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merlion凡学

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0勋章

2021-09-30

Excellent advice. Thanks

3 Vanguard ETFs I'm Buying if the Stock Market Crashes

2021-01-02

好想买

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-12-16

会大地震吗？

中芯国际在港暂停交易

2020-09-27

学习学习

@黄金牛万:2020年9月第四周美股小结：本周亏损7%，ROKU把我拉爆了

2020-09-24

好

一文看懂：特斯拉“电池日”带来了什么？

2020-09-16

大家好。新手一个，多多指教

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Thanks","listText":"Excellent advice. Thanks","text":"Excellent advice. Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865664821","repostId":"2171986054","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2171986054","pubTimestamp":1632973200,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2171986054?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-30 11:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Vanguard ETFs I'm Buying if the Stock Market Crashes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2171986054","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Nobody knows whether the market will crash. But if it does, I'm stocking up on these investments.","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Nobody knows whether the market will crash. But if it does, I'm stocking up on these investments.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF can be a great option for withstanding market volatility.</li>\n <li>The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF can help reduce your risk.</li>\n <li>The Vanguard Growth ETF can supercharge your investments.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Over the past year and a half, the stock market has experienced <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the greatest growth streaks in history. The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> is up nearly 100% since March 2020, and investors have seen their portfolios skyrocket during that time.</p>\n<p>Some experts believe, however, that it's only a matter of time before prices fall. Market downturns may be intimidating, but they're normal. In fact, it's healthy for the market to experience corrections every so often, because stock prices can't continue climbing forever.</p>\n<p>Nobody knows for sure whether a crash is on the horizon, or, if it does happen, how significant it will be. However, if the market does take a turn for the worse, there are a few exchange-traded funds (ETFs) I'll be buying.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c5cb96961b54db9d77a960894b88df7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h3>1. Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (VOO)</h3>\n<p>It may seem counterintuitive to buy when the market is down, but crashes can be a fantastic opportunity to invest when prices are lower. ETFs trade like stocks, so when the market is down, their share prices are typically lower as well.</p>\n<p>One ETF I'm planning to invest in heavily if the market crashes is the <b>Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF</b> (NYSEMKT:VOO). Like its name suggests, this fund tracks the S&amp;P 500 and includes all the stocks within the index itself.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 ETF is one of the most dependable investments out there. Historically, the index itself has faced countless crashes and corrections, and it has recovered from each and every one. If the market crashes again, there's a very good chance this ETF will be able to bounce back. And by buying when prices are lower, you'll reap the rewards once the market recovers and prices increase once again.</p>\n<h3>2. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)</h3>\n<p>The <b>Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF</b> (NYSEMKT:VTI) is similar to the S&amp;P 500 ETF, but it includes more stocks from more diverse companies.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 ETF includes stocks from 500 large companies, while the Total Stock Market ETF includes nearly 4,000 stocks from small, midsize, and large corporations. This provides greater diversification and can decrease your risk.</p>\n<p>Another advantage of this fund is that it's designed to follow the market as a whole. Again, the stock market has a strong track record when it comes to recovering from downturns, so by investing in this ETF, it's likely your investments will recover as well.</p>\n<h3>3. Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG)</h3>\n<p>The <b>Vanguard Growth ETF</b> (NYSEMKT:VUG) includes 285 stocks from companies that are expected to grow at a faster-than-average pace.</p>\n<p>This fund includes the fewest holdings of the three ETFs on the list, which does make it slightly riskier. However, many of the biggest stocks in the fund are from behemoth tech corporations like <b>Amazon</b>, <b>Apple</b>, and <b>Microsoft</b> -- companies that are very likely to survive market volatility.</p>\n<p>One of the primary advantages of growth ETFs is that they're designed to earn above-average returns. 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While nobody knows for certain whether a market crash is coming, by making a list now of the investments you want to buy, you can snag them at a discount later.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Vanguard ETFs I'm Buying if the Stock Market Crashes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Vanguard ETFs I'm Buying if the Stock Market Crashes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-30 11:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/29/3-vanguard-etfs-buy-if-the-stock-market-crashes/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nobody knows whether the market will crash. But if it does, I'm stocking up on these investments.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe Vanguard S&P 500 ETF can be a great option for withstanding market volatility.\nThe ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/29/3-vanguard-etfs-buy-if-the-stock-market-crashes/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","VUG":"成长股指数ETF-Vanguard MSCI","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","VTI":"大盘指数ETF-Vanguard MSCI","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/29/3-vanguard-etfs-buy-if-the-stock-market-crashes/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2171986054","content_text":"Nobody knows whether the market will crash. But if it does, I'm stocking up on these investments.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe Vanguard S&P 500 ETF can be a great option for withstanding market volatility.\nThe Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF can help reduce your risk.\nThe Vanguard Growth ETF can supercharge your investments.\n\nOver the past year and a half, the stock market has experienced one of the greatest growth streaks in history. The S&P 500 is up nearly 100% since March 2020, and investors have seen their portfolios skyrocket during that time.\nSome experts believe, however, that it's only a matter of time before prices fall. Market downturns may be intimidating, but they're normal. In fact, it's healthy for the market to experience corrections every so often, because stock prices can't continue climbing forever.\nNobody knows for sure whether a crash is on the horizon, or, if it does happen, how significant it will be. However, if the market does take a turn for the worse, there are a few exchange-traded funds (ETFs) I'll be buying.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\n1. Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO)\nIt may seem counterintuitive to buy when the market is down, but crashes can be a fantastic opportunity to invest when prices are lower. ETFs trade like stocks, so when the market is down, their share prices are typically lower as well.\nOne ETF I'm planning to invest in heavily if the market crashes is the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT:VOO). Like its name suggests, this fund tracks the S&P 500 and includes all the stocks within the index itself.\nThe S&P 500 ETF is one of the most dependable investments out there. Historically, the index itself has faced countless crashes and corrections, and it has recovered from each and every one. If the market crashes again, there's a very good chance this ETF will be able to bounce back. And by buying when prices are lower, you'll reap the rewards once the market recovers and prices increase once again.\n2. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)\nThe Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (NYSEMKT:VTI) is similar to the S&P 500 ETF, but it includes more stocks from more diverse companies.\nThe S&P 500 ETF includes stocks from 500 large companies, while the Total Stock Market ETF includes nearly 4,000 stocks from small, midsize, and large corporations. This provides greater diversification and can decrease your risk.\nAnother advantage of this fund is that it's designed to follow the market as a whole. Again, the stock market has a strong track record when it comes to recovering from downturns, so by investing in this ETF, it's likely your investments will recover as well.\n3. Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG)\nThe Vanguard Growth ETF (NYSEMKT:VUG) includes 285 stocks from companies that are expected to grow at a faster-than-average pace.\nThis fund includes the fewest holdings of the three ETFs on the list, which does make it slightly riskier. However, many of the biggest stocks in the fund are from behemoth tech corporations like Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft -- companies that are very likely to survive market volatility.\nOne of the primary advantages of growth ETFs is that they're designed to earn above-average returns. This particular ETF has earned an average rate of return of around 12% per year since its inception, for example. By comparison, the S&P 500 has historically earned a 10% average annual return, and the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF has earned an average return of around 9% per year.\nInvesting in ETFs can be a fantastic way to build wealth with less effort, and buying during a market downturn can make investing more affordable. While nobody knows for certain whether a market crash is coming, by making a list now of the investments you want to buy, you can snag them at a discount later.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":331699974,"gmtCreate":1609563821198,"gmtModify":1703739757352,"author":{"id":"3521840190155883","authorId":"3521840190155883","name":"merlion凡学","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67b882e5f51389ffaca6924ca35c3f19","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好想买","listText":"好想买","text":"好想买","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/331699974","repostId":"1105159332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":394480970,"gmtCreate":1608087815290,"gmtModify":1703851054672,"author":{"id":"3521840190155883","authorId":"3521840190155883","name":"merlion凡学","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67b882e5f51389ffaca6924ca35c3f19","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"会大地震吗？","listText":"会大地震吗？","text":"会大地震吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/394480970","repostId":"2091801779","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2091801779","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1608080731,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2091801779?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-12-16 09:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"中芯国际在港暂停交易","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2091801779","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"12月16日讯，中芯国际在港暂停交易。","content":"<p>12月16日讯，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>在港暂停交易。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中芯国际在港暂停交易</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中芯国际在港暂停交易\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-12-16 09:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>12月16日讯，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>在港暂停交易。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/935b895b6464b1e17a4e2f27fd1ab86f","relate_stocks":{"688981":"中芯国际","00981":"中芯国际","SMI":"VanEck HIP Sustainable Muni ETF"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2091801779","content_text":"12月16日讯，中芯国际在港暂停交易。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":974591870,"gmtCreate":1601181093490,"gmtModify":1703823653242,"author":{"id":"3521840190155883","authorId":"3521840190155883","name":"merlion凡学","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67b882e5f51389ffaca6924ca35c3f19","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"学习学习","listText":"学习学习","text":"学习学习","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974591870","repostId":"974223638","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":974223638,"gmtCreate":1601106245024,"gmtModify":1703823581684,"author":{"id":"3465849506761816","authorId":"3465849506761816","name":"黄金牛万","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04b2d76a9aec9c986f38357903fc3f87","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2020年9月第四周美股小结：本周亏损7%，ROKU把我拉爆了","htmlText":"大家好我是牛万，本周交易难度其实不大，但是踩到了ROKU的暴涨，我的判断失误导致反向操作，利润回撤了不少。本周收益由最高盈利5%回撤到亏损7%。本周并没进行太多笔交易，其中做ROKU比较多，2盈2亏，但亏损都较大，其中一单最高持股一日被拉爆亏损15%，后都及时止损出局。而两单盈利的基本忽略不计。具体交易实盘如下个股复盘本周虽然利润回撤7%，但是整体交易的个股操作并没有出现太大问题。持仓的人造肉走势符合预期继续上攻，本周再度收益4%目前已获利14%。高盛提前止盈4%出局后期再进。其他个股都在整理中。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">$Roku Inc(ROKU)$</a>&nbsp;，本周重点交易的个股，也是亏损最多的一支，从9月17日和18日两天的走势来看，确实处于弱势回调，并一改往日日线机杯macd反拐则爆拉的态势，特别是18日日线cci20跌破0后，我认为空头已占上风成立（同时当日收盘价低于BOLL线中轨支撑位），其实交易时候我判断也是四六开的概率，因为日线、周线macd趋势都处于上升趋势中，上升趋势做空，要及时出局。所以我在18日尾盘进行了做空的操作，仓位不大。18日尾盘初现端倪盘后交易收涨3%，19日开盘股价直接高开2%于日线20日均线上方，并且高开高走，我的交易逻辑存有缺陷，一般要拿到收盘才能确实是佯攻还是反弹确定。所以20日开盘进行止损亏损不小。但这些交易都符合交易原则，交易本来就是概率的问题。且本周的roku走势确实不太寻常。在暴涨确定了反弹成立后。我又在盘中进行了做多了做空的操作，效果都不理想。周五盘中最终转为做多，且仓位加到4成，从目前走势看周线很完美，日线昨日cci再次高位转头，目前所有指标（除日线macd外）全部发出买入信号，下周有继续爆啦的可能性，可参考蔚来8月25-9月2日的走势","listText":"大家好我是牛万，本周交易难度其实不大，但是踩到了ROKU的暴涨，我的判断失误导致反向操作，利润回撤了不少。本周收益由最高盈利5%回撤到亏损7%。本周并没进行太多笔交易，其中做ROKU比较多，2盈2亏，但亏损都较大，其中一单最高持股一日被拉爆亏损15%，后都及时止损出局。而两单盈利的基本忽略不计。具体交易实盘如下个股复盘本周虽然利润回撤7%，但是整体交易的个股操作并没有出现太大问题。持仓的人造肉走势符合预期继续上攻，本周再度收益4%目前已获利14%。高盛提前止盈4%出局后期再进。其他个股都在整理中。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">$Roku Inc(ROKU)$</a>&nbsp;，本周重点交易的个股，也是亏损最多的一支，从9月17日和18日两天的走势来看，确实处于弱势回调，并一改往日日线机杯macd反拐则爆拉的态势，特别是18日日线cci20跌破0后，我认为空头已占上风成立（同时当日收盘价低于BOLL线中轨支撑位），其实交易时候我判断也是四六开的概率，因为日线、周线macd趋势都处于上升趋势中，上升趋势做空，要及时出局。所以我在18日尾盘进行了做空的操作，仓位不大。18日尾盘初现端倪盘后交易收涨3%，19日开盘股价直接高开2%于日线20日均线上方，并且高开高走，我的交易逻辑存有缺陷，一般要拿到收盘才能确实是佯攻还是反弹确定。所以20日开盘进行止损亏损不小。但这些交易都符合交易原则，交易本来就是概率的问题。且本周的roku走势确实不太寻常。在暴涨确定了反弹成立后。我又在盘中进行了做多了做空的操作，效果都不理想。周五盘中最终转为做多，且仓位加到4成，从目前走势看周线很完美，日线昨日cci再次高位转头，目前所有指标（除日线macd外）全部发出买入信号，下周有继续爆啦的可能性，可参考蔚来8月25-9月2日的走势","text":"大家好我是牛万，本周交易难度其实不大，但是踩到了ROKU的暴涨，我的判断失误导致反向操作，利润回撤了不少。本周收益由最高盈利5%回撤到亏损7%。本周并没进行太多笔交易，其中做ROKU比较多，2盈2亏，但亏损都较大，其中一单最高持股一日被拉爆亏损15%，后都及时止损出局。而两单盈利的基本忽略不计。具体交易实盘如下个股复盘本周虽然利润回撤7%，但是整体交易的个股操作并没有出现太大问题。持仓的人造肉走势符合预期继续上攻，本周再度收益4%目前已获利14%。高盛提前止盈4%出局后期再进。其他个股都在整理中。$Roku Inc(ROKU)$ ，本周重点交易的个股，也是亏损最多的一支，从9月17日和18日两天的走势来看，确实处于弱势回调，并一改往日日线机杯macd反拐则爆拉的态势，特别是18日日线cci20跌破0后，我认为空头已占上风成立（同时当日收盘价低于BOLL线中轨支撑位），其实交易时候我判断也是四六开的概率，因为日线、周线macd趋势都处于上升趋势中，上升趋势做空，要及时出局。所以我在18日尾盘进行了做空的操作，仓位不大。18日尾盘初现端倪盘后交易收涨3%，19日开盘股价直接高开2%于日线20日均线上方，并且高开高走，我的交易逻辑存有缺陷，一般要拿到收盘才能确实是佯攻还是反弹确定。所以20日开盘进行止损亏损不小。但这些交易都符合交易原则，交易本来就是概率的问题。且本周的roku走势确实不太寻常。在暴涨确定了反弹成立后。我又在盘中进行了做多了做空的操作，效果都不理想。周五盘中最终转为做多，且仓位加到4成，从目前走势看周线很完美，日线昨日cci再次高位转头，目前所有指标（除日线macd外）全部发出买入信号，下周有继续爆啦的可能性，可参考蔚来8月25-9月2日的走势","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/117deddc68774d9fd54a740db6811e34","width":"900","height":"383"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a32b1615aa6ee02922969e12032ec66","width":"1080","height":"1621"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b070a1acd3271e11baafc037000bfd4","width":"1622","height":"1080"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974223638","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":27,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":897,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":974980697,"gmtCreate":1600896640019,"gmtModify":1703822899099,"author":{"id":"3521840190155883","authorId":"3521840190155883","name":"merlion凡学","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67b882e5f51389ffaca6924ca35c3f19","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974980697","repostId":"1127944536","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127944536","pubTimestamp":1600828259,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127944536?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-09-23 10:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"一文看懂：特斯拉“电池日”带来了什么？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127944536","media":"腾讯财经","summary":"亮点包括：发布新4680电池，6倍电量，续航里程提高16%；今年交付量或仍将增长30%～40%；三年内全自动驾驶汽车售价或降至2.5万美元；约一个月内发布有全自动驾驶功能的测试版系统。不过，特斯拉股价","content":"<p><b>亮点包括</b>：发布新4680电池，6倍电量，续航里程提高16%；今年交付量或仍将增长30%～40%；三年内全自动驾驶汽车售价或降至2.5万美元；约一个月内发布有全自动驾驶功能的测试版系统。不过，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价盘后重挫7%，有分析认为，股价转跌是因为“电池日”未公布投资者期盼已久的续航里程“百万英里”电池。</p><p>美东时间9月22日周二，特斯拉首次举行电池技术相关的发布会“电池日”，披露研发新电池的详情。</p><p>一、特斯拉电池日亮点回顾</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3f85fd0a681378924e3334659813e2b\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"493\"></p><p>马斯克：期待上海工厂实现100万辆汽车／年的产量目标</p><p>马斯克表示，特斯拉过去一年的回报比较理想，我相信未来也会一片大好。在过去一年中，在工厂扩张方面，我们上海的团队在15个月内建起了工厂。我们特斯拉是中国唯一一个100%外资的汽车公司。我们期待上海工厂能实现100万辆汽车/年的产量目标。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5063aa8dd6f4c7fd754b610a9a775fda\" tg-width=\"641\" tg-height=\"340\"></p><p>图片来自特斯拉<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">微博</a>直播</p><p>马斯克：希望在全球每个大洲都能有特斯拉工厂</p><p>马斯克表示，我们的愿景是在每个大洲都有我们的工厂。这能令公司流动性和交付周期活动保障。我们目前在中国已经有了工厂，在美国已经有了两个工厂，在欧洲也有工厂，未来希望在澳洲也能建立起工厂。</p><p>马斯克：2020年特斯拉交付量仍能增长30%到40%</p><p>马斯克表示特斯拉交付量在2019年增长了50%，在2020年，尽管受到了疫情的影响，但特斯拉交付量仍将增长30%～40%。</p><p>马斯克：将在未来大约一个月发布全自动驾驶系统Autopilot的测试版</p><p>马斯克表示，自动驾驶的行业平均水平是每百万英里就会发生2.1起事故，如果启用特斯拉Autopilot，那么事故概率只有0.3起/百万英里。马斯克表示，他相信特斯拉自动驾驶车辆能比人类安全10倍。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0884a35c6ba89e8ea5b95bb91800da1a\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"345\"></p><p>图片来自特斯拉微博直播</p><p>马斯克：特斯拉计划将电池生产成本减半</p><p>马斯克表示，他们将制造一辆价格合理的汽车，但电池的成本必须降低。早期的进展是好的，但下降的曲线正在变得平缓，所以他们需要重新考虑这个问题。特斯拉计划将生产成本减半。</p><p>马斯克：特斯拉将把电池直径提高一倍</p><p>马斯克表示，特斯拉电池尺寸已经从1865增加到如今2170（前两个数字为直径，后两个数字为长度 ），现在将增加到“4680”。新的“4680电池”将需要大约一年的时间来达到1千兆瓦的产能，但特斯拉正在考虑提高到每年2千兆瓦。仅仅是外形因素的改变，就能将每千瓦时的成本降低14%，但特斯拉还没有做到这一点。无极耳的设计将使得电子的行进路径更短，解决了增加电池直径的最大问题之一。这使电池模组更容易更快并且连续地生产。</p><p>马斯克：全新“4680”型电池 续航里程提高16%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ecec4fc23df9ce81e982f8224e21312\" tg-width=\"641\" tg-height=\"366\"></p><p>图片来自特斯拉微博直播</p><p>马斯克表示，特斯拉电池尺寸已经从“1865”增加到如今“2170”（前两个数字为直径，后两个数字为长度 ），现在将增加到“4680”。新的“4680电池”将需要大约一年的时间来达到1千兆瓦的产能，但特斯拉正在考虑提高到每年2千兆瓦。新电池能将每千瓦时的成本降低14%，续航里程提高16%，电量提高五倍。</p><p>马斯克：将使用全新的生硅材料来制造电池</p><p>马斯克表示，我们将使用新的生硅材料来大规模制作电池，只需1美元/千瓦时的制造成本，并提高20%的续航里程。</p><p>完全无钴！特斯拉将在能量密集型车型中使用100%镍的电池</p><p>马斯克宣布，他们将从“钴”车型转向“镍”车型。这解决了早些时候提出的问题。这也能提高效率。在能源密集型车型（Cybertruck/Semi）中，特斯拉将使用100%镍支撑，而其他车型将使用镍与其他化学物质的结合。这确保了大批量生产是可能的。马斯克再次重申，他希望更多的人开采镍。</p><p>二、跌幅最深13%！股民：说好的“百万英里”电池呢？</p><p>马斯克讲话提到预期出货量后，特斯拉股价周二盘后直线拉升，涨幅从不足1%扩大到4%以上，涨幅一度达到5.6%。<b>但在特斯拉称干电池技术“还不够成熟”后，特斯拉回吐涨幅转跌，跌幅一度超过7%。</b></p><p>评论称，股价转跌是因为，“电池日”一直未公布投资者期盼已久的续航里程“百万英里”电池。</p><p>一周多以前，特斯拉CEO马斯克称，电池日会公布“很多让人兴奋的东西”，<b>而就在“电池日”揭幕前一天，马斯克又给市场泼了些冷水。</b></p><p>马斯克在本周一美股盘后表示，电池日发布的新品将影响特斯拉的长期生产，尤其是对电动卡车Semi、电动皮卡Cybertruck和电动跑车Roadster，但新品不会在2022年以前实现大规模量产。他说，特斯拉将增加从松下、LG和CATL这些供应商的电池采购量，并警告，特斯拉仍，预计2022年乃至此后会有很大的电池供应缺口，除非能自己投入供应。</p><p>马斯克周一表态后，当天收涨将近2%的特斯拉股价盘后一度跌超8%。周二特斯拉股价继续下跌，开盘即跌超4%，盘中跌幅一度达到7%，最终收跌5.6%。</p><p>三、对A股市场有何影响？</p><p>招银国际指出，<b>以故事拼图的思维看特斯拉电池日。</b></p><p>动力电池的发展无论从成本上还是性能上，都直接影响着新能源汽车行业的发展。特斯拉目前在电池方面主要与日本松下公司进行合作（圆柱型18650及21700电池），并相继与LG化学及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">宁德时代</a>达成采购协议，通过与上游供应商合作的方式保持其在电池领域具备核心竞争优势。但与此同时，特斯拉从2016年开始与Jeff Dahn团队开启合作，自2019年以来特斯拉又收购Maxwell和Hibar公司，在材料、工艺、设备等各个方面期望完成电池的自产。目前特斯拉已经公布其电池自产计划Roadrunner，有望引领整个动力电池行业发展，并向电网储能领域进行延伸。</p><p>民生证券指出，特斯拉电池日有望带动板块投资热情，预计可能涉及的技术包括无钴电池、干电极、硅纳米线负极以及新型电解液等，建议关注特斯拉供应链的投资机会。近期六氟磷酸锂价格底部反弹，由于六氟磷酸锂的扩产周期较长，预计下半年六氟磷酸锂供需偏紧，建议关注六氟磷酸锂及自产六氟磷酸锂的电解液公司投资机会。</p><p>此外，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000728\">国元证券</a>指出，特斯拉在软件、电池与电力总成上技术的领先是公认的。对于电池技术来说，大到材料体系，小到结构设计或制造工艺，每一点创新都对新能源汽车产业有着深远的影响。</p><p>8月25日，马斯克公开表示电池具有高循环寿命，该材料的电芯在3～4年内能够实现批量生产。此外，根据路透社判断，电池日宣传海报预示硅纳米负极技术。硅纳米线作为一种已知技术，可以减轻电池重量和体积，从而提高电池效率，有助于制造能量密度更高、使用寿命更长的电池，进一步判断特斯拉可能会与同样在弗里蒙特工厂旁的电池制造商Amprius合作。</p><p>四、机构点评</p><p>对于特斯拉“电池日”，海通电新点评称，认为动力电池领域有三大创新，<b>（1）电化学体系的创新；（2）电池形状、模组Pack结构的创新；（3）生产制造工艺的创新。</b>涉及到电化学配方、怎么制造、什么形状、如何组装。</p><p><b>三大创新里难度最大、壁垒最高的是电化学体系的创新</b>，钴酸锂-磷酸铁锂-三元即为该领域的创新，未来的无钴、固态等亦为如此，这种创新是以3～5年为时间维度，需要较多的电化学工程师以及较高的研发投入，壁垒较高。除此之外，圆柱、方形、软包、刀片皆为电池形状的创新，包括18650、21700、刀片、590模组、VDA方形等，这种创新遵循着”大电芯“的设计思路在推进。生产制造工艺的创新包括“无极耳”“干法电极”“预锂化”等等。</p><p>海通电新评价特斯拉电池整体情况如下：</p><p>1.<b>未来公司将以Twh</b>（1000Gwh）<b>来衡量公司的发展</b>，公司希望电池的年产量达到10～20Twh，全球所有电池需求150Twh。</p><p>2.<b>车的成本需要下降，电池成本需要下降，生产步骤需要减少</b>，之前一个生产150Gwh的工厂可以生产1Twh。公司希望电池成本下降50%，通过材料、工艺等。公司目标未来三年推出售价在2.5万美元的汽车。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66eaa6ea0e415bfed5c1ea3d7d1d3c9e\" tg-width=\"641\" tg-height=\"283\"></p><p>3.<b>公司目标2022年100Gwh的电池，包括储能等。</b>2030年目标3000Gwh。会在柏林生产电池。</p><p>未来公司需要10Twh的电池，小型车/Robotaxi需要1500Gwh，紧凑型、中档车需要3500Gwh，豪华车、SUV需要900Gwh，皮卡需要1100Gwh，卡车3000Gwh。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98830d642cbe198a450f886e258e756b\" tg-width=\"641\" tg-height=\"211\"></p><p>海通电新归纳特斯拉动力电池的创新要点如下：</p><p>（一）电化学体系的创新</p><p><b>1. 负极-硅。</b>硅储能效果好，储量大，但膨胀导致电池不愿意用。用非常高弹性的材料抑制它的膨胀，通过原材料重新设计，提升续航里程20%。1kwh 1美元的材料成本。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6b68184f2608fbf54b3fac40592894d\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"296\"></p><p><b>2. 正极-高镍。</b>正极像书架，最大区别是书架多大，书架上有多少书，需要稳定的结构，不希望是凝胶状，离子不断的流动需要结构很稳定。从金属角度讲，镍能量密度最高、成本最低，所以要用越来越多的镍；钴是让电池结构很稳定的元素，非常高的镍实现15%成本下降。公司希望获得更多的镍矿藏。三分之二的镍+三分之一的锰这种材料更好。</p><p>对于储能、整车需要长循环的可以用铁锂电池（LFP batteries for standard range），对于汽车和能量墙可以用镍锰电池，对于质量敏感的皮卡和卡车可以用高镍电池。</p><p>公司会在美国建自己的正极工厂。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a2878dd7c8b81e4d65002d1a14c887b\" tg-width=\"641\" tg-height=\"304\"></p><p>（二）电池形状、模组结构等的创新</p><p><b>1. 无极耳电池。</b>18650升级到了21700电池，提升了50%的体积，前两个数字是直径，中间两个数字是高度，最后一个零可以去掉；大电芯是趋势，因为成本可以下降，但随着大电芯越来越大，产热会是问题，通过激光技术把极耳去掉，电子流通距离更短，能量密度更高，不存在过热的现象。公司做了很多的专利，有时候最简单的事情反而最难。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dd03178abe4d68069e75231a617a06f\" tg-width=\"534\" tg-height=\"211\"></p><p><b>2. 大电芯。</b>如果没有极耳，生产效率会很高，而且电池可以做到比较大，这款新电池的直径是46mm，高度是80mm，单电芯容量是之前的5倍。仅仅是外形因素的改变，就能将每千瓦时的成本降低14%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc1e9c0437cd6fc68ba664a95c89748f\" tg-width=\"485\" tg-height=\"323\"></p><p><b>3. Pack</b>。将把电池直接内置在汽车结构中，将减轻车辆的整体重量。这将减少所需零件的总数（减少370个零部件）并加快生产速度。而且最重要的是，这还将使每千瓦时的成本降低7％。</p><p>（三）生产制造工艺的创新</p><p><b>1. 过干电极技术将其压实，粉状材料压成膜。</b>可以实现10倍的工序简化，需要高精尖的工艺。实现最好的产出率。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18bca794aa68fe8767079a4738957b52\" tg-width=\"456\" tg-height=\"306\"></p><p><b>2. 组装过程。</b>连续性的加工和组装。1条组装线可以到20Gwh，单线产出提升7倍。</p><p><b>3. 定型</b>（猜测是化成分容）。通过电子工序减少75%的复杂工序，减少80%的成本。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00c5542721a671287cf4384d7f9f100d\" tg-width=\"568\" tg-height=\"301\"></p><p><b>投资策略：</b></p><p>根据电池日所讲述的创新点以及龙头电池企业的评价反馈，本次特斯拉电池日比较符合预期，我们认为特斯拉自产电池创新思路更多的为生产制造工艺环节以及形状环节，包括更大的圆柱直径、干法电极等等，而核心的电化学体系并未有颠覆性的创新，并未超出宁德时代、LG等的研发范畴，并未提及百万英里电池、无钴、固态、预锂化等较大的创新方案。</p><p>未来十年是电化学体系不断迭代的十年，我们更看好引领行业迭代的宁德时代等第三方电池公司的发展，我们判断在这期间车企以及车企扶持第三方如果跟不上这种迭代将无法成为行业的主流。马斯克推特表示自产电池在2022年才能实现大规模量产，依旧要增加松下、LG、CATL的采购。</p>","source":"txcj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n一文看懂：特斯拉“电池日”带来了什么？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-09-23 10:30 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0eiKb8tmuKytcv-KTAk5-A><strong>腾讯财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>亮点包括：发布新4680电池，6倍电量，续航里程提高16%；今年交付量或仍将增长30%～40%；三年内全自动驾驶汽车售价或降至2.5万美元；约一个月内发布有全自动驾驶功能的测试版系统。不过，特斯拉股价盘后重挫7%，有分析认为，股价转跌是因为“电池日”未公布投资者期盼已久的续航里程“百万英里”电池。美东时间9月22日周二，特斯拉首次举行电池技术相关的发布会“电池日”，披露研发新电池的详情。一、特斯拉...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0eiKb8tmuKytcv-KTAk5-A\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ecec4fc23df9ce81e982f8224e21312","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0eiKb8tmuKytcv-KTAk5-A","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127944536","content_text":"亮点包括：发布新4680电池，6倍电量，续航里程提高16%；今年交付量或仍将增长30%～40%；三年内全自动驾驶汽车售价或降至2.5万美元；约一个月内发布有全自动驾驶功能的测试版系统。不过，特斯拉股价盘后重挫7%，有分析认为，股价转跌是因为“电池日”未公布投资者期盼已久的续航里程“百万英里”电池。美东时间9月22日周二，特斯拉首次举行电池技术相关的发布会“电池日”，披露研发新电池的详情。一、特斯拉电池日亮点回顾马斯克：期待上海工厂实现100万辆汽车／年的产量目标马斯克表示，特斯拉过去一年的回报比较理想，我相信未来也会一片大好。在过去一年中，在工厂扩张方面，我们上海的团队在15个月内建起了工厂。我们特斯拉是中国唯一一个100%外资的汽车公司。我们期待上海工厂能实现100万辆汽车/年的产量目标。图片来自特斯拉微博直播马斯克：希望在全球每个大洲都能有特斯拉工厂马斯克表示，我们的愿景是在每个大洲都有我们的工厂。这能令公司流动性和交付周期活动保障。我们目前在中国已经有了工厂，在美国已经有了两个工厂，在欧洲也有工厂，未来希望在澳洲也能建立起工厂。马斯克：2020年特斯拉交付量仍能增长30%到40%马斯克表示特斯拉交付量在2019年增长了50%，在2020年，尽管受到了疫情的影响，但特斯拉交付量仍将增长30%～40%。马斯克：将在未来大约一个月发布全自动驾驶系统Autopilot的测试版马斯克表示，自动驾驶的行业平均水平是每百万英里就会发生2.1起事故，如果启用特斯拉Autopilot，那么事故概率只有0.3起/百万英里。马斯克表示，他相信特斯拉自动驾驶车辆能比人类安全10倍。图片来自特斯拉微博直播马斯克：特斯拉计划将电池生产成本减半马斯克表示，他们将制造一辆价格合理的汽车，但电池的成本必须降低。早期的进展是好的，但下降的曲线正在变得平缓，所以他们需要重新考虑这个问题。特斯拉计划将生产成本减半。马斯克：特斯拉将把电池直径提高一倍马斯克表示，特斯拉电池尺寸已经从1865增加到如今2170（前两个数字为直径，后两个数字为长度 ），现在将增加到“4680”。新的“4680电池”将需要大约一年的时间来达到1千兆瓦的产能，但特斯拉正在考虑提高到每年2千兆瓦。仅仅是外形因素的改变，就能将每千瓦时的成本降低14%，但特斯拉还没有做到这一点。无极耳的设计将使得电子的行进路径更短，解决了增加电池直径的最大问题之一。这使电池模组更容易更快并且连续地生产。马斯克：全新“4680”型电池 续航里程提高16%图片来自特斯拉微博直播马斯克表示，特斯拉电池尺寸已经从“1865”增加到如今“2170”（前两个数字为直径，后两个数字为长度 ），现在将增加到“4680”。新的“4680电池”将需要大约一年的时间来达到1千兆瓦的产能，但特斯拉正在考虑提高到每年2千兆瓦。新电池能将每千瓦时的成本降低14%，续航里程提高16%，电量提高五倍。马斯克：将使用全新的生硅材料来制造电池马斯克表示，我们将使用新的生硅材料来大规模制作电池，只需1美元/千瓦时的制造成本，并提高20%的续航里程。完全无钴！特斯拉将在能量密集型车型中使用100%镍的电池马斯克宣布，他们将从“钴”车型转向“镍”车型。这解决了早些时候提出的问题。这也能提高效率。在能源密集型车型（Cybertruck/Semi）中，特斯拉将使用100%镍支撑，而其他车型将使用镍与其他化学物质的结合。这确保了大批量生产是可能的。马斯克再次重申，他希望更多的人开采镍。二、跌幅最深13%！股民：说好的“百万英里”电池呢？马斯克讲话提到预期出货量后，特斯拉股价周二盘后直线拉升，涨幅从不足1%扩大到4%以上，涨幅一度达到5.6%。但在特斯拉称干电池技术“还不够成熟”后，特斯拉回吐涨幅转跌，跌幅一度超过7%。评论称，股价转跌是因为，“电池日”一直未公布投资者期盼已久的续航里程“百万英里”电池。一周多以前，特斯拉CEO马斯克称，电池日会公布“很多让人兴奋的东西”，而就在“电池日”揭幕前一天，马斯克又给市场泼了些冷水。马斯克在本周一美股盘后表示，电池日发布的新品将影响特斯拉的长期生产，尤其是对电动卡车Semi、电动皮卡Cybertruck和电动跑车Roadster，但新品不会在2022年以前实现大规模量产。他说，特斯拉将增加从松下、LG和CATL这些供应商的电池采购量，并警告，特斯拉仍，预计2022年乃至此后会有很大的电池供应缺口，除非能自己投入供应。马斯克周一表态后，当天收涨将近2%的特斯拉股价盘后一度跌超8%。周二特斯拉股价继续下跌，开盘即跌超4%，盘中跌幅一度达到7%，最终收跌5.6%。三、对A股市场有何影响？招银国际指出，以故事拼图的思维看特斯拉电池日。动力电池的发展无论从成本上还是性能上，都直接影响着新能源汽车行业的发展。特斯拉目前在电池方面主要与日本松下公司进行合作（圆柱型18650及21700电池），并相继与LG化学及宁德时代达成采购协议，通过与上游供应商合作的方式保持其在电池领域具备核心竞争优势。但与此同时，特斯拉从2016年开始与Jeff Dahn团队开启合作，自2019年以来特斯拉又收购Maxwell和Hibar公司，在材料、工艺、设备等各个方面期望完成电池的自产。目前特斯拉已经公布其电池自产计划Roadrunner，有望引领整个动力电池行业发展，并向电网储能领域进行延伸。民生证券指出，特斯拉电池日有望带动板块投资热情，预计可能涉及的技术包括无钴电池、干电极、硅纳米线负极以及新型电解液等，建议关注特斯拉供应链的投资机会。近期六氟磷酸锂价格底部反弹，由于六氟磷酸锂的扩产周期较长，预计下半年六氟磷酸锂供需偏紧，建议关注六氟磷酸锂及自产六氟磷酸锂的电解液公司投资机会。此外，国元证券指出，特斯拉在软件、电池与电力总成上技术的领先是公认的。对于电池技术来说，大到材料体系，小到结构设计或制造工艺，每一点创新都对新能源汽车产业有着深远的影响。8月25日，马斯克公开表示电池具有高循环寿命，该材料的电芯在3～4年内能够实现批量生产。此外，根据路透社判断，电池日宣传海报预示硅纳米负极技术。硅纳米线作为一种已知技术，可以减轻电池重量和体积，从而提高电池效率，有助于制造能量密度更高、使用寿命更长的电池，进一步判断特斯拉可能会与同样在弗里蒙特工厂旁的电池制造商Amprius合作。四、机构点评对于特斯拉“电池日”，海通电新点评称，认为动力电池领域有三大创新，（1）电化学体系的创新；（2）电池形状、模组Pack结构的创新；（3）生产制造工艺的创新。涉及到电化学配方、怎么制造、什么形状、如何组装。三大创新里难度最大、壁垒最高的是电化学体系的创新，钴酸锂-磷酸铁锂-三元即为该领域的创新，未来的无钴、固态等亦为如此，这种创新是以3～5年为时间维度，需要较多的电化学工程师以及较高的研发投入，壁垒较高。除此之外，圆柱、方形、软包、刀片皆为电池形状的创新，包括18650、21700、刀片、590模组、VDA方形等，这种创新遵循着”大电芯“的设计思路在推进。生产制造工艺的创新包括“无极耳”“干法电极”“预锂化”等等。海通电新评价特斯拉电池整体情况如下：1.未来公司将以Twh（1000Gwh）来衡量公司的发展，公司希望电池的年产量达到10～20Twh，全球所有电池需求150Twh。2.车的成本需要下降，电池成本需要下降，生产步骤需要减少，之前一个生产150Gwh的工厂可以生产1Twh。公司希望电池成本下降50%，通过材料、工艺等。公司目标未来三年推出售价在2.5万美元的汽车。3.公司目标2022年100Gwh的电池，包括储能等。2030年目标3000Gwh。会在柏林生产电池。未来公司需要10Twh的电池，小型车/Robotaxi需要1500Gwh，紧凑型、中档车需要3500Gwh，豪华车、SUV需要900Gwh，皮卡需要1100Gwh，卡车3000Gwh。海通电新归纳特斯拉动力电池的创新要点如下：（一）电化学体系的创新1. 负极-硅。硅储能效果好，储量大，但膨胀导致电池不愿意用。用非常高弹性的材料抑制它的膨胀，通过原材料重新设计，提升续航里程20%。1kwh 1美元的材料成本。2. 正极-高镍。正极像书架，最大区别是书架多大，书架上有多少书，需要稳定的结构，不希望是凝胶状，离子不断的流动需要结构很稳定。从金属角度讲，镍能量密度最高、成本最低，所以要用越来越多的镍；钴是让电池结构很稳定的元素，非常高的镍实现15%成本下降。公司希望获得更多的镍矿藏。三分之二的镍+三分之一的锰这种材料更好。对于储能、整车需要长循环的可以用铁锂电池（LFP batteries for standard range），对于汽车和能量墙可以用镍锰电池，对于质量敏感的皮卡和卡车可以用高镍电池。公司会在美国建自己的正极工厂。（二）电池形状、模组结构等的创新1. 无极耳电池。18650升级到了21700电池，提升了50%的体积，前两个数字是直径，中间两个数字是高度，最后一个零可以去掉；大电芯是趋势，因为成本可以下降，但随着大电芯越来越大，产热会是问题，通过激光技术把极耳去掉，电子流通距离更短，能量密度更高，不存在过热的现象。公司做了很多的专利，有时候最简单的事情反而最难。2. 大电芯。如果没有极耳，生产效率会很高，而且电池可以做到比较大，这款新电池的直径是46mm，高度是80mm，单电芯容量是之前的5倍。仅仅是外形因素的改变，就能将每千瓦时的成本降低14%。3. Pack。将把电池直接内置在汽车结构中，将减轻车辆的整体重量。这将减少所需零件的总数（减少370个零部件）并加快生产速度。而且最重要的是，这还将使每千瓦时的成本降低7％。（三）生产制造工艺的创新1. 过干电极技术将其压实，粉状材料压成膜。可以实现10倍的工序简化，需要高精尖的工艺。实现最好的产出率。2. 组装过程。连续性的加工和组装。1条组装线可以到20Gwh，单线产出提升7倍。3. 定型（猜测是化成分容）。通过电子工序减少75%的复杂工序，减少80%的成本。投资策略：根据电池日所讲述的创新点以及龙头电池企业的评价反馈，本次特斯拉电池日比较符合预期，我们认为特斯拉自产电池创新思路更多的为生产制造工艺环节以及形状环节，包括更大的圆柱直径、干法电极等等，而核心的电化学体系并未有颠覆性的创新，并未超出宁德时代、LG等的研发范畴，并未提及百万英里电池、无钴、固态、预锂化等较大的创新方案。未来十年是电化学体系不断迭代的十年，我们更看好引领行业迭代的宁德时代等第三方电池公司的发展，我们判断在这期间车企以及车企扶持第三方如果跟不上这种迭代将无法成为行业的主流。马斯克推特表示自产电池在2022年才能实现大规模量产，依旧要增加松下、LG、CATL的采购。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":972697066,"gmtCreate":1600193819655,"gmtModify":1703820716014,"author":{"id":"3521840190155883","authorId":"3521840190155883","name":"merlion凡学","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67b882e5f51389ffaca6924ca35c3f19","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"大家好。新手一个，多多指教","listText":"大家好。新手一个，多多指教","text":"大家好。新手一个，多多指教","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/972697066","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":865664821,"gmtCreate":1632977302038,"gmtModify":1632977302038,"author":{"id":"3521840190155883","authorId":"3521840190155883","name":"merlion凡学","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67b882e5f51389ffaca6924ca35c3f19","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Excellent advice. Thanks","listText":"Excellent advice. Thanks","text":"Excellent advice. 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>在港暂停交易。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/935b895b6464b1e17a4e2f27fd1ab86f","relate_stocks":{"688981":"中芯国际","SMI":"VanEck HIP Sustainable Muni 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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">$Roku Inc(ROKU)$</a>&nbsp;，本周重点交易的个股，也是亏损最多的一支，从9月17日和18日两天的走势来看，确实处于弱势回调，并一改往日日线机杯macd反拐则爆拉的态势，特别是18日日线cci20跌破0后，我认为空头已占上风成立（同时当日收盘价低于BOLL线中轨支撑位），其实交易时候我判断也是四六开的概率，因为日线、周线macd趋势都处于上升趋势中，上升趋势做空，要及时出局。所以我在18日尾盘进行了做空的操作，仓位不大。18日尾盘初现端倪盘后交易收涨3%，19日开盘股价直接高开2%于日线20日均线上方，并且高开高走，我的交易逻辑存有缺陷，一般要拿到收盘才能确实是佯攻还是反弹确定。所以20日开盘进行止损亏损不小。但这些交易都符合交易原则，交易本来就是概率的问题。且本周的roku走势确实不太寻常。在暴涨确定了反弹成立后。我又在盘中进行了做多了做空的操作，效果都不理想。周五盘中最终转为做多，且仓位加到4成，从目前走势看周线很完美，日线昨日cci再次高位转头，目前所有指标（除日线macd外）全部发出买入信号，下周有继续爆啦的可能性，可参考蔚来8月25-9月2日的走势","listText":"大家好我是牛万，本周交易难度其实不大，但是踩到了ROKU的暴涨，我的判断失误导致反向操作，利润回撤了不少。本周收益由最高盈利5%回撤到亏损7%。本周并没进行太多笔交易，其中做ROKU比较多，2盈2亏，但亏损都较大，其中一单最高持股一日被拉爆亏损15%，后都及时止损出局。而两单盈利的基本忽略不计。具体交易实盘如下个股复盘本周虽然利润回撤7%，但是整体交易的个股操作并没有出现太大问题。持仓的人造肉走势符合预期继续上攻，本周再度收益4%目前已获利14%。高盛提前止盈4%出局后期再进。其他个股都在整理中。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">$Roku Inc(ROKU)$</a>&nbsp;，本周重点交易的个股，也是亏损最多的一支，从9月17日和18日两天的走势来看，确实处于弱势回调，并一改往日日线机杯macd反拐则爆拉的态势，特别是18日日线cci20跌破0后，我认为空头已占上风成立（同时当日收盘价低于BOLL线中轨支撑位），其实交易时候我判断也是四六开的概率，因为日线、周线macd趋势都处于上升趋势中，上升趋势做空，要及时出局。所以我在18日尾盘进行了做空的操作，仓位不大。18日尾盘初现端倪盘后交易收涨3%，19日开盘股价直接高开2%于日线20日均线上方，并且高开高走，我的交易逻辑存有缺陷，一般要拿到收盘才能确实是佯攻还是反弹确定。所以20日开盘进行止损亏损不小。但这些交易都符合交易原则，交易本来就是概率的问题。且本周的roku走势确实不太寻常。在暴涨确定了反弹成立后。我又在盘中进行了做多了做空的操作，效果都不理想。周五盘中最终转为做多，且仓位加到4成，从目前走势看周线很完美，日线昨日cci再次高位转头，目前所有指标（除日线macd外）全部发出买入信号，下周有继续爆啦的可能性，可参考蔚来8月25-9月2日的走势","text":"大家好我是牛万，本周交易难度其实不大，但是踩到了ROKU的暴涨，我的判断失误导致反向操作，利润回撤了不少。本周收益由最高盈利5%回撤到亏损7%。本周并没进行太多笔交易，其中做ROKU比较多，2盈2亏，但亏损都较大，其中一单最高持股一日被拉爆亏损15%，后都及时止损出局。而两单盈利的基本忽略不计。具体交易实盘如下个股复盘本周虽然利润回撤7%，但是整体交易的个股操作并没有出现太大问题。持仓的人造肉走势符合预期继续上攻，本周再度收益4%目前已获利14%。高盛提前止盈4%出局后期再进。其他个股都在整理中。$Roku Inc(ROKU)$ ，本周重点交易的个股，也是亏损最多的一支，从9月17日和18日两天的走势来看，确实处于弱势回调，并一改往日日线机杯macd反拐则爆拉的态势，特别是18日日线cci20跌破0后，我认为空头已占上风成立（同时当日收盘价低于BOLL线中轨支撑位），其实交易时候我判断也是四六开的概率，因为日线、周线macd趋势都处于上升趋势中，上升趋势做空，要及时出局。所以我在18日尾盘进行了做空的操作，仓位不大。18日尾盘初现端倪盘后交易收涨3%，19日开盘股价直接高开2%于日线20日均线上方，并且高开高走，我的交易逻辑存有缺陷，一般要拿到收盘才能确实是佯攻还是反弹确定。所以20日开盘进行止损亏损不小。但这些交易都符合交易原则，交易本来就是概率的问题。且本周的roku走势确实不太寻常。在暴涨确定了反弹成立后。我又在盘中进行了做多了做空的操作，效果都不理想。周五盘中最终转为做多，且仓位加到4成，从目前走势看周线很完美，日线昨日cci再次高位转头，目前所有指标（除日线macd外）全部发出买入信号，下周有继续爆啦的可能性，可参考蔚来8月25-9月2日的走势","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/117deddc68774d9fd54a740db6811e34","width":"900","height":"383"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a32b1615aa6ee02922969e12032ec66","width":"1080","height":"1621"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b070a1acd3271e11baafc037000bfd4","width":"1622","height":"1080"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974223638","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":27,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":897,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":974980697,"gmtCreate":1600896640019,"gmtModify":1703822899099,"author":{"id":"3521840190155883","authorId":"3521840190155883","name":"merlion凡学","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67b882e5f51389ffaca6924ca35c3f19","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974980697","repostId":"1127944536","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}