云龙_6067的个人主页 - 老虎社区

云龙_6067

云龙_6067

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：中国香港

80关注

1粉丝

7主题

0勋章

2022-02-04

要暴跌了赶紧开卖啊

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3547895034337605","uuid":"3547895034337605","gmtCreate":1584801932843,"gmtModify":1585704581684,"name":"云龙_6067","pinyin":"yl6067yunlong6067","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e3f82dbd151adc46dae5daf8e286ee3","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":1,"headSize":80,"tweetSize":1,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":0,"name":"","nameTw":"","represent":"","factor":"","iconColor":"","bgColor":""},"themeCounts":7,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":1,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"45aa8c9032204ad8bee19bb27da4edb8-4","templateUuid":"45aa8c9032204ad8bee19bb27da4edb8","name":"交易笔数","description":"累计达2,000笔","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dde73096fd7964ee205f000a570c47c","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/164a4dee909b8337562f4ae99f3cedb7","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e403fa726e990b0228177e23f772423","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.05.30","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.04.30","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"5697d37f217342faaa027fdb5a6e7c12-6","templateUuid":"5697d37f217342faaa027fdb5a6e7c12","name":"单笔平均盈利排行","description":"Top 3%","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a598d1c237f4abca28b7dec180a69b90","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b82de83729a6fa0c5bd4e93dcee29be","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7430ddcdaa39bc9a65efade13881001","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.09.12","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5200},{"badgeId":"1f74612b6f95455f970edd02b5316db8-6","templateUuid":"1f74612b6f95455f970edd02b5316db8","name":"收益排行","description":"Top 3%","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fbaa8e552e02eae8e6a2ce5d6566431","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98862e418516dab972bed7aaf561dec6","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a5ca933a5695ed2e862b228f6c09ee5","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.09.07","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5300},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.22","exceedPercentage":"93.52%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.54%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":8,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.22","exceedPercentage":"93.63%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"中国香港","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":7,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":633855810,"gmtCreate":1643956297150,"gmtModify":1643956297150,"author":{"id":"3547895034337605","authorId":"3547895034337605","name":"云龙_6067","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e3f82dbd151adc46dae5daf8e286ee3","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547895034337605","authorIdStr":"3547895034337605"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"要暴跌了 赶紧开卖啊","listText":"要暴跌了 赶紧开卖啊","text":"要暴跌了 赶紧开卖啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633855810","repostId":"1179557548","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1179557548","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"提供来自华尔街的观点，观察市场，提供独道的解读视角。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎锐评","id":"1005414032","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1643939039,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179557548?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-04 09:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"亚马逊盘后飙涨18%！原因竟是机器误读了数据？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179557548","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"这个季报周，对公司前景展望不好的惩罚力度非常大。亚马逊的前瞻指引也很弱，预计下一个季度营收$1,120-1,170亿，分析师预期$1,205亿；经营利润$30-60亿，分析师预期$60.6亿。即使是这","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>这个季报周，对公司前景展望不好的惩罚力度非常大。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>的前瞻指引也很弱，预计下一个季度营收$1,120-1,170亿，分析师预期$1,205亿；经营利润$30-60亿，分析师预期$60.6亿。即使是这个季度，亚马逊的营收都略微低于预期（少了$4亿）。就这种季报，别说这个季报周，任何一个季报周都应该跌，但亚马逊季报后却上涨18%（今天常规时间下跌7%）。</p><p>抛开逼空的因素，季报一出来股价就猛涨，那只能说明是机器的解读。那么机器看到的是什么呢？是彭博的数据，这个季度最“惊喜”的地方来源于每股收益$27.75，超过分析师预期635.88%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0204f99c42e4bc1d78d497a80435d3b6\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>为什么分析师错的这么离谱？第一是因为分析师的预期数字3.77靠近0，所以这个区间的数字稍微一偏差，比例就很大。但更重要的原因，是亚马逊把Rivian(就是那个电动车)的投资收益算进去了。</p><p>根据亚马逊自己的说法</p><p>Netincome increased to $14.3 billion in the fourth quarter, or $27.75 per dilutedshare, compared with $7.2 billion, or $14.09 per diluted share, in fourthquarter 2020. Fourth quarter 2021 net income includes a pre-tax valuation gainof $11.8 billion included in non-operating income from  our common stockinvestment  in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian Automotive, Inc.</a>, which completed an initial public  offering in November.</p><p>我回算一下，如果没有Rivian的投资收益，那么亚马逊每股收益会降低83%，是每股$4.85，那就和分析师的预期很靠近了。抛开这种一次性的收益要除开之外，Rivian现在的价格只有12月31日的6折，那么下一个季度亚马逊的净利就会相应减少很大一块。下一个季度，如果分析师不考虑Rivian估计的话，那么实际EPS会大大低于预期。</p><p>被机器控制的市场非常不理性，亚马逊不该涨，却因为机器的误读涨了。当然股价被机器轰起来以后，各种人为合理的解读就来了，什么Prime涨价了，股票拆股了，感觉都是利好消息了，反身性会迅速加强。所以未来，人类被机器牵着鼻子走是大概率事情。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>亚马逊盘后飙涨18%！原因竟是机器误读了数据？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n亚马逊盘后飙涨18%！原因竟是机器误读了数据？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-04 09:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>这个季报周，对公司前景展望不好的惩罚力度非常大。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>的前瞻指引也很弱，预计下一个季度营收$1,120-1,170亿，分析师预期$1,205亿；经营利润$30-60亿，分析师预期$60.6亿。即使是这个季度，亚马逊的营收都略微低于预期（少了$4亿）。就这种季报，别说这个季报周，任何一个季报周都应该跌，但亚马逊季报后却上涨18%（今天常规时间下跌7%）。</p><p>抛开逼空的因素，季报一出来股价就猛涨，那只能说明是机器的解读。那么机器看到的是什么呢？是彭博的数据，这个季度最“惊喜”的地方来源于每股收益$27.75，超过分析师预期635.88%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0204f99c42e4bc1d78d497a80435d3b6\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>为什么分析师错的这么离谱？第一是因为分析师的预期数字3.77靠近0，所以这个区间的数字稍微一偏差，比例就很大。但更重要的原因，是亚马逊把Rivian(就是那个电动车)的投资收益算进去了。</p><p>根据亚马逊自己的说法</p><p>Netincome increased to $14.3 billion in the fourth quarter, or $27.75 per dilutedshare, compared with $7.2 billion, or $14.09 per diluted share, in fourthquarter 2020. Fourth quarter 2021 net income includes a pre-tax valuation gainof $11.8 billion included in non-operating income from  our common stockinvestment  in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian Automotive, Inc.</a>, which completed an initial public  offering in November.</p><p>我回算一下，如果没有Rivian的投资收益，那么亚马逊每股收益会降低83%，是每股$4.85，那就和分析师的预期很靠近了。抛开这种一次性的收益要除开之外，Rivian现在的价格只有12月31日的6折，那么下一个季度亚马逊的净利就会相应减少很大一块。下一个季度，如果分析师不考虑Rivian估计的话，那么实际EPS会大大低于预期。</p><p>被机器控制的市场非常不理性，亚马逊不该涨，却因为机器的误读涨了。当然股价被机器轰起来以后，各种人为合理的解读就来了，什么Prime涨价了，股票拆股了，感觉都是利好消息了，反身性会迅速加强。所以未来，人类被机器牵着鼻子走是大概率事情。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33a7c3b01fe631a9615e5ce7fd89ba66","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179557548","content_text":"这个季报周，对公司前景展望不好的惩罚力度非常大。亚马逊的前瞻指引也很弱，预计下一个季度营收$1,120-1,170亿，分析师预期$1,205亿；经营利润$30-60亿，分析师预期$60.6亿。即使是这个季度，亚马逊的营收都略微低于预期（少了$4亿）。就这种季报，别说这个季报周，任何一个季报周都应该跌，但亚马逊季报后却上涨18%（今天常规时间下跌7%）。抛开逼空的因素，季报一出来股价就猛涨，那只能说明是机器的解读。那么机器看到的是什么呢？是彭博的数据，这个季度最“惊喜”的地方来源于每股收益$27.75，超过分析师预期635.88%。为什么分析师错的这么离谱？第一是因为分析师的预期数字3.77靠近0，所以这个区间的数字稍微一偏差，比例就很大。但更重要的原因，是亚马逊把Rivian(就是那个电动车)的投资收益算进去了。根据亚马逊自己的说法Netincome increased to $14.3 billion in the fourth quarter, or $27.75 per dilutedshare, compared with $7.2 billion, or $14.09 per diluted share, in fourthquarter 2020. Fourth quarter 2021 net income includes a pre-tax valuation gainof $11.8 billion included in non-operating income from  our common stockinvestment  in Rivian Automotive, Inc., which completed an initial public  offering in November.我回算一下，如果没有Rivian的投资收益，那么亚马逊每股收益会降低83%，是每股$4.85，那就和分析师的预期很靠近了。抛开这种一次性的收益要除开之外，Rivian现在的价格只有12月31日的6折，那么下一个季度亚马逊的净利就会相应减少很大一块。下一个季度，如果分析师不考虑Rivian估计的话，那么实际EPS会大大低于预期。被机器控制的市场非常不理性，亚马逊不该涨，却因为机器的误读涨了。当然股价被机器轰起来以后，各种人为合理的解读就来了，什么Prime涨价了，股票拆股了，感觉都是利好消息了，反身性会迅速加强。所以未来，人类被机器牵着鼻子走是大概率事情。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":633855810,"gmtCreate":1643956297150,"gmtModify":1643956297150,"author":{"id":"3547895034337605","authorId":"3547895034337605","name":"云龙_6067","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e3f82dbd151adc46dae5daf8e286ee3","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547895034337605","authorIdStr":"3547895034337605"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"要暴跌了 赶紧开卖啊","listText":"要暴跌了 赶紧开卖啊","text":"要暴跌了 赶紧开卖啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633855810","repostId":"1179557548","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}