部件制造商当成ZOOM Video Communications (ZM),结果导致前者股价多次飙升。“人们说,‘这些傻瓜不知道自己在做什么——他们投资错了公司。’我的回答是,谁是傻瓜?他们赚的钱比投资那家真的Zoom公司还要多。”\n罗格辛斯基所说的“Meme投资者”在最近十几天呈指数级增长,截至周三(1月27日),WallStreetBets论坛上有300万多万成员,并且数字还在攀升。而且随着人数越来越多,已经演变为一场运动,他们的目的是向华尔街发起挑战,惩罚这些利用别人的财务困境来发财的专业投资人。\n周三,CNBC还邀请了著名科技投资者Chamath Palihapitiya进行了一场精彩对话。他认为华尔街上的量化基金也不看基本面来买卖,凭什么他们不看基本面就可以不受到指责,而散户不看基本面就要被指责?他的发言被很多散户直呼过瘾,认为他完美传递了散户的心声。\nReddit联合创始人亚历克西斯·奥哈尼安(Alexis Ohanian)在接受CNBC采访时说,散户购买狂潮将GameStop和其他股票推高是互联网潜力的最高潮,是“自下而上的革命”。\n“我不认为我们会回到这之前的世界,因为我认为这些社区是互联网的副产品,”他说。“无论是这个平台还是另一个平台,这都是新常态。”\n奥哈尼安认为,GameStop起初的交易可能没有那么政治化,但与其他在线运动一样,它开始“发展并拥有自己的生命”。他认为现在发生的事情是十年前“占领华尔街”运动的演变。\n他也在Twitter上提醒那些考虑加入这场运动的普通人:“请不要投资你不能失去的钱。”\n机构资金下场了\n不过,目前一些投资者最大的担忧是,本周美股这种“叫嚣乎东西,隳突乎南北”的震荡可能再次发生。《巴伦周刊》指出,与普遍看法相反的是,推动股价上蹿下跳的不仅仅是散户,一些坐盘交易员和高频交易员这样的专业人士可能也在参与其中。这意味着,他们可能会继续放大散户掀起的动能。\n研究公司 New Constructs 的首席执行官、前瑞士信贷分析师大卫•特雷纳告诉《巴伦周刊》 : “这里绝对有机构资金在起作用。”。他表示: “如果你看看盘中的股票走势,就会发现有1万股为单位的大宗交易。”这表明,专业交易员已经搅了进来。\n散户投资者很可能确实开启了这场狂热,但机构投资者随后乘着牛市行情上车。特雷纳表示: “市场上有的是不计后果、毫无戒心的投资者在推动股票走势,你(机构投资者)就能看到资金流动。”\n另外一些人则不同意专业交易员应负重大责任的说法。Exencial Wealth Advisors的高级投资组合经理乔恩•伯克特-劳伦特(Jon Burckett-St. Laurent)认为可能有一些机构资金搭上了散户狂热的东风,但他不认同“散户不足以推动市场”的观点。\n大股东套现离场了\n在一片喧哗中,从事件主角逐渐演变为角斗场的GameStop公司也在周四发布声明,这是该公司在股价呈抛物线走势后第一次发声。\n这份声明与事件本身“不能说关系不大,只能说毫无关联”。该公司表扬了自身致力于建设LGBTQ(少数群体)友好型工作场所的努力,但并未回答投资者关心任何问题,比如它在12月曾表示要通过公开市场出售股票,是否仍计划进行?最近股价飙涨后,公司做了什么?\n哥伦比亚大学法学院教授、证券法专家约翰•科菲(John Coffee)告诉《巴伦周刊》说,GameStop应该担心声誉风险。“他们本可以发表声明说,‘我们无法解释,我们不是幕后黑手。我们对我们的公司有信心,但我们不会就目前的股价是否是一项好投资做任何陈述。’”\n他补充称: “一些管理层并不谨慎,还有一些管理层希望相信它将继续上涨。但该公司应担负起比其它任何人更大的责任。”\n值得注意的是,GameStop在1月28日还向监管机构提交了一份文件,其中披露,GameStop的大股东、韩国资产管理公司MUST Asset Management在周三已出售其持有的该公司的全部股份。周三,GameStop上涨了141%,周四下跌了44.29%。\nGame还没Stop\n在散户忙着空城掠地的时候,华尔街的精英们显然也没闲着。先是WSB论坛的服务器被Discord平台封杀了一段时间,临时被迫转为私人服务,后来又恢复,随后包括Robinhood、Webull Financial LLC、E*Trade Financial Corp.和盈透证券在内的多家券商都对GameStop采取了限制交易措施,这让原本希望抓住本周惊人涨势获利的交易员只剩下两个选择:持有或卖出股票。\nRobinhood在声明中说,新限制适用于美国航空(AAL),AMC娱乐(AMC),黑莓(BB),和诺基亚(NOK)等股票的买卖。\n这一被网友称为“拔网线”的措施招致了用户猛烈抨击,一些国会议员甚至呼吁就此事举行听证会。目前,包括白宫和证券交易委员会(SEC)在内的美国立法者和监管机构已经表示,他们正在关注股市和期权市场近期的动荡。\n1月28日,WSB论坛出现了一封全网刷屏的公开信,斥责以梅尔文资本(Melvin Capital)为代表的华尔街机构,称他们在2008年的金融危机中给数以百万的普通民众制造了莫大的苦难,却没有受到任何惩罚,反而得到救助,如今又公然非法做空游戏驿站这样的个股、还搞市场操纵,没有从危机中吸取丝毫教训。\n公开信还指责CNBC这样的主流媒体收受大企业的赞助,为他们发声,将散户的热炒游戏驿站等个股妖魔化,并称“我们整整一代人都会记得你的作为”。\n公开信呼吁婴儿潮一代老年人不要受媒体的蛊惑,希望他们理解,现在遭散户攻击的华尔街机构正是当年金融危机期间让他们的子孙受苦的元凶,散户现在就是在把握一生难得一次的机会惩罚这些机构。\n投资公司VanEck分析员约翰李(John Patrick Lee)也认为,GameStop的事件反映了新一代与华尔街这种建制之间的冲突。“我认为这不会是昙花一现的现象。”\nGamestop事件短时间内应该不会“Gamestop”(游戏停止)。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1028,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":312179389,"gmtCreate":1612077349741,"gmtModify":1703757658714,"author":{"id":"3561424519475845","authorId":"3561424519475845","authorIdStr":"3561424519475845","name":"Henryz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/523d8325b7d30d0480a915ad1943d080","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"裁判下场踢球[笑哭] ","listText":"裁判下场踢球[笑哭] ","text":"裁判下场踢球[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/312179389","repostId":"2107022873","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2107022873","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"本号分享关于Global Equity和Global Macro的投资。作者拥有多年美国tier one global value equity fund投研经验,主业是全球股票的价值投资,副业看看宏观。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"加州分析员","id":"79","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb41ada114c44cd892fa66099e8d5053"},"pubTimestamp":1611992940,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2107022873?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-30 15:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"谈Robinhood暂停GME交易的合理性","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2107022873","media":"加州分析员","summary":"周三以Robinhood为代表的一些券商“拔网线”,停止了散户新开仓位的交易权限。我的观点是,阴谋论只有当事人才清楚,但是Robinhood的举动在明面上是合情合理的。随着那几只股票的交易额和波动率不断升高,Robinhood需要缴纳的保证金迅速上升,而不得不停止新开仓交易。事实上,Robinhood最近几天不断募集资金去满足保证金要求。周五下午最终确定Robinhood从投资者手上筹措了10亿美金。由此可见,Robinhood实在也是迫不得已,再不暂停交易这几只热门股就把自己搭进去了。","content":"<p>周三以Robinhood为代表的一些券商“拔网线”,停止了散户新开仓位的交易权限(可以平仓)。这个行为引来了巨大的争议,包括各种阴谋论和议员要求调查和开听证会。我的观点是,阴谋论只有当事人才清楚,但是Robinhood的举动在明面上是合情合理的。</p><p>这个故事简单的版本就是:由于T+2清算制度,<b>券商要用自己的资金(而非客户的保证金)</b>向清算所DTCC缴纳保证金以抵御信用风险。随着那几只股票的交易额和波动率不断升高,Robinhood需要缴纳的保证金迅速上升,而不得不停止新开仓交易。事实上,Robinhood最近几天不断募集资金去满足保证金要求。夸张一点说,Robinhood要等到周末才知道自己有没有破产风险。</p><p>下面是详细版本:</p><p>1. 美国股票和相关衍生品(期权)是T+2模式,即标的在交易两天后由券商通过Clearing House清算所交割。这个清算所是DTCC (Depository Trust& Clearing Corp)。在这两天内如果标的价格发生重大波动,那么就有可能出现信用风险。例如券商客户卖call option,但是GME(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>)股价大涨导致客户和券商都拿不出钱交割。为了抵御这种信用风险,DTCC都要求会员要用自有资金(注意不是券商客户的保证金)作为抵押担保。2008年金融危机后Dodd-Frank法案出台,行业自律协会NSCC(NationalSecurities Clearing Corporation)更是在SEC的授权下提出了更严格的抵押担保要求。所以这个抵押担保要求是有法可依的,Robinhood完全可以自己资本金不足以满足抵押担保要求为由,而拒绝新开仓交易,毕竟自己会不会被清算所追保证金都不知道呢。</p><p>2. NSCC制定保证金额度是一个复杂的计算过程。但它有几个关键因子,理解了这几个因子就明白为什么要专门针对那几个热门股票做出交易限制。</p><p>1) 第一个因子是99%的两日VaR (风险值)。例如券商的持仓是10000美金,通过模型计算出99%的机会两日波动率不超过2%,那么抵押担保就是10000*2%=200美金。现在客户大规模交易GME,例如新增加1000美金持仓,但是GME的两日波动率能到80%,那么券商就要被迫多缴纳1000*80%=800美金。虽然持仓才增加10%,但是抵押担保却翻了4倍。</p><p>2) 第二个因子是Gap Risk Measure, 即某只股票达到买卖净额(买卖相抵)30%以上的时候,券商必须缴纳其该股票10%的净持仓金额作为抵押。当GME交易量大增的时候,对券商的资金要求是很高的,因为等于券商要拿10%的GME持仓量资金出来给DTCC,上不封顶。</p><p>3)第三个因子是mark to market。随着GME股票不断上涨,券商也要加码保证金。</p><p>从这三个因子可以看到,GME这类股票(高波动率,交易额超高,股价急速上涨趋势)简直就是券商保证金绞肉机,自有资金底子不够厚实的券商是难以支持持续开新仓的。</p><p>计算过程还包含其他因子,具体可以参照以下SEC网站链接</p><p>https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/nscc-an/2018/34-82631.pdf</p><p>3. 从周四开始市场就在传Robinhood从银行动用了几个亿美金的借款额度来保证自己运作顺畅。周五下午最终确定Robinhood从投资者手上筹措了10亿美金。由此可见,Robinhood实在也是迫不得已,再不暂停交易这几只热门股就把自己搭进去了。DTCC的说法是周三收盘后向券商收取的保证金已经从260亿美金涨到了335亿美金。</p><p>4. 听说券商和客户签署的服务条款里面就有明确规定这种剧烈波动下暂停交易的条款,我自己没有看过就不评论了,反正条款几十页,律师早就把坑都埋好了。其实,对于Robinhood来讲,散户不是真正的客户,Citadel这种对冲基金才是。散户只是Robinhood的产品,Robinhood通过贩卖散户交易数据(flow)给对冲基金收钱,而散户得到的是零佣金交易。说来就讽刺,罗宾汉声称能让穷人参与资本市场(零费率和买高价股碎股), 其实只不过蹭了穷人数据卖给贵族,而穷人居然想在这个平台上去推翻旧贵族。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/335111a8b53a40d4b1f86bd84abdf13f\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b><i>*Citadel是Robinhood的最大客户</i></b></p><p>但最诡异的是,从Citadel看到的数据,散户居然是从周二就开始净卖空GME (周三以后也是净卖空,但不排除散户被迫平仓而distort data)。所以散户真的是在疯狂做多么?<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/603b85a215374901b0e5fa9551f6c60a\" tg-width=\"691\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>5. 看到有人说国内15年股灾期间A股都没有”拔网线”,什么周三是华尔街最丑陋的一天。套用国内的说法,这叫“国情不同,法律法规不同”。这个保证金设置也是美国资本市场在08年吃过血亏后总结出来的,有其合理性。如果Robinhood的“客户”是机构,估计机构早就担心抵押问题争相撤离平台了,就像当年雷曼一样。这样的话就酿成系统性风险了,在中国就是政府出手的事情了。再说了,18年A股股权质押跌破平仓线不平仓,不也是变相保护富人利益么。都是搬砖的,就不要想那么多了。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n谈Robinhood暂停GME交易的合理性\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/79\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb41ada114c44cd892fa66099e8d5053);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">加州分析员 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-30 15:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>周三以Robinhood为代表的一些券商“拔网线”,停止了散户新开仓位的交易权限(可以平仓)。这个行为引来了巨大的争议,包括各种阴谋论和议员要求调查和开听证会。我的观点是,阴谋论只有当事人才清楚,但是Robinhood的举动在明面上是合情合理的。</p><p>这个故事简单的版本就是:由于T+2清算制度,<b>券商要用自己的资金(而非客户的保证金)</b>向清算所DTCC缴纳保证金以抵御信用风险。随着那几只股票的交易额和波动率不断升高,Robinhood需要缴纳的保证金迅速上升,而不得不停止新开仓交易。事实上,Robinhood最近几天不断募集资金去满足保证金要求。夸张一点说,Robinhood要等到周末才知道自己有没有破产风险。</p><p>下面是详细版本:</p><p>1. 美国股票和相关衍生品(期权)是T+2模式,即标的在交易两天后由券商通过Clearing House清算所交割。这个清算所是DTCC (Depository Trust& Clearing Corp)。在这两天内如果标的价格发生重大波动,那么就有可能出现信用风险。例如券商客户卖call option,但是GME(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>)股价大涨导致客户和券商都拿不出钱交割。为了抵御这种信用风险,DTCC都要求会员要用自有资金(注意不是券商客户的保证金)作为抵押担保。2008年金融危机后Dodd-Frank法案出台,行业自律协会NSCC(NationalSecurities Clearing Corporation)更是在SEC的授权下提出了更严格的抵押担保要求。所以这个抵押担保要求是有法可依的,Robinhood完全可以自己资本金不足以满足抵押担保要求为由,而拒绝新开仓交易,毕竟自己会不会被清算所追保证金都不知道呢。</p><p>2. NSCC制定保证金额度是一个复杂的计算过程。但它有几个关键因子,理解了这几个因子就明白为什么要专门针对那几个热门股票做出交易限制。</p><p>1) 第一个因子是99%的两日VaR (风险值)。例如券商的持仓是10000美金,通过模型计算出99%的机会两日波动率不超过2%,那么抵押担保就是10000*2%=200美金。现在客户大规模交易GME,例如新增加1000美金持仓,但是GME的两日波动率能到80%,那么券商就要被迫多缴纳1000*80%=800美金。虽然持仓才增加10%,但是抵押担保却翻了4倍。</p><p>2) 第二个因子是Gap Risk Measure, 即某只股票达到买卖净额(买卖相抵)30%以上的时候,券商必须缴纳其该股票10%的净持仓金额作为抵押。当GME交易量大增的时候,对券商的资金要求是很高的,因为等于券商要拿10%的GME持仓量资金出来给DTCC,上不封顶。</p><p>3)第三个因子是mark to market。随着GME股票不断上涨,券商也要加码保证金。</p><p>从这三个因子可以看到,GME这类股票(高波动率,交易额超高,股价急速上涨趋势)简直就是券商保证金绞肉机,自有资金底子不够厚实的券商是难以支持持续开新仓的。</p><p>计算过程还包含其他因子,具体可以参照以下SEC网站链接</p><p>https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/nscc-an/2018/34-82631.pdf</p><p>3. 从周四开始市场就在传Robinhood从银行动用了几个亿美金的借款额度来保证自己运作顺畅。周五下午最终确定Robinhood从投资者手上筹措了10亿美金。由此可见,Robinhood实在也是迫不得已,再不暂停交易这几只热门股就把自己搭进去了。DTCC的说法是周三收盘后向券商收取的保证金已经从260亿美金涨到了335亿美金。</p><p>4. 听说券商和客户签署的服务条款里面就有明确规定这种剧烈波动下暂停交易的条款,我自己没有看过就不评论了,反正条款几十页,律师早就把坑都埋好了。其实,对于Robinhood来讲,散户不是真正的客户,Citadel这种对冲基金才是。散户只是Robinhood的产品,Robinhood通过贩卖散户交易数据(flow)给对冲基金收钱,而散户得到的是零佣金交易。说来就讽刺,罗宾汉声称能让穷人参与资本市场(零费率和买高价股碎股), 其实只不过蹭了穷人数据卖给贵族,而穷人居然想在这个平台上去推翻旧贵族。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/335111a8b53a40d4b1f86bd84abdf13f\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b><i>*Citadel是Robinhood的最大客户</i></b></p><p>但最诡异的是,从Citadel看到的数据,散户居然是从周二就开始净卖空GME (周三以后也是净卖空,但不排除散户被迫平仓而distort data)。所以散户真的是在疯狂做多么?<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/603b85a215374901b0e5fa9551f6c60a\" tg-width=\"691\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>5. 看到有人说国内15年股灾期间A股都没有”拔网线”,什么周三是华尔街最丑陋的一天。套用国内的说法,这叫“国情不同,法律法规不同”。这个保证金设置也是美国资本市场在08年吃过血亏后总结出来的,有其合理性。如果Robinhood的“客户”是机构,估计机构早就担心抵押问题争相撤离平台了,就像当年雷曼一样。这样的话就酿成系统性风险了,在中国就是政府出手的事情了。再说了,18年A股股权质押跌破平仓线不平仓,不也是变相保护富人利益么。都是搬砖的,就不要想那么多了。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0da634836d6d89aa89d084a5c4206c2","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2107022873","content_text":"周三以Robinhood为代表的一些券商“拔网线”,停止了散户新开仓位的交易权限(可以平仓)。这个行为引来了巨大的争议,包括各种阴谋论和议员要求调查和开听证会。我的观点是,阴谋论只有当事人才清楚,但是Robinhood的举动在明面上是合情合理的。这个故事简单的版本就是:由于T+2清算制度,券商要用自己的资金(而非客户的保证金)向清算所DTCC缴纳保证金以抵御信用风险。随着那几只股票的交易额和波动率不断升高,Robinhood需要缴纳的保证金迅速上升,而不得不停止新开仓交易。事实上,Robinhood最近几天不断募集资金去满足保证金要求。夸张一点说,Robinhood要等到周末才知道自己有没有破产风险。下面是详细版本:1. 美国股票和相关衍生品(期权)是T+2模式,即标的在交易两天后由券商通过Clearing House清算所交割。这个清算所是DTCC (Depository Trust& Clearing Corp)。在这两天内如果标的价格发生重大波动,那么就有可能出现信用风险。例如券商客户卖call option,但是GME(游戏驿站)股价大涨导致客户和券商都拿不出钱交割。为了抵御这种信用风险,DTCC都要求会员要用自有资金(注意不是券商客户的保证金)作为抵押担保。2008年金融危机后Dodd-Frank法案出台,行业自律协会NSCC(NationalSecurities Clearing Corporation)更是在SEC的授权下提出了更严格的抵押担保要求。所以这个抵押担保要求是有法可依的,Robinhood完全可以自己资本金不足以满足抵押担保要求为由,而拒绝新开仓交易,毕竟自己会不会被清算所追保证金都不知道呢。2. NSCC制定保证金额度是一个复杂的计算过程。但它有几个关键因子,理解了这几个因子就明白为什么要专门针对那几个热门股票做出交易限制。1) 第一个因子是99%的两日VaR (风险值)。例如券商的持仓是10000美金,通过模型计算出99%的机会两日波动率不超过2%,那么抵押担保就是10000*2%=200美金。现在客户大规模交易GME,例如新增加1000美金持仓,但是GME的两日波动率能到80%,那么券商就要被迫多缴纳1000*80%=800美金。虽然持仓才增加10%,但是抵押担保却翻了4倍。2) 第二个因子是Gap Risk Measure, 即某只股票达到买卖净额(买卖相抵)30%以上的时候,券商必须缴纳其该股票10%的净持仓金额作为抵押。当GME交易量大增的时候,对券商的资金要求是很高的,因为等于券商要拿10%的GME持仓量资金出来给DTCC,上不封顶。3)第三个因子是mark to market。随着GME股票不断上涨,券商也要加码保证金。从这三个因子可以看到,GME这类股票(高波动率,交易额超高,股价急速上涨趋势)简直就是券商保证金绞肉机,自有资金底子不够厚实的券商是难以支持持续开新仓的。计算过程还包含其他因子,具体可以参照以下SEC网站链接https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/nscc-an/2018/34-82631.pdf3. 从周四开始市场就在传Robinhood从银行动用了几个亿美金的借款额度来保证自己运作顺畅。周五下午最终确定Robinhood从投资者手上筹措了10亿美金。由此可见,Robinhood实在也是迫不得已,再不暂停交易这几只热门股就把自己搭进去了。DTCC的说法是周三收盘后向券商收取的保证金已经从260亿美金涨到了335亿美金。4. 听说券商和客户签署的服务条款里面就有明确规定这种剧烈波动下暂停交易的条款,我自己没有看过就不评论了,反正条款几十页,律师早就把坑都埋好了。其实,对于Robinhood来讲,散户不是真正的客户,Citadel这种对冲基金才是。散户只是Robinhood的产品,Robinhood通过贩卖散户交易数据(flow)给对冲基金收钱,而散户得到的是零佣金交易。说来就讽刺,罗宾汉声称能让穷人参与资本市场(零费率和买高价股碎股), 其实只不过蹭了穷人数据卖给贵族,而穷人居然想在这个平台上去推翻旧贵族。*Citadel是Robinhood的最大客户但最诡异的是,从Citadel看到的数据,散户居然是从周二就开始净卖空GME (周三以后也是净卖空,但不排除散户被迫平仓而distort data)。所以散户真的是在疯狂做多么?5. 看到有人说国内15年股灾期间A股都没有”拔网线”,什么周三是华尔街最丑陋的一天。套用国内的说法,这叫“国情不同,法律法规不同”。这个保证金设置也是美国资本市场在08年吃过血亏后总结出来的,有其合理性。如果Robinhood的“客户”是机构,估计机构早就担心抵押问题争相撤离平台了,就像当年雷曼一样。这样的话就酿成系统性风险了,在中国就是政府出手的事情了。再说了,18年A股股权质押跌破平仓线不平仓,不也是变相保护富人利益么。都是搬砖的,就不要想那么多了。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":312170649,"gmtCreate":1612077093881,"gmtModify":1703757657696,"author":{"id":"3561424519475845","authorId":"3561424519475845","authorIdStr":"3561424519475845","name":"Henryz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/523d8325b7d30d0480a915ad1943d080","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BFT\">$Foley Trasimene Acquisition II Corp(BFT)$</a>放了好久还没出投票时间,strong hold[得意] [得意] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BFT\">$Foley Trasimene Acquisition II Corp(BFT)$</a>放了好久还没出投票时间,strong hold[得意] [得意] ","text":"$Foley Trasimene Acquisition II Corp(BFT)$放了好久还没出投票时间,strong hold[得意] [得意]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dfa6cf10f48700dffb99d57b000b33c","width":"750","height":"2290"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/312170649","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":316770449,"gmtCreate":1611965948081,"gmtModify":1703757140056,"author":{"id":"3561424519475845","authorId":"3561424519475845","authorIdStr":"3561424519475845","name":"Henryz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/523d8325b7d30d0480a915ad1943d080","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>Robinhood 这是脑子有病,竟然限制起amd了,无法无天啊,有本事限制所有美股…这个自由国也太扯了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>Robinhood 这是脑子有病,竟然限制起amd了,无法无天啊,有本事限制所有美股…这个自由国也太扯了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] ","text":"$AMD(AMD)$Robinhood 这是脑子有病,竟然限制起amd了,无法无天啊,有本事限制所有美股…这个自由国也太扯了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/316770449","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3523355193690421","authorId":"3523355193690421","authorIdStr":"3523355193690421","name":"菩提老祖8_8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b83f99a105cd17c4e2327555367c4de","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"可以去看下光0219这一天90 95 100的call有多少张 业绩这么好 股价一直跌 明显就是故意压价杀期权赚钱 真的太恶心了 RH 明显就是怕了 提前做好准备工作 如果股价爆拉机构要血亏 给人此地无银三百两的感觉 [生气]","text":"可以去看下光0219这一天90 95 100的call有多少张 业绩这么好 股价一直跌 明显就是故意压价杀期权赚钱 真的太恶心了 RH 明显就是怕了 提前做好准备工作 如果股价爆拉机构要血亏 给人此地无银三百两的感觉 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