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To The Moon !!!
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ericchan43
2021-11-16
😱
分析师警告：特斯拉、英伟达、微软涨过头了
ericchan43
2021-11-13
👍
@Kenwong:👍
ericchan43
2021-10-19
👍
重注极氪，李书福的一次豪赌
ericchan43
2021-09-24
$Naked Brand Group Inc(NAKD)$
最后机会！
ericchan43
2021-04-06
又来
抱歉，原内容已删除
ericchan43
2021-04-04
又来骗钱
抱歉，原内容已删除
ericchan43
2021-03-17
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@日高:
$Fintech Acquisition Corp V(FTCV)$
赌一把，有一起的不
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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19:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"分析师警告：特斯拉、英伟达、微软涨过头了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129453166","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"多家机构纷纷对大型科技股的前景发出了警告。","content":"<p>作者：王眉</p>\n<p>在债市波动愈发剧烈给大型科技股带来潜在动荡之际，多家机构纷纷对大型科技股的前景发出了警告，其中的热门股近日又遭到两家机构分析师的唱空。</p>\n<p>上周五，Miller Tabak首席股票策略师Matt Maley在CNBC节目中表示，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>三只热门股走得太远、太快了。</p>\n<p>Maley表示：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 大公司的股票有时会涨过头。这并不意味着它们不是伟大的公司，也不意味着它们在中长期内就不是好股票。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 你可以持有这些股票，但不要在这个点位上追高。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>我认为它们会回落，你可以在未来几周内以更低的价格买到它们。</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Maley尤其关注英伟达，称根据他追踪的指标，该股相对于大盘明显超买和高估。</p>\n<p>华尔街见闻此前提及，11月2日，英伟达的市值首次超过<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>哈撒韦公司，位居全美第七。该股在今年几乎翻倍，在过去十年中上涨了近7500%。</p>\n<p>相比之下，伯克希尔的股价在过去一年上涨了约40%，在10年内上涨了270%。</p>\n<p>据统计，自2020年3月16日低点以来，英伟达的市值增长了近5300亿美元，这一数值比<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">博通</a>当下的市值之和还要高。</p>\n<p>与此同时，<b>持有这三家公司股票的New Street Advisors Group创始人兼首席执行官Delano Saporu表示，特斯拉、英伟达和微软的股价可能即将下跌。</b></p>\n<p>尤其是特斯拉，在过去一个月上涨了近23%后，股价下跌已经在路上。周一，特斯拉盘中跌超5.3%，较11月4日所创历史高位回落21.3%，陷入熊市行情。</p>\n<p>Saporu说：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 如果你看到甚至Rivian都能以超过1000亿美元的估值上市，这似乎告诉我们，市场正在寻找电动汽车领域的任何一个现有玩家，这可能是一个信号，投资者某种程度上正在寻找回调、修正，和以好一点的价格入场的机会。\n</blockquote>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>分析师警告：特斯拉、英伟达、微软涨过头了</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n分析师警告：特斯拉、英伟达、微软涨过头了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-16 19:43 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3645051><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：王眉\n在债市波动愈发剧烈给大型科技股带来潜在动荡之际，多家机构纷纷对大型科技股的前景发出了警告，其中的热门股近日又遭到两家机构分析师的唱空。\n上周五，Miller Tabak首席股票策略师Matt Maley在CNBC节目中表示，特斯拉、英伟达和微软三只热门股走得太远、太快了。\nMaley表示：\n\n 大公司的股票有时会涨过头。这并不意味着它们不是伟大的公司，也不意味着它们在中长期内就不是好...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3645051\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da1808c476bfbe9388a4202f176a117","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","TSLA":"特斯拉","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3645051","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1129453166","content_text":"作者：王眉\n在债市波动愈发剧烈给大型科技股带来潜在动荡之际，多家机构纷纷对大型科技股的前景发出了警告，其中的热门股近日又遭到两家机构分析师的唱空。\n上周五，Miller Tabak首席股票策略师Matt Maley在CNBC节目中表示，特斯拉、英伟达和微软三只热门股走得太远、太快了。\nMaley表示：\n\n 大公司的股票有时会涨过头。这并不意味着它们不是伟大的公司，也不意味着它们在中长期内就不是好股票。\n\n\n 你可以持有这些股票，但不要在这个点位上追高。\n\n\n我认为它们会回落，你可以在未来几周内以更低的价格买到它们。\n\nMaley尤其关注英伟达，称根据他追踪的指标，该股相对于大盘明显超买和高估。\n华尔街见闻此前提及，11月2日，英伟达的市值首次超过伯克希尔哈撒韦公司，位居全美第七。该股在今年几乎翻倍，在过去十年中上涨了近7500%。\n相比之下，伯克希尔的股价在过去一年上涨了约40%，在10年内上涨了270%。\n据统计，自2020年3月16日低点以来，英伟达的市值增长了近5300亿美元，这一数值比英特尔与博通当下的市值之和还要高。\n与此同时，持有这三家公司股票的New Street Advisors Group创始人兼首席执行官Delano Saporu表示，特斯拉、英伟达和微软的股价可能即将下跌。\n尤其是特斯拉，在过去一个月上涨了近23%后，股价下跌已经在路上。周一，特斯拉盘中跌超5.3%，较11月4日所创历史高位回落21.3%，陷入熊市行情。\nSaporu说：\n\n 如果你看到甚至Rivian都能以超过1000亿美元的估值上市，这似乎告诉我们，市场正在寻找电动汽车领域的任何一个现有玩家，这可能是一个信号，投资者某种程度上正在寻找回调、修正，和以好一点的价格入场的机会。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879588695,"gmtCreate":1636738275933,"gmtModify":1636738276105,"author":{"id":"3559760425280540","authorId":"3559760425280540","name":"ericchan43","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4abb0e029e47d236a14f82fa25247afa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879588695","repostId":"167241207","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":167241207,"gmtCreate":1624273506409,"gmtModify":1631885695038,"author":{"id":"3559247438203174","authorId":"3559247438203174","name":"Kenwong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93b2d674a493c8d51713045ce00a3054","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167241207","repostId":"1115796699","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850845313,"gmtCreate":1634577094760,"gmtModify":1634577094983,"author":{"id":"3559760425280540","authorId":"3559760425280540","name":"ericchan43","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4abb0e029e47d236a14f82fa25247afa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850845313","repostId":"1127433517","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127433517","pubTimestamp":1634570089,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127433517?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-18 23:14","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"重注极氪，李书福的一次豪赌","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127433517","media":"芯锂话","summary":"旧王已逝，新王当立。“碳中和”的大趋势下，新能源汽车迎来前所未有的大爆发。\n仅今年9月，特斯拉就交付56006辆电动车，再次刷新新能源汽车的交付纪录。乘着新能源东风，特斯拉取代丰田成为全球市值最高的车","content":"<p>旧王已逝，新王当立。“碳中和”的大趋势下，新能源汽车迎来前所未有的大爆发。</p>\n<p>仅今年9月，特斯拉就交付56006辆电动车，再次刷新新能源汽车的交付纪录。乘着新能源东风，特斯拉取代丰田成为全球市值最高的车企。</p>\n<p>聚焦国内，第一批布局新能源汽车的比亚迪的市值已经跃居行业第一；三家造车新势力产能释放，成为资本新贵；专注于SUV的长城汽车，凭借在新能源汽车领域的布局，估值已经突破5000亿大关。</p>\n<p>不难看出，市值排名靠前的车企都是在新能源领域有所作为的公司。与之相对，燃油车时代的自主品牌王者吉利却几乎在新能源汽车市场上没有了声量，股价走势自然不温不火。</p>\n<p>纵览国内新能源汽车8月新车销量排行榜，吉利旗下的帝豪纯电车型排在20名开外，枫叶80V、几何A和几何C均徘徊于50名附近，表现远逊于小鹏、零跑等造车新势力，更不及比亚迪、长城、长安等传统车企。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc4ce0fafa40640da29f8df29de831fa\" tg-width=\"851\" tg-height=\"908\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>与吉利在燃油车时代的“江湖地位”相比，如今新能源风口下的吉利市值并不能让投资者满意，市场中更有“极端”观点认为，在新能源汽车进程中吉利已经“掉队”了。</p>\n<p>如此被动的局面下，吉利急需一场蜕变，而这一重任被李书福交到了极氪肩上。</p>\n<p>即将交付的极氪或将成为吉利汽车的一个重要转折点。如果极氪实现突破，那么市场对于吉利的质疑自然烟消云散；而一旦极氪表现不如预期，那么吉利的处境可能会更糟。</p>\n<p>随着极氪逐渐交付，命运轮盘已经开始转动，李书福的豪赌能否成功，一切即将验证。</p>\n<p>/ 01 /李书福躬身“造梦”</p>\n<p>在新能源汽车布局上，吉利起了个大早，赶了个晚集。</p>\n<p>早在2015年11月18日，吉利就正式发布了代号“蓝色吉利行动”的新能源战略，提出到2020年新能源汽车销量占吉利整体销量90%以上等五大目标，同时推出了吉利旗下首款纯电车型帝豪EV。</p>\n<p>新能源销量占比超过九成，第一个蓝色吉利行动是如此激进，但最终交出的答卷却无比苍白。整个2020年，吉利新能源汽车销量为68142辆，仅占总销量的5.2%，显然第一个“蓝色吉利行动”并没有如愿达成。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f5ba2a527f8bce3ee43947cd8feb48c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>来源：吉利汽车公告</p>\n<p>尽管销量与预期差距如此之大，但李书福却坚定“既有方针”不动摇，坚称：“这不是战略方向错误，也不是战略执行失败，而是历史时机没有成熟，外部战略条件没有形成”。基于此，李书福强调吉利始终必须坚持战略稳健原则，在进可攻退可守的战略框架下实现战略主动。</p>\n<p>确实如此，在2020年之前，国内新能源汽车市场很不成熟，PPT造车屡见不鲜，随着国家补贴降温，跟风资本开始退潮，无数新能源汽车品牌就此消失。</p>\n<p>但李书福说得又不完全正确，大浪淘沙之后，剩余的新能源车企真正的吃到了行业红利，新能源汽车销量更是从2019年开始全面爆发。在如此红火的形势下，采取稳健原则的吉利略显被动。</p>\n<p>尤其在新能源汽车市场已经明显爆发后，吉利的布局却依然保守的让人直呼“看不懂”。</p>\n<p>首先，新能源汽车并未进行品牌切割独立，依然归在燃油车品牌之下，这决定了吉利新能源很难做出声量；其次，几何系列从开始就战略定位不清，以高端作为宣传卖点，却在10-20万“纯电荒漠”厮杀，更未借助旗下共享出行平台拉动销量；最后，极星各方面平平，品牌小众，加之国内推广力度和产品问题，目前销量惨淡。</p>\n<p>与保守的战略相比，吉利规划的智能电动生态体系布局倒是相当宏大。一方面和百度、富士康以及贾跃亭的FF达成技术支持和工程服务领域展开合作，释放硬件制造优势；另一方面，成立亿咖通，在车载系统、智能座舱、车载芯片等领域深入布局；旗下更有曹操出行等共享出行平台，甚至还布局无人机、飞行汽车、卫星商业化。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a44ee13b44a0e4fbbaca93331b2d773\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"530\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>然而，即使吉利的这些布局再宏大，但如果缺少核心新能源汽车的基础，那么就相当于始终缺少一个足以奠定局面的核心，整个生态系统也自然难以落地。</p>\n<p>正是为了彻底解决这个问题，擅长后发制胜的李书福，选择扶持独立于领克的极氪，并由李书福亲自出任董事长，开始躬身入局“造梦”。</p>\n<p>/ 02 /极氪：一场必须成功的豪赌</p>\n<p>汽车革命相当于一场马拉松，新能源汽车想要彻底取代传统汽车，势必会是一个漫长的过程。车企如何赢得这场马拉松呢？那就是构造可持续发展的能力——品牌。</p>\n<p>对汽车来说，品牌的调性极为重要。纵观吉利旗下的所有布局，燃油车旗下混动和纯电车型、混乱的几何、沦为边缘的枫叶，都没有冠军相。剩下的极星，受制于沃尔沃自身的小众，已注定并非走量车型，且还有众多问题要解决。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cb531cbbe28b7168124ced43a591da\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>因此，在充分整合吉利前期布局和孵化的智能化和电动化技术后，脱胎于领克的极氪将成为支撑起吉利汽车生态的关键一环。</p>\n<p>从集团组织架构的调整中，我们就能够窥探到吉利集团对极氪的重视程度。极氪智能科技控股有限公司，由吉利上市公司主体和吉利控股联合创立，分别持有51%和49%股份。也即是说，极氪属于上市公司体系一级子公司，这一级别远高于吉利此前所有新能源汽车品牌。</p>\n<p>此外，极氪由吉利控股集团董事长李书福亲自挂帅，出任董事长，其中的意味不言自明。</p>\n<p>从现有情况看，极氪确实具有成功的巨大潜力。首先，极氪001脱胎于领克Zero，而领克在过去几年间虽未爆火，但也在市场上形成了较强的品牌认知，这也为极氪的开局奠定了一定优势。</p>\n<p>其次，极氪001定价28.1万-36万，属于高端纯电品牌，这一细分市场已经被特斯拉和蔚来等品牌验证。最后，依托于吉利和沃尔沃两大汽车集团，极氪有着强大的技术储备和资本优势。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73b34454789fd00ab3fdbc7eb65474b5\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>在成立极氪控股后，吉利便开始将自身在智能化和电动化领域的布局，整合至极氪体系下：</p>\n<p>收购CEVT（China-Euro Vehicle Technology AB）100%股权，CEVT拥有开发新能源汽车的完备研发系统，包括但不限于智能电动汽车造型设计、软件系统开发、硬件模块开发、智能电动汽车的虚拟仿真技术以及提供移动出行技术解决方案，能够大大加速极氪品牌汽车更新迭代速度，并为产品研发提供持续、稳定的技术支持。</p>\n<p>收购浙江浩瀚能源科技营销公司30%股权。浩瀚能源主要从事汽车充电设施及技术的研发，提供汽车充电服务以及经营汽车充电网点及网络，侧重于不同情况下充电服务开发，包括家庭、路途及移动救援。</p>\n<p>认购吉利控股全资浙江吉创旗下宁波威睿51%股权。宁波威睿从事研发、生产及销售动力总成和电池电驱系统及相关部件以及提供售后服务。极氪控股将从其持续稳定的电动力总成和电池电驱系统供应中受益。</p>\n<p>在吉利集团倾注如此多资源后，极氪已经成为一次必须成功的豪赌。</p>\n<p>/ 03 /极氪能够成为吉利发展的转折点吗？</p>\n<p>在燃油车时代，吉利就是自主品牌车企三强之一，并从2016年开始领跑销量榜。</p>\n<p>相较于长城制霸SUV、长安在面包车和SUV领域强势领先，吉利的发展更为均衡。轿车有帝豪系、远景系，SUV领域的博越、缤越，以及与沃尔沃合资的领克系，都有不错的表现，称得上是全面开花。</p>\n<p>从近年来财务数据看，吉利和长城基本处于同一水平，长城则稍逊。但在资本市场上，吉利受益于更为全面的产品体系以及领克的高端化步伐，更受市场认可。</p>\n<p>以2019年末市值计算，港股市场上长城汽车市值仅492亿港元，A股市场上市值达784亿元人民币，A股市场上长安汽车市值539亿元人民币，而吉利汽车港股市值则高达1450亿港元。</p>\n<p>虽然当时市场给与汽车企业的估值并不高，但吉利却是响当当的龙头，也算乐在其中，然而新能源汽车的到来改变了一切。</p>\n<p>从2020年至今，长城汽车A股市值增长6倍，港股市值反超吉利汽车，增长接近5倍；长安汽车市值增长1.6倍，而原本在国际市场上有更大资本优势的吉利汽车，市值仅增长约50%。</p>\n<p>其中的缘由无需解释，新能源汽车的发展已经彻底改变了车企的估值逻辑。正因如此，极氪的诞生对于吉利才更加重要。</p>\n<p>当下，无人驾驶和汽车智能生态的故事仍遥不可及，而新能源汽车的发展仍属于初期阶段，只有新能源汽车实打实的销量才是一切的基础。</p>\n<p>一旦极氪001实现突破，吉利汽车就会补上电动汽车品牌这块短板。这就好像打通了任督二脉，吉利的智能汽车生态布局才能发挥价值。考虑到在传统燃油车市场上更为完善的产品及品牌体系，以及如今已经彻底打通的吉利-沃尔沃研发技术体系，吉利汽车或将迎来资本市场重新审视。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b7d68899e2fe405a86b798d55e525c1\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>来源：吉利官网</p>\n<p>极氪的意义，正在于此。对于吉利来说，这个品牌不只是第二个蓝色吉利行动的具体展现，而是吉利面向爆发的新能源汽车革命在起步落后时的战略冲刺。</p>\n<p>对于整个集团发展而言，极氪或将成为吉利汽车的一个重要转折点。如果极氪实现突破，那么也就意味着吉利汽车在新能源汽车战略上有了成功的基础，对于求上市的极星、沃尔沃和吉利汽车本体来说，都将是一个极大的拉动。</p>\n<p>当然，这一切的基础，还在于极氪能否取得成功。对于吉利汽车来说，机遇和挑战并存。随着极氪在本月下旬开始交付，一切即将验证。</p>","source":"lsy1634265259621","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>重注极氪，李书福的一次豪赌</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n重注极氪，李书福的一次豪赌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-18 23:14 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwMjU5Njk5NA==&tempkey=MTEzNV8rVzZxVjdEZUtmcXN2SHFjXzBnejQ3b0gzSzY1WlBfTEF5Yl9VQlZ3VXZLM2ZSb2Fxa185WXpwZ2I5X2NNaFNJdkVNd1hCelRMOGU2RG9TcmZrQ1RrTXVwRHh1NzFsc0Y5bGlZSHFUaEo1TGhqR1ZDbE5McU95VE1oMUxMUlU1YjZJSGROU2dzalZHNmFUZE5jN1hyOFFyT0VnTVkzU2lCcWsyNmJBfn4%3D&chksm=16dd7dc721aaf4d1fce7f7ee3ad5d695eba08583b8be051ebdb29f640ceb944f1c77207cd9e3&mpshare=1&scene=1&srcid=1018tMSOX64Tf4XeM9SOQf7e&sharer_sharetime=1634551469305&sharer_shareid=d5ea3e3cc940b891fd44bbdb246b62d0&key=&ascene=1&uin=&devicetype=Windows+10+x64&version=63030532&lang=zh_CN&wx_header=0&fontgear=2><strong>芯锂话</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>旧王已逝，新王当立。“碳中和”的大趋势下，新能源汽车迎来前所未有的大爆发。\n仅今年9月，特斯拉就交付56006辆电动车，再次刷新新能源汽车的交付纪录。乘着新能源东风，特斯拉取代丰田成为全球市值最高的车企。\n聚焦国内，第一批布局新能源汽车的比亚迪的市值已经跃居行业第一；三家造车新势力产能释放，成为资本新贵；专注于SUV的长城汽车，凭借在新能源汽车领域的布局，估值已经突破5000亿大关。\n不难看出，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwMjU5Njk5NA==&tempkey=MTEzNV8rVzZxVjdEZUtmcXN2SHFjXzBnejQ3b0gzSzY1WlBfTEF5Yl9VQlZ3VXZLM2ZSb2Fxa185WXpwZ2I5X2NNaFNJdkVNd1hCelRMOGU2RG9TcmZrQ1RrTXVwRHh1NzFsc0Y5bGlZSHFUaEo1TGhqR1ZDbE5McU95VE1oMUxMUlU1YjZJSGROU2dzalZHNmFUZE5jN1hyOFFyT0VnTVkzU2lCcWsyNmJBfn4%3D&chksm=16dd7dc721aaf4d1fce7f7ee3ad5d695eba08583b8be051ebdb29f640ceb944f1c77207cd9e3&mpshare=1&scene=1&srcid=1018tMSOX64Tf4XeM9SOQf7e&sharer_sharetime=1634551469305&sharer_shareid=d5ea3e3cc940b891fd44bbdb246b62d0&key=&ascene=1&uin=&devicetype=Windows+10+x64&version=63030532&lang=zh_CN&wx_header=0&fontgear=2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b7d68899e2fe405a86b798d55e525c1","relate_stocks":{"00175":"吉利汽车"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwMjU5Njk5NA==&tempkey=MTEzNV8rVzZxVjdEZUtmcXN2SHFjXzBnejQ3b0gzSzY1WlBfTEF5Yl9VQlZ3VXZLM2ZSb2Fxa185WXpwZ2I5X2NNaFNJdkVNd1hCelRMOGU2RG9TcmZrQ1RrTXVwRHh1NzFsc0Y5bGlZSHFUaEo1TGhqR1ZDbE5McU95VE1oMUxMUlU1YjZJSGROU2dzalZHNmFUZE5jN1hyOFFyT0VnTVkzU2lCcWsyNmJBfn4%3D&chksm=16dd7dc721aaf4d1fce7f7ee3ad5d695eba08583b8be051ebdb29f640ceb944f1c77207cd9e3&mpshare=1&scene=1&srcid=1018tMSOX64Tf4XeM9SOQf7e&sharer_sharetime=1634551469305&sharer_shareid=d5ea3e3cc940b891fd44bbdb246b62d0&key=&ascene=1&uin=&devicetype=Windows+10+x64&version=63030532&lang=zh_CN&wx_header=0&fontgear=2","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127433517","content_text":"旧王已逝，新王当立。“碳中和”的大趋势下，新能源汽车迎来前所未有的大爆发。\n仅今年9月，特斯拉就交付56006辆电动车，再次刷新新能源汽车的交付纪录。乘着新能源东风，特斯拉取代丰田成为全球市值最高的车企。\n聚焦国内，第一批布局新能源汽车的比亚迪的市值已经跃居行业第一；三家造车新势力产能释放，成为资本新贵；专注于SUV的长城汽车，凭借在新能源汽车领域的布局，估值已经突破5000亿大关。\n不难看出，市值排名靠前的车企都是在新能源领域有所作为的公司。与之相对，燃油车时代的自主品牌王者吉利却几乎在新能源汽车市场上没有了声量，股价走势自然不温不火。\n纵览国内新能源汽车8月新车销量排行榜，吉利旗下的帝豪纯电车型排在20名开外，枫叶80V、几何A和几何C均徘徊于50名附近，表现远逊于小鹏、零跑等造车新势力，更不及比亚迪、长城、长安等传统车企。\n\n与吉利在燃油车时代的“江湖地位”相比，如今新能源风口下的吉利市值并不能让投资者满意，市场中更有“极端”观点认为，在新能源汽车进程中吉利已经“掉队”了。\n如此被动的局面下，吉利急需一场蜕变，而这一重任被李书福交到了极氪肩上。\n即将交付的极氪或将成为吉利汽车的一个重要转折点。如果极氪实现突破，那么市场对于吉利的质疑自然烟消云散；而一旦极氪表现不如预期，那么吉利的处境可能会更糟。\n随着极氪逐渐交付，命运轮盘已经开始转动，李书福的豪赌能否成功，一切即将验证。\n/ 01 /李书福躬身“造梦”\n在新能源汽车布局上，吉利起了个大早，赶了个晚集。\n早在2015年11月18日，吉利就正式发布了代号“蓝色吉利行动”的新能源战略，提出到2020年新能源汽车销量占吉利整体销量90%以上等五大目标，同时推出了吉利旗下首款纯电车型帝豪EV。\n新能源销量占比超过九成，第一个蓝色吉利行动是如此激进，但最终交出的答卷却无比苍白。整个2020年，吉利新能源汽车销量为68142辆，仅占总销量的5.2%，显然第一个“蓝色吉利行动”并没有如愿达成。\n\n来源：吉利汽车公告\n尽管销量与预期差距如此之大，但李书福却坚定“既有方针”不动摇，坚称：“这不是战略方向错误，也不是战略执行失败，而是历史时机没有成熟，外部战略条件没有形成”。基于此，李书福强调吉利始终必须坚持战略稳健原则，在进可攻退可守的战略框架下实现战略主动。\n确实如此，在2020年之前，国内新能源汽车市场很不成熟，PPT造车屡见不鲜，随着国家补贴降温，跟风资本开始退潮，无数新能源汽车品牌就此消失。\n但李书福说得又不完全正确，大浪淘沙之后，剩余的新能源车企真正的吃到了行业红利，新能源汽车销量更是从2019年开始全面爆发。在如此红火的形势下，采取稳健原则的吉利略显被动。\n尤其在新能源汽车市场已经明显爆发后，吉利的布局却依然保守的让人直呼“看不懂”。\n首先，新能源汽车并未进行品牌切割独立，依然归在燃油车品牌之下，这决定了吉利新能源很难做出声量；其次，几何系列从开始就战略定位不清，以高端作为宣传卖点，却在10-20万“纯电荒漠”厮杀，更未借助旗下共享出行平台拉动销量；最后，极星各方面平平，品牌小众，加之国内推广力度和产品问题，目前销量惨淡。\n与保守的战略相比，吉利规划的智能电动生态体系布局倒是相当宏大。一方面和百度、富士康以及贾跃亭的FF达成技术支持和工程服务领域展开合作，释放硬件制造优势；另一方面，成立亿咖通，在车载系统、智能座舱、车载芯片等领域深入布局；旗下更有曹操出行等共享出行平台，甚至还布局无人机、飞行汽车、卫星商业化。\n\n然而，即使吉利的这些布局再宏大，但如果缺少核心新能源汽车的基础，那么就相当于始终缺少一个足以奠定局面的核心，整个生态系统也自然难以落地。\n正是为了彻底解决这个问题，擅长后发制胜的李书福，选择扶持独立于领克的极氪，并由李书福亲自出任董事长，开始躬身入局“造梦”。\n/ 02 /极氪：一场必须成功的豪赌\n汽车革命相当于一场马拉松，新能源汽车想要彻底取代传统汽车，势必会是一个漫长的过程。车企如何赢得这场马拉松呢？那就是构造可持续发展的能力——品牌。\n对汽车来说，品牌的调性极为重要。纵观吉利旗下的所有布局，燃油车旗下混动和纯电车型、混乱的几何、沦为边缘的枫叶，都没有冠军相。剩下的极星，受制于沃尔沃自身的小众，已注定并非走量车型，且还有众多问题要解决。\n\n因此，在充分整合吉利前期布局和孵化的智能化和电动化技术后，脱胎于领克的极氪将成为支撑起吉利汽车生态的关键一环。\n从集团组织架构的调整中，我们就能够窥探到吉利集团对极氪的重视程度。极氪智能科技控股有限公司，由吉利上市公司主体和吉利控股联合创立，分别持有51%和49%股份。也即是说，极氪属于上市公司体系一级子公司，这一级别远高于吉利此前所有新能源汽车品牌。\n此外，极氪由吉利控股集团董事长李书福亲自挂帅，出任董事长，其中的意味不言自明。\n从现有情况看，极氪确实具有成功的巨大潜力。首先，极氪001脱胎于领克Zero，而领克在过去几年间虽未爆火，但也在市场上形成了较强的品牌认知，这也为极氪的开局奠定了一定优势。\n其次，极氪001定价28.1万-36万，属于高端纯电品牌，这一细分市场已经被特斯拉和蔚来等品牌验证。最后，依托于吉利和沃尔沃两大汽车集团，极氪有着强大的技术储备和资本优势。\n\n在成立极氪控股后，吉利便开始将自身在智能化和电动化领域的布局，整合至极氪体系下：\n收购CEVT（China-Euro Vehicle Technology AB）100%股权，CEVT拥有开发新能源汽车的完备研发系统，包括但不限于智能电动汽车造型设计、软件系统开发、硬件模块开发、智能电动汽车的虚拟仿真技术以及提供移动出行技术解决方案，能够大大加速极氪品牌汽车更新迭代速度，并为产品研发提供持续、稳定的技术支持。\n收购浙江浩瀚能源科技营销公司30%股权。浩瀚能源主要从事汽车充电设施及技术的研发，提供汽车充电服务以及经营汽车充电网点及网络，侧重于不同情况下充电服务开发，包括家庭、路途及移动救援。\n认购吉利控股全资浙江吉创旗下宁波威睿51%股权。宁波威睿从事研发、生产及销售动力总成和电池电驱系统及相关部件以及提供售后服务。极氪控股将从其持续稳定的电动力总成和电池电驱系统供应中受益。\n在吉利集团倾注如此多资源后，极氪已经成为一次必须成功的豪赌。\n/ 03 /极氪能够成为吉利发展的转折点吗？\n在燃油车时代，吉利就是自主品牌车企三强之一，并从2016年开始领跑销量榜。\n相较于长城制霸SUV、长安在面包车和SUV领域强势领先，吉利的发展更为均衡。轿车有帝豪系、远景系，SUV领域的博越、缤越，以及与沃尔沃合资的领克系，都有不错的表现，称得上是全面开花。\n从近年来财务数据看，吉利和长城基本处于同一水平，长城则稍逊。但在资本市场上，吉利受益于更为全面的产品体系以及领克的高端化步伐，更受市场认可。\n以2019年末市值计算，港股市场上长城汽车市值仅492亿港元，A股市场上市值达784亿元人民币，A股市场上长安汽车市值539亿元人民币，而吉利汽车港股市值则高达1450亿港元。\n虽然当时市场给与汽车企业的估值并不高，但吉利却是响当当的龙头，也算乐在其中，然而新能源汽车的到来改变了一切。\n从2020年至今，长城汽车A股市值增长6倍，港股市值反超吉利汽车，增长接近5倍；长安汽车市值增长1.6倍，而原本在国际市场上有更大资本优势的吉利汽车，市值仅增长约50%。\n其中的缘由无需解释，新能源汽车的发展已经彻底改变了车企的估值逻辑。正因如此，极氪的诞生对于吉利才更加重要。\n当下，无人驾驶和汽车智能生态的故事仍遥不可及，而新能源汽车的发展仍属于初期阶段，只有新能源汽车实打实的销量才是一切的基础。\n一旦极氪001实现突破，吉利汽车就会补上电动汽车品牌这块短板。这就好像打通了任督二脉，吉利的智能汽车生态布局才能发挥价值。考虑到在传统燃油车市场上更为完善的产品及品牌体系，以及如今已经彻底打通的吉利-沃尔沃研发技术体系，吉利汽车或将迎来资本市场重新审视。\n\n来源：吉利官网\n极氪的意义，正在于此。对于吉利来说，这个品牌不只是第二个蓝色吉利行动的具体展现，而是吉利面向爆发的新能源汽车革命在起步落后时的战略冲刺。\n对于整个集团发展而言，极氪或将成为吉利汽车的一个重要转折点。如果极氪实现突破，那么也就意味着吉利汽车在新能源汽车战略上有了成功的基础，对于求上市的极星、沃尔沃和吉利汽车本体来说，都将是一个极大的拉动。\n当然，这一切的基础，还在于极氪能否取得成功。对于吉利汽车来说，机遇和挑战并存。随着极氪在本月下旬开始交付，一切即将验证。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":705,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861614813,"gmtCreate":1632491627832,"gmtModify":1632717561422,"author":{"id":"3559760425280540","authorId":"3559760425280540","name":"ericchan43","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4abb0e029e47d236a14f82fa25247afa","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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