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@扑克投资家:一个很少人发现的机会：美国房价，正在失控

2021-03-01

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在这辞旧迎新之际，我们把话筒交给你，由你来说说对于2021的期望与祝福， 凡是参与活动的虎友，都可以获得66虎币奖励，除此之外，我们还会给互动量高的，或者最有趣的虎友送上老虎新年限量版小黄杯。 还等什么：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/389647744\" target=\"_blank\">戳我参与活动</a>！ 惊喜2 【吾虎闹新春】春节聚会，如何彰显你的海量金融知识？ 春节马上就到啦，这就避免不了与七大姑八大姨、二狗哥如花妹、老同学们的聚会。聚会聊点啥？ 你有对象了吗？你在哪上班/赚多少钱？你结婚了吗?有娃了吗？有二娃了吗？... ...总有一个问题，让你应接不暇！ 怎么办？怎么办？我有一个好主意！当对方刚要尬聊时，立马打断，跟她/他聊金融！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/381309434\" target=\"_blank\">戳我看看如何低调的装bi，制霸亲戚聚会</a> 惊喜3 【吾虎闹新春】1元秒杀明星股 在这辞旧迎新之际，老虎给大家送福利啦！ 百万股票大放送，1元可抢苹果、阿里巴巴、蔚来、小鹏、理想、哔哩哔哩等明星股， 准备好了吗？ 抢到就是赚到，开启一年好运气。 戳我参与活动：","text":"新春将至，感谢各位虎友的陪伴，在一年一度的新春佳节，万家团圆的时刻，老虎证券祝您和您的家人身体健康，万事如意，财源广进，牛运当头，牛气冲天。戳我观看《老虎证券CEO巫天华给所有虎友的拜年视频》 除了视频之外，小虎君也为您准备了几重惊喜，快来参与吧！ 惊喜1 【吾虎闹新春】留下你的新年祝福 2020年在成功和收获的喜悦中渐渐远去，2021年的钟声即将敲响。 在这辞旧迎新之际，我们把话筒交给你，由你来说说对于2021的期望与祝福， 凡是参与活动的虎友，都可以获得66虎币奖励，除此之外，我们还会给互动量高的，或者最有趣的虎友送上老虎新年限量版小黄杯。 还等什么：戳我参与活动！ 惊喜2 【吾虎闹新春】春节聚会，如何彰显你的海量金融知识？ 春节马上就到啦，这就避免不了与七大姑八大姨、二狗哥如花妹、老同学们的聚会。聚会聊点啥？ 你有对象了吗？你在哪上班/赚多少钱？你结婚了吗?有娃了吗？有二娃了吗？... ...总有一个问题，让你应接不暇！ 怎么办？怎么办？我有一个好主意！当对方刚要尬聊时，立马打断，跟她/他聊金融！ 戳我看看如何低调的装bi，制霸亲戚聚会 惊喜3 【吾虎闹新春】1元秒杀明星股 在这辞旧迎新之际，老虎给大家送福利啦！ 百万股票大放送，1元可抢苹果、阿里巴巴、蔚来、小鹏、理想、哔哩哔哩等明星股， 准备好了吗？ 抢到就是赚到，开启一年好运气。 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比如下面这套房，Zillow给出的估价为76.15万美元，业主挂牌价77.5万，实际成交价88.6万，两天成交。我们可以从这些案例体会市场的疯狂。 相关房源数据 近日，美国联邦住房金融局（FHFA）更新了美国2020年第四季度以及12月的房价数据，至此，FHFA已公开了2020年完整的全美各地房价数据，这个数据的权威性就好比中国国家统计局每个月发布的70城房价数据一样。 最新的数据显示，美国房价正在以有记录以来的最快速度上涨，同比一年前的2019年四季度上涨10.8%，这是全美范围的平均涨幅，被大量中部弱势地区摊低后的数据，热点城市的涨幅远高于10.8%。总体来说，美国房地产市场进入了非理性。回顾过去一年美国房地产市场，这种非理性是2020年5月开始的，并一直持续到了现在。 美国2010年以来各年度四季度的房价同比涨幅 如果我们把美国房价可视化地展示出来，就会看到自新冠疫情冲击美国之后，美国房价出现明显的跳涨，背后的原因就是美联储大水漫灌。 美国房价 1991年1月 - 2020年12月 同比数据考察的是今年这个时候比去年这个时候的涨幅，周期比较长，如果我们要更准确地看房价在短期的动能，就要考察环比增速，即本季度比上季度涨了多少。在这项数据上，结果更可怕，在2020年四季度，全美房价环比涨幅是3.81%（下图绿线-历史新高）、同比涨幅10.77%（下图红线-历史新高）、年化环比增速15.25%（下图蓝色","listText":"我平时喜欢在Zillow和Redfin这两个平台上看房，它们是美国最大的房产网站，平台上的房源信息自动同步于各州经纪人的MLS平台，因此都是真房源，使用者可以随时随地看到美国的所有房产。这两个平台的额外价值在于他们会给任何一套房进行估价用于买卖双方参考，过去这个估价比较准确，但最近出现了明显的大范围失准。比如大多数房子最终的成交价都要比之前平台给出的估价高个10%甚至更多。 比如下面这套房，Zillow给出的估价为76.15万美元，业主挂牌价77.5万，实际成交价88.6万，两天成交。我们可以从这些案例体会市场的疯狂。 相关房源数据 近日，美国联邦住房金融局（FHFA）更新了美国2020年第四季度以及12月的房价数据，至此，FHFA已公开了2020年完整的全美各地房价数据，这个数据的权威性就好比中国国家统计局每个月发布的70城房价数据一样。 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除此之外，大家还可以通过关注老虎证券公众号的形式进行领取，具体步骤如下： 1、关注老虎证券公众号 2、在对话框输入“老虎证券”，并点击发送 3、点击领取 便可以领取到红包封面啦~ 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