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巴菲特炒A股
11-23
$上证指数(000001.SH)$
巴菲特炒A股
2023-06-28
是的,千万别学北向,都开始跑路了,要有信心
抱歉,原内容已删除
巴菲特炒A股
2023-06-23
$A50指数主连 2306(CNmain)$
巴菲特炒A股
2023-06-21
$A50指数主连 2306(CNmain)$
巴菲特炒A股
2023-03-22
$上证指数(000001.SH)$
巴菲特炒A股
2021-03-09
$上证指数(000001.SH)$
好大的好深的沟啊[捂脸]
巴菲特炒A股
2020-09-11
a股往死跌[傲娇]
抱歉,原内容已删除
巴菲特炒A股
2020-09-10
[喷血]
美股强劲反弹:A股回调或利好基金调仓 中国资产仍获外资追捧
巴菲特炒A股
2020-08-11
$A50指数主连(CNmain)$
纯属拉指数
巴菲特炒A股
2020-08-03
$A50指数主连(CNmain)$
温水煮青蛙式下跌
巴菲特炒A股
2020-07-31
$A50指数主连(CNmain)$
蹦极[喷血]
巴菲特炒A股
2020-07-31
$A50指数主连(CNmain)$
这么整谁去接盘?你倒是多涨点儿再高位砸盘啊[捂脸]
巴菲特炒A股
2020-07-22
$A50指数主连(CNmain)$
下午a股有可能高位跳水
巴菲特炒A股
2020-07-15
$A50指数主连(CNmain)$
拉这么高,蓄势待发,开盘就砸?
巴菲特炒A股
2020-04-23
$A50指数主连(CNmain)$
何方妖孽开盘就抛货!无c之徒!
巴菲特炒A股
2020-03-30
$A50指数主连(CNmain)$
快涨快涨,还有半个小时就开盘了,开盘了然后再跌,[无语] [无语] [无语]
巴菲特炒A股
2020-03-27
$A50指数主连(CNmain)$
a股已收盘,你可以涨了
巴菲特炒A股
2020-03-18
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
他来了,他来了,他带着熔断又又又又来了[流泪]
巴菲特炒A股
2020-03-16
$上证指数(000001.SH)$
看不懂了
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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","text":"[喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/976648710","repostId":"2066228822","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2066228822","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1599699720,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2066228822?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-09-10 09:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股强劲反弹:A股回调或利好基金调仓 中国资产仍获外资追捧","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2066228822","media":"券商中国","summary":"今日直播:\n 嘉实基金周宇航、吴奇卉:港股低估,陷阱还是馅饼\n 新华基金陈谦:从衣食住行看投资机会\n 上投摩根陈圆明 、猫头鹰基金矫健:如何应对理财收益率下滑?绝对收益投资优势解析\n 华夏基金","content":"<html><body><div>\n<blockquote>\n<p> <strong>今日直播:</strong></p>\n<p> <strong>嘉实基金周宇航、吴奇卉:港股低估,陷阱还是馅饼</strong></p>\n<p> <strong>新华基金陈谦:从衣食住行看投资机会</strong></p>\n<p> <strong>上投摩根陈圆明 、猫头鹰基金矫健:如何应对理财收益率下滑?绝对收益投资优势解析</strong></p>\n<p> <strong>华夏基金荣膺、周克平:科技吹响攻关号角</strong></p>\n<p> <strong>国泰基金黄岳:新上证综指未来投资价值如何?</strong></p>\n</blockquote>\n<p> 原标题:美股强劲反弹!道指涨超400点,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>涨近11%!科技股稳了?A股回调或利好基金调仓,中国资产仍获外资追捧</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\"> <font cms-style=\"strong-Bold font-L\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">在行情走牛8个月之际,A股市场受外围影响迎来剧烈震荡。不过,自上周四连续三天的下跌后,美股强劲反弹。</font></font></font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">彭博数据显示,合计规模为750亿美元的先锋领航成长股ETF基金、安硕核心标普美国成长股ETF基金在今年8月出现了有史以来最大的资金流出,偏科技股的ETF基金赎回情况创出新高,而巨量资金的赎回也意味着这些主要指向科技股的成长类ETF,将被动减持科技公司的股票。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"strong-Bold font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">不过,随着科技股抛售潮暂时告一段落,美股三大股指集体反弹。美东时间周三,美股三大股指集体反弹。截至收盘,道指涨439.58点,涨幅1.60%,报27940.47点;纳指涨293.87点,涨幅2.71%,报11141.56点;标普500指数涨67.12点,涨幅2.01%,报3398.96点。</font></font></p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider2020910/644/w1042h402/20200910/629b-iyywcsz0182015.jpg\"/><span></span></div>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">板块上来看,科技股悉数走高,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>领涨道指。特斯拉股价大涨,前一日该股重挫21%,创史上最大单日跌幅。具体来看,苹果涨3.99%、特斯拉涨10.92%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>涨3.77%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>涨1.60%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>涨0.94%、微软涨4.26%、高通涨3.87%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>涨4.09%、奈飞跌1.35%。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">虽然A股市场出现调整,但多家大型基金公司认为,短期内A股波动率或有所放大,高估值板块面临一定回调压力,但拉长来看,全球资产类别中我国权益资产收益优势明显,对于长期投资者来说,可以关注市场波动带来的投资机会。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 美股科技基金遭赎回,A股或将加速回调</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">9月9日,沪深股市指数集体走跌,创业板重挫近5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZN\">阿斯利康</a>疫苗研发进程受阻,生物疫苗板块全天领跌,环保、半导体、互联网等板块跌幅居前,创业板低价股尾盘跳水;钢铁、港口、海运、航空等较为活跃。两市下跌个股超3000家,截至收盘,上证指数跌1.86%,深证成指跌3.25%,创业板指跌4.80%。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">A股的这波市场调整与外围市场表现有较大关联,一个重要的指标是,美股波动率持续提升,自7月1日以来CBOE波动率(VIX)首次出现连续3天高于30的情况,海外风险偏好持续下行。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">风险偏好的下行,使得资金策略开始保守,并开始赎回基金,这直接导致了两家超大规模的成长股基金遭遇有史以来最大月度赎回。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">彭博数据显示,合计规模为750亿美元的先锋领航成长股ETF、安硕核心标普美国成长股ETF在今年8月出现了有史以来最大的资金流出,而专注于成长股的ETF基金在8月总计赎回了24亿美元,创出四年以来的最高纪录,巨量资金的赎回也意味着这些主要指向科技股的成长类ETF,将被动减持科技公司的股票。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">显然,由于本轮美股的调整幅度进一步加剧且持续时间拉长,考虑到当前外资约2万亿元人民币的体量,其对于A股市场的情绪造成一定影响。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"strong-Bold font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">招商基金判断A股市场短期调整或有加速迹象:</font></font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">一方面,美股道指9月8日下跌2.25%,纳指下跌4.11%,科技股继续是重灾区,波动率提升压制风险偏好,受此影响,9月9日早盘A股大幅低开,创业板指一度跌超5%,前期涨幅较高的消费、科技跌幅居前。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">另一方面,大宗市场如原油期货大幅下跌对风险资产形成冲击,多只创业板异动个股被监管再次叫停对投机氛围形成明显抑制。盘面上,权重有所托举,但消费、科技等未现明显企稳动作,预计指数方面还有待考验。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">此外,风险方面,需重视监管层对近期低价绩差股炒作的发声,市场交投情绪会有一定降温,资金整体的风险偏好或收敛,短期或将加剧对前期强势热点股的震荡回调压力。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">广发基金认为,8月以来,A股步入震荡调整期,主要表现高位股加速补跌,市场题材低迷,资金谨慎观望,内外部的多重因素让原本敏感市场波动进一步放大:美股再次大幅回调,特别是科技龙头下跌更为明显,导致A股市场避险情绪升温。此外,有消息称阿斯利康出于安全考虑暂停疫苗三期试验的消息,引发了市场关于疫苗研发前景的担忧,生物疫苗股大幅跳水,拖累创业板大幅下跌。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">受央行公开市场操作、经济数据以及债市供需影响,近期银行间流动性趋紧,这也导致权益市场投资者对未来的流动性预期形成一定压制,前期受益于流动性明显的成长股面临较大回调压力。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 出清短期博弈游资,A股或有继续上行空间</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">此外,监管层强化对“炒小炒差”的监管,压制市场风险偏好。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">大成基金认为,周二晚间,深交所发布公告,提到近期“<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300313\">天山生物</a></span><span></span>(维权)”“<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300064\">豫金刚石</a></span><span></span>(维权)”“<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300301\">长方集团</a></span><span></span>”等少数流通市值小、价格低、基本面差的股票,股价短期快速上涨,炒作现象较为突出。深交所依规对其要求停牌核查。市场风险偏好收到一定冲击,高估值股票显著承压。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">与此同时,A股市场还面临着短期解禁压力较大的问题,近三周A股解禁市值接近3700亿元,对流通盘造成短期压力。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">平安基金公司也指出,监管对妖股炒作停牌审查,趋严监管趋势压制短期博弈资金。近期少数流通市值较小、股价较低、基本面较差的创业板股票炒作情况突出,9月8日深交所对触发异常波动标准的天山生物、豫金刚石、长方集团要求停牌核查,压制短线博弈资金的投机行为。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">不过,上述基金公司认为,创业板趋严监管压制短期博弈资金,长期投资趋势不变。</font></font><font cms-style=\"font-L\">近期创业板成交量创新高背后,短线资金炒作情况亦有所加剧,严监管有利于打击涉嫌新型股价操纵行为,出清短期博弈游资,鼓励长期投资、价值投资,有利于给基本面好的企业带来中长期配置机会。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 板块机会或将高低切换,A股中长期逻辑未变</p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">对于后续市场的操作,</font><font cms-style=\"font-L\">中欧基金强调,</font><font cms-style=\"font-L\">我国经济长期向好的趋势没有变化,在疫情防控和经济恢复等方面已走在世界前列,正处于发展的战略机遇期,近几日,美国市场在创出新高后快速地连续大幅下挫,以及沪深股通北上资金的大幅净流出,演化了国内资本市场大幅下跌的导火索,羊群效应下市场经历价格的快速调整过程。未来一段时间,核心股票估值在得到一定时间及空间的修复后,那些基本面优异、具有良好成长能力及广阔行业发展空间的个股仍将得到投资者的青睐。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">招商基金认为,</font><font cms-style=\"font-L\">短期来看,市场风险偏好扰动较大,但流动性环境并未明显恶化。板块方面,预计板块间的高低位切换仍将延续,招商基金继续关注安全边际相对较高的顺周期行业中的地产后周期消费、低估值的金融和建筑板块等;对于消费、医药和科技板块则继续存优去劣,中长期看,内部经济复苏主线仍是较为确定的方向。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">广发基金认为,</font><font cms-style=\"font-L\">海外市场调整更倾向于高位股获利回吐。此外,从其它的大类资产市场来看,并没有明显的避险或是恐慌性情绪产生。回归到国内,短期内A股波动率有所放大,高估值板块面临一定回调压力,或继续保持震荡格局。但拉长来看,全球资产类别中我国权益资产收益优势明显,对于长期投资者来说,可以关注市场波动带来的投资机会。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">平安基金强调,</font><font cms-style=\"font-L\">虽然A股短期出现扰动,但中长期震荡向上趋势不变。行业配置上关注:建议短期关注受益于内需修复的周期成长板块如建材、工程机械、汽车部件等,长期关注国家战略支持的大科技行业和大消费行业。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">“市场短期调整带来优质个股的配置机会,有利于投资者借道公募基金入市。”平安基金公司在在9月9日盘后指出,相较于普通投资者,公募基金可以凭借专业的投资能力,一方面在市场下跌时控制回撤;另一方面抓住市场调整中的结构性机会,为投资者争取可观的超额收益。明星基金经理穿越牛熊的能力得到市场检验,可抓住发行新基金机会,在市场短期调整时期布局权益市场。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">值得一提的是,在纽约交易所挂牌、专注跟踪中国科技股的ETF基金ETF-KraneShares CSI China Internet,在美股市场的下跌中继续获得资金的追捧,单周吸纳1.74亿美元资金,创下年内纪录,显示出外资对中国资产依然情有独钟。</font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"strong-Bold font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">美东时间周三,美股三大股指集体反弹。截至收盘,道指涨439.58点,涨幅1.60%,报27940.47点;纳指涨293.87点,涨幅2.71%,报11141.56点;标普500指数涨67.12点,涨幅2.01%,报3398.96点。</font></font></p>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> <font cms-style=\"font-L\">板块上来看,科技股悉数走高,微软与苹果领涨道指。特斯拉股价大涨,前一日该股重挫21%,创史上最大单日跌幅。具体来看,苹果涨3.99%、特斯拉涨10.92%、亚马逊涨3.77%、谷歌涨1.60%、Facebook涨0.94%、微软涨4.26%、高通涨3.87%、AMD涨4.09%、奈飞跌1.35%。</font></p>\n<div>\n<span>扫二维码 3分钟开户 布局创业板火爆行情</span>\n<img src=\"\"/>\n</div>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">新浪</a>财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑:逯文云 </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股强劲反弹:A股回调或利好基金调仓 中国资产仍获外资追捧</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股强劲反弹:A股回调或利好基金调仓 中国资产仍获外资追捧\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-09-10 09:02 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/zqgd/2020-09-10/doc-iivhuipp3499118.shtml><strong>券商中国</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>今日直播:\n 嘉实基金周宇航、吴奇卉:港股低估,陷阱还是馅饼\n 新华基金陈谦:从衣食住行看投资机会\n 上投摩根陈圆明 、猫头鹰基金矫健:如何应对理财收益率下滑?绝对收益投资优势解析\n 华夏基金荣膺、周克平:科技吹响攻关号角\n 国泰基金黄岳:新上证综指未来投资价值如何?\n\n 原标题:美股强劲反弹!道指涨超400点,特斯拉涨近11%!科技股稳了?A股回调或利好基金调仓,中国资产仍获外资追捧...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/zqgd/2020-09-10/doc-iivhuipp3499118.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e20574f8fb568333181d61bb200086","relate_stocks":{"399006":"创业板指","510030":"价值ETF","510050":"上证50ETF","512550":"A50ETF基金","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指反向ETF","XPP":"二倍做多富时中国50ETF(ProShares)",".DJI":"道琼斯","FXP":"二倍做空富时中国50ETF-ProShares","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","000001.SH":"上证指数","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","03086":"华夏纳指","000016.SH":"上证50","YXI":"ProShares做空FTSE中国50ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","000300.SH":"沪深300"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/zqgd/2020-09-10/doc-iivhuipp3499118.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2066228822","content_text":"今日直播:\n 嘉实基金周宇航、吴奇卉:港股低估,陷阱还是馅饼\n 新华基金陈谦:从衣食住行看投资机会\n 上投摩根陈圆明 、猫头鹰基金矫健:如何应对理财收益率下滑?绝对收益投资优势解析\n 华夏基金荣膺、周克平:科技吹响攻关号角\n 国泰基金黄岳:新上证综指未来投资价值如何?\n\n 原标题:美股强劲反弹!道指涨超400点,特斯拉涨近11%!科技股稳了?A股回调或利好基金调仓,中国资产仍获外资追捧\n 在行情走牛8个月之际,A股市场受外围影响迎来剧烈震荡。不过,自上周四连续三天的下跌后,美股强劲反弹。\n 彭博数据显示,合计规模为750亿美元的先锋领航成长股ETF基金、安硕核心标普美国成长股ETF基金在今年8月出现了有史以来最大的资金流出,偏科技股的ETF基金赎回情况创出新高,而巨量资金的赎回也意味着这些主要指向科技股的成长类ETF,将被动减持科技公司的股票。\n 不过,随着科技股抛售潮暂时告一段落,美股三大股指集体反弹。美东时间周三,美股三大股指集体反弹。截至收盘,道指涨439.58点,涨幅1.60%,报27940.47点;纳指涨293.87点,涨幅2.71%,报11141.56点;标普500指数涨67.12点,涨幅2.01%,报3398.96点。\n\n 板块上来看,科技股悉数走高,微软与苹果领涨道指。特斯拉股价大涨,前一日该股重挫21%,创史上最大单日跌幅。具体来看,苹果涨3.99%、特斯拉涨10.92%、亚马逊涨3.77%、谷歌涨1.60%、Facebook涨0.94%、微软涨4.26%、高通涨3.87%、AMD涨4.09%、奈飞跌1.35%。\n 虽然A股市场出现调整,但多家大型基金公司认为,短期内A股波动率或有所放大,高估值板块面临一定回调压力,但拉长来看,全球资产类别中我国权益资产收益优势明显,对于长期投资者来说,可以关注市场波动带来的投资机会。\n 美股科技基金遭赎回,A股或将加速回调\n 9月9日,沪深股市指数集体走跌,创业板重挫近5%,阿斯利康疫苗研发进程受阻,生物疫苗板块全天领跌,环保、半导体、互联网等板块跌幅居前,创业板低价股尾盘跳水;钢铁、港口、海运、航空等较为活跃。两市下跌个股超3000家,截至收盘,上证指数跌1.86%,深证成指跌3.25%,创业板指跌4.80%。\n A股的这波市场调整与外围市场表现有较大关联,一个重要的指标是,美股波动率持续提升,自7月1日以来CBOE波动率(VIX)首次出现连续3天高于30的情况,海外风险偏好持续下行。\n 风险偏好的下行,使得资金策略开始保守,并开始赎回基金,这直接导致了两家超大规模的成长股基金遭遇有史以来最大月度赎回。\n 彭博数据显示,合计规模为750亿美元的先锋领航成长股ETF、安硕核心标普美国成长股ETF在今年8月出现了有史以来最大的资金流出,而专注于成长股的ETF基金在8月总计赎回了24亿美元,创出四年以来的最高纪录,巨量资金的赎回也意味着这些主要指向科技股的成长类ETF,将被动减持科技公司的股票。\n 显然,由于本轮美股的调整幅度进一步加剧且持续时间拉长,考虑到当前外资约2万亿元人民币的体量,其对于A股市场的情绪造成一定影响。\n 招商基金判断A股市场短期调整或有加速迹象:\n 一方面,美股道指9月8日下跌2.25%,纳指下跌4.11%,科技股继续是重灾区,波动率提升压制风险偏好,受此影响,9月9日早盘A股大幅低开,创业板指一度跌超5%,前期涨幅较高的消费、科技跌幅居前。\n 另一方面,大宗市场如原油期货大幅下跌对风险资产形成冲击,多只创业板异动个股被监管再次叫停对投机氛围形成明显抑制。盘面上,权重有所托举,但消费、科技等未现明显企稳动作,预计指数方面还有待考验。\n 此外,风险方面,需重视监管层对近期低价绩差股炒作的发声,市场交投情绪会有一定降温,资金整体的风险偏好或收敛,短期或将加剧对前期强势热点股的震荡回调压力。\n 广发基金认为,8月以来,A股步入震荡调整期,主要表现高位股加速补跌,市场题材低迷,资金谨慎观望,内外部的多重因素让原本敏感市场波动进一步放大:美股再次大幅回调,特别是科技龙头下跌更为明显,导致A股市场避险情绪升温。此外,有消息称阿斯利康出于安全考虑暂停疫苗三期试验的消息,引发了市场关于疫苗研发前景的担忧,生物疫苗股大幅跳水,拖累创业板大幅下跌。\n 受央行公开市场操作、经济数据以及债市供需影响,近期银行间流动性趋紧,这也导致权益市场投资者对未来的流动性预期形成一定压制,前期受益于流动性明显的成长股面临较大回调压力。\n 出清短期博弈游资,A股或有继续上行空间\n 此外,监管层强化对“炒小炒差”的监管,压制市场风险偏好。\n 大成基金认为,周二晚间,深交所发布公告,提到近期“天山生物(维权)”“豫金刚石(维权)”“长方集团”等少数流通市值小、价格低、基本面差的股票,股价短期快速上涨,炒作现象较为突出。深交所依规对其要求停牌核查。市场风险偏好收到一定冲击,高估值股票显著承压。\n 与此同时,A股市场还面临着短期解禁压力较大的问题,近三周A股解禁市值接近3700亿元,对流通盘造成短期压力。\n 平安基金公司也指出,监管对妖股炒作停牌审查,趋严监管趋势压制短期博弈资金。近期少数流通市值较小、股价较低、基本面较差的创业板股票炒作情况突出,9月8日深交所对触发异常波动标准的天山生物、豫金刚石、长方集团要求停牌核查,压制短线博弈资金的投机行为。\n 不过,上述基金公司认为,创业板趋严监管压制短期博弈资金,长期投资趋势不变。近期创业板成交量创新高背后,短线资金炒作情况亦有所加剧,严监管有利于打击涉嫌新型股价操纵行为,出清短期博弈游资,鼓励长期投资、价值投资,有利于给基本面好的企业带来中长期配置机会。\n 板块机会或将高低切换,A股中长期逻辑未变\n 对于后续市场的操作,中欧基金强调,我国经济长期向好的趋势没有变化,在疫情防控和经济恢复等方面已走在世界前列,正处于发展的战略机遇期,近几日,美国市场在创出新高后快速地连续大幅下挫,以及沪深股通北上资金的大幅净流出,演化了国内资本市场大幅下跌的导火索,羊群效应下市场经历价格的快速调整过程。未来一段时间,核心股票估值在得到一定时间及空间的修复后,那些基本面优异、具有良好成长能力及广阔行业发展空间的个股仍将得到投资者的青睐。\n 招商基金认为,短期来看,市场风险偏好扰动较大,但流动性环境并未明显恶化。板块方面,预计板块间的高低位切换仍将延续,招商基金继续关注安全边际相对较高的顺周期行业中的地产后周期消费、低估值的金融和建筑板块等;对于消费、医药和科技板块则继续存优去劣,中长期看,内部经济复苏主线仍是较为确定的方向。\n 广发基金认为,海外市场调整更倾向于高位股获利回吐。此外,从其它的大类资产市场来看,并没有明显的避险或是恐慌性情绪产生。回归到国内,短期内A股波动率有所放大,高估值板块面临一定回调压力,或继续保持震荡格局。但拉长来看,全球资产类别中我国权益资产收益优势明显,对于长期投资者来说,可以关注市场波动带来的投资机会。\n 平安基金强调,虽然A股短期出现扰动,但中长期震荡向上趋势不变。行业配置上关注:建议短期关注受益于内需修复的周期成长板块如建材、工程机械、汽车部件等,长期关注国家战略支持的大科技行业和大消费行业。\n “市场短期调整带来优质个股的配置机会,有利于投资者借道公募基金入市。”平安基金公司在在9月9日盘后指出,相较于普通投资者,公募基金可以凭借专业的投资能力,一方面在市场下跌时控制回撤;另一方面抓住市场调整中的结构性机会,为投资者争取可观的超额收益。明星基金经理穿越牛熊的能力得到市场检验,可抓住发行新基金机会,在市场短期调整时期布局权益市场。\n 值得一提的是,在纽约交易所挂牌、专注跟踪中国科技股的ETF基金ETF-KraneShares CSI China Internet,在美股市场的下跌中继续获得资金的追捧,单周吸纳1.74亿美元资金,创下年内纪录,显示出外资对中国资产依然情有独钟。\n 美东时间周三,美股三大股指集体反弹。截至收盘,道指涨439.58点,涨幅1.60%,报27940.47点;纳指涨293.87点,涨幅2.71%,报11141.56点;标普500指数涨67.12点,涨幅2.01%,报3398.96点。\n 板块上来看,科技股悉数走高,微软与苹果领涨道指。特斯拉股价大涨,前一日该股重挫21%,创史上最大单日跌幅。具体来看,苹果涨3.99%、特斯拉涨10.92%、亚马逊涨3.77%、谷歌涨1.60%、Facebook涨0.94%、微软涨4.26%、高通涨3.87%、AMD涨4.09%、奈飞跌1.35%。\n\n扫二维码 3分钟开户 布局创业板火爆行情\n\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:逯文云","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":944470996,"gmtCreate":1597109865415,"gmtModify":1704214406449,"author":{"id":"3545731571289424","authorId":"3545731571289424","name":"巴菲特炒A股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba9a4c2a6034eb3cc1b1ac7df9ab50e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545731571289424","authorIdStr":"3545731571289424"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ </a>纯属拉指数","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CNmain\">$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ </a>纯属拉指数","text":"$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ 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","text":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373812787683520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192052620071040,"gmtCreate":1687919639355,"gmtModify":1687919640806,"author":{"id":"3545731571289424","authorId":"3545731571289424","name":"巴菲特炒A股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba9a4c2a6034eb3cc1b1ac7df9ab50e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545731571289424","authorIdStr":"3545731571289424"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"是的,千万别学北向,都开始跑路了,要有信心","listText":"是的,千万别学北向,都开始跑路了,要有信心","text":"是的,千万别学北向,都开始跑路了,要有信心","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192052620071040","repostId":"2346079666","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2346079666","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1687822584,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2346079666?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-06-27 07:36","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"林园:A股处于牛市初期,机会给到敢于乐观的人","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2346079666","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"看好老龄化相关:医疗、消费","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>摘要:看好老龄化相关:医疗、消费</blockquote><p><strong>核心观点: </strong></p><p>1、<strong>市场还是在牛市初期在运作</strong>,我们一个基本判断是<strong>现在这个机会是给予敢于乐观的人。</strong></p><p>2、现在除了一些干扰,估值还是非常合理,是近几年的低位。这个位置是相对不热,是一个冷的区域。我们有一个大的判断,<strong>这个时候就是买入的时候。</strong></p><p>3、具体行业方面,比如未来二三十年(投资方向和过去一样),投资一些人口老龄化及老龄化有关的健康人群方向,医药医疗与三大病有关系的,还有就是消费。 </p><p>4、投资要省事最简单的办法就是<strong>能拿得出分红钱的公司</strong>,过去十年或几十年每年都给你分红,他能拿出<strong>现金</strong>来给你分,要有现金流。 </p><p>5、地产本身是一个大行情,比如前三年,我们一直在回避这个行业。<strong>现在股价已经跌的10分之1都是好的了</strong>,我们再去关注这些。 </p><p>6、别看那么多房子,其实中国人都能消化掉,特别是一些改善性的。<strong>地产这个行业不会消失</strong>,而且可以说比任何行业都大。 </p><p>7、<strong>医药从2015年以后都是一个好的机会,什么时候投都是好机会</strong>。特别是与这个养老有关的东西。 </p><p>去看一下日本的医疗器械、医药公司过去30年或40年的历程,就明白了,中国还在这方面还早得很,可以说还是个<strong>刚出生的婴儿。</strong>6月26日,林园投资董事长林园在一场路演中分享了对市场的判断和他的投资观点。 </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb535dd9402e93e0cab339082144c634\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"299\"/></p><p>以下是投资作业本(微信ID:touzizuoyeben)整理的精华内容,分享给大家:</p><h2>现在市场还是牛市初期</h2><p>近期市场趋势不是很好,一直在下跌,下跌是有很多方面的(原因),一是我们认为现在市场还是在牛市初期在运作。 </p><p>牛市初期的特征就是涨涨跌跌,涨一段时间它又下跌,指数在一定范围内波动,这是牛市初期的特征。 </p><p>但是它并没有创5年的新低,上一次牛市启动的位置,上证指数均值大概在2400-2500点,比那个位置还要高。 </p><p>当然,这是对趋势简单的判断,不一定准,我们还是认为现在是在牛市的初期运作。</p><p>那么所以最近就是这个指数趋势不好或下跌,是整体经济大环境造成一些心理的影响。 </p><p>我们还是看好中国经济,不会有太大的问题。 </p><p>宏观经济(也都是瞎猜),但是我们还是有个基本判断。 </p><p>因为现在不是商品短缺的的年代,商品是过剩的,国家会采取一些措施,也不会对经济伤害太大,总的来说是商品供过于求。过分担忧中国经济各种问题比如债务等,是想的太多了。 </p><p>经济还不会有太大的问题,不像过去在经济短缺时印一点钞票就会引起通胀,现在全世界都在印钞,问题不大。 </p><p>这也是一个规律,人工成本太大,人工成本到一定程度解决不了企业的竞争力问题,但是工资也不会下降。 </p><p>整体社会的收入下降是很难的,上去了就下不来,生活水平上去了也下不来,这也是一种经济现象。现在主要是由于生产过剩,竞争激烈,有些企业负担重。不过对经济或者对个人未来收入有担忧也正常,股市也会反映出来这方面,当然也和市场短期供应量很多有关,上市似乎更容易了。 </p><p>牛市初期它都是这样的规律,但是总的来说,我们认为不会有大问题。我们一个基本判断是现在这个机会是给予敢于乐观的人。 </p><h2>现在是买入的时点</h2><p>这个时候我个人对市场非常乐观。除了一些干扰,估值还是非常合理,是近几年的低位。今天这个位置肯定不是夏天,夏天是热的时候。股市热的时候不是这个现象,现在我们做一个判断,在A股大多数人是亏钱的,绝大多数可以这么说。</p><p>那你说热吗?这个位置是相对不热,是一个冷的区域。因为大家心理预期不好,再加上有少数人的抛售,就会引起短时间股市的下跌,这也是事物的规律。 </p><p>我们大的方向有一个判断,这个时候就是买入的时候,反正就这个观点,我已经说了超过12个月了,但是他还是在往下跌。这就是我们说的这种趋势,我自己是说不准,我们也只是做一个大概的判断。 </p><p>我们总结了一下我们过往的判断,有几十年下来,我没有错过。这个位置到底是高还是低,我们认为是低。就看着眼前是特别兴奋,属于兴奋状况。这是大的方向研判。 </p><h2>看好老龄化相关:医疗、消费</h2><p>具体行业方面,比如未来二三十年(投资方向和过去一样),投资一些人口老龄化及老龄化有关的健康人群方向,医药医疗与三大病有关系的,还有就是消费了。因为我们其他一些行业确实把握不住,可变因素太多。</p><p>这两个行业新增的上市公司并不是太多,从侧面上也反映出这两个行业相对是属于冷的阶段,不热。 </p><p>现在新增的上市多的都是是一些大家认为未来有前景的行业,我们暂时回避,特别是对一些这一两年热闹(不是长期热闹)的行业,我们也采取回避态度,因为很难把握。 </p><p>当然中国这么大,他需要这些过去产能没有的新兴行业,如科技、与生活相息息相关的一些新能源。 </p><p>虽然过去的产能没有,但不代表将来的他们的产能也会过剩,对这类投资我们采取观望态度。还是聚焦于和嘴巴有关系的刚需,在这上面深耕。别的只是观望,不会有大动作。 </p><p>因为注册制以后,一些新规规定,不盈利的公司也可以上市,一大批创新的公司会陆续出来,由于供应量很大,对此,我们采取的措施是就是投大的,投资行业都要投龙头,确定性高一些,这是我们总体的投资思路。</p><p>具体个股公司,比如财务指标,这时要审慎。投资要省事最简单的办法,我的办法就是能拿得出分红钱的公司,过去十年或几十年每年都给你分红,他能拿出现金来给你分,而不是画饼,讲故事,要账上有现金。 </p><p>只是分配利润很高,确要贷款分红,这是大多数A股的一些问题。 </p><p>能每年拿出真金白银给你分的才是好公司,我们现在采取的一些措施也是不见兔子不撒鹰。 </p><p>也投了些ROE100%以上的公司,越高越好。长期ROE都是80、90、100%,那肯定好。</p><p>投成长公司,风险巨大,刚说过市场供应量非常大,故事要讲不好,就血亏。 </p><p>注意一点,主要看好的行业还是与老龄化有关,与生活息息相关的行业。 </p><p>现在是属于一个相对低谷,位置非常低的,因为前两年这些公司炒的很厉害,经过两年的调整,已经到了合理的区间。 </p><h2>地产行业不会消失,要逐步买入</h2><p>地产本身是一个大行情,比如前三年,我们一直在回避这个行业。现在股价已经跌的10分之1都是好的了,我们再去关注这些。 </p><p>地产在国民经济当中或者每个家庭当中,都站在很重要的位置,人们离不开。租房需求也是刚需的。 </p><p>你别看那么多房子,其实中国人都能消化掉,特别是一些改善性的。 </p><p>地产这个行业不会消失,而且可以说比任何行业都大。</p><p>每个人都有这个体会,民生当中消耗最多的就是地产。国内国外都是这样。所以我们相信这个行业机会肯定有,我们也在密切关注和注意。 </p><p>这个行业现在是冰冷的。但具体什么时候介入?我的方法就是逐步进入买入,套住买入,再买一点套了再买一点,套了再买一点,当然把总仓位控制一下。 这个行业会让我们有一个惊喜,因为行业背景非常大。 </p><p>还有和地产有关系如中国的电器制造、家电。这些都是我认为现在价格相对来说非常合理,不贵,而且这些企业的在国际上的竞争力也非常强,几乎打倒了所有的跨国公司,至少我们在中国市场能够看到这个东西。 </p><p>现在中国企业虽然产品过剩,但是他们生产出来的产品在全球非常有竞争。我们相信我们的医药、环保新能源、地产,按照实际水准,在全球竞争力非常强。 </p><p>10年、20年前,中国人还在用老外生产的汽车,买合资或独资车。现在这个情况彻底的改变。家里非国产品牌的彩电、冰箱几乎是看不到,电器产品几乎都被中国垄断。现在唯一就是手机<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>还在,但竞争力也是在逐在下降。中国的本土企业还是非常厉害</p><h2>医药什么时候投都是好机会</h2><p>谈到医药板块,我们认为从2015年以后都是一个好的机会,什么时候投都是好机会。特别是与这个养老有关的东西。 </p><p>我们去看一下日本的医疗器械、医药公司过去30年或40年的历程,就明白了,中国还在这方面还早得很,可以说还是个刚出生的婴儿。</p><h2>买地产就是买危机</h2><p><strong>地产配置方面,过去差不多快一年了,就买了一些少量的债</strong>。我们要买就是一揽子,这时候我们就是买危机,没有别的,因为我们对每一个公司要去搞清楚是不容易的。 </p><p>过去每一次有危机的时候,我买了,旁边的人他没说,但是我知道他在笑话我这个傻瓜,但是老林能傻吗?我不傻,我大概知道什么时候介入。</p><p>我是总是保持一个良好的心态,心平气和,如果亏了一点,就把这个风险要锁死。比如我拿出总资金量的5%,或者这一段时间我就拿出0.5%,要严格守纪律。 </p><p>我对这个行业一揽子买入,最坏的结果是全部赔完了,没了也就没了。保持心态,要有一个非常愉悦的心态去干这件事。可不要想着我一定要赢,我想的一定是100%输了才去干掉。我说这个事儿,可能很多人就觉得我傻,我不傻。</p><h2>看好牙科,只是我没投</h2><p>关于投资者非常感兴趣的牙科板块,我们投资都是看未来。老龄化了,去牙科医院肯定是多的。但是牙科确实是诊所医院遍地都是,它存在一个竞争,我们还是看好这个行业,但是我没投,我投的主要还是老龄化刚需的东西。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n林园:A股处于牛市初期,机会给到敢于乐观的人\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-27 07:36 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3691876><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>摘要:看好老龄化相关:医疗、消费核心观点: 1、市场还是在牛市初期在运作,我们一个基本判断是现在这个机会是给予敢于乐观的人。2、现在除了一些干扰,估值还是非常合理,是近几年的低位。这个位置是相对不热,是一个冷的区域。我们有一个大的判断,这个时候就是买入的时候。3、具体行业方面,比如未来二三十年(投资方向和过去一样),投资一些人口老龄化及老龄化有关的健康人群方向,医药医疗与三大病有关系的,还有就是...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3691876\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aaa25d724fdd554f8466565bcb92217","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","399102":"创业板综","BK4515":"5G概念","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4507":"流媒体概念","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","LU0011850046.USD":"贝莱德全球长线股票 A2 USD","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","000001.SH":"上证指数","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BLSP4239.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis USD Plus"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3691876","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2346079666","content_text":"摘要:看好老龄化相关:医疗、消费核心观点: 1、市场还是在牛市初期在运作,我们一个基本判断是现在这个机会是给予敢于乐观的人。2、现在除了一些干扰,估值还是非常合理,是近几年的低位。这个位置是相对不热,是一个冷的区域。我们有一个大的判断,这个时候就是买入的时候。3、具体行业方面,比如未来二三十年(投资方向和过去一样),投资一些人口老龄化及老龄化有关的健康人群方向,医药医疗与三大病有关系的,还有就是消费。 4、投资要省事最简单的办法就是能拿得出分红钱的公司,过去十年或几十年每年都给你分红,他能拿出现金来给你分,要有现金流。 5、地产本身是一个大行情,比如前三年,我们一直在回避这个行业。现在股价已经跌的10分之1都是好的了,我们再去关注这些。 6、别看那么多房子,其实中国人都能消化掉,特别是一些改善性的。地产这个行业不会消失,而且可以说比任何行业都大。 7、医药从2015年以后都是一个好的机会,什么时候投都是好机会。特别是与这个养老有关的东西。 去看一下日本的医疗器械、医药公司过去30年或40年的历程,就明白了,中国还在这方面还早得很,可以说还是个刚出生的婴儿。6月26日,林园投资董事长林园在一场路演中分享了对市场的判断和他的投资观点。 以下是投资作业本(微信ID:touzizuoyeben)整理的精华内容,分享给大家:现在市场还是牛市初期近期市场趋势不是很好,一直在下跌,下跌是有很多方面的(原因),一是我们认为现在市场还是在牛市初期在运作。 牛市初期的特征就是涨涨跌跌,涨一段时间它又下跌,指数在一定范围内波动,这是牛市初期的特征。 但是它并没有创5年的新低,上一次牛市启动的位置,上证指数均值大概在2400-2500点,比那个位置还要高。 当然,这是对趋势简单的判断,不一定准,我们还是认为现在是在牛市的初期运作。那么所以最近就是这个指数趋势不好或下跌,是整体经济大环境造成一些心理的影响。 我们还是看好中国经济,不会有太大的问题。 宏观经济(也都是瞎猜),但是我们还是有个基本判断。 因为现在不是商品短缺的的年代,商品是过剩的,国家会采取一些措施,也不会对经济伤害太大,总的来说是商品供过于求。过分担忧中国经济各种问题比如债务等,是想的太多了。 经济还不会有太大的问题,不像过去在经济短缺时印一点钞票就会引起通胀,现在全世界都在印钞,问题不大。 这也是一个规律,人工成本太大,人工成本到一定程度解决不了企业的竞争力问题,但是工资也不会下降。 整体社会的收入下降是很难的,上去了就下不来,生活水平上去了也下不来,这也是一种经济现象。现在主要是由于生产过剩,竞争激烈,有些企业负担重。不过对经济或者对个人未来收入有担忧也正常,股市也会反映出来这方面,当然也和市场短期供应量很多有关,上市似乎更容易了。 牛市初期它都是这样的规律,但是总的来说,我们认为不会有大问题。我们一个基本判断是现在这个机会是给予敢于乐观的人。 现在是买入的时点这个时候我个人对市场非常乐观。除了一些干扰,估值还是非常合理,是近几年的低位。今天这个位置肯定不是夏天,夏天是热的时候。股市热的时候不是这个现象,现在我们做一个判断,在A股大多数人是亏钱的,绝大多数可以这么说。那你说热吗?这个位置是相对不热,是一个冷的区域。因为大家心理预期不好,再加上有少数人的抛售,就会引起短时间股市的下跌,这也是事物的规律。 我们大的方向有一个判断,这个时候就是买入的时候,反正就这个观点,我已经说了超过12个月了,但是他还是在往下跌。这就是我们说的这种趋势,我自己是说不准,我们也只是做一个大概的判断。 我们总结了一下我们过往的判断,有几十年下来,我没有错过。这个位置到底是高还是低,我们认为是低。就看着眼前是特别兴奋,属于兴奋状况。这是大的方向研判。 看好老龄化相关:医疗、消费具体行业方面,比如未来二三十年(投资方向和过去一样),投资一些人口老龄化及老龄化有关的健康人群方向,医药医疗与三大病有关系的,还有就是消费了。因为我们其他一些行业确实把握不住,可变因素太多。这两个行业新增的上市公司并不是太多,从侧面上也反映出这两个行业相对是属于冷的阶段,不热。 现在新增的上市多的都是是一些大家认为未来有前景的行业,我们暂时回避,特别是对一些这一两年热闹(不是长期热闹)的行业,我们也采取回避态度,因为很难把握。 当然中国这么大,他需要这些过去产能没有的新兴行业,如科技、与生活相息息相关的一些新能源。 虽然过去的产能没有,但不代表将来的他们的产能也会过剩,对这类投资我们采取观望态度。还是聚焦于和嘴巴有关系的刚需,在这上面深耕。别的只是观望,不会有大动作。 因为注册制以后,一些新规规定,不盈利的公司也可以上市,一大批创新的公司会陆续出来,由于供应量很大,对此,我们采取的措施是就是投大的,投资行业都要投龙头,确定性高一些,这是我们总体的投资思路。具体个股公司,比如财务指标,这时要审慎。投资要省事最简单的办法,我的办法就是能拿得出分红钱的公司,过去十年或几十年每年都给你分红,他能拿出现金来给你分,而不是画饼,讲故事,要账上有现金。 只是分配利润很高,确要贷款分红,这是大多数A股的一些问题。 能每年拿出真金白银给你分的才是好公司,我们现在采取的一些措施也是不见兔子不撒鹰。 也投了些ROE100%以上的公司,越高越好。长期ROE都是80、90、100%,那肯定好。投成长公司,风险巨大,刚说过市场供应量非常大,故事要讲不好,就血亏。 注意一点,主要看好的行业还是与老龄化有关,与生活息息相关的行业。 现在是属于一个相对低谷,位置非常低的,因为前两年这些公司炒的很厉害,经过两年的调整,已经到了合理的区间。 地产行业不会消失,要逐步买入地产本身是一个大行情,比如前三年,我们一直在回避这个行业。现在股价已经跌的10分之1都是好的了,我们再去关注这些。 地产在国民经济当中或者每个家庭当中,都站在很重要的位置,人们离不开。租房需求也是刚需的。 你别看那么多房子,其实中国人都能消化掉,特别是一些改善性的。 地产这个行业不会消失,而且可以说比任何行业都大。每个人都有这个体会,民生当中消耗最多的就是地产。国内国外都是这样。所以我们相信这个行业机会肯定有,我们也在密切关注和注意。 这个行业现在是冰冷的。但具体什么时候介入?我的方法就是逐步进入买入,套住买入,再买一点套了再买一点,套了再买一点,当然把总仓位控制一下。 这个行业会让我们有一个惊喜,因为行业背景非常大。 还有和地产有关系如中国的电器制造、家电。这些都是我认为现在价格相对来说非常合理,不贵,而且这些企业的在国际上的竞争力也非常强,几乎打倒了所有的跨国公司,至少我们在中国市场能够看到这个东西。 现在中国企业虽然产品过剩,但是他们生产出来的产品在全球非常有竞争。我们相信我们的医药、环保新能源、地产,按照实际水准,在全球竞争力非常强。 10年、20年前,中国人还在用老外生产的汽车,买合资或独资车。现在这个情况彻底的改变。家里非国产品牌的彩电、冰箱几乎是看不到,电器产品几乎都被中国垄断。现在唯一就是手机苹果还在,但竞争力也是在逐在下降。中国的本土企业还是非常厉害医药什么时候投都是好机会谈到医药板块,我们认为从2015年以后都是一个好的机会,什么时候投都是好机会。特别是与这个养老有关的东西。 我们去看一下日本的医疗器械、医药公司过去30年或40年的历程,就明白了,中国还在这方面还早得很,可以说还是个刚出生的婴儿。买地产就是买危机地产配置方面,过去差不多快一年了,就买了一些少量的债。我们要买就是一揽子,这时候我们就是买危机,没有别的,因为我们对每一个公司要去搞清楚是不容易的。 过去每一次有危机的时候,我买了,旁边的人他没说,但是我知道他在笑话我这个傻瓜,但是老林能傻吗?我不傻,我大概知道什么时候介入。我是总是保持一个良好的心态,心平气和,如果亏了一点,就把这个风险要锁死。比如我拿出总资金量的5%,或者这一段时间我就拿出0.5%,要严格守纪律。 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","text":"a股往死跌[傲娇]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/976543969","repostId":"1127488114","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127488114","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1599784040,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127488114?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-09-11 08:27","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"苹果市值蒸发4500亿!科技股重挫,A股怎么走","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127488114","media":"中国证券报","summary":"美股反弹“一日游”。当地时间9月10日,美股高开后全日单边下行,收盘时纳斯达克指数跌1.99%,盘初曾涨逾1%。\n科技股再度成为引领大盘走势的主要力量。美国大型科技股全线走低,其中苹果跌3.26%,总","content":"<div>\n<p>美股反弹“一日游”。当地时间9月10日,美股高开后全日单边下行,收盘时纳斯达克指数跌1.99%,盘初曾涨逾1%。\n科技股再度成为引领大盘走势的主要力量。美国大型科技股全线走低,其中苹果跌3.26%,总市值单日蒸发654.93亿美元(约合人民币4475亿元)至1.94万亿美元,再度跌破2万亿美元。\n分析人士看来,美股当前面临多重风险点,一旦某个风险点被触发,“调整”也可能放大为“趋势”。\nA股市场将...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Leht1orHKozV782F9CJfCA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"zgzqb","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>苹果市值蒸发4500亿!科技股重挫,A股怎么走</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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class=\"title\">\n苹果市值蒸发4500亿!科技股重挫,A股怎么走\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-09-11 08:27 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Leht1orHKozV782F9CJfCA><strong>中国证券报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美股反弹“一日游”。当地时间9月10日,美股高开后全日单边下行,收盘时纳斯达克指数跌1.99%,盘初曾涨逾1%。\n科技股再度成为引领大盘走势的主要力量。美国大型科技股全线走低,其中苹果跌3.26%,总市值单日蒸发654.93亿美元(约合人民币4475亿元)至1.94万亿美元,再度跌破2万亿美元。\n分析人士看来,美股当前面临多重风险点,一旦某个风险点被触发,“调整”也可能放大为“趋势”。\nA股市场将...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Leht1orHKozV782F9CJfCA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f0a33d348220bb2adf940f6be33e5b4","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Leht1orHKozV782F9CJfCA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127488114","content_text":"美股反弹“一日游”。当地时间9月10日,美股高开后全日单边下行,收盘时纳斯达克指数跌1.99%,盘初曾涨逾1%。\n科技股再度成为引领大盘走势的主要力量。美国大型科技股全线走低,其中苹果跌3.26%,总市值单日蒸发654.93亿美元(约合人民币4475亿元)至1.94万亿美元,再度跌破2万亿美元。\n分析人士看来,美股当前面临多重风险点,一旦某个风险点被触发,“调整”也可能放大为“趋势”。\nA股市场将迎来本周最后一个交易日,在连续两日回调之后,将有何表现?\n美股高开低走 科技股领跌\n当地时间9月10日,美股三大指数开盘延续反弹态势,不过很快便集体跳水,随后单边下行。\n据Wind数据,截至收盘,道琼斯工业指数跌1.45%,报27534.58点;纳斯达克指数跌1.99%,报10919.59点;标普500指数跌1.76%,报3339.19点。\n\n来源:Wind\n科技股领跌。美国大型科技股全线走低,苹果跌3.26%,亚马逊跌2.86%,奈飞跌3.90%,谷歌母公司Alphabet跌1.37%,Facebook跌2.1%,微软跌2.8%。\n其中,苹果最新总市值为1.94万亿美元,再度跌破2万亿美元,但仍是美股“市值王”。亚马逊、微软、谷歌的最新总市值分别为1.59万亿美元、1.55万亿美元、1.04万亿美元。\n\n来源:Wind\n另外,特斯拉冲高回落,尾盘小幅拉升,收盘时上涨1.38%,股价站上370美元,报371.34美元。\n\n来源:Wind\n“新债王”:散户激增是股市的不良信号\n据媒体报道,“新债王”、DoubleLine Capital首席执行官冈拉克在日前的一场直播活动中表示,每日平均交易量和在线券商账户交易量均在激增,散户投资者的活动令人震惊。据悉,受年轻人青睐的免佣金交易平台Robinhood在2020年前4个月创造了300万个新增账户的历史记录。\n在冈拉克看来,散户激增是美股市场的不良信号。他表示,“任何经历过经济周期的人都知道,这绝对是一个糟糕的市场信号。”事实上,在美股暴跌之前,不少分析师已经对激增的散户投资者数量和他们的投机行为感到担忧,并发出了警告。而期权市场的拥挤,更是放大了市场波动的风险。\n分析人士称,尽管美股近日出现暴跌,整体市场押注看涨的人数仍处于较高水平。芝加哥期权交易所卖权/买权比率5日均值在8月底的20年低点0.41附近徘徊;目前该指数已攀升至0.52附近,但仍低于0.65的历史平均水平。\nTactical Alpha LLC的首席投资官Alec Young表示,“想让散户们犹豫,可能还需要使其遭受更多的痛苦。”\n展望美股后市,天风证券首席宏观分析师宋雪涛表示,这次美股调整和3月份有所不同,基本面没有出现黑天鹅,流动性没有收紧,贵金属和债券利率也没有出现单一趋势,看起来更像是上涨过快后的技术性调整。\n“但是,财政扩张停滞可能引发的流动性问题、过于乐观的盈利预期能否兑现、大选之后的政治风险,一旦其中某个风险被触发,调整也可能放大为趋势,毕竟结构上的脆弱性在下跌时会成为自我实现的加速器。”宋雪涛表示。\n耐心等待A股底部信号\n刚刚经历了大跌的A股市场如何走,是目前市场最关心的问题。\n尽管受市场风险偏好回落影响,富时中国A50指数期货夜盘冲高后回落,但下跌幅度明显小于美股三大指数。据Wind数据,富时中国A50指数期货主力合约夜盘收跌0.53%。\n\n来源:Wind\n短期而言,中原证券表示,由于缺乏明显的领涨热点,市场观望情绪依然较重。建议投资者多看少动,耐心等待底部信号的出现,后市可谨慎关注低估值蓝筹股的投资机会。\n中长期看,川财证券研究所所长陈雳认为, A股慢牛上涨逻辑依然存在。一方面伴随着资本市场改革深化,制度不断完善优化,不断吸引国内外长线资金进入A股市场;另一方面则是国内宏观经济总体向好,传统基建支撑需求,“新基建”高速增长,经济修复后劲充足。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}