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胡晓彬
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IP属地:浙江
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热门
胡晓彬
2021-06-18
$高途(GOTU)$
太吓人了
胡晓彬
2021-06-07
$高途(GOTU)$
太吓人
胡晓彬
2021-06-04
$高途(GOTU)$
这个跌法也太夸张了吧
胡晓彬
2021-05-26
$高途(GOTU)$
太吓人了,十几个点跌啊
胡晓彬
2021-05-26
$高途(GOTU)$
怎么huishi发生什么了,16美金?
胡晓彬
2021-05-13
$高途(GOTU)$
震惊
胡晓彬
2021-05-13
$高途(GOTU)$
一个消息空这么夸张吗
胡晓彬
2021-05-13
$高途(GOTU)$
我的妈呀,这是发生什么事情 最近都不敢打开软件
胡晓彬
2021-05-13
$高途(GOTU)$
震惊了
胡晓彬
2021-05-13
$高途(GOTU)$
我靠可怕
胡晓彬
2021-05-13
$高途(GOTU)$
美股跌起来太可怕了吧
胡晓彬
2021-05-13
$高途(GOTU)$
公司生什么,快跌百分之99了
胡晓彬
2021-05-11
$高途(GOTU)$
有毒啊
胡晓彬
2021-04-12
要退市了吗
胡晓彬
2021-04-09
$跟谁学(GSX)$
我的妈呀,这是跌到什么时候
胡晓彬
2021-04-05
$跟谁学(GSX)$
发生什么了
胡晓彬
2021-03-25
$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$
亏100多美金先出来,太吓人了
胡晓彬
2021-03-25
$理想汽车(LI)$
感觉停不下来了,跌个没完了要,做空
胡晓彬
2021-03-24
$理想汽车(LI)$
疯了吧
胡晓彬
2021-03-24
跌20个点吗
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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12:55","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"新希望不到4个月股价腰斩 “二师兄”彻底不香了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2094592654","media":"中国基金报","summary":"不到4个月股价腰斩,市值蒸发千亿!“二师兄”彻底不香了。 今天饲料龙头新希望盘中再跌近4%,拖累猪肉股,牧原股份、双汇发展、温氏股份齐跌。 伴随着今早的下跌,新希望股价在不到4个月的时间内已经下跌50%。 12月25日,新希望股价午间收跌2.72%,报20.73元,市值为934亿元,较前一交易日减少26亿元。 自今年9月初见顶42.2元以后,新希望股价一路下滑,至12月23日收盘,股价几乎腰斩,市值跌近千亿。","content":"<div>\n<p>炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 原标题 刚又大跌!不到4个月股价腰斩,市值蒸发千亿!“二师兄”彻底不香了\n 记者 王建蔷\n 伴随着猪周期得见顶,连年大涨的猪企们的股价近期集体大幅回调。\n 今天饲料龙头新希望盘中再跌近4%,拖累猪肉股,牧原股份、双汇发展、温氏股份齐跌。而自9月初的高点至今,新希望股价已累计下跌超50%,市值暴跌近1000亿。\n ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hyyj/2020-12-25/doc-iiznctke8432181.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta 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float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n新希望不到4个月股价腰斩 “二师兄”彻底不香了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-12-25 12:55 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hyyj/2020-12-25/doc-iiznctke8432181.shtml><strong>中国基金报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 原标题 刚又大跌!不到4个月股价腰斩,市值蒸发千亿!“二师兄”彻底不香了\n 记者 王建蔷\n 伴随着猪周期得见顶,连年大涨的猪企们的股价近期集体大幅回调。\n 今天饲料龙头新希望盘中再跌近4%,拖累猪肉股,牧原股份、双汇发展、温氏股份齐跌。而自9月初的高点至今,新希望股价已累计下跌超50%,市值暴跌近1000亿。\n ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hyyj/2020-12-25/doc-iiznctke8432181.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4153df93b18fe423c5d3fa744eb9ee74","relate_stocks":{"000876":"新希望"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hyyj/2020-12-25/doc-iiznctke8432181.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2094592654","content_text":"炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 原标题 刚又大跌!不到4个月股价腰斩,市值蒸发千亿!“二师兄”彻底不香了\n 记者 王建蔷\n 伴随着猪周期得见顶,连年大涨的猪企们的股价近期集体大幅回调。\n 今天饲料龙头新希望盘中再跌近4%,拖累猪肉股,牧原股份、双汇发展、温氏股份齐跌。而自9月初的高点至今,新希望股价已累计下跌超50%,市值暴跌近1000亿。\n 个股大幅回调的同时,整个猪产业板块也经历较深调整。自从9月份以来,不到4个月的时间,猪产业指数跌幅达20%以上。\n 猪肉板块集体下挫\n 12月25日早盘,新希望再跌近4%,拖累猪肉股表现,牧原股份、双汇发展、温氏股份齐跌。\n 截至午间收盘,新五丰下跌3.31%,天康生物、金新农(维权)、新希望、罗牛山顺鑫农业股价集体下挫。\n\n 截至今天午间收盘,万得猪产业指数下跌1.35%,盘中最深跌幅达2.31%。\n\n 新希望股价较9月初高点已腰斩\n 被质疑“PPT养猪”\n 伴随着今早的下跌,新希望股价在不到4个月的时间内已经下跌50%。\n 12月25日,新希望股价午间收跌2.72%,报20.73元,市值为934亿元,较前一交易日减少26亿元。\n\n 自今年9月初见顶42.2元以后,新希望股价一路下滑,至12月23日收盘,股价几乎腰斩,市值跌近千亿。\n\n 股价疯狂下跌,投资者纷纷在互动平台发出疑问,包括“公司最近领跌猪肉股,是否有未披露的负面信息?”“公司经营是否正常?”\n\n 在投资者的集中逼问下,新希望回应称,四季度生猪出栏量将比三季度投资者交流中给出的预期数量减少80万头-100万头,育肥成本也将比预期有所上升。\n\n 具体来看,公司在三季度的投资交流中透露,今年四季度自产仔猪育肥在200万头左右,但公司最新披露显示,截至11月份公司自产仔猪育肥数量仅有58万头。\n 此外,新希望此前表示,今年年底公司自产仔猪育肥成本目标是13.6元/公斤,明年年底达到11-12元/公斤,但公司最新透露11月自产仔猪育肥成本15.5元,环比10月反而增加。如此短的时间内真实经营数据与预期数据差距过大,投资者直接质疑新希望是“PPT养猪”。\n 对于自育比例远低于预期,新希望称,对实际达成与此前沟通的目标之间较大的差距表示歉意,相关原因公司也会在近期通过合适的渠道向市场统一说明。\n 对于育肥成本的上升,公司解释称主要原因是外购二元母猪成本较高,公司近期也主动淘汰了一批低效种猪,以及公司育肥猪农户代养比例还比较高等原因,导致近期生猪养殖成本较高。\n 值得一提的是,受此影响,诸多投资者对公司明年的关键任务指标,也产生怀疑,并在互动平台反复确认。\n\n 今年三季报,新希望预测,2021年确保2500万头出栏,外购仔猪育肥规模将控制在300万头左右。\n 饲料龙头激进押注养猪\n 开启“地产+养猪”\n 新希望是四川名企,也是饲料龙头。\n 公开资料显示,新希望始创于1982年,由民营企业家刘永好发起创立,目前已是以现代农业与食品产业为主导,布局银行、证券、金融科技和基金等多种金融业态的综合性企业集团。\n 作为公司的营收主力,饲料业务占比一直在公司总营收的在6成以上。从2016年开始,新希望开始大力布局养猪业务,2018年国内爆发非洲猪瘟疫情之后更是押注养猪。2018年新希望制定2022年出栏生猪2500万头、饲料销量2500万吨、肉禽屠宰量10亿只的经营目标,并在2019年5月指定对应的股权激励行权条件,2022年达到1200亿营收。\n 伴随猪肉价格的上升,新希望的股价也一路走高,今年近三个季度股价累计上涨超100%,并收获42.2元的高价,市值近2000亿。\n\n 但截至2019年,新希望总营收中猪产业占比还不足1成,但毛利和净利润却很高。\n 尽管新希望的饲料业务占到主营收入的一半以上,但毛利率却仅仅只有不到10%,且利润仅占主营利润的3成。\n 业内人士表示,占主营业务小部分的养猪产业在净利润中却占了大头。若猪肉价格下挫,那么新希望的净利润将大幅减少。\n 尝到甜头后,新希望在养猪方面进一步扩张。今年上半年新希望先后完成了40亿元可转债发行、20亿元中期票据及10亿元超短期融资券发行,并申报了40亿元定增计划用于扩大养猪规模。\n 今年9月,新希望聘任新希望地产事业部总裁张明贵为公司新一任总裁兼董事。他表示,地产行业同养猪行业存在一些类似的地方,都需要很强的规划、运营等,也需要员工具有很强的“狼性”和激情。上任后,张明贵一直在全力协助新希望在各地拿养猪的地块。\n 值得注意得是,今年的前11个月,新希望房地产的销售额已经突破900亿,即将迈入千亿大关。房产销售额飙升得同时,新希望也在高价买地。\n 去年5月15日,新希望地产经过200轮竞拍,力以12.46亿元的价格摘得编号为大城(2019)-8号地块,溢价率高达49%。今年4月,新希望地产以23.6亿元价格拿下佛山里水洲村地块,溢价率也达到了48%。\n 4个月内猪产业指数跌幅达22%\n 牧原股份市值已较高点降近千亿\n 事实上,这三个月股价惨淡的不止新希望一家。\n 自从9月份以来,短短不到四个月的时间,整个猪肉板块都出现大幅的下挫,猪产业指数跌幅高达22%以上,猪肉指数也跌超7%。\n\n 作为“猪老大”,牧原股份近期得日子也不好过。\n 截至12月23日收盘,牧原股份的总市值为2697.69亿元;在今年,牧原股份的收盘总市值最高价出现在7月20日,为3634.65亿元。由此估算,牧原股份的收盘总市值已较今年最高价蒸发约936.96亿元。\n\n 对于如何应对本轮猪周期下行风险,牧原股份近期回应称,预计明年市场的生猪价格会出现回落,但仍将处于相对高位。公司明年将继续优化资产结构、降低资产负债率,保持充裕的现金储备,应对后续市场价格下降的风险。\n 牧原股份还表示,随着未来行业集中度的提升,产能趋于稳定,预计猪周期内的价格波动幅度也会较以往有所降低。\n 9月以来猪价跌幅超过10%\n 猪企股价下跌,市值蒸发背后,猪价下跌,猪周期红利渐行渐远。\n 2018年突如其来的猪瘟疫情让我国猪价走上了疯狂上涨之路。由于国内生猪供给的缺失,短短一年多时间,猪价从原来的六七元/斤,涨到了高峰(金麒麟分析师)时期的28元/斤。猪肉价格也是水涨船高,一度突破30元大关创历史新高。\n 随着国家加大养猪补贴的力度,随着产能恢复和生猪利润的增长,越来越多的企业和个人加入了养殖大军。\n 自去年年底以来,国内生猪产能开始止跌回升,截止到11月末,国内生猪产能已经恢复超9成。猪价随之也从九月份开始进入了下行周期,猪价持续低迷2个月,局部地区猪肉一度降回20元以下,11月份的肉价降幅为12.5%,\n 11月底,母猪存栏量达到了4100万头,生猪产能超过4亿头,恢复到2017年的90%以上。官方认为,最快明年3月份、最慢明年6月份生猪产能恢复2017年水平,这之后还会对猪价产生抑制。\n 不过进入12月份,生猪价格有所上涨,例如近期猪肉批发价涨到43.83元/kg,比起11月底上涨了4.56元/kg,零售价也普遍涨了3-4元/斤。\n 农业农村部:春节后猪肉价格或大跌\n 国泰君安期货研报指出,我国生猪产能正在快速恢复,预计2021年猪肉产量同比+30%。据农业农村部消息,截至11月份,国内生猪存栏和能繁母猪存栏均已恢复到常年水平90%以上,已有23省份提前完成产能恢复任务目标,全国生猪存栏最迟至明年上半年就会恢复到常年水平。\n\n 在近日召开得的农业农村部新闻通气会上,农业农村部畜牧兽医局副局长魏宏阳介绍,9月开始,猪肉价格已连续3个月下降,目前猪肉价格比今年2月中旬的最高价低了11元(人民币,下同)左右。\n 近三周,随着消费旺季到来,中国猪肉价格有所反弹,12月第2周,全国集贸市场猪肉价格每公斤48.87元,较前一周上涨3.3%。\n 展望后期,辛国昌表示,元旦春节临近,消费需求还将明显增长,供应压力仍然存在。但根据生猪生产恢复情况判断,2021年元旦春节期间猪肉供应量将比上年同期增加三成左右,猪肉价格将总体低于上年同期水平,预计明年上半年生猪产能即可完全恢复。“春节过后,猪肉消费将出现量价齐跌的情况,猪肉价格可能出现较大幅度下降,建议养殖户适时出栏,避免压栏惜售产生不必要的损失。”\n\n扫二维码 领开户福利!\n\n\n新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:王涵","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":198952858,"gmtCreate":1620920591574,"gmtModify":1620920591574,"author":{"id":"3552457998650022","authorId":"3552457998650022","name":"胡晓彬","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$</a>一个消息空这么夸张吗","listText":"<a 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