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独钓寒江雪A
11-01
$超微电脑(SMCI)$
独钓寒江雪A
10-24
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@期权小班长:机构对市场如此乐观？末日期权交易策略打包成ETF上市了
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的到期日透露了很多信息，机构压上1亿保证金认为非农之前市场不会有起色，微软不会超过330。为什么是非农？大家可能还记得8月非农公布时发生了什么，7月和6月非农数据发生了显著下修，7月非农就业数据从18.7万人下修为15.7万人，6月从18.5万下修为10.5万，合计下修11万人。如果不出意外这次数据也会有大幅下修情况，市场必然预期美联储会借坡下驴，最后一次加息也会不了了之。由于9月的下修数据事件，市场又显得急不可耐的激进，上周有两件事让人印象深刻，其一是估值500亿以上的芯片巨头 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARM\">$ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$</a> 上市，其二是0日到期期权ETF——S&P 500 增强型期权收益 ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQY\">$Defiance Nasdaq 100 Enhanced Options Income ETF(QQQY)$</a> 上市。后者是本篇文章接下来要谈论的内容。期权ETF期权收益ETF不是新鲜事，比如备兑看涨期权ETF：","text":"当前市场处于一个又冒进又保守的状态，多空就最后一次加息进行激烈的博弈。目前来看空头暂赢。胜负手不在于本周FOMC，可以预计，美联储不会在本次会议上加息，重点是鲍威尔的态度：11月会不会最后一次加息。而鲍威尔对此会持有三种态度：下次加息，下次不加息，加不加息看数据。我更倾向于第三种态度，从期权大单的到期日来看，机构也认为此次小回调行情的转折点在10月6号的非农：周五临收盘前的卖出平价看涨期权 $MSFT 20231006 330.0 CALL$ 的到期日透露了很多信息，机构压上1亿保证金认为非农之前市场不会有起色，微软不会超过330。为什么是非农？大家可能还记得8月非农公布时发生了什么，7月和6月非农数据发生了显著下修，7月非农就业数据从18.7万人下修为15.7万人，6月从18.5万下修为10.5万，合计下修11万人。如果不出意外这次数据也会有大幅下修情况，市场必然预期美联储会借坡下驴，最后一次加息也会不了了之。由于9月的下修数据事件，市场又显得急不可耐的激进，上周有两件事让人印象深刻，其一是估值500亿以上的芯片巨头 $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ 上市，其二是0日到期期权ETF——S&P 500 增强型期权收益 ETF $Defiance Nasdaq 100 Enhanced Options Income ETF(QQQY)$ 上市。后者是本篇文章接下来要谈论的内容。期权ETF期权收益ETF不是新鲜事，比如备兑看涨期权ETF：","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cf0f50d02b699ae583cc5aa0914e448","width":"2308","height":"1090"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/221196570558496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
