很是看好的个人主页 - 老虎社区

很是看好

很是看好

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：北京

13关注

10粉丝

6主题

0勋章

2022-04-28

$容联云(RAAS)$如何举报它？

2022-02-09

两万亿一年利息2000亿。他手里的钱不够还利息的。

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-02-08

$金山云(KC)$跌成这样都没人说。很不错。证明只有我被坑。恭喜大家。

2022-01-28

$金山云(KC)$感觉彻底凉了。金山云到底有这个产品吗？感觉都是ppt

2021-12-03

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$就这？？？

2021-12-03

$容联云(RAAS)$舒服了。亏了5000刀。

2021-12-01

$金山云(KC)$恭喜跌破发行价。活该啊。

2021-11-16

多少都不够。现在盖多少赔多少。钱都让土地，银行赚了！！！

许家印变卖个人资产，为恒大注入超70亿“续命钱”

2021-10-30

$金山云(KC)$自己人抛售？？？？

2021-10-30

$金山云(KC)$发不了贴了。

2021-10-27

$金山云(KC)$？？？

2021-10-22

$AMD(AMD)$Intel YES

2021-10-21

房价太低了。涨，涨，涨。

老虎观察: 美元债违约之前地产公司的小伎俩

2021-10-20

个案这么着急跳出来干什么？欲盖弥彰

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-08

搞笑

虚拟货币“挖矿”活动被列入淘汰类落后生产工艺装备

2021-09-28

$AMD(AMD)$恭喜。

2021-09-28

恭喜[开心] [开心] [开心]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-27

$小米集团-W(01810)$封用户？什么**操作。不知道谁是爹吗？

2021-09-23

$中国恒大(03333)$拉高跑路吧。很多大资金还没跑掉。破产肯定的了。

2021-09-10

不禁烟。禁电子烟？？？

【异动】雾芯科技跌超6%，香港或下月前通过禁电子烟条例

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n许家印变卖个人资产，为恒大注入超70亿“续命钱”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-16 18:02 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.yicai.com/news/101231351.html><strong>第一财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：郑娜\n承诺要确保投资者利益、实现复工保交楼的中国恒大董事局主席许家印，正在变卖个人资产为恒大输血。\n11月16日，第一财经从接近恒大的资本圈知情人士处获悉，从7月1日至今，为了维持集团流动性，许家印已透过变卖个人资产或质押股权等方式筹集资金，累计已向集团注入超70亿现金，维持庞大的恒大帝国的基本运营。在此期间，恒大没有融资、销售停摆，但要保证财富每月10%的兑付、总部员工发薪、境内外债券付息...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101231351.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11035f651c5c16f8f951521b8717a989","relate_stocks":{"03333":"中国恒大"},"source_url":"https://www.yicai.com/news/101231351.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158764980","content_text":"作者：郑娜\n承诺要确保投资者利益、实现复工保交楼的中国恒大董事局主席许家印，正在变卖个人资产为恒大输血。\n11月16日，第一财经从接近恒大的资本圈知情人士处获悉，从7月1日至今，为了维持集团流动性，许家印已透过变卖个人资产或质押股权等方式筹集资金，累计已向集团注入超70亿现金，维持庞大的恒大帝国的基本运营。在此期间，恒大没有融资、销售停摆，但要保证财富每月10%的兑付、总部员工发薪、境内外债券付息，推动全国各地项目复工复产。\n“目前都是许家印个人筹钱在为恒大续命。”该知情人士称。\n陷入危机的恒大早在8月中旬时就曾宣称，欲出售恒大物业、恒大汽车等旗下资产以快速回笼资金，缓解流动性压力；期间，还有消息称恒大将出售香港总部大楼等资产。\n尽管屡有包括碧桂园服务、万科、小米、越秀等各绯闻对象，但两项关键资产的出售，始终未能落地。\n更戏剧性的是，国庆前后，合生创展浮出水面，成为恒大物业的收购方。原本市场预期已有较大确定性的出售事项，最终因付款方式等问题而告吹。逾200.4亿港元的交易终止，恒大再丧失一次补血机会。\n公开信息来看，目前恒大仅减持盛京银行股权的举动落定，截至11月初，合计变现约110亿元。\n除了资产处置进展不佳外，恒大的销售也明显陷入停摆。克而瑞数据显示，9月单月，恒大全口径销售额仅53亿元，位列行业49名；10月的销售额未能上榜，而位列50位的房企销售额为36.9亿元。\n不过，自流动性危机公开化至今，恒大暂未“躺平”违约。\n公开信息显示，近期恒大还多次按期支付债券利息。最近的一次为11月11日，恒大于当天支付了三笔美元债利息，合计约1.48亿美元。这三笔美元债分别于2022年、2023年、2024年4月到期，11月11日是三笔债券票息30日宽限期的最后一天。\n近期，有关许家印变卖个人资产的消息亦在市场上广为流传。据称，许家印已把个人财产押的押、卖的卖，已经变卖的资产包中，包括香港的三栋别墅和广州、深圳的豪宅，还有几架私人飞机等，而拿回的钱基本用于恒大保交楼、还利息、兑理财、开工资等。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857265585,"gmtCreate":1635531081070,"gmtModify":1635531081070,"author":{"id":"3540536466537550","authorId":"3540536466537550","name":"很是看好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be93ff0ff68d4e4b78aeb87e8fc59427","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540536466537550","idStr":"3540536466537550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>自己人抛售？？？？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>自己人抛售？？？？","text":"$金山云(KC)$自己人抛售？？？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857265585","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857265669,"gmtCreate":1635531066213,"gmtModify":1635531066213,"author":{"id":"3540536466537550","authorId":"3540536466537550","name":"很是看好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be93ff0ff68d4e4b78aeb87e8fc59427","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540536466537550","idStr":"3540536466537550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>发不了贴了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>发不了贴了。","text":"$金山云(KC)$发不了贴了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857265669","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852282038,"gmtCreate":1635280887672,"gmtModify":1635280887672,"author":{"id":"3540536466537550","authorId":"3540536466537550","name":"很是看好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be93ff0ff68d4e4b78aeb87e8fc59427","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540536466537550","idStr":"3540536466537550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>？？？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>？？？","text":"$金山云(KC)$？？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852282038","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2057,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851084091,"gmtCreate":1634859446427,"gmtModify":1634859446427,"author":{"id":"3540536466537550","authorId":"3540536466537550","name":"很是看好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be93ff0ff68d4e4b78aeb87e8fc59427","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540536466537550","idStr":"3540536466537550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>Intel YES","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>Intel YES","text":"$AMD(AMD)$Intel YES","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851084091","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853506813,"gmtCreate":1634821823584,"gmtModify":1634821823584,"author":{"id":"3540536466537550","authorId":"3540536466537550","name":"很是看好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be93ff0ff68d4e4b78aeb87e8fc59427","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540536466537550","idStr":"3540536466537550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"房价太低了。涨，涨，涨。","listText":"房价太低了。涨，涨，涨。","text":"房价太低了。涨，涨，涨。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853506813","repostId":"1147744957","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147744957","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"提供来自华尔街的观点，观察市场，提供独道的解读视角。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎锐评","id":"1005414032","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634820738,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147744957?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-21 20:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"老虎观察: 美元债违约之前地产公司的小伎俩","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147744957","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"盘前观察\n美股盘前下跌。（盘前：巴菲特旗下公司登陆市场！业绩“发威”瑞幸躁动）\n 美元债违约之前地产公司的小伎俩\n自从我们统计地产公司的美元债以后，到期的公司无一幸免。恒大是属于性质最恶劣的，不仅转移","content":"<p><b>盘前观察</b></p>\n<p>美股盘前下跌。（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1138269989\" target=\"_blank\">盘前：巴菲特旗下公司登陆市场！业绩“发威”瑞幸躁动</a>）</p>\n<p>&nbsp;<b>美元债违约之前地产公司的小伎俩</b></p>\n<p>自从我们统计地产公司的美元债以后，到期的公司无一幸免。恒大是属于性质最恶劣的，不仅转移了抵押债后面的资产（详见之前的分析），而且还没有到债务偿还本金的时候，利息就付不出来了。其它的地产公司好一点点，是遇到偿还本金的时候才宣布违约。今天官方宣布违约的是当代置业，直接“取消申请延期偿还$2.5亿债券的计划”。不仅不给自己还债的机会，也不给债权人任何期待。</p>\n<p>我先把统计列出来，<b>四个字总结：挨个躺平。</b>所以很自然就把眼光投向了美元债即将到期的另外两家公司，弘阳地产（1996.HK）和金辉控股（9993.HK）。根据彭博信息，弘扬地产即将到期的美元债金额是$1亿，金辉控股即将到期的美元债金额是$2.5亿。这两笔债目前交易价格都在99+，也就是说债市认为这两笔债不会违约。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86a469f57ee01246f1a807902acbf294\" tg-width=\"932\" tg-height=\"140\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">先说金辉控股。金辉控股上市的时间很短，2020年10月29日才上市，不到一年，目前累计美元债超过$10亿。10月31日到期的$2.5亿，应该是金辉控股上市之后的第一笔到期美元债（这笔债的发行日前在上市前，2019年）。</p>\n<p>&nbsp;根据公司的公告，目前这笔$2.5亿美元债已经部分还清，没还清的部分也已经资金到位。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e54c22280f0a3710a60cce30180aec3\" tg-width=\"609\" tg-height=\"138\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">可以看出来，公司对上市之后的第一笔到期美元债非常重视。10月份地产公司进入美元债违约季后，害怕自己被连带，就一直积极进行还款工作。如果公司昨天的公告准确（资金到位），那么这个雷就可以暂时排出，债市目前给与的99+价格合理。不过从还款的频率上，以及公司积极对外示好自己的资金实力，能看得出来公司的资金并非宽裕。</p>\n<p>但是债市对弘阳地产即将到期债务依旧给与99+价格，我就有点看不懂了。</p>\n<p>这家公司的债务还有9天到期，和金辉控股一样，进入10月后，弘阳地产对这笔债务也在进行积极提前回购，下表是统计。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fa0d5c9a330360c014e3ef880ccdadd\" tg-width=\"509\" tg-height=\"171\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">公告（提前回购票据）很频繁，只是每次回购的金额都少得可怜。特别是最近的一次，提前回购$200万也值得发个公告？30号就要到期的债务，18号提前回购2%，能省下多少利息？意义是什么？显示公司资金实力雄厚？</p>\n<p>如果我们看弘阳地产过往的公告（上市时间2018年），只有2019年宣布过一次提前回购，当时回购金额是$1亿，偿还比例接近30%，完全反衬现在挤牙膏一般的回购。</p>\n<p>“自愿回购”这个游戏，其实在花样年身上是体现得最淋漓尽致的。在债务违约之前，公司频繁宣布“自愿回购”。下表是花样年的“自愿回购”历史，从今年才开始。越到暴雷前，“自愿回购”越频繁。越彰显财力，其实内心就越虚。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/413ed6eaf7a69fff3bee55508865008a\" tg-width=\"580\" tg-height=\"297\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">我并非认为弘阳地产就一定不能偿还10月30日到期的债务，但是种种迹象表明，违约的可能性远远和债市给与的99+价格明显不匹配。向下做空的风险收益，远远高于向上做多的风险收益。</p>\n<p><b>大市(美东时间9:00 AM)</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b520d227a4029be368400629541a36f6\" tg-width=\"789\" tg-height=\"432\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>公司新闻</b></p>\n<p><b>WeWork(WE)：今日通过SPAC在纽交所上市，估值$90亿。</b></p>\n<p><b>Vita Coco(COCO)：今日在纳斯达克上市，IPO发行价$15，低于定价区间。</b></p>\n<p><b>黑石(BX)：3季度营收好于预期，资管规模达$7,307亿，盘前涨3%。</b>第3季度营收$62.24亿，同比增长105%；净利润$14亿，同比增长76%。</p>\n<p><b>美国航空(AAL)：3季度营收好于预期，预计4季度运力较2019年同期下降约11%-13%，盘前持平。</b>第3季度营收$89.69亿，去年同期$31.73亿；净利润$1.69亿，去年同期净亏损$23.99亿。</p>\n<p><b>西南航空(LUV)：3季度营收好于预期，净利润较2019年同期下降32.3%，盘前持平。</b>第3季度营收$47亿，同比增长161%；净利润$4.46亿，去年同期净亏损$1.96亿。</p>\n<p><b>金沙集团(LVS)：3季度营收增长46%，盘前跌2%。</b>第3季度营收$12.3亿，去年同期$5.86亿；每股亏损$0.46，去年同期$0.65。</p>\n<p><b>联合利华(UL)：3季度营收好于预期，警告明年通货膨胀将更高，盘前涨1%。</b>第3季度营收$156.7亿，去年同期$152.9。</p>\n<p><b>Quest Diagnostics(DGX)：3季度营收好于预期，业绩受新冠检测提振并上调全年展望，盘前涨2%。</b>第3季度营收$27.7亿，去年同期$27.9亿；每股收益$3.96，去年同期$4.31。</p>\n<p><b>辉瑞(PFE)&amp; BioNTech(BNTX)：新冠疫苗加强针在试验中有效性恢复至95.6%。</b></p>\n<p><b>Moderna(MRNA)&amp;强生(JNJ)：美国FDA批准Moderna和强生新冠疫苗加强针。</b>FDA表示3种已获得授权的疫苗可以混合搭配使用，CDC将就FDA的相关授权进行讨论。</p>\n<p><b>Digital World(DWAC)：前总统特朗普的社交媒体公司将与该公司通过SPAC合并上市。</b>特朗普将推出社交媒体平台TRUTH Social，为特朗普媒体技术集团TMTG的首个项目。</p>\n<p><b>Facebook(FB)：3季度游说支出$510万，同比增长3.9%，环比增长6.7%。</b>亚马逊(AMZN)游说支出为$470万，略低于上季度；谷歌(GOOGL)为$260万，环比增长24.9%，微软(MSFT)为$260万，环比增长6.5%。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>老虎观察: 美元债违约之前地产公司的小伎俩</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n老虎观察: 美元债违约之前地产公司的小伎俩\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-21 20:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>盘前观察</b></p>\n<p>美股盘前下跌。（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1138269989\" target=\"_blank\">盘前：巴菲特旗下公司登陆市场！业绩“发威”瑞幸躁动</a>）</p>\n<p>&nbsp;<b>美元债违约之前地产公司的小伎俩</b></p>\n<p>自从我们统计地产公司的美元债以后，到期的公司无一幸免。恒大是属于性质最恶劣的，不仅转移了抵押债后面的资产（详见之前的分析），而且还没有到债务偿还本金的时候，利息就付不出来了。其它的地产公司好一点点，是遇到偿还本金的时候才宣布违约。今天官方宣布违约的是当代置业，直接“取消申请延期偿还$2.5亿债券的计划”。不仅不给自己还债的机会，也不给债权人任何期待。</p>\n<p>我先把统计列出来，<b>四个字总结：挨个躺平。</b>所以很自然就把眼光投向了美元债即将到期的另外两家公司，弘阳地产（1996.HK）和金辉控股（9993.HK）。根据彭博信息，弘扬地产即将到期的美元债金额是$1亿，金辉控股即将到期的美元债金额是$2.5亿。这两笔债目前交易价格都在99+，也就是说债市认为这两笔债不会违约。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86a469f57ee01246f1a807902acbf294\" tg-width=\"932\" tg-height=\"140\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">先说金辉控股。金辉控股上市的时间很短，2020年10月29日才上市，不到一年，目前累计美元债超过$10亿。10月31日到期的$2.5亿，应该是金辉控股上市之后的第一笔到期美元债（这笔债的发行日前在上市前，2019年）。</p>\n<p>&nbsp;根据公司的公告，目前这笔$2.5亿美元债已经部分还清，没还清的部分也已经资金到位。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e54c22280f0a3710a60cce30180aec3\" tg-width=\"609\" tg-height=\"138\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">可以看出来，公司对上市之后的第一笔到期美元债非常重视。10月份地产公司进入美元债违约季后，害怕自己被连带，就一直积极进行还款工作。如果公司昨天的公告准确（资金到位），那么这个雷就可以暂时排出，债市目前给与的99+价格合理。不过从还款的频率上，以及公司积极对外示好自己的资金实力，能看得出来公司的资金并非宽裕。</p>\n<p>但是债市对弘阳地产即将到期债务依旧给与99+价格，我就有点看不懂了。</p>\n<p>这家公司的债务还有9天到期，和金辉控股一样，进入10月后，弘阳地产对这笔债务也在进行积极提前回购，下表是统计。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fa0d5c9a330360c014e3ef880ccdadd\" tg-width=\"509\" tg-height=\"171\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">公告（提前回购票据）很频繁，只是每次回购的金额都少得可怜。特别是最近的一次，提前回购$200万也值得发个公告？30号就要到期的债务，18号提前回购2%，能省下多少利息？意义是什么？显示公司资金实力雄厚？</p>\n<p>如果我们看弘阳地产过往的公告（上市时间2018年），只有2019年宣布过一次提前回购，当时回购金额是$1亿，偿还比例接近30%，完全反衬现在挤牙膏一般的回购。</p>\n<p>“自愿回购”这个游戏，其实在花样年身上是体现得最淋漓尽致的。在债务违约之前，公司频繁宣布“自愿回购”。下表是花样年的“自愿回购”历史，从今年才开始。越到暴雷前，“自愿回购”越频繁。越彰显财力，其实内心就越虚。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/413ed6eaf7a69fff3bee55508865008a\" tg-width=\"580\" tg-height=\"297\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">我并非认为弘阳地产就一定不能偿还10月30日到期的债务，但是种种迹象表明，违约的可能性远远和债市给与的99+价格明显不匹配。向下做空的风险收益，远远高于向上做多的风险收益。</p>\n<p><b>大市(美东时间9:00 AM)</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b520d227a4029be368400629541a36f6\" tg-width=\"789\" tg-height=\"432\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>公司新闻</b></p>\n<p><b>WeWork(WE)：今日通过SPAC在纽交所上市，估值$90亿。</b></p>\n<p><b>Vita Coco(COCO)：今日在纳斯达克上市，IPO发行价$15，低于定价区间。</b></p>\n<p><b>黑石(BX)：3季度营收好于预期，资管规模达$7,307亿，盘前涨3%。</b>第3季度营收$62.24亿，同比增长105%；净利润$14亿，同比增长76%。</p>\n<p><b>美国航空(AAL)：3季度营收好于预期，预计4季度运力较2019年同期下降约11%-13%，盘前持平。</b>第3季度营收$89.69亿，去年同期$31.73亿；净利润$1.69亿，去年同期净亏损$23.99亿。</p>\n<p><b>西南航空(LUV)：3季度营收好于预期，净利润较2019年同期下降32.3%，盘前持平。</b>第3季度营收$47亿，同比增长161%；净利润$4.46亿，去年同期净亏损$1.96亿。</p>\n<p><b>金沙集团(LVS)：3季度营收增长46%，盘前跌2%。</b>第3季度营收$12.3亿，去年同期$5.86亿；每股亏损$0.46，去年同期$0.65。</p>\n<p><b>联合利华(UL)：3季度营收好于预期，警告明年通货膨胀将更高，盘前涨1%。</b>第3季度营收$156.7亿，去年同期$152.9。</p>\n<p><b>Quest Diagnostics(DGX)：3季度营收好于预期，业绩受新冠检测提振并上调全年展望，盘前涨2%。</b>第3季度营收$27.7亿，去年同期$27.9亿；每股收益$3.96，去年同期$4.31。</p>\n<p><b>辉瑞(PFE)&amp; BioNTech(BNTX)：新冠疫苗加强针在试验中有效性恢复至95.6%。</b></p>\n<p><b>Moderna(MRNA)&amp;强生(JNJ)：美国FDA批准Moderna和强生新冠疫苗加强针。</b>FDA表示3种已获得授权的疫苗可以混合搭配使用，CDC将就FDA的相关授权进行讨论。</p>\n<p><b>Digital World(DWAC)：前总统特朗普的社交媒体公司将与该公司通过SPAC合并上市。</b>特朗普将推出社交媒体平台TRUTH Social，为特朗普媒体技术集团TMTG的首个项目。</p>\n<p><b>Facebook(FB)：3季度游说支出$510万，同比增长3.9%，环比增长6.7%。</b>亚马逊(AMZN)游说支出为$470万，略低于上季度；谷歌(GOOGL)为$260万，环比增长24.9%，微软(MSFT)为$260万，环比增长6.5%。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e51dca4aea5a4f4975d48e2264c0446","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147744957","content_text":"盘前观察\n美股盘前下跌。（盘前：巴菲特旗下公司登陆市场！业绩“发威”瑞幸躁动）\n 美元债违约之前地产公司的小伎俩\n自从我们统计地产公司的美元债以后，到期的公司无一幸免。恒大是属于性质最恶劣的，不仅转移了抵押债后面的资产（详见之前的分析），而且还没有到债务偿还本金的时候，利息就付不出来了。其它的地产公司好一点点，是遇到偿还本金的时候才宣布违约。今天官方宣布违约的是当代置业，直接“取消申请延期偿还$2.5亿债券的计划”。不仅不给自己还债的机会，也不给债权人任何期待。\n我先把统计列出来，四个字总结：挨个躺平。所以很自然就把眼光投向了美元债即将到期的另外两家公司，弘阳地产（1996.HK）和金辉控股（9993.HK）。根据彭博信息，弘扬地产即将到期的美元债金额是$1亿，金辉控股即将到期的美元债金额是$2.5亿。这两笔债目前交易价格都在99+，也就是说债市认为这两笔债不会违约。\n先说金辉控股。金辉控股上市的时间很短，2020年10月29日才上市，不到一年，目前累计美元债超过$10亿。10月31日到期的$2.5亿，应该是金辉控股上市之后的第一笔到期美元债（这笔债的发行日前在上市前，2019年）。\n 根据公司的公告，目前这笔$2.5亿美元债已经部分还清，没还清的部分也已经资金到位。\n可以看出来，公司对上市之后的第一笔到期美元债非常重视。10月份地产公司进入美元债违约季后，害怕自己被连带，就一直积极进行还款工作。如果公司昨天的公告准确（资金到位），那么这个雷就可以暂时排出，债市目前给与的99+价格合理。不过从还款的频率上，以及公司积极对外示好自己的资金实力，能看得出来公司的资金并非宽裕。\n但是债市对弘阳地产即将到期债务依旧给与99+价格，我就有点看不懂了。\n这家公司的债务还有9天到期，和金辉控股一样，进入10月后，弘阳地产对这笔债务也在进行积极提前回购，下表是统计。公告（提前回购票据）很频繁，只是每次回购的金额都少得可怜。特别是最近的一次，提前回购$200万也值得发个公告？30号就要到期的债务，18号提前回购2%，能省下多少利息？意义是什么？显示公司资金实力雄厚？\n如果我们看弘阳地产过往的公告（上市时间2018年），只有2019年宣布过一次提前回购，当时回购金额是$1亿，偿还比例接近30%，完全反衬现在挤牙膏一般的回购。\n“自愿回购”这个游戏，其实在花样年身上是体现得最淋漓尽致的。在债务违约之前，公司频繁宣布“自愿回购”。下表是花样年的“自愿回购”历史，从今年才开始。越到暴雷前，“自愿回购”越频繁。越彰显财力，其实内心就越虚。我并非认为弘阳地产就一定不能偿还10月30日到期的债务，但是种种迹象表明，违约的可能性远远和债市给与的99+价格明显不匹配。向下做空的风险收益，远远高于向上做多的风险收益。\n大市(美东时间9:00 AM)\n公司新闻\nWeWork(WE)：今日通过SPAC在纽交所上市，估值$90亿。\nVita Coco(COCO)：今日在纳斯达克上市，IPO发行价$15，低于定价区间。\n黑石(BX)：3季度营收好于预期，资管规模达$7,307亿，盘前涨3%。第3季度营收$62.24亿，同比增长105%；净利润$14亿，同比增长76%。\n美国航空(AAL)：3季度营收好于预期，预计4季度运力较2019年同期下降约11%-13%，盘前持平。第3季度营收$89.69亿，去年同期$31.73亿；净利润$1.69亿，去年同期净亏损$23.99亿。\n西南航空(LUV)：3季度营收好于预期，净利润较2019年同期下降32.3%，盘前持平。第3季度营收$47亿，同比增长161%；净利润$4.46亿，去年同期净亏损$1.96亿。\n金沙集团(LVS)：3季度营收增长46%，盘前跌2%。第3季度营收$12.3亿，去年同期$5.86亿；每股亏损$0.46，去年同期$0.65。\n联合利华(UL)：3季度营收好于预期，警告明年通货膨胀将更高，盘前涨1%。第3季度营收$156.7亿，去年同期$152.9。\nQuest Diagnostics(DGX)：3季度营收好于预期，业绩受新冠检测提振并上调全年展望，盘前涨2%。第3季度营收$27.7亿，去年同期$27.9亿；每股收益$3.96，去年同期$4.31。\n辉瑞(PFE)& BioNTech(BNTX)：新冠疫苗加强针在试验中有效性恢复至95.6%。\nModerna(MRNA)&强生(JNJ)：美国FDA批准Moderna和强生新冠疫苗加强针。FDA表示3种已获得授权的疫苗可以混合搭配使用，CDC将就FDA的相关授权进行讨论。\nDigital World(DWAC)：前总统特朗普的社交媒体公司将与该公司通过SPAC合并上市。特朗普将推出社交媒体平台TRUTH 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20:49","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"虚拟货币“挖矿”活动被列入淘汰类落后生产工艺装备","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168827544","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"10月8日，国家发展改革委就《市场准入负面清单（2021年版）》向社会公开征求意见。《清单（2021年版）》列有禁止准入事项6项，许可准入事项111项，共计117项，相比《市场准入负面清单（2020年版）》减少6项。其中，修订《产业结构调整指导目录》有关措施，将虚拟货币“挖矿”活动列入淘汰类“一、落后生产工艺装备”。","content":"<p>10月8日，国家发展改革委就《市场准入负面清单（2021年版）》向社会公开征求意见。《清单（2021年版）》列有禁止准入事项6项，许可准入事项111项，共计117项，相比《市场准入负面清单（2020年版）》减少6项。其中，修订《产业结构调整指导目录》有关措施，将虚拟货币“挖矿”活动列入淘汰类“一、落后生产工艺装备”。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49d3abfd6734749fed45aa34ad40cd79\" tg-width=\"1466\" tg-height=\"353\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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20:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>10月8日，国家发展改革委就《市场准入负面清单（2021年版）》向社会公开征求意见。《清单（2021年版）》列有禁止准入事项6项，许可准入事项111项，共计117项，相比《市场准入负面清单（2020年版）》减少6项。其中，修订《产业结构调整指导目录》有关措施，将虚拟货币“挖矿”活动列入淘汰类“一、落后生产工艺装备”。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49d3abfd6734749fed45aa34ad40cd79\" tg-width=\"1466\" tg-height=\"353\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5269b01b5a203aebaa9521691bcd9de6","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168827544","content_text":"10月8日，国家发展改革委就《市场准入负面清单（2021年版）》向社会公开征求意见。《清单（2021年版）》列有禁止准入事项6项，许可准入事项111项，共计117项，相比《市场准入负面清单（2020年版）》减少6项。其中，修订《产业结构调整指导目录》有关措施，将虚拟货币“挖矿”活动列入淘汰类“一、落后生产工艺装备”。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862360970,"gmtCreate":1632838021113,"gmtModify":1632838021113,"author":{"id":"3540536466537550","authorId":"3540536466537550","name":"很是看好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be93ff0ff68d4e4b78aeb87e8fc59427","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540536466537550","idStr":"3540536466537550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RAAS\">$容联云(RAAS)$</a>如何举报它？","text":"$容联云(RAAS)$如何举报它？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618445808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":334611835,"gmtCreate":1610747845827,"gmtModify":1703746796946,"author":{"id":"3540536466537550","authorId":"3540536466537550","name":"很是看好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be93ff0ff68d4e4b78aeb87e8fc59427","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3540536466537550","authorIdStr":"3540536466537550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>所以说韭菜永远是韭菜。1000亿刀了。还天天想着涨哪里去！！！！！！我真服这些**韭菜的脑回路。活该被割！！！！！！那两天说了会跌。撑不住1000亿刀市值。还全身怼我的。","listText":"<a 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