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$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
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2020-09-01
坐庄
Analyzing Eastman Kodak's Unusual Options Activity
等会等会
2020-08-25
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@最稳美股赢家:给韭菜们施肥,期权策略的简单科普。
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2020-04-02
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Crude oil bounces but analysts expect further declines
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2020-02-28
$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$
老铁们要不要抄底?这么好的机会?
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22:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Analyzing Eastman Kodak's Unusual Options Activity","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2064426764","media":"Benzinga","summary":"On Monday, shares of Eastman Kodak (NYSE: KODK) saw unusual options activity. After the option alert","content":"<html><body><div><p type=\"text\">On Monday, shares of <strong>Eastman Kodak</strong> (NYSE: KODK) saw unusual options activity. After the option alert, the stock price moved down to $5.97.</p><ul><li>Sentiment: BULLISH</li><li>Option Type: SWEEP</li><li>Trade Type: CALL</li><li>Expiration Date: 2020-09-04</li><li>Strike Price: $7.00</li><li>Volume: 3010</li><li>Open Interest: 6314</li></ul><p type=\"text\">Three Indications Of Unusual Options Activity</p><div><div><div><div></div></div></div></div><p type=\"text\">One way options activity can be considered unusual is when volume is exceptionally high. The volume of options activity refers to the number of shares contracts traded for a day. Unsettled contracts that have been traded, but not yet closed, are called open interest. These contracts are not closed because a buyer has not purchased a contract, or a seller has not sold it.</p><p type=\"text\">Another gauge of unusual options activity is a contract with an expiration date in the distant future. Additional time until a contract expires generally increases the potential for it to grow its time value and reach its strike price. It is important to consider time value because it represents the difference between the strike price and the value of the underlying asset.</p><p type=\"text\">Contracts that are “out of the money” are also indicative of unusual options activity. “Out of the money” contracts occur when the underlying price is under the strike price on a call option, or above the strike price on a put option. These trades are made with the expectation that the value of the underlying asset is going to change dramatically in the future, and buyers and sellers will benefit from a greater profit margin.</p><p type=\"text\">Understanding Sentiment</p><p type=\"text\">Options are “bullish” when a call is purchased at/near ask price or a put is sold at/near bid price. Options are “bearish” when a call is sold at/near bid price or a put is bought at/near ask price.</p><p type=\"text\">Although the activity is suggestive of these strategies, these observations are made without knowing the investor’s true intentions when purchasing these options contracts. An observer cannot be sure if the bettor is playing the contract outright or if they’re hedging a large underlying position in a common stock. For the latter case, the exposure a large investor has on their short position in common stock may be more meaningful than bullish options activity.</p><p type=\"text\">Trading Options With These Strategies</p><p type=\"text\">Unusual options activity is an advantageous strategy that may greatly reward an investor if they are highly skilled, but for the less experienced trader, it should remain as another tool to make an educated investment decision while taking other observations into account.</p><p type=\"text\">For more information to understand options alerts, visit https://pro.benzinga.help/en/articles/1769505-how-do-i-understand-options-alerts</p><p type=\"text\"><strong>See more from Benzinga</strong></p><ul><li>Earnings Scheduled For August 11, 2020</li><li>Understanding Eastman Kodak's Unusual Options Activity</li><li>Morning Market Stats in 5 Minutes</li></ul><p type=\"text\"><i>© 2020 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.</i></p><div></div></div></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Analyzing Eastman Kodak's Unusual Options Activity</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnalyzing Eastman Kodak's Unusual Options Activity\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-08-31 22:20 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analyzing-eastman-kodaks-unusual-options-142042948.html><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>On Monday, shares of Eastman Kodak (NYSE: KODK) saw unusual options activity. After the option alert, the stock price moved down to $5.97.Sentiment: BULLISHOption Type: SWEEPTrade Type: CALLExpiration...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analyzing-eastman-kodaks-unusual-options-142042948.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KODK":"柯达"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analyzing-eastman-kodaks-unusual-options-142042948.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2064426764","content_text":"On Monday, shares of Eastman Kodak (NYSE: KODK) saw unusual options activity. After the option alert, the stock price moved down to $5.97.Sentiment: BULLISHOption Type: SWEEPTrade Type: CALLExpiration Date: 2020-09-04Strike Price: $7.00Volume: 3010Open Interest: 6314Three Indications Of Unusual Options ActivityOne way options activity can be considered unusual is when volume is exceptionally high. The volume of options activity refers to the number of shares contracts traded for a day. Unsettled contracts that have been traded, but not yet closed, are called open interest. These contracts are not closed because a buyer has not purchased a contract, or a seller has not sold it.Another gauge of unusual options activity is a contract with an expiration date in the distant future. Additional time until a contract expires generally increases the potential for it to grow its time value and reach its strike price. It is important to consider time value because it represents the difference between the strike price and the value of the underlying asset.Contracts that are “out of the money” are also indicative of unusual options activity. “Out of the money” contracts occur when the underlying price is under the strike price on a call option, or above the strike price on a put option. These trades are made with the expectation that the value of the underlying asset is going to change dramatically in the future, and buyers and sellers will benefit from a greater profit margin.Understanding SentimentOptions are “bullish” when a call is purchased at/near ask price or a put is sold at/near bid price. Options are “bearish” when a call is sold at/near bid price or a put is bought at/near ask price.Although the activity is suggestive of these strategies, these observations are made without knowing the investor’s true intentions when purchasing these options contracts. An observer cannot be sure if the bettor is playing the contract outright or if they’re hedging a large underlying position in a common stock. For the latter case, the exposure a large investor has on their short position in common stock may be more meaningful than bullish options activity.Trading Options With These StrategiesUnusual options activity is an advantageous strategy that may greatly reward an investor if they are highly skilled, but for the less experienced trader, it should remain as another tool to make an educated investment decision while taking other observations into account.For more information to understand options alerts, visit https://pro.benzinga.help/en/articles/1769505-how-do-i-understand-options-alertsSee more from BenzingaEarnings Scheduled For August 11, 2020Understanding Eastman Kodak's Unusual Options ActivityMorning Market Stats in 5 Minutes© 2020 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":970,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":979524136,"gmtCreate":1598286902425,"gmtModify":1704218265102,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/979524136","repostId":"979216208","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":979216208,"gmtCreate":1598261009504,"gmtModify":1704218096924,"author":{"id":"3550390468130901","authorId":"3550390468130901","name":"最稳美股赢家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5b121d035572f9dfbfe2e7b3b4adbfa","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"给韭菜们施肥,期权策略的简单科普。","htmlText":"最近看了好几个帖子,各路韭菜日常哭诉被期权坑惨了之类的云云。韭菜们把期权市场当成了澳门线上赌场,各个都觉得是位面之子,分分钟拳打巴菲特,脚踢索罗斯。看不起学金融专业的,知识无用论大行其道。但事实真的是这样吗?很明显不是。交易的本质是双向博弈,这在期权市场更是绝对真理。期权市场是一个零和博弈的市场,韭菜在期权市场中每亏一分钱,都代表对手盘赚了一分钱。这是存粹智识与认知的较量,因此是否能够不断学习与自我提升就是决定你是韭菜与否的关键差别。今天就单纯闲的无聊做个慈善,简单给新鲜韭菜施点肥。看完我这篇文章,还没办法稳定在期权市场盈利的话,期权可能真的不适合你,劝你直接全仓spy删软件然后10年后再见吧。蝶式期权打错了,买一卖二买一,不是买一卖二卖一。此等绝世武功都以传给各位,未来如何全凭各位造化了,总之,帮忙点个赞[开心]","listText":"最近看了好几个帖子,各路韭菜日常哭诉被期权坑惨了之类的云云。韭菜们把期权市场当成了澳门线上赌场,各个都觉得是位面之子,分分钟拳打巴菲特,脚踢索罗斯。看不起学金融专业的,知识无用论大行其道。但事实真的是这样吗?很明显不是。交易的本质是双向博弈,这在期权市场更是绝对真理。期权市场是一个零和博弈的市场,韭菜在期权市场中每亏一分钱,都代表对手盘赚了一分钱。这是存粹智识与认知的较量,因此是否能够不断学习与自我提升就是决定你是韭菜与否的关键差别。今天就单纯闲的无聊做个慈善,简单给新鲜韭菜施点肥。看完我这篇文章,还没办法稳定在期权市场盈利的话,期权可能真的不适合你,劝你直接全仓spy删软件然后10年后再见吧。蝶式期权打错了,买一卖二买一,不是买一卖二卖一。此等绝世武功都以传给各位,未来如何全凭各位造化了,总之,帮忙点个赞[开心]","text":"最近看了好几个帖子,各路韭菜日常哭诉被期权坑惨了之类的云云。韭菜们把期权市场当成了澳门线上赌场,各个都觉得是位面之子,分分钟拳打巴菲特,脚踢索罗斯。看不起学金融专业的,知识无用论大行其道。但事实真的是这样吗?很明显不是。交易的本质是双向博弈,这在期权市场更是绝对真理。期权市场是一个零和博弈的市场,韭菜在期权市场中每亏一分钱,都代表对手盘赚了一分钱。这是存粹智识与认知的较量,因此是否能够不断学习与自我提升就是决定你是韭菜与否的关键差别。今天就单纯闲的无聊做个慈善,简单给新鲜韭菜施点肥。看完我这篇文章,还没办法稳定在期权市场盈利的话,期权可能真的不适合你,劝你直接全仓spy删软件然后10年后再见吧。蝶式期权打错了,买一卖二买一,不是买一卖二卖一。此等绝世武功都以传给各位,未来如何全凭各位造化了,总之,帮忙点个赞[开心]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b93bb047acd51023d0d5cf29417bcc50","width":"1536","height":"2048"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fbbe5e7441484a486d72d46ceb947fc","width":"1536","height":"2048"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be3b8e65d964cae3aaff2b96c4a9dcfb","width":"1536","height":"2048"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/979216208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":24,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":923280745,"gmtCreate":1585841530387,"gmtModify":1704359382712,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/923280745","repostId":"2024496712","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2024496712","pubTimestamp":1585839349,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2024496712?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-04-02 22:55","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"石油三国杀要结束了?还言之尚早","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2024496712","media":"新浪美股","summary":"原标题:今日分析:石油三国杀要结束了?还言之尚早 \n 来源:大白话时事\n 今日分析\n 在前天特朗普和普京通了电话后,特朗普这两天一直热衷于在国际油市上制造“利好”和乐观信息,试图以此来刺激处于最","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p> 原标题:今日分析:石油三国杀要结束了?还言之尚早 </p>\n<p> 来源:大白话时事</p>\n<p> 今日分析</p>\n<p> 在前天特朗普和普京通了电话后,特朗普这两天一直热衷于在国际油市上制造“利好”和乐观信息,试图以此来刺激处于最近十几年来最低区域的石油价格。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/458/w550h708/20200402/24a9-irtymmv4894866.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 在这一系列消息的刺激下,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300532\">今天国际</a>原油价格也总算结束持续十几天的阴跌,今天出现了一波超跌反弹,单日最大涨幅达到了12%。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/333/w550h583/20200402/3519-irtymmv4894916.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 虽然今天石油这个单日达到10%的涨幅,放在危机发生之前,应该算得上是超级大阳线。</p>\n<p> 但在危机爆发之后,这个10%的涨幅,放到了过去这三个月的原油暴跌之中,却显得有些微不足道。</p>\n<p> 以布伦特原油价格为例,在今年1月8日最高点还有71美元的价格。</p>\n<p> 但最近几天还一度跌破了25美元,创下近十几年的价格新低,上一次国际原油价格这么低还得追溯到2001年。</p>\n<p> 短短3个月的时间里,国际油价从71美元暴跌到25美元,今天即使暴涨10%,也都还没有涨回30美元。</p>\n<p> 而导致国际油价如此暴跌,虽然当前围绕着“俄罗斯、沙特、美国”之间的石油三国杀价格战,是其中一个导火索。</p>\n<p> 但究其根源,是因为疫情爆发,导致全球石油需求骤降。</p>\n<p> 根据研究公司Rystad Energy预估,4月全球原油需求将同比下降近23%至7760万桶/日。</p>\n<p> 这实际上意味着4月份原油需求量,几乎下降了整整2300万桶/日。</p>\n<p> 这代表着什么?</p>\n<p> 当前世界石油产量排名前三的国家日产量情况如下:</p>\n<p> 1、美国,日产量1190万桶/日。</p>\n<p> 2、俄罗斯,日产量1129万桶/日。</p>\n<p> 3、沙特,日产量1000万桶/日。</p>\n<p> 这也是为啥石油三国杀,会在“俄罗斯、沙特、美国”之间进行,因为这三个国家是世界产油最多的国家。</p>\n<p> 这三个国家总的石油产能,差不多是3300万桶/日。</p>\n<p> 疫情出现之前,世界的石油需求差不多是1亿桶/日。</p>\n<p> 也就是说美国、俄罗斯、沙特,这三个国家的石油产量占据了世界石油产量超过30%。</p>\n<p> 但现在问题来了,因为疫情爆发,再加上经济衰退,全球石油需求骤减。</p>\n<p> 上面也说了,4月份全球石油需求差不多要下降2300万桶/日。</p>\n<p> 这等于要减少整整两个沙特,美国、俄罗斯,才有可能把石油供需关系重新拉回平衡渠道上。</p>\n<p> 但这可能吗?</p>\n<p> 问题在于,这次疫情造成石油需求下降得太多了,使得当前石油产能严重过剩。</p>\n<p> 如果说只是下降个几百桶,那么三国之间也不会出现三国杀,早就基于自身利益,轻松达成减产协议。</p>\n<p> 问题在于一口气下降2300万桶,如果只单单美国、沙特、俄罗斯去减产的话,相当于平均每个国家至少要减产一半,才有可能让国际油价重回40美元。</p>\n<p> 但这可能吗?</p>\n<p> 很明显是不可能的。</p>\n<p> 你现在让沙特去减产一半的石油产量,还不如让沙特去自杀。</p>\n<p> 沙特宁愿去继续增产,来抢占市场份额,利用自身石油生产成本最低的优势,来“薄利多销”,以此维持住自身收入不至于降低太多。</p>\n<p> 否则沙特如果响应减产号召,不说减产一半,哪怕只减产1/3,也会让自身收入出现断崖式下跌。</p>\n<p> 而我们知道,沙特是一个光光王子就有5000个的庞大皇室家族,为了维持这么庞大的皇室家族开销,石油收入是沙特必不可少的唯一支柱。</p>\n<p> 因此如果沙特在其他国家没减产的情况下,自己主动去减产,估计他们国内马上有人跑出来闹事了。</p>\n<p> 所以在国际原油需求骤降,石油价格暴跌的情况下,沙特为何不愿意减产,反而顶着美国压力坚持扩产。</p>\n<p> 其实主要原因,就在这里。</p>\n<p> 除非全世界主要产油国,至少是世界前十的产油国,全部来协商一致减产。</p>\n<p> 否则谁先减产,等于谁先把市场份额让给了别人。</p>\n<p> 俄罗斯因为有着大量的长单供油协议,主要是供应欧洲和中国。</p>\n<p> 所以俄罗斯的石油市场份额其实地位比较牢固。</p>\n<p> 这种情况下,俄罗斯其实并没有太大的减产动力。</p>\n<p> 这使得如果沙特先减产,就意味着自己的石油市场份额下降,不但国际油价不会因为沙特减产而有太大起色,回不到40美元上方,也使得沙特会因为石油市场份额下降,而遭受巨大损失。</p>\n<p> 这对于以石油立国的沙特来说,是难以接受的。</p>\n<p> 特别沙特的石油生产成本是全世界最低的,相比生产成本高达43美元的美国来说,沙特有足够的底气去打石油价格战。</p>\n<p> 这是为什么沙特宁愿被美国极限施压,也不肯减产的主要缘故。</p>\n<p> 而对于俄罗斯来说,从俄罗斯的国家战略肯定存在打垮美国页岩油产业的战略需求。</p>\n<p> 所以俄罗斯更加先天然没有减产的动力。</p>\n<p> 对于普京这样一个硬汉,更别指望他有可能在这种时候去认怂。</p>\n<p> 不过为什么特朗普前天拉下面子给普京打电话后,普京愿意看似缓和的配合释放一些稳定油价的言论呢?</p>\n<p> 其实我在3月30日的文章里,那时候特朗普还没跟普京打电话,我是提出以下观点。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/229/w438h591/20200402/b755-irtymmv4894972.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 说白了,对于俄罗斯和红方来说,只要能保证国际原油价格维持在40美元下方,就足够达成搞垮美国页岩油产业的战略目的。</p>\n<p> 在这种情况下,并没有必要用力太猛,毕竟国际原油价格都跌破25美元了,对于俄罗斯来说,需要在自身利益和打击对手二者之间,找到一个平衡点。</p>\n<p> 这对于大国博弈来说很重要。</p>\n<p> 大国博弈并不像我们普通人打架,不顾生死,通常都会不断权衡利益得失,去找这样一个平衡点。</p>\n<p> 对于国家之间的博弈,只有利益可言。</p>\n<p> 所以,这两天因为俄罗斯释放一下稳定油价的言论,不少人认为俄罗斯要认怂了,我觉得是比较片面的解读。</p>\n<p> 首先,从各国利益角度来说,逼着美国狗急跳墙,其实对大家都没啥好处。</p>\n<p> 既然只要保持石油价格维持在40美元下方,就足以搞垮美国,那么这种情况下,在石油已经跌破30美元的情况下,并没有必要用力太猛,去逼迫美国狗急跳墙。</p>\n<p> 否则美国一旦在中东动武,或者在南美洲搞事情,对于俄罗斯的核心利益来说也是会有着巨大的变数。</p>\n<p> 所以既然特朗普自己主动打电话给普京,对于普京来说也正好给对方一个台阶下,顺便还可以暗中达成一些不为人知的交易,来将自身利益最大化。</p>\n<p> 这是俄罗斯这两天会释放一些稳定油价信号的原因。</p>\n<p> 但我们其实从俄罗斯这两天的言论可以发现一个有趣的事情。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/659/w550h109/20200402/02af-irtymmv4895006.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 那就是,俄罗斯在对外发言中,虽然表示原因跟各方进行谈判和接触。</p>\n<p> 但俄罗斯通篇都没有任何表达想减产的意思,只不过说俄罗斯可以不额外增加产量。</p>\n<p> 这其实对于手里握着大量长单合约的俄罗斯来说,并不像沙特有着需要通过扩产抢占市场份额的需要。</p>\n<p> 所以俄罗斯只要维持现有产能,实际上就已经立于不败之地。</p>\n<p> 这使得俄罗斯不太可能去进行减产,这一次特朗普打电话给普京,俄罗斯也没有给出任何要减产的意思,其实信号已经很明显了。</p>\n<p> 其次,因为国际原油需求骤降,这个应该也超出俄罗斯的预期。</p>\n<p> 所以在国际原油骤降的情况下,只要俄罗斯维持不减产,哪怕不扩产,也会使得国际原油价格今年内很难涨回40美元的价格。</p>\n<p> 这种情况下,俄罗斯在不减产的情况下,去做一些谈判给自己利益最大化是很正常的。</p>\n<p> 但不要认为这样代表俄罗斯愿意放美国一马。</p>\n<p> 恐怕如果后续情况发生一些变化,只要国际原油价格涨回40美元,恐怕俄罗斯和沙特之间的价格战就会马上重新开打。</p>\n<p> 这应该就是俄罗斯当前的底线,搞垮美国的页岩油产业是俄罗斯的战略目标,这一点是应该不会有太大的变化。</p>\n<p> 而俄罗斯的这个战略目标,实际上跟沙特是相符的,沙特一直对美国的页岩油产业恨之入骨。</p>\n<p> 这是为什么沙特有可能配合俄罗斯,明面上打价格战,暗地里在唱双簧。</p>\n<p> 包括俄罗斯其实也公开说,自己和沙特的关系其实还不错。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/739/w550h189/20200402/43a2-irtymmv4895034.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 所以与其逼着美国狗急跳墙,还不如打了美国一巴掌,赶紧喂个甜枣哄一哄,然后继续温水煮青蛙,才是上策。</p>\n<p> 今天出现首家破产的美国页岩油企业,已经是一个很明确的信号。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/12/w550h262/20200402/adfa-irtymmv4895068.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 所以如果能够在维持石油价格继续保持40美元下方,还能够让美国不狗急跳墙。</p>\n<p> 等美国被温水煮青蛙,反应过来的时候,恐怕到时候狗急跳墙也没用了。</p>\n<p> 而沙特这一边也明显有这样的意识。</p>\n<p> 比如说,哪怕在昨天,沙特依然很坚定的扩产。</p>\n<p> 比如在特朗普和普京打电话当天晚上,沙特就通知沙特阿美在4月1日开始把产量提高。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/754/w550h204/20200402/86b4-irtymmv4895093.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 但在今天,美国方面传出要开始对沙特加石油关shui,并准备放弃琼斯法案,允许更多原油在美国附近运输。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/722/w550h172/20200402/d447-irtymmv4895129.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 这才让沙特赶紧态度软化一下,表示支持产油国之间合作,</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/535/w407h128/20200402/44af-irtymmv4895176.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 这是沙特今天态度有所软化的缘故。</p>\n<p> 说白了,沙特和俄罗斯已经都达成某种默契,那就是共同维持石油价格40美元下方,以搞垮美国页岩油产业为共同目标,来唱这个双簧戏。</p>\n<p> 如果逼迫美国太甚,在美国有可能狗急跳墙的情况下,就赶紧打完一巴掌后,给快蜜枣吃,继续哄着美国待在温水里被当做青蛙来煮。</p>\n<p> 这应该就是当前石油三国杀博弈的一个现况。</p>\n<p> 也许你会问,美国有这么傻去被煮吗?</p>\n<p> 但问题在于,美国其实并没有太好的破局办法。</p>\n<p> 首先,美国并非不想动武。</p>\n<p> 如果时间回到十几年前,还是2002年的时候,以那个时候美国的强大,谁敢这样调戏美国,马上会被用洗衣粉当借口直接被美国武力炮轰。</p>\n<p> 但现阶段的美国,真的很穷啊。</p>\n<p> 背负上23万亿美元债务,并且在最近一个月又紧急发行4万亿美元国债。</p>\n<p> 这使得当前美国国债总额恐怕已经达到27万亿美元,并且这新发行的4万亿美元国债,还只能维持到今年7月份。</p>\n<p> 这种情况下,大炮一响黄金万两,打仗也是需要钱的。</p>\n<p> 美国现阶段,实际上并没有能力去支撑打一场大规模战役。</p>\n<p> 除非美国有胆子冒着国家信用破产的风险,去利用战时法案,赖掉全世界的债务。</p>\n<p> 但这意味着美国得向全世界开战。</p>\n<p> 当然,我们不排除美国在世界经济危机爆发后,自身撑不住的时候有可能这样狗急跳墙。</p>\n<p> 但问题在于,在那之前,美国的确没有太大的胆子和魄力去提前发动一场局部战争,来维持油价稳定。</p>\n<p> 更何况,美国恐怕心里还打着好钢要用在刀刃上的想法。</p>\n<p> 以美国目前的情况下,顶多只能够再进行一场大规模战役。</p>\n<p> 在当前蓝方全面针对红方的情况下,美国不太可能把武力这张牌,给提前打出去,因为他还是得提防着我们。</p>\n<p> 所以,哪怕美国知道沙特和俄罗斯在戏耍他,他也不像十几年前那样可以肆无忌惮的直接把航母开去别人家门口直接用飞机和导弹犁地。</p>\n<p> 因此,现阶段美国即使被打落牙齿,也只能咽下去。</p>\n<p> 其实我们从特朗普在半个月前沙特和俄罗斯石油价格站开打后,就第一时间打电话给沙特,结果沙特没理会他继续打价格战。</p>\n<p> 再到特朗普打电话给普京,并迫不及待的继续利用自己的夸张表演,来给国际油市大唱利好。</p>\n<p> 但有一些细微信息值得我们观察一下,比如在普京和特朗普打电话后,双方的公开表态是有分歧的。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/202/w550h452/20200402/46f4-irtymmv4895211.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 这个电话里,实际上双方不单单只聊了石油,还主要讨论了疫情问题。</p>\n<p> 所以俄罗斯的公开表态,只字不提石油,重点只说了加强抗争疫情的合作。</p>\n<p> 而白宫方面的表态,则全部重点在石油上。</p>\n<p> 从中其实,我们可以看出美国当前维护国际油价稳定的迫切心情。</p>\n<p> 不管是特朗普接二连三打电话给沙特和俄罗斯也好,还是今天美国准备利用给沙特石油加关shui的极端手段来施压。</p>\n<p> 我们都可以看到美国对于维护油价的强烈需要。</p>\n<p> 这应该也跟今天出现首家美国页岩油企业破产,有一定的关系。</p>\n<p> 由此我们其实也可以看到,之前宣传低油价是对美国有利的说法,无非就是深信美国不败论的人,一厢情愿的想法。</p>\n<p> 美国股市崩盘,也能被这些人美化成对美国有利。</p>\n<p> 国际油价崩盘,还是能被这些人美化为对美国有利。</p>\n<p> 这简直就是“美必赢”信仰。</p>\n<p> 但实际上,根据我分析,当前情况并不是“美必赢”。</p>\n<p> 我们虽然也还不能说“美必输”,当至少我认为美国现阶段是大概率要崩盘的。</p>\n<p> 今天首家页岩油企业申请破产,仅仅只是一个开始。</p>\n<p> 今年夏天,还有更多好戏可以看。</p>\n<p> 我们现阶段要做的就是,防止美国狗急跳墙,</p>\n<p> 对于美国,救是肯定不能救的,但偶尔给个甜枣,让美国继续待在温水里等着被煮,我觉得是可行的。</p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"highlight_sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>石油三国杀要结束了?还言之尚早</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n石油三国杀要结束了?还言之尚早\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-04-02 22:55 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-04-02/doc-iimxxsth3357945.shtml><strong>新浪美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>原标题:今日分析:石油三国杀要结束了?还言之尚早 \n 来源:大白话时事\n 今日分析\n 在前天特朗普和普京通了电话后,特朗普这两天一直热衷于在国际油市上制造“利好”和乐观信息,试图以此来刺激处于最近十几年来最低区域的石油价格。\n\n 在这一系列消息的刺激下,今天国际原油价格也总算结束持续十几天的阴跌,今天出现了一波超跌反弹,单日最大涨幅达到了12%。\n\n 虽然今天石油这个单日达到10%的涨幅...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-04-02/doc-iimxxsth3357945.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b91ace4cf3d2f33d48dac10824aea4ac","relate_stocks":{"DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","USO":"美国原油ETF","DDG":"ProShares做空石油与天然气ETF","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-04-02/doc-iimxxsth3357945.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2024496712","content_text":"原标题:今日分析:石油三国杀要结束了?还言之尚早 \n 来源:大白话时事\n 今日分析\n 在前天特朗普和普京通了电话后,特朗普这两天一直热衷于在国际油市上制造“利好”和乐观信息,试图以此来刺激处于最近十几年来最低区域的石油价格。\n\n 在这一系列消息的刺激下,今天国际原油价格也总算结束持续十几天的阴跌,今天出现了一波超跌反弹,单日最大涨幅达到了12%。\n\n 虽然今天石油这个单日达到10%的涨幅,放在危机发生之前,应该算得上是超级大阳线。\n 但在危机爆发之后,这个10%的涨幅,放到了过去这三个月的原油暴跌之中,却显得有些微不足道。\n 以布伦特原油价格为例,在今年1月8日最高点还有71美元的价格。\n 但最近几天还一度跌破了25美元,创下近十几年的价格新低,上一次国际原油价格这么低还得追溯到2001年。\n 短短3个月的时间里,国际油价从71美元暴跌到25美元,今天即使暴涨10%,也都还没有涨回30美元。\n 而导致国际油价如此暴跌,虽然当前围绕着“俄罗斯、沙特、美国”之间的石油三国杀价格战,是其中一个导火索。\n 但究其根源,是因为疫情爆发,导致全球石油需求骤降。\n 根据研究公司Rystad Energy预估,4月全球原油需求将同比下降近23%至7760万桶/日。\n 这实际上意味着4月份原油需求量,几乎下降了整整2300万桶/日。\n 这代表着什么?\n 当前世界石油产量排名前三的国家日产量情况如下:\n 1、美国,日产量1190万桶/日。\n 2、俄罗斯,日产量1129万桶/日。\n 3、沙特,日产量1000万桶/日。\n 这也是为啥石油三国杀,会在“俄罗斯、沙特、美国”之间进行,因为这三个国家是世界产油最多的国家。\n 这三个国家总的石油产能,差不多是3300万桶/日。\n 疫情出现之前,世界的石油需求差不多是1亿桶/日。\n 也就是说美国、俄罗斯、沙特,这三个国家的石油产量占据了世界石油产量超过30%。\n 但现在问题来了,因为疫情爆发,再加上经济衰退,全球石油需求骤减。\n 上面也说了,4月份全球石油需求差不多要下降2300万桶/日。\n 这等于要减少整整两个沙特,美国、俄罗斯,才有可能把石油供需关系重新拉回平衡渠道上。\n 但这可能吗?\n 问题在于,这次疫情造成石油需求下降得太多了,使得当前石油产能严重过剩。\n 如果说只是下降个几百桶,那么三国之间也不会出现三国杀,早就基于自身利益,轻松达成减产协议。\n 问题在于一口气下降2300万桶,如果只单单美国、沙特、俄罗斯去减产的话,相当于平均每个国家至少要减产一半,才有可能让国际油价重回40美元。\n 但这可能吗?\n 很明显是不可能的。\n 你现在让沙特去减产一半的石油产量,还不如让沙特去自杀。\n 沙特宁愿去继续增产,来抢占市场份额,利用自身石油生产成本最低的优势,来“薄利多销”,以此维持住自身收入不至于降低太多。\n 否则沙特如果响应减产号召,不说减产一半,哪怕只减产1/3,也会让自身收入出现断崖式下跌。\n 而我们知道,沙特是一个光光王子就有5000个的庞大皇室家族,为了维持这么庞大的皇室家族开销,石油收入是沙特必不可少的唯一支柱。\n 因此如果沙特在其他国家没减产的情况下,自己主动去减产,估计他们国内马上有人跑出来闹事了。\n 所以在国际原油需求骤降,石油价格暴跌的情况下,沙特为何不愿意减产,反而顶着美国压力坚持扩产。\n 其实主要原因,就在这里。\n 除非全世界主要产油国,至少是世界前十的产油国,全部来协商一致减产。\n 否则谁先减产,等于谁先把市场份额让给了别人。\n 俄罗斯因为有着大量的长单供油协议,主要是供应欧洲和中国。\n 所以俄罗斯的石油市场份额其实地位比较牢固。\n 这种情况下,俄罗斯其实并没有太大的减产动力。\n 这使得如果沙特先减产,就意味着自己的石油市场份额下降,不但国际油价不会因为沙特减产而有太大起色,回不到40美元上方,也使得沙特会因为石油市场份额下降,而遭受巨大损失。\n 这对于以石油立国的沙特来说,是难以接受的。\n 特别沙特的石油生产成本是全世界最低的,相比生产成本高达43美元的美国来说,沙特有足够的底气去打石油价格战。\n 这是为什么沙特宁愿被美国极限施压,也不肯减产的主要缘故。\n 而对于俄罗斯来说,从俄罗斯的国家战略肯定存在打垮美国页岩油产业的战略需求。\n 所以俄罗斯更加先天然没有减产的动力。\n 对于普京这样一个硬汉,更别指望他有可能在这种时候去认怂。\n 不过为什么特朗普前天拉下面子给普京打电话后,普京愿意看似缓和的配合释放一些稳定油价的言论呢?\n 其实我在3月30日的文章里,那时候特朗普还没跟普京打电话,我是提出以下观点。\n\n 说白了,对于俄罗斯和红方来说,只要能保证国际原油价格维持在40美元下方,就足够达成搞垮美国页岩油产业的战略目的。\n 在这种情况下,并没有必要用力太猛,毕竟国际原油价格都跌破25美元了,对于俄罗斯来说,需要在自身利益和打击对手二者之间,找到一个平衡点。\n 这对于大国博弈来说很重要。\n 大国博弈并不像我们普通人打架,不顾生死,通常都会不断权衡利益得失,去找这样一个平衡点。\n 对于国家之间的博弈,只有利益可言。\n 所以,这两天因为俄罗斯释放一下稳定油价的言论,不少人认为俄罗斯要认怂了,我觉得是比较片面的解读。\n 首先,从各国利益角度来说,逼着美国狗急跳墙,其实对大家都没啥好处。\n 既然只要保持石油价格维持在40美元下方,就足以搞垮美国,那么这种情况下,在石油已经跌破30美元的情况下,并没有必要用力太猛,去逼迫美国狗急跳墙。\n 否则美国一旦在中东动武,或者在南美洲搞事情,对于俄罗斯的核心利益来说也是会有着巨大的变数。\n 所以既然特朗普自己主动打电话给普京,对于普京来说也正好给对方一个台阶下,顺便还可以暗中达成一些不为人知的交易,来将自身利益最大化。\n 这是俄罗斯这两天会释放一些稳定油价信号的原因。\n 但我们其实从俄罗斯这两天的言论可以发现一个有趣的事情。\n\n 那就是,俄罗斯在对外发言中,虽然表示原因跟各方进行谈判和接触。\n 但俄罗斯通篇都没有任何表达想减产的意思,只不过说俄罗斯可以不额外增加产量。\n 这其实对于手里握着大量长单合约的俄罗斯来说,并不像沙特有着需要通过扩产抢占市场份额的需要。\n 所以俄罗斯只要维持现有产能,实际上就已经立于不败之地。\n 这使得俄罗斯不太可能去进行减产,这一次特朗普打电话给普京,俄罗斯也没有给出任何要减产的意思,其实信号已经很明显了。\n 其次,因为国际原油需求骤降,这个应该也超出俄罗斯的预期。\n 所以在国际原油骤降的情况下,只要俄罗斯维持不减产,哪怕不扩产,也会使得国际原油价格今年内很难涨回40美元的价格。\n 这种情况下,俄罗斯在不减产的情况下,去做一些谈判给自己利益最大化是很正常的。\n 但不要认为这样代表俄罗斯愿意放美国一马。\n 恐怕如果后续情况发生一些变化,只要国际原油价格涨回40美元,恐怕俄罗斯和沙特之间的价格战就会马上重新开打。\n 这应该就是俄罗斯当前的底线,搞垮美国的页岩油产业是俄罗斯的战略目标,这一点是应该不会有太大的变化。\n 而俄罗斯的这个战略目标,实际上跟沙特是相符的,沙特一直对美国的页岩油产业恨之入骨。\n 这是为什么沙特有可能配合俄罗斯,明面上打价格战,暗地里在唱双簧。\n 包括俄罗斯其实也公开说,自己和沙特的关系其实还不错。\n\n 所以与其逼着美国狗急跳墙,还不如打了美国一巴掌,赶紧喂个甜枣哄一哄,然后继续温水煮青蛙,才是上策。\n 今天出现首家破产的美国页岩油企业,已经是一个很明确的信号。\n\n 所以如果能够在维持石油价格继续保持40美元下方,还能够让美国不狗急跳墙。\n 等美国被温水煮青蛙,反应过来的时候,恐怕到时候狗急跳墙也没用了。\n 而沙特这一边也明显有这样的意识。\n 比如说,哪怕在昨天,沙特依然很坚定的扩产。\n 比如在特朗普和普京打电话当天晚上,沙特就通知沙特阿美在4月1日开始把产量提高。\n\n 但在今天,美国方面传出要开始对沙特加石油关shui,并准备放弃琼斯法案,允许更多原油在美国附近运输。\n\n 这才让沙特赶紧态度软化一下,表示支持产油国之间合作,\n\n 这是沙特今天态度有所软化的缘故。\n 说白了,沙特和俄罗斯已经都达成某种默契,那就是共同维持石油价格40美元下方,以搞垮美国页岩油产业为共同目标,来唱这个双簧戏。\n 如果逼迫美国太甚,在美国有可能狗急跳墙的情况下,就赶紧打完一巴掌后,给快蜜枣吃,继续哄着美国待在温水里被当做青蛙来煮。\n 这应该就是当前石油三国杀博弈的一个现况。\n 也许你会问,美国有这么傻去被煮吗?\n 但问题在于,美国其实并没有太好的破局办法。\n 首先,美国并非不想动武。\n 如果时间回到十几年前,还是2002年的时候,以那个时候美国的强大,谁敢这样调戏美国,马上会被用洗衣粉当借口直接被美国武力炮轰。\n 但现阶段的美国,真的很穷啊。\n 背负上23万亿美元债务,并且在最近一个月又紧急发行4万亿美元国债。\n 这使得当前美国国债总额恐怕已经达到27万亿美元,并且这新发行的4万亿美元国债,还只能维持到今年7月份。\n 这种情况下,大炮一响黄金万两,打仗也是需要钱的。\n 美国现阶段,实际上并没有能力去支撑打一场大规模战役。\n 除非美国有胆子冒着国家信用破产的风险,去利用战时法案,赖掉全世界的债务。\n 但这意味着美国得向全世界开战。\n 当然,我们不排除美国在世界经济危机爆发后,自身撑不住的时候有可能这样狗急跳墙。\n 但问题在于,在那之前,美国的确没有太大的胆子和魄力去提前发动一场局部战争,来维持油价稳定。\n 更何况,美国恐怕心里还打着好钢要用在刀刃上的想法。\n 以美国目前的情况下,顶多只能够再进行一场大规模战役。\n 在当前蓝方全面针对红方的情况下,美国不太可能把武力这张牌,给提前打出去,因为他还是得提防着我们。\n 所以,哪怕美国知道沙特和俄罗斯在戏耍他,他也不像十几年前那样可以肆无忌惮的直接把航母开去别人家门口直接用飞机和导弹犁地。\n 因此,现阶段美国即使被打落牙齿,也只能咽下去。\n 其实我们从特朗普在半个月前沙特和俄罗斯石油价格站开打后,就第一时间打电话给沙特,结果沙特没理会他继续打价格战。\n 再到特朗普打电话给普京,并迫不及待的继续利用自己的夸张表演,来给国际油市大唱利好。\n 但有一些细微信息值得我们观察一下,比如在普京和特朗普打电话后,双方的公开表态是有分歧的。\n\n 这个电话里,实际上双方不单单只聊了石油,还主要讨论了疫情问题。\n 所以俄罗斯的公开表态,只字不提石油,重点只说了加强抗争疫情的合作。\n 而白宫方面的表态,则全部重点在石油上。\n 从中其实,我们可以看出美国当前维护国际油价稳定的迫切心情。\n 不管是特朗普接二连三打电话给沙特和俄罗斯也好,还是今天美国准备利用给沙特石油加关shui的极端手段来施压。\n 我们都可以看到美国对于维护油价的强烈需要。\n 这应该也跟今天出现首家美国页岩油企业破产,有一定的关系。\n 由此我们其实也可以看到,之前宣传低油价是对美国有利的说法,无非就是深信美国不败论的人,一厢情愿的想法。\n 美国股市崩盘,也能被这些人美化成对美国有利。\n 国际油价崩盘,还是能被这些人美化为对美国有利。\n 这简直就是“美必赢”信仰。\n 但实际上,根据我分析,当前情况并不是“美必赢”。\n 我们虽然也还不能说“美必输”,当至少我认为美国现阶段是大概率要崩盘的。\n 今天首家页岩油企业申请破产,仅仅只是一个开始。\n 今年夏天,还有更多好戏可以看。\n 我们现阶段要做的就是,防止美国狗急跳墙,\n 对于美国,救是肯定不能救的,但偶尔给个甜枣,让美国继续待在温水里等着被煮,我觉得是可行的。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967541023,"gmtCreate":1584641242862,"gmtModify":1704355487110,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/967541023","repostId":"2020464465","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2020464465","pubTimestamp":1584632520,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2020464465?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-03-19 23:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crude oil bounces but analysts expect further declines","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2020464465","media":"Carl Surran","summary":"U.S. crude oil (NYSEARCA:USO) climbs to its highs of the day, with April WTI +18.3% at $24.11/bbl wh","content":"<html><body><div><div>\n<p>U.S. crude oil (NYSEARCA:USO) climbs to its highs of the day, with April WTI <font color=\"green\">+18.3%</font> at $24.11/bbl while May Brent <font color=\"green\">+7.4%</font> at $26.72/bbl after both benchmarks plunged to multi-year lows yesterday, but analysts see today's gains as only temporary.</p>\n<p>Jefferies says 4M bbl/day could flood the markets starting next month, potentially pushing down crude oil prices into the teens, adding that \"unless somebody intervenes, no oil producer benefits from the current environment.\"</p>\n<p>Rystad Energy says the negative impact on oil demand from the coronavirus could hit 10M bbl/day in the coming weeks, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> cites real time data showing traffic congestion has fallen 50%-60% Y/Y in many major cities across the globe.</p>\n<p>The U.S. Department of Energy says it will buy 30M barrels of oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as an initial step to fulfill Pres. Trump's directive to fill the reserve to help domestic crude producers.</p>\n<p>Several oil names are bouncing off big recent losses: PAA <font color=\"green\">+52.7%</font>, EPD <font color=\"green\">+17.7%</font>, DVN <font color=\"green\">+16.1%</font>, ET <font color=\"green\">+14.3%</font>, NBL <font color=\"green\">+12.5%</font>, CXO <font color=\"green\">+12.2%</font>, MRO <font color=\"green\">+10.3%</font>, PXD <font color=\"green\">+9.8%</font>, EOG <font color=\"green\">+9.2%</font>, COP <font color=\"green\">+8.5%</font>, KMI <font color=\"green\">+8.5%</font>, HES <font color=\"green\">+7.8%</font>, XOM <font color=\"green\">+4.2%</font>.</p>\n<p>ETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UWT, XOP, UCO, VDE, OIH, BGR, DWT, BNO, GUSH, ERX, SCO, DRIP, FENY, DBO, ERY, FIF, DIG, OILU, NDP, DTO, IYE, USL, DUG, OILD, IEO, USOI, WTIU, CRAK</p>\n</div><div><p><b>See all stocks on the move »</b></p></div><div><p>Now read: <b>Hess Corporation: Gearing Up To Finance The Discoveries »</b></p></div></div></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crude oil bounces but analysts expect further declines</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrude oil bounces but analysts expect further declines\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-03-19 23:42 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3553428-crude-oil-bounces-analysts-expect-declines><strong>Carl Surran</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. crude oil (NYSEARCA:USO) climbs to its highs of the day, with April WTI +18.3% at $24.11/bbl while May Brent +7.4% at $26.72/bbl after both benchmarks plunged to multi-year lows yesterday, but ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3553428-crude-oil-bounces-analysts-expect-declines\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FENY":"Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF","MS":"摩根士丹利","USL":"United States 12 Month Oil Fund LP","FIF":"First Trust Energy Infrastructur","PAA":"Plains All American Pipeline L.P","DTO":"二倍做空原油ETN(德银)","ET":"Energy Transfer LP","UWT":"三倍做多原油ETN","PXD":"先锋自然资源","CXO":"康休","OIH":"石油服务ETF","XLE":"SPDR能源指数ETF","OILD":"AccuShares S&P GSCI Crude Oil Excess Return Down Shares","ERX":"二倍做多能源ETF-Direxion","EPD":"Enterprise Products Partners L.P","KMI":"金德尔摩根","USO":"美国原油ETF","ERY":"二倍做空能源ETF-Direxion","USOI":"X-Links Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETN","XOM":"埃克森美孚","WTIU":"MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETN","DBO":"原油ETF-PowerShares","MRO":"马拉松石油","OILU":"ProShares UltraPro 3x Crude Oil ETF","IYE":"iShares U.S. Energy ETF","BGR":"黑岩能源信托","VDE":"Vanguard Energy ETF","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","DRIP":"Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bear 2X Shares","HES":"赫斯","GUSH":"Direxion Daily S&P Oil &Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X Shares","NDP":"Tortoise Energy Independence Fun","OIL":"iPath Pure Beta Crude Oil ETN","EOG":"依欧格资源","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","CRAK":"VanEck Oil Refiners ETF","DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)","XOP":"油气开采指数ETF-SPDR S&P","DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN","DVN":"德文能源","IEO":"iShares Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas","DIG":"二倍做多美国油气指数","COP":"康菲石油","BNO":"美国布伦特原油基金有限合伙企业","NBL":"诺贝尔能源"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3553428-crude-oil-bounces-analysts-expect-declines","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2020464465","content_text":"U.S. crude oil (NYSEARCA:USO) climbs to its highs of the day, with April WTI +18.3% at $24.11/bbl while May Brent +7.4% at $26.72/bbl after both benchmarks plunged to multi-year lows yesterday, but analysts see today's gains as only temporary.\nJefferies says 4M bbl/day could flood the markets starting next month, potentially pushing down crude oil prices into the teens, adding that \"unless somebody intervenes, no oil producer benefits from the current environment.\"\nRystad Energy says the negative impact on oil demand from the coronavirus could hit 10M bbl/day in the coming weeks, and Morgan Stanley cites real time data showing traffic congestion has fallen 50%-60% Y/Y in many major cities across the globe.\nThe U.S. Department of Energy says it will buy 30M barrels of oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as an initial step to fulfill Pres. Trump's directive to fill the reserve to help domestic crude producers.\nSeveral oil names are bouncing off big recent losses: PAA +52.7%, EPD +17.7%, DVN +16.1%, ET +14.3%, NBL +12.5%, CXO +12.2%, MRO +10.3%, PXD +9.8%, EOG +9.2%, COP +8.5%, KMI +8.5%, HES +7.8%, XOM +4.2%.\nETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UWT, XOP, UCO, VDE, OIH, BGR, DWT, BNO, GUSH, ERX, SCO, DRIP, FENY, DBO, ERY, FIF, DIG, OILU, NDP, DTO, IYE, USL, DUG, OILD, IEO, USOI, WTIU, CRAK\nSee all stocks on the move »Now read: Hess Corporation: Gearing Up To Finance The Discoveries »","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967543635,"gmtCreate":1584640981527,"gmtModify":1704355486243,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/967543635","repostId":"939023877","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":939023877,"gmtCreate":1568688161899,"gmtModify":1704718132671,"author":{"id":"3467255916734843","authorId":"3467255916734843","name":"Jacksparrow","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"无论如何石油股将走高的4个原因","htmlText":"沙特阿拉伯的油田和加工受到了攻击,世界石油供应的5-6%被脱机。油价上涨10%以上,石油和天然气股票指数上涨10%以上。 但由于以下几个原因,这不是一般情况: 1.进入石油股票熊市5年后,估值过低,即使在今天的举动之后,相关公司的股票指数与其历史代表性相比也只占很小的百分比。 2.石油市场已经供应不足,美国在岸库存在过去几个月下降,并且有望达到5年创纪录的低点。 3.美国页岩油增长和生产力达到顶峰。在过去5年中,页岩是全球石油产量增长的最大贡献者。峰值增长意味着石油价格可能需要更高,石油股票估值可能需要更高,以激励勘探和技术改进,以优化现有的生产来源和寻找新的来源。 4.地缘政治风险已被遗忘。如果有的话,由于伊朗石油被带回世界市场的风险,已经出现了地缘政治“折扣”,从而进一步抑制了价格。在潜在的制裁豁免和潜在的伊朗救助之前,甚至有初步出货。这些都导致石油价格下跌,可以说油价压低了约5美元/桶,现在似乎已经不在考虑之列。因此,9月16日10%以上的大部分行动可能仅仅取消了地缘政治的折扣,如果石油生产不能很快恢复和/或如果发生进一步的袭击,还可以获得溢价。 以下是投资者和交易者感兴趣的内容: •石油ETF表现出跟踪错误。话虽如此,ETF USO + 12.15% 具有重大意义。对于非常短期的交易,杠杆交易所买卖基金,如 UWT,+ 34.39%,DWT,-39.75%,OILU,+ 34.54% 和 OILD,-39.67% 是有趣的。 •关于石油股票,ETFs XLE,+ 3.36%,XOP,+ 10.80% 和 OIH,+ 8.59% 是有意义的。 •大型石油股中,埃克森美孚 XOM,+ 1.50%,雪佛龙 CVX,+ 2.16% 是您感兴趣的。 •寻求更大涨势的交易者可以看看Comstock Resources CRK,+ 5.77%,Denbury Resources","listText":"沙特阿拉伯的油田和加工受到了攻击,世界石油供应的5-6%被脱机。油价上涨10%以上,石油和天然气股票指数上涨10%以上。 但由于以下几个原因,这不是一般情况: 1.进入石油股票熊市5年后,估值过低,即使在今天的举动之后,相关公司的股票指数与其历史代表性相比也只占很小的百分比。 2.石油市场已经供应不足,美国在岸库存在过去几个月下降,并且有望达到5年创纪录的低点。 3.美国页岩油增长和生产力达到顶峰。在过去5年中,页岩是全球石油产量增长的最大贡献者。峰值增长意味着石油价格可能需要更高,石油股票估值可能需要更高,以激励勘探和技术改进,以优化现有的生产来源和寻找新的来源。 4.地缘政治风险已被遗忘。如果有的话,由于伊朗石油被带回世界市场的风险,已经出现了地缘政治“折扣”,从而进一步抑制了价格。在潜在的制裁豁免和潜在的伊朗救助之前,甚至有初步出货。这些都导致石油价格下跌,可以说油价压低了约5美元/桶,现在似乎已经不在考虑之列。因此,9月16日10%以上的大部分行动可能仅仅取消了地缘政治的折扣,如果石油生产不能很快恢复和/或如果发生进一步的袭击,还可以获得溢价。 以下是投资者和交易者感兴趣的内容: •石油ETF表现出跟踪错误。话虽如此,ETF USO + 12.15% 具有重大意义。对于非常短期的交易,杠杆交易所买卖基金,如 UWT,+ 34.39%,DWT,-39.75%,OILU,+ 34.54% 和 OILD,-39.67% 是有趣的。 •关于石油股票,ETFs XLE,+ 3.36%,XOP,+ 10.80% 和 OIH,+ 8.59% 是有意义的。 •大型石油股中,埃克森美孚 XOM,+ 1.50%,雪佛龙 CVX,+ 2.16% 是您感兴趣的。 •寻求更大涨势的交易者可以看看Comstock Resources CRK,+ 5.77%,Denbury Resources","text":"沙特阿拉伯的油田和加工受到了攻击,世界石油供应的5-6%被脱机。油价上涨10%以上,石油和天然气股票指数上涨10%以上。 但由于以下几个原因,这不是一般情况: 1.进入石油股票熊市5年后,估值过低,即使在今天的举动之后,相关公司的股票指数与其历史代表性相比也只占很小的百分比。 2.石油市场已经供应不足,美国在岸库存在过去几个月下降,并且有望达到5年创纪录的低点。 3.美国页岩油增长和生产力达到顶峰。在过去5年中,页岩是全球石油产量增长的最大贡献者。峰值增长意味着石油价格可能需要更高,石油股票估值可能需要更高,以激励勘探和技术改进,以优化现有的生产来源和寻找新的来源。 4.地缘政治风险已被遗忘。如果有的话,由于伊朗石油被带回世界市场的风险,已经出现了地缘政治“折扣”,从而进一步抑制了价格。在潜在的制裁豁免和潜在的伊朗救助之前,甚至有初步出货。这些都导致石油价格下跌,可以说油价压低了约5美元/桶,现在似乎已经不在考虑之列。因此,9月16日10%以上的大部分行动可能仅仅取消了地缘政治的折扣,如果石油生产不能很快恢复和/或如果发生进一步的袭击,还可以获得溢价。 以下是投资者和交易者感兴趣的内容: •石油ETF表现出跟踪错误。话虽如此,ETF USO + 12.15% 具有重大意义。对于非常短期的交易,杠杆交易所买卖基金,如 UWT,+ 34.39%,DWT,-39.75%,OILU,+ 34.54% 和 OILD,-39.67% 是有趣的。 •关于石油股票,ETFs XLE,+ 3.36%,XOP,+ 10.80% 和 OIH,+ 8.59% 是有意义的。 •大型石油股中,埃克森美孚 XOM,+ 1.50%,雪佛龙 CVX,+ 2.16% 是您感兴趣的。 •寻求更大涨势的交易者可以看看Comstock Resources CRK,+ 5.77%,Denbury Resources","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/939023877","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":989738267,"gmtCreate":1582905691159,"gmtModify":1704348353449,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRMD\">$Repro Med Systems, Inc.(KRMD)$</a>潜力股?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRMD\">$Repro Med Systems, Inc.(KRMD)$</a>潜力股?","text":"$Repro Med Systems, Inc.(KRMD)$潜力股?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/989738267","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1093,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":989299665,"gmtCreate":1582821185157,"gmtModify":1704347926382,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>老铁们要不要抄底?这么好的机会?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>老铁们要不要抄底?这么好的机会?","text":"$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$老铁们要不要抄底?这么好的机会?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/989299665","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":989129985,"gmtCreate":1582754094547,"gmtModify":1704347589194,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>小破站冲冲冲","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>小破站冲冲冲","text":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$小破站冲冲冲","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/989129985","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":917704193,"gmtCreate":1582056908312,"gmtModify":1704345634285,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$安捷伦科技(A)$ 坐等财报出来","listText":"$安捷伦科技(A)$ 坐等财报出来","text":"$安捷伦科技(A)$ 坐等财报出来","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/917704193","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心!如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心!如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心!如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":989129985,"gmtCreate":1582754094547,"gmtModify":1704347589194,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>小破站冲冲冲","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>小破站冲冲冲","text":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$小破站冲冲冲","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/989129985","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":917704193,"gmtCreate":1582056908312,"gmtModify":1704345634285,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$安捷伦科技(A)$ 坐等财报出来","listText":"$安捷伦科技(A)$ 坐等财报出来","text":"$安捷伦科技(A)$ 坐等财报出来","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/917704193","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心!如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心!如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心!如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":989738267,"gmtCreate":1582905691159,"gmtModify":1704348353449,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRMD\">$Repro Med Systems, Inc.(KRMD)$</a>潜力股?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRMD\">$Repro Med Systems, Inc.(KRMD)$</a>潜力股?","text":"$Repro Med Systems, Inc.(KRMD)$潜力股?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/989738267","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1093,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":971814788,"gmtCreate":1598905908344,"gmtModify":1704220573726,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"坐庄","listText":"坐庄","text":"坐庄","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/971814788","repostId":"2064426764","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2064426764","pubTimestamp":1598883642,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2064426764?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-08-31 22:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Analyzing Eastman Kodak's Unusual Options Activity","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2064426764","media":"Benzinga","summary":"On Monday, shares of Eastman Kodak (NYSE: KODK) saw unusual options activity. After the option alert","content":"<html><body><div><p type=\"text\">On Monday, shares of <strong>Eastman Kodak</strong> (NYSE: KODK) saw unusual options activity. After the option alert, the stock price moved down to $5.97.</p><ul><li>Sentiment: BULLISH</li><li>Option Type: SWEEP</li><li>Trade Type: CALL</li><li>Expiration Date: 2020-09-04</li><li>Strike Price: $7.00</li><li>Volume: 3010</li><li>Open Interest: 6314</li></ul><p type=\"text\">Three Indications Of Unusual Options Activity</p><div><div><div><div></div></div></div></div><p type=\"text\">One way options activity can be considered unusual is when volume is exceptionally high. The volume of options activity refers to the number of shares contracts traded for a day. Unsettled contracts that have been traded, but not yet closed, are called open interest. These contracts are not closed because a buyer has not purchased a contract, or a seller has not sold it.</p><p type=\"text\">Another gauge of unusual options activity is a contract with an expiration date in the distant future. Additional time until a contract expires generally increases the potential for it to grow its time value and reach its strike price. It is important to consider time value because it represents the difference between the strike price and the value of the underlying asset.</p><p type=\"text\">Contracts that are “out of the money” are also indicative of unusual options activity. “Out of the money” contracts occur when the underlying price is under the strike price on a call option, or above the strike price on a put option. These trades are made with the expectation that the value of the underlying asset is going to change dramatically in the future, and buyers and sellers will benefit from a greater profit margin.</p><p type=\"text\">Understanding Sentiment</p><p type=\"text\">Options are “bullish” when a call is purchased at/near ask price or a put is sold at/near bid price. Options are “bearish” when a call is sold at/near bid price or a put is bought at/near ask price.</p><p type=\"text\">Although the activity is suggestive of these strategies, these observations are made without knowing the investor’s true intentions when purchasing these options contracts. An observer cannot be sure if the bettor is playing the contract outright or if they’re hedging a large underlying position in a common stock. For the latter case, the exposure a large investor has on their short position in common stock may be more meaningful than bullish options activity.</p><p type=\"text\">Trading Options With These Strategies</p><p type=\"text\">Unusual options activity is an advantageous strategy that may greatly reward an investor if they are highly skilled, but for the less experienced trader, it should remain as another tool to make an educated investment decision while taking other observations into account.</p><p type=\"text\">For more information to understand options alerts, visit https://pro.benzinga.help/en/articles/1769505-how-do-i-understand-options-alerts</p><p type=\"text\"><strong>See more from Benzinga</strong></p><ul><li>Earnings Scheduled For August 11, 2020</li><li>Understanding Eastman Kodak's Unusual Options Activity</li><li>Morning Market Stats in 5 Minutes</li></ul><p type=\"text\"><i>© 2020 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.</i></p><div></div></div></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Analyzing Eastman Kodak's Unusual Options Activity</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnalyzing Eastman Kodak's Unusual Options Activity\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-08-31 22:20 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analyzing-eastman-kodaks-unusual-options-142042948.html><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>On Monday, shares of Eastman Kodak (NYSE: KODK) saw unusual options activity. After the option alert, the stock price moved down to $5.97.Sentiment: BULLISHOption Type: SWEEPTrade Type: CALLExpiration...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analyzing-eastman-kodaks-unusual-options-142042948.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KODK":"柯达"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analyzing-eastman-kodaks-unusual-options-142042948.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2064426764","content_text":"On Monday, shares of Eastman Kodak (NYSE: KODK) saw unusual options activity. After the option alert, the stock price moved down to $5.97.Sentiment: BULLISHOption Type: SWEEPTrade Type: CALLExpiration Date: 2020-09-04Strike Price: $7.00Volume: 3010Open Interest: 6314Three Indications Of Unusual Options ActivityOne way options activity can be considered unusual is when volume is exceptionally high. The volume of options activity refers to the number of shares contracts traded for a day. Unsettled contracts that have been traded, but not yet closed, are called open interest. These contracts are not closed because a buyer has not purchased a contract, or a seller has not sold it.Another gauge of unusual options activity is a contract with an expiration date in the distant future. Additional time until a contract expires generally increases the potential for it to grow its time value and reach its strike price. It is important to consider time value because it represents the difference between the strike price and the value of the underlying asset.Contracts that are “out of the money” are also indicative of unusual options activity. “Out of the money” contracts occur when the underlying price is under the strike price on a call option, or above the strike price on a put option. These trades are made with the expectation that the value of the underlying asset is going to change dramatically in the future, and buyers and sellers will benefit from a greater profit margin.Understanding SentimentOptions are “bullish” when a call is purchased at/near ask price or a put is sold at/near bid price. Options are “bearish” when a call is sold at/near bid price or a put is bought at/near ask price.Although the activity is suggestive of these strategies, these observations are made without knowing the investor’s true intentions when purchasing these options contracts. An observer cannot be sure if the bettor is playing the contract outright or if they’re hedging a large underlying position in a common stock. For the latter case, the exposure a large investor has on their short position in common stock may be more meaningful than bullish options activity.Trading Options With These StrategiesUnusual options activity is an advantageous strategy that may greatly reward an investor if they are highly skilled, but for the less experienced trader, it should remain as another tool to make an educated investment decision while taking other observations into account.For more information to understand options alerts, visit https://pro.benzinga.help/en/articles/1769505-how-do-i-understand-options-alertsSee more from BenzingaEarnings Scheduled For August 11, 2020Understanding Eastman Kodak's Unusual Options ActivityMorning Market Stats in 5 Minutes© 2020 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":970,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":979524136,"gmtCreate":1598286902425,"gmtModify":1704218265102,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/979524136","repostId":"979216208","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":979216208,"gmtCreate":1598261009504,"gmtModify":1704218096924,"author":{"id":"3550390468130901","authorId":"3550390468130901","name":"最稳美股赢家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5b121d035572f9dfbfe2e7b3b4adbfa","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"给韭菜们施肥,期权策略的简单科普。","htmlText":"最近看了好几个帖子,各路韭菜日常哭诉被期权坑惨了之类的云云。韭菜们把期权市场当成了澳门线上赌场,各个都觉得是位面之子,分分钟拳打巴菲特,脚踢索罗斯。看不起学金融专业的,知识无用论大行其道。但事实真的是这样吗?很明显不是。交易的本质是双向博弈,这在期权市场更是绝对真理。期权市场是一个零和博弈的市场,韭菜在期权市场中每亏一分钱,都代表对手盘赚了一分钱。这是存粹智识与认知的较量,因此是否能够不断学习与自我提升就是决定你是韭菜与否的关键差别。今天就单纯闲的无聊做个慈善,简单给新鲜韭菜施点肥。看完我这篇文章,还没办法稳定在期权市场盈利的话,期权可能真的不适合你,劝你直接全仓spy删软件然后10年后再见吧。蝶式期权打错了,买一卖二买一,不是买一卖二卖一。此等绝世武功都以传给各位,未来如何全凭各位造化了,总之,帮忙点个赞[开心]","listText":"最近看了好几个帖子,各路韭菜日常哭诉被期权坑惨了之类的云云。韭菜们把期权市场当成了澳门线上赌场,各个都觉得是位面之子,分分钟拳打巴菲特,脚踢索罗斯。看不起学金融专业的,知识无用论大行其道。但事实真的是这样吗?很明显不是。交易的本质是双向博弈,这在期权市场更是绝对真理。期权市场是一个零和博弈的市场,韭菜在期权市场中每亏一分钱,都代表对手盘赚了一分钱。这是存粹智识与认知的较量,因此是否能够不断学习与自我提升就是决定你是韭菜与否的关键差别。今天就单纯闲的无聊做个慈善,简单给新鲜韭菜施点肥。看完我这篇文章,还没办法稳定在期权市场盈利的话,期权可能真的不适合你,劝你直接全仓spy删软件然后10年后再见吧。蝶式期权打错了,买一卖二买一,不是买一卖二卖一。此等绝世武功都以传给各位,未来如何全凭各位造化了,总之,帮忙点个赞[开心]","text":"最近看了好几个帖子,各路韭菜日常哭诉被期权坑惨了之类的云云。韭菜们把期权市场当成了澳门线上赌场,各个都觉得是位面之子,分分钟拳打巴菲特,脚踢索罗斯。看不起学金融专业的,知识无用论大行其道。但事实真的是这样吗?很明显不是。交易的本质是双向博弈,这在期权市场更是绝对真理。期权市场是一个零和博弈的市场,韭菜在期权市场中每亏一分钱,都代表对手盘赚了一分钱。这是存粹智识与认知的较量,因此是否能够不断学习与自我提升就是决定你是韭菜与否的关键差别。今天就单纯闲的无聊做个慈善,简单给新鲜韭菜施点肥。看完我这篇文章,还没办法稳定在期权市场盈利的话,期权可能真的不适合你,劝你直接全仓spy删软件然后10年后再见吧。蝶式期权打错了,买一卖二买一,不是买一卖二卖一。此等绝世武功都以传给各位,未来如何全凭各位造化了,总之,帮忙点个赞[开心]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b93bb047acd51023d0d5cf29417bcc50","width":"1536","height":"2048"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fbbe5e7441484a486d72d46ceb947fc","width":"1536","height":"2048"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be3b8e65d964cae3aaff2b96c4a9dcfb","width":"1536","height":"2048"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/979216208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":24,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":923280745,"gmtCreate":1585841530387,"gmtModify":1704359382712,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/923280745","repostId":"2024496712","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967541023,"gmtCreate":1584641242862,"gmtModify":1704355487110,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/967541023","repostId":"2020464465","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2020464465","pubTimestamp":1584632520,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2020464465?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-03-19 23:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crude oil bounces but analysts expect further declines","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2020464465","media":"Carl Surran","summary":"U.S. crude oil (NYSEARCA:USO) climbs to its highs of the day, with April WTI +18.3% at $24.11/bbl wh","content":"<html><body><div><div>\n<p>U.S. crude oil (NYSEARCA:USO) climbs to its highs of the day, with April WTI <font color=\"green\">+18.3%</font> at $24.11/bbl while May Brent <font color=\"green\">+7.4%</font> at $26.72/bbl after both benchmarks plunged to multi-year lows yesterday, but analysts see today's gains as only temporary.</p>\n<p>Jefferies says 4M bbl/day could flood the markets starting next month, potentially pushing down crude oil prices into the teens, adding that \"unless somebody intervenes, no oil producer benefits from the current environment.\"</p>\n<p>Rystad Energy says the negative impact on oil demand from the coronavirus could hit 10M bbl/day in the coming weeks, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> cites real time data showing traffic congestion has fallen 50%-60% Y/Y in many major cities across the globe.</p>\n<p>The U.S. Department of Energy says it will buy 30M barrels of oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as an initial step to fulfill Pres. Trump's directive to fill the reserve to help domestic crude producers.</p>\n<p>Several oil names are bouncing off big recent losses: PAA <font color=\"green\">+52.7%</font>, EPD <font color=\"green\">+17.7%</font>, DVN <font color=\"green\">+16.1%</font>, ET <font color=\"green\">+14.3%</font>, NBL <font color=\"green\">+12.5%</font>, CXO <font color=\"green\">+12.2%</font>, MRO <font color=\"green\">+10.3%</font>, PXD <font color=\"green\">+9.8%</font>, EOG <font color=\"green\">+9.2%</font>, COP <font color=\"green\">+8.5%</font>, KMI <font color=\"green\">+8.5%</font>, HES <font color=\"green\">+7.8%</font>, XOM <font color=\"green\">+4.2%</font>.</p>\n<p>ETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UWT, XOP, UCO, VDE, OIH, BGR, DWT, BNO, GUSH, ERX, SCO, DRIP, FENY, DBO, ERY, FIF, DIG, OILU, NDP, DTO, IYE, USL, DUG, OILD, IEO, USOI, WTIU, CRAK</p>\n</div><div><p><b>See all stocks on the move »</b></p></div><div><p>Now read: <b>Hess Corporation: Gearing Up To Finance The Discoveries »</b></p></div></div></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrude oil bounces but analysts expect further declines\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-03-19 23:42 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3553428-crude-oil-bounces-analysts-expect-declines><strong>Carl Surran</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. crude oil (NYSEARCA:USO) climbs to its highs of the day, with April WTI +18.3% at $24.11/bbl while May Brent +7.4% at $26.72/bbl after both benchmarks plunged to multi-year lows yesterday, but ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3553428-crude-oil-bounces-analysts-expect-declines\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FENY":"Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF","MS":"摩根士丹利","USL":"United States 12 Month Oil Fund LP","FIF":"First Trust Energy Infrastructur","PAA":"Plains All American Pipeline L.P","DTO":"二倍做空原油ETN(德银)","ET":"Energy Transfer LP","UWT":"三倍做多原油ETN","PXD":"先锋自然资源","CXO":"康休","OIH":"石油服务ETF","XLE":"SPDR能源指数ETF","OILD":"AccuShares S&P GSCI Crude Oil Excess Return Down Shares","ERX":"二倍做多能源ETF-Direxion","EPD":"Enterprise Products Partners L.P","KMI":"金德尔摩根","USO":"美国原油ETF","ERY":"二倍做空能源ETF-Direxion","USOI":"X-Links Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETN","XOM":"埃克森美孚","WTIU":"MICROSECTORS ENERGY 3X LEVERAGED ETN","DBO":"原油ETF-PowerShares","MRO":"马拉松石油","OILU":"ProShares UltraPro 3x Crude Oil ETF","IYE":"iShares U.S. Energy ETF","BGR":"黑岩能源信托","VDE":"Vanguard Energy ETF","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","DRIP":"Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bear 2X Shares","HES":"赫斯","GUSH":"Direxion Daily S&P Oil &Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X Shares","NDP":"Tortoise Energy Independence Fun","OIL":"iPath Pure Beta Crude Oil ETN","EOG":"依欧格资源","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","CRAK":"VanEck Oil Refiners ETF","DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)","XOP":"油气开采指数ETF-SPDR S&P","DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN","DVN":"德文能源","IEO":"iShares Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas","DIG":"二倍做多美国油气指数","COP":"康菲石油","BNO":"美国布伦特原油基金有限合伙企业","NBL":"诺贝尔能源"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3553428-crude-oil-bounces-analysts-expect-declines","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2020464465","content_text":"U.S. crude oil (NYSEARCA:USO) climbs to its highs of the day, with April WTI +18.3% at $24.11/bbl while May Brent +7.4% at $26.72/bbl after both benchmarks plunged to multi-year lows yesterday, but analysts see today's gains as only temporary.\nJefferies says 4M bbl/day could flood the markets starting next month, potentially pushing down crude oil prices into the teens, adding that \"unless somebody intervenes, no oil producer benefits from the current environment.\"\nRystad Energy says the negative impact on oil demand from the coronavirus could hit 10M bbl/day in the coming weeks, and Morgan Stanley cites real time data showing traffic congestion has fallen 50%-60% Y/Y in many major cities across the globe.\nThe U.S. Department of Energy says it will buy 30M barrels of oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as an initial step to fulfill Pres. Trump's directive to fill the reserve to help domestic crude producers.\nSeveral oil names are bouncing off big recent losses: PAA +52.7%, EPD +17.7%, DVN +16.1%, ET +14.3%, NBL +12.5%, CXO +12.2%, MRO +10.3%, PXD +9.8%, EOG +9.2%, COP +8.5%, KMI +8.5%, HES +7.8%, XOM +4.2%.\nETFs: USO, XLE, OIL, UWT, XOP, UCO, VDE, OIH, BGR, DWT, BNO, GUSH, ERX, SCO, DRIP, FENY, DBO, ERY, FIF, DIG, OILU, NDP, DTO, IYE, USL, DUG, OILD, IEO, USOI, WTIU, CRAK\nSee all stocks on the move »Now read: Hess Corporation: Gearing Up To Finance The Discoveries »","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967543635,"gmtCreate":1584640981527,"gmtModify":1704355486243,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/967543635","repostId":"939023877","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":939023877,"gmtCreate":1568688161899,"gmtModify":1704718132671,"author":{"id":"3467255916734843","authorId":"3467255916734843","name":"Jacksparrow","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"无论如何石油股将走高的4个原因","htmlText":"沙特阿拉伯的油田和加工受到了攻击,世界石油供应的5-6%被脱机。油价上涨10%以上,石油和天然气股票指数上涨10%以上。 但由于以下几个原因,这不是一般情况: 1.进入石油股票熊市5年后,估值过低,即使在今天的举动之后,相关公司的股票指数与其历史代表性相比也只占很小的百分比。 2.石油市场已经供应不足,美国在岸库存在过去几个月下降,并且有望达到5年创纪录的低点。 3.美国页岩油增长和生产力达到顶峰。在过去5年中,页岩是全球石油产量增长的最大贡献者。峰值增长意味着石油价格可能需要更高,石油股票估值可能需要更高,以激励勘探和技术改进,以优化现有的生产来源和寻找新的来源。 4.地缘政治风险已被遗忘。如果有的话,由于伊朗石油被带回世界市场的风险,已经出现了地缘政治“折扣”,从而进一步抑制了价格。在潜在的制裁豁免和潜在的伊朗救助之前,甚至有初步出货。这些都导致石油价格下跌,可以说油价压低了约5美元/桶,现在似乎已经不在考虑之列。因此,9月16日10%以上的大部分行动可能仅仅取消了地缘政治的折扣,如果石油生产不能很快恢复和/或如果发生进一步的袭击,还可以获得溢价。 以下是投资者和交易者感兴趣的内容: •石油ETF表现出跟踪错误。话虽如此,ETF USO + 12.15% 具有重大意义。对于非常短期的交易,杠杆交易所买卖基金,如 UWT,+ 34.39%,DWT,-39.75%,OILU,+ 34.54% 和 OILD,-39.67% 是有趣的。 •关于石油股票,ETFs XLE,+ 3.36%,XOP,+ 10.80% 和 OIH,+ 8.59% 是有意义的。 •大型石油股中,埃克森美孚 XOM,+ 1.50%,雪佛龙 CVX,+ 2.16% 是您感兴趣的。 •寻求更大涨势的交易者可以看看Comstock Resources CRK,+ 5.77%,Denbury Resources","listText":"沙特阿拉伯的油田和加工受到了攻击,世界石油供应的5-6%被脱机。油价上涨10%以上,石油和天然气股票指数上涨10%以上。 但由于以下几个原因,这不是一般情况: 1.进入石油股票熊市5年后,估值过低,即使在今天的举动之后,相关公司的股票指数与其历史代表性相比也只占很小的百分比。 2.石油市场已经供应不足,美国在岸库存在过去几个月下降,并且有望达到5年创纪录的低点。 3.美国页岩油增长和生产力达到顶峰。在过去5年中,页岩是全球石油产量增长的最大贡献者。峰值增长意味着石油价格可能需要更高,石油股票估值可能需要更高,以激励勘探和技术改进,以优化现有的生产来源和寻找新的来源。 4.地缘政治风险已被遗忘。如果有的话,由于伊朗石油被带回世界市场的风险,已经出现了地缘政治“折扣”,从而进一步抑制了价格。在潜在的制裁豁免和潜在的伊朗救助之前,甚至有初步出货。这些都导致石油价格下跌,可以说油价压低了约5美元/桶,现在似乎已经不在考虑之列。因此,9月16日10%以上的大部分行动可能仅仅取消了地缘政治的折扣,如果石油生产不能很快恢复和/或如果发生进一步的袭击,还可以获得溢价。 以下是投资者和交易者感兴趣的内容: •石油ETF表现出跟踪错误。话虽如此,ETF USO + 12.15% 具有重大意义。对于非常短期的交易,杠杆交易所买卖基金,如 UWT,+ 34.39%,DWT,-39.75%,OILU,+ 34.54% 和 OILD,-39.67% 是有趣的。 •关于石油股票,ETFs XLE,+ 3.36%,XOP,+ 10.80% 和 OIH,+ 8.59% 是有意义的。 •大型石油股中,埃克森美孚 XOM,+ 1.50%,雪佛龙 CVX,+ 2.16% 是您感兴趣的。 •寻求更大涨势的交易者可以看看Comstock Resources CRK,+ 5.77%,Denbury Resources","text":"沙特阿拉伯的油田和加工受到了攻击,世界石油供应的5-6%被脱机。油价上涨10%以上,石油和天然气股票指数上涨10%以上。 但由于以下几个原因,这不是一般情况: 1.进入石油股票熊市5年后,估值过低,即使在今天的举动之后,相关公司的股票指数与其历史代表性相比也只占很小的百分比。 2.石油市场已经供应不足,美国在岸库存在过去几个月下降,并且有望达到5年创纪录的低点。 3.美国页岩油增长和生产力达到顶峰。在过去5年中,页岩是全球石油产量增长的最大贡献者。峰值增长意味着石油价格可能需要更高,石油股票估值可能需要更高,以激励勘探和技术改进,以优化现有的生产来源和寻找新的来源。 4.地缘政治风险已被遗忘。如果有的话,由于伊朗石油被带回世界市场的风险,已经出现了地缘政治“折扣”,从而进一步抑制了价格。在潜在的制裁豁免和潜在的伊朗救助之前,甚至有初步出货。这些都导致石油价格下跌,可以说油价压低了约5美元/桶,现在似乎已经不在考虑之列。因此,9月16日10%以上的大部分行动可能仅仅取消了地缘政治的折扣,如果石油生产不能很快恢复和/或如果发生进一步的袭击,还可以获得溢价。 以下是投资者和交易者感兴趣的内容: •石油ETF表现出跟踪错误。话虽如此,ETF USO + 12.15% 具有重大意义。对于非常短期的交易,杠杆交易所买卖基金,如 UWT,+ 34.39%,DWT,-39.75%,OILU,+ 34.54% 和 OILD,-39.67% 是有趣的。 •关于石油股票,ETFs XLE,+ 3.36%,XOP,+ 10.80% 和 OIH,+ 8.59% 是有意义的。 •大型石油股中,埃克森美孚 XOM,+ 1.50%,雪佛龙 CVX,+ 2.16% 是您感兴趣的。 •寻求更大涨势的交易者可以看看Comstock Resources CRK,+ 5.77%,Denbury Resources","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/939023877","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":989299665,"gmtCreate":1582821185157,"gmtModify":1704347926382,"author":{"id":"3543958902824104","authorId":"3543958902824104","name":"等会等会","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>老铁们要不要抄底?这么好的机会?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a>老铁们要不要抄底?这么好的机会?","text":"$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$老铁们要不要抄底?这么好的机会?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/989299665","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}