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2021-05-07
这么差?
大幅不及预期!美国4月非农就业仅新增26.6万
羊乳味饼干
2021-05-07
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20:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大幅不及预期!美国4月非农就业仅新增26.6万","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180692702","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要:美国4月非农就业人口变动 26.6万,预期 99.8万,前值 91.6万;美国4月失业率 6.1%,预期 5.8%,前值 6%。5月7日公布的数据显示,美国4月非农就业大幅不及预期,失业率抬升。","content":"<blockquote>摘要:美国4月非农就业人口变动 26.6万,预期 99.8万,前值 91.6万;美国4月失业率 6.1%,预期 5.8%,前值 6%。</blockquote><p>5月7日公布的数据显示,美国4月非农就业大幅不及预期,失业率抬升。</p><p>美国4月非农就业人口增加26.6万,预期增加99.8万,前值增加91.6万。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad4fdfd6cc906c9f66861c649da51a49\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>美国4月失业率6.1%,预期5.8%,前值6%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b2755943e54d0cd79b7bfd069be1ddd\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>目前,美国仍然比疫情前少了820万个工作岗位。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/644c9539b2aa8c9920ac5fb403961d45\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"265\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>劳动参与率也令人失望,为61.7%,即便高于预期的61.6%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2f847e0f027978a4350d61df857fdbb\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>有机构表示,美国4月非农数据录得26.6万人,大幅不及预期,失业率上升至6.1%,而可用劳动力的短缺加剧。 雇主发现招聘困难,这种状况阻碍了劳动力市场的发展势头。这意味着美联储的超宽松货币政策是正确的。</p><p>美国明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利表示,就业报告验证了美联储结果导向性的政策,希望我们能看到雇主们提高工资,许多财政支持仍在酝酿之中。他还表示,对华尔街批评美联储政策的人“没有同情”,有近900万到1000万美国人仍然没有工作,我坚定地认为应提供大量支持,目前在恢复充分就业方面仍处于“深坑”中。</p><p>此前多家机构给出乐观预期</p><p>值得注意的是,非农数据公布前,主要投行对4月非农就业人口的增幅预期较为乐观,但各投行之间的预期差距较大。</p><p>分析人士也表示,此次投行集体预测失误,已经可以记入史册。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c96b84d3383be6955f6308c2879f77a6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>具体而言,美国4月季调后非农就业人口增幅料介于85万至150万,失业率料介于5.5%-5.9%,平均时薪年率增幅料介于-0.6%至-0.2%。</p><p>其中,渣打银行全球外汇研究部负责人史蒂夫·英格兰Steve Englander给出了非农增加150万人的乐观预测。</p><p>值得一提的是,WilmingtonTrust首席分析师LukeTilley称,仅从市场角度来看,若就业人数连续增加100万,将对市场不利。而外汇经纪商OANDA高级市场分析师Edward Moya表示,如果这一数字超过150万,可能导致美债收益率飙升,为美元提供一些暂时支撑。渣打银行全球外汇研究部负责人Steve Englander认为,只有非农数据增加200万以上时,美联储才会改变立场,并认为经济过热,并超出可接受的范围。</p><p>当然,也有许多机构给出了非农就业低于预期的风险。所有的79家机构中有2家预测非农就业低于80万。此前,有分析人士指出,非农低于100万将导致美债温和反弹,收益率温和下挫并跌破1.5%。</p><p><b>市场反应</b></p><p>消息公布后,美元指数短线走低40点至90.53,10年期美债收益率下跌10BP至1.48%。现货黄金短线走高约10美元,报1826.43美元/盎司。美股股指期货短线急速拉升,纳指期货涨幅扩大至1.3%。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大幅不及预期!美国4月非农就业仅新增26.6万</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大幅不及预期!美国4月非农就业仅新增26.6万\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-07 20:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>摘要:美国4月非农就业人口变动 26.6万,预期 99.8万,前值 91.6万;美国4月失业率 6.1%,预期 5.8%,前值 6%。</blockquote><p>5月7日公布的数据显示,美国4月非农就业大幅不及预期,失业率抬升。</p><p>美国4月非农就业人口增加26.6万,预期增加99.8万,前值增加91.6万。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad4fdfd6cc906c9f66861c649da51a49\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>美国4月失业率6.1%,预期5.8%,前值6%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b2755943e54d0cd79b7bfd069be1ddd\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>目前,美国仍然比疫情前少了820万个工作岗位。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/644c9539b2aa8c9920ac5fb403961d45\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"265\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>劳动参与率也令人失望,为61.7%,即便高于预期的61.6%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2f847e0f027978a4350d61df857fdbb\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>有机构表示,美国4月非农数据录得26.6万人,大幅不及预期,失业率上升至6.1%,而可用劳动力的短缺加剧。 雇主发现招聘困难,这种状况阻碍了劳动力市场的发展势头。这意味着美联储的超宽松货币政策是正确的。</p><p>美国明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利表示,就业报告验证了美联储结果导向性的政策,希望我们能看到雇主们提高工资,许多财政支持仍在酝酿之中。他还表示,对华尔街批评美联储政策的人“没有同情”,有近900万到1000万美国人仍然没有工作,我坚定地认为应提供大量支持,目前在恢复充分就业方面仍处于“深坑”中。</p><p>此前多家机构给出乐观预期</p><p>值得注意的是,非农数据公布前,主要投行对4月非农就业人口的增幅预期较为乐观,但各投行之间的预期差距较大。</p><p>分析人士也表示,此次投行集体预测失误,已经可以记入史册。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c96b84d3383be6955f6308c2879f77a6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>具体而言,美国4月季调后非农就业人口增幅料介于85万至150万,失业率料介于5.5%-5.9%,平均时薪年率增幅料介于-0.6%至-0.2%。</p><p>其中,渣打银行全球外汇研究部负责人史蒂夫·英格兰Steve Englander给出了非农增加150万人的乐观预测。</p><p>值得一提的是,WilmingtonTrust首席分析师LukeTilley称,仅从市场角度来看,若就业人数连续增加100万,将对市场不利。而外汇经纪商OANDA高级市场分析师Edward Moya表示,如果这一数字超过150万,可能导致美债收益率飙升,为美元提供一些暂时支撑。渣打银行全球外汇研究部负责人Steve Englander认为,只有非农数据增加200万以上时,美联储才会改变立场,并认为经济过热,并超出可接受的范围。</p><p>当然,也有许多机构给出了非农就业低于预期的风险。所有的79家机构中有2家预测非农就业低于80万。此前,有分析人士指出,非农低于100万将导致美债温和反弹,收益率温和下挫并跌破1.5%。</p><p><b>市场反应</b></p><p>消息公布后,美元指数短线走低40点至90.53,10年期美债收益率下跌10BP至1.48%。现货黄金短线走高约10美元,报1826.43美元/盎司。美股股指期货短线急速拉升,纳指期货涨幅扩大至1.3%。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9963fdf0bdb1101a0e95978b643c3c62","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180692702","content_text":"摘要:美国4月非农就业人口变动 26.6万,预期 99.8万,前值 91.6万;美国4月失业率 6.1%,预期 5.8%,前值 6%。5月7日公布的数据显示,美国4月非农就业大幅不及预期,失业率抬升。美国4月非农就业人口增加26.6万,预期增加99.8万,前值增加91.6万。美国4月失业率6.1%,预期5.8%,前值6%。目前,美国仍然比疫情前少了820万个工作岗位。劳动参与率也令人失望,为61.7%,即便高于预期的61.6%。有机构表示,美国4月非农数据录得26.6万人,大幅不及预期,失业率上升至6.1%,而可用劳动力的短缺加剧。 雇主发现招聘困难,这种状况阻碍了劳动力市场的发展势头。这意味着美联储的超宽松货币政策是正确的。美国明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利表示,就业报告验证了美联储结果导向性的政策,希望我们能看到雇主们提高工资,许多财政支持仍在酝酿之中。他还表示,对华尔街批评美联储政策的人“没有同情”,有近900万到1000万美国人仍然没有工作,我坚定地认为应提供大量支持,目前在恢复充分就业方面仍处于“深坑”中。此前多家机构给出乐观预期值得注意的是,非农数据公布前,主要投行对4月非农就业人口的增幅预期较为乐观,但各投行之间的预期差距较大。分析人士也表示,此次投行集体预测失误,已经可以记入史册。具体而言,美国4月季调后非农就业人口增幅料介于85万至150万,失业率料介于5.5%-5.9%,平均时薪年率增幅料介于-0.6%至-0.2%。其中,渣打银行全球外汇研究部负责人史蒂夫·英格兰Steve Englander给出了非农增加150万人的乐观预测。值得一提的是,WilmingtonTrust首席分析师LukeTilley称,仅从市场角度来看,若就业人数连续增加100万,将对市场不利。而外汇经纪商OANDA高级市场分析师Edward Moya表示,如果这一数字超过150万,可能导致美债收益率飙升,为美元提供一些暂时支撑。渣打银行全球外汇研究部负责人Steve 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