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TeslaM
2022-03-11
[微笑]
@期权小班长:没办法确定涨跌，那就交易更确定的波动率
TeslaM
2020-08-05
$跟誰學(GSX)$
其实90以上就不可能有小散做多了 老美也早都不参与 等接盘都是国内那些所谓qdii 基金买入投资经理买call获利 亏损算客户的 就像那种08年美股大跌号称出国抄底 美股到15年翻多少倍 qdii还是亏损的神奇东西 最后反正是自己人坑自己人 所以sec也不急
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CALL$（可自行换成更高的行权价比如32）","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635050029","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1871,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":945593435,"gmtCreate":1596608029627,"gmtModify":1704212852207,"author":{"id":"3550564124621709","authorId":"3550564124621709","name":"TeslaM","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3550564124621709","authorIdStr":"3550564124621709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟誰學(GSX)$</a>其实90以上就不可能有小散做多了 老美也早都不参与 等接盘都是国内那些所谓qdii 基金买入投资经理买call获利 亏损算客户的 就像那种08年美股大跌号称出国抄底 美股到15年翻多少倍 qdii还是亏损的神奇东西 最后反正是自己人坑自己人 所以sec也不急","listText":"<a 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","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635856955","repostId":"635050029","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":635050029,"gmtCreate":1646751784641,"gmtModify":1646797656491,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"没办法确定涨跌，那就交易更确定的波动率","htmlText":"下周真是群魔乱舞，既有四巫日，又有美联储加息。 考虑今晚可能反弹，也可能继续探底再反弹，差不多就在这两天见分晓吧，今晚先不做操作了，反正明天也得跳空，我们就随便聊两句行情的看法。 上一次经历四巫日还是在上一次：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/690687251\" target=\"_blank\">4.3万亿美元的股票期权即将到期，恐怖四巫日再临</a>。 9月和12月的四巫日我没怎么提前准备，基本到了当天看资讯才发现，哦四巫日到了。四巫日在前几年其实是个挺平淡的日子，这两年随着散户入场，期权持仓量的增加，未平仓期权数量巨大，媒体用的标题也十分恐慌（当然我也是），所以让人不得不重视起来。 今天回过头再看前两次四巫日，发现波动最大的除了四巫日前一天，也就是周四，四巫日当周的前一周行情波动也十分惊人，没错，就像现在这样。所以等到6月份四巫日，我要记得提前两周对大盘波动做准备。 没错，四巫日和美联储议息之前，唯一确定的就是大盘波动率不会下跌！所以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/632454999\" target=\"_blank\">昨天的方法</a>到下周一都有效。 买入<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VXX%2020220414%2026.0%20CALL\" target=\"_blank\">$VXX 20220414 26.0 CALL$</a> 卖出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VXX%2020220311%2030.0%20CALL\" target=\"_blank\">$VXX 20220311 30.0 CALL$</a>（可自行换成更高的行权价比如32）","listText":"下周真是群魔乱舞，既有四巫日，又有美联储加息。 考虑今晚可能反弹，也可能继续探底再反弹，差不多就在这两天见分晓吧，今晚先不做操作了，反正明天也得跳空，我们就随便聊两句行情的看法。 上一次经历四巫日还是在上一次：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/690687251\" target=\"_blank\">4.3万亿美元的股票期权即将到期，恐怖四巫日再临</a>。 9月和12月的四巫日我没怎么提前准备，基本到了当天看资讯才发现，哦四巫日到了。四巫日在前几年其实是个挺平淡的日子，这两年随着散户入场，期权持仓量的增加，未平仓期权数量巨大，媒体用的标题也十分恐慌（当然我也是），所以让人不得不重视起来。 今天回过头再看前两次四巫日，发现波动最大的除了四巫日前一天，也就是周四，四巫日当周的前一周行情波动也十分惊人，没错，就像现在这样。所以等到6月份四巫日，我要记得提前两周对大盘波动做准备。 没错，四巫日和美联储议息之前，唯一确定的就是大盘波动率不会下跌！所以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/632454999\" target=\"_blank\">昨天的方法</a>到下周一都有效。 买入<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VXX%2020220414%2026.0%20CALL\" target=\"_blank\">$VXX 20220414 26.0 CALL$</a> 卖出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VXX%2020220311%2030.0%20CALL\" target=\"_blank\">$VXX 20220311 30.0 CALL$</a>（可自行换成更高的行权价比如32）","text":"下周真是群魔乱舞，既有四巫日，又有美联储加息。 考虑今晚可能反弹，也可能继续探底再反弹，差不多就在这两天见分晓吧，今晚先不做操作了，反正明天也得跳空，我们就随便聊两句行情的看法。 上一次经历四巫日还是在上一次：4.3万亿美元的股票期权即将到期，恐怖四巫日再临。 9月和12月的四巫日我没怎么提前准备，基本到了当天看资讯才发现，哦四巫日到了。四巫日在前几年其实是个挺平淡的日子，这两年随着散户入场，期权持仓量的增加，未平仓期权数量巨大，媒体用的标题也十分恐慌（当然我也是），所以让人不得不重视起来。 今天回过头再看前两次四巫日，发现波动最大的除了四巫日前一天，也就是周四，四巫日当周的前一周行情波动也十分惊人，没错，就像现在这样。所以等到6月份四巫日，我要记得提前两周对大盘波动做准备。 没错，四巫日和美联储议息之前，唯一确定的就是大盘波动率不会下跌！所以昨天的方法到下周一都有效。 买入$VXX 20220414 26.0 CALL$ 卖出$VXX 20220311 30.0 CALL$（可自行换成更高的行权价比如32）","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635050029","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1871,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
