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好好好123
2021-01-22
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好好好123
2021-08-09
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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n与大摩唱反调！高盛：美国失业率将降至50年低点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-09 21:40 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/530306.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>高盛预计，美国劳动力市场的增长势头将持续到2022年。\n周一，由Jan Hatzius领导的高盛经济学家团队将美国2021年年底的失业率预测小幅下调至4.1%。该团队预计，2022年的失业率为3.5%。 如果这一目标能够实现，随着经济从疫情中复苏，美国失业率将降至50年来的最低水平。\nHatzius表示:“我们预计，今年剩下的时间里，就业人数将进一步稳步增长。 一个原因是劳动力需求仍然非常强劲。 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/530306.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b3684302211042d481cacf9066fbcca","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/530306.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2158444884","content_text":"高盛预计，美国劳动力市场的增长势头将持续到2022年。\n周一，由Jan Hatzius领导的高盛经济学家团队将美国2021年年底的失业率预测小幅下调至4.1%。该团队预计，2022年的失业率为3.5%。 如果这一目标能够实现，随着经济从疫情中复苏，美国失业率将降至50年来的最低水平。\nHatzius表示:“我们预计，今年剩下的时间里，就业人数将进一步稳步增长。 一个原因是劳动力需求仍然非常强劲。 我们还看到，随着经济进一步重新开放、联邦失业救济金到期以及学校复课，就业人数将有更大的增长空间。”\n\n在高盛做出这一大胆的预测之前，美国公布相当强劲的7月份就业数据。\n劳工部公布的数据显示，7月新增非农就业人数94.3万人，这是自2020年8月以来的最大增幅。 5月份新增非农就业人数也向上修正至61.4万人，而此前报告为58.3万人。 6月份新增非农就业人数从85万人向上修正至93.8万人。 7月份失业率从6月份的5.9%小幅下降至5.4%。\n\n股市应声上涨，尽管强劲的经济数据和就业数据可能意味着美联储将更早开始缩减购债规模。\n与高盛的乐观预期相反，摩根大通预计，7月强劲的就业数据可能只是昙花一现。预计8月的非农数据将大幅下跌，届时或仅新增5.3万个就业岗位。摩根大通认为，市场过于乐观了。\n“尽管席卷美股市场的疯狂增长已达到顶峰，但周期性势头依然强劲。 我们对收益预期增长和资本支出趋势的远期指标仍显示出高于趋势水平的增长。 7月非农就业人数连续第二个月改善，此前抑制就业增长的供应障碍似乎正在缓解，”MKM Partners首席经济学家和策略师Michael Darda表示。\n尽管如此，经济仍在努力恢复自疫情开始以来失去的数百万个工作岗位。 自去年3月以来，美国经济净减少了570万个就业岗位，其中大部分存在于休闲和酒店业。自疫情首次导致美国各地封锁以来，这些行业的雇主总共裁掉了近200万个工作岗位。\nBleakley Advisory Group首席投资官Peter 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