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Gabriel_1016
08-16
昨天降息今天我就all in,但是不降就很危险,看看去年11月的假消息
@小虎老师:降息前夕,TLT是否值得买?每月分红,还退分红税!
Gabriel_1016
2022-09-23
$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$
对NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)表态看多看空
Gabriel_1016
2021-02-12
24小时生死时速,十号凌晨一点买入的,十一号下午七点盘前卖出,赚了一万美金,后边我发一个盘前盘后的套利教程,祝大家牛年吉祥
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
Gabriel_1016
2021-01-07
$理想汽车(LI)$
最近不错,部门里的一个大佬也买了理想,我炒他的作业,不过他是买车我是买股票哈哈
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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ETF。此外,购买TLT要择时!过去三年如果无脑买TLT很大概率亏损。下图可见,2020年美联储利率降低到0附近,TLT触顶。但还没到2022年首次加息,TLT就因市场敏感度高先跌了一波。7月以来,由于降息预期大增,TLT反弹近6%。2019年至今 TLT 走势2019年至今联邦基金有效利率投资者通常将 ETF 债券持有量的平均期限乘以预期的利率变化。例如,iShare官网显示TLT的有效久期为16.65%,意味着利率下降100个基点, TLT 价格上涨约16%。相反,利率上升 100 个基点将意味着价格下跌 16%,因此,过去一轮加息中利率以创纪录的速度上升时, TLT 跌入谷底。iShare官网TLT投资说明展望未来,降息周期的临近,市场当前预计到2024年12月,美联储降息100个基点的概率达42.6%。虽然TLT近期提前兑现一定预期涨幅,但仍有更多上涨空间。CME FedWatch Tool未来利率预期另一方面,TLT有稳定分红派息,当前12月股息率高达为3.72%,每个月1日会分派到投资者账户。iShare官网TLT投资说明大家通常知道,分红是会扣股息税的。但是TLT的股息税是会返还的。投资者购买美债ETF的股息税将会在次年2-4月返退回账户。美国对美国企业的现金股息的征税是30%。但是,部分国家或地","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> 随着美联储 9月份降息的概率接近100%,最大的美债关联ETF- TLT 资金流入再度飙升。TLT 持有一篮子期限超过20年的美国国债,价格波动受美联储基准利率影响。随着利率下降,其投资组合中的债券价格趋于上涨。(注:债券价格和债券收益率成反比,即债券价格上涨,债券收益率下降。)长期国债ETF 的价格对利率变化的敏感度高于短期国债的 ETF。此外,购买TLT要择时!过去三年如果无脑买TLT很大概率亏损。下图可见,2020年美联储利率降低到0附近,TLT触顶。但还没到2022年首次加息,TLT就因市场敏感度高先跌了一波。7月以来,由于降息预期大增,TLT反弹近6%。2019年至今 TLT 走势2019年至今联邦基金有效利率投资者通常将 ETF 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>","listText":"24小时生死时速,十号凌晨一点买入的,十一号下午七点盘前卖出,赚了一万美金,后边我发一个盘前盘后的套利教程,祝大家牛年吉祥<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>","text":"24小时生死时速,十号凌晨一点买入的,十一号下午七点盘前卖出,赚了一万美金,后边我发一个盘前盘后的套利教程,祝大家牛年吉祥$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5daec9aa4002be6202376ae8c834108","width":"1080","height":"2340"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386039638","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4053,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575246845694227","authorId":"3575246845694227","name":"touzi666","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1044ea83cc0158ec06cc3abebad3b15","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575246845694227","idStr":"3575246845694227"},"content":"还是别发了,涨了你短线获利,要是跌下来呢?都是马后炮","text":"还是别发了,涨了你短线获利,要是跌下来呢?都是马后炮","html":"还是别发了,涨了你短线获利,要是跌下来呢?都是马后炮"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":336109158,"gmtCreate":1610032526674,"gmtModify":1703742224382,"author":{"id":"3551152945266132","authorId":"3551152945266132","name":"Gabriel_1016","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c81b1823026de595b8946dd366f1063","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3551152945266132","idStr":"3551152945266132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a>最近不错,部门里的一个大佬也买了理想,我炒他的作业,不过他是买车我是买股票哈哈","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a>最近不错,部门里的一个大佬也买了理想,我炒他的作业,不过他是买车我是买股票哈哈","text":"$理想汽车(LI)$最近不错,部门里的一个大佬也买了理想,我炒他的作业,不过他是买车我是买股票哈哈","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5268d7bd4fd8a2d128ac726bbfbefe2a","width":"1080","height":"2340"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/336109158","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题,可以获得更多曝光哦~如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题,可以获得更多曝光哦~如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题,可以获得更多曝光哦~如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":386039638,"gmtCreate":1613107287824,"gmtModify":1613107287824,"author":{"id":"3551152945266132","authorId":"3551152945266132","name":"Gabriel_1016","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c81b1823026de595b8946dd366f1063","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551152945266132","authorIdStr":"3551152945266132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"24小时生死时速,十号凌晨一点买入的,十一号下午七点盘前卖出,赚了一万美金,后边我发一个盘前盘后的套利教程,祝大家牛年吉祥<a 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