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ritchie

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2021-06-24

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Tesla: A Lesson In Humility

2021-06-21

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Blockchain stocks dipped in premarket trading

2021-06-25

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2021-06-24

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2021-06-24

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Tesla lifts Nasdaq to record-high close, S&P 500 dips

2021-06-24

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This Bull Is Far From Over: 3 Undervalued Blue Chip Dividend Buys

2021-06-18

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2021-06-18

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2021-12-03

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2021-06-24

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Forget Crypto: These Supercharged Stocks Can Make You Rich

2021-06-16

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Here's a complete trader playbook for every outcome from the key Fed meeting

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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks rallied in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-02 17:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks rallied in premarket trading.Tesla,Rivian,Nio,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Arrival,Nikola,Canoo&nbsp;and&nbsp;Sono&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 3%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/797bd31f32b8eff4cb35c37dec996010\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"658\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","LI":"理想汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","NKLA":"Nikola Corporation","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来","FSR":"菲斯克","GOEV":"Canoo Inc.","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103115640","content_text":"EV stocks rallied in premarket trading.Tesla,Rivian,Nio,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Arrival,Nikola,Canoo and Sono climbed between 1% and 3%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1026,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":126817959,"gmtCreate":1624550892271,"gmtModify":1631888742566,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559442218430793","idStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126817959","repostId":"1180709423","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180709423","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624520262,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180709423?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 15:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jim Simons' Success Story: Net Worth, Education, and Top Quotes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180709423","media":"Investopedia","summary":"James Harris Simons, or Jim Simons, is known as the \"Quant King\" and one of the greatest investors o","content":"<p>James Harris Simons, or Jim Simons, is known as the \"Quant King\" and one of the greatest investors of all time, after having started one of the most successfulquant fundsin the world, Renaissance Technologies (“Rentech”). Simons founded Rentech in 1982 at just 44 years old. He served as the chair and CEO until 2010 when he retired from his role. He still remains as a non-executive chair.</p>\n<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Jim Simons is known as one of the greatest investors of all time, due to the long-term returns of his quant fund Renaissance Technologies and its flagship Medallion Fund.</li>\n <li>Simons served as CEO and chair of Renaissance Technologies from its founding in 1982 until 2010 when he stepped down.&nbsp;Prior to a career in finance, Simons was also a successful mathematician and taught at MIT, Harvard, as well as served as the chair of the mathematics department at Stony Brook University.</li>\n <li>As of 2021,<i>Forbes</i>estimated Jim Simons' net worth at $23.5 billion, making him the 23rd richest person in the United States.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Early Life and Education</b></p>\n<p>Jim Simons was born in 1938 in Brookline, Mass., and discovered his love for mathematics at an early age. At the age of 14, Simons worked at a garden supply store as a floor sweeper after being demoted from a stock boy position due to his lack of memory of inventory location. However, Simons was astute and had the ambitious plan of becoming a mathematician at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).</p>\n<p>In 1955, Simons was accepted into MIT and majored in mathematics. Upon graduating, Simons studied at the University of California at Berkeley for his doctorate in mathematics. His thesis focused on providing supporting proof of&nbsp;Berger's&nbsp;classification of the&nbsp;holonomy&nbsp;groups of&nbsp;Riemannian manifolds, and after just one year, he received his doctorate at the age of 23 in 1961.</p>\n<p>Later, Simons worked on important mathematical theories, including the Chern-Simons form, which later played a role in topological quantum field theory. He had an early and successful career in mathematics, winning multiple awards, and later was inducted into the U.S. National Academy of Sciences.1</p>\n<p>In 1964, Simons was recruited by The Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA), where he played a key role to break codes during the Vietnam War. Simons left IDA after four years and went on to teach mathematics at MIT and Harvard University.</p>\n<p>Eventually, he was appointed to become the chair of the mathematics department at Stony Brook University, where he helped develop the mathematics and physics programs while still being sought after by companies such as IBM for his consulting work. It wasn't until 1978 that he started delving into finance.</p>\n<p><b>Investment Philosophy &amp; Success Story</b></p>\n<p>Despite already having successful careers as a prize-winning mathematician and a master code breaker for the IDA, Jim Simons decided to pursue a career in finance. In 1978, the mathematician started the hedge fund Monemetrics, which was the predecessor to the highly successful Renaissance Technologies.</p>\n<p>Simons didn't think to apply mathematics to his hedge fund at first; however, over time, he realized he could use mathematical andstatisticalmodels to interpret data by looking for non-random movements in financial data to predict future returns.</p>\n<p>By 1988, Simons decided to solely usequantitative analysisto decide which trades to enter. Simons only sought experts in mathematics, data analysis, and many other scientific-related fields to work with him at the fund. The Quant King filled the fund with programmers, mathematicians, physicists, and cryptographers. The company thrived due to the complex mathematical formulas these scientists developed.</p>\n<p>Since its inception, Renaissance Technologies' flagship fund, the Medallion hedge fund, has generated over $100 billion in trading profits with an average annual return of 71.8% before fees between 1994 and mid-2014.2 Unfortunately, the Medallion fund is only available for its employees and family members.</p>\n<blockquote>\n $165 billion,&nbsp;Renaissance Technologies' assets under management as of 2020.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Current Net Worth and Influence</b></p>\n<p>Jim Simons ranked 23rd on<i>Forbes</i>' wealthiest Americans list in 2020, with an estimated $23.5 billionnet worth. The Quant King also ranks first on the Forbes 2019 list of highest-earning hedge fund managers.3</p>\n<p>Simons has a great deal of influence in the scientific world and co-founded the Simons Foundation with his wife, Marilyn Simons, in 1994. The Simons Foundation is devoted to supporting scientific research, education, and health. Simons has contributed over $2.7 billion of his wealth to this cause as well as to support autism research.</p>\n<p>Additionally, Simons founded Math for America, which aims to encourage mathematics and science teachers to remain in their roles and advance their teaching abilities.</p>\n<p><b>Jim Simons Quotes</b></p>\n<p>Jim Simons is a big advocate of idea sharing and hiring the brightest people from various science-related fields. However, Simons frequently avoids the spotlight and doesn't give many interviews. The following quotes give just a sliver of insight into how he's managed and built Rentech.</p>\n<p>\"Great people. Great infrastructure. Open environment. Get everyone compensated roughly based on the overall performance...That made a lot of money.\"</p>\n<p>“We search through historical data looking for anomalous patterns that we would not expect to occur at random.”</p>\n<p>\"Past performance is the best predictor of success.\"</p>\n<p>\"We have three criteria: If it's publicly traded, liquid, and amenable to modeling, we trade it.\"</p>\n<p>\"Efficient market theory is correct in that there are no gross inefficiencies. But we look at anomalies that may be small in size and brief in time. We make our forecast. Then, shortly thereafter, we re-evaluate the situation and revise our forecast and our portfolio. We do this all day long. We're always in and out and out and in. So we're dependent on activity to make money.\"</p>\n<p>\"I disparage some for whom model-making was a part-time hobby,\" Simons once said as part of a speech at MIT in 2011. Simons made the remark when speaking about those who thought model-making was not useful in the real world.</p>\n<p><b>Jim Simons FAQs</b></p>\n<p>Is Jim Simons the Most Successful Investor of All Time?</p>\n<p>Jim Simons is the richest hedge fund manager and has been called the world's greatest investor by the<i>Wall Street Journal</i>. Although success is subjective, other investors such as Warren Buffett are considered amongthe world's greatest investors.</p>\n<p>What Is Jim Simons' Strategy?</p>\n<p>Jim Simons exclusively uses quantitative analysis to decide which trades to enter, based on market inefficiencies.</p>\n<p>Can I Invest in the Medallion Fund?</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, the Medallion fund is closed to outside investors and is only available to current and past employees of Renaissance Technologies.</p>\n<p>Who Is the Richest Hedge Fund Manager?</p>\n<p>According to<i>Forbes</i>, Jim Simons is the richest hedge fund manager in America.4</p>\n<p>How Much Do the Top Hedge Fund Managers Make?</p>\n<p>According to the latest data from<i>Forbes</i>, the top 10 hedge fund managers make well over $500 million a year, all the way up to $1 billion. Jim Simons is currently the richest hedge fund manager and made $1.6 billion in 2017.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>An unlikely mathematician turned Wall Street on its head back in 1982. Since then, Jim Simons and his Renaissance Technologies quant fund have left a legacy that will forever change the world of finance. The numbers are hard to argue with after logging the Medallion Fund's skyrocketing returns.</p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jim Simons' Success Story: Net Worth, Education, and Top Quotes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJim Simons' Success Story: Net Worth, Education, and Top Quotes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 15:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/030516/jim-simons-success-story-net-worth-education-top-quotes.asp><strong>Investopedia</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>James Harris Simons, or Jim Simons, is known as the \"Quant King\" and one of the greatest investors of all time, after having started one of the most successfulquant fundsin the world, Renaissance ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/030516/jim-simons-success-story-net-worth-education-top-quotes.asp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/030516/jim-simons-success-story-net-worth-education-top-quotes.asp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180709423","content_text":"James Harris Simons, or Jim Simons, is known as the \"Quant King\" and one of the greatest investors of all time, after having started one of the most successfulquant fundsin the world, Renaissance Technologies (“Rentech”). Simons founded Rentech in 1982 at just 44 years old. He served as the chair and CEO until 2010 when he retired from his role. He still remains as a non-executive chair.\nKEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nJim Simons is known as one of the greatest investors of all time, due to the long-term returns of his quant fund Renaissance Technologies and its flagship Medallion Fund.\nSimons served as CEO and chair of Renaissance Technologies from its founding in 1982 until 2010 when he stepped down. Prior to a career in finance, Simons was also a successful mathematician and taught at MIT, Harvard, as well as served as the chair of the mathematics department at Stony Brook University.\nAs of 2021,Forbesestimated Jim Simons' net worth at $23.5 billion, making him the 23rd richest person in the United States.\n\nEarly Life and Education\nJim Simons was born in 1938 in Brookline, Mass., and discovered his love for mathematics at an early age. At the age of 14, Simons worked at a garden supply store as a floor sweeper after being demoted from a stock boy position due to his lack of memory of inventory location. However, Simons was astute and had the ambitious plan of becoming a mathematician at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).\nIn 1955, Simons was accepted into MIT and majored in mathematics. Upon graduating, Simons studied at the University of California at Berkeley for his doctorate in mathematics. His thesis focused on providing supporting proof of Berger's classification of the holonomy groups of Riemannian manifolds, and after just one year, he received his doctorate at the age of 23 in 1961.\nLater, Simons worked on important mathematical theories, including the Chern-Simons form, which later played a role in topological quantum field theory. He had an early and successful career in mathematics, winning multiple awards, and later was inducted into the U.S. National Academy of Sciences.1\nIn 1964, Simons was recruited by The Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA), where he played a key role to break codes during the Vietnam War. Simons left IDA after four years and went on to teach mathematics at MIT and Harvard University.\nEventually, he was appointed to become the chair of the mathematics department at Stony Brook University, where he helped develop the mathematics and physics programs while still being sought after by companies such as IBM for his consulting work. It wasn't until 1978 that he started delving into finance.\nInvestment Philosophy & Success Story\nDespite already having successful careers as a prize-winning mathematician and a master code breaker for the IDA, Jim Simons decided to pursue a career in finance. In 1978, the mathematician started the hedge fund Monemetrics, which was the predecessor to the highly successful Renaissance Technologies.\nSimons didn't think to apply mathematics to his hedge fund at first; however, over time, he realized he could use mathematical andstatisticalmodels to interpret data by looking for non-random movements in financial data to predict future returns.\nBy 1988, Simons decided to solely usequantitative analysisto decide which trades to enter. Simons only sought experts in mathematics, data analysis, and many other scientific-related fields to work with him at the fund. The Quant King filled the fund with programmers, mathematicians, physicists, and cryptographers. The company thrived due to the complex mathematical formulas these scientists developed.\nSince its inception, Renaissance Technologies' flagship fund, the Medallion hedge fund, has generated over $100 billion in trading profits with an average annual return of 71.8% before fees between 1994 and mid-2014.2 Unfortunately, the Medallion fund is only available for its employees and family members.\n\n $165 billion, Renaissance Technologies' assets under management as of 2020.\n\nCurrent Net Worth and Influence\nJim Simons ranked 23rd onForbes' wealthiest Americans list in 2020, with an estimated $23.5 billionnet worth. The Quant King also ranks first on the Forbes 2019 list of highest-earning hedge fund managers.3\nSimons has a great deal of influence in the scientific world and co-founded the Simons Foundation with his wife, Marilyn Simons, in 1994. The Simons Foundation is devoted to supporting scientific research, education, and health. Simons has contributed over $2.7 billion of his wealth to this cause as well as to support autism research.\nAdditionally, Simons founded Math for America, which aims to encourage mathematics and science teachers to remain in their roles and advance their teaching abilities.\nJim Simons Quotes\nJim Simons is a big advocate of idea sharing and hiring the brightest people from various science-related fields. However, Simons frequently avoids the spotlight and doesn't give many interviews. The following quotes give just a sliver of insight into how he's managed and built Rentech.\n\"Great people. Great infrastructure. Open environment. Get everyone compensated roughly based on the overall performance...That made a lot of money.\"\n“We search through historical data looking for anomalous patterns that we would not expect to occur at random.”\n\"Past performance is the best predictor of success.\"\n\"We have three criteria: If it's publicly traded, liquid, and amenable to modeling, we trade it.\"\n\"Efficient market theory is correct in that there are no gross inefficiencies. But we look at anomalies that may be small in size and brief in time. We make our forecast. Then, shortly thereafter, we re-evaluate the situation and revise our forecast and our portfolio. We do this all day long. We're always in and out and out and in. So we're dependent on activity to make money.\"\n\"I disparage some for whom model-making was a part-time hobby,\" Simons once said as part of a speech at MIT in 2011. Simons made the remark when speaking about those who thought model-making was not useful in the real world.\nJim Simons FAQs\nIs Jim Simons the Most Successful Investor of All Time?\nJim Simons is the richest hedge fund manager and has been called the world's greatest investor by theWall Street Journal. Although success is subjective, other investors such as Warren Buffett are considered amongthe world's greatest investors.\nWhat Is Jim Simons' Strategy?\nJim Simons exclusively uses quantitative analysis to decide which trades to enter, based on market inefficiencies.\nCan I Invest in the Medallion Fund?\nUnfortunately, the Medallion fund is closed to outside investors and is only available to current and past employees of Renaissance Technologies.\nWho Is the Richest Hedge Fund Manager?\nAccording toForbes, Jim Simons is the richest hedge fund manager in America.4\nHow Much Do the Top Hedge Fund Managers Make?\nAccording to the latest data fromForbes, the top 10 hedge fund managers make well over $500 million a year, all the way up to $1 billion. Jim Simons is currently the richest hedge fund manager and made $1.6 billion in 2017.\nThe Bottom Line\nAn unlikely mathematician turned Wall Street on its head back in 1982. Since then, Jim Simons and his Renaissance Technologies quant fund have left a legacy that will forever change the world of finance. The numbers are hard to argue with after logging the Medallion Fund's skyrocketing returns.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":888,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128246725,"gmtCreate":1624521094867,"gmtModify":1631888742570,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559442218430793","idStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"[得意]&nbsp;","text":"[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128246725","repostId":"2145531099","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145531099","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624445171,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145531099?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 18:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Crypto: These Supercharged Stocks Can Make You Rich","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145531099","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The cryptocurrency bubble will inevitably burst. That's why these hypergrowth stocks make for such smart buys.","content":"<p>The stock market has long been the preferred creator of wealth. Although other investment vehicles, such as bonds or gold, have had superior performances for short stretches of time, no asset class has delivered better average annual returns than stocks over the long run.</p>\n<p>However, the emergence of cryptocurrencies is changing this mode of thinking. After watching <b>Bitcoin</b> (CRYPTO:BTC) rise from $1 to $40,000 in a little over a decade, and seeing <b>Dogecoin</b> (CRYPTO:DOGE) gallop higher by 27,000% in a six-month span, investors are feeling compelled to chase the momentum in the crypto space.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, this could prove to be a huge mistake.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e84aa34310d37f1ab30212f9dcf1bf0d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>The cryptocurrency bubble is eventually going to burst</h2>\n<p>While there's no denying that cryptocurrency has delivered some game-changing returns, most of this upside has been built on unsubstantiated hype. In other words, some folks view tokens like Bitcoin and Dogecoin as the future global currencies, but virtually nothing has suggested that this will come to fruition.</p>\n<p>The reality is that digital currencies are virtually useless outside of a cryptocurrency exchange. Bitcoin has been stuck handling 250,000 to 300,000 transactions daily for years, while Dogecoin has been averaging closer to 30,000 daily transactions of late. For comparison's sake, payment-processing giants <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a></b>&nbsp;and <b>Mastercard</b>&nbsp;handled 700 million transactions daily on a combined basis in 2018.</p>\n<p>To build on this point, Fundera estimated earlier this year that only around 15,200 businesses worldwide accepted Bitcoin. Meanwhile, online business directory Cryptwerk finds that Dogecoin is accepted by 1,400 companies. For context, there are more than 32 million businesses in the U.S., and an estimated 582 million entrepreneurs worldwide. There simply isn't the broad-based adoption that's being hyped by cryptocurrency supporters.</p>\n<p>At the same time, blockchain technology is caught in a Catch-22. Blockchain being the transparent and immutable underlying ledger of digital currencies that logs transactions. No business is willing to abandon time-tested infrastructure in favor of blockchain until it's demonstrated that blockchain can be scaled in the real world. At the same time, there won't be any evidence that blockchain is revolutionary if no businesses are willing to be an early stage guinea pig, so to speak.</p>\n<p>History unequivocally shows that all bubbles eventually burst, without exception. That's the fate awaiting cryptocurrencies.</p>\n<h2>Dump digital currencies in favor of this fast-growing trio</h2>\n<p>Rather than put your money to work in an asset class that's being driven by hype and emotion, my suggestion would be to buy the following trio of supercharged stocks. If you buy stakes in innovative businesses whose products and services have growing real-world application, and you hold these stakes for long periods of time, you'll very likely get rich.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16ca48e46c5ed915bdfaeb115d44e553\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>Etsy</h2>\n<p>To begin with, e-commerce platform <b>Etsy</b> (NASDAQ:ETSY) will have long-term investors forgetting all about the volatility and hype associated with digital currencies.</p>\n<p>To state the obvious, Etsy was a clear winner of the coronavirus pandemic. With people stuck in their homes, many turned online to buy basic-need and discretionary goods. For Etsy, this included a healthy uptick in sales from facial coverings. But the Etsy platform has <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> key advantage that not even <b>Amazon</b>&nbsp;looks to be a threat to: personalization.</p>\n<p>Etsy's platform is built on the idea of putting customers in contact with small merchants who can, if needed, customize their order. Etsy's collection of merchants focuses on personal engagement and uniqueness that shoppers simply won't find on bigger e-commerce platforms. The proof is in the pudding that Etsy's platform is resonating with shoppers. Habitual buyer spending -- those who purchased at least six separate times totaling more than $200, in aggregate, over the trailing year -- has been rocketing higher. Habitual buyers spent 205% more in the first quarter of 2021 than they did in the prior-year quarter.</p>\n<p>Since Etsy generates the bulk of its revenue from merchant ads, the company has also been aggressively reinvesting in its platform to streamline searches and keep users engaged. Last year, it introduced listing videos to promote products, and it's been giving its smaller merchants greater access to analytic tools.</p>\n<p>It's not out of the question that Etsy triples its annual revenue by mid-decade.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95488cfb7d1265a9ff2f104768cae97b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"464\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>Sea Limited</h2>\n<p>Another supercharged growth stock that can make investors rich is Singapore-based <b>Sea Limited</b> (NYSE:SE). Even though Sea is far from inexpensive, the premium you'd be paying takes into account that it has three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments.</p>\n<p>For the time being, Sea is generating virtually all of its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) from its gaming division. Similar to online shopping, gaming benefited notably from people being stuck in their homes. Since Sea's mobile games target global audiences, and the pandemic is nowhere near over in many parts of the world, demand for gaming entertainment will likely remain robust. Over the past year (through the end of March), quarterly active paying users grew by 124%, with 12.3% of the company's total gamers now paying to play.</p>\n<p>Over the long run, Sea's crown jewel should be its e-commerce platform Shopee, which is consistently the most-popular shopping download in Southeastern Asia, and is gaining significant traction in Brazil. With a focus on emerging markets and regions where the middle class is growing at an incredible rate, Shopee saw gross orders jump 153% in the first quarter, with the gross merchandise value of these orders doubling to $12.6 billion. This is just the tip of the iceberg.</p>\n<p>Lastly, Sea's digital financial services division is bringing mobile wallet services to underbanked regions. Mobile wallet payment volume is on pace to potentially surpass $14 billion in 2021, with more than 26 million paying customers in Q1.</p>\n<p>If all goes well, Sea Limited's revenue could possibly quintuple over the next four years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68ecb34d6e4fd6f7dc599908229a09a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>CrowdStrike Holdings</h2>\n<p>Cybersecurity stock <b>CrowdStrike Holdings</b> (NASDAQ:CRWD) is a third supercharged growth company that can easily outpace the returns from the cryptocurrency industry over the long run.</p>\n<p>Cybersecurity might not be the fastest-growing industry over the next decade, but it could very well be the safest double-digit growth opportunity. With more businesses than ever shifting their data online and into the cloud due to the pandemic, the importance of protecting enterprise and consumer data is greater than ever before. In short, demand for third-party cybersecurity solutions providers is soaring.</p>\n<p>While there is no shortage of cybersecurity specialists to choose from, what sets CrowdStrike apart is its cloud-native Falcon platform. Being built in the cloud, and relying on artificial intelligence, Falcon oversees approximately 6 trillion events each week. This is to say that CrowdStrike's core platform is getting smarter at recognizing and responding to potential threats over time. And in many instances, CrowdStrike's solutions are more efficient and cost-effective than on-premises security options.</p>\n<p>It's plainly evident from the company's operating results that Falcon is resonating with enterprise customers. It's been able to retain 98% of its customers for two consecutive years, and existing clients have spent between 23% and 47% more on a year-over-year basis for 12 straight quarters. Arguably even more impressive is that 64% of customers have purchased four or more cloud-module subscriptions, which is up from 9% just four years ago. It's this rapid scaling from the company's enterprise clients that has CrowdStrike generating a subscription gross margin in the upper 70% range.</p>\n<p>Investors should expect CrowdStrike to grow by 30% or more on an annual basis through the midpoint of the decade.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Crypto: These Supercharged Stocks Can Make You Rich</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Crypto: These Supercharged Stocks Can Make You Rich\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 18:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/forget-crypto-supercharged-stocks-make-you-rich/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has long been the preferred creator of wealth. Although other investment vehicles, such as bonds or gold, have had superior performances for short stretches of time, no asset class ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/forget-crypto-supercharged-stocks-make-you-rich/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/forget-crypto-supercharged-stocks-make-you-rich/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145531099","content_text":"The stock market has long been the preferred creator of wealth. Although other investment vehicles, such as bonds or gold, have had superior performances for short stretches of time, no asset class has delivered better average annual returns than stocks over the long run.\nHowever, the emergence of cryptocurrencies is changing this mode of thinking. After watching Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) rise from $1 to $40,000 in a little over a decade, and seeing Dogecoin (CRYPTO:DOGE) gallop higher by 27,000% in a six-month span, investors are feeling compelled to chase the momentum in the crypto space.\nUnfortunately, this could prove to be a huge mistake.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nThe cryptocurrency bubble is eventually going to burst\nWhile there's no denying that cryptocurrency has delivered some game-changing returns, most of this upside has been built on unsubstantiated hype. In other words, some folks view tokens like Bitcoin and Dogecoin as the future global currencies, but virtually nothing has suggested that this will come to fruition.\nThe reality is that digital currencies are virtually useless outside of a cryptocurrency exchange. Bitcoin has been stuck handling 250,000 to 300,000 transactions daily for years, while Dogecoin has been averaging closer to 30,000 daily transactions of late. For comparison's sake, payment-processing giants Visa and Mastercard handled 700 million transactions daily on a combined basis in 2018.\nTo build on this point, Fundera estimated earlier this year that only around 15,200 businesses worldwide accepted Bitcoin. Meanwhile, online business directory Cryptwerk finds that Dogecoin is accepted by 1,400 companies. For context, there are more than 32 million businesses in the U.S., and an estimated 582 million entrepreneurs worldwide. There simply isn't the broad-based adoption that's being hyped by cryptocurrency supporters.\nAt the same time, blockchain technology is caught in a Catch-22. Blockchain being the transparent and immutable underlying ledger of digital currencies that logs transactions. No business is willing to abandon time-tested infrastructure in favor of blockchain until it's demonstrated that blockchain can be scaled in the real world. At the same time, there won't be any evidence that blockchain is revolutionary if no businesses are willing to be an early stage guinea pig, so to speak.\nHistory unequivocally shows that all bubbles eventually burst, without exception. That's the fate awaiting cryptocurrencies.\nDump digital currencies in favor of this fast-growing trio\nRather than put your money to work in an asset class that's being driven by hype and emotion, my suggestion would be to buy the following trio of supercharged stocks. If you buy stakes in innovative businesses whose products and services have growing real-world application, and you hold these stakes for long periods of time, you'll very likely get rich.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nEtsy\nTo begin with, e-commerce platform Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY) will have long-term investors forgetting all about the volatility and hype associated with digital currencies.\nTo state the obvious, Etsy was a clear winner of the coronavirus pandemic. With people stuck in their homes, many turned online to buy basic-need and discretionary goods. For Etsy, this included a healthy uptick in sales from facial coverings. But the Etsy platform has one key advantage that not even Amazon looks to be a threat to: personalization.\nEtsy's platform is built on the idea of putting customers in contact with small merchants who can, if needed, customize their order. Etsy's collection of merchants focuses on personal engagement and uniqueness that shoppers simply won't find on bigger e-commerce platforms. The proof is in the pudding that Etsy's platform is resonating with shoppers. Habitual buyer spending -- those who purchased at least six separate times totaling more than $200, in aggregate, over the trailing year -- has been rocketing higher. Habitual buyers spent 205% more in the first quarter of 2021 than they did in the prior-year quarter.\nSince Etsy generates the bulk of its revenue from merchant ads, the company has also been aggressively reinvesting in its platform to streamline searches and keep users engaged. Last year, it introduced listing videos to promote products, and it's been giving its smaller merchants greater access to analytic tools.\nIt's not out of the question that Etsy triples its annual revenue by mid-decade.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nSea Limited\nAnother supercharged growth stock that can make investors rich is Singapore-based Sea Limited (NYSE:SE). Even though Sea is far from inexpensive, the premium you'd be paying takes into account that it has three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments.\nFor the time being, Sea is generating virtually all of its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) from its gaming division. Similar to online shopping, gaming benefited notably from people being stuck in their homes. Since Sea's mobile games target global audiences, and the pandemic is nowhere near over in many parts of the world, demand for gaming entertainment will likely remain robust. Over the past year (through the end of March), quarterly active paying users grew by 124%, with 12.3% of the company's total gamers now paying to play.\nOver the long run, Sea's crown jewel should be its e-commerce platform Shopee, which is consistently the most-popular shopping download in Southeastern Asia, and is gaining significant traction in Brazil. With a focus on emerging markets and regions where the middle class is growing at an incredible rate, Shopee saw gross orders jump 153% in the first quarter, with the gross merchandise value of these orders doubling to $12.6 billion. This is just the tip of the iceberg.\nLastly, Sea's digital financial services division is bringing mobile wallet services to underbanked regions. Mobile wallet payment volume is on pace to potentially surpass $14 billion in 2021, with more than 26 million paying customers in Q1.\nIf all goes well, Sea Limited's revenue could possibly quintuple over the next four years.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nCrowdStrike Holdings\nCybersecurity stock CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD) is a third supercharged growth company that can easily outpace the returns from the cryptocurrency industry over the long run.\nCybersecurity might not be the fastest-growing industry over the next decade, but it could very well be the safest double-digit growth opportunity. With more businesses than ever shifting their data online and into the cloud due to the pandemic, the importance of protecting enterprise and consumer data is greater than ever before. In short, demand for third-party cybersecurity solutions providers is soaring.\nWhile there is no shortage of cybersecurity specialists to choose from, what sets CrowdStrike apart is its cloud-native Falcon platform. Being built in the cloud, and relying on artificial intelligence, Falcon oversees approximately 6 trillion events each week. This is to say that CrowdStrike's core platform is getting smarter at recognizing and responding to potential threats over time. And in many instances, CrowdStrike's solutions are more efficient and cost-effective than on-premises security options.\nIt's plainly evident from the company's operating results that Falcon is resonating with enterprise customers. It's been able to retain 98% of its customers for two consecutive years, and existing clients have spent between 23% and 47% more on a year-over-year basis for 12 straight quarters. Arguably even more impressive is that 64% of customers have purchased four or more cloud-module subscriptions, which is up from 9% just four years ago. It's this rapid scaling from the company's enterprise clients that has CrowdStrike generating a subscription gross margin in the upper 70% range.\nInvestors should expect CrowdStrike to grow by 30% or more on an annual basis through the midpoint of the decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":857,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128248996,"gmtCreate":1624521036815,"gmtModify":1631888742573,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559442218430793","idStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[摊手]&nbsp;","listText":"[摊手]&nbsp;","text":"[摊手]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128248996","repostId":"1198462718","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198462718","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624448358,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198462718?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 19:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why U.S. stocks face a tough decade ahead even if corporate revenues are strong","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198462718","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock market’s return will grow at the same rate as the U.S. economy.\n\nMight there be hope, after al","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Stock market’s return will grow at the same rate as the U.S. economy.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Might there be hope, after all, for the U.S. stock market’s return over the next decade? I ask as a follow up tomy column earlier this monthin which I concluded that even under optimistic assumptions, the S&amp;P 500SPX,+0.51%over the next 10 years is unlikely to produce an annualized total real return greater than the low single-digits.</p>\n<p>My argument was that the stock market will not be able to count on the three pillars that have propped it up over the past decade — increasing valuations, profit margins and more buybacks than new shares issued (net buybacks).</p>\n<p>Some readers responded that I had overlooked an escape hatch which would enable the market to produce decent returns: corporate revenues can grow faster than the overall U.S. economy. To the extent this is so, then the stock market does not need any of those three pillars to do well.</p>\n<p>This escape hatch appears to have solid evidence behind it. Consider a recent note to clients from Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist and head of quantitative research at Credit Suisse. He reported that, according to an econometric model he constructed based on S&amp;P 500 sales and GDP since 2000, “every 1% upside in nominal GDP drives 2½–3% improvement in revenues.”</p>\n<p>If so, this certainly would be good for stock investors. It would mean that even without increasing valuations, profit margins or net buybacks, the stock market could significantly outperform the overall economy.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, this argument is too good to be true. I analyzed S&amp;P 500 sales back to the early 1970s (courtesy of data from Ned Davis Research), and found almost a 1:1 correlation between sales growth and GDP growth.</p>\n<p>This is entirely what we should expect, according to Robert Arnott, chairman and founder of Research Affiliates. In an email, he said that “aggregate sales should offer a pretty clean 1:1 relationship to GDP. Any other ratio makes no sense on a sustained basis.”</p>\n<p>How then did Golub come up with such a different answer? My hunch is that it traces to how he measured sales. In an email, Golub’s colleague Manish Bangard, an equity strategist at Credit Suisse, explained that they focused on sales per share. But, as Arnott points out, this per-share number reflects the impact of net buybacks. So the high sales-to-GDP ratio that Golub reports is not a pure measure of how sales growth relates to GDP. (I did not receive a response to my requests for additional comment.)</p>\n<p><b>Investment implication</b></p>\n<p>The implication is that we should not expect the U.S. stock market over the next decade to grow faster than the economy. It may in fact grow much more slowly if P/E ratios or profit margins regress even partway to their historical mean, or if net buybacks turn out to be negative (as they’ve been for most of U.S. history).</p>\n<p>But even if P/E ratios and profit margins stay constant between now and 2031 and there are no net buybacks, the lesson of history is that the U.S. market will grow no faster than the economy.</p>\n<p>Consider what that means. TheCongressional Budget Office is projectingthat real GDP from 2022 through 2031 will grow at a 1.8% annualized rate. Even that may be optimistic, because the CBO projects no recession between now and then.</p>\n<p>The bottom line: The stock market has its work cut out to produce even a fraction of the past decade’s fabulous return.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why U.S. stocks face a tough decade ahead even if corporate revenues are strong</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy U.S. stocks face a tough decade ahead even if corporate revenues are strong\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 19:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-u-s-stocks-face-a-tough-decade-ahead-even-if-corporate-revenues-are-strong-11624429824?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stock market’s return will grow at the same rate as the U.S. economy.\n\nMight there be hope, after all, for the U.S. stock market’s return over the next decade? I ask as a follow up tomy column earlier...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-u-s-stocks-face-a-tough-decade-ahead-even-if-corporate-revenues-are-strong-11624429824?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-u-s-stocks-face-a-tough-decade-ahead-even-if-corporate-revenues-are-strong-11624429824?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198462718","content_text":"Stock market’s return will grow at the same rate as the U.S. economy.\n\nMight there be hope, after all, for the U.S. stock market’s return over the next decade? I ask as a follow up tomy column earlier this monthin which I concluded that even under optimistic assumptions, the S&P 500SPX,+0.51%over the next 10 years is unlikely to produce an annualized total real return greater than the low single-digits.\nMy argument was that the stock market will not be able to count on the three pillars that have propped it up over the past decade — increasing valuations, profit margins and more buybacks than new shares issued (net buybacks).\nSome readers responded that I had overlooked an escape hatch which would enable the market to produce decent returns: corporate revenues can grow faster than the overall U.S. economy. To the extent this is so, then the stock market does not need any of those three pillars to do well.\nThis escape hatch appears to have solid evidence behind it. Consider a recent note to clients from Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist and head of quantitative research at Credit Suisse. He reported that, according to an econometric model he constructed based on S&P 500 sales and GDP since 2000, “every 1% upside in nominal GDP drives 2½–3% improvement in revenues.”\nIf so, this certainly would be good for stock investors. It would mean that even without increasing valuations, profit margins or net buybacks, the stock market could significantly outperform the overall economy.\nUnfortunately, this argument is too good to be true. I analyzed S&P 500 sales back to the early 1970s (courtesy of data from Ned Davis Research), and found almost a 1:1 correlation between sales growth and GDP growth.\nThis is entirely what we should expect, according to Robert Arnott, chairman and founder of Research Affiliates. In an email, he said that “aggregate sales should offer a pretty clean 1:1 relationship to GDP. Any other ratio makes no sense on a sustained basis.”\nHow then did Golub come up with such a different answer? My hunch is that it traces to how he measured sales. In an email, Golub’s colleague Manish Bangard, an equity strategist at Credit Suisse, explained that they focused on sales per share. But, as Arnott points out, this per-share number reflects the impact of net buybacks. So the high sales-to-GDP ratio that Golub reports is not a pure measure of how sales growth relates to GDP. (I did not receive a response to my requests for additional comment.)\nInvestment implication\nThe implication is that we should not expect the U.S. stock market over the next decade to grow faster than the economy. It may in fact grow much more slowly if P/E ratios or profit margins regress even partway to their historical mean, or if net buybacks turn out to be negative (as they’ve been for most of U.S. history).\nBut even if P/E ratios and profit margins stay constant between now and 2031 and there are no net buybacks, the lesson of history is that the U.S. market will grow no faster than the economy.\nConsider what that means. TheCongressional Budget Office is projectingthat real GDP from 2022 through 2031 will grow at a 1.8% annualized rate. Even that may be optimistic, because the CBO projects no recession between now and then.\nThe bottom line: The stock market has its work cut out to produce even a fraction of the past decade’s fabulous return.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128241546,"gmtCreate":1624521015985,"gmtModify":1631888742577,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559442218430793","idStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128241546","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145156570","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624489510,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145156570?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla lifts Nasdaq to record-high close, S&P 500 dips","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145156570","media":"Reuters","summary":"June 23  - The Nasdaq climbed to a record-high close on Wednesday, fueled by a rally in Tesla Inc , while the S&P 500 dipped, even as investors cheered data that showed a record peak for U.S. factory activity in June.Gains in Nvidia Corp and $Facebook$ Inc extended a recent rebound in top-shelf growth stocks that fell out of favor in recent months as investors focused on companies expected to do well as the economy recovers from the pandemic.Data firm IHS $Markit$ said its flash U.S. manufacturi","content":"<p>June 23 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq climbed to a record-high close on Wednesday, fueled by a rally in Tesla Inc , while the S&amp;P 500 dipped, even as investors cheered data that showed a record peak for U.S. factory activity in June.</p>\n<p>Gains in Nvidia Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc extended a recent rebound in top-shelf growth stocks that fell out of favor in recent months as investors focused on companies expected to do well as the economy recovers from the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Data firm IHS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> said its flash U.S. manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index rose to a reading of 62.6 this month, beating estimates of 61.5, but manufacturers are still struggling to secure raw materials and qualified workers, substantially raising prices.</p>\n<p>The \"high level of today's surveys will provide some confirmation for the Fed that the time to begin taking its foot off the accelerator is not far away,\" said Jai Malhi, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.</p>\n<p>On Tuesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank's intent not to raise interest rates too quickly, based only on the fear of coming inflation.</p>\n<p>Powell's comments follow the Fed's projection a week ago of an increase in interest rates as soon as 2023, sooner than anticipated. Since then, growth stocks, including major tech names like Tesla and Nvidia, have mostly rallied and outperformed value stocks, like banks and materials companies.</p>\n<p>\"People are plowing money into what has worked. People are basically momentum-chasing and they're using the last three years of performance to figure out what to chase,\" said Mike Zigmont, head of trading and research at Harvest Volatility Management in New York.</p>\n<p>Eight of the 11 major S&amp;P sector indexes fell, with utilities down about 1% and leading the way lower, followed by a 0.6% dip in materials .</p>\n<p>Tesla jumped 5.3% after the electric vehicle maker said it had opened a solar-powered charging station with on-site power storage in the Tibetan capital Lhasa, its first such facility in China. That trimmed the stock's loss in 2021 to about 7%.</p>\n<p>Extending investors' recent preference for growth stocks, the S&amp;P 500 growth index edged up 0.01%, while the value index dipped 0.24%.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.21% to end at 33,874.24 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.11% to 4,241.84.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.13% to 14,271.73.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has gained about 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq and Dow are up about 11%.</p>\n<p>Nikola Corp rallied 4.3% after the electric and hydrogen vehicle maker said it is investing $50 million in Wabash Valley Resources LLC to produce clean hydrogen in the U.S. Midwest for its zero-emission trucks.</p>\n<p>Among so-called meme stocks, software firm Alfi Inc tumbled 26% after more than doubling in value in the prior session, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">Torchlight Energy Resources Inc</a> slumped 30%, tumbling for a second day after announcing an upsized stock offering.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.14-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.42-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 33 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 91 new highs and 28 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.3 billion shares, compared with the 11.1 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla lifts Nasdaq to record-high close, S&P 500 dips</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla lifts Nasdaq to record-high close, S&P 500 dips\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-24 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>June 23 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq climbed to a record-high close on Wednesday, fueled by a rally in Tesla Inc , while the S&amp;P 500 dipped, even as investors cheered data that showed a record peak for U.S. factory activity in June.</p>\n<p>Gains in Nvidia Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc extended a recent rebound in top-shelf growth stocks that fell out of favor in recent months as investors focused on companies expected to do well as the economy recovers from the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Data firm IHS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> said its flash U.S. manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index rose to a reading of 62.6 this month, beating estimates of 61.5, but manufacturers are still struggling to secure raw materials and qualified workers, substantially raising prices.</p>\n<p>The \"high level of today's surveys will provide some confirmation for the Fed that the time to begin taking its foot off the accelerator is not far away,\" said Jai Malhi, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.</p>\n<p>On Tuesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank's intent not to raise interest rates too quickly, based only on the fear of coming inflation.</p>\n<p>Powell's comments follow the Fed's projection a week ago of an increase in interest rates as soon as 2023, sooner than anticipated. Since then, growth stocks, including major tech names like Tesla and Nvidia, have mostly rallied and outperformed value stocks, like banks and materials companies.</p>\n<p>\"People are plowing money into what has worked. People are basically momentum-chasing and they're using the last three years of performance to figure out what to chase,\" said Mike Zigmont, head of trading and research at Harvest Volatility Management in New York.</p>\n<p>Eight of the 11 major S&amp;P sector indexes fell, with utilities down about 1% and leading the way lower, followed by a 0.6% dip in materials .</p>\n<p>Tesla jumped 5.3% after the electric vehicle maker said it had opened a solar-powered charging station with on-site power storage in the Tibetan capital Lhasa, its first such facility in China. That trimmed the stock's loss in 2021 to about 7%.</p>\n<p>Extending investors' recent preference for growth stocks, the S&amp;P 500 growth index edged up 0.01%, while the value index dipped 0.24%.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.21% to end at 33,874.24 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.11% to 4,241.84.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.13% to 14,271.73.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has gained about 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq and Dow are up about 11%.</p>\n<p>Nikola Corp rallied 4.3% after the electric and hydrogen vehicle maker said it is investing $50 million in Wabash Valley Resources LLC to produce clean hydrogen in the U.S. Midwest for its zero-emission trucks.</p>\n<p>Among so-called meme stocks, software firm Alfi Inc tumbled 26% after more than doubling in value in the prior session, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">Torchlight Energy Resources Inc</a> slumped 30%, tumbling for a second day after announcing an upsized stock offering.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.14-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.42-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 33 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 91 new highs and 28 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.3 billion shares, compared with the 11.1 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","NVDA":"英伟达",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","NKLA":"Nikola Corporation","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","INFO":"Harbor PanAgora Dynamic Large Cap Core ETF","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145156570","content_text":"June 23 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq climbed to a record-high close on Wednesday, fueled by a rally in Tesla Inc , while the S&P 500 dipped, even as investors cheered data that showed a record peak for U.S. factory activity in June.\nGains in Nvidia Corp and Facebook Inc extended a recent rebound in top-shelf growth stocks that fell out of favor in recent months as investors focused on companies expected to do well as the economy recovers from the pandemic.\nData firm IHS Markit said its flash U.S. manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index rose to a reading of 62.6 this month, beating estimates of 61.5, but manufacturers are still struggling to secure raw materials and qualified workers, substantially raising prices.\nThe \"high level of today's surveys will provide some confirmation for the Fed that the time to begin taking its foot off the accelerator is not far away,\" said Jai Malhi, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.\nOn Tuesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank's intent not to raise interest rates too quickly, based only on the fear of coming inflation.\nPowell's comments follow the Fed's projection a week ago of an increase in interest rates as soon as 2023, sooner than anticipated. Since then, growth stocks, including major tech names like Tesla and Nvidia, have mostly rallied and outperformed value stocks, like banks and materials companies.\n\"People are plowing money into what has worked. People are basically momentum-chasing and they're using the last three years of performance to figure out what to chase,\" said Mike Zigmont, head of trading and research at Harvest Volatility Management in New York.\nEight of the 11 major S&P sector indexes fell, with utilities down about 1% and leading the way lower, followed by a 0.6% dip in materials .\nTesla jumped 5.3% after the electric vehicle maker said it had opened a solar-powered charging station with on-site power storage in the Tibetan capital Lhasa, its first such facility in China. That trimmed the stock's loss in 2021 to about 7%.\nExtending investors' recent preference for growth stocks, the S&P 500 growth index edged up 0.01%, while the value index dipped 0.24%.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.21% to end at 33,874.24 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.11% to 4,241.84.\nThe Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.13% to 14,271.73.\nThe S&P 500 has gained about 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq and Dow are up about 11%.\nNikola Corp rallied 4.3% after the electric and hydrogen vehicle maker said it is investing $50 million in Wabash Valley Resources LLC to produce clean hydrogen in the U.S. Midwest for its zero-emission trucks.\nAmong so-called meme stocks, software firm Alfi Inc tumbled 26% after more than doubling in value in the prior session, while Torchlight Energy Resources Inc slumped 30%, tumbling for a second day after announcing an upsized stock offering.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.14-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.42-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 33 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 91 new highs and 28 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.3 billion shares, compared with the 11.1 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128241062,"gmtCreate":1624520993056,"gmtModify":1631888742578,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559442218430793","idStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[贱笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[贱笑]&nbsp;","text":"[贱笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128241062","repostId":"1182818110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182818110","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624504323,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182818110?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 11:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Bull Is Far From Over: 3 Undervalued Blue Chip Dividend Buys","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182818110","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe Fed jolted investors last week, before Powell backpedalled to reassure everyone.\nThis s","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The Fed jolted investors last week, before Powell backpedalled to reassure everyone.</li>\n <li>This shows just how difficult it will be for the Fed to actually rein in the economy.</li>\n <li>Some value names are once again on our \"buy list\". Here are three great ones.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>On a recent Bloomberg video call, Ray Dalio suggested that the Fed will have a lot of trouble doing any rate hike without having significantly adverse effects on stocks.</p>\n<p>Following the Fed meeting last week, the news that rates might be raised in two years rather than three gave the markets a jolt, as the message was interpreted as hawkish by the investing community.</p>\n<p>This caused Jerome Powell to backpedal, reminding everyone of his favorite word: \"transitory\". It was important that he once again reminded everyone that inflation would head back to 2%, and that nobody needs to worry.</p>\n<p>He did cover his 6 however,stating:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>We have to be very humble about our ability to really try to draw a signal out of it [...] It might take some patience to really see what’s happening.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Larry Summers had adifferent take on it: \n <i>I don't think the arithmetic is terribly difficult.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <i> You're looking at an average GDP gap deficit to potential GDP of 2%, and we're looking at a 14% of GDP fiscal stimulus. [...] The important question is whether there is 6 points of transitory inflation or 2 points of transitory inflation.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>This idea is very important. Rather than asking whether inflation is transitory or not, we should be asking how much of it is transitory.</p>\n<p>And this is where the risk currently lies. While the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) performed a roundtrip from 4250 to 4250 with a 90 point drop in between, a lot of the more cyclical stocks took a hit which put them back in our \"Buy List\".</p>\n<p>Our take is that the Fed is realizing that it can't really increase rates without causing ruckus in markets.</p>\n<p>When you add this to the fact that they might not have any choice but to keep printing money to buy bonds as the supply of bonds might overshoot the demand of these from foreign countries who already hold lots of US debt and show limited interest in purchasing the debt at negative real interest rates. This is according to Ray Dalio in the same call with Larry Summers mentioned above.</p>\n<p>The risk of monetary inflation is very real. The likelihood of demand to continue increasing dramatically as money stored in financial markets hits the economy is also very high.</p>\n<p>What we've learned in investing, is that investors are too eager to wrap up a trade and move on to the \"next thing\". Many times, this is shortsighted, as even when the train has left the station, there is a lot of track left ahead.</p>\n<p>This is one of these situations.</p>\n<p>Valuations in high quality blue chips which are sensitive to the economy reopening are still so far from pre-Covid levels.</p>\n<p>The fact that they are taking a breather doesn't detract from their ultimate destination, which is a lot higher.</p>\n<p>In this article I highlight 3 such stocks.</p>\n<p>Plus in the meantime you get to sleep well at night, knowing that they offer a great combination of dividend yield and dividend growth.</p>\n<p>Heads you win, tails you win more.</p>\n<p><b>IBM (IBM)</b></p>\n<p>While IBM has increased from our latest mention of it in a public article, when we were purchasing the stock at a 5%+ yield, it still hovers just below our target \"Buy Below\" price of $150, courtesy of a small pull back last week.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a8abbcb78d88ebe9b82eb258078cd4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Dividend Freedom Tribe.</span></p>\n<p>Dividend growth has come to a stand still, and while we loaded up lower, it is still a great opportunity.</p>\n<p>The real value lies in the fact that investors are not pricing Krishna's operational excellence since taking over.</p>\n<p>IBM stunned investors with its Q1 results. Fellow author Virginia Backaitis states in her excellent articleanalyzing IBM'soperations:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>I like how Krishna is thinking, and I like former Red Hat CEO Jim Whitehurst at his side. They are making purchases that align with IBM's strategy which hasn't always been the case at the company. The product lines that IBM is selling off now are smart choices... and they have others left to sell (but maybe there isn't a buyer).</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>This value will likely be realized following the spin-off of the legacy business into an entity which will benamed kyndryl.</p>\n<p>Investors will likely be left with a high yield managed infrastructure business, and a low yield high growth cloud stock.</p>\n<p>When it happens, we'll decide which of both we'll hold onto, but we're quite confident that the two pieces will be worth than the sum of the part.</p>\n<p>And while you wait for this, you still get paid 4.5% by a super safe Blue Chip stock, which has the pricing power to fight inflation.</p>\n<p><b>KeyCorp (KEY)</b></p>\n<p>One thing the last round of stress tests showed, was that US banks are resilient, and well capitalized. Yet last week they took a hit after the fed meeting. This week stress tests will be released, and most large banks are expected to do really well.</p>\n<p>After that, dividend increases will come in July as banks are eager to start returning wealth to shareholders.</p>\n<p>Keycorp is no exception. For an analysis of KEY's earnings development you can read Sheen Bay Research'sarticleon the stock.</p>\n<p>Where I differ from his opinion is on the question of the dividend. While he doesn't expect a dividend hike, I expect all major banks to compete in their dividend increases.</p>\n<p>What investors must not forget is that in 2008 KEY paid a dividend of $0.38 per quarter, or double the current dividend.</p>\n<p>Since then, the company has been slowly redeeming itself, increasing the dividend every year.</p>\n<p>The pandemic restrictions stopped KEY in their tracks.</p>\n<p>A look at our MAD Chart shows how eager the bank was at returning capital to shareholders in the past 10 years. Each time the dividend increases, the inferred value ranges shown on the MAD chart goes up.</p>\n<p>In the past 10 years the dividend grew at 20% per annum, the rate dropped to 15% in the past 5 years, hindered by 0 growth last year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce032ffe59e73db2d6a1e09b4ff723b4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Dividend Freedom Tribe.</span></p>\n<p>I believe that a 10-15% increase is very likely this year.</p>\n<p>In this event, KEY's current yield of 3.6% would effectively become a 4% yield.</p>\n<p>But to get fantastic income from KEY, you don't even need that much growth.</p>\n<p>At a 3.6% yield, if you can get 7.5% annual dividend growth you get a fantastic income opportunity.</p>\n<p>Let's look at a simulation.</p>\n<p>Let's suggest a $10K investment in KEY, with dividends reinvested and dividend growth of 7.5% per annum.</p>\n<p>In year 10, you'd expect $1,004 of income, or 10% of your original investment, which is our threshold for a \"great\" income opportunity.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c24e62697eb475528e1b9f04686a12\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"240\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Dividend Freedom Tribe.</span></p>\n<p>In our mind there is no way that KEY doesn't grow at this rate, which would suggest hitting its pre 2008 dividend in 10 years.</p>\n<p>As such we believe KEY to be a great pick for income investors. As KEY's dividend growth is on the back of growth in earnings and tangible book value per share, there is no doubt in our mind that sooner or later, the price will catch up with the higher income. The fed stress tests might be the catalyst banks need to move higher.</p>\n<p>In the meantime get paid to wait.</p>\n<p><b>Chevron (CVX)</b></p>\n<p>Chevron is another stock which is hovering just below our target \"Buy Below\" price.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/100902df9308eeb7576e22704f403240\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Dividend Freedom Tribe.</span></p>\n<p>We're surprised that the oil trade is taking so long to play out. In late 2015, early 2016, the recovery to historically normal yields was a lot faster.</p>\n<p>Yet CVX still yields 5%, after proving its resilience, superior balance sheet and increasing the dividend by 4% this year, sustaining their history of higher dividends every year for the past three decades.</p>\n<p>Consider the following slide from their latestearnings call:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b49cefbd9ee55c299d2b3a03211a3b6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Earnings Call.</span></p>\n<p>At $40 brent, the dividend is covered with a little extra debt. As the energy major with the best balance sheet, it can afford this. At $60 brent, there would be excess cash above $25bn, or enough to fund the dividend for two and a half years.</p>\n<p>Brent is currently above $70. The longer it stays above that level, the higher the likelihood that CVX will actually have the excess cash suggested in the latter scenario.</p>\n<p>Back in August last year we suggested that you'll belaughing your wayto the bank with CVX's 6% yield.</p>\n<p>Since then, CVX has marginally beaten the S&amp;P 500, but is far from over.</p>\n<p>In the past 10 years CVX has yielded a median 3.86%. Its forward outlook is arguably better now than it was in much of the past decade, which had the energy market dealing with endemic oversupply. With underinvestment, the opposite is likely to be true in upcoming years.</p>\n<p>If anything CVX should gravitate back towards its median yield which suggests further upside of 20%, much of which we expect will be realized in the latter half of 2021.</p>\n<p>If you simulate a $10K investment in CVX assuming a 5% yield and 4% dividend growth, and reinvest dividends, then in year 10 you'd expect $1,154 in dividends of which $409 is expected to come from dividend reinvestments.</p>\n<p>This equates to 11.54% of the initial investment, making CVX also an excellent income opportunity at current prices.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53e365890df23b4af31565c7b170c14f\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"240\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Dividend Freedom Tribe.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>As long term dividend investors, we're always eager to get top companies at great valuations. The fed meeting changed nothing to the reopening trade. If anything it gave them a warning that even the slightest hint of a rate increase would be interpreted as hawkish, which will likely have the consequence of them acting later than they should, which exacerbates the likelihood of the value trade continuing.</p>\n<p>Don't confuse the market taking a breather with the end of the trade.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Bull Is Far From Over: 3 Undervalued Blue Chip Dividend Buys</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Bull Is Far From Over: 3 Undervalued Blue Chip Dividend Buys\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 11:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436276-this-bull-is-far-from-over-3-undervalued-blue-chip-dividend-buys><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe Fed jolted investors last week, before Powell backpedalled to reassure everyone.\nThis shows just how difficult it will be for the Fed to actually rein in the economy.\nSome value names are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436276-this-bull-is-far-from-over-3-undervalued-blue-chip-dividend-buys\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KEY":"KeyCorp","IBM":"IBM","CVX":"雪佛龙"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436276-this-bull-is-far-from-over-3-undervalued-blue-chip-dividend-buys","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1182818110","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe Fed jolted investors last week, before Powell backpedalled to reassure everyone.\nThis shows just how difficult it will be for the Fed to actually rein in the economy.\nSome value names are once again on our \"buy list\". Here are three great ones.\n\nIntroduction\nOn a recent Bloomberg video call, Ray Dalio suggested that the Fed will have a lot of trouble doing any rate hike without having significantly adverse effects on stocks.\nFollowing the Fed meeting last week, the news that rates might be raised in two years rather than three gave the markets a jolt, as the message was interpreted as hawkish by the investing community.\nThis caused Jerome Powell to backpedal, reminding everyone of his favorite word: \"transitory\". It was important that he once again reminded everyone that inflation would head back to 2%, and that nobody needs to worry.\nHe did cover his 6 however,stating:\n\nWe have to be very humble about our ability to really try to draw a signal out of it [...] It might take some patience to really see what’s happening.\n\n\n Larry Summers had adifferent take on it: \n I don't think the arithmetic is terribly difficult.\n\n\n You're looking at an average GDP gap deficit to potential GDP of 2%, and we're looking at a 14% of GDP fiscal stimulus. [...] The important question is whether there is 6 points of transitory inflation or 2 points of transitory inflation.\n\nThis idea is very important. Rather than asking whether inflation is transitory or not, we should be asking how much of it is transitory.\nAnd this is where the risk currently lies. While the S&P 500 (SPY) performed a roundtrip from 4250 to 4250 with a 90 point drop in between, a lot of the more cyclical stocks took a hit which put them back in our \"Buy List\".\nOur take is that the Fed is realizing that it can't really increase rates without causing ruckus in markets.\nWhen you add this to the fact that they might not have any choice but to keep printing money to buy bonds as the supply of bonds might overshoot the demand of these from foreign countries who already hold lots of US debt and show limited interest in purchasing the debt at negative real interest rates. This is according to Ray Dalio in the same call with Larry Summers mentioned above.\nThe risk of monetary inflation is very real. The likelihood of demand to continue increasing dramatically as money stored in financial markets hits the economy is also very high.\nWhat we've learned in investing, is that investors are too eager to wrap up a trade and move on to the \"next thing\". Many times, this is shortsighted, as even when the train has left the station, there is a lot of track left ahead.\nThis is one of these situations.\nValuations in high quality blue chips which are sensitive to the economy reopening are still so far from pre-Covid levels.\nThe fact that they are taking a breather doesn't detract from their ultimate destination, which is a lot higher.\nIn this article I highlight 3 such stocks.\nPlus in the meantime you get to sleep well at night, knowing that they offer a great combination of dividend yield and dividend growth.\nHeads you win, tails you win more.\nIBM (IBM)\nWhile IBM has increased from our latest mention of it in a public article, when we were purchasing the stock at a 5%+ yield, it still hovers just below our target \"Buy Below\" price of $150, courtesy of a small pull back last week.\nSource: Dividend Freedom Tribe.\nDividend growth has come to a stand still, and while we loaded up lower, it is still a great opportunity.\nThe real value lies in the fact that investors are not pricing Krishna's operational excellence since taking over.\nIBM stunned investors with its Q1 results. Fellow author Virginia Backaitis states in her excellent articleanalyzing IBM'soperations:\n\nI like how Krishna is thinking, and I like former Red Hat CEO Jim Whitehurst at his side. They are making purchases that align with IBM's strategy which hasn't always been the case at the company. The product lines that IBM is selling off now are smart choices... and they have others left to sell (but maybe there isn't a buyer).\n\nThis value will likely be realized following the spin-off of the legacy business into an entity which will benamed kyndryl.\nInvestors will likely be left with a high yield managed infrastructure business, and a low yield high growth cloud stock.\nWhen it happens, we'll decide which of both we'll hold onto, but we're quite confident that the two pieces will be worth than the sum of the part.\nAnd while you wait for this, you still get paid 4.5% by a super safe Blue Chip stock, which has the pricing power to fight inflation.\nKeyCorp (KEY)\nOne thing the last round of stress tests showed, was that US banks are resilient, and well capitalized. Yet last week they took a hit after the fed meeting. This week stress tests will be released, and most large banks are expected to do really well.\nAfter that, dividend increases will come in July as banks are eager to start returning wealth to shareholders.\nKeycorp is no exception. For an analysis of KEY's earnings development you can read Sheen Bay Research'sarticleon the stock.\nWhere I differ from his opinion is on the question of the dividend. While he doesn't expect a dividend hike, I expect all major banks to compete in their dividend increases.\nWhat investors must not forget is that in 2008 KEY paid a dividend of $0.38 per quarter, or double the current dividend.\nSince then, the company has been slowly redeeming itself, increasing the dividend every year.\nThe pandemic restrictions stopped KEY in their tracks.\nA look at our MAD Chart shows how eager the bank was at returning capital to shareholders in the past 10 years. Each time the dividend increases, the inferred value ranges shown on the MAD chart goes up.\nIn the past 10 years the dividend grew at 20% per annum, the rate dropped to 15% in the past 5 years, hindered by 0 growth last year.\nSource: Dividend Freedom Tribe.\nI believe that a 10-15% increase is very likely this year.\nIn this event, KEY's current yield of 3.6% would effectively become a 4% yield.\nBut to get fantastic income from KEY, you don't even need that much growth.\nAt a 3.6% yield, if you can get 7.5% annual dividend growth you get a fantastic income opportunity.\nLet's look at a simulation.\nLet's suggest a $10K investment in KEY, with dividends reinvested and dividend growth of 7.5% per annum.\nIn year 10, you'd expect $1,004 of income, or 10% of your original investment, which is our threshold for a \"great\" income opportunity.\nSource: Dividend Freedom Tribe.\nIn our mind there is no way that KEY doesn't grow at this rate, which would suggest hitting its pre 2008 dividend in 10 years.\nAs such we believe KEY to be a great pick for income investors. As KEY's dividend growth is on the back of growth in earnings and tangible book value per share, there is no doubt in our mind that sooner or later, the price will catch up with the higher income. The fed stress tests might be the catalyst banks need to move higher.\nIn the meantime get paid to wait.\nChevron (CVX)\nChevron is another stock which is hovering just below our target \"Buy Below\" price.\nSource: Dividend Freedom Tribe.\nWe're surprised that the oil trade is taking so long to play out. In late 2015, early 2016, the recovery to historically normal yields was a lot faster.\nYet CVX still yields 5%, after proving its resilience, superior balance sheet and increasing the dividend by 4% this year, sustaining their history of higher dividends every year for the past three decades.\nConsider the following slide from their latestearnings call:\nSource: Earnings Call.\nAt $40 brent, the dividend is covered with a little extra debt. As the energy major with the best balance sheet, it can afford this. At $60 brent, there would be excess cash above $25bn, or enough to fund the dividend for two and a half years.\nBrent is currently above $70. The longer it stays above that level, the higher the likelihood that CVX will actually have the excess cash suggested in the latter scenario.\nBack in August last year we suggested that you'll belaughing your wayto the bank with CVX's 6% yield.\nSince then, CVX has marginally beaten the S&P 500, but is far from over.\nIn the past 10 years CVX has yielded a median 3.86%. Its forward outlook is arguably better now than it was in much of the past decade, which had the energy market dealing with endemic oversupply. With underinvestment, the opposite is likely to be true in upcoming years.\nIf anything CVX should gravitate back towards its median yield which suggests further upside of 20%, much of which we expect will be realized in the latter half of 2021.\nIf you simulate a $10K investment in CVX assuming a 5% yield and 4% dividend growth, and reinvest dividends, then in year 10 you'd expect $1,154 in dividends of which $409 is expected to come from dividend reinvestments.\nThis equates to 11.54% of the initial investment, making CVX also an excellent income opportunity at current prices.\nSource: Dividend Freedom Tribe.\nConclusion\nAs long term dividend investors, we're always eager to get top companies at great valuations. The fed meeting changed nothing to the reopening trade. If anything it gave them a warning that even the slightest hint of a rate increase would be interpreted as hawkish, which will likely have the consequence of them acting later than they should, which exacerbates the likelihood of the value trade continuing.\nDon't confuse the market taking a breather with the end of the trade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128243132,"gmtCreate":1624520946926,"gmtModify":1631888742581,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559442218430793","idStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"[得意]&nbsp;","text":"[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128243132","repostId":"1176854050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176854050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624506221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176854050?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: A Lesson In Humility","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176854050","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can se","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.</li>\n <li>With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.</li>\n <li>I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16088600ba424779ab370711976bff68\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Sometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothership<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.</p>\n<p>Back inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54fd49361e0720105b3d38a4c4c88fa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>I’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.</p>\n<p>Momentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.</p>\n<p>Overall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.</p>\n<p>Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.</p>\n<p>The earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.</p>\n<p>If we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef4525c330221c7768acc84c336cd8ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>We can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.</p>\n<p>The 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.</p>\n<p>Momentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.</p>\n<p><b>Fundamentals still bullish</b></p>\n<p>I’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7297a6360a43284ab70d4caf12d206f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>All years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.</p>\n<p>Canaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?</p>\n<p>At any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.</p>\n<p>Another thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&amp;A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9effb44d7bda8f3bdb535e80dd1ac0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>All three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&amp;A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&amp;A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.</p>\n<p>Margins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6401d5cd793a93d0ed6d36f911abdb15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>This is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.</p>\n<p><b>Other considerations</b></p>\n<p>Tesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.</p>\n<p>Even so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&amp;D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.</p>\n<p>Another risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&amp;D, factory construction, and the like.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8f44f661051d87ad3f2906cabe5479d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>The share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0569f35589cc0f82bb006148271df19b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Tesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent years<i>shouldn’t</i>be necessary any longer.</p>\n<p>Indeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fa413fc33c85d7269e987b2c11c888\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Net debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.</p>\n<p><b>Is it cheap?</b></p>\n<p>Not really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2d9f38636872d9d508e096e9ac8af8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>However, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and then<i>double</i>again by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.</p>\n<p>I’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Tesla<i>usually</i>shines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.</p>\n<p>All in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: A Lesson In Humility</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: A Lesson In Humility\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 11:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1176854050","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.\n\nAdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nSometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothershipTesla(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.\nBack inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.\nSource: StockCharts\nI’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.\nMomentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.\nOverall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.\nFinally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.\nThe earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.\nIf we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.\nSource: StockCharts\nWe can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.\nThe 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.\nMomentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.\nFundamentals still bullish\nI’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAll years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.\nCanaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?\nAt any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.\nAnother thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.\nSource: TIKR.com\nAll three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.\nMargins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nThis is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.\nOther considerations\nTesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.\nEven so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.\nAnother risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&D, factory construction, and the like.\nSource: TIKR.com\nThe share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.\nSource: TIKR.com\nTesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent yearsshouldn’tbe necessary any longer.\nIndeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.\nSource: TIKR.com\nNet debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.\nIs it cheap?\nNot really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.\nSource: TIKR.com\nHowever, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and thendoubleagain by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.\nI’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Teslausuallyshines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.\nAll in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":167243301,"gmtCreate":1624273427603,"gmtModify":1631888742586,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559442218430793","idStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167243301","repostId":"1149553617","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":861,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":166289710,"gmtCreate":1624011875930,"gmtModify":1631888742592,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559442218430793","idStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166289710","repostId":"1198149770","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":168243674,"gmtCreate":1623977279898,"gmtModify":1631888742591,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559442218430793","idStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168243674","repostId":"1198149770","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198149770","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623974643,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198149770?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 08:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Adobe Q2 Earnings Beat Expectations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198149770","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Adobe stock is trading higher late Thursday after the creative-software company posted better-than-e","content":"<p>Adobe stock is trading higher late Thursday after the creative-software company posted better-than-expected results for its fiscal second quarter ended June 4.</p>\n<p>For the quarter, Adobe (ticker: ADBE) reported revenue of $3.84 billion, up 23% from a year ago, and ahead of the company’s forecast of $3.72 billion. Non-GAAP profits were $3.03 a share, ahead of the company’s projection of $2.81 a share. Under generally accepted accounting principles, Adobe earned $2.32 a share.</p>\n<p>Adobe stock rose 2.7%&nbsp;to $566&nbsp;in extended trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28b7cdf0a510d12cc43d7e44330be797\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\"></p>\n<p>Adobe’s results were above expectations in every segment. Digital Media revenue was $2.79 billion, up 25%, and four points better than the company’s guidance. That includes creative revenue of $2.32 billion, up 24%, and document cloud revenue of $496 million, up 30%.</p>\n<p>Digital Experience segment revenue was $938 million, up 21%, and three points better than the company’s target for 18% growth.</p>\n<p>The company also said it bought back about 2.1 million shares in the quarter.</p>\n<p>For the fiscal third quarter, Adobe sees revenue of $3.88 billion, slightly higher than the Street consensus forecast of $3.83 billion, with non-GAAP profits of $3 a share, above the Street consensus estimate for $2.89 a share. The company sees growth in the quarter of 21% in the digital experience segment, and 25% in digital experience.</p>\n<p>“Adobe had an outstanding second quarter as Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and Experience Cloud continue to transform work, learn and play in a digital-first world,” Adobe CEO Shantanu Narayen said in a statement.</p>\n<p>Chief Financial Officer John Murphy added in a statement that “the large market opportunity and momentum we are seeing across our creative, document and customer experience management businesses position us well to deliver another record year.”</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Adobe Q2 Earnings Beat Expectations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAdobe Q2 Earnings Beat Expectations\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-18 08:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Adobe stock is trading higher late Thursday after the creative-software company posted better-than-expected results for its fiscal second quarter ended June 4.</p>\n<p>For the quarter, Adobe (ticker: ADBE) reported revenue of $3.84 billion, up 23% from a year ago, and ahead of the company’s forecast of $3.72 billion. Non-GAAP profits were $3.03 a share, ahead of the company’s projection of $2.81 a share. Under generally accepted accounting principles, Adobe earned $2.32 a share.</p>\n<p>Adobe stock rose 2.7%&nbsp;to $566&nbsp;in extended trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28b7cdf0a510d12cc43d7e44330be797\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\"></p>\n<p>Adobe’s results were above expectations in every segment. Digital Media revenue was $2.79 billion, up 25%, and four points better than the company’s guidance. That includes creative revenue of $2.32 billion, up 24%, and document cloud revenue of $496 million, up 30%.</p>\n<p>Digital Experience segment revenue was $938 million, up 21%, and three points better than the company’s target for 18% growth.</p>\n<p>The company also said it bought back about 2.1 million shares in the quarter.</p>\n<p>For the fiscal third quarter, Adobe sees revenue of $3.88 billion, slightly higher than the Street consensus forecast of $3.83 billion, with non-GAAP profits of $3 a share, above the Street consensus estimate for $2.89 a share. The company sees growth in the quarter of 21% in the digital experience segment, and 25% in digital experience.</p>\n<p>“Adobe had an outstanding second quarter as Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and Experience Cloud continue to transform work, learn and play in a digital-first world,” Adobe CEO Shantanu Narayen said in a statement.</p>\n<p>Chief Financial Officer John Murphy added in a statement that “the large market opportunity and momentum we are seeing across our creative, document and customer experience management businesses position us well to deliver another record year.”</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ADBE":"Adobe"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198149770","content_text":"Adobe stock is trading higher late Thursday after the creative-software company posted better-than-expected results for its fiscal second quarter ended June 4.\nFor the quarter, Adobe (ticker: ADBE) reported revenue of $3.84 billion, up 23% from a year ago, and ahead of the company’s forecast of $3.72 billion. Non-GAAP profits were $3.03 a share, ahead of the company’s projection of $2.81 a share. Under generally accepted accounting principles, Adobe earned $2.32 a share.\nAdobe stock rose 2.7% to $566 in extended trading.\n\nAdobe’s results were above expectations in every segment. Digital Media revenue was $2.79 billion, up 25%, and four points better than the company’s guidance. That includes creative revenue of $2.32 billion, up 24%, and document cloud revenue of $496 million, up 30%.\nDigital Experience segment revenue was $938 million, up 21%, and three points better than the company’s target for 18% growth.\nThe company also said it bought back about 2.1 million shares in the quarter.\nFor the fiscal third quarter, Adobe sees revenue of $3.88 billion, slightly higher than the Street consensus forecast of $3.83 billion, with non-GAAP profits of $3 a share, above the Street consensus estimate for $2.89 a share. The company sees growth in the quarter of 21% in the digital experience segment, and 25% in digital experience.\n“Adobe had an outstanding second quarter as Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and Experience Cloud continue to transform work, learn and play in a digital-first world,” Adobe CEO Shantanu Narayen said in a statement.\nChief Financial Officer John Murphy added in a statement that “the large market opportunity and momentum we are seeing across our creative, document and customer experience management businesses position us well to deliver another record year.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160356198,"gmtCreate":1623773307614,"gmtModify":1631888742597,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559442218430793","idStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[OK]&nbsp;","listText":"[OK]&nbsp;","text":"[OK]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160356198","repostId":"1150591447","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150591447","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623769391,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150591447?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's a complete trader playbook for every outcome from the key Fed meeting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150591447","media":"CNBC","summary":"The Federal Reserve’s all-important policy meeting this week is going to affect where investors put ","content":"<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s all-important policy meeting this week is going to affect where investors put their money to work going forward.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee,which will conclude its two-day...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/heres-a-complete-trader-playbook-for-every-outcome-from-the-key-fed-meeting.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's a complete trader playbook for every outcome from the key Fed meeting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's a complete trader playbook for every outcome from the key Fed meeting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 23:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/heres-a-complete-trader-playbook-for-every-outcome-from-the-key-fed-meeting.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s all-important policy meeting this week is going to affect where investors put their money to work going forward.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee,which will conclude its two-day...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/heres-a-complete-trader-playbook-for-every-outcome-from-the-key-fed-meeting.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/heres-a-complete-trader-playbook-for-every-outcome-from-the-key-fed-meeting.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1150591447","content_text":"The Federal Reserve’s all-important policy meeting this week is going to affect where investors put their money to work going forward.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee,which will conclude its two-day meeting Wednesday, could start preliminary discussions about scaling back the unprecedented bond-buying programs that aided the economy during the pandemic. Some market participants believe it’s still too soon for the central bank to signal such a tapering action, while others think the Fed will be able to find a happy medium that won’t upset the markets.\nEach scenario has different investing implications as they are expected to make big moves across asset classes.\nHere’s a playbook for traders on every scenario from the central bank’s key meeting.\nIf the Fed signals it’s staying with easy policies\nThe Fed could reiterate its transitory stance on inflation, ignoring the pick-up in price pressures reflected in recent economic data. If the central bank says its not time to remove accommodative policies and it’s not concerned about inflation, investors should stick with hedges against rising prices like commodities and stocks with high pricing power, investment banks found.\nBank of America screened S&P 500 companies that its analysts believe have the most pricing power and ability to expand margins at times of rising prices. The stocks include a few chipmakers —Nvidia,Texas InstrumentsandBroadcom— as well as consumer plays likeHome Depot,NikeandPepsiCo.Energy dividend payerExxon Mobilis also on the list.\nUBS also developed a framework for scoring corporate pricing agility, which considers pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure. For pricing power, UBS quantified the extent to which a company can raise prices over and above costs. For margin momentum, UBS tracked corporate pricing trends using its proprietary pricing mapping.\nFor input cost exposure, UBS searched for companies with negative sentiment around commodity and transport costs on earnings calls.\n\nBillionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones said earlier this week that investors should “go all in on the inflation trades” if the Fed keeps ignoring higher prices.\n“If they treat these numbers — which were material events, they were very material —if they treat them with nonchalance, I think it’s just a green light to bet heavily on every inflation trade,” Tudor Jones said on “Squawk Box”on Monday.\n“If they say, ‘We’re on path, things are good,’ then I would just go all in on the inflation trades. I’d probably buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold,” added Tudor Jones, who called the stock market crash in 1987.\nThe legendary investor believe cryptocurrencies and other commodities are favorable inflation hedges. Other than buying the commodities outright, investors could also bet on related exchange-traded funds, like gold miner ETFs.\nThe VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX),the biggest gold miner ETF with more than $14 billion in assets under management, has outperformed the populargold ETF GLDso far this year.\nIf the Fed signals it’s time to start removing easy policies\nAnother widely speculated scenario is for the Fed to signal that it’s nearing the time to dial back easy policy saying it will start tapering soon and move up its forecast for a rate increase. Under such a case where the central bank isn’t sufficiently dovish, many expect bond yields to shoot higher.\n“It could easily move longer yields higher,” said Kristina Hooper, Invesco’s chief global market strategist. “A revised dot plot could be one way to do that if it shows the anticipation of earlier or more aggressive rate hikes. And Fed Chair Jay Powell could easily push rates up if he shares that the Fed has started discussing tapering or suggests tapering could start in the next several months.”\nTudor Jones warned that this scenario could lead to another taper tantrum that could cause a correction in stocks.\n“If they course correct, if they say, ‘We’ve got incoming data, we’ve accomplished our mission or we’re on the way very rapidly to accomplishing our mission on employment,’ then you’re going to get a taper tantrum,”Tudor Jones said on Monday. “You’re going to get a sell-off in fixed income. You’re going to get a correction in stocks.”\nCNBC Pro combed through the returns of all S&P 500 stocks during the last five significant spikes in the 10-year Treasury yield. These five periods of a sharp move in rates occurred between 2003 and 2006, 2008 and 2009, 2012 and 2013, 2016 and 2018, and 2020 through now.\nAfter we found the stocks that beat the market every time, we looked for the names that are well-loved by analysts on Wall Street today. The stocks’ average gains during those rising interest rate periods are listed below, along with the percentage of analysts with buy ratings right now.\n\nBank of America’s head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy Savita Subramanian is advising clients to buy high-quality stocks when tapering nears. High-quality stocks have a “B+” or better S&P quality rating.\nSubramanian said during the 2013 taper tantrum, high-quality names outperformed their low-quality counterparts by 1.3 percentage points from peak to trough in May and June.\nA hint at removing stimulus could also hurt stocks that are most sensitive to the economic recovery, including cyclicals like financials, energy and materials.\n“More hawkish = lower growth. Cyclicals should underperform,” Dennis DeBusschere, macro research analyst at Evercore ISI, said in a note. “The fact that hawkish concerns are being brought up at the same time people believe the reflation trade is in trouble and you have a poor Cyclical backdrop.”\nSo far in 2021, the energy sector has been the biggest winner among the 11 S&P 500 groupings, up 46%. Financials and real estate both gained more than 20% this year.\nIf the Fed makes both camps happy\nA third scenario could occur in which the Fed signals that it is concerned about inflation, but the central bank is not yet ready to taper.\nIf Fed chair Jerome Powell admits the discussion of tapering but nothing has been decided, then the market will likely see a modest rally, led by tech stocks, according to Tom Essaye, founder of the Sevens Report.\n“This is essentially the outcome that Powell and the Fed have been telegraphing for the past several weeks,” Essaye said. “This would be a continuation of the past two weeks’ Goldilocks market outlook. This outcome would help the S&P 500 extend last week’s breakout.”\nInvestors have been rotating back to tech as of late with bond yields coming down. The tech-heavyNasdaq Compositehas rallied about 2.5% this month, hitting a record close on Monday, its first all-time high since April 26. In comparison, the S&P 500 has risen just under 1% in June.\n“This is what the Fed has been doing for the last several months — warning that an inflation surge was coming but that it is transitory so no need to taper,” Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group, told CNBC. “Moreover, this is probably the most expected outcome from the Fed meeting.”\n“Yes, there may be comments by members that the time to start talking about tapering is here, but I think Powell will continue to suggest that inflation is up as expected but is not yet acting any differently than anticipated,” added Paulsen.\nThis year’s pullback in tech stocks has opened some opportunities in high-quality names that are now trading at a discount, according to top-rated technology analyst Toni Sacconaghi of Bernstein.\nThe Wall Street firm found several technology stocks that have inexpensive valuations and are high in quality. Bernstein screened for the cheapest tech names based on their forward price-to-earnings ratio. The firm also assigned each stock with a quality score.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":128243132,"gmtCreate":1624520946926,"gmtModify":1631888742581,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559442218430793","authorIdStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"[得意]&nbsp;","text":"[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128243132","repostId":"1176854050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176854050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624506221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176854050?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: A Lesson In Humility","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176854050","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can se","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.</li>\n <li>With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.</li>\n <li>I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16088600ba424779ab370711976bff68\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Sometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothership<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.</p>\n<p>Back inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54fd49361e0720105b3d38a4c4c88fa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>I’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.</p>\n<p>Momentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.</p>\n<p>Overall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.</p>\n<p>Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.</p>\n<p>The earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.</p>\n<p>If we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef4525c330221c7768acc84c336cd8ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>We can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.</p>\n<p>The 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.</p>\n<p>Momentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.</p>\n<p><b>Fundamentals still bullish</b></p>\n<p>I’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7297a6360a43284ab70d4caf12d206f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>All years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.</p>\n<p>Canaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?</p>\n<p>At any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.</p>\n<p>Another thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&amp;A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9effb44d7bda8f3bdb535e80dd1ac0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>All three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&amp;A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&amp;A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.</p>\n<p>Margins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6401d5cd793a93d0ed6d36f911abdb15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>This is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.</p>\n<p><b>Other considerations</b></p>\n<p>Tesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.</p>\n<p>Even so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&amp;D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.</p>\n<p>Another risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&amp;D, factory construction, and the like.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8f44f661051d87ad3f2906cabe5479d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>The share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0569f35589cc0f82bb006148271df19b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Tesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent years<i>shouldn’t</i>be necessary any longer.</p>\n<p>Indeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fa413fc33c85d7269e987b2c11c888\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Net debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.</p>\n<p><b>Is it cheap?</b></p>\n<p>Not really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2d9f38636872d9d508e096e9ac8af8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>However, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and then<i>double</i>again by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.</p>\n<p>I’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Tesla<i>usually</i>shines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.</p>\n<p>All in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: A Lesson In Humility</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: A Lesson In Humility\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 11:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1176854050","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.\n\nAdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nSometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothershipTesla(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.\nBack inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.\nSource: StockCharts\nI’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.\nMomentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.\nOverall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.\nFinally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.\nThe earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.\nIf we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.\nSource: StockCharts\nWe can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.\nThe 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.\nMomentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.\nFundamentals still bullish\nI’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAll years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.\nCanaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?\nAt any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.\nAnother thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.\nSource: TIKR.com\nAll three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.\nMargins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nThis is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.\nOther considerations\nTesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.\nEven so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.\nAnother risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&D, factory construction, and the like.\nSource: TIKR.com\nThe share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.\nSource: TIKR.com\nTesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent yearsshouldn’tbe necessary any longer.\nIndeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.\nSource: TIKR.com\nNet debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.\nIs it cheap?\nNot really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.\nSource: TIKR.com\nHowever, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and thendoubleagain by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.\nI’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Teslausuallyshines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.\nAll in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":167243301,"gmtCreate":1624273427603,"gmtModify":1631888742586,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559442218430793","authorIdStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167243301","repostId":"1149553617","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149553617","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624263578,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149553617?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 16:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Blockchain stocks dipped in premarket trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149553617","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 21) Bitcoin (BTC-USD) started the week in bear mode, Last Wednesday, the Fed's surprise hawkis","content":"<p>(June 21)&nbsp;Bitcoin (BTC-USD) started the week in bear mode,&nbsp;Last Wednesday,&nbsp;the Fed's surprise hawkish turn . St. Louis Fed boss Jim Bullard this morning added to things &nbsp;Last Friday morning,&nbsp;saying he believes the first rate hike will come late in 2022.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d123707a69b0e6ba950ac413cd757015\" tg-width=\"1075\" tg-height=\"786\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>While that's still a long way off, Fed thinking has clearly gone from continuing to pump the recovery, to caution about overheating. It's hitting risk assets of all sorts, including bitcoin, now&nbsp;down about 6.5%&nbsp;on the session, and barely above $33K.</p>\n<p>Blockchain-related players: Microstrategy (MSTR-5.95%), Riot Blockchain (RIOT-5.53%), Marathon Patent (MARA-5.29%), Canaan (CAN-4.30%)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/507c43db5da2929250ca3af23986a198\" tg-width=\"308\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Getting away from price action, adoption continues to grow, with Goldman Sachs this morning hooking up with alumnus Mike Novogratz's Galaxy Digitalto ramp up bitcoin trading offerings for its roster of institutional clients.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Blockchain stocks dipped in premarket trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBlockchain stocks dipped in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-21 16:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 21)&nbsp;Bitcoin (BTC-USD) started the week in bear mode,&nbsp;Last Wednesday,&nbsp;the Fed's surprise hawkish turn . St. Louis Fed boss Jim Bullard this morning added to things &nbsp;Last Friday morning,&nbsp;saying he believes the first rate hike will come late in 2022.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d123707a69b0e6ba950ac413cd757015\" tg-width=\"1075\" tg-height=\"786\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>While that's still a long way off, Fed thinking has clearly gone from continuing to pump the recovery, to caution about overheating. It's hitting risk assets of all sorts, including bitcoin, now&nbsp;down about 6.5%&nbsp;on the session, and barely above $33K.</p>\n<p>Blockchain-related players: Microstrategy (MSTR-5.95%), Riot Blockchain (RIOT-5.53%), Marathon Patent (MARA-5.29%), Canaan (CAN-4.30%)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/507c43db5da2929250ca3af23986a198\" tg-width=\"308\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Getting away from price action, adoption continues to grow, with Goldman Sachs this morning hooking up with alumnus Mike Novogratz's Galaxy Digitalto ramp up bitcoin trading offerings for its roster of institutional clients.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSTR":"MicroStrategy","NCTY":"第九城市","CAN":"嘉楠科技","EBON":"亿邦国际","MARA":"MARA Holdings","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149553617","content_text":"(June 21) Bitcoin (BTC-USD) started the week in bear mode, Last Wednesday, the Fed's surprise hawkish turn . St. Louis Fed boss Jim Bullard this morning added to things  Last Friday morning, saying he believes the first rate hike will come late in 2022.\n\nWhile that's still a long way off, Fed thinking has clearly gone from continuing to pump the recovery, to caution about overheating. It's hitting risk assets of all sorts, including bitcoin, now down about 6.5% on the session, and barely above $33K.\nBlockchain-related players: Microstrategy (MSTR-5.95%), Riot Blockchain (RIOT-5.53%), Marathon Patent (MARA-5.29%), Canaan (CAN-4.30%)\n\nGetting away from price action, adoption continues to grow, with Goldman Sachs this morning hooking up with alumnus Mike Novogratz's Galaxy Digitalto ramp up bitcoin trading offerings for its roster of institutional clients.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":861,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":126817959,"gmtCreate":1624550892271,"gmtModify":1631888742566,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559442218430793","authorIdStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126817959","repostId":"1180709423","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":888,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128248996,"gmtCreate":1624521036815,"gmtModify":1631888742573,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559442218430793","authorIdStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[摊手]&nbsp;","listText":"[摊手]&nbsp;","text":"[摊手]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128248996","repostId":"1198462718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128241546,"gmtCreate":1624521015985,"gmtModify":1631888742577,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559442218430793","authorIdStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128241546","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145156570","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624489510,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145156570?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla lifts Nasdaq to record-high close, S&P 500 dips","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145156570","media":"Reuters","summary":"June 23  - The Nasdaq climbed to a record-high close on Wednesday, fueled by a rally in Tesla Inc , while the S&P 500 dipped, even as investors cheered data that showed a record peak for U.S. factory activity in June.Gains in Nvidia Corp and $Facebook$ Inc extended a recent rebound in top-shelf growth stocks that fell out of favor in recent months as investors focused on companies expected to do well as the economy recovers from the pandemic.Data firm IHS $Markit$ said its flash U.S. manufacturi","content":"<p>June 23 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq climbed to a record-high close on Wednesday, fueled by a rally in Tesla Inc , while the S&amp;P 500 dipped, even as investors cheered data that showed a record peak for U.S. factory activity in June.</p>\n<p>Gains in Nvidia Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc extended a recent rebound in top-shelf growth stocks that fell out of favor in recent months as investors focused on companies expected to do well as the economy recovers from the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Data firm IHS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> said its flash U.S. manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index rose to a reading of 62.6 this month, beating estimates of 61.5, but manufacturers are still struggling to secure raw materials and qualified workers, substantially raising prices.</p>\n<p>The \"high level of today's surveys will provide some confirmation for the Fed that the time to begin taking its foot off the accelerator is not far away,\" said Jai Malhi, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.</p>\n<p>On Tuesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank's intent not to raise interest rates too quickly, based only on the fear of coming inflation.</p>\n<p>Powell's comments follow the Fed's projection a week ago of an increase in interest rates as soon as 2023, sooner than anticipated. Since then, growth stocks, including major tech names like Tesla and Nvidia, have mostly rallied and outperformed value stocks, like banks and materials companies.</p>\n<p>\"People are plowing money into what has worked. People are basically momentum-chasing and they're using the last three years of performance to figure out what to chase,\" said Mike Zigmont, head of trading and research at Harvest Volatility Management in New York.</p>\n<p>Eight of the 11 major S&amp;P sector indexes fell, with utilities down about 1% and leading the way lower, followed by a 0.6% dip in materials .</p>\n<p>Tesla jumped 5.3% after the electric vehicle maker said it had opened a solar-powered charging station with on-site power storage in the Tibetan capital Lhasa, its first such facility in China. That trimmed the stock's loss in 2021 to about 7%.</p>\n<p>Extending investors' recent preference for growth stocks, the S&amp;P 500 growth index edged up 0.01%, while the value index dipped 0.24%.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.21% to end at 33,874.24 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.11% to 4,241.84.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.13% to 14,271.73.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has gained about 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq and Dow are up about 11%.</p>\n<p>Nikola Corp rallied 4.3% after the electric and hydrogen vehicle maker said it is investing $50 million in Wabash Valley Resources LLC to produce clean hydrogen in the U.S. Midwest for its zero-emission trucks.</p>\n<p>Among so-called meme stocks, software firm Alfi Inc tumbled 26% after more than doubling in value in the prior session, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">Torchlight Energy Resources Inc</a> slumped 30%, tumbling for a second day after announcing an upsized stock offering.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.14-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.42-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 33 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 91 new highs and 28 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.3 billion shares, compared with the 11.1 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla lifts Nasdaq to record-high close, S&P 500 dips</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla lifts Nasdaq to record-high close, S&P 500 dips\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-24 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>June 23 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq climbed to a record-high close on Wednesday, fueled by a rally in Tesla Inc , while the S&amp;P 500 dipped, even as investors cheered data that showed a record peak for U.S. factory activity in June.</p>\n<p>Gains in Nvidia Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc extended a recent rebound in top-shelf growth stocks that fell out of favor in recent months as investors focused on companies expected to do well as the economy recovers from the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Data firm IHS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> said its flash U.S. manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index rose to a reading of 62.6 this month, beating estimates of 61.5, but manufacturers are still struggling to secure raw materials and qualified workers, substantially raising prices.</p>\n<p>The \"high level of today's surveys will provide some confirmation for the Fed that the time to begin taking its foot off the accelerator is not far away,\" said Jai Malhi, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.</p>\n<p>On Tuesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank's intent not to raise interest rates too quickly, based only on the fear of coming inflation.</p>\n<p>Powell's comments follow the Fed's projection a week ago of an increase in interest rates as soon as 2023, sooner than anticipated. Since then, growth stocks, including major tech names like Tesla and Nvidia, have mostly rallied and outperformed value stocks, like banks and materials companies.</p>\n<p>\"People are plowing money into what has worked. People are basically momentum-chasing and they're using the last three years of performance to figure out what to chase,\" said Mike Zigmont, head of trading and research at Harvest Volatility Management in New York.</p>\n<p>Eight of the 11 major S&amp;P sector indexes fell, with utilities down about 1% and leading the way lower, followed by a 0.6% dip in materials .</p>\n<p>Tesla jumped 5.3% after the electric vehicle maker said it had opened a solar-powered charging station with on-site power storage in the Tibetan capital Lhasa, its first such facility in China. That trimmed the stock's loss in 2021 to about 7%.</p>\n<p>Extending investors' recent preference for growth stocks, the S&amp;P 500 growth index edged up 0.01%, while the value index dipped 0.24%.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.21% to end at 33,874.24 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.11% to 4,241.84.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.13% to 14,271.73.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has gained about 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq and Dow are up about 11%.</p>\n<p>Nikola Corp rallied 4.3% after the electric and hydrogen vehicle maker said it is investing $50 million in Wabash Valley Resources LLC to produce clean hydrogen in the U.S. Midwest for its zero-emission trucks.</p>\n<p>Among so-called meme stocks, software firm Alfi Inc tumbled 26% after more than doubling in value in the prior session, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">Torchlight Energy Resources Inc</a> slumped 30%, tumbling for a second day after announcing an upsized stock offering.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.14-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.42-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 33 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 91 new highs and 28 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.3 billion shares, compared with the 11.1 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","NVDA":"英伟达",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","NKLA":"Nikola Corporation","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","INFO":"Harbor PanAgora Dynamic Large Cap Core ETF","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145156570","content_text":"June 23 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq climbed to a record-high close on Wednesday, fueled by a rally in Tesla Inc , while the S&P 500 dipped, even as investors cheered data that showed a record peak for U.S. factory activity in June.\nGains in Nvidia Corp and Facebook Inc extended a recent rebound in top-shelf growth stocks that fell out of favor in recent months as investors focused on companies expected to do well as the economy recovers from the pandemic.\nData firm IHS Markit said its flash U.S. manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index rose to a reading of 62.6 this month, beating estimates of 61.5, but manufacturers are still struggling to secure raw materials and qualified workers, substantially raising prices.\nThe \"high level of today's surveys will provide some confirmation for the Fed that the time to begin taking its foot off the accelerator is not far away,\" said Jai Malhi, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.\nOn Tuesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the central bank's intent not to raise interest rates too quickly, based only on the fear of coming inflation.\nPowell's comments follow the Fed's projection a week ago of an increase in interest rates as soon as 2023, sooner than anticipated. Since then, growth stocks, including major tech names like Tesla and Nvidia, have mostly rallied and outperformed value stocks, like banks and materials companies.\n\"People are plowing money into what has worked. People are basically momentum-chasing and they're using the last three years of performance to figure out what to chase,\" said Mike Zigmont, head of trading and research at Harvest Volatility Management in New York.\nEight of the 11 major S&P sector indexes fell, with utilities down about 1% and leading the way lower, followed by a 0.6% dip in materials .\nTesla jumped 5.3% after the electric vehicle maker said it had opened a solar-powered charging station with on-site power storage in the Tibetan capital Lhasa, its first such facility in China. That trimmed the stock's loss in 2021 to about 7%.\nExtending investors' recent preference for growth stocks, the S&P 500 growth index edged up 0.01%, while the value index dipped 0.24%.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.21% to end at 33,874.24 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.11% to 4,241.84.\nThe Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.13% to 14,271.73.\nThe S&P 500 has gained about 13% in 2021, while the Nasdaq and Dow are up about 11%.\nNikola Corp rallied 4.3% after the electric and hydrogen vehicle maker said it is investing $50 million in Wabash Valley Resources LLC to produce clean hydrogen in the U.S. Midwest for its zero-emission trucks.\nAmong so-called meme stocks, software firm Alfi Inc tumbled 26% after more than doubling in value in the prior session, while Torchlight Energy Resources Inc slumped 30%, tumbling for a second day after announcing an upsized stock offering.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.14-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.42-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 33 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 91 new highs and 28 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.3 billion shares, compared with the 11.1 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128241062,"gmtCreate":1624520993056,"gmtModify":1631888742578,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559442218430793","authorIdStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[贱笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[贱笑]&nbsp;","text":"[贱笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128241062","repostId":"1182818110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182818110","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624504323,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182818110?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 11:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Bull Is Far From Over: 3 Undervalued Blue Chip Dividend Buys","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182818110","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe Fed jolted investors last week, before Powell backpedalled to reassure everyone.\nThis s","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The Fed jolted investors last week, before Powell backpedalled to reassure everyone.</li>\n <li>This shows just how difficult it will be for the Fed to actually rein in the economy.</li>\n <li>Some value names are once again on our \"buy list\". Here are three great ones.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>On a recent Bloomberg video call, Ray Dalio suggested that the Fed will have a lot of trouble doing any rate hike without having significantly adverse effects on stocks.</p>\n<p>Following the Fed meeting last week, the news that rates might be raised in two years rather than three gave the markets a jolt, as the message was interpreted as hawkish by the investing community.</p>\n<p>This caused Jerome Powell to backpedal, reminding everyone of his favorite word: \"transitory\". It was important that he once again reminded everyone that inflation would head back to 2%, and that nobody needs to worry.</p>\n<p>He did cover his 6 however,stating:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>We have to be very humble about our ability to really try to draw a signal out of it [...] It might take some patience to really see what’s happening.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Larry Summers had adifferent take on it: \n <i>I don't think the arithmetic is terribly difficult.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <i> You're looking at an average GDP gap deficit to potential GDP of 2%, and we're looking at a 14% of GDP fiscal stimulus. [...] The important question is whether there is 6 points of transitory inflation or 2 points of transitory inflation.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>This idea is very important. Rather than asking whether inflation is transitory or not, we should be asking how much of it is transitory.</p>\n<p>And this is where the risk currently lies. While the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) performed a roundtrip from 4250 to 4250 with a 90 point drop in between, a lot of the more cyclical stocks took a hit which put them back in our \"Buy List\".</p>\n<p>Our take is that the Fed is realizing that it can't really increase rates without causing ruckus in markets.</p>\n<p>When you add this to the fact that they might not have any choice but to keep printing money to buy bonds as the supply of bonds might overshoot the demand of these from foreign countries who already hold lots of US debt and show limited interest in purchasing the debt at negative real interest rates. This is according to Ray Dalio in the same call with Larry Summers mentioned above.</p>\n<p>The risk of monetary inflation is very real. The likelihood of demand to continue increasing dramatically as money stored in financial markets hits the economy is also very high.</p>\n<p>What we've learned in investing, is that investors are too eager to wrap up a trade and move on to the \"next thing\". Many times, this is shortsighted, as even when the train has left the station, there is a lot of track left ahead.</p>\n<p>This is one of these situations.</p>\n<p>Valuations in high quality blue chips which are sensitive to the economy reopening are still so far from pre-Covid levels.</p>\n<p>The fact that they are taking a breather doesn't detract from their ultimate destination, which is a lot higher.</p>\n<p>In this article I highlight 3 such stocks.</p>\n<p>Plus in the meantime you get to sleep well at night, knowing that they offer a great combination of dividend yield and dividend growth.</p>\n<p>Heads you win, tails you win more.</p>\n<p><b>IBM (IBM)</b></p>\n<p>While IBM has increased from our latest mention of it in a public article, when we were purchasing the stock at a 5%+ yield, it still hovers just below our target \"Buy Below\" price of $150, courtesy of a small pull back last week.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a8abbcb78d88ebe9b82eb258078cd4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Dividend Freedom Tribe.</span></p>\n<p>Dividend growth has come to a stand still, and while we loaded up lower, it is still a great opportunity.</p>\n<p>The real value lies in the fact that investors are not pricing Krishna's operational excellence since taking over.</p>\n<p>IBM stunned investors with its Q1 results. Fellow author Virginia Backaitis states in her excellent articleanalyzing IBM'soperations:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>I like how Krishna is thinking, and I like former Red Hat CEO Jim Whitehurst at his side. They are making purchases that align with IBM's strategy which hasn't always been the case at the company. The product lines that IBM is selling off now are smart choices... and they have others left to sell (but maybe there isn't a buyer).</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>This value will likely be realized following the spin-off of the legacy business into an entity which will benamed kyndryl.</p>\n<p>Investors will likely be left with a high yield managed infrastructure business, and a low yield high growth cloud stock.</p>\n<p>When it happens, we'll decide which of both we'll hold onto, but we're quite confident that the two pieces will be worth than the sum of the part.</p>\n<p>And while you wait for this, you still get paid 4.5% by a super safe Blue Chip stock, which has the pricing power to fight inflation.</p>\n<p><b>KeyCorp (KEY)</b></p>\n<p>One thing the last round of stress tests showed, was that US banks are resilient, and well capitalized. Yet last week they took a hit after the fed meeting. This week stress tests will be released, and most large banks are expected to do really well.</p>\n<p>After that, dividend increases will come in July as banks are eager to start returning wealth to shareholders.</p>\n<p>Keycorp is no exception. For an analysis of KEY's earnings development you can read Sheen Bay Research'sarticleon the stock.</p>\n<p>Where I differ from his opinion is on the question of the dividend. While he doesn't expect a dividend hike, I expect all major banks to compete in their dividend increases.</p>\n<p>What investors must not forget is that in 2008 KEY paid a dividend of $0.38 per quarter, or double the current dividend.</p>\n<p>Since then, the company has been slowly redeeming itself, increasing the dividend every year.</p>\n<p>The pandemic restrictions stopped KEY in their tracks.</p>\n<p>A look at our MAD Chart shows how eager the bank was at returning capital to shareholders in the past 10 years. Each time the dividend increases, the inferred value ranges shown on the MAD chart goes up.</p>\n<p>In the past 10 years the dividend grew at 20% per annum, the rate dropped to 15% in the past 5 years, hindered by 0 growth last year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce032ffe59e73db2d6a1e09b4ff723b4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Dividend Freedom Tribe.</span></p>\n<p>I believe that a 10-15% increase is very likely this year.</p>\n<p>In this event, KEY's current yield of 3.6% would effectively become a 4% yield.</p>\n<p>But to get fantastic income from KEY, you don't even need that much growth.</p>\n<p>At a 3.6% yield, if you can get 7.5% annual dividend growth you get a fantastic income opportunity.</p>\n<p>Let's look at a simulation.</p>\n<p>Let's suggest a $10K investment in KEY, with dividends reinvested and dividend growth of 7.5% per annum.</p>\n<p>In year 10, you'd expect $1,004 of income, or 10% of your original investment, which is our threshold for a \"great\" income opportunity.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c24e62697eb475528e1b9f04686a12\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"240\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Dividend Freedom Tribe.</span></p>\n<p>In our mind there is no way that KEY doesn't grow at this rate, which would suggest hitting its pre 2008 dividend in 10 years.</p>\n<p>As such we believe KEY to be a great pick for income investors. As KEY's dividend growth is on the back of growth in earnings and tangible book value per share, there is no doubt in our mind that sooner or later, the price will catch up with the higher income. The fed stress tests might be the catalyst banks need to move higher.</p>\n<p>In the meantime get paid to wait.</p>\n<p><b>Chevron (CVX)</b></p>\n<p>Chevron is another stock which is hovering just below our target \"Buy Below\" price.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/100902df9308eeb7576e22704f403240\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Dividend Freedom Tribe.</span></p>\n<p>We're surprised that the oil trade is taking so long to play out. In late 2015, early 2016, the recovery to historically normal yields was a lot faster.</p>\n<p>Yet CVX still yields 5%, after proving its resilience, superior balance sheet and increasing the dividend by 4% this year, sustaining their history of higher dividends every year for the past three decades.</p>\n<p>Consider the following slide from their latestearnings call:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b49cefbd9ee55c299d2b3a03211a3b6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Earnings Call.</span></p>\n<p>At $40 brent, the dividend is covered with a little extra debt. As the energy major with the best balance sheet, it can afford this. At $60 brent, there would be excess cash above $25bn, or enough to fund the dividend for two and a half years.</p>\n<p>Brent is currently above $70. The longer it stays above that level, the higher the likelihood that CVX will actually have the excess cash suggested in the latter scenario.</p>\n<p>Back in August last year we suggested that you'll belaughing your wayto the bank with CVX's 6% yield.</p>\n<p>Since then, CVX has marginally beaten the S&amp;P 500, but is far from over.</p>\n<p>In the past 10 years CVX has yielded a median 3.86%. Its forward outlook is arguably better now than it was in much of the past decade, which had the energy market dealing with endemic oversupply. With underinvestment, the opposite is likely to be true in upcoming years.</p>\n<p>If anything CVX should gravitate back towards its median yield which suggests further upside of 20%, much of which we expect will be realized in the latter half of 2021.</p>\n<p>If you simulate a $10K investment in CVX assuming a 5% yield and 4% dividend growth, and reinvest dividends, then in year 10 you'd expect $1,154 in dividends of which $409 is expected to come from dividend reinvestments.</p>\n<p>This equates to 11.54% of the initial investment, making CVX also an excellent income opportunity at current prices.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53e365890df23b4af31565c7b170c14f\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"240\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Dividend Freedom Tribe.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>As long term dividend investors, we're always eager to get top companies at great valuations. The fed meeting changed nothing to the reopening trade. If anything it gave them a warning that even the slightest hint of a rate increase would be interpreted as hawkish, which will likely have the consequence of them acting later than they should, which exacerbates the likelihood of the value trade continuing.</p>\n<p>Don't confuse the market taking a breather with the end of the trade.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Bull Is Far From Over: 3 Undervalued Blue Chip Dividend Buys</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Bull Is Far From Over: 3 Undervalued Blue Chip Dividend Buys\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 11:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436276-this-bull-is-far-from-over-3-undervalued-blue-chip-dividend-buys><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe Fed jolted investors last week, before Powell backpedalled to reassure everyone.\nThis shows just how difficult it will be for the Fed to actually rein in the economy.\nSome value names are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436276-this-bull-is-far-from-over-3-undervalued-blue-chip-dividend-buys\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KEY":"KeyCorp","IBM":"IBM","CVX":"雪佛龙"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436276-this-bull-is-far-from-over-3-undervalued-blue-chip-dividend-buys","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1182818110","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe Fed jolted investors last week, before Powell backpedalled to reassure everyone.\nThis shows just how difficult it will be for the Fed to actually rein in the economy.\nSome value names are once again on our \"buy list\". Here are three great ones.\n\nIntroduction\nOn a recent Bloomberg video call, Ray Dalio suggested that the Fed will have a lot of trouble doing any rate hike without having significantly adverse effects on stocks.\nFollowing the Fed meeting last week, the news that rates might be raised in two years rather than three gave the markets a jolt, as the message was interpreted as hawkish by the investing community.\nThis caused Jerome Powell to backpedal, reminding everyone of his favorite word: \"transitory\". It was important that he once again reminded everyone that inflation would head back to 2%, and that nobody needs to worry.\nHe did cover his 6 however,stating:\n\nWe have to be very humble about our ability to really try to draw a signal out of it [...] It might take some patience to really see what’s happening.\n\n\n Larry Summers had adifferent take on it: \n I don't think the arithmetic is terribly difficult.\n\n\n You're looking at an average GDP gap deficit to potential GDP of 2%, and we're looking at a 14% of GDP fiscal stimulus. [...] The important question is whether there is 6 points of transitory inflation or 2 points of transitory inflation.\n\nThis idea is very important. Rather than asking whether inflation is transitory or not, we should be asking how much of it is transitory.\nAnd this is where the risk currently lies. While the S&P 500 (SPY) performed a roundtrip from 4250 to 4250 with a 90 point drop in between, a lot of the more cyclical stocks took a hit which put them back in our \"Buy List\".\nOur take is that the Fed is realizing that it can't really increase rates without causing ruckus in markets.\nWhen you add this to the fact that they might not have any choice but to keep printing money to buy bonds as the supply of bonds might overshoot the demand of these from foreign countries who already hold lots of US debt and show limited interest in purchasing the debt at negative real interest rates. This is according to Ray Dalio in the same call with Larry Summers mentioned above.\nThe risk of monetary inflation is very real. The likelihood of demand to continue increasing dramatically as money stored in financial markets hits the economy is also very high.\nWhat we've learned in investing, is that investors are too eager to wrap up a trade and move on to the \"next thing\". Many times, this is shortsighted, as even when the train has left the station, there is a lot of track left ahead.\nThis is one of these situations.\nValuations in high quality blue chips which are sensitive to the economy reopening are still so far from pre-Covid levels.\nThe fact that they are taking a breather doesn't detract from their ultimate destination, which is a lot higher.\nIn this article I highlight 3 such stocks.\nPlus in the meantime you get to sleep well at night, knowing that they offer a great combination of dividend yield and dividend growth.\nHeads you win, tails you win more.\nIBM (IBM)\nWhile IBM has increased from our latest mention of it in a public article, when we were purchasing the stock at a 5%+ yield, it still hovers just below our target \"Buy Below\" price of $150, courtesy of a small pull back last week.\nSource: Dividend Freedom Tribe.\nDividend growth has come to a stand still, and while we loaded up lower, it is still a great opportunity.\nThe real value lies in the fact that investors are not pricing Krishna's operational excellence since taking over.\nIBM stunned investors with its Q1 results. Fellow author Virginia Backaitis states in her excellent articleanalyzing IBM'soperations:\n\nI like how Krishna is thinking, and I like former Red Hat CEO Jim Whitehurst at his side. They are making purchases that align with IBM's strategy which hasn't always been the case at the company. The product lines that IBM is selling off now are smart choices... and they have others left to sell (but maybe there isn't a buyer).\n\nThis value will likely be realized following the spin-off of the legacy business into an entity which will benamed kyndryl.\nInvestors will likely be left with a high yield managed infrastructure business, and a low yield high growth cloud stock.\nWhen it happens, we'll decide which of both we'll hold onto, but we're quite confident that the two pieces will be worth than the sum of the part.\nAnd while you wait for this, you still get paid 4.5% by a super safe Blue Chip stock, which has the pricing power to fight inflation.\nKeyCorp (KEY)\nOne thing the last round of stress tests showed, was that US banks are resilient, and well capitalized. Yet last week they took a hit after the fed meeting. This week stress tests will be released, and most large banks are expected to do really well.\nAfter that, dividend increases will come in July as banks are eager to start returning wealth to shareholders.\nKeycorp is no exception. For an analysis of KEY's earnings development you can read Sheen Bay Research'sarticleon the stock.\nWhere I differ from his opinion is on the question of the dividend. While he doesn't expect a dividend hike, I expect all major banks to compete in their dividend increases.\nWhat investors must not forget is that in 2008 KEY paid a dividend of $0.38 per quarter, or double the current dividend.\nSince then, the company has been slowly redeeming itself, increasing the dividend every year.\nThe pandemic restrictions stopped KEY in their tracks.\nA look at our MAD Chart shows how eager the bank was at returning capital to shareholders in the past 10 years. Each time the dividend increases, the inferred value ranges shown on the MAD chart goes up.\nIn the past 10 years the dividend grew at 20% per annum, the rate dropped to 15% in the past 5 years, hindered by 0 growth last year.\nSource: Dividend Freedom Tribe.\nI believe that a 10-15% increase is very likely this year.\nIn this event, KEY's current yield of 3.6% would effectively become a 4% yield.\nBut to get fantastic income from KEY, you don't even need that much growth.\nAt a 3.6% yield, if you can get 7.5% annual dividend growth you get a fantastic income opportunity.\nLet's look at a simulation.\nLet's suggest a $10K investment in KEY, with dividends reinvested and dividend growth of 7.5% per annum.\nIn year 10, you'd expect $1,004 of income, or 10% of your original investment, which is our threshold for a \"great\" income opportunity.\nSource: Dividend Freedom Tribe.\nIn our mind there is no way that KEY doesn't grow at this rate, which would suggest hitting its pre 2008 dividend in 10 years.\nAs such we believe KEY to be a great pick for income investors. As KEY's dividend growth is on the back of growth in earnings and tangible book value per share, there is no doubt in our mind that sooner or later, the price will catch up with the higher income. The fed stress tests might be the catalyst banks need to move higher.\nIn the meantime get paid to wait.\nChevron (CVX)\nChevron is another stock which is hovering just below our target \"Buy Below\" price.\nSource: Dividend Freedom Tribe.\nWe're surprised that the oil trade is taking so long to play out. In late 2015, early 2016, the recovery to historically normal yields was a lot faster.\nYet CVX still yields 5%, after proving its resilience, superior balance sheet and increasing the dividend by 4% this year, sustaining their history of higher dividends every year for the past three decades.\nConsider the following slide from their latestearnings call:\nSource: Earnings Call.\nAt $40 brent, the dividend is covered with a little extra debt. As the energy major with the best balance sheet, it can afford this. At $60 brent, there would be excess cash above $25bn, or enough to fund the dividend for two and a half years.\nBrent is currently above $70. The longer it stays above that level, the higher the likelihood that CVX will actually have the excess cash suggested in the latter scenario.\nBack in August last year we suggested that you'll belaughing your wayto the bank with CVX's 6% yield.\nSince then, CVX has marginally beaten the S&P 500, but is far from over.\nIn the past 10 years CVX has yielded a median 3.86%. Its forward outlook is arguably better now than it was in much of the past decade, which had the energy market dealing with endemic oversupply. With underinvestment, the opposite is likely to be true in upcoming years.\nIf anything CVX should gravitate back towards its median yield which suggests further upside of 20%, much of which we expect will be realized in the latter half of 2021.\nIf you simulate a $10K investment in CVX assuming a 5% yield and 4% dividend growth, and reinvest dividends, then in year 10 you'd expect $1,154 in dividends of which $409 is expected to come from dividend reinvestments.\nThis equates to 11.54% of the initial investment, making CVX also an excellent income opportunity at current prices.\nSource: Dividend Freedom Tribe.\nConclusion\nAs long term dividend investors, we're always eager to get top companies at great valuations. The fed meeting changed nothing to the reopening trade. If anything it gave them a warning that even the slightest hint of a rate increase would be interpreted as hawkish, which will likely have the consequence of them acting later than they should, which exacerbates the likelihood of the value trade continuing.\nDon't confuse the market taking a breather with the end of the trade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":166289710,"gmtCreate":1624011875930,"gmtModify":1631888742592,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559442218430793","authorIdStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166289710","repostId":"1198149770","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":168243674,"gmtCreate":1623977279898,"gmtModify":1631888742591,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559442218430793","authorIdStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168243674","repostId":"1198149770","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":601432849,"gmtCreate":1638546028622,"gmtModify":1638546028622,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559442218430793","authorIdStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601432849","repostId":"1103115640","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1026,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128246725,"gmtCreate":1624521094867,"gmtModify":1631888742570,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559442218430793","authorIdStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"[得意]&nbsp;","text":"[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128246725","repostId":"2145531099","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145531099","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624445171,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145531099?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 18:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Crypto: These Supercharged Stocks Can Make You Rich","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145531099","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The cryptocurrency bubble will inevitably burst. That's why these hypergrowth stocks make for such smart buys.","content":"<p>The stock market has long been the preferred creator of wealth. Although other investment vehicles, such as bonds or gold, have had superior performances for short stretches of time, no asset class has delivered better average annual returns than stocks over the long run.</p>\n<p>However, the emergence of cryptocurrencies is changing this mode of thinking. After watching <b>Bitcoin</b> (CRYPTO:BTC) rise from $1 to $40,000 in a little over a decade, and seeing <b>Dogecoin</b> (CRYPTO:DOGE) gallop higher by 27,000% in a six-month span, investors are feeling compelled to chase the momentum in the crypto space.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, this could prove to be a huge mistake.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e84aa34310d37f1ab30212f9dcf1bf0d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>The cryptocurrency bubble is eventually going to burst</h2>\n<p>While there's no denying that cryptocurrency has delivered some game-changing returns, most of this upside has been built on unsubstantiated hype. In other words, some folks view tokens like Bitcoin and Dogecoin as the future global currencies, but virtually nothing has suggested that this will come to fruition.</p>\n<p>The reality is that digital currencies are virtually useless outside of a cryptocurrency exchange. Bitcoin has been stuck handling 250,000 to 300,000 transactions daily for years, while Dogecoin has been averaging closer to 30,000 daily transactions of late. For comparison's sake, payment-processing giants <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a></b>&nbsp;and <b>Mastercard</b>&nbsp;handled 700 million transactions daily on a combined basis in 2018.</p>\n<p>To build on this point, Fundera estimated earlier this year that only around 15,200 businesses worldwide accepted Bitcoin. Meanwhile, online business directory Cryptwerk finds that Dogecoin is accepted by 1,400 companies. For context, there are more than 32 million businesses in the U.S., and an estimated 582 million entrepreneurs worldwide. There simply isn't the broad-based adoption that's being hyped by cryptocurrency supporters.</p>\n<p>At the same time, blockchain technology is caught in a Catch-22. Blockchain being the transparent and immutable underlying ledger of digital currencies that logs transactions. No business is willing to abandon time-tested infrastructure in favor of blockchain until it's demonstrated that blockchain can be scaled in the real world. At the same time, there won't be any evidence that blockchain is revolutionary if no businesses are willing to be an early stage guinea pig, so to speak.</p>\n<p>History unequivocally shows that all bubbles eventually burst, without exception. That's the fate awaiting cryptocurrencies.</p>\n<h2>Dump digital currencies in favor of this fast-growing trio</h2>\n<p>Rather than put your money to work in an asset class that's being driven by hype and emotion, my suggestion would be to buy the following trio of supercharged stocks. If you buy stakes in innovative businesses whose products and services have growing real-world application, and you hold these stakes for long periods of time, you'll very likely get rich.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16ca48e46c5ed915bdfaeb115d44e553\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>Etsy</h2>\n<p>To begin with, e-commerce platform <b>Etsy</b> (NASDAQ:ETSY) will have long-term investors forgetting all about the volatility and hype associated with digital currencies.</p>\n<p>To state the obvious, Etsy was a clear winner of the coronavirus pandemic. With people stuck in their homes, many turned online to buy basic-need and discretionary goods. For Etsy, this included a healthy uptick in sales from facial coverings. But the Etsy platform has <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> key advantage that not even <b>Amazon</b>&nbsp;looks to be a threat to: personalization.</p>\n<p>Etsy's platform is built on the idea of putting customers in contact with small merchants who can, if needed, customize their order. Etsy's collection of merchants focuses on personal engagement and uniqueness that shoppers simply won't find on bigger e-commerce platforms. The proof is in the pudding that Etsy's platform is resonating with shoppers. Habitual buyer spending -- those who purchased at least six separate times totaling more than $200, in aggregate, over the trailing year -- has been rocketing higher. Habitual buyers spent 205% more in the first quarter of 2021 than they did in the prior-year quarter.</p>\n<p>Since Etsy generates the bulk of its revenue from merchant ads, the company has also been aggressively reinvesting in its platform to streamline searches and keep users engaged. Last year, it introduced listing videos to promote products, and it's been giving its smaller merchants greater access to analytic tools.</p>\n<p>It's not out of the question that Etsy triples its annual revenue by mid-decade.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95488cfb7d1265a9ff2f104768cae97b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"464\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>Sea Limited</h2>\n<p>Another supercharged growth stock that can make investors rich is Singapore-based <b>Sea Limited</b> (NYSE:SE). Even though Sea is far from inexpensive, the premium you'd be paying takes into account that it has three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments.</p>\n<p>For the time being, Sea is generating virtually all of its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) from its gaming division. Similar to online shopping, gaming benefited notably from people being stuck in their homes. Since Sea's mobile games target global audiences, and the pandemic is nowhere near over in many parts of the world, demand for gaming entertainment will likely remain robust. Over the past year (through the end of March), quarterly active paying users grew by 124%, with 12.3% of the company's total gamers now paying to play.</p>\n<p>Over the long run, Sea's crown jewel should be its e-commerce platform Shopee, which is consistently the most-popular shopping download in Southeastern Asia, and is gaining significant traction in Brazil. With a focus on emerging markets and regions where the middle class is growing at an incredible rate, Shopee saw gross orders jump 153% in the first quarter, with the gross merchandise value of these orders doubling to $12.6 billion. This is just the tip of the iceberg.</p>\n<p>Lastly, Sea's digital financial services division is bringing mobile wallet services to underbanked regions. Mobile wallet payment volume is on pace to potentially surpass $14 billion in 2021, with more than 26 million paying customers in Q1.</p>\n<p>If all goes well, Sea Limited's revenue could possibly quintuple over the next four years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68ecb34d6e4fd6f7dc599908229a09a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>CrowdStrike Holdings</h2>\n<p>Cybersecurity stock <b>CrowdStrike Holdings</b> (NASDAQ:CRWD) is a third supercharged growth company that can easily outpace the returns from the cryptocurrency industry over the long run.</p>\n<p>Cybersecurity might not be the fastest-growing industry over the next decade, but it could very well be the safest double-digit growth opportunity. With more businesses than ever shifting their data online and into the cloud due to the pandemic, the importance of protecting enterprise and consumer data is greater than ever before. In short, demand for third-party cybersecurity solutions providers is soaring.</p>\n<p>While there is no shortage of cybersecurity specialists to choose from, what sets CrowdStrike apart is its cloud-native Falcon platform. Being built in the cloud, and relying on artificial intelligence, Falcon oversees approximately 6 trillion events each week. This is to say that CrowdStrike's core platform is getting smarter at recognizing and responding to potential threats over time. And in many instances, CrowdStrike's solutions are more efficient and cost-effective than on-premises security options.</p>\n<p>It's plainly evident from the company's operating results that Falcon is resonating with enterprise customers. It's been able to retain 98% of its customers for two consecutive years, and existing clients have spent between 23% and 47% more on a year-over-year basis for 12 straight quarters. Arguably even more impressive is that 64% of customers have purchased four or more cloud-module subscriptions, which is up from 9% just four years ago. It's this rapid scaling from the company's enterprise clients that has CrowdStrike generating a subscription gross margin in the upper 70% range.</p>\n<p>Investors should expect CrowdStrike to grow by 30% or more on an annual basis through the midpoint of the decade.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Crypto: These Supercharged Stocks Can Make You Rich</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Crypto: These Supercharged Stocks Can Make You Rich\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 18:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/forget-crypto-supercharged-stocks-make-you-rich/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has long been the preferred creator of wealth. Although other investment vehicles, such as bonds or gold, have had superior performances for short stretches of time, no asset class ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/forget-crypto-supercharged-stocks-make-you-rich/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/23/forget-crypto-supercharged-stocks-make-you-rich/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145531099","content_text":"The stock market has long been the preferred creator of wealth. Although other investment vehicles, such as bonds or gold, have had superior performances for short stretches of time, no asset class has delivered better average annual returns than stocks over the long run.\nHowever, the emergence of cryptocurrencies is changing this mode of thinking. After watching Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) rise from $1 to $40,000 in a little over a decade, and seeing Dogecoin (CRYPTO:DOGE) gallop higher by 27,000% in a six-month span, investors are feeling compelled to chase the momentum in the crypto space.\nUnfortunately, this could prove to be a huge mistake.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nThe cryptocurrency bubble is eventually going to burst\nWhile there's no denying that cryptocurrency has delivered some game-changing returns, most of this upside has been built on unsubstantiated hype. In other words, some folks view tokens like Bitcoin and Dogecoin as the future global currencies, but virtually nothing has suggested that this will come to fruition.\nThe reality is that digital currencies are virtually useless outside of a cryptocurrency exchange. Bitcoin has been stuck handling 250,000 to 300,000 transactions daily for years, while Dogecoin has been averaging closer to 30,000 daily transactions of late. For comparison's sake, payment-processing giants Visa and Mastercard handled 700 million transactions daily on a combined basis in 2018.\nTo build on this point, Fundera estimated earlier this year that only around 15,200 businesses worldwide accepted Bitcoin. Meanwhile, online business directory Cryptwerk finds that Dogecoin is accepted by 1,400 companies. For context, there are more than 32 million businesses in the U.S., and an estimated 582 million entrepreneurs worldwide. There simply isn't the broad-based adoption that's being hyped by cryptocurrency supporters.\nAt the same time, blockchain technology is caught in a Catch-22. Blockchain being the transparent and immutable underlying ledger of digital currencies that logs transactions. No business is willing to abandon time-tested infrastructure in favor of blockchain until it's demonstrated that blockchain can be scaled in the real world. At the same time, there won't be any evidence that blockchain is revolutionary if no businesses are willing to be an early stage guinea pig, so to speak.\nHistory unequivocally shows that all bubbles eventually burst, without exception. That's the fate awaiting cryptocurrencies.\nDump digital currencies in favor of this fast-growing trio\nRather than put your money to work in an asset class that's being driven by hype and emotion, my suggestion would be to buy the following trio of supercharged stocks. If you buy stakes in innovative businesses whose products and services have growing real-world application, and you hold these stakes for long periods of time, you'll very likely get rich.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nEtsy\nTo begin with, e-commerce platform Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY) will have long-term investors forgetting all about the volatility and hype associated with digital currencies.\nTo state the obvious, Etsy was a clear winner of the coronavirus pandemic. With people stuck in their homes, many turned online to buy basic-need and discretionary goods. For Etsy, this included a healthy uptick in sales from facial coverings. But the Etsy platform has one key advantage that not even Amazon looks to be a threat to: personalization.\nEtsy's platform is built on the idea of putting customers in contact with small merchants who can, if needed, customize their order. Etsy's collection of merchants focuses on personal engagement and uniqueness that shoppers simply won't find on bigger e-commerce platforms. The proof is in the pudding that Etsy's platform is resonating with shoppers. Habitual buyer spending -- those who purchased at least six separate times totaling more than $200, in aggregate, over the trailing year -- has been rocketing higher. Habitual buyers spent 205% more in the first quarter of 2021 than they did in the prior-year quarter.\nSince Etsy generates the bulk of its revenue from merchant ads, the company has also been aggressively reinvesting in its platform to streamline searches and keep users engaged. Last year, it introduced listing videos to promote products, and it's been giving its smaller merchants greater access to analytic tools.\nIt's not out of the question that Etsy triples its annual revenue by mid-decade.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nSea Limited\nAnother supercharged growth stock that can make investors rich is Singapore-based Sea Limited (NYSE:SE). Even though Sea is far from inexpensive, the premium you'd be paying takes into account that it has three exceptionally fast-growing operating segments.\nFor the time being, Sea is generating virtually all of its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) from its gaming division. Similar to online shopping, gaming benefited notably from people being stuck in their homes. Since Sea's mobile games target global audiences, and the pandemic is nowhere near over in many parts of the world, demand for gaming entertainment will likely remain robust. Over the past year (through the end of March), quarterly active paying users grew by 124%, with 12.3% of the company's total gamers now paying to play.\nOver the long run, Sea's crown jewel should be its e-commerce platform Shopee, which is consistently the most-popular shopping download in Southeastern Asia, and is gaining significant traction in Brazil. With a focus on emerging markets and regions where the middle class is growing at an incredible rate, Shopee saw gross orders jump 153% in the first quarter, with the gross merchandise value of these orders doubling to $12.6 billion. This is just the tip of the iceberg.\nLastly, Sea's digital financial services division is bringing mobile wallet services to underbanked regions. Mobile wallet payment volume is on pace to potentially surpass $14 billion in 2021, with more than 26 million paying customers in Q1.\nIf all goes well, Sea Limited's revenue could possibly quintuple over the next four years.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nCrowdStrike Holdings\nCybersecurity stock CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD) is a third supercharged growth company that can easily outpace the returns from the cryptocurrency industry over the long run.\nCybersecurity might not be the fastest-growing industry over the next decade, but it could very well be the safest double-digit growth opportunity. With more businesses than ever shifting their data online and into the cloud due to the pandemic, the importance of protecting enterprise and consumer data is greater than ever before. In short, demand for third-party cybersecurity solutions providers is soaring.\nWhile there is no shortage of cybersecurity specialists to choose from, what sets CrowdStrike apart is its cloud-native Falcon platform. Being built in the cloud, and relying on artificial intelligence, Falcon oversees approximately 6 trillion events each week. This is to say that CrowdStrike's core platform is getting smarter at recognizing and responding to potential threats over time. And in many instances, CrowdStrike's solutions are more efficient and cost-effective than on-premises security options.\nIt's plainly evident from the company's operating results that Falcon is resonating with enterprise customers. It's been able to retain 98% of its customers for two consecutive years, and existing clients have spent between 23% and 47% more on a year-over-year basis for 12 straight quarters. Arguably even more impressive is that 64% of customers have purchased four or more cloud-module subscriptions, which is up from 9% just four years ago. It's this rapid scaling from the company's enterprise clients that has CrowdStrike generating a subscription gross margin in the upper 70% range.\nInvestors should expect CrowdStrike to grow by 30% or more on an annual basis through the midpoint of the decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":857,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":160356198,"gmtCreate":1623773307614,"gmtModify":1631888742597,"author":{"id":"3559442218430793","authorId":"3559442218430793","name":"ritchie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559442218430793","authorIdStr":"3559442218430793"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[OK]&nbsp;","listText":"[OK]&nbsp;","text":"[OK]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160356198","repostId":"1150591447","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150591447","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623769391,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150591447?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's a complete trader playbook for every outcome from the key Fed meeting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150591447","media":"CNBC","summary":"The Federal Reserve’s all-important policy meeting this week is going to affect where investors put ","content":"<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s all-important policy meeting this week is going to affect where investors put their money to work going forward.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee,which will conclude its two-day...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/heres-a-complete-trader-playbook-for-every-outcome-from-the-key-fed-meeting.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's a complete trader playbook for every outcome from the key Fed meeting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's a complete trader playbook for every outcome from the key Fed meeting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 23:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/heres-a-complete-trader-playbook-for-every-outcome-from-the-key-fed-meeting.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s all-important policy meeting this week is going to affect where investors put their money to work going forward.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee,which will conclude its two-day...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/heres-a-complete-trader-playbook-for-every-outcome-from-the-key-fed-meeting.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/heres-a-complete-trader-playbook-for-every-outcome-from-the-key-fed-meeting.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1150591447","content_text":"The Federal Reserve’s all-important policy meeting this week is going to affect where investors put their money to work going forward.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee,which will conclude its two-day meeting Wednesday, could start preliminary discussions about scaling back the unprecedented bond-buying programs that aided the economy during the pandemic. Some market participants believe it’s still too soon for the central bank to signal such a tapering action, while others think the Fed will be able to find a happy medium that won’t upset the markets.\nEach scenario has different investing implications as they are expected to make big moves across asset classes.\nHere’s a playbook for traders on every scenario from the central bank’s key meeting.\nIf the Fed signals it’s staying with easy policies\nThe Fed could reiterate its transitory stance on inflation, ignoring the pick-up in price pressures reflected in recent economic data. If the central bank says its not time to remove accommodative policies and it’s not concerned about inflation, investors should stick with hedges against rising prices like commodities and stocks with high pricing power, investment banks found.\nBank of America screened S&P 500 companies that its analysts believe have the most pricing power and ability to expand margins at times of rising prices. The stocks include a few chipmakers —Nvidia,Texas InstrumentsandBroadcom— as well as consumer plays likeHome Depot,NikeandPepsiCo.Energy dividend payerExxon Mobilis also on the list.\nUBS also developed a framework for scoring corporate pricing agility, which considers pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure. For pricing power, UBS quantified the extent to which a company can raise prices over and above costs. For margin momentum, UBS tracked corporate pricing trends using its proprietary pricing mapping.\nFor input cost exposure, UBS searched for companies with negative sentiment around commodity and transport costs on earnings calls.\n\nBillionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones said earlier this week that investors should “go all in on the inflation trades” if the Fed keeps ignoring higher prices.\n“If they treat these numbers — which were material events, they were very material —if they treat them with nonchalance, I think it’s just a green light to bet heavily on every inflation trade,” Tudor Jones said on “Squawk Box”on Monday.\n“If they say, ‘We’re on path, things are good,’ then I would just go all in on the inflation trades. I’d probably buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold,” added Tudor Jones, who called the stock market crash in 1987.\nThe legendary investor believe cryptocurrencies and other commodities are favorable inflation hedges. Other than buying the commodities outright, investors could also bet on related exchange-traded funds, like gold miner ETFs.\nThe VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX),the biggest gold miner ETF with more than $14 billion in assets under management, has outperformed the populargold ETF GLDso far this year.\nIf the Fed signals it’s time to start removing easy policies\nAnother widely speculated scenario is for the Fed to signal that it’s nearing the time to dial back easy policy saying it will start tapering soon and move up its forecast for a rate increase. Under such a case where the central bank isn’t sufficiently dovish, many expect bond yields to shoot higher.\n“It could easily move longer yields higher,” said Kristina Hooper, Invesco’s chief global market strategist. “A revised dot plot could be one way to do that if it shows the anticipation of earlier or more aggressive rate hikes. And Fed Chair Jay Powell could easily push rates up if he shares that the Fed has started discussing tapering or suggests tapering could start in the next several months.”\nTudor Jones warned that this scenario could lead to another taper tantrum that could cause a correction in stocks.\n“If they course correct, if they say, ‘We’ve got incoming data, we’ve accomplished our mission or we’re on the way very rapidly to accomplishing our mission on employment,’ then you’re going to get a taper tantrum,”Tudor Jones said on Monday. “You’re going to get a sell-off in fixed income. You’re going to get a correction in stocks.”\nCNBC Pro combed through the returns of all S&P 500 stocks during the last five significant spikes in the 10-year Treasury yield. These five periods of a sharp move in rates occurred between 2003 and 2006, 2008 and 2009, 2012 and 2013, 2016 and 2018, and 2020 through now.\nAfter we found the stocks that beat the market every time, we looked for the names that are well-loved by analysts on Wall Street today. The stocks’ average gains during those rising interest rate periods are listed below, along with the percentage of analysts with buy ratings right now.\n\nBank of America’s head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy Savita Subramanian is advising clients to buy high-quality stocks when tapering nears. High-quality stocks have a “B+” or better S&P quality rating.\nSubramanian said during the 2013 taper tantrum, high-quality names outperformed their low-quality counterparts by 1.3 percentage points from peak to trough in May and June.\nA hint at removing stimulus could also hurt stocks that are most sensitive to the economic recovery, including cyclicals like financials, energy and materials.\n“More hawkish = lower growth. Cyclicals should underperform,” Dennis DeBusschere, macro research analyst at Evercore ISI, said in a note. “The fact that hawkish concerns are being brought up at the same time people believe the reflation trade is in trouble and you have a poor Cyclical backdrop.”\nSo far in 2021, the energy sector has been the biggest winner among the 11 S&P 500 groupings, up 46%. Financials and real estate both gained more than 20% this year.\nIf the Fed makes both camps happy\nA third scenario could occur in which the Fed signals that it is concerned about inflation, but the central bank is not yet ready to taper.\nIf Fed chair Jerome Powell admits the discussion of tapering but nothing has been decided, then the market will likely see a modest rally, led by tech stocks, according to Tom Essaye, founder of the Sevens Report.\n“This is essentially the outcome that Powell and the Fed have been telegraphing for the past several weeks,” Essaye said. “This would be a continuation of the past two weeks’ Goldilocks market outlook. This outcome would help the S&P 500 extend last week’s breakout.”\nInvestors have been rotating back to tech as of late with bond yields coming down. The tech-heavyNasdaq Compositehas rallied about 2.5% this month, hitting a record close on Monday, its first all-time high since April 26. In comparison, the S&P 500 has risen just under 1% in June.\n“This is what the Fed has been doing for the last several months — warning that an inflation surge was coming but that it is transitory so no need to taper,” Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group, told CNBC. “Moreover, this is probably the most expected outcome from the Fed meeting.”\n“Yes, there may be comments by members that the time to start talking about tapering is here, but I think Powell will continue to suggest that inflation is up as expected but is not yet acting any differently than anticipated,” added Paulsen.\nThis year’s pullback in tech stocks has opened some opportunities in high-quality names that are now trading at a discount, according to top-rated technology analyst Toni Sacconaghi of Bernstein.\nThe Wall Street firm found several technology stocks that have inexpensive valuations and are high in quality. Bernstein screened for the cheapest tech names based on their forward price-to-earnings ratio. The firm also assigned each stock with a quality score.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}