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独钓寒江雪A
11-01
$超微电脑(SMCI)$
独钓寒江雪A
10-24
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@期权小班长:机构对市场如此乐观?末日期权交易策略打包成ETF上市了
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的到期日透露了很多信息,机构压上1亿保证金认为非农之前市场不会有起色,微软不会超过330。为什么是非农?大家可能还记得8月非农公布时发生了什么,7月和6月非农数据发生了显著下修,7月非农就业数据从18.7万人下修为15.7万人,6月从18.5万下修为10.5万,合计下修11万人。如果不出意外这次数据也会有大幅下修情况,市场必然预期美联储会借坡下驴,最后一次加息也会不了了之。由于9月的下修数据事件,市场又显得急不可耐的激进,上周有两件事让人印象深刻,其一是估值500亿以上的芯片巨头 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARM\">$ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$</a> 上市,其二是0日到期期权ETF——S&P 500 增强型期权收益 ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQY\">$Defiance Nasdaq 100 Enhanced Options Income ETF(QQQY)$</a> 上市。后者是本篇文章接下来要谈论的内容。期权ETF期权收益ETF不是新鲜事,比如备兑看涨期权ETF:","text":"当前市场处于一个又冒进又保守的状态,多空就最后一次加息进行激烈的博弈。目前来看空头暂赢。胜负手不在于本周FOMC,可以预计,美联储不会在本次会议上加息,重点是鲍威尔的态度:11月会不会最后一次加息。而鲍威尔对此会持有三种态度:下次加息,下次不加息,加不加息看数据。我更倾向于第三种态度,从期权大单的到期日来看,机构也认为此次小回调行情的转折点在10月6号的非农:周五临收盘前的卖出平价看涨期权 $MSFT 20231006 330.0 CALL$ 的到期日透露了很多信息,机构压上1亿保证金认为非农之前市场不会有起色,微软不会超过330。为什么是非农?大家可能还记得8月非农公布时发生了什么,7月和6月非农数据发生了显著下修,7月非农就业数据从18.7万人下修为15.7万人,6月从18.5万下修为10.5万,合计下修11万人。如果不出意外这次数据也会有大幅下修情况,市场必然预期美联储会借坡下驴,最后一次加息也会不了了之。由于9月的下修数据事件,市场又显得急不可耐的激进,上周有两件事让人印象深刻,其一是估值500亿以上的芯片巨头 $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ 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","text":"$超微电脑(SMCI)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5af73a31a6c9ae43c001161279eac5a","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366376857092248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363203475767600,"gmtCreate":1729715318407,"gmtModify":1729717707232,"author":{"id":"3507596082470494","authorId":"3507596082470494","name":"独钓寒江雪A","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86d14523ab7112c237e74dbf67637f01","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3507596082470494","idStr":"3507596082470494"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363203475767600","repostId":"221196570558496","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":221196570558496,"gmtCreate":1695022618169,"gmtModify":1695022854124,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","idStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"机构对市场如此乐观?末日期权交易策略打包成ETF上市了","htmlText":"当前市场处于一个又冒进又保守的状态,多空就最后一次加息进行激烈的博弈。目前来看空头暂赢。胜负手不在于本周FOMC,可以预计,美联储不会在本次会议上加息,重点是鲍威尔的态度:11月会不会最后一次加息。而鲍威尔对此会持有三种态度:下次加息,下次不加息,加不加息看数据。我更倾向于第三种态度,从期权大单的到期日来看,机构也认为此次小回调行情的转折点在10月6号的非农:周五临收盘前的卖出平价看涨期权 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的到期日透露了很多信息,机构压上1亿保证金认为非农之前市场不会有起色,微软不会超过330。为什么是非农?大家可能还记得8月非农公布时发生了什么,7月和6月非农数据发生了显著下修,7月非农就业数据从18.7万人下修为15.7万人,6月从18.5万下修为10.5万,合计下修11万人。如果不出意外这次数据也会有大幅下修情况,市场必然预期美联储会借坡下驴,最后一次加息也会不了了之。由于9月的下修数据事件,市场又显得急不可耐的激进,上周有两件事让人印象深刻,其一是估值500亿以上的芯片巨头 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARM\">$ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$</a> 上市,其二是0日到期期权ETF——S&P 500 增强型期权收益 ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQY\">$Defiance Nasdaq 100 Enhanced Options Income ETF(QQQY)$</a> 上市。后者是本篇文章接下来要谈论的内容。期权ETF期权收益ETF不是新鲜事,比如备兑看涨期权ETF:","text":"当前市场处于一个又冒进又保守的状态,多空就最后一次加息进行激烈的博弈。目前来看空头暂赢。胜负手不在于本周FOMC,可以预计,美联储不会在本次会议上加息,重点是鲍威尔的态度:11月会不会最后一次加息。而鲍威尔对此会持有三种态度:下次加息,下次不加息,加不加息看数据。我更倾向于第三种态度,从期权大单的到期日来看,机构也认为此次小回调行情的转折点在10月6号的非农:周五临收盘前的卖出平价看涨期权 $MSFT 20231006 330.0 CALL$ 的到期日透露了很多信息,机构压上1亿保证金认为非农之前市场不会有起色,微软不会超过330。为什么是非农?大家可能还记得8月非农公布时发生了什么,7月和6月非农数据发生了显著下修,7月非农就业数据从18.7万人下修为15.7万人,6月从18.5万下修为10.5万,合计下修11万人。如果不出意外这次数据也会有大幅下修情况,市场必然预期美联储会借坡下驴,最后一次加息也会不了了之。由于9月的下修数据事件,市场又显得急不可耐的激进,上周有两件事让人印象深刻,其一是估值500亿以上的芯片巨头 $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ 上市,其二是0日到期期权ETF——S&P 500 增强型期权收益 ETF $Defiance Nasdaq 100 Enhanced Options Income ETF(QQQY)$ 上市。后者是本篇文章接下来要谈论的内容。期权ETF期权收益ETF不是新鲜事,比如备兑看涨期权ETF:","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cf0f50d02b699ae583cc5aa0914e448","width":"2308","height":"1090"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/221196570558496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}