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神算巴菲特
2021-04-21
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
我想问,一个女人并非自己驾驶车,坚决闹事,上来就要后台数据?这是什么来头?10万个女人当中,有一个懂得要后台数据的么?并且普通车根本没有后台数据,可见这个女人经过了专业人士的指导!有幕后!!
神算巴菲特
2021-04-21
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
我的奇瑞车刹车卡死,那些媒体都不理我啊?什么情况??各种情况,底盘生锈,门无法锁上,发动机如拖拉机!!难道买特斯拉的都是大爷???我就是孙子??
神算巴菲特
2021-04-21
回复
@电车电动
:我的奇瑞问题:地盘生锈,发动机噪音大,锁门偶尔锁的上偶尔锁不上,空调制热不制冷。是不是要上上热搜呢??//
@电车电动
:没人想搞走谁;中国还是挺开放的了;否则也不会任由它这样;但作为一个有责任心的车企;应该把生命、安全放在第一位;而不是在事故一而再的频发也不处理召回排查,数据公开;这有点不是太合理;反而中国企业到某国却受打压
@神算巴菲特:
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
当年如何搞走三星的,今日就如何搞特斯拉。三星手机电池起火还记得吗?普天盖地的新闻。这就是日韩企业痛下决心离开的,三星离开了,依然过的很好~~
神算巴菲特
2021-04-21
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
当年苹果富士康事件,全民谴责苹果公司,估计苹果还记着那笔帐呢,所以今日痛下决心往东南亚和印度迁移。以特斯拉老板性格,只要时机成熟,一定会立马退出中国。
神算巴菲特
2020-12-29
兄弟,别太激动啊!
@和硕怡亲王:
$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$
重仓电动三宝以后,每一天都是地狱。根本不用看盘,就知道他们在跌。特别的放心,每天稳稳的亏几千刀。亏完,我也就可以完结此生。
神算巴菲特
2020-12-29
$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$
建议清仓小偷汽车,名声坏了,基本没戏了!
神算巴菲特
2020-12-29
今天看了小鹏利用品玩去碰瓷特斯拉新闻,这个股票退市不是很远,管理团队不好好提高品质做科技研发,终究被淘汰。被网友称做小偷汽车,这种恶名的出现是自己挖坑害自己。
神算巴菲特
2020-08-05
$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$
雪崩来的太早,贪婪的人付出代价。
神算巴菲特
2020-08-04
$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$
股票是布朗运动,短期内无法预知涨跌,但是可以根据财务数据判断涨跌的概率高低,此股票价值最多2元。
神算巴菲特
2020-08-04
$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$
股票没有财报支撑,雪崩时侯,没有一片雪花是无辜的。
神算巴菲特
2020-08-04
其实买这种股票风险极高。就跟买比特币完全一样,绝对不是价值投资。而是一种赌博。
@神算巴菲特:
$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$
为什么很有可能破产的公司,居然如此多人追捧?
神算巴菲特
2020-08-04
$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$
为什么很有可能破产的公司,居然如此多人追捧?
神算巴菲特
2020-04-04
作者一窍不通,最高500万,你是对美国法律当做鸡国法律吧!100个500万都解决不了问题。作者一窍不通,无知~
财务造假22亿元 瑞幸咖啡“自首”的后果有多严重
神算巴菲特
2020-02-04
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
神算巴菲特
2020-02-01
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
两大做空机构对掐,瑞幸股价遭巨震
神算巴菲特
2019-06-26
$BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II(BST)$ 看看以前的表现,增长强劲!
神算巴菲特
2019-06-26
$BlackRock Science and Technology Trust II(BSTZ)$ 这个股票牛逼,可以参展一期!
神算巴菲特
2019-06-09
$中国有赞(08083)$ 像有赞这种股票,直接清仓,还有自己的公司霸屏??
神算巴菲特
2019-06-06
$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 各位大牛,如何确定以及是否中签了?我申购新股了!
神算巴菲特
2019-06-03
$老虎证券(TIGR)$如何购买标普500指数?老虎证券可以购买?
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3538182554979547\">@电车电动</a>:我的奇瑞问题:地盘生锈,发动机噪音大,锁门偶尔锁的上偶尔锁不上,空调制热不制冷。是不是要上上热搜呢??//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3538182554979547\">@电车电动</a>:没人想搞走谁;中国还是挺开放的了;否则也不会任由它这样;但作为一个有责任心的车企;应该把生命、安全放在第一位;而不是在事故一而再的频发也不处理召回排查,数据公开;这有点不是太合理;反而中国企业到某国却受打压","listText":"回复 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3538182554979547\">@电车电动</a>:我的奇瑞问题:地盘生锈,发动机噪音大,锁门偶尔锁的上偶尔锁不上,空调制热不制冷。是不是要上上热搜呢??//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3538182554979547\">@电车电动</a>:没人想搞走谁;中国还是挺开放的了;否则也不会任由它这样;但作为一个有责任心的车企;应该把生命、安全放在第一位;而不是在事故一而再的频发也不处理召回排查,数据公开;这有点不是太合理;反而中国企业到某国却受打压","text":"回复 @电车电动:我的奇瑞问题:地盘生锈,发动机噪音大,锁门偶尔锁的上偶尔锁不上,空调制热不制冷。是不是要上上热搜呢??//@电车电动:没人想搞走谁;中国还是挺开放的了;否则也不会任由它这样;但作为一个有责任心的车企;应该把生命、安全放在第一位;而不是在事故一而再的频发也不处理召回排查,数据公开;这有点不是太合理;反而中国企业到某国却受打压","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378399744","repostId":"378942031","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":378942031,"gmtCreate":1618994883423,"gmtModify":1664441044337,"author":{"id":"3503867334083054","authorId":"3503867334083054","name":"神算巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3503867334083054","idStr":"3503867334083054"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 当年如何搞走三星的,今日就如何搞特斯拉。三星手机电池起火还记得吗?普天盖地的新闻。这就是日韩企业痛下决心离开的,三星离开了,依然过的很好~~","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\"></a><a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>当年苹果富士康事件,全民谴责苹果公司,估计苹果还记着那笔帐呢,所以今日痛下决心往东南亚和印度迁移。以特斯拉老板性格,只要时机成熟,一定会立马退出中国。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$当年苹果富士康事件,全民谴责苹果公司,估计苹果还记着那笔帐呢,所以今日痛下决心往东南亚和印度迁移。以特斯拉老板性格,只要时机成熟,一定会立马退出中国。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378970090","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2812,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":333698845,"gmtCreate":1609251246687,"gmtModify":1703738419567,"author":{"id":"3503867334083054","authorId":"3503867334083054","name":"神算巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3503867334083054","idStr":"3503867334083054"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"兄弟,别太激动啊!","listText":"兄弟,别太激动啊!","text":"兄弟,别太激动啊!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/333698845","repostId":"333698300","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":333698300,"gmtCreate":1609251180700,"gmtModify":1703738419052,"author":{"id":"3557143628409344","authorId":"3557143628409344","name":"和硕怡亲王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9807e06a21f5da3147448cbd193f24a8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557143628409344","idStr":"3557143628409344"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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雪崩来的太早,贪婪的人付出代价。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/945510347","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3470617942608250","authorId":"3470617942608250","name":"狂派霸天虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a3fec7b875debdd6424acf25f2085e1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3470617942608250","idStr":"3470617942608250"},"content":"这么牛逼,请问有成绩单吗?[可爱]","text":"这么牛逼,请问有成绩单吗?[可爱]","html":"这么牛逼,请问有成绩单吗?[可爱]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":945675072,"gmtCreate":1596555146496,"gmtModify":1704212699095,"author":{"id":"3503867334083054","authorId":"3503867334083054","name":"神算巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3503867334083054","idStr":"3503867334083054"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JMIA\">$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$</a> 股票是布朗运动,短期内无法预知涨跌,但是可以根据财务数据判断涨跌的概率高低,此股票价值最多2元。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JMIA\">$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$</a> 股票是布朗运动,短期内无法预知涨跌,但是可以根据财务数据判断涨跌的概率高低,此股票价值最多2元。","text":"$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$ 股票是布朗运动,短期内无法预知涨跌,但是可以根据财务数据判断涨跌的概率高低,此股票价值最多2元。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/945675072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":945679932,"gmtCreate":1596554342226,"gmtModify":1704212691699,"author":{"id":"3503867334083054","authorId":"3503867334083054","name":"神算巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3503867334083054","idStr":"3503867334083054"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JMIA\">$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$</a> 股票没有财报支撑,雪崩时侯,没有一片雪花是无辜的。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JMIA\">$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$</a> 股票没有财报支撑,雪崩时侯,没有一片雪花是无辜的。","text":"$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$ 股票没有财报支撑,雪崩时侯,没有一片雪花是无辜的。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/945679932","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":945662115,"gmtCreate":1596550310537,"gmtModify":1704212643866,"author":{"id":"3503867334083054","authorId":"3503867334083054","name":"神算巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3503867334083054","idStr":"3503867334083054"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"其实买这种股票风险极高。就跟买比特币完全一样,绝对不是价值投资。而是一种赌博。","listText":"其实买这种股票风险极高。就跟买比特币完全一样,绝对不是价值投资。而是一种赌博。","text":"其实买这种股票风险极高。就跟买比特币完全一样,绝对不是价值投资。而是一种赌博。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/945662115","repostId":"945669241","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":945669241,"gmtCreate":1596549806983,"gmtModify":1704212638178,"author":{"id":"3503867334083054","authorId":"3503867334083054","name":"神算巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3503867334083054","idStr":"3503867334083054"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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为什么很有可能破产的公司,居然如此多人追捧?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/945669241","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":945669241,"gmtCreate":1596549806983,"gmtModify":1704212638178,"author":{"id":"3503867334083054","authorId":"3503867334083054","name":"神算巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3503867334083054","idStr":"3503867334083054"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JMIA\">$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$</a> 为什么很有可能破产的公司,居然如此多人追捧?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JMIA\">$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$</a> 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为什么很有可能破产的公司,居然如此多人追捧?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/945669241","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2336,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":921040759,"gmtCreate":1586003440371,"gmtModify":1704359976252,"author":{"id":"3503867334083054","authorId":"3503867334083054","name":"神算巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3503867334083054","idStr":"3503867334083054"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"作者一窍不通,最高500万,你是对美国法律当做鸡国法律吧!100个500万都解决不了问题。作者一窍不通,无知~","listText":"作者一窍不通,最高500万,你是对美国法律当做鸡国法律吧!100个500万都解决不了问题。作者一窍不通,无知~","text":"作者一窍不通,最高500万,你是对美国法律当做鸡国法律吧!100个500万都解决不了问题。作者一窍不通,无知~","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/921040759","repostId":"2024412900","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2024412900","pubTimestamp":1585999080,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2024412900?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-04-04 19:18","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"财务造假22亿元 瑞幸咖啡“自首”的后果有多严重","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2024412900","media":"中国商网","summary":"原标题:财务造假22亿元 瑞幸咖啡“自首”的后果有多严重4月2日晚间,距离当天美股开盘前不到一小时,瑞幸咖啡突然发布消息称,公司调查显示,公司COO(首席运营官)及个别员工伪造了价值大约22亿元人民币","content":"<html><body><article><p>原标题:财务造假22亿元 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a>“自首”的后果有多严重</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20200404192042515v034l3bkboqw3ko\"/><p>4月2日晚间,距离当天美股开盘前不到一小时,瑞幸咖啡突然发布消息称,公司调查显示,公司COO(首席运营官)及个别员工伪造了价值大约22亿元人民币的交易。</p><p><strong>瑞幸“自首”</strong></p><p>消息一出,瑞幸咖啡盘前竞价一度暴跌85%,股价由每股26美元跌至每股4.9美元。盘中交易时,股票触发了八次熔断,投资者恐慌性抛盘不断。截至收盘,瑞幸咖啡股价为每股6.4美元,跌幅仍然高达75%。</p><p>中国商报记者随即向瑞幸咖啡品牌工作人员进行了求证,该工作人员表示,调查仍在继续,具体细节不太知情。</p><p>据瑞幸咖啡提交给美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的文件显示,从去年第二季度开始,公司首席运营官兼董事刘剑以及向他报告的几名员工从事了不当行为,包括捏造某些交易。</p><p>上述线索是公司特别委员会在监督审计截至去年12月31日合并财报报表时发现的,该内部调查处于初步阶段。</p><p>据初步调查的信息表明,瑞幸咖啡从去年第二季度到去年第四季度与虚假交易相关的总销售金额约为人民币22亿元。在此期间,某些成本和费用也因虚假交易而大幅膨胀。</p><p>值得注意的是,从此次瑞幸咖啡财务数据造假的消息来源看,属于企业“自首”。</p><p>公开资料显示,查出财务造假的特别委员会,是由瑞幸咖啡董事会的三名独立董事组成——邵绍锋、濮天若和Wai Yuen Chong。其中,邵绍锋担任该特别委员会的主席。特别委员会还聘请了与内部调查有关的独立顾问,包括独立法律顾问和法务会计师。</p><p>此外,特别委员会聘请了凯易国际律师事务所(Kirkland & Ellis)作为其独立外部顾问。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FCN\">FTI咨询</a>公司将作为独立的法务会计专家,协助凯易国际律师事务所的工作。</p><p>特别委员会建议,采取某些临时补救措施,包括对刘剑先生和涉嫌不当行为的此类雇员停职,以及中止与已确定的虚假交易涉及方的合同和交易。</p><p>瑞幸咖啡表示,公司董事会已接受了特别委员会的建议。公司将采取所有适当措施,包括针对不当行为个人的法律诉讼。</p><p><strong>或将面临巨额罚款</strong></p><p>中国商报记者注意到,在此次造假消息曝光之前,美国已有多家律所对瑞幸咖啡提起集体诉讼,控告瑞幸作出虚假和误导性陈述,违反美国证券法。目前,该项集体诉讼已于2月13日在纽约南区地方法院立案。</p><p>值得一提的是,早在两个月之前,瑞幸还曾否认过浑水机构对其盈利数据造假的做空报告。</p><p>浑水机构此前直指瑞幸咖啡自去年第三季度以来存在造假行为。做空报告认为,瑞幸咖啡夸大了门店商品的销售数量,将第三季度和第四季度每店每日的商品销量至少夸大了69%和88%。</p><p>报告中强调,瑞幸咖啡的订单量、销量、价格方面存在造假行为,而这意味着报告的核心论点是瑞幸咖啡的单店利润存在造假行为。根据瑞幸咖啡公布的数据,16元的单杯价格和单店日平均448杯的销量可以使得单店利润率接近30%。但如果按照报告所指出的数据模型来看,单店的经营将亏损达28%。</p><p>按照报告中的逻辑,瑞幸咖啡的门店处于亏损状态,但为了在财务上制造出盈利的假象,因而夸大市场营销的费用以遮掩。</p><p>瑞幸财报显示,在去年第三季度,其计划在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002027\">分众传媒</a>(主营电梯、室外电子屏幕等广告业务)的投放为3.8亿元。</p><p>但第三方统计数据显示,去年5月之前,瑞幸咖啡一直是分众传媒最大的客户。可从当年6月起,瑞幸咖啡在分众传媒的投放已迅速缩减,跌出前十客户的位置中,实际支出仅为0.46亿元。</p><p>瑞幸咖啡表示,实际的财务造假数据将随着内部调查的进行而发生改变,投资者应不再依赖公司此前公布的部分财务数据。当前,公司正在评估不当行为对其财务报表的整体财务影响,还将继续评估先前发布的财务状况和其他可能的调整。</p><p>可查询的最新数据显示,去年第三季度,瑞幸咖啡净亏损达5.3亿元,在我国自营门店达4507家。</p><p>北京市中银律师事务所律师付明德表示:“瑞幸咖啡或将面临美国证监会的巨额罚款,罚款金额将由美国证监会根据调查结果作出,最高可达500万美元。责任人也有可能面临刑事制裁,最高可判处25年的监禁。”</p><p>付明德认为,瑞幸咖啡将责任归咎于首席运营官和下属员工,是为了将造假行为与公司以及其他信息披露义务人进行切割,但是首席运营官和下属员工等责任人均是职务行为,公司必须对他们的行为承担责任,因此,瑞幸咖啡也不能免责。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>财务造假22亿元 瑞幸咖啡“自首”的后果有多严重</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n财务造假22亿元 瑞幸咖啡“自首”的后果有多严重\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-04-04 19:18 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202004041920427af393f0&s=b><strong>中国商网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>原标题:财务造假22亿元 瑞幸咖啡“自首”的后果有多严重4月2日晚间,距离当天美股开盘前不到一小时,瑞幸咖啡突然发布消息称,公司调查显示,公司COO(首席运营官)及个别员工伪造了价值大约22亿元人民币的交易。瑞幸“自首”消息一出,瑞幸咖啡盘前竞价一度暴跌85%,股价由每股26美元跌至每股4.9美元。盘中交易时,股票触发了八次熔断,投资者恐慌性抛盘不断。截至收盘,瑞幸咖啡股价为每股6.4美元,跌幅...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202004041920427af393f0&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dbd4ef4cf9c9c3df70d9ff23af4de11","relate_stocks":{"LK":"瑞幸咖啡"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202004041920427af393f0&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2024412900","content_text":"原标题:财务造假22亿元 瑞幸咖啡“自首”的后果有多严重4月2日晚间,距离当天美股开盘前不到一小时,瑞幸咖啡突然发布消息称,公司调查显示,公司COO(首席运营官)及个别员工伪造了价值大约22亿元人民币的交易。瑞幸“自首”消息一出,瑞幸咖啡盘前竞价一度暴跌85%,股价由每股26美元跌至每股4.9美元。盘中交易时,股票触发了八次熔断,投资者恐慌性抛盘不断。截至收盘,瑞幸咖啡股价为每股6.4美元,跌幅仍然高达75%。中国商报记者随即向瑞幸咖啡品牌工作人员进行了求证,该工作人员表示,调查仍在继续,具体细节不太知情。据瑞幸咖啡提交给美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的文件显示,从去年第二季度开始,公司首席运营官兼董事刘剑以及向他报告的几名员工从事了不当行为,包括捏造某些交易。上述线索是公司特别委员会在监督审计截至去年12月31日合并财报报表时发现的,该内部调查处于初步阶段。据初步调查的信息表明,瑞幸咖啡从去年第二季度到去年第四季度与虚假交易相关的总销售金额约为人民币22亿元。在此期间,某些成本和费用也因虚假交易而大幅膨胀。值得注意的是,从此次瑞幸咖啡财务数据造假的消息来源看,属于企业“自首”。公开资料显示,查出财务造假的特别委员会,是由瑞幸咖啡董事会的三名独立董事组成——邵绍锋、濮天若和Wai Yuen Chong。其中,邵绍锋担任该特别委员会的主席。特别委员会还聘请了与内部调查有关的独立顾问,包括独立法律顾问和法务会计师。此外,特别委员会聘请了凯易国际律师事务所(Kirkland & Ellis)作为其独立外部顾问。FTI咨询公司将作为独立的法务会计专家,协助凯易国际律师事务所的工作。特别委员会建议,采取某些临时补救措施,包括对刘剑先生和涉嫌不当行为的此类雇员停职,以及中止与已确定的虚假交易涉及方的合同和交易。瑞幸咖啡表示,公司董事会已接受了特别委员会的建议。公司将采取所有适当措施,包括针对不当行为个人的法律诉讼。或将面临巨额罚款中国商报记者注意到,在此次造假消息曝光之前,美国已有多家律所对瑞幸咖啡提起集体诉讼,控告瑞幸作出虚假和误导性陈述,违反美国证券法。目前,该项集体诉讼已于2月13日在纽约南区地方法院立案。值得一提的是,早在两个月之前,瑞幸还曾否认过浑水机构对其盈利数据造假的做空报告。浑水机构此前直指瑞幸咖啡自去年第三季度以来存在造假行为。做空报告认为,瑞幸咖啡夸大了门店商品的销售数量,将第三季度和第四季度每店每日的商品销量至少夸大了69%和88%。报告中强调,瑞幸咖啡的订单量、销量、价格方面存在造假行为,而这意味着报告的核心论点是瑞幸咖啡的单店利润存在造假行为。根据瑞幸咖啡公布的数据,16元的单杯价格和单店日平均448杯的销量可以使得单店利润率接近30%。但如果按照报告所指出的数据模型来看,单店的经营将亏损达28%。按照报告中的逻辑,瑞幸咖啡的门店处于亏损状态,但为了在财务上制造出盈利的假象,因而夸大市场营销的费用以遮掩。瑞幸财报显示,在去年第三季度,其计划在分众传媒(主营电梯、室外电子屏幕等广告业务)的投放为3.8亿元。但第三方统计数据显示,去年5月之前,瑞幸咖啡一直是分众传媒最大的客户。可从当年6月起,瑞幸咖啡在分众传媒的投放已迅速缩减,跌出前十客户的位置中,实际支出仅为0.46亿元。瑞幸咖啡表示,实际的财务造假数据将随着内部调查的进行而发生改变,投资者应不再依赖公司此前公布的部分财务数据。当前,公司正在评估不当行为对其财务报表的整体财务影响,还将继续评估先前发布的财务状况和其他可能的调整。可查询的最新数据显示,去年第三季度,瑞幸咖啡净亏损达5.3亿元,在我国自营门店达4507家。北京市中银律师事务所律师付明德表示:“瑞幸咖啡或将面临美国证监会的巨额罚款,罚款金额将由美国证监会根据调查结果作出,最高可达500万美元。责任人也有可能面临刑事制裁,最高可判处25年的监禁。”付明德认为,瑞幸咖啡将责任归咎于首席运营官和下属员工,是为了将造假行为与公司以及其他信息披露义务人进行切割,但是首席运营官和下属员工等责任人均是职务行为,公司必须对他们的行为承担责任,因此,瑞幸咖啡也不能免责。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1336,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":915859749,"gmtCreate":1580795553681,"gmtModify":1704342313510,"author":{"id":"3503867334083054","authorId":"3503867334083054","name":"神算巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3503867334083054","idStr":"3503867334083054"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/915859749","repostId":"2007484852","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":915040703,"gmtCreate":1580512396802,"gmtModify":1704341776114,"author":{"id":"3503867334083054","authorId":"3503867334083054","name":"神算巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3503867334083054","idStr":"3503867334083054"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/915040703","repostId":"1106582243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106582243","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1580510871,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106582243?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-02-01 06:47","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"两大做空机构对掐,瑞幸股价遭巨震","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106582243","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"知名做空机构浑水凌晨宣布做空瑞幸咖啡,导致瑞幸股价盘中一度暴跌逾24%。随后,另一知名做空机构香橼发推特表示他们做多瑞幸,瑞幸股价上演深V反弹,截至收盘,下跌10.74%。","content":"<p><span>知名做空机构浑水(Muddy Waters)周四凌晨宣布做空<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">$(LK)$</a>,导致瑞幸股价盘中盘中一度暴跌逾24%。随后,另一知名做空机构香橼(Citron Research)发推特表示他们做多瑞幸,瑞幸股价上演深V反弹,截至收盘,下跌10.74%,两大做空机构上演多空大战,结果将如何?拭目以待。而瑞幸自冠状病毒爆发以来,股价已跌去了30%。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef0c67356568c3e7f98c125fcefb901a\" /></p><p><span>浑水表示他们收到一份长达89页的报告指控瑞幸造假,浑水研究后认为这份报告真实成立。撰写这份报告之人,派了92个全职和1400个兼职调查员,还收了25000多张小票 ,进行录了10000个小时的门店录像,认为在2019年第三季度,瑞幸单店每日销售商品数量虚增至少69%,第四季度虚增达88%。并且收集了大量内部微信聊天记录,关联人与企业的工商信息,作证分析环环相扣。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0ee29b47e84ab6239108b915247136e\" /></p><p><span>香橼称也收到这份报告,但认为报告的准确度不高,期待瑞幸管理层回应。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6354c4fb74fe57ac623efa09ee82981e\" /></p><p><span>这份做空报告称,这是一基本面破裂的业务,它试图通过折扣和免费向中国消费者灌输喝咖啡的文化。在2019年5月在完成6.45亿美元的IPO之后,瑞幸从2019年第3季度开始,通过捏造财务数据和经营数据演变为欺诈。它展现了引人注目的业务成果,并使其股价在2个月内上涨了160%。随后,公司毫不犹豫地在2020年1月再次融资11亿美元(包括二次配售)。瑞幸明确地知道投资者在寻找什么,如何将自己塑造成具有美好故事的成长型股票,以及操纵哪些关键指标以最大化投资者的信心。</span></p><p><span>这份报告由两部分组成:欺诈和基本面不成立的业务,报告演示了瑞幸如何伪造其排号以及为什么它的商业模存在式固有的缺陷。报告包含5个虚报证据,6个危险信号和5个商业模式缺陷。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26d11ea1c2bb135e8e85ea112f77e5a2\" /><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abfbebe7a43989a63495d8c459b0759\" /></p><p><b><span>证据</span></b></p><p><span>证据1:在2019年第三季度和2019年第四季度,每家商店每天的商品数量至少被夸大了69%,而在11260小时的商店监控视频的支持下,这一数字被夸大了88%。我们动员了92名全职员工和1418名兼职员工,对981家门店进行监控和记录,覆盖了100%的营业时间。门店的选择是基于城市和地点类型的分布,这与瑞幸完全直接经营的门店组合是一样的。</span></p><p><span>证据2:瑞幸的“每单商品”从2019年第二季度的1.38降至2019年第四季度的1.14。</span></p><p><span>证据3:我们收集了25843份客户收据,发现瑞幸将每件商品的净售价至少提高了1.23元或12.3%,人为地维持了这种商业模式。在实际情况中,商店层面的损失高达24.7%-28%。不包括免费产品,实际销售价格为上市价格的46%,而不是管理层声称的55%。</span></p><p><span>证据4:第三方媒体跟踪显示,瑞幸将2019年第三季度的广告支出夸大了逾150%,尤其是在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002027\">分众传媒</a>上的支出。瑞幸有可能将其被夸大的广告费用重新用于增加收入和店面利润。</span></p><p><span>证据5:瑞幸2019年第三季度“其他产品”的收入贡献仅为6%左右,根据25843份客户收据及其报告的增值税数字,这代表了近400%的通胀率。</span></p><p><b><span>危险信号</span></b></p><p><span>信号1:瑞幸管理层已通过股票质押兑现了49%的股票持股(或24%的流通股),令投资者面临追缴保证金导致股价暴跌的风险。</span></p><p><span>信号2:瑞幸董事长卢正耀和同一批关系密切的私募股权投资者从港股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">神州租车</a>(0699)那里卷走了16亿美元,令少数股东蒙受了巨大损失。</span></p><p><span>信号3:瑞幸集团董事长陆正耀通过收购宝沃,将1.37亿元人民币从UCAR (838006 CH)转移至其关联方—王白银。UCAR、Borgward和Baiyin Wang将在未来12个月向百富顿汽车支付59.5亿元人民币。而Baiyin Wang刚成立不久的咖啡机供应商就在瑞幸隔壁。</span></p><p><span>信号4:瑞幸最近通过增发和发行可转换债券筹集了8.65亿美元,以发展其“无人零售”战略,这更可能是管理层从公司吸走大量现金的便捷方式。</span></p><p><span>信号5:瑞幸的独立董事邵绍锋(Sean Shao)是一些非常可疑的在美上市中国公司的董事,这些公司的公开投资者蒙受了重大损失。</span></p><p><span>信号6:瑞幸的联合创始人兼首席营销官费阳在担任北京口碑互动营销策划有限公司联合创始人兼总经理期间,曾因非法经营罪被判处有期徒刑18个月。(“网络口碑”)。此后,iWOM与北京QWOM科技有限公司(“QWOM”)成为关联方,后者现在是699 HK的子公司,并与瑞幸金进行关联方交易。</span></p><p><b><span>商业模式缺陷</span></b></p><p><span>商业模式缺陷1:瑞幸针对核心功能咖啡需求的主张是错误的:中国人均86毫克/天的咖啡因摄入量已经与亚洲其他国家相当,95%的摄入量来自茶叶。在中国,核心功能咖啡产品的市场规模较小,且正在适度增长。</span></p><p><span>商业模式缺陷2:瑞幸的客户对价格高度敏感,慷慨的价格推广是留住他们的动力;瑞幸试图降低折扣水平(即提高有效价格),同时增加同店销售额是不可能完成的任务。</span></p><p><span>商业模式缺陷3:有缺陷的单位经济,没有机会看到利润:瑞幸破碎的商业模式注定要崩溃。</span></p><p><span>商业模式缺陷4:瑞幸“从咖啡开始,成为每个人日常生活的一部分”的梦想不太可能实现,因为它在非咖啡产品方面也缺乏核心竞争力。它的“平台”充满了没有品牌忠诚度的机会主义客户。它的lab -light商店模式只适用于生产已经上市十多年的“1.0代”茶饮料,而领先的鲜茶生产商五年前就率先推出了“3.0代”产品。</span></p><p><span>商业模式缺陷5:小鹿茶的特许经营业务合规风险高,没有按照法律要求向相关部门进行登记,因为瑞幸茶业在2019年9月开始经营特许经营业务时,至少有两家直营店运营满1年。</span></p><p><span>报告中海附有大量证据图,我们期待瑞幸的回应。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2db62fe45d14b3098e497f49b466f2e\" /><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae5eb3989b099f96531f9a6455d93fbe\" /></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>两大做空机构对掐,瑞幸股价遭巨震</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n两大做空机构对掐,瑞幸股价遭巨震\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-02-01 06:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><span>知名做空机构浑水(Muddy Waters)周四凌晨宣布做空<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">$(LK)$</a>,导致瑞幸股价盘中盘中一度暴跌逾24%。随后,另一知名做空机构香橼(Citron Research)发推特表示他们做多瑞幸,瑞幸股价上演深V反弹,截至收盘,下跌10.74%,两大做空机构上演多空大战,结果将如何?拭目以待。而瑞幸自冠状病毒爆发以来,股价已跌去了30%。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef0c67356568c3e7f98c125fcefb901a\" /></p><p><span>浑水表示他们收到一份长达89页的报告指控瑞幸造假,浑水研究后认为这份报告真实成立。撰写这份报告之人,派了92个全职和1400个兼职调查员,还收了25000多张小票 ,进行录了10000个小时的门店录像,认为在2019年第三季度,瑞幸单店每日销售商品数量虚增至少69%,第四季度虚增达88%。并且收集了大量内部微信聊天记录,关联人与企业的工商信息,作证分析环环相扣。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0ee29b47e84ab6239108b915247136e\" /></p><p><span>香橼称也收到这份报告,但认为报告的准确度不高,期待瑞幸管理层回应。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6354c4fb74fe57ac623efa09ee82981e\" /></p><p><span>这份做空报告称,这是一基本面破裂的业务,它试图通过折扣和免费向中国消费者灌输喝咖啡的文化。在2019年5月在完成6.45亿美元的IPO之后,瑞幸从2019年第3季度开始,通过捏造财务数据和经营数据演变为欺诈。它展现了引人注目的业务成果,并使其股价在2个月内上涨了160%。随后,公司毫不犹豫地在2020年1月再次融资11亿美元(包括二次配售)。瑞幸明确地知道投资者在寻找什么,如何将自己塑造成具有美好故事的成长型股票,以及操纵哪些关键指标以最大化投资者的信心。</span></p><p><span>这份报告由两部分组成:欺诈和基本面不成立的业务,报告演示了瑞幸如何伪造其排号以及为什么它的商业模存在式固有的缺陷。报告包含5个虚报证据,6个危险信号和5个商业模式缺陷。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26d11ea1c2bb135e8e85ea112f77e5a2\" /><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abfbebe7a43989a63495d8c459b0759\" /></p><p><b><span>证据</span></b></p><p><span>证据1:在2019年第三季度和2019年第四季度,每家商店每天的商品数量至少被夸大了69%,而在11260小时的商店监控视频的支持下,这一数字被夸大了88%。我们动员了92名全职员工和1418名兼职员工,对981家门店进行监控和记录,覆盖了100%的营业时间。门店的选择是基于城市和地点类型的分布,这与瑞幸完全直接经营的门店组合是一样的。</span></p><p><span>证据2:瑞幸的“每单商品”从2019年第二季度的1.38降至2019年第四季度的1.14。</span></p><p><span>证据3:我们收集了25843份客户收据,发现瑞幸将每件商品的净售价至少提高了1.23元或12.3%,人为地维持了这种商业模式。在实际情况中,商店层面的损失高达24.7%-28%。不包括免费产品,实际销售价格为上市价格的46%,而不是管理层声称的55%。</span></p><p><span>证据4:第三方媒体跟踪显示,瑞幸将2019年第三季度的广告支出夸大了逾150%,尤其是在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002027\">分众传媒</a>上的支出。瑞幸有可能将其被夸大的广告费用重新用于增加收入和店面利润。</span></p><p><span>证据5:瑞幸2019年第三季度“其他产品”的收入贡献仅为6%左右,根据25843份客户收据及其报告的增值税数字,这代表了近400%的通胀率。</span></p><p><b><span>危险信号</span></b></p><p><span>信号1:瑞幸管理层已通过股票质押兑现了49%的股票持股(或24%的流通股),令投资者面临追缴保证金导致股价暴跌的风险。</span></p><p><span>信号2:瑞幸董事长卢正耀和同一批关系密切的私募股权投资者从港股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">神州租车</a>(0699)那里卷走了16亿美元,令少数股东蒙受了巨大损失。</span></p><p><span>信号3:瑞幸集团董事长陆正耀通过收购宝沃,将1.37亿元人民币从UCAR (838006 CH)转移至其关联方—王白银。UCAR、Borgward和Baiyin Wang将在未来12个月向百富顿汽车支付59.5亿元人民币。而Baiyin Wang刚成立不久的咖啡机供应商就在瑞幸隔壁。</span></p><p><span>信号4:瑞幸最近通过增发和发行可转换债券筹集了8.65亿美元,以发展其“无人零售”战略,这更可能是管理层从公司吸走大量现金的便捷方式。</span></p><p><span>信号5:瑞幸的独立董事邵绍锋(Sean Shao)是一些非常可疑的在美上市中国公司的董事,这些公司的公开投资者蒙受了重大损失。</span></p><p><span>信号6:瑞幸的联合创始人兼首席营销官费阳在担任北京口碑互动营销策划有限公司联合创始人兼总经理期间,曾因非法经营罪被判处有期徒刑18个月。(“网络口碑”)。此后,iWOM与北京QWOM科技有限公司(“QWOM”)成为关联方,后者现在是699 HK的子公司,并与瑞幸金进行关联方交易。</span></p><p><b><span>商业模式缺陷</span></b></p><p><span>商业模式缺陷1:瑞幸针对核心功能咖啡需求的主张是错误的:中国人均86毫克/天的咖啡因摄入量已经与亚洲其他国家相当,95%的摄入量来自茶叶。在中国,核心功能咖啡产品的市场规模较小,且正在适度增长。</span></p><p><span>商业模式缺陷2:瑞幸的客户对价格高度敏感,慷慨的价格推广是留住他们的动力;瑞幸试图降低折扣水平(即提高有效价格),同时增加同店销售额是不可能完成的任务。</span></p><p><span>商业模式缺陷3:有缺陷的单位经济,没有机会看到利润:瑞幸破碎的商业模式注定要崩溃。</span></p><p><span>商业模式缺陷4:瑞幸“从咖啡开始,成为每个人日常生活的一部分”的梦想不太可能实现,因为它在非咖啡产品方面也缺乏核心竞争力。它的“平台”充满了没有品牌忠诚度的机会主义客户。它的lab -light商店模式只适用于生产已经上市十多年的“1.0代”茶饮料,而领先的鲜茶生产商五年前就率先推出了“3.0代”产品。</span></p><p><span>商业模式缺陷5:小鹿茶的特许经营业务合规风险高,没有按照法律要求向相关部门进行登记,因为瑞幸茶业在2019年9月开始经营特许经营业务时,至少有两家直营店运营满1年。</span></p><p><span>报告中海附有大量证据图,我们期待瑞幸的回应。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2db62fe45d14b3098e497f49b466f2e\" /><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae5eb3989b099f96531f9a6455d93fbe\" /></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c6455ef80d23573ed85d61bbc37d01","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106582243","content_text":"知名做空机构浑水(Muddy Waters)周四凌晨宣布做空瑞幸咖啡$(LK)$,导致瑞幸股价盘中盘中一度暴跌逾24%。随后,另一知名做空机构香橼(Citron Research)发推特表示他们做多瑞幸,瑞幸股价上演深V反弹,截至收盘,下跌10.74%,两大做空机构上演多空大战,结果将如何?拭目以待。而瑞幸自冠状病毒爆发以来,股价已跌去了30%。浑水表示他们收到一份长达89页的报告指控瑞幸造假,浑水研究后认为这份报告真实成立。撰写这份报告之人,派了92个全职和1400个兼职调查员,还收了25000多张小票 ,进行录了10000个小时的门店录像,认为在2019年第三季度,瑞幸单店每日销售商品数量虚增至少69%,第四季度虚增达88%。并且收集了大量内部微信聊天记录,关联人与企业的工商信息,作证分析环环相扣。香橼称也收到这份报告,但认为报告的准确度不高,期待瑞幸管理层回应。这份做空报告称,这是一基本面破裂的业务,它试图通过折扣和免费向中国消费者灌输喝咖啡的文化。在2019年5月在完成6.45亿美元的IPO之后,瑞幸从2019年第3季度开始,通过捏造财务数据和经营数据演变为欺诈。它展现了引人注目的业务成果,并使其股价在2个月内上涨了160%。随后,公司毫不犹豫地在2020年1月再次融资11亿美元(包括二次配售)。瑞幸明确地知道投资者在寻找什么,如何将自己塑造成具有美好故事的成长型股票,以及操纵哪些关键指标以最大化投资者的信心。这份报告由两部分组成:欺诈和基本面不成立的业务,报告演示了瑞幸如何伪造其排号以及为什么它的商业模存在式固有的缺陷。报告包含5个虚报证据,6个危险信号和5个商业模式缺陷。证据证据1:在2019年第三季度和2019年第四季度,每家商店每天的商品数量至少被夸大了69%,而在11260小时的商店监控视频的支持下,这一数字被夸大了88%。我们动员了92名全职员工和1418名兼职员工,对981家门店进行监控和记录,覆盖了100%的营业时间。门店的选择是基于城市和地点类型的分布,这与瑞幸完全直接经营的门店组合是一样的。证据2:瑞幸的“每单商品”从2019年第二季度的1.38降至2019年第四季度的1.14。证据3:我们收集了25843份客户收据,发现瑞幸将每件商品的净售价至少提高了1.23元或12.3%,人为地维持了这种商业模式。在实际情况中,商店层面的损失高达24.7%-28%。不包括免费产品,实际销售价格为上市价格的46%,而不是管理层声称的55%。证据4:第三方媒体跟踪显示,瑞幸将2019年第三季度的广告支出夸大了逾150%,尤其是在分众传媒上的支出。瑞幸有可能将其被夸大的广告费用重新用于增加收入和店面利润。证据5:瑞幸2019年第三季度“其他产品”的收入贡献仅为6%左右,根据25843份客户收据及其报告的增值税数字,这代表了近400%的通胀率。危险信号信号1:瑞幸管理层已通过股票质押兑现了49%的股票持股(或24%的流通股),令投资者面临追缴保证金导致股价暴跌的风险。信号2:瑞幸董事长卢正耀和同一批关系密切的私募股权投资者从港股神州租车(0699)那里卷走了16亿美元,令少数股东蒙受了巨大损失。信号3:瑞幸集团董事长陆正耀通过收购宝沃,将1.37亿元人民币从UCAR (838006 CH)转移至其关联方—王白银。UCAR、Borgward和Baiyin Wang将在未来12个月向百富顿汽车支付59.5亿元人民币。而Baiyin Wang刚成立不久的咖啡机供应商就在瑞幸隔壁。信号4:瑞幸最近通过增发和发行可转换债券筹集了8.65亿美元,以发展其“无人零售”战略,这更可能是管理层从公司吸走大量现金的便捷方式。信号5:瑞幸的独立董事邵绍锋(Sean Shao)是一些非常可疑的在美上市中国公司的董事,这些公司的公开投资者蒙受了重大损失。信号6:瑞幸的联合创始人兼首席营销官费阳在担任北京口碑互动营销策划有限公司联合创始人兼总经理期间,曾因非法经营罪被判处有期徒刑18个月。(“网络口碑”)。此后,iWOM与北京QWOM科技有限公司(“QWOM”)成为关联方,后者现在是699 HK的子公司,并与瑞幸金进行关联方交易。商业模式缺陷商业模式缺陷1:瑞幸针对核心功能咖啡需求的主张是错误的:中国人均86毫克/天的咖啡因摄入量已经与亚洲其他国家相当,95%的摄入量来自茶叶。在中国,核心功能咖啡产品的市场规模较小,且正在适度增长。商业模式缺陷2:瑞幸的客户对价格高度敏感,慷慨的价格推广是留住他们的动力;瑞幸试图降低折扣水平(即提高有效价格),同时增加同店销售额是不可能完成的任务。商业模式缺陷3:有缺陷的单位经济,没有机会看到利润:瑞幸破碎的商业模式注定要崩溃。商业模式缺陷4:瑞幸“从咖啡开始,成为每个人日常生活的一部分”的梦想不太可能实现,因为它在非咖啡产品方面也缺乏核心竞争力。它的“平台”充满了没有品牌忠诚度的机会主义客户。它的lab 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