胡晓彬的个人主页 - 老虎社区

胡晓彬

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IP属地：浙江

116关注

2粉丝

13主题

0勋章

2021-06-04

$高途(GOTU)$这个跌法也太夸张了吧

2021-03-03

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$这跌死了过分了吧，十几个点十几个点跌

2021-03-04

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$这个反应过度了吧。跌成股灾一样

2021-03-03

$理想汽车(LI)$差点吓死了

2021-03-25

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$亏100多美金先出来，太吓人了

2021-03-24

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$都不敢看了，跌这么狠

2021-03-08

$理想汽车(LI)$完了

2021-03-04

$理想汽车(LI)$跌的幅度这么大，这周基本亏了二十个点了

2021-03-24

$理想汽车(LI)$跌的都停不下来了，太可怕了吧

2021-03-24

$理想汽车(LI)$做空你要笑死了

2021-03-04

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$太可怕了吧

2021-03-03

$理想汽车(LI)$跌死了怎么像股灾一样啊

2020-12-25

我不知道怎么办，买了新希望亏了二十万

新希望不到4个月股价腰斩 “二师兄”彻底不香了

2021-05-13

$高途(GOTU)$一个消息空这么夸张吗

2021-05-13

$高途(GOTU)$公司生什么，快跌百分之99了

2021-05-11

$高途(GOTU)$有毒啊

2021-03-24

$理想汽车(LI)$疯了吧

2021-03-24

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$怎么回事

2021-02-18

$理想汽车(LI)$我靠，这个跌幅这么大

2021-05-26

$高途(GOTU)$怎么huishi发生什么了，16美金？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a>跌死了怎么像股灾一样啊","text":"$理想汽车(LI)$跌死了怎么像股灾一样啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365170877","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":339225900,"gmtCreate":1608879993100,"gmtModify":1703737254719,"author":{"id":"3552457998650022","authorId":"3552457998650022","authorIdStr":"3552457998650022","name":"胡晓彬","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3552457998650022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我不知道怎么办，买了新希望亏了二十万","listText":"我不知道怎么办，买了新希望亏了二十万","text":"我不知道怎么办，买了新希望亏了二十万","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/339225900","repostId":"2094592654","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2094592654","pubTimestamp":1608872100,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2094592654?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-12-25 12:55","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"新希望不到4个月股价腰斩 “二师兄”彻底不香了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2094592654","media":"中国基金报","summary":"不到4个月股价腰斩，市值蒸发千亿！“二师兄”彻底不香了。　　今天饲料龙头新希望盘中再跌近4%，拖累猪肉股，牧原股份、双汇发展、温氏股份齐跌。　　伴随着今早的下跌，新希望股价在不到4个月的时间内已经下跌50%。　　12月25日，新希望股价午间收跌2.72%，报20.73元，市值为934亿元，较前一交易日减少26亿元。　　自今年9月初见顶42.2元以后，新希望股价一路下滑，至12月23日收盘，股价几乎腰斩，市值跌近千亿。","content":"<div>\n<p>炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 　　原标题 刚又大跌！不到4个月股价腰斩，市值蒸发千亿！“二师兄”彻底不香了\n　　记者 王建蔷\n　　伴随着猪周期得见顶，连年大涨的猪企们的股价近期集体大幅回调。\n　　今天饲料龙头新希望盘中再跌近4%，拖累猪肉股，牧原股份、双汇发展、温氏股份齐跌。而自9月初的高点至今，新希望股价已累计下跌超50%，市值暴跌近1000亿。\n　　...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hyyj/2020-12-25/doc-iiznctke8432181.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>新希望不到4个月股价腰斩 “二师兄”彻底不香了</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n新希望不到4个月股价腰斩 “二师兄”彻底不香了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-12-25 12:55 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hyyj/2020-12-25/doc-iiznctke8432181.shtml><strong>中国基金报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 　　原标题 刚又大跌！不到4个月股价腰斩，市值蒸发千亿！“二师兄”彻底不香了\n　　记者 王建蔷\n　　伴随着猪周期得见顶，连年大涨的猪企们的股价近期集体大幅回调。\n　　今天饲料龙头新希望盘中再跌近4%，拖累猪肉股，牧原股份、双汇发展、温氏股份齐跌。而自9月初的高点至今，新希望股价已累计下跌超50%，市值暴跌近1000亿。\n　　...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hyyj/2020-12-25/doc-iiznctke8432181.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4153df93b18fe423c5d3fa744eb9ee74","relate_stocks":{"000876":"新希望"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hyyj/2020-12-25/doc-iiznctke8432181.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2094592654","content_text":"炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 　　原标题 刚又大跌！不到4个月股价腰斩，市值蒸发千亿！“二师兄”彻底不香了\n　　记者 王建蔷\n　　伴随着猪周期得见顶，连年大涨的猪企们的股价近期集体大幅回调。\n　　今天饲料龙头新希望盘中再跌近4%，拖累猪肉股，牧原股份、双汇发展、温氏股份齐跌。而自9月初的高点至今，新希望股价已累计下跌超50%，市值暴跌近1000亿。\n　　个股大幅回调的同时，整个猪产业板块也经历较深调整。自从9月份以来，不到4个月的时间，猪产业指数跌幅达20%以上。\n　　猪肉板块集体下挫\n　　12月25日早盘，新希望再跌近4%，拖累猪肉股表现，牧原股份、双汇发展、温氏股份齐跌。\n　　截至午间收盘，新五丰下跌3.31%，天康生物、金新农（维权）、新希望、罗牛山顺鑫农业股价集体下挫。\n\n　　截至今天午间收盘，万得猪产业指数下跌1.35%，盘中最深跌幅达2.31%。\n\n　　新希望股价较9月初高点已腰斩\n　　被质疑“PPT养猪”\n　　伴随着今早的下跌，新希望股价在不到4个月的时间内已经下跌50%。\n　　12月25日，新希望股价午间收跌2.72%，报20.73元，市值为934亿元，较前一交易日减少26亿元。\n\n　　自今年9月初见顶42.2元以后，新希望股价一路下滑，至12月23日收盘，股价几乎腰斩，市值跌近千亿。\n\n　　股价疯狂下跌，投资者纷纷在互动平台发出疑问，包括“公司最近领跌猪肉股，是否有未披露的负面信息？”“公司经营是否正常？”\n\n　　在投资者的集中逼问下，新希望回应称，四季度生猪出栏量将比三季度投资者交流中给出的预期数量减少80万头-100万头，育肥成本也将比预期有所上升。\n\n　　具体来看，公司在三季度的投资交流中透露，今年四季度自产仔猪育肥在200万头左右，但公司最新披露显示，截至11月份公司自产仔猪育肥数量仅有58万头。\n　　此外，新希望此前表示，今年年底公司自产仔猪育肥成本目标是13.6元/公斤，明年年底达到11-12元/公斤，但公司最新透露11月自产仔猪育肥成本15.5元，环比10月反而增加。如此短的时间内真实经营数据与预期数据差距过大，投资者直接质疑新希望是“PPT养猪”。\n　　对于自育比例远低于预期，新希望称，对实际达成与此前沟通的目标之间较大的差距表示歉意，相关原因公司也会在近期通过合适的渠道向市场统一说明。\n　　对于育肥成本的上升，公司解释称主要原因是外购二元母猪成本较高，公司近期也主动淘汰了一批低效种猪，以及公司育肥猪农户代养比例还比较高等原因，导致近期生猪养殖成本较高。\n　　值得一提的是，受此影响，诸多投资者对公司明年的关键任务指标，也产生怀疑，并在互动平台反复确认。\n\n　　今年三季报，新希望预测，2021年确保2500万头出栏，外购仔猪育肥规模将控制在300万头左右。\n　　饲料龙头激进押注养猪\n　　开启“地产+养猪”\n　　新希望是四川名企，也是饲料龙头。\n　　公开资料显示，新希望始创于1982年，由民营企业家刘永好发起创立，目前已是以现代农业与食品产业为主导，布局银行、证券、金融科技和基金等多种金融业态的综合性企业集团。\n　　作为公司的营收主力，饲料业务占比一直在公司总营收的在6成以上。从2016年开始，新希望开始大力布局养猪业务，2018年国内爆发非洲猪瘟疫情之后更是押注养猪。2018年新希望制定2022年出栏生猪2500万头、饲料销量2500万吨、肉禽屠宰量10亿只的经营目标，并在2019年5月指定对应的股权激励行权条件，2022年达到1200亿营收。\n　　伴随猪肉价格的上升，新希望的股价也一路走高，今年近三个季度股价累计上涨超100%，并收获42.2元的高价，市值近2000亿。\n\n　　但截至2019年，新希望总营收中猪产业占比还不足1成，但毛利和净利润却很高。\n　　尽管新希望的饲料业务占到主营收入的一半以上，但毛利率却仅仅只有不到10%，且利润仅占主营利润的3成。\n　　业内人士表示，占主营业务小部分的养猪产业在净利润中却占了大头。若猪肉价格下挫，那么新希望的净利润将大幅减少。\n　　尝到甜头后，新希望在养猪方面进一步扩张。今年上半年新希望先后完成了40亿元可转债发行、20亿元中期票据及10亿元超短期融资券发行，并申报了40亿元定增计划用于扩大养猪规模。\n　　今年9月，新希望聘任新希望地产事业部总裁张明贵为公司新一任总裁兼董事。他表示，地产行业同养猪行业存在一些类似的地方，都需要很强的规划、运营等，也需要员工具有很强的“狼性”和激情。上任后，张明贵一直在全力协助新希望在各地拿养猪的地块。\n　　值得注意得是，今年的前11个月，新希望房地产的销售额已经突破900亿，即将迈入千亿大关。房产销售额飙升得同时，新希望也在高价买地。\n　　去年5月15日，新希望地产经过200轮竞拍，力以12.46亿元的价格摘得编号为大城（2019）-8号地块，溢价率高达49%。今年4月，新希望地产以23.6亿元价格拿下佛山里水洲村地块，溢价率也达到了48%。\n　　4个月内猪产业指数跌幅达22%\n　　牧原股份市值已较高点降近千亿\n　　事实上，这三个月股价惨淡的不止新希望一家。\n　　自从9月份以来，短短不到四个月的时间，整个猪肉板块都出现大幅的下挫，猪产业指数跌幅高达22%以上，猪肉指数也跌超7%。\n\n　　作为“猪老大”，牧原股份近期得日子也不好过。\n　　截至12月23日收盘，牧原股份的总市值为2697.69亿元；在今年，牧原股份的收盘总市值最高价出现在7月20日，为3634.65亿元。由此估算，牧原股份的收盘总市值已较今年最高价蒸发约936.96亿元。\n\n　　对于如何应对本轮猪周期下行风险，牧原股份近期回应称，预计明年市场的生猪价格会出现回落，但仍将处于相对高位。公司明年将继续优化资产结构、降低资产负债率，保持充裕的现金储备，应对后续市场价格下降的风险。\n　　牧原股份还表示，随着未来行业集中度的提升，产能趋于稳定，预计猪周期内的价格波动幅度也会较以往有所降低。\n　　9月以来猪价跌幅超过10%\n　　猪企股价下跌，市值蒸发背后，猪价下跌，猪周期红利渐行渐远。\n　　2018年突如其来的猪瘟疫情让我国猪价走上了疯狂上涨之路。由于国内生猪供给的缺失，短短一年多时间，猪价从原来的六七元/斤，涨到了高峰（金麒麟分析师）时期的28元/斤。猪肉价格也是水涨船高，一度突破30元大关创历史新高。\n　　随着国家加大养猪补贴的力度，随着产能恢复和生猪利润的增长，越来越多的企业和个人加入了养殖大军。\n　　自去年年底以来，国内生猪产能开始止跌回升，截止到11月末，国内生猪产能已经恢复超9成。猪价随之也从九月份开始进入了下行周期，猪价持续低迷2个月，局部地区猪肉一度降回20元以下，11月份的肉价降幅为12.5%，\n　　11月底，母猪存栏量达到了4100万头，生猪产能超过4亿头，恢复到2017年的90%以上。官方认为，最快明年3月份、最慢明年6月份生猪产能恢复2017年水平，这之后还会对猪价产生抑制。\n　　不过进入12月份，生猪价格有所上涨，例如近期猪肉批发价涨到43.83元/kg，比起11月底上涨了4.56元/kg，零售价也普遍涨了3-4元/斤。\n　　农业农村部：春节后猪肉价格或大跌\n　　国泰君安期货研报指出，我国生猪产能正在快速恢复，预计2021年猪肉产量同比+30%。据农业农村部消息，截至11月份，国内生猪存栏和能繁母猪存栏均已恢复到常年水平90%以上，已有23省份提前完成产能恢复任务目标，全国生猪存栏最迟至明年上半年就会恢复到常年水平。\n\n　　在近日召开得的农业农村部新闻通气会上，农业农村部畜牧兽医局副局长魏宏阳介绍，9月开始，猪肉价格已连续3个月下降，目前猪肉价格比今年2月中旬的最高价低了11元（人民币，下同）左右。\n　　近三周，随着消费旺季到来，中国猪肉价格有所反弹，12月第2周，全国集贸市场猪肉价格每公斤48.87元，较前一周上涨3.3%。\n　　展望后期，辛国昌表示，元旦春节临近，消费需求还将明显增长，供应压力仍然存在。但根据生猪生产恢复情况判断，2021年元旦春节期间猪肉供应量将比上年同期增加三成左右，猪肉价格将总体低于上年同期水平，预计明年上半年生猪产能即可完全恢复。“春节过后，猪肉消费将出现量价齐跌的情况，猪肉价格可能出现较大幅度下降，建议养殖户适时出栏，避免压栏惜售产生不必要的损失。”\n\n扫二维码 领开户福利！\n\n\n新浪声明：此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体，新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的，并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑：王涵","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":198952858,"gmtCreate":1620920591574,"gmtModify":1620920591574,"author":{"id":"3552457998650022","authorId":"3552457998650022","authorIdStr":"3552457998650022","name":"胡晓彬","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3552457998650022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$</a>一个消息空这么夸张吗","listText":"<a 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