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种一束时间的玫瑰 成为时间的朋友A BILLIONAIRE.
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SNOWBALL6888
2023-03-10
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
抱歉,原内容已删除
SNOWBALL6888
2023-02-01
$Motorsport Games Inc.(MSGM)$
mmp就会停牌
SNOWBALL6888
2023-01-31
$Motorsport Games Inc.(MSGM)$
绝绝子
SNOWBALL6888
2023-01-28
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@格隆汇:那些敢在至暗抄底特斯拉的人,大概已经财富自由
SNOWBALL6888
2023-01-06
$尚乘数科(HKD)$
Go to the Moon🌙
SNOWBALL6888
2023-01-06
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@OptionS:聊聊妖股原理:尚乘国际和尚乘数科
SNOWBALL6888
2023-01-05
$尚乘数科(HKD)$
起飞🛫起飞🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫起飞吧🛫求求了
SNOWBALL6888
2023-01-05
$尚乘数科(HKD)$
🐶庄没吃饭吗?给我拉上去2000美元
SNOWBALL6888
2022-12-30
$Palisade Bio Inc.(PALI)$
SNOWBALL6888
2022-12-09
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@好文:台积电美国工厂历史性一幕
SNOWBALL6888
2022-12-02
拼多多
@走马财经:2022年Q3财报解读:一文读懂拼多多的农业战略
SNOWBALL6888
2022-09-02
妖股
@话题虎:上市首日涨86倍!“史诗级”妖股频出,你经历过哪些妖股?
SNOWBALL6888
2022-08-19
1亿美元💵💵$
@话题虎:3B家居暴跌,散户血亏,20岁大学生狂赚1亿美元......
SNOWBALL6888
2022-08-03
AMDT HKD
@野马财经:“妖股”尚乘数科20天涨215倍,谁跟着李嘉诚蔡志坚赚麻了?
SNOWBALL6888
2022-08-03
IPO
@OptionS:聊聊妖股原理:尚乘国际和尚乘数科
SNOWBALL6888
2022-08-03
亚洲投行
@格隆汇:AMTD美股上市——传说中的“亚洲独立投行第一股”
SNOWBALL6888
2022-08-02
$尚乘国际(AMTD)$
再也回不去了?
SNOWBALL6888
2022-08-02
$尚乘国际(AMTD)$
磨叽磨叽 直接直线拉升不就好了
SNOWBALL6888
2022-08-02
🐮
94岁李嘉诚,发了最荒唐的一笔横财
SNOWBALL6888
2022-06-17
这届美联储主席有毒 停止做多 反向做空
@期权小班长:这届美联储主席有毒,停止做多
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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绝绝子","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf0f9e7b0360694034aedde3d7a2ffcb","width":"656","height":"652"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622339936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2792,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626729917,"gmtCreate":1674890423339,"gmtModify":1674890425020,"author":{"id":"3554468197167318","authorId":"3554468197167318","name":"SNOWBALL6888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4c7cd4f2bfe239ae2a8504a584e162","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554468197167318","authorIdStr":"3554468197167318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626729917","repostId":"626788664","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":626788664,"gmtCreate":1674872974259,"gmtModify":1674874717057,"author":{"id":"39105730803552","authorId":"39105730803552","name":"格隆汇","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8774dfe20eceb38c9645128bb6e60684","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"39105730803552","authorIdStr":"39105730803552"},"themes":[],"title":"那些敢在至暗抄底特斯拉的人,大概已经财富自由","htmlText":"3周,低位反弹60%! 特斯拉用强势的上涨表明,它仍然是新能源汽车“一哥”,尽管不久前遭遇了重大的质疑和困难,但马斯克仅用一招--降价,成功破局。 1月26号(北京时间),特斯拉公布财报,2022年第四季度营收净利均超出市场预期,隔夜美股市场,特斯拉强势上涨近11%,股价重回160美元关口。 历史不断证明,一个不好的公司,股价无论如何疯炒,最终都会跌落,而一家好公司,股价即使崩盘,最终都会回来。 特斯拉属于后者。 01 买在炮火轰隆时 投资股票,超额收益常常来自逆向操作。 用巴菲特的话说,别人恐惧我贪婪,别人贪婪我恐惧。 道理都懂,但要真正做到却不容易。 去年12月,特斯拉股价遭遇了崩盘式的下跌,一个月内腰斩,消息面上,没有任何一个是好的,马斯克收购推特深陷泥潭,要卖特斯拉股票给推特续命,销量压力不断增加,订单不足的问题不断显现,还爆出上海工厂被迫停工,加上特斯拉本身的“招黑”体质,媒体更是毫不客气地踩上几脚。 到了1月初,情况并没有好转,反而是雪上加霜。先是Q4交付量不及预期,全年交付量未完成50%的增幅目标,本就脆弱的市场神经再一次遭受重创,单日跌幅一度超过15%。 紧接着,特斯拉中国区启动了最大范围的降价促销,两款主力车型直接降到了国产同级车的下限,甚至还要比部分国产车低一些。 如果按照简单的线性思维,降价就是卖不动最好的证据,特斯拉应该还会继续下跌,跑路或者做空都是最好的选择。媒体此时也想逮到了千载难逢的机会,铺天盖地的唱衰。投资者在这样的氛围中,很容易卖出股票,割肉离场。 然而,特斯拉官宣降价的当天,也就是1月6号,我们发表了文章《世纪抄底特斯拉》,站在了大多数媒体和投资者的对立面,我们认为此时正是特斯拉最好的抄底机会。 当晚的美股市场上,特斯拉出现了戏剧性的一幕。低开超过5%,然后股价下探至101的位置,整个过程不到10分钟,随后便一路向上,收盘居然翻红,上涨2","listText":"3周,低位反弹60%! 特斯拉用强势的上涨表明,它仍然是新能源汽车“一哥”,尽管不久前遭遇了重大的质疑和困难,但马斯克仅用一招--降价,成功破局。 1月26号(北京时间),特斯拉公布财报,2022年第四季度营收净利均超出市场预期,隔夜美股市场,特斯拉强势上涨近11%,股价重回160美元关口。 历史不断证明,一个不好的公司,股价无论如何疯炒,最终都会跌落,而一家好公司,股价即使崩盘,最终都会回来。 特斯拉属于后者。 01 买在炮火轰隆时 投资股票,超额收益常常来自逆向操作。 用巴菲特的话说,别人恐惧我贪婪,别人贪婪我恐惧。 道理都懂,但要真正做到却不容易。 去年12月,特斯拉股价遭遇了崩盘式的下跌,一个月内腰斩,消息面上,没有任何一个是好的,马斯克收购推特深陷泥潭,要卖特斯拉股票给推特续命,销量压力不断增加,订单不足的问题不断显现,还爆出上海工厂被迫停工,加上特斯拉本身的“招黑”体质,媒体更是毫不客气地踩上几脚。 到了1月初,情况并没有好转,反而是雪上加霜。先是Q4交付量不及预期,全年交付量未完成50%的增幅目标,本就脆弱的市场神经再一次遭受重创,单日跌幅一度超过15%。 紧接着,特斯拉中国区启动了最大范围的降价促销,两款主力车型直接降到了国产同级车的下限,甚至还要比部分国产车低一些。 如果按照简单的线性思维,降价就是卖不动最好的证据,特斯拉应该还会继续下跌,跑路或者做空都是最好的选择。媒体此时也想逮到了千载难逢的机会,铺天盖地的唱衰。投资者在这样的氛围中,很容易卖出股票,割肉离场。 然而,特斯拉官宣降价的当天,也就是1月6号,我们发表了文章《世纪抄底特斯拉》,站在了大多数媒体和投资者的对立面,我们认为此时正是特斯拉最好的抄底机会。 当晚的美股市场上,特斯拉出现了戏剧性的一幕。低开超过5%,然后股价下探至101的位置,整个过程不到10分钟,随后便一路向上,收盘居然翻红,上涨2","text":"3周,低位反弹60%! 特斯拉用强势的上涨表明,它仍然是新能源汽车“一哥”,尽管不久前遭遇了重大的质疑和困难,但马斯克仅用一招--降价,成功破局。 1月26号(北京时间),特斯拉公布财报,2022年第四季度营收净利均超出市场预期,隔夜美股市场,特斯拉强势上涨近11%,股价重回160美元关口。 历史不断证明,一个不好的公司,股价无论如何疯炒,最终都会跌落,而一家好公司,股价即使崩盘,最终都会回来。 特斯拉属于后者。 01 买在炮火轰隆时 投资股票,超额收益常常来自逆向操作。 用巴菲特的话说,别人恐惧我贪婪,别人贪婪我恐惧。 道理都懂,但要真正做到却不容易。 去年12月,特斯拉股价遭遇了崩盘式的下跌,一个月内腰斩,消息面上,没有任何一个是好的,马斯克收购推特深陷泥潭,要卖特斯拉股票给推特续命,销量压力不断增加,订单不足的问题不断显现,还爆出上海工厂被迫停工,加上特斯拉本身的“招黑”体质,媒体更是毫不客气地踩上几脚。 到了1月初,情况并没有好转,反而是雪上加霜。先是Q4交付量不及预期,全年交付量未完成50%的增幅目标,本就脆弱的市场神经再一次遭受重创,单日跌幅一度超过15%。 紧接着,特斯拉中国区启动了最大范围的降价促销,两款主力车型直接降到了国产同级车的下限,甚至还要比部分国产车低一些。 如果按照简单的线性思维,降价就是卖不动最好的证据,特斯拉应该还会继续下跌,跑路或者做空都是最好的选择。媒体此时也想逮到了千载难逢的机会,铺天盖地的唱衰。投资者在这样的氛围中,很容易卖出股票,割肉离场。 然而,特斯拉官宣降价的当天,也就是1月6号,我们发表了文章《世纪抄底特斯拉》,站在了大多数媒体和投资者的对立面,我们认为此时正是特斯拉最好的抄底机会。 当晚的美股市场上,特斯拉出现了戏剧性的一幕。低开超过5%,然后股价下探至101的位置,整个过程不到10分钟,随后便一路向上,收盘居然翻红,上涨2","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d71b3df044c94e2f1a5b27de18674f98"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6a430f8cb1c9cd0c09cce8ba2699e1a"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d85cf887b567caa103bf5373eb42e4d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626788664","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":628809348,"gmtCreate":1672995760384,"gmtModify":1672996404975,"author":{"id":"3554468197167318","authorId":"3554468197167318","name":"SNOWBALL6888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4c7cd4f2bfe239ae2a8504a584e162","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554468197167318","authorIdStr":"3554468197167318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">$尚乘国际(AMTD)$</a> 。第二部分 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">$尚乘国际(AMTD)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$尚乘数科(HKD)$</a> 这两家公司基本面完全不用看,创始人蔡志坚的口碑。。。(可自行百度/谷歌)。也完全不用看PR稿里提到的李嘉诚或者其他占比微小的财务股东。当年尚乘初始","listText":"第一部分:操纵股价的关键:控制筹码、非市场化发行上市公司股东可以大致分为三类:1、创始团队2、一级市场投资者,VC/PE3、IPO中或者上市后参与的长线和对冲基金在解禁前,1和2无法卖出,股价的每日波动取决于第3类。IPO发行分为市场化和非市场化。市场化发行:广泛的真正的市场化的对冲基金、长线基金、散户的参与,价格相对体现价值,不会形成强有力的控盘。非市场化是指,没有市场化的参与,认购方只是少数亲友。老千股有一个多年的玩法在香港叫\"围飞\"。注意:并非所有的非市场化发行都是烂公司、老千股。行情很差的时候,一些优质的公司可能也需要老股东等亲友的支持成功上市,之后再凭借基本面的优质表现,渐渐吸引市场化基金的投资。但还有一类公司,一开始就奔着操纵市场去的,在ipo发行时,会让筹码集中在\"少数人\"手中。IPO后的前几天左手倒右手,股价非常容易控制,拉十倍,百倍轻轻松松。因为没有外部筹码,控制股价的关键是控制筹码。解禁之后,控制筹码的难度/代价大大提升,因为1和2类股东都解禁了。但也有例外:如果公司几乎没做过一级市场融资,团队也可能2-3位甚至只有老大持股,这样的股权结构也有机会在解禁后控盘。比如<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">$尚乘国际(AMTD)$</a> 。第二部分 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">$尚乘国际(AMTD)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$尚乘数科(HKD)$</a> 这两家公司基本面完全不用看,创始人蔡志坚的口碑。。。(可自行百度/谷歌)。也完全不用看PR稿里提到的李嘉诚或者其他占比微小的财务股东。当年尚乘初始","text":"第一部分:操纵股价的关键:控制筹码、非市场化发行上市公司股东可以大致分为三类:1、创始团队2、一级市场投资者,VC/PE3、IPO中或者上市后参与的长线和对冲基金在解禁前,1和2无法卖出,股价的每日波动取决于第3类。IPO发行分为市场化和非市场化。市场化发行:广泛的真正的市场化的对冲基金、长线基金、散户的参与,价格相对体现价值,不会形成强有力的控盘。非市场化是指,没有市场化的参与,认购方只是少数亲友。老千股有一个多年的玩法在香港叫\"围飞\"。注意:并非所有的非市场化发行都是烂公司、老千股。行情很差的时候,一些优质的公司可能也需要老股东等亲友的支持成功上市,之后再凭借基本面的优质表现,渐渐吸引市场化基金的投资。但还有一类公司,一开始就奔着操纵市场去的,在ipo发行时,会让筹码集中在\"少数人\"手中。IPO后的前几天左手倒右手,股价非常容易控制,拉十倍,百倍轻轻松松。因为没有外部筹码,控制股价的关键是控制筹码。解禁之后,控制筹码的难度/代价大大提升,因为1和2类股东都解禁了。但也有例外:如果公司几乎没做过一级市场融资,团队也可能2-3位甚至只有老大持股,这样的股权结构也有机会在解禁后控盘。比如$尚乘国际(AMTD)$ 。第二部分 $尚乘国际(AMTD)$ 和$尚乘数科(HKD)$ 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a better America”标语的演讲台上,拜登发表致辞感谢台积电的付出,肯定了台积电对美国完善半导体供应链的意义。“朋友们,哪里写着美国不能在制造业上再度引领世界?” 拜登高呼,“我们正在证明能做到!”▲美国总统拜登上机仪式期间,从拜登到一众美国芯片公司掌舵者,无不笑容洋溢。然而这看起来“兄友弟恭”的祥和场面,却给中国台湾科技产业近两年来持续蔓延的惴惴不安,再落下一记重锤。台积电的先进芯片制造技术和半导体人才,终究还是流向美国了,而且比预期中来得更快、更可怕,从5nm到3nm,甚至未来的2nm、1nm芯片工厂,都可能会在美国大地拔地而起。01.91岁张忠谋突然改口为首座美国晶圆厂背书作为全球最大的晶圆代工厂,以及中国台湾半导体产业的“护体神山”,台积电的一举一动,都牵动着全球芯片产业链及台湾科技业的神经。自2020年5月台积电正式宣布赴美建厂至今,每当其美国工厂有新讯传出,围绕台积电是否会变“美积电","listText":"这是芯片产业历史性的一幕!照片中,AMD董事长兼CEO苏姿丰(左一)、英伟达创始人兼CEO黄仁勋(左二)、苹果CEO库克(左四)、台积电总裁魏哲家(左六)、台积电董事长刘德音(左七)、台积电创始人张忠谋(左八)同台,庆祝台积电首家美国厂上机。北京时间12月7日,张忠谋、黄仁勋、苏姿丰、刘德音、魏哲家……这些全球半导体产业最具影响力的华人,齐聚于美国亚利桑那州凤凰城,为台积电美国晶圆厂的首批机台设备到厂庆贺。与他们并肩而立的,还有美国总统拜登、美国商务部长雷蒙多等政客,苹果CEO库克等台积电美方客户代表,以及来自存储芯片巨头美光科技、MCU大厂微芯科技(Microchip)、光刻机霸主阿斯麦(ASML)等半导体头部企业的CEO们。▲库克(左二)与台积电总裁魏哲家(左三)、台积电董事长刘德音(左四)、台积电创始人张忠谋(左五)举杯祝酒在四周装饰有“Building a better America”标语的演讲台上,拜登发表致辞感谢台积电的付出,肯定了台积电对美国完善半导体供应链的意义。“朋友们,哪里写着美国不能在制造业上再度引领世界?” 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拼多多,自动获取所有文章汇总)。 11月28日,拼多多再次交出了一份令市场惊叹的季度财报。总营收355亿,远超市场预期的309亿;经营利润104.4亿,Non-GAAP经营利润123亿,均大幅超越市场预期。 (图1 拼多多最近9个季度核心各项营收及利润率 利润率均剔除自营部分) 我们整理了拼多多最近9个季度的核心经营数据,简单分析其数据变化趋势与业务发展之间的逻辑关系。 核心的广告营收从2020年Q4-2021年Q4处于非常明显的下行通道,2021年Q1大幅反弹是因为2020年Q1疫情下的低基数造成的数据失真。广告收入是商家主动付费的结果,它的变化与平台GMV增长趋势高度相关,这一下行趋势,整体反映了拼多多平台GMV增速逐渐放缓的势头,同时反映了直播电商吸引了更多目光和市场预算的事实;而进入2022年Q1,连续3个季度拼多多的广告收入加速增长,我们认为这是三股力量综合的结果。 第一,是高性价比消费趋势,拼多多从中受益;且拼多多越来越被主流消费者接纳,百亿补贴的声量和势头可以说明这一点。 第二,某种程度上,拼多多对于直播电商带来的挑战逐渐适应,一部分因为直播电商规模扩大后增速逐渐放缓,另一部分因为拼多多自己探索找出了对应策略。我们注意到拼多多主APP已经将底部第二个Tab改变成多多视频,这一策略呼应了全球主流内容、电商平台应对短视频崛起的方式,海外的Ins、优兔be同样采用了这一策略,目前Ins的reels和优兔be的shorts用这一方式应对Tik Tok效果还不错,国","listText":"本文主要内容包括:拼多多财务业绩表现与业务发展之间的逻辑关系,拼多多农业战略的由来、价值和未来趋势,同时它也部分解释了农业战略与公司运营模式、效率之间的关系。全文约7000字,阅读耗时约12分钟,希望对你真正了解拼多多是一家怎样的公司有所裨益(小Tips:这是我们跟踪拼多多的第45篇文章,后台回复 拼多多,自动获取所有文章汇总)。 11月28日,拼多多再次交出了一份令市场惊叹的季度财报。总营收355亿,远超市场预期的309亿;经营利润104.4亿,Non-GAAP经营利润123亿,均大幅超越市场预期。 (图1 拼多多最近9个季度核心各项营收及利润率 利润率均剔除自营部分) 我们整理了拼多多最近9个季度的核心经营数据,简单分析其数据变化趋势与业务发展之间的逻辑关系。 核心的广告营收从2020年Q4-2021年Q4处于非常明显的下行通道,2021年Q1大幅反弹是因为2020年Q1疫情下的低基数造成的数据失真。广告收入是商家主动付费的结果,它的变化与平台GMV增长趋势高度相关,这一下行趋势,整体反映了拼多多平台GMV增速逐渐放缓的势头,同时反映了直播电商吸引了更多目光和市场预算的事实;而进入2022年Q1,连续3个季度拼多多的广告收入加速增长,我们认为这是三股力量综合的结果。 第一,是高性价比消费趋势,拼多多从中受益;且拼多多越来越被主流消费者接纳,百亿补贴的声量和势头可以说明这一点。 第二,某种程度上,拼多多对于直播电商带来的挑战逐渐适应,一部分因为直播电商规模扩大后增速逐渐放缓,另一部分因为拼多多自己探索找出了对应策略。我们注意到拼多多主APP已经将底部第二个Tab改变成多多视频,这一策略呼应了全球主流内容、电商平台应对短视频崛起的方式,海外的Ins、优兔be同样采用了这一策略,目前Ins的reels和优兔be的shorts用这一方式应对Tik Tok效果还不错,国","text":"本文主要内容包括:拼多多财务业绩表现与业务发展之间的逻辑关系,拼多多农业战略的由来、价值和未来趋势,同时它也部分解释了农业战略与公司运营模式、效率之间的关系。全文约7000字,阅读耗时约12分钟,希望对你真正了解拼多多是一家怎样的公司有所裨益(小Tips:这是我们跟踪拼多多的第45篇文章,后台回复 拼多多,自动获取所有文章汇总)。 11月28日,拼多多再次交出了一份令市场惊叹的季度财报。总营收355亿,远超市场预期的309亿;经营利润104.4亿,Non-GAAP经营利润123亿,均大幅超越市场预期。 (图1 拼多多最近9个季度核心各项营收及利润率 利润率均剔除自营部分) 我们整理了拼多多最近9个季度的核心经营数据,简单分析其数据变化趋势与业务发展之间的逻辑关系。 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2021年年初,华尔街上演了一场史诗级逼空大战,处在暴风眼中的GME股价几天内迅速翻10倍,空头遭到无情碾压。在整个2021年,$游戏驿站(GME)$ 年度收益688%,$AMC院线(AMC)$ 全年上涨1183% 2022年7月15日,$尚乘数科(HKD)$ 在纽交所上市,股价每股7.8美元,上市后半个月,股价连续暴涨13天,8月2日最高报价2555.3美元,累计暴涨300多倍。这家员工不过50人、2021年业绩营收1.96亿港币的公司,上演了一场总市值高达4727亿美元,远超阿里和腾讯的“商业奇迹”。随即,8月3日到8月9日,股价连续5个交易日暴跌,最新收盘价119.77美元 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">$3B家居(BBBY)$</a> ,在经历了连续多日的暴涨后,一夜暴跌近20%,创下6月29日来最大跌幅,盘后跌超44%(前文观看指路→<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/687921851\" target=\"_blank\">散户抱团股再度来袭!3B家居三周涨349%,谁是下一只?</a>)在众多散户被套之际,美国一名20岁大学生却血赚1.1亿美元,成为人生赢家,怎么回事呢?20岁的“股神”今年6月,美国南加大大学生Jake Freeman靠着从家人和朋友众筹来的2750万美元,在叔叔的帮助下,成立了弗里曼资本管理基金(FCM)持股公司,以不到5.5美元的价格,All in了500万股BBBY股票,占公司总股份的6.21%。随即8月,散户大军入场,BBBY一个月暴涨440%;8月16日,在3B家居飙升至27美元之际,Jake Freeman果断出手,卖出超过1.3亿美元的股票,这波堪称教科书般的“低点买入、高位抛售”的精准操作,让他血赚1.1亿美元,一战成名,引散户集体叹服,他也因此被散户奉为心中的新晋“股神”。当然,这位“股神”也并非股市菜鸟,他14岁的时候就开始在金融行业工作,曾在对冲基金Volaris Capital实习,还和创始人一起写了一篇《通过违约掉期对冲债券的不可降低风险》的论文,并发表在SSRN期刊上。据小哥自己说,他之所以买了BBBY,是因为公司可以进行重组债务,他自己也没有料到会涨得这么快。投资<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">$3B家居(BBBY)$</a> 后,他还给公司写信,并且呼吁大家对公司保持信心。目前Jake Freeman和自己的叔叔持有一家","listText":"昨日,让机构颤抖、散户推崇的Meme股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">$3B家居(BBBY)$</a> ,在经历了连续多日的暴涨后,一夜暴跌近20%,创下6月29日来最大跌幅,盘后跌超44%(前文观看指路→<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/687921851\" target=\"_blank\">散户抱团股再度来袭!3B家居三周涨349%,谁是下一只?</a>)在众多散户被套之际,美国一名20岁大学生却血赚1.1亿美元,成为人生赢家,怎么回事呢?20岁的“股神”今年6月,美国南加大大学生Jake Freeman靠着从家人和朋友众筹来的2750万美元,在叔叔的帮助下,成立了弗里曼资本管理基金(FCM)持股公司,以不到5.5美元的价格,All in了500万股BBBY股票,占公司总股份的6.21%。随即8月,散户大军入场,BBBY一个月暴涨440%;8月16日,在3B家居飙升至27美元之际,Jake Freeman果断出手,卖出超过1.3亿美元的股票,这波堪称教科书般的“低点买入、高位抛售”的精准操作,让他血赚1.1亿美元,一战成名,引散户集体叹服,他也因此被散户奉为心中的新晋“股神”。当然,这位“股神”也并非股市菜鸟,他14岁的时候就开始在金融行业工作,曾在对冲基金Volaris Capital实习,还和创始人一起写了一篇《通过违约掉期对冲债券的不可降低风险》的论文,并发表在SSRN期刊上。据小哥自己说,他之所以买了BBBY,是因为公司可以进行重组债务,他自己也没有料到会涨得这么快。投资<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">$3B家居(BBBY)$</a> 后,他还给公司写信,并且呼吁大家对公司保持信心。目前Jake Freeman和自己的叔叔持有一家","text":"昨日,让机构颤抖、散户推崇的Meme股$3B家居(BBBY)$ ,在经历了连续多日的暴涨后,一夜暴跌近20%,创下6月29日来最大跌幅,盘后跌超44%(前文观看指路→散户抱团股再度来袭!3B家居三周涨349%,谁是下一只?)在众多散户被套之际,美国一名20岁大学生却血赚1.1亿美元,成为人生赢家,怎么回事呢?20岁的“股神”今年6月,美国南加大大学生Jake Freeman靠着从家人和朋友众筹来的2750万美元,在叔叔的帮助下,成立了弗里曼资本管理基金(FCM)持股公司,以不到5.5美元的价格,All in了500万股BBBY股票,占公司总股份的6.21%。随即8月,散户大军入场,BBBY一个月暴涨440%;8月16日,在3B家居飙升至27美元之际,Jake Freeman果断出手,卖出超过1.3亿美元的股票,这波堪称教科书般的“低点买入、高位抛售”的精准操作,让他血赚1.1亿美元,一战成名,引散户集体叹服,他也因此被散户奉为心中的新晋“股神”。当然,这位“股神”也并非股市菜鸟,他14岁的时候就开始在金融行业工作,曾在对冲基金Volaris Capital实习,还和创始人一起写了一篇《通过违约掉期对冲债券的不可降低风险》的论文,并发表在SSRN期刊上。据小哥自己说,他之所以买了BBBY,是因为公司可以进行重组债务,他自己也没有料到会涨得这么快。投资$3B家居(BBBY)$ 后,他还给公司写信,并且呼吁大家对公司保持信心。目前Jake Freeman和自己的叔叔持有一家","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe70170bbf431a1297b5ba869ac83347","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90a361cd7130d4ff7327b08045cb3d9c","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6337a83b298c73b0fbd2abe2fb96916","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/687841341","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":685897166,"gmtCreate":1659535061257,"gmtModify":1659535061257,"author":{"id":"3554468197167318","authorId":"3554468197167318","name":"SNOWBALL6888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4c7cd4f2bfe239ae2a8504a584e162","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554468197167318","authorIdStr":"3554468197167318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AMDT HKD","listText":"AMDT HKD","text":"AMDT HKD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685897166","repostId":"685899358","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":685899358,"gmtCreate":1659531743677,"gmtModify":1659533083469,"author":{"id":"3580875730323394","authorId":"3580875730323394","name":"野马财经","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adad0aabe76ab2158365224c9b5ebd87","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580875730323394","authorIdStr":"3580875730323394"},"themes":[],"title":"“妖股”尚乘数科20天涨215倍,谁跟着李嘉诚蔡志坚赚麻了?","htmlText":"上市20天,市值超阿里作者 | 于婞编辑丨武丽娟来源 | 野马财经上市仅20天的尚乘数科(HKD.N)股价还在飙升。截至美东时间8月2日收盘,其股价大涨126.28%至1679美元/股,总市值3106.91亿美元,约合人民币超2.1万亿元。来源:雪球在一众热门中概股中,同日,京东(JD.O)报收59.73美元/股,总市值932.83亿美元(约合人民币6298亿元);拼多多(PDD.O)报收48.98美元/股,总市值619.3亿美元(约合人民币4181亿元);阿里巴巴(BABA.N)报收92.62美元/股,总市值2452.71亿美元(约合人民币16560亿元)。尚乘数科的总市值已经超过阿里巴巴,仅次于台积电(TSM.N)的4462.6亿美元(约合人民币3万亿元)的总市值,在众多在美上市中概股中市值排名第二。距离尚乘数科7月14日登陆美股仅仅过去了20天、13个交易日……此“妖股”是何来头?营收不足2亿,20天股价翻215倍虽然市值已经超过2万亿,但尚乘数科的业绩并不亮眼。2019-2021年,其营收分别为1455万港元、1.675亿港元、1.958亿港元,利润分别为2154.4万港元、1.58亿港元、1.72亿港元。可以看到,即便业绩增长较快,但在业绩最好的2021年,尚乘数科的营收与利润只有1.958亿港元和1.72亿港元(约合人民币1.68亿元和1.48亿元)。而股价和市值均次于尚乘数科的阿里巴巴,2021年营收8530亿元,净利润约1364亿元。此外,据《招股书》,尚乘数科的营收增速也有所下滑,具体来看,截至2022年2月,尚乘数科营收增速低至4%,而2021年的年营收增速约为17%。如此业绩如何支撑2万亿的市值?零壹研究院院长于百程认为:“尚乘数科创造了一个奇迹,上市两周多股价上涨超过200倍,市值超过阿里巴巴。一般来说,上市定价是成熟投资者博弈的结果,在上市后基本面","listText":"上市20天,市值超阿里作者 | 于婞编辑丨武丽娟来源 | 野马财经上市仅20天的尚乘数科(HKD.N)股价还在飙升。截至美东时间8月2日收盘,其股价大涨126.28%至1679美元/股,总市值3106.91亿美元,约合人民币超2.1万亿元。来源:雪球在一众热门中概股中,同日,京东(JD.O)报收59.73美元/股,总市值932.83亿美元(约合人民币6298亿元);拼多多(PDD.O)报收48.98美元/股,总市值619.3亿美元(约合人民币4181亿元);阿里巴巴(BABA.N)报收92.62美元/股,总市值2452.71亿美元(约合人民币16560亿元)。尚乘数科的总市值已经超过阿里巴巴,仅次于台积电(TSM.N)的4462.6亿美元(约合人民币3万亿元)的总市值,在众多在美上市中概股中市值排名第二。距离尚乘数科7月14日登陆美股仅仅过去了20天、13个交易日……此“妖股”是何来头?营收不足2亿,20天股价翻215倍虽然市值已经超过2万亿,但尚乘数科的业绩并不亮眼。2019-2021年,其营收分别为1455万港元、1.675亿港元、1.958亿港元,利润分别为2154.4万港元、1.58亿港元、1.72亿港元。可以看到,即便业绩增长较快,但在业绩最好的2021年,尚乘数科的营收与利润只有1.958亿港元和1.72亿港元(约合人民币1.68亿元和1.48亿元)。而股价和市值均次于尚乘数科的阿里巴巴,2021年营收8530亿元,净利润约1364亿元。此外,据《招股书》,尚乘数科的营收增速也有所下滑,具体来看,截至2022年2月,尚乘数科营收增速低至4%,而2021年的年营收增速约为17%。如此业绩如何支撑2万亿的市值?零壹研究院院长于百程认为:“尚乘数科创造了一个奇迹,上市两周多股价上涨超过200倍,市值超过阿里巴巴。一般来说,上市定价是成熟投资者博弈的结果,在上市后基本面","text":"上市20天,市值超阿里作者 | 于婞编辑丨武丽娟来源 | 野马财经上市仅20天的尚乘数科(HKD.N)股价还在飙升。截至美东时间8月2日收盘,其股价大涨126.28%至1679美元/股,总市值3106.91亿美元,约合人民币超2.1万亿元。来源:雪球在一众热门中概股中,同日,京东(JD.O)报收59.73美元/股,总市值932.83亿美元(约合人民币6298亿元);拼多多(PDD.O)报收48.98美元/股,总市值619.3亿美元(约合人民币4181亿元);阿里巴巴(BABA.N)报收92.62美元/股,总市值2452.71亿美元(约合人民币16560亿元)。尚乘数科的总市值已经超过阿里巴巴,仅次于台积电(TSM.N)的4462.6亿美元(约合人民币3万亿元)的总市值,在众多在美上市中概股中市值排名第二。距离尚乘数科7月14日登陆美股仅仅过去了20天、13个交易日……此“妖股”是何来头?营收不足2亿,20天股价翻215倍虽然市值已经超过2万亿,但尚乘数科的业绩并不亮眼。2019-2021年,其营收分别为1455万港元、1.675亿港元、1.958亿港元,利润分别为2154.4万港元、1.58亿港元、1.72亿港元。可以看到,即便业绩增长较快,但在业绩最好的2021年,尚乘数科的营收与利润只有1.958亿港元和1.72亿港元(约合人民币1.68亿元和1.48亿元)。而股价和市值均次于尚乘数科的阿里巴巴,2021年营收8530亿元,净利润约1364亿元。此外,据《招股书》,尚乘数科的营收增速也有所下滑,具体来看,截至2022年2月,尚乘数科营收增速低至4%,而2021年的年营收增速约为17%。如此业绩如何支撑2万亿的市值?零壹研究院院长于百程认为:“尚乘数科创造了一个奇迹,上市两周多股价上涨超过200倍,市值超过阿里巴巴。一般来说,上市定价是成熟投资者博弈的结果,在上市后基本面","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d6d55c9394e5f0dcb3dff75ca1e6cc3"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c21937c9f7c2be2c88ac2d5ac16dcf30"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad9459858e2792af0bb886053b62a7b6"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685899358","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":685171998,"gmtCreate":1659523066915,"gmtModify":1659523066915,"author":{"id":"3554468197167318","authorId":"3554468197167318","name":"SNOWBALL6888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4c7cd4f2bfe239ae2a8504a584e162","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554468197167318","authorIdStr":"3554468197167318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"IPO","listText":"IPO","text":"IPO","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685171998","repostId":"685179888","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":685179888,"gmtCreate":1659522375449,"gmtModify":1659542153496,"author":{"id":"3585800644196386","authorId":"3585800644196386","name":"OptionS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9047bf44c545bc9fb56d7d7795ee174b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585800644196386","authorIdStr":"3585800644196386"},"themes":[],"title":"聊聊妖股原理:尚乘国际和尚乘数科","htmlText":"第一部分:操纵股价的关键:控制筹码、非市场化发行上市公司股东可以大致分为三类:1、创始团队2、一级市场投资者,VC/PE3、IPO中或者上市后参与的长线和对冲基金在解禁前,1和2无法卖出,股价的每日波动取决于第3类。IPO发行分为市场化和非市场化。市场化发行:广泛的真正的市场化的对冲基金、长线基金、散户的参与,价格相对体现价值,不会形成强有力的控盘。非市场化是指,没有市场化的参与,认购方只是少数亲友。老千股有一个多年的玩法在香港叫\"围飞\"。注意:并非所有的非市场化发行都是烂公司、老千股。行情很差的时候,一些优质的公司可能也需要老股东等亲友的支持成功上市,之后再凭借基本面的优质表现,渐渐吸引市场化基金的投资。但还有一类公司,一开始就奔着操纵市场去的,在ipo发行时,会让筹码集中在\"少数人\"手中。IPO后的前几天左手倒右手,股价非常容易控制,拉十倍,百倍轻轻松松。因为没有外部筹码,控制股价的关键是控制筹码。解禁之后,控制筹码的难度/代价大大提升,因为1和2类股东都解禁了。但也有例外:如果公司几乎没做过一级市场融资,团队也可能2-3位甚至只有老大持股,这样的股权结构也有机会在解禁后控盘。比如<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">$尚乘国际(AMTD)$</a> 。第二部分 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">$尚乘国际(AMTD)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$尚乘数科(HKD)$</a> 这两家公司基本面完全不用看,创始人蔡志坚的口碑。。。(可自行百度/谷歌)。也完全不用看PR稿里提到的李嘉诚或者其他占比微小的财务股东。当年尚乘初始","listText":"第一部分:操纵股价的关键:控制筹码、非市场化发行上市公司股东可以大致分为三类:1、创始团队2、一级市场投资者,VC/PE3、IPO中或者上市后参与的长线和对冲基金在解禁前,1和2无法卖出,股价的每日波动取决于第3类。IPO发行分为市场化和非市场化。市场化发行:广泛的真正的市场化的对冲基金、长线基金、散户的参与,价格相对体现价值,不会形成强有力的控盘。非市场化是指,没有市场化的参与,认购方只是少数亲友。老千股有一个多年的玩法在香港叫\"围飞\"。注意:并非所有的非市场化发行都是烂公司、老千股。行情很差的时候,一些优质的公司可能也需要老股东等亲友的支持成功上市,之后再凭借基本面的优质表现,渐渐吸引市场化基金的投资。但还有一类公司,一开始就奔着操纵市场去的,在ipo发行时,会让筹码集中在\"少数人\"手中。IPO后的前几天左手倒右手,股价非常容易控制,拉十倍,百倍轻轻松松。因为没有外部筹码,控制股价的关键是控制筹码。解禁之后,控制筹码的难度/代价大大提升,因为1和2类股东都解禁了。但也有例外:如果公司几乎没做过一级市场融资,团队也可能2-3位甚至只有老大持股,这样的股权结构也有机会在解禁后控盘。比如<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">$尚乘国际(AMTD)$</a> 。第二部分 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">$尚乘国际(AMTD)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$尚乘数科(HKD)$</a> 这两家公司基本面完全不用看,创始人蔡志坚的口碑。。。(可自行百度/谷歌)。也完全不用看PR稿里提到的李嘉诚或者其他占比微小的财务股东。当年尚乘初始","text":"第一部分:操纵股价的关键:控制筹码、非市场化发行上市公司股东可以大致分为三类:1、创始团队2、一级市场投资者,VC/PE3、IPO中或者上市后参与的长线和对冲基金在解禁前,1和2无法卖出,股价的每日波动取决于第3类。IPO发行分为市场化和非市场化。市场化发行:广泛的真正的市场化的对冲基金、长线基金、散户的参与,价格相对体现价值,不会形成强有力的控盘。非市场化是指,没有市场化的参与,认购方只是少数亲友。老千股有一个多年的玩法在香港叫\"围飞\"。注意:并非所有的非市场化发行都是烂公司、老千股。行情很差的时候,一些优质的公司可能也需要老股东等亲友的支持成功上市,之后再凭借基本面的优质表现,渐渐吸引市场化基金的投资。但还有一类公司,一开始就奔着操纵市场去的,在ipo发行时,会让筹码集中在\"少数人\"手中。IPO后的前几天左手倒右手,股价非常容易控制,拉十倍,百倍轻轻松松。因为没有外部筹码,控制股价的关键是控制筹码。解禁之后,控制筹码的难度/代价大大提升,因为1和2类股东都解禁了。但也有例外:如果公司几乎没做过一级市场融资,团队也可能2-3位甚至只有老大持股,这样的股权结构也有机会在解禁后控盘。比如$尚乘国际(AMTD)$ 。第二部分 $尚乘国际(AMTD)$ 和$尚乘数科(HKD)$ 这两家公司基本面完全不用看,创始人蔡志坚的口碑。。。(可自行百度/谷歌)。也完全不用看PR稿里提到的李嘉诚或者其他占比微小的财务股东。当年尚乘初始","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685179888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":928,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":685106624,"gmtCreate":1659475918272,"gmtModify":1659475918272,"author":{"id":"3554468197167318","authorId":"3554468197167318","name":"SNOWBALL6888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4c7cd4f2bfe239ae2a8504a584e162","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554468197167318","authorIdStr":"3554468197167318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"亚洲投行","listText":"亚洲投行","text":"亚洲投行","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685106624","repostId":"991359521","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":991359521,"gmtCreate":1564563326563,"gmtModify":1704707355852,"author":{"id":"39105730803552","authorId":"39105730803552","name":"格隆汇","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8774dfe20eceb38c9645128bb6e60684","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"39105730803552","authorIdStr":"39105730803552"},"themes":[],"title":"AMTD美股上市——传说中的“亚洲独立投行第一股”","htmlText":"作者:格隆汇·宁珲阿禅 早在2003年,长江和记(CK Hutchison,0001.HK)便成立了其旗下的金融服务公司,这就是AMTD的缘起。当年的“李超人”以超越时代发展的前瞻,赋予了AMTD从第一天开始就兼具专业性金融服务与“大数据”科技的创新基因。不过,在此后的十二年时间里,这家公司的名头并不响亮。$尚乘国际(HKIB)$ 然而到了2015年,AMTD迎来了一次大发展的契机,那就是L.R. Capital Group的战略入股。自此,AMTD进行重组并逐渐发展起投资银行、资产管理、策略投资、保险经纪及虚拟银行的业务。2019年2月,AMTD进行分拆重组,旗下的投行、资管以及策略投资成为一家单独的公司,即此次上市的AMTD International Inc.(尚乘国际)。 现在,重组后的尚乘国际已经发展成为亚洲最大的独立投资银行,主要服务对象包括中国新经济公司、金融机构尤其是中国区域性银行、教育、新能源等行业,并通过其地处香港国际金融中心的优势地位,充分发挥“超级联系人”的角色,成为中国企业国际化发展、国际资本市场金融服务,以及国际金融机构与中国经济对接的桥梁。 而尚乘国际凭借与中外众多金融机构以及实体企业和新经济公司的联系,搭建独具特色的“尚乘蛛网”模型,并以此来赋能公司的快速扩张与发展。 1. 领先的独立投行与资产管理公司 独立投行的概念在欧美比较流行,而亚洲则刚刚兴起,却也已经发展成为一股资本市场的重要力量。与传统投行依附于大型商业银行或保险公司的体系之下不同,独立投行并不属于任何银行或保险集团,而是更多的作为一个第三方的证券发行、承销、咨询、服务业务(包括股票IPO和债券发行)经纪人。 仅以在香港和美国完成的IPO数量和规模来统计,2018年全年以及2019年一季度,尚乘国际都当之无愧地做到了亚洲第一。从2015年10月成立投行业务以来,尚乘国际总共完成了","listText":"作者:格隆汇·宁珲阿禅 早在2003年,长江和记(CK Hutchison,0001.HK)便成立了其旗下的金融服务公司,这就是AMTD的缘起。当年的“李超人”以超越时代发展的前瞻,赋予了AMTD从第一天开始就兼具专业性金融服务与“大数据”科技的创新基因。不过,在此后的十二年时间里,这家公司的名头并不响亮。$尚乘国际(HKIB)$ 然而到了2015年,AMTD迎来了一次大发展的契机,那就是L.R. Capital Group的战略入股。自此,AMTD进行重组并逐渐发展起投资银行、资产管理、策略投资、保险经纪及虚拟银行的业务。2019年2月,AMTD进行分拆重组,旗下的投行、资管以及策略投资成为一家单独的公司,即此次上市的AMTD International Inc.(尚乘国际)。 现在,重组后的尚乘国际已经发展成为亚洲最大的独立投资银行,主要服务对象包括中国新经济公司、金融机构尤其是中国区域性银行、教育、新能源等行业,并通过其地处香港国际金融中心的优势地位,充分发挥“超级联系人”的角色,成为中国企业国际化发展、国际资本市场金融服务,以及国际金融机构与中国经济对接的桥梁。 而尚乘国际凭借与中外众多金融机构以及实体企业和新经济公司的联系,搭建独具特色的“尚乘蛛网”模型,并以此来赋能公司的快速扩张与发展。 1. 领先的独立投行与资产管理公司 独立投行的概念在欧美比较流行,而亚洲则刚刚兴起,却也已经发展成为一股资本市场的重要力量。与传统投行依附于大型商业银行或保险公司的体系之下不同,独立投行并不属于任何银行或保险集团,而是更多的作为一个第三方的证券发行、承销、咨询、服务业务(包括股票IPO和债券发行)经纪人。 仅以在香港和美国完成的IPO数量和规模来统计,2018年全年以及2019年一季度,尚乘国际都当之无愧地做到了亚洲第一。从2015年10月成立投行业务以来,尚乘国际总共完成了","text":"作者:格隆汇·宁珲阿禅 早在2003年,长江和记(CK Hutchison,0001.HK)便成立了其旗下的金融服务公司,这就是AMTD的缘起。当年的“李超人”以超越时代发展的前瞻,赋予了AMTD从第一天开始就兼具专业性金融服务与“大数据”科技的创新基因。不过,在此后的十二年时间里,这家公司的名头并不响亮。$尚乘国际(HKIB)$ 然而到了2015年,AMTD迎来了一次大发展的契机,那就是L.R. Capital Group的战略入股。自此,AMTD进行重组并逐渐发展起投资银行、资产管理、策略投资、保险经纪及虚拟银行的业务。2019年2月,AMTD进行分拆重组,旗下的投行、资管以及策略投资成为一家单独的公司,即此次上市的AMTD International Inc.(尚乘国际)。 现在,重组后的尚乘国际已经发展成为亚洲最大的独立投资银行,主要服务对象包括中国新经济公司、金融机构尤其是中国区域性银行、教育、新能源等行业,并通过其地处香港国际金融中心的优势地位,充分发挥“超级联系人”的角色,成为中国企业国际化发展、国际资本市场金融服务,以及国际金融机构与中国经济对接的桥梁。 而尚乘国际凭借与中外众多金融机构以及实体企业和新经济公司的联系,搭建独具特色的“尚乘蛛网”模型,并以此来赋能公司的快速扩张与发展。 1. 领先的独立投行与资产管理公司 独立投行的概念在欧美比较流行,而亚洲则刚刚兴起,却也已经发展成为一股资本市场的重要力量。与传统投行依附于大型商业银行或保险公司的体系之下不同,独立投行并不属于任何银行或保险集团,而是更多的作为一个第三方的证券发行、承销、咨询、服务业务(包括股票IPO和债券发行)经纪人。 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直接直线拉升不就好了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685351207","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":963,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":685353266,"gmtCreate":1659449005357,"gmtModify":1659449005357,"author":{"id":"3554468197167318","authorId":"3554468197167318","name":"SNOWBALL6888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4c7cd4f2bfe239ae2a8504a584e162","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554468197167318","authorIdStr":"3554468197167318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🐮","listText":"🐮","text":"🐮","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685353266","repostId":"1104628569","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1104628569","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659403730,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104628569?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-02 09:28","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"94岁李嘉诚,发了最荒唐的一笔横财","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104628569","media":"创投智库","summary":"“妖股”来了。上市仅半个月,股价飙升94倍,每股从7.8美元火箭式上升至742美元——中概股尚乘数科在资本市场的吸金表现,引人注目。7月15日,这家数字金融服务提供商在纽约首次公开募股,募集了约1.2","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>“妖股”来了。</p><p>上市仅半个月,股价飙升94倍,每股从7.8美元火箭式上升至742美元——中概股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">尚乘数科</a>在资本市场的吸金表现,引人注目。</p><p>7月15日,这家数字金融服务提供商在纽约首次公开募股,募集了约1.25亿美元(合人民币8.4亿元),成为2022年至今纽交所最大的中概股IPO。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">尚乘数科</a>背后,站着身家365亿美元的金融大鳄李嘉诚。母公司尚乘集团由李嘉诚的长江实业集团、和记黄埔创立,至今已有19年。</p><p>截至8月1日美股收盘,尚乘数科市值超1373亿美元,在一众中概股里面,尚乘数科市值排名第三,仅次于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>。</p><p>市盈率更是惊人,超4000倍,将其他金融科技股远远甩开。不足2亿元的营收,何以撑起1373亿美元市值?</p><p><b>李嘉诚站台</b></p><p>多名分析师告诉《21CBR》记者,尚乘数科股价一路飙升,“炒作成分比较高”。</p><p>矛盾在于,尚乘数科由<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">尚乘国际</a>分拆而来,后者2019年及2020年分别在美国、新加坡两地上市,目前市值不过9.6亿美元左右。</p><p>尚乘数科、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">尚乘国际</a>均由尚乘集团分拆而来。</p><p>尚乘集团成立于2003年,涉足金融服务、数码科技、艺术文化及娱乐等领域。创始股东之一正是李嘉诚的长江实业集团及和记黄埔。</p><p>尚乘集团现持有尚乘国际86.7%股权,但其股权结构未披露,因此,这场炒作中,无法确切知道李嘉诚“横财”数额。如果其持股比超过25%,现值就是千亿。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b00026b9ae64f736ed7afc28371db358\" tg-width=\"678\" tg-height=\"448\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>来源:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000681\">视觉中国</a></p><p>今年初,尚乘国际以12亿美元收购尚乘数科控股权。通过此举,尚乘集团董事局主席蔡志坚成功实现IDEA中两大重要板块加总上市。</p><p>尚乘数科即代表Digital数字化,旗下拥有或策略投资了亚洲稀缺的金融牌照,连接东南亚与大中华区,提供一站式数字金融服务。</p><p>这一优势吸引了更多资金注入。</p><p>尚乘数科的股东还包括大湾区共同家园基金、亚洲最大独立资产管理公司之一惠理、前阿里CEO卫哲创立的嘉御基金等。</p><p>强兵助阵下,公司逐步完善了投资版图。</p><p>包括互联网医疗平台微医、人工智能公司Appier的早期投资,收购了首家由新加坡金管局监管沙盒成功孵化创立的数字保险经纪公司PolicyPal等。</p><p>有市场分析认为,暴涨的股价是一次短中期场内资本达成共识的结果。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/132ed927e8169bf3f7a279034f7108c1\" tg-width=\"724\" tg-height=\"918\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>“资本尤其是国际资本,没有比抱大腿更划算的选择。”一名私募公司从业人员向《21CBR》表示,“跟巴神、跟李嘉诚,虽然不是第一手,至少比其他流向靠谱许多。”</p><p>从近几日交易量来看,公司单日交易量均为几十万股。“按照公司1.85亿的总股本,1%也将近200万股。”金融科技行业观察人士史文瑞认为,公司股东或者关联交易方的可能性很大。</p><p>“海外IPO新股没有历史筹码,关注度由低走高过程中,容易引起市场情绪的集中催化。当前市场缺乏赚钱热点,短炒资金集中炒作尚乘数科。”有知名券商向《21CBR》表示,投资者应该优先考虑风险因素。</p><p><b>利润率高企</b></p><p>尚乘数科主营数字金融服务,业务包括四大板块:数字金融服务,蛛网生态系统解决方案,数字媒体、内容和营销,及数字投资业务。</p><p>招股书显示,2019-2021财年,尚乘数科总收入分别约为1455.4万、1.68亿和1.96亿港元;期内利润分别为2154.4万、1.58亿及1.72亿港元;利润率保持高达87%以上。</p><p>数字金融服务业务和蛛网生态系统解决方案业务的费用和佣金,是尚乘数科的主要收入来源。</p><p>蛛网生态系统解决方案,主要起到多方资源连接和再赋能作用。2021财年,该业务贡献总营收的80%,达1.57亿港元。</p><p>官方称,来自数字和传统金融行业、科技行业、学术机构等不同领域的合作伙伴,都可以在蛛网生态系统中实现连接,系统可以为客户提供资本、技术、指导和其他资源,加速和增强其业务的数字化转型。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bf07c4fb53f47d2c750b418fa099675\" tg-width=\"832\" tg-height=\"554\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>会费计划则可以增强生态系统中合作伙伴的连接性。</p><p>在数字媒体、内容和营销方面,2020年上映的电影《拆弹专家2》是尚乘数科正式涉足数字影视文化行业,参与制作的第一部电影。这笔投资收获超13亿票房的回报。</p><p>值得注意的是,报告期内,尚乘数科公允价值变动(FVTPL)分别增加了1932万、4359万和7029万港元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf8589ae03998a3d8b0927e6790e807d\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"606\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>由于成本较低,利润率受FVTPL加持直逼90%。但即使剔除这部分收入,公司的净利润率也超过60%,远高于行业20%左右的均值。</p><p>吊诡的是,2021年尚乘数科的营收尚不足2亿港元,资本市场上却连续拉高半月余。单看业绩指标,实在难以支撑公司5000亿的市值。</p><p>这一市值,现为李嘉诚旗舰长和的约3倍,而后者去年营收为2800亿港币。</p><p><b>投资广撒网</b></p><p>于尚乘数科而言,经历短线“非理性”上涨后,关键是拿出更具说服力的成绩。</p><p>难题不少。</p><p>截至2022年2月,尚乘数科营收增速低至4%。而2021财年的年收入增速约为17%。</p><p>金融科技赛道监管渐严,区域市场的合法合规问题摆在眼前。</p><p>“当提供新产品和服务,与更广泛市场客户进行交易将暴露更多风险。”招股书中提到,接下来公司目标是继续向东南亚等地区扩张,在新加坡成立银行且合并到报表——这些都有待监管部门批准。</p><p>公司明确表示,将在数字金融服务行业进行收购、换股、投资、合资或组建其他战略联盟。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd9c52fbd318960b7ee476ebbb5621da\" tg-width=\"832\" tg-height=\"650\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>比如,2020年6月拿下新加坡在线融资平台CapBridge Financial Pte Ltd.的控股权,同年收购新加坡一家提供一站式二维码支付的聚合商和支付网关提供商等。</p><p>“我们使用自有资金进行投资,预计在相当长一段时间内不会从这些投资中获益。”尚乘数科方面承认。</p><p>何时收回投资成本,尚难以预计,但这恰是构建区域性金融服务生态体系的关键。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/779fb90aa900c2f5d78ccf04fc1181a1\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>目前,尚乘数科所投企业均有较好投资收益。</p><p>截至2022年2月,公司用于投资活动的现金净额为3.476亿港元,归因于应收集团公司的款项变动3.460亿港元。投资活动产生的现金净额为1.282亿港元,其中收回投资所得款项7780万和5060万港元,来自收购子公司的净现金流入2070万港元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8d8b77a1d4a528b671f7f79ad643b9c\" tg-width=\"812\" tg-height=\"302\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>一定程度上,公司在不断强化投资组合的过程中,维持着较好的营业水平。</p><p>“继续在亚洲及其他地区识别和融合有前途的数字金融参与者,才能补充当前的服务和能力。”尚乘数科对未来战略执行展望道。</p><p>而对于李嘉诚而言,商海扑腾数十年,想必非常了然,尚乘前景再好,现在1373亿美元市值的荒唐。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1659403108223","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>94岁李嘉诚,发了最荒唐的一笔横财</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n94岁李嘉诚,发了最荒唐的一笔横财\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-02 09:28 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Xo02ilta3IMfe6RPRjKbVg><strong>创投智库</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“妖股”来了。上市仅半个月,股价飙升94倍,每股从7.8美元火箭式上升至742美元——中概股尚乘数科在资本市场的吸金表现,引人注目。7月15日,这家数字金融服务提供商在纽约首次公开募股,募集了约1.25亿美元(合人民币8.4亿元),成为2022年至今纽交所最大的中概股IPO。尚乘数科背后,站着身家365亿美元的金融大鳄李嘉诚。母公司尚乘集团由李嘉诚的长江实业集团、和记黄埔创立,至今已有19年。截至...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Xo02ilta3IMfe6RPRjKbVg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b00026b9ae64f736ed7afc28371db358","relate_stocks":{"00001":"长和","BK1601":"香港本地股","HKD":"尚乘数科","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","BK1500":"做空集合股","BK1569":"长和系","BK1230":"工业集团企业"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Xo02ilta3IMfe6RPRjKbVg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104628569","content_text":"“妖股”来了。上市仅半个月,股价飙升94倍,每股从7.8美元火箭式上升至742美元——中概股尚乘数科在资本市场的吸金表现,引人注目。7月15日,这家数字金融服务提供商在纽约首次公开募股,募集了约1.25亿美元(合人民币8.4亿元),成为2022年至今纽交所最大的中概股IPO。尚乘数科背后,站着身家365亿美元的金融大鳄李嘉诚。母公司尚乘集团由李嘉诚的长江实业集团、和记黄埔创立,至今已有19年。截至8月1日美股收盘,尚乘数科市值超1373亿美元,在一众中概股里面,尚乘数科市值排名第三,仅次于台积电和阿里巴巴。市盈率更是惊人,超4000倍,将其他金融科技股远远甩开。不足2亿元的营收,何以撑起1373亿美元市值?李嘉诚站台多名分析师告诉《21CBR》记者,尚乘数科股价一路飙升,“炒作成分比较高”。矛盾在于,尚乘数科由尚乘国际分拆而来,后者2019年及2020年分别在美国、新加坡两地上市,目前市值不过9.6亿美元左右。尚乘数科、尚乘国际均由尚乘集团分拆而来。尚乘集团成立于2003年,涉足金融服务、数码科技、艺术文化及娱乐等领域。创始股东之一正是李嘉诚的长江实业集团及和记黄埔。尚乘集团现持有尚乘国际86.7%股权,但其股权结构未披露,因此,这场炒作中,无法确切知道李嘉诚“横财”数额。如果其持股比超过25%,现值就是千亿。来源:视觉中国今年初,尚乘国际以12亿美元收购尚乘数科控股权。通过此举,尚乘集团董事局主席蔡志坚成功实现IDEA中两大重要板块加总上市。尚乘数科即代表Digital数字化,旗下拥有或策略投资了亚洲稀缺的金融牌照,连接东南亚与大中华区,提供一站式数字金融服务。这一优势吸引了更多资金注入。尚乘数科的股东还包括大湾区共同家园基金、亚洲最大独立资产管理公司之一惠理、前阿里CEO卫哲创立的嘉御基金等。强兵助阵下,公司逐步完善了投资版图。包括互联网医疗平台微医、人工智能公司Appier的早期投资,收购了首家由新加坡金管局监管沙盒成功孵化创立的数字保险经纪公司PolicyPal等。有市场分析认为,暴涨的股价是一次短中期场内资本达成共识的结果。“资本尤其是国际资本,没有比抱大腿更划算的选择。”一名私募公司从业人员向《21CBR》表示,“跟巴神、跟李嘉诚,虽然不是第一手,至少比其他流向靠谱许多。”从近几日交易量来看,公司单日交易量均为几十万股。“按照公司1.85亿的总股本,1%也将近200万股。”金融科技行业观察人士史文瑞认为,公司股东或者关联交易方的可能性很大。“海外IPO新股没有历史筹码,关注度由低走高过程中,容易引起市场情绪的集中催化。当前市场缺乏赚钱热点,短炒资金集中炒作尚乘数科。”有知名券商向《21CBR》表示,投资者应该优先考虑风险因素。利润率高企尚乘数科主营数字金融服务,业务包括四大板块:数字金融服务,蛛网生态系统解决方案,数字媒体、内容和营销,及数字投资业务。招股书显示,2019-2021财年,尚乘数科总收入分别约为1455.4万、1.68亿和1.96亿港元;期内利润分别为2154.4万、1.58亿及1.72亿港元;利润率保持高达87%以上。数字金融服务业务和蛛网生态系统解决方案业务的费用和佣金,是尚乘数科的主要收入来源。蛛网生态系统解决方案,主要起到多方资源连接和再赋能作用。2021财年,该业务贡献总营收的80%,达1.57亿港元。官方称,来自数字和传统金融行业、科技行业、学术机构等不同领域的合作伙伴,都可以在蛛网生态系统中实现连接,系统可以为客户提供资本、技术、指导和其他资源,加速和增强其业务的数字化转型。会费计划则可以增强生态系统中合作伙伴的连接性。在数字媒体、内容和营销方面,2020年上映的电影《拆弹专家2》是尚乘数科正式涉足数字影视文化行业,参与制作的第一部电影。这笔投资收获超13亿票房的回报。值得注意的是,报告期内,尚乘数科公允价值变动(FVTPL)分别增加了1932万、4359万和7029万港元。由于成本较低,利润率受FVTPL加持直逼90%。但即使剔除这部分收入,公司的净利润率也超过60%,远高于行业20%左右的均值。吊诡的是,2021年尚乘数科的营收尚不足2亿港元,资本市场上却连续拉高半月余。单看业绩指标,实在难以支撑公司5000亿的市值。这一市值,现为李嘉诚旗舰长和的约3倍,而后者去年营收为2800亿港币。投资广撒网于尚乘数科而言,经历短线“非理性”上涨后,关键是拿出更具说服力的成绩。难题不少。截至2022年2月,尚乘数科营收增速低至4%。而2021财年的年收入增速约为17%。金融科技赛道监管渐严,区域市场的合法合规问题摆在眼前。“当提供新产品和服务,与更广泛市场客户进行交易将暴露更多风险。”招股书中提到,接下来公司目标是继续向东南亚等地区扩张,在新加坡成立银行且合并到报表——这些都有待监管部门批准。公司明确表示,将在数字金融服务行业进行收购、换股、投资、合资或组建其他战略联盟。比如,2020年6月拿下新加坡在线融资平台CapBridge Financial Pte Ltd.的控股权,同年收购新加坡一家提供一站式二维码支付的聚合商和支付网关提供商等。“我们使用自有资金进行投资,预计在相当长一段时间内不会从这些投资中获益。”尚乘数科方面承认。何时收回投资成本,尚难以预计,但这恰是构建区域性金融服务生态体系的关键。目前,尚乘数科所投企业均有较好投资收益。截至2022年2月,公司用于投资活动的现金净额为3.476亿港元,归因于应收集团公司的款项变动3.460亿港元。投资活动产生的现金净额为1.282亿港元,其中收回投资所得款项7780万和5060万港元,来自收购子公司的净现金流入2070万港元。一定程度上,公司在不断强化投资组合的过程中,维持着较好的营业水平。“继续在亚洲及其他地区识别和融合有前途的数字金融参与者,才能补充当前的服务和能力。”尚乘数科对未来战略执行展望道。而对于李嘉诚而言,商海扑腾数十年,想必非常了然,尚乘前景再好,现在1373亿美元市值的荒唐。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":689196301,"gmtCreate":1655413207507,"gmtModify":1704862262377,"author":{"id":"3554468197167318","authorId":"3554468197167318","name":"SNOWBALL6888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4c7cd4f2bfe239ae2a8504a584e162","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554468197167318","authorIdStr":"3554468197167318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这届美联储主席有毒 停止做多 反向做空","listText":"这届美联储主席有毒 停止做多 反向做空","text":"这届美联储主席有毒 停止做多 反向做空","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/689196301","repostId":"689321400","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":689321400,"gmtCreate":1655384856257,"gmtModify":1704862173920,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"这届美联储主席有毒,停止做多","htmlText":"标题就是昨晚彻夜观看加息发布会的感想。建议大家如果有条件,追踪一次FOMC的直播,会有很多收获。视频的信息含量要比媒体的文字叙述高很多很多,比如市场行情为什么在会议当天和次日有翻天覆地的变化,如果你看了直播,就能理解这种变化背后的逻辑了。当然收获还不止这一点,下面我就谈谈直播呈现的额外内容,包括对之后股市走势和加息路径的看法。态度比数据更重要昨天的发布会可以分为两部分:北京时间6月16日凌晨两点公布利率决议,凌晨两点半到3点半鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。如图所示区分十分明显:两点利率决议公布后市场立刻跳水下跌,鲍威尔上台进行新闻发布会后立刻反弹,而一小时后发布会结束,股价再度跳水。2:00声明公布后的走势很好解释:虽然符合市场预期,但美联储打破了之前一直沟通的加息50基点,转为加息75基点,市场对于这种操作解读为鹰派,股价跳水。(<a href=\"https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20220615a.htm\" target=\"_blank\">声明原文链接</a>)重点是鲍威尔上台后市场为何持续上涨?根据直播观察,简单来说,在鲍威尔上台后,股价涨跌就变成了对于鲍威尔演讲态度和演讲措辞的持续反馈。(<a href=\"https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20220615.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">开幕词链接</a>)(<a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gq4ZvZOoPfI\" target=\"_blank\">视频链接</a>)在2:00声明公布后,市场想从新闻发布会上获得更多现状和决策方面的信息,包含不限于: 为什么选择加息75点, 加息75点会","listText":"标题就是昨晚彻夜观看加息发布会的感想。建议大家如果有条件,追踪一次FOMC的直播,会有很多收获。视频的信息含量要比媒体的文字叙述高很多很多,比如市场行情为什么在会议当天和次日有翻天覆地的变化,如果你看了直播,就能理解这种变化背后的逻辑了。当然收获还不止这一点,下面我就谈谈直播呈现的额外内容,包括对之后股市走势和加息路径的看法。态度比数据更重要昨天的发布会可以分为两部分:北京时间6月16日凌晨两点公布利率决议,凌晨两点半到3点半鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。如图所示区分十分明显:两点利率决议公布后市场立刻跳水下跌,鲍威尔上台进行新闻发布会后立刻反弹,而一小时后发布会结束,股价再度跳水。2:00声明公布后的走势很好解释:虽然符合市场预期,但美联储打破了之前一直沟通的加息50基点,转为加息75基点,市场对于这种操作解读为鹰派,股价跳水。(<a href=\"https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20220615a.htm\" target=\"_blank\">声明原文链接</a>)重点是鲍威尔上台后市场为何持续上涨?根据直播观察,简单来说,在鲍威尔上台后,股价涨跌就变成了对于鲍威尔演讲态度和演讲措辞的持续反馈。(<a href=\"https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20220615.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">开幕词链接</a>)(<a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gq4ZvZOoPfI\" target=\"_blank\">视频链接</a>)在2:00声明公布后,市场想从新闻发布会上获得更多现状和决策方面的信息,包含不限于: 为什么选择加息75点, 加息75点会","text":"标题就是昨晚彻夜观看加息发布会的感想。建议大家如果有条件,追踪一次FOMC的直播,会有很多收获。视频的信息含量要比媒体的文字叙述高很多很多,比如市场行情为什么在会议当天和次日有翻天覆地的变化,如果你看了直播,就能理解这种变化背后的逻辑了。当然收获还不止这一点,下面我就谈谈直播呈现的额外内容,包括对之后股市走势和加息路径的看法。态度比数据更重要昨天的发布会可以分为两部分:北京时间6月16日凌晨两点公布利率决议,凌晨两点半到3点半鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。如图所示区分十分明显:两点利率决议公布后市场立刻跳水下跌,鲍威尔上台进行新闻发布会后立刻反弹,而一小时后发布会结束,股价再度跳水。2:00声明公布后的走势很好解释:虽然符合市场预期,但美联储打破了之前一直沟通的加息50基点,转为加息75基点,市场对于这种操作解读为鹰派,股价跳水。(声明原文链接)重点是鲍威尔上台后市场为何持续上涨?根据直播观察,简单来说,在鲍威尔上台后,股价涨跌就变成了对于鲍威尔演讲态度和演讲措辞的持续反馈。(开幕词链接)(视频链接)在2:00声明公布后,市场想从新闻发布会上获得更多现状和决策方面的信息,包含不限于: 为什么选择加息75点, 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被底抄了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe37510973ec0a222031d19131be003c","width":"640","height":"480"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606249555","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3565607343796556","authorId":"3565607343796556","name":"大脑斧嗷呜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40ca58a59e7702e006f20485890b1716","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3565607343796556","idStr":"3565607343796556"},"content":"但是我估计今晚最终收盘会超过盘前价,尾盘机构会买进,(预测而已,不作为操作建议)","text":"但是我估计今晚最终收盘会超过盘前价,尾盘机构会买进,(预测而已,不作为操作建议)","html":"但是我估计今晚最终收盘会超过盘前价,尾盘机构会买进,(预测而已,不作为操作建议)"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852361571,"gmtCreate":1635243676261,"gmtModify":1635243676261,"author":{"id":"3554468197167318","authorId":"3554468197167318","name":"SNOWBALL6888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4c7cd4f2bfe239ae2a8504a584e162","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554468197167318","idStr":"3554468197167318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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