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lao斯基
2022-01-18
$滴滴(DIDI)$
抄底抄在山顶[流泪]
lao斯基
2021-09-14
$滴滴(DIDI)$
我以为的抄底[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]
lao斯基
2021-07-13
$中国电信(00728)$
发生肾么事了
lao斯基
2020-04-03
这雷神笔记本基本跟造雷达的雷神有关系???
4月2日雷神游戏本全球首发 搭载十代酷睿i7移动版处理器
lao斯基
2020-03-17
$万达体育(WSG)$
这价了,还有底吗
lao斯基
2020-02-19
$AMD(AMD)$
看来成为amd粉丝是对的,产品牛🍺
lao斯基
2020-02-18
$万达体育(WSG)$
出售铁人三项??,牛B了
lao斯基
2020-01-31
有的人是傻,有的人是坏,全国支持个武汉已经困难了,还想多搞几个出来??
“新冠”疫情不可怕!我们该全面操心经济了
lao斯基
2020-01-15
$万达体育(WSG)$
为啥不多买点
lao斯基
2019-07-09
$Naked Brand Group Inc(NAKD)$
毛票欢乐多
lao斯基
2019-04-18
$小米集团-W(01810)$看看人家高通,怪我太穷之前没钱买
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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15:01","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"4月2日雷神游戏本全球首发 搭载十代酷睿i7移动版处理器","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2024469546","media":"中关村在线","summary":"原标题:4月2日雷神游戏本全球首发 搭载十代酷睿i7移动版处理器 2020年4月2日下午3点,英特尔正式解禁十代酷睿标压版处理器,也就是面向移动平台的H系列高性能处理器。同时,雷神全球同步首发2","content":"<html><body><p>原标题:4月2日<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RTN\">雷神</a>游戏本全球首发 搭载十代酷睿i7移动版处理器</p><p> 2020年4月2日下午3点,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>正式解禁十代酷睿标压版处理器,也就是面向移动平台的H系列高性能处理器。同时,雷神全球同步首发2020年游戏本系列全线升级,9款新品震撼来袭。</p><p> 雷神游戏笔记本此次将标配10代酷睿i7处理器,给玩家带来极致的娱乐体验,满足高端游戏玩家、性能发烧友等用户的极致移动性能需求,用“十力”超越实力,率先引领2020年游戏本迈入5GHz高性能新时代。</p><div><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/spider202042/165/w640h325/20200402/03e9-irtymmv3267942.jpg/w2048fin.jpg\"/></div><p> 5GHz新时代:用“十力”超越实力</p><p> 英特尔推出了全新第十代智能英特尔® 酷睿™i7-10750 H系列移动处理器,其睿频频率均达到5.0GHz,正式引爆游戏5GHz新时代;这款高性能处理器能满足高端游戏玩家、性能发烧友的极致性能需求。本次十代酷睿处理器的雷神新品,首发革命性的Intel® Wi-Fi 6 (Gig+),流畅直播,疾速下载,相较上一代Wi-Fi 5,无线传输速度快约3倍,在游戏中超快响应,实时协同,减少了约75% 传输延迟,将大型3D游戏,4K全高清炫酷视频体验带入全新境界。</p><p> 硬核升级:911Pro晖金2代</p><p> 911 Pro晖金2代,采用最新十代酷睿i7-10750H高性能处理器, 澎湃动力随芯而至,同时搭载最新RTX2070、2070Super光追系列高端游戏专用显卡。除去内核芯片的升级,911 Pro晖金2代更搭载了144Hz顶级3ms响应电竞屏、全新听声辨位黑科技Nahimic音效系统,在三维环流风洞散热系统的帮助下,能给骨灰级游戏玩家带来前所未有的畅爽体验。</p><div><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/spider202042/137/w640h297/20200402/e350-irtymmv3267935.jpg/w2048fin.jpg\"/></div><p> 目前,911 Pro晖金2代在雷神游戏本全渠道开启预约,雷神为参与预约抢购的用户准备了电竞游戏鼠标、雷神电脑背包及价值299元的“十力加”国潮礼盒! </p><p> 911 Pro晖金2代(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>/天猫/苏宁)</p><p> 16.6英寸:911绝地武士</p><p> 雷神911绝地武士,采用全球独家16.6英寸窄边框电竞屏,给游戏玩家带来畅爽大屏+便携通勤兼容的新选择。相比传统15.6英寸游戏本,911绝地武士6mm窄边框、84%屏占比,屏幕有效显示面积增加14%;而1080P分辨率、144Hz刷新率、不到3ms响应时间的屏幕素质,能完美满足专业玩家的电竞需求。在全新第十代智能英特尔® 酷睿™ i7-10750H高性能处理器的加持下,雷神911绝地武士可以给用户带来强大稳定的计算速度、卓越的显示效果。</p><div><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/spider202042/137/w640h297/20200402/cd32-irtymmv3268000.jpg/w2048fin.jpg\"/></div><p> 911绝地武士,于4月2日在雷神京东旗舰店开启预约,参与预约的用户即送电脑清洁套装,同时还可参与无门槛抽奖,更有0元试用及锦鲤“十力”礼盒等你领取!</p><p> 911绝地武士》》》</p><p> 钛空风暴:911 Pro 钛空2代</p><p> 911 Pro 钛空2代,在升级第十代酷睿移动处理器的同时, 创新性地升级为三维立体“风洞”散热循环系统,除了拥有游戏本行业内最多的6个散热出风口外,背面75%的大开孔率、达51%的进风面积占比,能高效帮助电脑完成轻松散热的目标,帮助玩家在高强度性使用条件下拒绝高温。</p><div><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/spider202042/137/w640h297/20200402/0683-irtymmv3267998.jpg/w2048fin.jpg\"/></div><p> 911 Pro 钛空2代,4月2日正式上线雷神天猫旗舰店,预约可享受300元新品优惠券、晒单即送雷神电竞鼠标及背包,享受花呗三期免息等权益。</p><p> 911 Pro钛空2代》》》</p><p> 巨幕微边:911 Plus 2代</p><p> 作为雷神少数的17英寸产品,雷神911Plus 2代在产品的外观上做了很多升级突破。相较于上代变得更加轻薄,机身长度395mm,相比上代减少4.9mm;机身宽度260mm,相比上代减少22.2mm。外观方面,雷神911 Plus 2代承袭了家族式星际飞行器的设计理念, logo开机键升级为新生蓝,A面灯带也采用科技感十足的光剑灯带。</p><div><img src=\"http://k.sinaimg.cn/n/spider202042/137/w640h297/20200402/c2d2-irtymmv3268061.jpg/w2048fin.jpg\"/></div><p> 17.3英寸6mm微框IPS电竞屏,拥有达85%的屏占比,911 Plus 2代还拥有智能滤蓝光技术,长时间观看屏幕可以有效保护眼睛。</p><p> 4月2日,911 Plus 2代在苏宁首发,预约送雷神包鼠套装、50元定金抵350元、6期免息权益。</p><p> 911 PLUS 2代》》》</p><p> 4月2日,雷神携手英特尔,全系新品迭代上新。除911Pro晖金/钛空2代,911绝地武士、911Plus2代等重磅新品外,911星战3代、911MT暗杀星/ME黑武士/ST 2代、Masterbook2代等爆款产品也将同步首发,近期将会陆续发布雷神游戏本的相关使用评测,想要购买的用户可以及时关注相关信息。</p></body></html>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4月2日雷神游戏本全球首发 搭载十代酷睿i7移动版处理器</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 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solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4月2日雷神游戏本全球首发 搭载十代酷睿i7移动版处理器\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-04-02 15:01 北京时间 <a href=http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://tech.sina.com.cn/roll/2020-04-02/doc-iimxyqwa4714059.shtml><strong>中关村在线</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>原标题:4月2日雷神游戏本全球首发 搭载十代酷睿i7移动版处理器 2020年4月2日下午3点,英特尔正式解禁十代酷睿标压版处理器,也就是面向移动平台的H系列高性能处理器。同时,雷神全球同步首发2020年游戏本系列全线升级,9款新品震撼来袭。 雷神游戏笔记本此次将标配10代酷睿i7处理器,给玩家带来极致的娱乐体验,满足高端游戏玩家、性能发烧友等用户的极致移动性能需求,用“十力”超越实力,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://tech.sina.com.cn/roll/2020-04-02/doc-iimxyqwa4714059.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c93da0dbf32abd71a566d9c13e226f5d","relate_stocks":{"RTX":"雷神技术公司","04335":"英特尔—Τ"},"source_url":"http://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://tech.sina.com.cn/roll/2020-04-02/doc-iimxyqwa4714059.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2024469546","content_text":"原标题:4月2日雷神游戏本全球首发 搭载十代酷睿i7移动版处理器 2020年4月2日下午3点,英特尔正式解禁十代酷睿标压版处理器,也就是面向移动平台的H系列高性能处理器。同时,雷神全球同步首发2020年游戏本系列全线升级,9款新品震撼来袭。 雷神游戏笔记本此次将标配10代酷睿i7处理器,给玩家带来极致的娱乐体验,满足高端游戏玩家、性能发烧友等用户的极致移动性能需求,用“十力”超越实力,率先引领2020年游戏本迈入5GHz高性能新时代。 5GHz新时代:用“十力”超越实力 英特尔推出了全新第十代智能英特尔® 酷睿™i7-10750 H系列移动处理器,其睿频频率均达到5.0GHz,正式引爆游戏5GHz新时代;这款高性能处理器能满足高端游戏玩家、性能发烧友的极致性能需求。本次十代酷睿处理器的雷神新品,首发革命性的Intel® Wi-Fi 6 (Gig+),流畅直播,疾速下载,相较上一代Wi-Fi 5,无线传输速度快约3倍,在游戏中超快响应,实时协同,减少了约75% 传输延迟,将大型3D游戏,4K全高清炫酷视频体验带入全新境界。 硬核升级:911Pro晖金2代 911 Pro晖金2代,采用最新十代酷睿i7-10750H高性能处理器, 澎湃动力随芯而至,同时搭载最新RTX2070、2070Super光追系列高端游戏专用显卡。除去内核芯片的升级,911 Pro晖金2代更搭载了144Hz顶级3ms响应电竞屏、全新听声辨位黑科技Nahimic音效系统,在三维环流风洞散热系统的帮助下,能给骨灰级游戏玩家带来前所未有的畅爽体验。 目前,911 Pro晖金2代在雷神游戏本全渠道开启预约,雷神为参与预约抢购的用户准备了电竞游戏鼠标、雷神电脑背包及价值299元的“十力加”国潮礼盒! 911 Pro晖金2代(京东/天猫/苏宁) 16.6英寸:911绝地武士 雷神911绝地武士,采用全球独家16.6英寸窄边框电竞屏,给游戏玩家带来畅爽大屏+便携通勤兼容的新选择。相比传统15.6英寸游戏本,911绝地武士6mm窄边框、84%屏占比,屏幕有效显示面积增加14%;而1080P分辨率、144Hz刷新率、不到3ms响应时间的屏幕素质,能完美满足专业玩家的电竞需求。在全新第十代智能英特尔® 酷睿™ i7-10750H高性能处理器的加持下,雷神911绝地武士可以给用户带来强大稳定的计算速度、卓越的显示效果。 911绝地武士,于4月2日在雷神京东旗舰店开启预约,参与预约的用户即送电脑清洁套装,同时还可参与无门槛抽奖,更有0元试用及锦鲤“十力”礼盒等你领取! 911绝地武士》》》 钛空风暴:911 Pro 钛空2代 911 Pro 钛空2代,在升级第十代酷睿移动处理器的同时, 创新性地升级为三维立体“风洞”散热循环系统,除了拥有游戏本行业内最多的6个散热出风口外,背面75%的大开孔率、达51%的进风面积占比,能高效帮助电脑完成轻松散热的目标,帮助玩家在高强度性使用条件下拒绝高温。 911 Pro 钛空2代,4月2日正式上线雷神天猫旗舰店,预约可享受300元新品优惠券、晒单即送雷神电竞鼠标及背包,享受花呗三期免息等权益。 911 Pro钛空2代》》》 巨幕微边:911 Plus 2代 作为雷神少数的17英寸产品,雷神911Plus 2代在产品的外观上做了很多升级突破。相较于上代变得更加轻薄,机身长度395mm,相比上代减少4.9mm;机身宽度260mm,相比上代减少22.2mm。外观方面,雷神911 Plus 2代承袭了家族式星际飞行器的设计理念, logo开机键升级为新生蓝,A面灯带也采用科技感十足的光剑灯带。 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSG\">$万达体育(WSG)$</a>这价了,还有底吗","text":"$万达体育(WSG)$这价了,还有底吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/964267923","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":980065003,"gmtCreate":1582124556402,"gmtModify":1704345841000,"author":{"id":"3514758848322962","authorId":"3514758848322962","name":"lao斯基","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9ce4788a1cae380094845ccbe246b31","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 看来成为amd粉丝是对的,产品牛🍺","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 看来成为amd粉丝是对的,产品牛🍺","text":"$AMD(AMD)$ 看来成为amd粉丝是对的,产品牛🍺","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99c6ec45a7922039a16b80e633573190","width":"1080","height":"1612"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/980065003","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":917495847,"gmtCreate":1582028310389,"gmtModify":1704345509957,"author":{"id":"3514758848322962","authorId":"3514758848322962","name":"lao斯基","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9ce4788a1cae380094845ccbe246b31","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSG\">$万达体育(WSG)$</a> 出售铁人三项??,牛B了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSG\">$万达体育(WSG)$</a> 出售铁人三项??,牛B了","text":"$万达体育(WSG)$ 出售铁人三项??,牛B了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1c070966d4448025ad5be711df5da3","width":"1080","height":"1612"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/917495847","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3050,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":912456958,"gmtCreate":1580401630074,"gmtModify":1704341510469,"author":{"id":"3514758848322962","authorId":"3514758848322962","name":"lao斯基","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9ce4788a1cae380094845ccbe246b31","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有的人是傻,有的人是坏,全国支持个武汉已经困难了,还想多搞几个出来??","listText":"有的人是傻,有的人是坏,全国支持个武汉已经困难了,还想多搞几个出来??","text":"有的人是傻,有的人是坏,全国支持个武汉已经困难了,还想多搞几个出来??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/912456958","repostId":"1139503311","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139503311","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"格隆汇旗下公众号。分享和探讨港股、美国中概股以及少量估值确有吸引力之A股的投资线索、投资机会与投资心得.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"格隆汇","id":"3","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24397cd0a72f485e9734d658c5a0841d"},"pubTimestamp":1580369141,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139503311?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-01-30 15:25","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"“新冠”疫情不可怕!我们该全面操心经济了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139503311","media":"格隆汇","summary":"企业,尤其解决了社会绝大部分就业的中小企业的承受能力是有限的。","content":"<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/791a7ad4ff412aa090638a75f9ee16aa\" /></p><p><b><span>直接说重点:</span></b></p><p><span>1,只要地方官吏放下了所谓的面子与政绩,新冠就一定会控制住。时间问题。</span><b><span>所有可预判的问题都不可怕,包括新冠</span></b><span>。</span></p><p><span>2,现在开始,我们应该自上而下,全面操心经济。经济不可能一直停下去。企业,尤其解决了社会绝大部分就业的中小企业的承受能力是有限的。</span><b><span>家庭的资产负债表再恶化,家庭也不会消失。但很多中小企业现金流量表与资产负债表一旦恶化超过一定时长,一口气缓不过来,这个企业就可能没有回头路了</span></b><span>。救它们,更需要争分夺秒;</span></p><p><span>3,2003年非典,四个季度GDP增速分别为11.1%、9.1%、10%和10%,非典主要影响了2季度GDP增速约1.5个百分点。全年看,受影响最大的第三产业增加值减慢0.8个百分点。当年第三产业占GDP比重为32%,也即非典大致影响当年GDP增速0.3—0.5个百分点,并不算大。</span><b><span>绝大多数人正是依据SARS的经验来判断新冠对经济的影响,但这会带来重大误判与误导;</span></b></p><p><span>4,</span><span><b>2003年,中国经济还是一个睡凉席都不感冒的二十岁小伙</b></span><span>。彼时GDP总量仅11.7万亿,2019年已是99万亿。而且,彼时最易受病毒冲击的三产规模不大,其增加值占GDP比重仅为32%,三分之一不到。但同样的数据,2019年已经达到54%,超过一半——仅按这个数据,</span><span><b>新冠就可以轻松拉低全年GDP一个点。</b></span></p><p><span>更关键的是,</span><span><b>2003年中国刚加入WTO不久</b></span><span>,正在全面享受融入全球分工与市场的红利——</span><span><b>这是中国经济史上唯一可以与1979年中美建交并改革开放相提并论的重大拐点性事件,同时中国自身经济也正处在重化工业化、城镇化和人口红利消费升级的自我强化上升阶段,内外的修复能力与上升动能都堪称充足。</b></span></p><p><span>但现如今的经济身体素质,早已今非昔比。具体数据我不展开了,在我过去的分析里很详尽;</span></p><p><span>5,</span><span><b>还有一个巨大的黑天鹅变量,多数人都还没有纳入考量模型</b></span><span>。世卫组织(WHO)将于近日召开紧急会议,以确定是否把中国新冠纳入“国际关注的突发公共卫生事件" ——用普通话粗暴翻译,就是是否把中国纳入疫区,而考量的核心因素,就是病毒持续人传人的能力。事实上,柳叶刀确定的新冠病毒R值(平均每个病毒患者(携带者)要传染的人数)为2.90——3.1,远超非典1.77和1.85的R值。</span></p><p><span>纳入公共卫生事件,意味着如果没有大规模的应对行动,疫情将无法被妥善控制 。</span><b><span>这个纳入是一把双刃剑</span></b><span>,一方面有助于全世界高度重视疫情防控,疫区国家也能得到更多支援,但另一方面,</span><span><b>世界其他国家大概率会对疫区实行旅行和贸易限制,形同实际意义上的经济制裁</b></span><span>。这对疫区经济是不可承受之重。过去十年WHO宣布过五起 纳入,最近一次是去年七月针对刚果(金)的埃博拉疫情,该疫情超过2500例感染。</span></p><p><span>6,回到我文首说的,新冠并不可怕,现在我们自上而下,应该开始全方位操心经济,行动越快越好。</span><b><span>乱世重典,现在小修小补已于事无补</span></b><span>。</span></p><p><b><span>我的建议是:</span></b></p><p><b><span>首先,动用所有官方力量与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01051\">国际资源</a>,绝对不能让WHO将新冠纳入公共卫生事件,绝对不能;</span></b></p><p><b><span>其次,捆住地方政府的手,缩减和砍削所有基建开支,将钱通过退税和补贴的方式,直接返还给企业与个人,以最大程度修复家庭和企业的资产负债表,增加民间投资与消费信心;</span></b></p><p><b><span>第三,才是大规模减税。税收返还是即期的,减税是未来,于当下,助力不大。当下是要输血救人。</span></b></p><p><b><span>第四,才是考虑增加财政赤字到3以上,让政府花钱</span></b><span>。没有前面的输血,老套路的政府花钱,极大可能吃力不讨好——企业太虚,根本无力承接。</span></p><p><b><span>7,再强调一遍:</span></b></p><p><b><span>经济是主战场!</span></b></p><p><b><span>有经济,才有未来!</span></b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“新冠”疫情不可怕!我们该全面操心经济了</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“新冠”疫情不可怕!我们该全面操心经济了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/3\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/24397cd0a72f485e9734d658c5a0841d);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">格隆汇 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-01-30 15:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/791a7ad4ff412aa090638a75f9ee16aa\" /></p><p><b><span>直接说重点:</span></b></p><p><span>1,只要地方官吏放下了所谓的面子与政绩,新冠就一定会控制住。时间问题。</span><b><span>所有可预判的问题都不可怕,包括新冠</span></b><span>。</span></p><p><span>2,现在开始,我们应该自上而下,全面操心经济。经济不可能一直停下去。企业,尤其解决了社会绝大部分就业的中小企业的承受能力是有限的。</span><b><span>家庭的资产负债表再恶化,家庭也不会消失。但很多中小企业现金流量表与资产负债表一旦恶化超过一定时长,一口气缓不过来,这个企业就可能没有回头路了</span></b><span>。救它们,更需要争分夺秒;</span></p><p><span>3,2003年非典,四个季度GDP增速分别为11.1%、9.1%、10%和10%,非典主要影响了2季度GDP增速约1.5个百分点。全年看,受影响最大的第三产业增加值减慢0.8个百分点。当年第三产业占GDP比重为32%,也即非典大致影响当年GDP增速0.3—0.5个百分点,并不算大。</span><b><span>绝大多数人正是依据SARS的经验来判断新冠对经济的影响,但这会带来重大误判与误导;</span></b></p><p><span>4,</span><span><b>2003年,中国经济还是一个睡凉席都不感冒的二十岁小伙</b></span><span>。彼时GDP总量仅11.7万亿,2019年已是99万亿。而且,彼时最易受病毒冲击的三产规模不大,其增加值占GDP比重仅为32%,三分之一不到。但同样的数据,2019年已经达到54%,超过一半——仅按这个数据,</span><span><b>新冠就可以轻松拉低全年GDP一个点。</b></span></p><p><span>更关键的是,</span><span><b>2003年中国刚加入WTO不久</b></span><span>,正在全面享受融入全球分工与市场的红利——</span><span><b>这是中国经济史上唯一可以与1979年中美建交并改革开放相提并论的重大拐点性事件,同时中国自身经济也正处在重化工业化、城镇化和人口红利消费升级的自我强化上升阶段,内外的修复能力与上升动能都堪称充足。</b></span></p><p><span>但现如今的经济身体素质,早已今非昔比。具体数据我不展开了,在我过去的分析里很详尽;</span></p><p><span>5,</span><span><b>还有一个巨大的黑天鹅变量,多数人都还没有纳入考量模型</b></span><span>。世卫组织(WHO)将于近日召开紧急会议,以确定是否把中国新冠纳入“国际关注的突发公共卫生事件" ——用普通话粗暴翻译,就是是否把中国纳入疫区,而考量的核心因素,就是病毒持续人传人的能力。事实上,柳叶刀确定的新冠病毒R值(平均每个病毒患者(携带者)要传染的人数)为2.90——3.1,远超非典1.77和1.85的R值。</span></p><p><span>纳入公共卫生事件,意味着如果没有大规模的应对行动,疫情将无法被妥善控制 。</span><b><span>这个纳入是一把双刃剑</span></b><span>,一方面有助于全世界高度重视疫情防控,疫区国家也能得到更多支援,但另一方面,</span><span><b>世界其他国家大概率会对疫区实行旅行和贸易限制,形同实际意义上的经济制裁</b></span><span>。这对疫区经济是不可承受之重。过去十年WHO宣布过五起 纳入,最近一次是去年七月针对刚果(金)的埃博拉疫情,该疫情超过2500例感染。</span></p><p><span>6,回到我文首说的,新冠并不可怕,现在我们自上而下,应该开始全方位操心经济,行动越快越好。</span><b><span>乱世重典,现在小修小补已于事无补</span></b><span>。</span></p><p><b><span>我的建议是:</span></b></p><p><b><span>首先,动用所有官方力量与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01051\">国际资源</a>,绝对不能让WHO将新冠纳入公共卫生事件,绝对不能;</span></b></p><p><b><span>其次,捆住地方政府的手,缩减和砍削所有基建开支,将钱通过退税和补贴的方式,直接返还给企业与个人,以最大程度修复家庭和企业的资产负债表,增加民间投资与消费信心;</span></b></p><p><b><span>第三,才是大规模减税。税收返还是即期的,减税是未来,于当下,助力不大。当下是要输血救人。</span></b></p><p><b><span>第四,才是考虑增加财政赤字到3以上,让政府花钱</span></b><span>。没有前面的输血,老套路的政府花钱,极大可能吃力不讨好——企业太虚,根本无力承接。</span></p><p><b><span>7,再强调一遍:</span></b></p><p><b><span>经济是主战场!</span></b></p><p><b><span>有经济,才有未来!</span></b></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e20574f8fb568333181d61bb200086","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139503311","content_text":"直接说重点:1,只要地方官吏放下了所谓的面子与政绩,新冠就一定会控制住。时间问题。所有可预判的问题都不可怕,包括新冠。2,现在开始,我们应该自上而下,全面操心经济。经济不可能一直停下去。企业,尤其解决了社会绝大部分就业的中小企业的承受能力是有限的。家庭的资产负债表再恶化,家庭也不会消失。但很多中小企业现金流量表与资产负债表一旦恶化超过一定时长,一口气缓不过来,这个企业就可能没有回头路了。救它们,更需要争分夺秒;3,2003年非典,四个季度GDP增速分别为11.1%、9.1%、10%和10%,非典主要影响了2季度GDP增速约1.5个百分点。全年看,受影响最大的第三产业增加值减慢0.8个百分点。当年第三产业占GDP比重为32%,也即非典大致影响当年GDP增速0.3—0.5个百分点,并不算大。绝大多数人正是依据SARS的经验来判断新冠对经济的影响,但这会带来重大误判与误导;4,2003年,中国经济还是一个睡凉席都不感冒的二十岁小伙。彼时GDP总量仅11.7万亿,2019年已是99万亿。而且,彼时最易受病毒冲击的三产规模不大,其增加值占GDP比重仅为32%,三分之一不到。但同样的数据,2019年已经达到54%,超过一半——仅按这个数据,新冠就可以轻松拉低全年GDP一个点。更关键的是,2003年中国刚加入WTO不久,正在全面享受融入全球分工与市场的红利——这是中国经济史上唯一可以与1979年中美建交并改革开放相提并论的重大拐点性事件,同时中国自身经济也正处在重化工业化、城镇化和人口红利消费升级的自我强化上升阶段,内外的修复能力与上升动能都堪称充足。但现如今的经济身体素质,早已今非昔比。具体数据我不展开了,在我过去的分析里很详尽;5,还有一个巨大的黑天鹅变量,多数人都还没有纳入考量模型。世卫组织(WHO)将于近日召开紧急会议,以确定是否把中国新冠纳入“国际关注的突发公共卫生事件\" ——用普通话粗暴翻译,就是是否把中国纳入疫区,而考量的核心因素,就是病毒持续人传人的能力。事实上,柳叶刀确定的新冠病毒R值(平均每个病毒患者(携带者)要传染的人数)为2.90——3.1,远超非典1.77和1.85的R值。纳入公共卫生事件,意味着如果没有大规模的应对行动,疫情将无法被妥善控制 。这个纳入是一把双刃剑,一方面有助于全世界高度重视疫情防控,疫区国家也能得到更多支援,但另一方面,世界其他国家大概率会对疫区实行旅行和贸易限制,形同实际意义上的经济制裁。这对疫区经济是不可承受之重。过去十年WHO宣布过五起 纳入,最近一次是去年七月针对刚果(金)的埃博拉疫情,该疫情超过2500例感染。6,回到我文首说的,新冠并不可怕,现在我们自上而下,应该开始全方位操心经济,行动越快越好。乱世重典,现在小修小补已于事无补。我的建议是:首先,动用所有官方力量与国际资源,绝对不能让WHO将新冠纳入公共卫生事件,绝对不能;其次,捆住地方政府的手,缩减和砍削所有基建开支,将钱通过退税和补贴的方式,直接返还给企业与个人,以最大程度修复家庭和企业的资产负债表,增加民间投资与消费信心;第三,才是大规模减税。税收返还是即期的,减税是未来,于当下,助力不大。当下是要输血救人。第四,才是考虑增加财政赤字到3以上,让政府花钱。没有前面的输血,老套路的政府花钱,极大可能吃力不讨好——企业太虚,根本无力承接。7,再强调一遍:经济是主战场!有经济,才有未来!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":918796090,"gmtCreate":1579101443510,"gmtModify":1704338947110,"author":{"id":"3514758848322962","authorId":"3514758848322962","name":"lao斯基","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9ce4788a1cae380094845ccbe246b31","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSG\">$万达体育(WSG)$</a> 为啥不多买点","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSG\">$万达体育(WSG)$</a> 为啥不多买点","text":"$万达体育(WSG)$ 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15:25","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"“新冠”疫情不可怕!我们该全面操心经济了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139503311","media":"格隆汇","summary":"企业,尤其解决了社会绝大部分就业的中小企业的承受能力是有限的。","content":"<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/791a7ad4ff412aa090638a75f9ee16aa\" /></p><p><b><span>直接说重点:</span></b></p><p><span>1,只要地方官吏放下了所谓的面子与政绩,新冠就一定会控制住。时间问题。</span><b><span>所有可预判的问题都不可怕,包括新冠</span></b><span>。</span></p><p><span>2,现在开始,我们应该自上而下,全面操心经济。经济不可能一直停下去。企业,尤其解决了社会绝大部分就业的中小企业的承受能力是有限的。</span><b><span>家庭的资产负债表再恶化,家庭也不会消失。但很多中小企业现金流量表与资产负债表一旦恶化超过一定时长,一口气缓不过来,这个企业就可能没有回头路了</span></b><span>。救它们,更需要争分夺秒;</span></p><p><span>3,2003年非典,四个季度GDP增速分别为11.1%、9.1%、10%和10%,非典主要影响了2季度GDP增速约1.5个百分点。全年看,受影响最大的第三产业增加值减慢0.8个百分点。当年第三产业占GDP比重为32%,也即非典大致影响当年GDP增速0.3—0.5个百分点,并不算大。</span><b><span>绝大多数人正是依据SARS的经验来判断新冠对经济的影响,但这会带来重大误判与误导;</span></b></p><p><span>4,</span><span><b>2003年,中国经济还是一个睡凉席都不感冒的二十岁小伙</b></span><span>。彼时GDP总量仅11.7万亿,2019年已是99万亿。而且,彼时最易受病毒冲击的三产规模不大,其增加值占GDP比重仅为32%,三分之一不到。但同样的数据,2019年已经达到54%,超过一半——仅按这个数据,</span><span><b>新冠就可以轻松拉低全年GDP一个点。</b></span></p><p><span>更关键的是,</span><span><b>2003年中国刚加入WTO不久</b></span><span>,正在全面享受融入全球分工与市场的红利——</span><span><b>这是中国经济史上唯一可以与1979年中美建交并改革开放相提并论的重大拐点性事件,同时中国自身经济也正处在重化工业化、城镇化和人口红利消费升级的自我强化上升阶段,内外的修复能力与上升动能都堪称充足。</b></span></p><p><span>但现如今的经济身体素质,早已今非昔比。具体数据我不展开了,在我过去的分析里很详尽;</span></p><p><span>5,</span><span><b>还有一个巨大的黑天鹅变量,多数人都还没有纳入考量模型</b></span><span>。世卫组织(WHO)将于近日召开紧急会议,以确定是否把中国新冠纳入“国际关注的突发公共卫生事件" ——用普通话粗暴翻译,就是是否把中国纳入疫区,而考量的核心因素,就是病毒持续人传人的能力。事实上,柳叶刀确定的新冠病毒R值(平均每个病毒患者(携带者)要传染的人数)为2.90——3.1,远超非典1.77和1.85的R值。</span></p><p><span>纳入公共卫生事件,意味着如果没有大规模的应对行动,疫情将无法被妥善控制 。</span><b><span>这个纳入是一把双刃剑</span></b><span>,一方面有助于全世界高度重视疫情防控,疫区国家也能得到更多支援,但另一方面,</span><span><b>世界其他国家大概率会对疫区实行旅行和贸易限制,形同实际意义上的经济制裁</b></span><span>。这对疫区经济是不可承受之重。过去十年WHO宣布过五起 纳入,最近一次是去年七月针对刚果(金)的埃博拉疫情,该疫情超过2500例感染。</span></p><p><span>6,回到我文首说的,新冠并不可怕,现在我们自上而下,应该开始全方位操心经济,行动越快越好。</span><b><span>乱世重典,现在小修小补已于事无补</span></b><span>。</span></p><p><b><span>我的建议是:</span></b></p><p><b><span>首先,动用所有官方力量与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01051\">国际资源</a>,绝对不能让WHO将新冠纳入公共卫生事件,绝对不能;</span></b></p><p><b><span>其次,捆住地方政府的手,缩减和砍削所有基建开支,将钱通过退税和补贴的方式,直接返还给企业与个人,以最大程度修复家庭和企业的资产负债表,增加民间投资与消费信心;</span></b></p><p><b><span>第三,才是大规模减税。税收返还是即期的,减税是未来,于当下,助力不大。当下是要输血救人。</span></b></p><p><b><span>第四,才是考虑增加财政赤字到3以上,让政府花钱</span></b><span>。没有前面的输血,老套路的政府花钱,极大可能吃力不讨好——企业太虚,根本无力承接。</span></p><p><b><span>7,再强调一遍:</span></b></p><p><b><span>经济是主战场!</span></b></p><p><b><span>有经济,才有未来!</span></b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“新冠”疫情不可怕!我们该全面操心经济了</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“新冠”疫情不可怕!我们该全面操心经济了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/3\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/24397cd0a72f485e9734d658c5a0841d);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">格隆汇 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-01-30 15:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/791a7ad4ff412aa090638a75f9ee16aa\" /></p><p><b><span>直接说重点:</span></b></p><p><span>1,只要地方官吏放下了所谓的面子与政绩,新冠就一定会控制住。时间问题。</span><b><span>所有可预判的问题都不可怕,包括新冠</span></b><span>。</span></p><p><span>2,现在开始,我们应该自上而下,全面操心经济。经济不可能一直停下去。企业,尤其解决了社会绝大部分就业的中小企业的承受能力是有限的。</span><b><span>家庭的资产负债表再恶化,家庭也不会消失。但很多中小企业现金流量表与资产负债表一旦恶化超过一定时长,一口气缓不过来,这个企业就可能没有回头路了</span></b><span>。救它们,更需要争分夺秒;</span></p><p><span>3,2003年非典,四个季度GDP增速分别为11.1%、9.1%、10%和10%,非典主要影响了2季度GDP增速约1.5个百分点。全年看,受影响最大的第三产业增加值减慢0.8个百分点。当年第三产业占GDP比重为32%,也即非典大致影响当年GDP增速0.3—0.5个百分点,并不算大。</span><b><span>绝大多数人正是依据SARS的经验来判断新冠对经济的影响,但这会带来重大误判与误导;</span></b></p><p><span>4,</span><span><b>2003年,中国经济还是一个睡凉席都不感冒的二十岁小伙</b></span><span>。彼时GDP总量仅11.7万亿,2019年已是99万亿。而且,彼时最易受病毒冲击的三产规模不大,其增加值占GDP比重仅为32%,三分之一不到。但同样的数据,2019年已经达到54%,超过一半——仅按这个数据,</span><span><b>新冠就可以轻松拉低全年GDP一个点。</b></span></p><p><span>更关键的是,</span><span><b>2003年中国刚加入WTO不久</b></span><span>,正在全面享受融入全球分工与市场的红利——</span><span><b>这是中国经济史上唯一可以与1979年中美建交并改革开放相提并论的重大拐点性事件,同时中国自身经济也正处在重化工业化、城镇化和人口红利消费升级的自我强化上升阶段,内外的修复能力与上升动能都堪称充足。</b></span></p><p><span>但现如今的经济身体素质,早已今非昔比。具体数据我不展开了,在我过去的分析里很详尽;</span></p><p><span>5,</span><span><b>还有一个巨大的黑天鹅变量,多数人都还没有纳入考量模型</b></span><span>。世卫组织(WHO)将于近日召开紧急会议,以确定是否把中国新冠纳入“国际关注的突发公共卫生事件" ——用普通话粗暴翻译,就是是否把中国纳入疫区,而考量的核心因素,就是病毒持续人传人的能力。事实上,柳叶刀确定的新冠病毒R值(平均每个病毒患者(携带者)要传染的人数)为2.90——3.1,远超非典1.77和1.85的R值。</span></p><p><span>纳入公共卫生事件,意味着如果没有大规模的应对行动,疫情将无法被妥善控制 。</span><b><span>这个纳入是一把双刃剑</span></b><span>,一方面有助于全世界高度重视疫情防控,疫区国家也能得到更多支援,但另一方面,</span><span><b>世界其他国家大概率会对疫区实行旅行和贸易限制,形同实际意义上的经济制裁</b></span><span>。这对疫区经济是不可承受之重。过去十年WHO宣布过五起 纳入,最近一次是去年七月针对刚果(金)的埃博拉疫情,该疫情超过2500例感染。</span></p><p><span>6,回到我文首说的,新冠并不可怕,现在我们自上而下,应该开始全方位操心经济,行动越快越好。</span><b><span>乱世重典,现在小修小补已于事无补</span></b><span>。</span></p><p><b><span>我的建议是:</span></b></p><p><b><span>首先,动用所有官方力量与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01051\">国际资源</a>,绝对不能让WHO将新冠纳入公共卫生事件,绝对不能;</span></b></p><p><b><span>其次,捆住地方政府的手,缩减和砍削所有基建开支,将钱通过退税和补贴的方式,直接返还给企业与个人,以最大程度修复家庭和企业的资产负债表,增加民间投资与消费信心;</span></b></p><p><b><span>第三,才是大规模减税。税收返还是即期的,减税是未来,于当下,助力不大。当下是要输血救人。</span></b></p><p><b><span>第四,才是考虑增加财政赤字到3以上,让政府花钱</span></b><span>。没有前面的输血,老套路的政府花钱,极大可能吃力不讨好——企业太虚,根本无力承接。</span></p><p><b><span>7,再强调一遍:</span></b></p><p><b><span>经济是主战场!</span></b></p><p><b><span>有经济,才有未来!</span></b></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e20574f8fb568333181d61bb200086","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139503311","content_text":"直接说重点:1,只要地方官吏放下了所谓的面子与政绩,新冠就一定会控制住。时间问题。所有可预判的问题都不可怕,包括新冠。2,现在开始,我们应该自上而下,全面操心经济。经济不可能一直停下去。企业,尤其解决了社会绝大部分就业的中小企业的承受能力是有限的。家庭的资产负债表再恶化,家庭也不会消失。但很多中小企业现金流量表与资产负债表一旦恶化超过一定时长,一口气缓不过来,这个企业就可能没有回头路了。救它们,更需要争分夺秒;3,2003年非典,四个季度GDP增速分别为11.1%、9.1%、10%和10%,非典主要影响了2季度GDP增速约1.5个百分点。全年看,受影响最大的第三产业增加值减慢0.8个百分点。当年第三产业占GDP比重为32%,也即非典大致影响当年GDP增速0.3—0.5个百分点,并不算大。绝大多数人正是依据SARS的经验来判断新冠对经济的影响,但这会带来重大误判与误导;4,2003年,中国经济还是一个睡凉席都不感冒的二十岁小伙。彼时GDP总量仅11.7万亿,2019年已是99万亿。而且,彼时最易受病毒冲击的三产规模不大,其增加值占GDP比重仅为32%,三分之一不到。但同样的数据,2019年已经达到54%,超过一半——仅按这个数据,新冠就可以轻松拉低全年GDP一个点。更关键的是,2003年中国刚加入WTO不久,正在全面享受融入全球分工与市场的红利——这是中国经济史上唯一可以与1979年中美建交并改革开放相提并论的重大拐点性事件,同时中国自身经济也正处在重化工业化、城镇化和人口红利消费升级的自我强化上升阶段,内外的修复能力与上升动能都堪称充足。但现如今的经济身体素质,早已今非昔比。具体数据我不展开了,在我过去的分析里很详尽;5,还有一个巨大的黑天鹅变量,多数人都还没有纳入考量模型。世卫组织(WHO)将于近日召开紧急会议,以确定是否把中国新冠纳入“国际关注的突发公共卫生事件\" ——用普通话粗暴翻译,就是是否把中国纳入疫区,而考量的核心因素,就是病毒持续人传人的能力。事实上,柳叶刀确定的新冠病毒R值(平均每个病毒患者(携带者)要传染的人数)为2.90——3.1,远超非典1.77和1.85的R值。纳入公共卫生事件,意味着如果没有大规模的应对行动,疫情将无法被妥善控制 。这个纳入是一把双刃剑,一方面有助于全世界高度重视疫情防控,疫区国家也能得到更多支援,但另一方面,世界其他国家大概率会对疫区实行旅行和贸易限制,形同实际意义上的经济制裁。这对疫区经济是不可承受之重。过去十年WHO宣布过五起 纳入,最近一次是去年七月针对刚果(金)的埃博拉疫情,该疫情超过2500例感染。6,回到我文首说的,新冠并不可怕,现在我们自上而下,应该开始全方位操心经济,行动越快越好。乱世重典,现在小修小补已于事无补。我的建议是:首先,动用所有官方力量与国际资源,绝对不能让WHO将新冠纳入公共卫生事件,绝对不能;其次,捆住地方政府的手,缩减和砍削所有基建开支,将钱通过退税和补贴的方式,直接返还给企业与个人,以最大程度修复家庭和企业的资产负债表,增加民间投资与消费信心;第三,才是大规模减税。税收返还是即期的,减税是未来,于当下,助力不大。当下是要输血救人。第四,才是考虑增加财政赤字到3以上,让政府花钱。没有前面的输血,老套路的政府花钱,极大可能吃力不讨好——企业太虚,根本无力承接。7,再强调一遍:经济是主战场!有经济,才有未来!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":900616447,"gmtCreate":1555562706089,"gmtModify":1704799128135,"author":{"id":"3514758848322962","authorId":"3514758848322962","name":"lao斯基","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9ce4788a1cae380094845ccbe246b31","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$看看人家高通,怪我太穷之前没钱买","listText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$看看人家高通,怪我太穷之前没钱买","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$看看人家高通,怪我太穷之前没钱买","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25db64991670a1c520ed468a4cf6b9e3"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/900616447","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}