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2020-10-02

利好消息

美国9月季调后非农就业人口新增66.1万人，不及预期

2019-02-01

$小米集团-W(01810)$ 小米牛逼啊

2019-02-01

$小米集团-W(01810)$ 我要抱着你过年

2019-01-28

$小米集团-W(01810)$ 一动不动是王八

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20:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>美国9月季调后非农就业人口新增66.1万人，预期增85万人，前值增137.1万人；据悉，9月增幅连续第三个月录得下滑，且为4月以来首次跌至100万人下方。</p><p>9月失业率为7.9%，预期为8.2%，前值为8.4%，为连续第五个月录得下滑。</p><p>美国劳工统计局称，劳动力市场的改善反映了受新冠肺炎疫情抑制的经济活动继续恢复，以及为控制疫情所付出的努力。</p><p>彭博资深分析师Chris Anstey提醒投资者，<b>9月就业人口变动数据和失业率来自不同的调查。</b>失业率下降了，这看起来是件好事。但其中一个原因是，很多人已经离开了劳动力大军，他们实际上已经放弃了寻找工作，这对降低失业率产生了影响。但这不是一个健康的迹象。</p><p>财经网站Forexlive分析师Adam Button表示，美国失业率降至8%以下值得成为头条新闻，但失业率下降0.5个百分点的同时，参与率也下降了0.3个百分点，就业业参与率下降对经济不利，表明一些人正滑向长期失业，或与劳动力脱节。</p><p>彭博经济学家评9月非农称，在就业报告中，对利率市场几乎没有太大的影响。在经济活动出现更明显的加速或下降之前，近期的波动区间可能会保持不变。大选可能成为利率市场进一步波动的下一个催化剂，但通常不会对市场产生影响——2016年是个大例外。</p><p><b>观点：9月非农不及预期，或只是一个糟糕的开始</b></p><p>汇通网评论称，本次非农数据还透露出表象下的压力，相比被暂时裁员或休无薪假的人数，永久失业人数正在增加。此外，失业时间更久的人数在前几个月也有所增加；</p><p>数据显现出美国经济进入了一个关键的阶段，因为失去了大量美国政府的救助，而11月美国大选又即将到来，外加疫情继续，充满了不确定性。</p><p>人口普查临时雇员的解雇可能成为一个拖累非农数据的因素，此前因为人口普查雇佣了大量的临时工，提振了8月非农数据表现，但现在却成了拖累，而后续的数据可能更糟糕，数万名航空公司工作人员将被迫休假，零售商季节性雇用低于平均水平，户外就餐变得更加难以维持导致餐馆员工的裁员，以及潜在的州和地方政府裁员。</p><p>如果美国经济复苏不及预期，那么将有可能演变成更大规模的企业破产。需要提及的是，经济复苏很大程度上还要取决于美国疫情情况的演变。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67ddaab67c271192b52371b38356b471","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 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