元加涨的个人主页 - 老虎社区

元加涨

元加涨

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IP属地：浙江

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2主题

0勋章

11-18

$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$ 服了这么套人绝不割肉

10-18

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 有本事今天接着跌

10-18

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 有本事接着跌到十几块反正我不卖

10-16

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 不知道为什么又开始做空了难道美股一直涨？我们国家股市就一直跌吗

10-09

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 都是些什么人在卖

09-30

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 太假了抹杀了今天 200 多点的增长太**

08-02

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 玩你妹一直死在 20 左右都多少年了

08-01

还的起利息吗

经济学家：今夜，等待美联储9月降息信号

01-26

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 今天涨了八十多个点，它居然绿了，太**了吧

2023-09-26

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 还能再低点吗？

2023-06-20

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 真是毫无底线

2023-05-30

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 这种下跌纯属扯淡，不要怕

2023-01-10

$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ 什么鬼，就在九块到十块玩了吗

2022-07-14

$一起教育科技(YQ)$认命吧，做股东，等你退市

2022-07-06

$一起教育科技(YQ)$这公司有负责股票的吗

2022-07-06

$一起教育科技(YQ)$我真服了这股票，太坑了

2022-06-25

$一起教育科技(YQ)$买你套了我两年，解套还是遥遥无期

2022-06-14

$一起教育科技(YQ)$我真的想骂人了，浪费我快两年时间了，连10块钱都到不了，也就是相当于合股前的2.5元

2022-05-23

$一起教育科技(YQ)$不是24号一季报吗？怎么一点动静都没有

2022-05-10

$一起教育科技(YQ)$废了，坐等退市，认亏

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绝不割肉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372336531550536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4193540705211792","authorId":"4193540705211792","name":"Fragrance","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57a7bb6c029bbbaca819d6738bdd917d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4193540705211792","authorIdStr":"4193540705211792"},"content":"从19年的36氪到24年末的DJT，你就没服过[捂脸]","text":"从19年的36氪到24年末的DJT，你就没服过[捂脸]","html":"从19年的36氪到24年末的DJT，你就没服过[捂脸]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361371521810736,"gmtCreate":1729244233151,"gmtModify":1729244234942,"author":{"id":"3534852337132943","authorId":"3534852337132943","name":"元加涨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e07c6911d30b641d53851ff22e8a8740","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534852337132943","authorIdStr":"3534852337132943"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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左右都多少年了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/333852655202472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":333502187909360,"gmtCreate":1722448991820,"gmtModify":1722448993564,"author":{"id":"3534852337132943","authorId":"3534852337132943","name":"元加涨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e07c6911d30b641d53851ff22e8a8740","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534852337132943","authorIdStr":"3534852337132943"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"还的起利息吗","listText":"还的起利息吗","text":"还的起利息吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/333502187909360","repostId":"2455940078","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2455940078","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1722398456,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2455940078?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-07-31 12:00","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"经济学家：今夜，等待美联储9月降息信号","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2455940078","media":"智通财经","summary":"对经济学家的调查显示，在结束的为期两天的政策会议后，美联储预计将维持基准利率在5.25%至5.5%的范围内，这是一年前达到的峰值。彭博美国首席经济学家Anna Wong称：“市场已经完全消化了美联储9月份的降息，但7月30日至31日FOMC会议的一个大问题是:FOMC会发出多么明确的信号?我们认为，7月会议的沟通只会提供9月降息的初步暗示，美联储主席鲍威尔指出，如果数据像我们预期的那样发展，就有可能降息。”","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>智通财经获悉，美联储将于北京时间周四凌晨2:00公布利率决议，美联储主席鲍威尔将在30分钟后举行记者招待会。美联储官员今夜可能暗示在9月降息，可能离将利率从20年来的高点下调更近了一步，不过他们可能不会提供更多细节。对经济学家的调查显示，在结束的为期两天的政策会议后，美联储预计将维持基准利率在5.25%至5.5%的范围内，这是一年前达到的峰值。</p><p>政策制定者可能会承认，在6月份消费者价格数据温和之后，通胀已经朝着2%的目标取得了进展，这是降息的先决条件。由于失业率也在上升，官员们可能会暗示，政策应该尽快放松。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0J6Y.UK\">法国兴业银行</a>美国利率策略主管Subadra Rajappa表示:“我认为，他们将改变声明中的措辞，建议在9月会议上降息。”她列举了纽约联储主席<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>(John Williams)最近的言论：“威廉姆斯表示，他们正在寻求摆脱限制性区域——因此他们也可以使用这种语言。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df420ad606a70b8af5b7c8f81c08d224\" tg-width=\"706\" tg-height=\"369\"/></p><p><strong>利率决定</strong></p><p>机构调查的所有经济学家都预计此次会议不会改变利率。政策制定者可能会在声明中强调通胀前景改善。联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)可能会说有“进一步的进展”，而不是像6月份那样说有“适度”的进展。FOMC预计还将暗示，它已经获得了一些额外的信心，认为通胀率正在向2%的目标移动，这是它预计很快会降息的信号。</p><p>彭博美国首席经济学家Anna Wong称：“市场已经完全消化了美联储9月份的降息，但7月30日至31日FOMC会议的一个大问题是:FOMC会发出多么明确的信号?我们认为，7月会议的沟通只会提供9月降息的初步暗示，美联储主席鲍威尔指出，如果数据像我们预期的那样发展，就有可能降息。”</p><p>虽然投资者认为本周降息的可能性低于5%，但官员们至少可能会在会议上讨论这种可能性。包括美联储前副主席布林德(Alan Blinder)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>首席经济学家哈祖斯(Jan Hatzius)和纽约联储前主席杜德利(William Dudley)在内的许多知名人士最近都主张7月加息。</p><p>一些经济学家说，他们将关注芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比(Austan Goolsbee)是否会成为两年多来第一位对官方决定投反对票的决策者。古尔斯比是鸽派的主要人物，古尔斯比将于本周担任票委，接替6月份退职的克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特。</p><p><strong>新闻发布会</strong></p><p>鲍威尔可能会被记者追问9月下次会议的前景，以及今年剩余时间和明年的宽松步伐。虽然他可能会对近期有关通胀的好消息表示欢迎，但他也可能会回归美联储的标准措辞，即其政策路径将&#34;取决于数据&#34;，美联储正在&#34;一次又一次地&#34;制定行动计划。</p><p>鲍威尔还将被问及他对劳动力市场降温的担忧程度，以及需要做出回应的“意外疲软”的构成条件。美国目前的失业率为4.1%，高于2023年初3.4%的低点;7月份的数据将于周五公布。</p><p>目前，投资者预计9月份的降息幅度将略高于25个基点，这表明他们认为降息幅度有可能超过通常的25个基点。根据期货，他们还认为11月和12月也有可能降息。LH Meyer/Monetary Policy Analytics分析师Derek Tang表示：&#34;鲍威尔可能会被问及怎样才能达到&#39;意外走弱&#39;的标准，从而让他们重新评估每季度降息25个基点是否足够。&#34;</p><p>虽然鲍威尔可能会再次被问及11月的总统大选，但他几乎肯定会重申他的标准立场，即美联储的利率决定不会受政治因素左右。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n经济学家：今夜，等待美联储9月降息信号\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-07-31 12:00 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1157821.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经获悉，美联储将于北京时间周四凌晨2:00公布利率决议，美联储主席鲍威尔将在30分钟后举行记者招待会。美联储官员今夜可能暗示在9月降息，可能离将利率从20年来的高点下调更近了一步，不过他们可能不会提供更多细节。对经济学家的调查显示，在结束的为期两天的政策会议后，美联储预计将维持基准利率在5.25%至5.5%的范围内，这是一年前达到的峰值。政策制定者可能会承认，在6月份消费者价格数据温和之后，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1157821.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e20574f8fb568333181d61bb200086","relate_stocks":{"OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4588":"碎股","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1157821.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2455940078","content_text":"智通财经获悉，美联储将于北京时间周四凌晨2:00公布利率决议，美联储主席鲍威尔将在30分钟后举行记者招待会。美联储官员今夜可能暗示在9月降息，可能离将利率从20年来的高点下调更近了一步，不过他们可能不会提供更多细节。对经济学家的调查显示，在结束的为期两天的政策会议后，美联储预计将维持基准利率在5.25%至5.5%的范围内，这是一年前达到的峰值。政策制定者可能会承认，在6月份消费者价格数据温和之后，通胀已经朝着2%的目标取得了进展，这是降息的先决条件。由于失业率也在上升，官员们可能会暗示，政策应该尽快放松。法国兴业银行美国利率策略主管Subadra Rajappa表示:“我认为，他们将改变声明中的措辞，建议在9月会议上降息。”她列举了纽约联储主席威廉姆斯(John Williams)最近的言论：“威廉姆斯表示，他们正在寻求摆脱限制性区域——因此他们也可以使用这种语言。”利率决定机构调查的所有经济学家都预计此次会议不会改变利率。政策制定者可能会在声明中强调通胀前景改善。联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)可能会说有“进一步的进展”，而不是像6月份那样说有“适度”的进展。FOMC预计还将暗示，它已经获得了一些额外的信心，认为通胀率正在向2%的目标移动，这是它预计很快会降息的信号。彭博美国首席经济学家Anna Wong称：“市场已经完全消化了美联储9月份的降息，但7月30日至31日FOMC会议的一个大问题是:FOMC会发出多么明确的信号?我们认为，7月会议的沟通只会提供9月降息的初步暗示，美联储主席鲍威尔指出，如果数据像我们预期的那样发展，就有可能降息。”虽然投资者认为本周降息的可能性低于5%，但官员们至少可能会在会议上讨论这种可能性。包括美联储前副主席布林德(Alan Blinder)、高盛首席经济学家哈祖斯(Jan Hatzius)和纽约联储前主席杜德利(William Dudley)在内的许多知名人士最近都主张7月加息。一些经济学家说，他们将关注芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比(Austan Goolsbee)是否会成为两年多来第一位对官方决定投反对票的决策者。古尔斯比是鸽派的主要人物，古尔斯比将于本周担任票委，接替6月份退职的克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特。新闻发布会鲍威尔可能会被记者追问9月下次会议的前景，以及今年剩余时间和明年的宽松步伐。虽然他可能会对近期有关通胀的好消息表示欢迎，但他也可能会回归美联储的标准措辞，即其政策路径将\"取决于数据\"，美联储正在\"一次又一次地\"制定行动计划。鲍威尔还将被问及他对劳动力市场降温的担忧程度，以及需要做出回应的“意外疲软”的构成条件。美国目前的失业率为4.1%，高于2023年初3.4%的低点;7月份的数据将于周五公布。目前，投资者预计9月份的降息幅度将略高于25个基点，这表明他们认为降息幅度有可能超过通常的25个基点。根据期货，他们还认为11月和12月也有可能降息。LH Meyer/Monetary Policy Analytics分析师Derek Tang表示：\"鲍威尔可能会被问及怎样才能达到'意外走弱'的标准，从而让他们重新评估每季度降息25个基点是否足够。\"虽然鲍威尔可能会再次被问及11月的总统大选，但他几乎肯定会重申他的标准立场，即美联储的利率决定不会受政治因素左右。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":267014525821040,"gmtCreate":1706198573595,"gmtModify":1706198574749,"author":{"id":"3534852337132943","authorId":"3534852337132943","name":"元加涨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e07c6911d30b641d53851ff22e8a8740","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534852337132943","authorIdStr":"3534852337132943"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YINN\">$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$</a> 今天涨了八十多个点，它居然绿了，太**了吧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YINN\">$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$</a> 今天涨了八十多个点，它居然绿了，太**了吧","text":"$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 今天涨了八十多个点，它居然绿了，太**了吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267014525821040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":922,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4160815394880982","authorId":"4160815394880982","name":"大老虎头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a61516182a8c5e896f53aec43330afa3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4160815394880982","authorIdStr":"4160815394880982"},"content":"大盘今天涨它晚上会➕昨天的一起涨回来知道了吧。","text":"大盘今天涨它晚上会➕昨天的一起涨回来知道了吧。","html":"大盘今天涨它晚上会➕昨天的一起涨回来知道了吧。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":224048235098248,"gmtCreate":1695736433560,"gmtModify":1695736435545,"author":{"id":"3534852337132943","authorId":"3534852337132943","name":"元加涨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e07c6911d30b641d53851ff22e8a8740","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534852337132943","authorIdStr":"3534852337132943"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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