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火车一路开向北方
桃子投资管理人
IP属地:广东
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火车一路开向北方
2023-12-26
中大奖!这个活动好好玩 哈哈哈哈,一定会中!
火车一路开向北方
2022-06-10
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
说实话,这波更新我没看懂 虽然挺好看 但是还要熟悉一下
火车一路开向北方
2022-04-19
$Tortoise Acquisition II Corp(VLTA)$
没人了吧
火车一路开向北方
2022-03-14
领导的朋友瑟瑟发抖
高瓴,时间的朋友开始瑟瑟发抖?
火车一路开向北方
2021-08-07
$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
没看懂
火车一路开向北方
2021-05-13
$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$
反向大师
火车一路开向北方
2021-05-06
$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$
深井冰
火车一路开向北方
2021-05-04
太强了
杜邦一季度净利润大超市场预期,并上调业绩指引
火车一路开向北方
2021-04-30
$美国钢铁(X)$
牛逼
火车一路开向北方
2021-04-21
$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
还得跌
火车一路开向北方
2021-04-19
$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
28搞快点
火车一路开向北方
2021-04-15
$和记中国医疗(HCM)$
哈哈哈哈居然有期权了
火车一路开向北方
2021-04-13
$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
别墨迹,快点到28,我加仓,磨磨唧唧没意思
火车一路开向北方
2021-04-12
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
1
火车一路开向北方
2021-04-09
$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
36.3是有五行山吗,压着就是上不去
火车一路开向北方
2021-04-01
$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
耍流氓
火车一路开向北方
2021-03-30
$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
散户太多
火车一路开向北方
2021-03-24
$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
来呗,再跌还买。继续啊,我看能到10块不
火车一路开向北方
2021-03-06
$淡水河谷(VALE)$
还挺硬
火车一路开向北方
2021-03-04
$Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$
朋友,你是矿么?
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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但是还要熟悉一下","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/680158644","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":611125016,"gmtCreate":1650367852950,"gmtModify":1650367852950,"author":{"id":"3546827283985191","authorId":"3546827283985191","name":"火车一路开向北方","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25de620ad15ea1df9044298634177a67","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLTA\">$Tortoise Acquisition II Corp(VLTA)$</a>没人了吧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLTA\">$Tortoise Acquisition II Corp(VLTA)$</a>没人了吧","text":"$Tortoise Acquisition II Corp(VLTA)$没人了吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/611125016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1946,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635479891,"gmtCreate":1647233044602,"gmtModify":1647233044602,"author":{"id":"3546827283985191","authorId":"3546827283985191","name":"火车一路开向北方","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25de620ad15ea1df9044298634177a67","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"领导的朋友瑟瑟发抖","listText":"领导的朋友瑟瑟发抖","text":"领导的朋友瑟瑟发抖","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635479891","repostId":"2219229090","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2219229090","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"民间投资共享平台——汇集投资高手,发现投资好点子。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"阿尔法工场研究院","id":"1026500124","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4df70e92a2d64be896797ea06b5e676a"},"pubTimestamp":1647222164,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2219229090?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-14 09:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"高瓴,时间的朋友开始瑟瑟发抖?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2219229090","media":"阿尔法工场研究院","summary":"借新还旧,再次向3家银行申请贷款208亿元,偿还此前买股权的208亿元贷款,其所持格力的股份随之全部解除质押。这次倒腾之后,高瓴腾出了格力电器总股本3%、大约市值超过100亿元的流通股份。根据这次公告,截至2021年9月23日,高瓴及其一致行动人董明珠已累计质押格力电器股份825,756,418股。如此推测,对高瓴和珠海明骏而言,新一轮的补充质押,可能已经在路上。张磊和他的高瓴,也许已经在瑟瑟发抖之中。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>除了投资格力的“惨败”,高瓴在A股、港股、美股对其它所谓赛道股、明星股的投资,现在很多也已经巨额浮亏。不管是普通散户还是所谓的机构大佬,在暴跌面前,时间不是玫瑰,而是一把悬在头上的达摩克利斯之剑。</blockquote><p>今天就说说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00170\">中国资本</a>市场最著名的机构大佬 —— 高瓴和他最大的一笔投资,入股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000651\">格力电器</a>的惨事儿。</p><p>截至3月9日收盘,格力电器股价跌到了33.34元,这与2019年高瓴透过珠海明骏入股格力电器的价格 —— 46.17元已经相去甚远。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6b300cfed2a4b1084459bb81f45d94f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>2019年高瓴入股格力电器15%股权的这笔交易,耗资总额大约418亿元,是高瓴最大的一笔投资,几乎可以说是押上了张磊的身家性命。而这其中,大概有一半资金是高瓴从银行获得的贷款。</p><p>2019 年 12 月,珠海明骏与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600036\">招商银行</a>等七家银行签订贷款协议,贷款总额约为 208亿元,融资系用于珠海明骏受让格力集团所持格力电器 15% 的股份。</p><p>同时珠海明骏将其所持格力电器股票也质押给贷款银行,作为贷款的主要条件之一。</p><p>2021年4月28日,在格力电器股价位于55元附近的时候,高瓴将这笔贷款做了一次倒腾。借新还旧,再次向3家银行申请贷款208亿元,偿还此前买股权的208亿元贷款,其所持格力的股份随之全部解除质押。</p><p>那个时候,格力电器股价涨至55元附近,高于其入股格力的成本价46.17元 。因此, 这次只需要质押其持有格力总股本12%的股份,大概7.22亿股就可以拿到208亿元的贷款。</p><p>这次倒腾之后,高瓴腾出了格力电器总股本3%、大约市值超过100亿元的流通股份。 当时有说,如果以50%的质押率计算,通过这次倒腾,高瓴获得了大约60亿元的资金。</p><p>不得不说,这次倒腾,高瓴赚了。不仅获得了一笔大约60亿元的资金,而且还大概率节省了不少贷款利息成本。</p><p>2020年初疫情大爆发后,很多商业银行对企业贷款的年利率降到了3.6%左右 ,而在2019 年12月高瓴第一次贷款时, 贷款年利率大概会明显高于3.6%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91f7d36a26f24d07bbce97d975396ab0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>有人按照2019年底时商业银行公允的年贷款利率6%算了一笔账,取200亿整数计算的话:</p><p>200亿*6%*5=60亿的利息支出,自有资金218亿,如果存银行3年,按照3%利息率,大概有218*3%*3=20亿的利息收入。</p><p>因此高瓴第一次入股格力电器的真实成本大概是:418亿+60亿+20亿=500亿 ,而非表面看到的418亿。</p><p>这500亿对应418亿是119%的溢价,由此算出:2019年12月高瓴入股格力电器的真实成本价大概是46.17*119%=55元,远远高于对外公布的46.17元。</p><p>尽管2021年4月的这次贷款倒腾,高瓴占了一点小便宜,然而张磊仍然只是猜中了开头,没能猜中结尾。随着格力电器股价的持续下跌,张磊的噩梦接踵而至。</p><p>先是2021年9月,格力电器发布公告,珠海明骏新增加大约9000万股质押给了中国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601288\">农业银行</a>珠海分行。</p><p>当时,格力电器的股价已经跌到了37-38元一线 ,距离2021年4月28日格力电器股价55元附近已经跌去了 30%以上。</p><p>无路可走,高瓴就只能继续增加股份质押了。</p><p>根据这次公告,截至2021年9月23日,高瓴及其一致行动人董明珠已累计质押格力电器股份825,756,418股。</p><p>而根据2019年12月时的入股协议可知,当时高瓴耗资近418亿元,总共也才获得了格力电器9.02亿股的股份。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11ef12b8cf7a413c87caaf28dbeed662\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>就算加上董明珠,珠海明骏和董明珠合计也只持有格力电器9.46亿股 。由此推测,在2021年9月23日这次新增质押后, 珠海明骏手里可能已经没剩多少股份可供新增质押的了。</p><p>一旦珠海明骏可供质押的股份趋于枯竭,引发连锁反应,这将是一件危险的事情。</p><p>而且,当时有网友算过,以60%的质押率计算,就算珠海明骏把所有持有的9.02亿股格力全都拿来抵押,大概最后可以支持格力电器的股价极限为31.92元 。</p><p>而2022年3月9日盘中,格力电器股价已经一度跌破31.92元, 最低跌到了31.69元 。</p><p>如此推测,对高瓴和珠海明骏而言,新一轮的补充质押,可能已经在路上。张磊和他的高瓴,也许已经在瑟瑟发抖之中。</p><p>从2019年12月至今短短两年多时间,从46.17元到今天的33.34元,再加上巨额的利息成本,高瓴已经巨额浮亏。</p><p>更可怕的是,由于这是一笔高杠杆的投资 (高瓴自有资金只有一半,而且股票质押率最高只有60% ),如今格力电器股价的持续下跌,时间带给张磊的不是玫瑰,也许是需要不断追加补充质押的噩梦。</p><p>除了投资格力的惨败,张磊和他的高瓴在A股、港股、美股对其它所谓赛道股、明星股的投资,现在很多也已经巨额浮亏。</p><p>以下是网友整理的截至2022年3月6日高瓴在A股、港股和美股市场的部分投资盈亏情况:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383af0fcae5c4f81a002e383d442a175\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"695\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46af513c0f94f0aaadbfff6aaf230e3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e65aca0566b144c88a1f654ad4aa0a4e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"495\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>由上图可知:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603658\">安图生物</a>,2020年9月以95元买入278万股 , 如今股价跌至44.30元,腰斩有余;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600276\">恒瑞医药</a>,2021年6月以70元买入1800多万股 ,如今股价跌至36.04元,近乎腰斩;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300676\">华大基因</a>,2021年2月, 定增价 145元 买入346万股, 如今76.99元,近乎腰斩;</p><p>只是目前,尚不清楚这些巨额浮亏的投资,高瓴有没有用杠杆,以及杠杆率有多高。如果也像格力电器那样,那么2022年,对张磊这位中国的巴菲特而言,可能将有不祥之兆。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高瓴,时间的朋友开始瑟瑟发抖?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高瓴,时间的朋友开始瑟瑟发抖?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1026500124\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/4df70e92a2d64be896797ea06b5e676a);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">阿尔法工场研究院 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-14 09:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>除了投资格力的“惨败”,高瓴在A股、港股、美股对其它所谓赛道股、明星股的投资,现在很多也已经巨额浮亏。不管是普通散户还是所谓的机构大佬,在暴跌面前,时间不是玫瑰,而是一把悬在头上的达摩克利斯之剑。</blockquote><p>今天就说说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00170\">中国资本</a>市场最著名的机构大佬 —— 高瓴和他最大的一笔投资,入股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000651\">格力电器</a>的惨事儿。</p><p>截至3月9日收盘,格力电器股价跌到了33.34元,这与2019年高瓴透过珠海明骏入股格力电器的价格 —— 46.17元已经相去甚远。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6b300cfed2a4b1084459bb81f45d94f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>2019年高瓴入股格力电器15%股权的这笔交易,耗资总额大约418亿元,是高瓴最大的一笔投资,几乎可以说是押上了张磊的身家性命。而这其中,大概有一半资金是高瓴从银行获得的贷款。</p><p>2019 年 12 月,珠海明骏与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600036\">招商银行</a>等七家银行签订贷款协议,贷款总额约为 208亿元,融资系用于珠海明骏受让格力集团所持格力电器 15% 的股份。</p><p>同时珠海明骏将其所持格力电器股票也质押给贷款银行,作为贷款的主要条件之一。</p><p>2021年4月28日,在格力电器股价位于55元附近的时候,高瓴将这笔贷款做了一次倒腾。借新还旧,再次向3家银行申请贷款208亿元,偿还此前买股权的208亿元贷款,其所持格力的股份随之全部解除质押。</p><p>那个时候,格力电器股价涨至55元附近,高于其入股格力的成本价46.17元 。因此, 这次只需要质押其持有格力总股本12%的股份,大概7.22亿股就可以拿到208亿元的贷款。</p><p>这次倒腾之后,高瓴腾出了格力电器总股本3%、大约市值超过100亿元的流通股份。 当时有说,如果以50%的质押率计算,通过这次倒腾,高瓴获得了大约60亿元的资金。</p><p>不得不说,这次倒腾,高瓴赚了。不仅获得了一笔大约60亿元的资金,而且还大概率节省了不少贷款利息成本。</p><p>2020年初疫情大爆发后,很多商业银行对企业贷款的年利率降到了3.6%左右 ,而在2019 年12月高瓴第一次贷款时, 贷款年利率大概会明显高于3.6%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91f7d36a26f24d07bbce97d975396ab0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>有人按照2019年底时商业银行公允的年贷款利率6%算了一笔账,取200亿整数计算的话:</p><p>200亿*6%*5=60亿的利息支出,自有资金218亿,如果存银行3年,按照3%利息率,大概有218*3%*3=20亿的利息收入。</p><p>因此高瓴第一次入股格力电器的真实成本大概是:418亿+60亿+20亿=500亿 ,而非表面看到的418亿。</p><p>这500亿对应418亿是119%的溢价,由此算出:2019年12月高瓴入股格力电器的真实成本价大概是46.17*119%=55元,远远高于对外公布的46.17元。</p><p>尽管2021年4月的这次贷款倒腾,高瓴占了一点小便宜,然而张磊仍然只是猜中了开头,没能猜中结尾。随着格力电器股价的持续下跌,张磊的噩梦接踵而至。</p><p>先是2021年9月,格力电器发布公告,珠海明骏新增加大约9000万股质押给了中国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601288\">农业银行</a>珠海分行。</p><p>当时,格力电器的股价已经跌到了37-38元一线 ,距离2021年4月28日格力电器股价55元附近已经跌去了 30%以上。</p><p>无路可走,高瓴就只能继续增加股份质押了。</p><p>根据这次公告,截至2021年9月23日,高瓴及其一致行动人董明珠已累计质押格力电器股份825,756,418股。</p><p>而根据2019年12月时的入股协议可知,当时高瓴耗资近418亿元,总共也才获得了格力电器9.02亿股的股份。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11ef12b8cf7a413c87caaf28dbeed662\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>就算加上董明珠,珠海明骏和董明珠合计也只持有格力电器9.46亿股 。由此推测,在2021年9月23日这次新增质押后, 珠海明骏手里可能已经没剩多少股份可供新增质押的了。</p><p>一旦珠海明骏可供质押的股份趋于枯竭,引发连锁反应,这将是一件危险的事情。</p><p>而且,当时有网友算过,以60%的质押率计算,就算珠海明骏把所有持有的9.02亿股格力全都拿来抵押,大概最后可以支持格力电器的股价极限为31.92元 。</p><p>而2022年3月9日盘中,格力电器股价已经一度跌破31.92元, 最低跌到了31.69元 。</p><p>如此推测,对高瓴和珠海明骏而言,新一轮的补充质押,可能已经在路上。张磊和他的高瓴,也许已经在瑟瑟发抖之中。</p><p>从2019年12月至今短短两年多时间,从46.17元到今天的33.34元,再加上巨额的利息成本,高瓴已经巨额浮亏。</p><p>更可怕的是,由于这是一笔高杠杆的投资 (高瓴自有资金只有一半,而且股票质押率最高只有60% ),如今格力电器股价的持续下跌,时间带给张磊的不是玫瑰,也许是需要不断追加补充质押的噩梦。</p><p>除了投资格力的惨败,张磊和他的高瓴在A股、港股、美股对其它所谓赛道股、明星股的投资,现在很多也已经巨额浮亏。</p><p>以下是网友整理的截至2022年3月6日高瓴在A股、港股和美股市场的部分投资盈亏情况:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383af0fcae5c4f81a002e383d442a175\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"695\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46af513c0f94f0aaadbfff6aaf230e3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e65aca0566b144c88a1f654ad4aa0a4e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"495\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>由上图可知:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603658\">安图生物</a>,2020年9月以95元买入278万股 , 如今股价跌至44.30元,腰斩有余;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600276\">恒瑞医药</a>,2021年6月以70元买入1800多万股 ,如今股价跌至36.04元,近乎腰斩;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300676\">华大基因</a>,2021年2月, 定增价 145元 买入346万股, 如今76.99元,近乎腰斩;</p><p>只是目前,尚不清楚这些巨额浮亏的投资,高瓴有没有用杠杆,以及杠杆率有多高。如果也像格力电器那样,那么2022年,对张磊这位中国的巴菲特而言,可能将有不祥之兆。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890dd2dfb205aa8aa1d140672304b3c8","relate_stocks":{"000651":"格力电器"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2219229090","content_text":"除了投资格力的“惨败”,高瓴在A股、港股、美股对其它所谓赛道股、明星股的投资,现在很多也已经巨额浮亏。不管是普通散户还是所谓的机构大佬,在暴跌面前,时间不是玫瑰,而是一把悬在头上的达摩克利斯之剑。今天就说说中国资本市场最著名的机构大佬 —— 高瓴和他最大的一笔投资,入股格力电器的惨事儿。截至3月9日收盘,格力电器股价跌到了33.34元,这与2019年高瓴透过珠海明骏入股格力电器的价格 —— 46.17元已经相去甚远。2019年高瓴入股格力电器15%股权的这笔交易,耗资总额大约418亿元,是高瓴最大的一笔投资,几乎可以说是押上了张磊的身家性命。而这其中,大概有一半资金是高瓴从银行获得的贷款。2019 年 12 月,珠海明骏与招商银行等七家银行签订贷款协议,贷款总额约为 208亿元,融资系用于珠海明骏受让格力集团所持格力电器 15% 的股份。同时珠海明骏将其所持格力电器股票也质押给贷款银行,作为贷款的主要条件之一。2021年4月28日,在格力电器股价位于55元附近的时候,高瓴将这笔贷款做了一次倒腾。借新还旧,再次向3家银行申请贷款208亿元,偿还此前买股权的208亿元贷款,其所持格力的股份随之全部解除质押。那个时候,格力电器股价涨至55元附近,高于其入股格力的成本价46.17元 。因此, 这次只需要质押其持有格力总股本12%的股份,大概7.22亿股就可以拿到208亿元的贷款。这次倒腾之后,高瓴腾出了格力电器总股本3%、大约市值超过100亿元的流通股份。 当时有说,如果以50%的质押率计算,通过这次倒腾,高瓴获得了大约60亿元的资金。不得不说,这次倒腾,高瓴赚了。不仅获得了一笔大约60亿元的资金,而且还大概率节省了不少贷款利息成本。2020年初疫情大爆发后,很多商业银行对企业贷款的年利率降到了3.6%左右 ,而在2019 年12月高瓴第一次贷款时, 贷款年利率大概会明显高于3.6%。有人按照2019年底时商业银行公允的年贷款利率6%算了一笔账,取200亿整数计算的话:200亿*6%*5=60亿的利息支出,自有资金218亿,如果存银行3年,按照3%利息率,大概有218*3%*3=20亿的利息收入。因此高瓴第一次入股格力电器的真实成本大概是:418亿+60亿+20亿=500亿 ,而非表面看到的418亿。这500亿对应418亿是119%的溢价,由此算出:2019年12月高瓴入股格力电器的真实成本价大概是46.17*119%=55元,远远高于对外公布的46.17元。尽管2021年4月的这次贷款倒腾,高瓴占了一点小便宜,然而张磊仍然只是猜中了开头,没能猜中结尾。随着格力电器股价的持续下跌,张磊的噩梦接踵而至。先是2021年9月,格力电器发布公告,珠海明骏新增加大约9000万股质押给了中国农业银行珠海分行。当时,格力电器的股价已经跌到了37-38元一线 ,距离2021年4月28日格力电器股价55元附近已经跌去了 30%以上。无路可走,高瓴就只能继续增加股份质押了。根据这次公告,截至2021年9月23日,高瓴及其一致行动人董明珠已累计质押格力电器股份825,756,418股。而根据2019年12月时的入股协议可知,当时高瓴耗资近418亿元,总共也才获得了格力电器9.02亿股的股份。就算加上董明珠,珠海明骏和董明珠合计也只持有格力电器9.46亿股 。由此推测,在2021年9月23日这次新增质押后, 珠海明骏手里可能已经没剩多少股份可供新增质押的了。一旦珠海明骏可供质押的股份趋于枯竭,引发连锁反应,这将是一件危险的事情。而且,当时有网友算过,以60%的质押率计算,就算珠海明骏把所有持有的9.02亿股格力全都拿来抵押,大概最后可以支持格力电器的股价极限为31.92元 。而2022年3月9日盘中,格力电器股价已经一度跌破31.92元, 最低跌到了31.69元 。如此推测,对高瓴和珠海明骏而言,新一轮的补充质押,可能已经在路上。张磊和他的高瓴,也许已经在瑟瑟发抖之中。从2019年12月至今短短两年多时间,从46.17元到今天的33.34元,再加上巨额的利息成本,高瓴已经巨额浮亏。更可怕的是,由于这是一笔高杠杆的投资 (高瓴自有资金只有一半,而且股票质押率最高只有60% ),如今格力电器股价的持续下跌,时间带给张磊的不是玫瑰,也许是需要不断追加补充质押的噩梦。除了投资格力的惨败,张磊和他的高瓴在A股、港股、美股对其它所谓赛道股、明星股的投资,现在很多也已经巨额浮亏。以下是网友整理的截至2022年3月6日高瓴在A股、港股和美股市场的部分投资盈亏情况:由上图可知:安图生物,2020年9月以95元买入278万股 , 如今股价跌至44.30元,腰斩有余;恒瑞医药,2021年6月以70元买入1800多万股 ,如今股价跌至36.04元,近乎腰斩;华大基因,2021年2月, 定增价 145元 买入346万股, 如今76.99元,近乎腰斩;只是目前,尚不清楚这些巨额浮亏的投资,高瓴有没有用杠杆,以及杠杆率有多高。如果也像格力电器那样,那么2022年,对张磊这位中国的巴菲特而言,可能将有不祥之兆。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1056,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":893275630,"gmtCreate":1628270225320,"gmtModify":1628270225320,"author":{"id":"3546827283985191","authorId":"3546827283985191","name":"火车一路开向北方","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25de620ad15ea1df9044298634177a67","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$</a>没看懂","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$</a>没看懂","text":"$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$没看懂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893275630","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":191837419,"gmtCreate":1620868642931,"gmtModify":1620868642931,"author":{"id":"3546827283985191","authorId":"3546827283985191","name":"火车一路开向北方","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25de620ad15ea1df9044298634177a67","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKLA\">$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$</a>反向大师","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKLA\">$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$</a>反向大师","text":"$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$反向大师","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191837419","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":870,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":105209442,"gmtCreate":1620303132886,"gmtModify":1620303132886,"author":{"id":"3546827283985191","authorId":"3546827283985191","name":"火车一路开向北方","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25de620ad15ea1df9044298634177a67","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKLA\">$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$</a> 深井冰","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKLA\">$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$</a> 深井冰","text":"$Nikola Corporation(NKLA)$ 深井冰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105209442","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":106241630,"gmtCreate":1620128085520,"gmtModify":1620128085520,"author":{"id":"3546827283985191","authorId":"3546827283985191","name":"火车一路开向北方","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25de620ad15ea1df9044298634177a67","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"太强了","listText":"太强了","text":"太强了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106241630","repostId":"1119408387","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1119408387","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620123059,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119408387?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 18:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"杜邦一季度净利润大超市场预期,并上调业绩指引","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119408387","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"杜邦:2021财年一季度营收40亿美元,市场预期38.48亿美元,去年同期52.21亿美元。一季度净利润(亿美元):53.94 ,预期:3.93,前值:-6.16。一季度调整后每股盈利0.91美元,市","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DD\">杜邦</a>:2021财年一季度营收40亿美元,市场预期38.48亿美元,去年同期52.21亿美元。</p><p>一季度净利润(亿美元):<b>53.94</b> ,预期:3.93,前值:-6.16。</p><p>一季度调整后每股盈利0.91美元,市场预期0.76美元。</p><p><b>业绩指引</b></p><p>预期第二季度营收在39.3亿-40.3亿美元之间,市场预期38.4亿美元。</p><p>预计第二季度运营未计利息、税项、折旧及摊销前的利润在9.9亿-10.1亿美元之间,市场预期9.773亿美元。</p><p>上调2021财年营收指引。</p><p></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>杜邦一季度净利润大超市场预期,并上调业绩指引</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n杜邦一季度净利润大超市场预期,并上调业绩指引\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-04 18:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DD\">杜邦</a>:2021财年一季度营收40亿美元,市场预期38.48亿美元,去年同期52.21亿美元。</p><p>一季度净利润(亿美元):<b>53.94</b> ,预期:3.93,前值:-6.16。</p><p>一季度调整后每股盈利0.91美元,市场预期0.76美元。</p><p><b>业绩指引</b></p><p>预期第二季度营收在39.3亿-40.3亿美元之间,市场预期38.4亿美元。</p><p>预计第二季度运营未计利息、税项、折旧及摊销前的利润在9.9亿-10.1亿美元之间,市场预期9.773亿美元。</p><p>上调2021财年营收指引。</p><p></p><p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fc73a3805035511af8bfbdd5fce38d8","relate_stocks":{"DD":"杜邦"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119408387","content_text":"杜邦:2021财年一季度营收40亿美元,市场预期38.48亿美元,去年同期52.21亿美元。一季度净利润(亿美元):53.94 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