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2020-05-13

$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$ 说个笑话，多头找了很多很多很多的库存，

2020-05-06

空气中传来崩塌的声音，黄河泛滥一发不可收拾，我这感觉对么？

@strwind:$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$ 割完空头，搭建好高空跳板，开始跳水？？

2020-05-06

$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$ 割完空头，搭建好高空跳板，开始跳水？？

2020-05-06

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-04-28

$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$多头都灭绝了主力也没辙，撒个网能搂一个是一个

2020-04-28

$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$rush tough，back up!

2020-04-27

$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$不杀了等你们睡了再来

2020-04-27

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@Ivan_甘灿荣:美股稳定、黄金临近重要时间点、油价缓慢修复

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&nbsp;</a>割完空头，搭建好高空跳板，开始跳水？？","text":"$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$ 割完空头，搭建好高空跳板，开始跳水？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927108005","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3491689724099200","authorId":"3491689724099200","name":"程全智_7822","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dfe2a601487e78a5cdf7b1aba7c6fe1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3491689724099200","authorIdStr":"3491689724099200"},"content":"你觉得跳水能跳到什么价格？","text":"你觉得跳水能跳到什么价格？","html":"你觉得跳水能跳到什么价格？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":927310381,"gmtCreate":1588743639343,"gmtModify":1704178244102,"author":{"id":"3549238059784200","authorId":"3549238059784200","name":"strwind","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2531d67eab71c6dcbe2d6a4cfc07cfa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549238059784200","authorIdStr":"3549238059784200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927310381","repostId":"2033248563","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":925515756,"gmtCreate":1588071203975,"gmtModify":1704366289014,"author":{"id":"3549238059784200","authorId":"3549238059784200","name":"strwind","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2531d67eab71c6dcbe2d6a4cfc07cfa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549238059784200","authorIdStr":"3549238059784200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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等你们睡了再来","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/925629614","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":925639390,"gmtCreate":1587993076010,"gmtModify":1704365989222,"author":{"id":"3549238059784200","authorId":"3549238059784200","name":"strwind","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2531d67eab71c6dcbe2d6a4cfc07cfa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549238059784200","authorIdStr":"3549238059784200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/925639390","repostId":"925804809","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":925804809,"gmtCreate":1587957173786,"gmtModify":1704365831569,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312224764596","authorIdStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"美股稳定、黄金临近重要时间点、油价缓慢修复","htmlText":"一、美股 最近预期美股二次探底的声音特别多，归根结底理由就是因为美股涨得太久了，目前的下跌幅度远远没达到空头的预期。其实关于见底的判断我已在前面的帖子里写得足够清楚了，包括见底时间点、重要判断位置（标普2450）等等。所以对于美股，只要不跌穿2450，就不能认为有再次恐慌的情况。 而且最近股市的波动率已经逐渐回归常态（每天波动1-2%之间），这些都是好转的局面（不是认为不会调整，而是认为难以引起恐慌），所以此时的美股用一根20日均线即可应付，只要不跌穿20日线，持仓。跌穿则买期权对冲（防范小概率事件发生），剩下就让时间磨平一切吧。当然最好是调整至5月份见个低点，那就最好了。 二、黄金 4-5月份素来是黄金的重要时间点，这是由于对贵金属勘探采掘行业来说，夏季是最忙碌的季节，生产商一般会在夏天开采金矿的同时，在期货市场上建立相应的卖方头寸，提前锁定利润。因此，在开采工作集中进行的4月到8月这段时间里，由于生产商的卖出开仓，将给金价较大压力，虽然不是每年都一定跌，但确实一个重要的时间点，有预防总是好事。所以自从4月份以来我就并不看好黄金，但是行情确实也创了新高了，这是由于贵金属的供给端问题所导致的。 世界第七大黄金生产国南非，从3月26日开始禁矿21天，而后再延长14天，到4月底，在该消息公布前三天，所有贵金属大幅反弹，直到现在仍高位运行，所以禁令结束后，贵金属存在变盘概率，所以大家要谨慎。 三、原油 最近原油宝的事件一直刷屏，我一直认为去银行做这种挂钩产品，还不如老老实实开个期货账户操作来得实在，毕竟在期货市场里交易过的人其风险意识是很敏感的。当前原油06合约只适合做期权，无论看涨看跌都会波动很大，毕竟悲观预期已经形成，如果库存问题修复，06合约反弹修复合约间价差（这几天有一定修复）；若5月中旬库存问题解决不了，负油价再来一遍？？！不管是否，这趟浑水咱们就不参和了，买个期权亏完","listText":"一、美股 最近预期美股二次探底的声音特别多，归根结底理由就是因为美股涨得太久了，目前的下跌幅度远远没达到空头的预期。其实关于见底的判断我已在前面的帖子里写得足够清楚了，包括见底时间点、重要判断位置（标普2450）等等。所以对于美股，只要不跌穿2450，就不能认为有再次恐慌的情况。 而且最近股市的波动率已经逐渐回归常态（每天波动1-2%之间），这些都是好转的局面（不是认为不会调整，而是认为难以引起恐慌），所以此时的美股用一根20日均线即可应付，只要不跌穿20日线，持仓。跌穿则买期权对冲（防范小概率事件发生），剩下就让时间磨平一切吧。当然最好是调整至5月份见个低点，那就最好了。 二、黄金 4-5月份素来是黄金的重要时间点，这是由于对贵金属勘探采掘行业来说，夏季是最忙碌的季节，生产商一般会在夏天开采金矿的同时，在期货市场上建立相应的卖方头寸，提前锁定利润。因此，在开采工作集中进行的4月到8月这段时间里，由于生产商的卖出开仓，将给金价较大压力，虽然不是每年都一定跌，但确实一个重要的时间点，有预防总是好事。所以自从4月份以来我就并不看好黄金，但是行情确实也创了新高了，这是由于贵金属的供给端问题所导致的。 世界第七大黄金生产国南非，从3月26日开始禁矿21天，而后再延长14天，到4月底，在该消息公布前三天，所有贵金属大幅反弹，直到现在仍高位运行，所以禁令结束后，贵金属存在变盘概率，所以大家要谨慎。 三、原油 最近原油宝的事件一直刷屏，我一直认为去银行做这种挂钩产品，还不如老老实实开个期货账户操作来得实在，毕竟在期货市场里交易过的人其风险意识是很敏感的。当前原油06合约只适合做期权，无论看涨看跌都会波动很大，毕竟悲观预期已经形成，如果库存问题修复，06合约反弹修复合约间价差（这几天有一定修复）；若5月中旬库存问题解决不了，负油价再来一遍？？！不管是否，这趟浑水咱们就不参和了，买个期权亏完","text":"一、美股 最近预期美股二次探底的声音特别多，归根结底理由就是因为美股涨得太久了，目前的下跌幅度远远没达到空头的预期。其实关于见底的判断我已在前面的帖子里写得足够清楚了，包括见底时间点、重要判断位置（标普2450）等等。所以对于美股，只要不跌穿2450，就不能认为有再次恐慌的情况。 而且最近股市的波动率已经逐渐回归常态（每天波动1-2%之间），这些都是好转的局面（不是认为不会调整，而是认为难以引起恐慌），所以此时的美股用一根20日均线即可应付，只要不跌穿20日线，持仓。跌穿则买期权对冲（防范小概率事件发生），剩下就让时间磨平一切吧。当然最好是调整至5月份见个低点，那就最好了。 二、黄金 4-5月份素来是黄金的重要时间点，这是由于对贵金属勘探采掘行业来说，夏季是最忙碌的季节，生产商一般会在夏天开采金矿的同时，在期货市场上建立相应的卖方头寸，提前锁定利润。因此，在开采工作集中进行的4月到8月这段时间里，由于生产商的卖出开仓，将给金价较大压力，虽然不是每年都一定跌，但确实一个重要的时间点，有预防总是好事。所以自从4月份以来我就并不看好黄金，但是行情确实也创了新高了，这是由于贵金属的供给端问题所导致的。 世界第七大黄金生产国南非，从3月26日开始禁矿21天，而后再延长14天，到4月底，在该消息公布前三天，所有贵金属大幅反弹，直到现在仍高位运行，所以禁令结束后，贵金属存在变盘概率，所以大家要谨慎。 三、原油 最近原油宝的事件一直刷屏，我一直认为去银行做这种挂钩产品，还不如老老实实开个期货账户操作来得实在，毕竟在期货市场里交易过的人其风险意识是很敏感的。当前原油06合约只适合做期权，无论看涨看跌都会波动很大，毕竟悲观预期已经形成，如果库存问题修复，06合约反弹修复合约间价差（这几天有一定修复）；若5月中旬库存问题解决不了，负油价再来一遍？？！不管是否，这趟浑水咱们就不参和了，买个期权亏完","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba83d32d55638532eefe7a1c58a4ae6b"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cbf62825a04ca2df0e26026b3b3410c"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ed83688decb2da67e4fbefe8ed9daf1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/925804809","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":908,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":927108005,"gmtCreate":1588767987307,"gmtModify":1704178348228,"author":{"id":"3549238059784200","authorId":"3549238059784200","name":"strwind","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2531d67eab71c6dcbe2d6a4cfc07cfa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549238059784200","authorIdStr":"3549238059784200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CL2006\">$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$ &nbsp;</a>割完空头，搭建好高空跳板，开始跳水？？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CL2006\">$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$ &nbsp;</a>割完空头，搭建好高空跳板，开始跳水？？","text":"$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$ 割完空头，搭建好高空跳板，开始跳水？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927108005","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3491689724099200","authorId":"3491689724099200","name":"程全智_7822","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dfe2a601487e78a5cdf7b1aba7c6fe1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3491689724099200","authorIdStr":"3491689724099200"},"content":"你觉得跳水能跳到什么价格？","text":"你觉得跳水能跳到什么价格？","html":"你觉得跳水能跳到什么价格？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":925639390,"gmtCreate":1587993076010,"gmtModify":1704365989222,"author":{"id":"3549238059784200","authorId":"3549238059784200","name":"strwind","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2531d67eab71c6dcbe2d6a4cfc07cfa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549238059784200","authorIdStr":"3549238059784200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/925639390","repostId":"925804809","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":925804809,"gmtCreate":1587957173786,"gmtModify":1704365831569,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312224764596","authorIdStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"美股稳定、黄金临近重要时间点、油价缓慢修复","htmlText":"一、美股 最近预期美股二次探底的声音特别多，归根结底理由就是因为美股涨得太久了，目前的下跌幅度远远没达到空头的预期。其实关于见底的判断我已在前面的帖子里写得足够清楚了，包括见底时间点、重要判断位置（标普2450）等等。所以对于美股，只要不跌穿2450，就不能认为有再次恐慌的情况。 而且最近股市的波动率已经逐渐回归常态（每天波动1-2%之间），这些都是好转的局面（不是认为不会调整，而是认为难以引起恐慌），所以此时的美股用一根20日均线即可应付，只要不跌穿20日线，持仓。跌穿则买期权对冲（防范小概率事件发生），剩下就让时间磨平一切吧。当然最好是调整至5月份见个低点，那就最好了。 二、黄金 4-5月份素来是黄金的重要时间点，这是由于对贵金属勘探采掘行业来说，夏季是最忙碌的季节，生产商一般会在夏天开采金矿的同时，在期货市场上建立相应的卖方头寸，提前锁定利润。因此，在开采工作集中进行的4月到8月这段时间里，由于生产商的卖出开仓，将给金价较大压力，虽然不是每年都一定跌，但确实一个重要的时间点，有预防总是好事。所以自从4月份以来我就并不看好黄金，但是行情确实也创了新高了，这是由于贵金属的供给端问题所导致的。 世界第七大黄金生产国南非，从3月26日开始禁矿21天，而后再延长14天，到4月底，在该消息公布前三天，所有贵金属大幅反弹，直到现在仍高位运行，所以禁令结束后，贵金属存在变盘概率，所以大家要谨慎。 三、原油 最近原油宝的事件一直刷屏，我一直认为去银行做这种挂钩产品，还不如老老实实开个期货账户操作来得实在，毕竟在期货市场里交易过的人其风险意识是很敏感的。当前原油06合约只适合做期权，无论看涨看跌都会波动很大，毕竟悲观预期已经形成，如果库存问题修复，06合约反弹修复合约间价差（这几天有一定修复）；若5月中旬库存问题解决不了，负油价再来一遍？？！不管是否，这趟浑水咱们就不参和了，买个期权亏完","listText":"一、美股 最近预期美股二次探底的声音特别多，归根结底理由就是因为美股涨得太久了，目前的下跌幅度远远没达到空头的预期。其实关于见底的判断我已在前面的帖子里写得足够清楚了，包括见底时间点、重要判断位置（标普2450）等等。所以对于美股，只要不跌穿2450，就不能认为有再次恐慌的情况。 而且最近股市的波动率已经逐渐回归常态（每天波动1-2%之间），这些都是好转的局面（不是认为不会调整，而是认为难以引起恐慌），所以此时的美股用一根20日均线即可应付，只要不跌穿20日线，持仓。跌穿则买期权对冲（防范小概率事件发生），剩下就让时间磨平一切吧。当然最好是调整至5月份见个低点，那就最好了。 二、黄金 4-5月份素来是黄金的重要时间点，这是由于对贵金属勘探采掘行业来说，夏季是最忙碌的季节，生产商一般会在夏天开采金矿的同时，在期货市场上建立相应的卖方头寸，提前锁定利润。因此，在开采工作集中进行的4月到8月这段时间里，由于生产商的卖出开仓，将给金价较大压力，虽然不是每年都一定跌，但确实一个重要的时间点，有预防总是好事。所以自从4月份以来我就并不看好黄金，但是行情确实也创了新高了，这是由于贵金属的供给端问题所导致的。 世界第七大黄金生产国南非，从3月26日开始禁矿21天，而后再延长14天，到4月底，在该消息公布前三天，所有贵金属大幅反弹，直到现在仍高位运行，所以禁令结束后，贵金属存在变盘概率，所以大家要谨慎。 三、原油 最近原油宝的事件一直刷屏，我一直认为去银行做这种挂钩产品，还不如老老实实开个期货账户操作来得实在，毕竟在期货市场里交易过的人其风险意识是很敏感的。当前原油06合约只适合做期权，无论看涨看跌都会波动很大，毕竟悲观预期已经形成，如果库存问题修复，06合约反弹修复合约间价差（这几天有一定修复）；若5月中旬库存问题解决不了，负油价再来一遍？？！不管是否，这趟浑水咱们就不参和了，买个期权亏完","text":"一、美股 最近预期美股二次探底的声音特别多，归根结底理由就是因为美股涨得太久了，目前的下跌幅度远远没达到空头的预期。其实关于见底的判断我已在前面的帖子里写得足够清楚了，包括见底时间点、重要判断位置（标普2450）等等。所以对于美股，只要不跌穿2450，就不能认为有再次恐慌的情况。 而且最近股市的波动率已经逐渐回归常态（每天波动1-2%之间），这些都是好转的局面（不是认为不会调整，而是认为难以引起恐慌），所以此时的美股用一根20日均线即可应付，只要不跌穿20日线，持仓。跌穿则买期权对冲（防范小概率事件发生），剩下就让时间磨平一切吧。当然最好是调整至5月份见个低点，那就最好了。 二、黄金 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CL2006\">$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$</a>rush tough，back up!","text":"$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$rush tough，back up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/925676690","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":950830680,"gmtCreate":1589307798240,"gmtModify":1704179850526,"author":{"id":"3549238059784200","authorId":"3549238059784200","name":"strwind","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2531d67eab71c6dcbe2d6a4cfc07cfa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549238059784200","authorIdStr":"3549238059784200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CL2006\">$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$ &nbsp;</a>说个笑话，多头找了很多很多很多的库存，","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CL2006\">$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$ 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说个笑话，多头找了很多很多很多的库存，","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/950830680","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":927156224,"gmtCreate":1588779912568,"gmtModify":1704178441522,"author":{"id":"3549238059784200","authorId":"3549238059784200","name":"strwind","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2531d67eab71c6dcbe2d6a4cfc07cfa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549238059784200","authorIdStr":"3549238059784200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"空气中传来崩塌的声音，黄河泛滥一发不可收拾，我这感觉对么？","listText":"空气中传来崩塌的声音，黄河泛滥一发不可收拾，我这感觉对么？","text":"空气中传来崩塌的声音，黄河泛滥一发不可收拾，我这感觉对么？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927156224","repostId":"927108005","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":927108005,"gmtCreate":1588767987307,"gmtModify":1704178348228,"author":{"id":"3549238059784200","authorId":"3549238059784200","name":"strwind","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2531d67eab71c6dcbe2d6a4cfc07cfa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549238059784200","authorIdStr":"3549238059784200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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割完空头，搭建好高空跳板，开始跳水？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927108005","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":927310381,"gmtCreate":1588743639343,"gmtModify":1704178244102,"author":{"id":"3549238059784200","authorId":"3549238059784200","name":"strwind","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2531d67eab71c6dcbe2d6a4cfc07cfa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549238059784200","authorIdStr":"3549238059784200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927310381","repostId":"2033248563","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2033248563","pubTimestamp":1588742460,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2033248563?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-05-06 13:21","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"唐嘉俊：5.6 还有比原油更爽的品种吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2033248563","media":"来源：FX168财经网人物频道","summary":"作者唐嘉俊以俗语话专业，言真实破虚假。在这里，让你的投资不再枯草乏味。4.198年，曹操率兵攻打张绣，随着战事的推进，曹操选择了撤退。张绣引兵追击，张绣的谋士贾诩连忙劝说：“不可追也，追必败。”张绣不听...","content":"<html><body><div>\n<div><p>作者 唐嘉俊</p><p>以俗语话专业，言真实破虚假。</p><p>在这里，让你的投资不再枯草乏味。</p><p>4.</p><p>198年，曹操率兵攻打张绣，随着战事的推进，曹操选择了撤退。张绣引兵追击，张绣的谋士贾诩连忙劝说：“不可追也，追必败。”张绣不听，果然大败而还。</p><p>此时，贾诩又赶忙说道：现在可以重新追，追必胜。张绣说：“<strong>我没听先生话，所以打了败仗。现在已经败了，为什么反而该追了</strong>？”贾诩说：“别BB，追就完了！”</p><p>张绣随即带着败兵去追击曹操，果然取得了大胜。回来以后，张绣百思不得其解：“一开始，我以<strong>【胜兵追曹操败兵】，公曰【必败】；</strong>第二次<strong>我【以败兵追曹操的胜兵】，公曰【必胜】</strong>。悉如公言，何其反而皆验也?”</p><p>贾诩说道：这很容易，将军您虽然善于用兵，但和曹操本人比起来，还是稍微差一点的。以曹操的水平，撤军必然亲自断后，追兵虽精，将既不敌，彼士亦锐，故知必败。而此战我们和曹操打了个平手，平手的情况下撤军，一定是曹操老家出了变故，打败将军您以后，曹操一定率轻骑兵快速赶回家，留其他将领断后。其他将军虽然也勇猛，但和将军您（指张绣）比起来，那还是差一点的。<strong>【故虽用败兵而战必胜也】。</strong></p><p>3.</p><p><strong>要说近期最给力的品种，还有比原油更爽的品种吗？</strong></p><p>这一轮行情，和贾诩张绣的故事，何其相似。</p><p>当<strong>大家因为【减产协议】【便宜】等因素抄底原油的时候</strong>，我们提示大家<strong>【减产只是治标，油企倒闭才是治本】</strong>。可是，大家不听。后来，触发了人尽皆知的【原油宝】事件。</p><p>而当<strong>大家沉浸在声讨中行负油价的哗然之中时</strong>，<strong>我们提示大家【向死而生】</strong>，并且选择了不会发生负油价的布油，看向28美元和38美元。当时，布油的价格是22.5美元左右。</p><p><img height=\"345\" ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/05/06/637243641013083405.jpg\" width=\"643\"/></p><p>长假已逝，布油已经来到了31.27美元的位置。也就是说，<strong>即便当时你选择了没有任何杠杆的纸原油，你的收益都超过了40%！</strong>（相当于黄金从1700涨到2300）。</p><p>然而，我们看到了，<strong>当年在20美元满仓抄底纸原油的投资者，在16美元的时候却犹犹豫豫。也有不少人原油上了车，却涨了两三美元就跑了</strong>，然后，他们想问，下一个趋势性品种是什么？</p><p>可是，<strong>一个7个交易日就涨了40%的品种你提前跑了，你凭什么认为自己下一个趋势性品种就能做的上？坐上了不下车？</strong></p><p>道可道，非常道。</p><p>2.</p><p>向死而生的那天，我们提到，有新加坡的石油巨头倒闭。随着时间的推移，我们看到海上钻井公司戴蒙德海底钻探正式申请破产保护。这是<strong>过去30天内美国第五家申请破产的上市石油公司。</strong></p><p>向死而生，不破不立。在今年全球疫情的背景之下，在全球化时代终结的历史车轮之下，只有一家又一家的油企倒闭，才能够让油价真正企稳。而随着复工的不断开始，原有的需求端，也会逐步企稳。这也是原油近期不断反弹的驱动力。</p><p><img height=\"387\" ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/05/06/637243641588451388.jpg\" width=\"651\"/></p><p>但我们也要清醒的认识到，<strong>价格战毕竟是发生了的事情。疫情是否会二次爆发也是未知数，即便复工复产，世界也很难回到以前那个全球化的时代了。</strong>因此，油价想要一口气回到沙特价格战那个缺口的上方，是很难的。</p><p>因此，大的节奏，我们还是沿用此前的那个张图：</p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/05/06/637243641826067410.jpg\" width=\"694\"/></p><p><strong>短线，在趋势没有改变的情况下，继续看好油价的反弹。</strong>有票子的少折腾，没票子的，可以等某天原油收阴线。毕竟原油什么10连阳去到38美元（布油）的概率还是比较低的，<strong>等哪天收阴线，你补个票。</strong></p><p><strong>中期来看</strong>，五月下旬有二次探底的机会，届时，亦是不错的介入机会。</p><p><img height=\"378\" ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/05/06/637243642191510070.png\" width=\"685\"/></p><p>新学员报名地址：</p><p>https://edu.fx168.com/course/381</p><p>老学员报名地址：</p><p>https://edu.fx168.com/course/370  </p><p>课程助理微信：FX168CJXY-KF1</p><p>长按关注</p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/05/06/637243642694962642.jpg\" width=\"258\"/></p><p>交易的世界里，一个公众号就够了</p><p>唐嘉俊</p><p>微信号 : fx168fxs04</p><p>FX168财经学院金融分析师</p><p>FX168第三届分析师评选亚军</p><p>外汇分析师（高级）证书</p><p>上海第一财经广播特约分析师</p><p>厦门经济交通广播特约分析师</p><p>浙江经济广播特约分析师</p><p>福建经济961特约分析师</p><p>三万小时金融衍生品实盘经验</p><p>九年金融衍生品市场交易经验</p></div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li>\n\t\t                \t\t                          投资英雄\n\t\t                \t\t                      </li>\n</ul>\n</div>\n<div>\n<div>分享</div>\n<div>\n<div>  </div>\n</div>\n</div>\n</div>\n</div></body></html>","source":"fxdaily_fut","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>唐嘉俊：5.6 还有比原油更爽的品种吗？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n唐嘉俊：5.6 还有比原油更爽的品种吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-05-06 13:21 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://news.fx168.com/opinion/column/tangjiajun/2005/3824820.shtml><strong>来源：FX168财经网人物频道</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者 唐嘉俊以俗语话专业，言真实破虚假。在这里，让你的投资不再枯草乏味。4.198年，曹操率兵攻打张绣，随着战事的推进，曹操选择了撤退。张绣引兵追击，张绣的谋士贾诩连忙劝说：“不可追也，追必败。”张绣不听，果然大败而还。此时，贾诩又赶忙说道：现在可以重新追，追必胜。张绣说：“我没听先生话，所以打了败仗。现在已经败了，为什么反而该追了？”贾诩说：“别BB，追就完了！”张绣随即带着败兵去追击曹操，果然...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.fx168.com/opinion/column/tangjiajun/2005/3824820.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://news.fx168.com/opinion/column/tangjiajun/2005/W020200506481120502174.jpg","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://news.fx168.com/opinion/column/tangjiajun/2005/3824820.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2033248563","content_text":"作者 唐嘉俊以俗语话专业，言真实破虚假。在这里，让你的投资不再枯草乏味。4.198年，曹操率兵攻打张绣，随着战事的推进，曹操选择了撤退。张绣引兵追击，张绣的谋士贾诩连忙劝说：“不可追也，追必败。”张绣不听，果然大败而还。此时，贾诩又赶忙说道：现在可以重新追，追必胜。张绣说：“我没听先生话，所以打了败仗。现在已经败了，为什么反而该追了？”贾诩说：“别BB，追就完了！”张绣随即带着败兵去追击曹操，果然取得了大胜。回来以后，张绣百思不得其解：“一开始，我以【胜兵追曹操败兵】，公曰【必败】；第二次我【以败兵追曹操的胜兵】，公曰【必胜】。悉如公言，何其反而皆验也?”贾诩说道：这很容易，将军您虽然善于用兵，但和曹操本人比起来，还是稍微差一点的。以曹操的水平，撤军必然亲自断后，追兵虽精，将既不敌，彼士亦锐，故知必败。而此战我们和曹操打了个平手，平手的情况下撤军，一定是曹操老家出了变故，打败将军您以后，曹操一定率轻骑兵快速赶回家，留其他将领断后。其他将军虽然也勇猛，但和将军您（指张绣）比起来，那还是差一点的。【故虽用败兵而战必胜也】。3.要说近期最给力的品种，还有比原油更爽的品种吗？这一轮行情，和贾诩张绣的故事，何其相似。当大家因为【减产协议】【便宜】等因素抄底原油的时候，我们提示大家【减产只是治标，油企倒闭才是治本】。可是，大家不听。后来，触发了人尽皆知的【原油宝】事件。而当大家沉浸在声讨中行负油价的哗然之中时，我们提示大家【向死而生】，并且选择了不会发生负油价的布油，看向28美元和38美元。当时，布油的价格是22.5美元左右。长假已逝，布油已经来到了31.27美元的位置。也就是说，即便当时你选择了没有任何杠杆的纸原油，你的收益都超过了40%！（相当于黄金从1700涨到2300）。然而，我们看到了，当年在20美元满仓抄底纸原油的投资者，在16美元的时候却犹犹豫豫。也有不少人原油上了车，却涨了两三美元就跑了，然后，他们想问，下一个趋势性品种是什么？可是，一个7个交易日就涨了40%的品种你提前跑了，你凭什么认为自己下一个趋势性品种就能做的上？坐上了不下车？道可道，非常道。2.向死而生的那天，我们提到，有新加坡的石油巨头倒闭。随着时间的推移，我们看到海上钻井公司戴蒙德海底钻探正式申请破产保护。这是过去30天内美国第五家申请破产的上市石油公司。向死而生，不破不立。在今年全球疫情的背景之下，在全球化时代终结的历史车轮之下，只有一家又一家的油企倒闭，才能够让油价真正企稳。而随着复工的不断开始，原有的需求端，也会逐步企稳。这也是原油近期不断反弹的驱动力。但我们也要清醒的认识到，价格战毕竟是发生了的事情。疫情是否会二次爆发也是未知数，即便复工复产，世界也很难回到以前那个全球化的时代了。因此，油价想要一口气回到沙特价格战那个缺口的上方，是很难的。因此，大的节奏，我们还是沿用此前的那个张图：短线，在趋势没有改变的情况下，继续看好油价的反弹。有票子的少折腾，没票子的，可以等某天原油收阴线。毕竟原油什么10连阳去到38美元（布油）的概率还是比较低的，等哪天收阴线，你补个票。中期来看，五月下旬有二次探底的机会，届时，亦是不错的介入机会。新学员报名地址：https://edu.fx168.com/course/381老学员报名地址：https://edu.fx168.com/course/370  课程助理微信：FX168CJXY-KF1长按关注交易的世界里，一个公众号就够了唐嘉俊微信号 : fx168fxs04FX168财经学院金融分析师FX168第三届分析师评选亚军外汇分析师（高级）证书上海第一财经广播特约分析师厦门经济交通广播特约分析师浙江经济广播特约分析师福建经济961特约分析师三万小时金融衍生品实盘经验九年金融衍生品市场交易经验\n\n\n\n\n\t\t                \t\t                          投资英雄\n\t\t                \t\t                      \n\n\n\n分享","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":925629614,"gmtCreate":1587997725338,"gmtModify":1704366043907,"author":{"id":"3549238059784200","authorId":"3549238059784200","name":"strwind","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2531d67eab71c6dcbe2d6a4cfc07cfa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549238059784200","authorIdStr":"3549238059784200"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CL2006\">$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$</a>不杀了 等你们睡了再来","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CL2006\">$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$</a>不杀了 等你们睡了再来","text":"$WTI原油2006(CL2006)$不杀了 等你们睡了再来","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/925629614","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}