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可口肥仔水
2020-08-20
厉害了
@DTSniper:美联储纪要称利率已经够低了，为何造成股债金三杀
可口肥仔水
2020-12-31
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
晚会是直播么？
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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美国20年以上国债ETF(TLT)下跌0.54%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLD\">$SPDR黄金ETF(GLD)$</a> 下跌1.36%，形成了股债金三杀的局面。美联储的纪要固然表达了对经济复苏的担忧，认为疫情仍然是经济前景的considerable risks，这与美国政府最近一贯的美国经济会V型复苏的论调完全不一致。然而，美联储对美债利率的讨论才是造成股债金三杀最主要的因素，下图为纪要原文：来源：https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20200729.htm划线部分显示了两个重要信息与市场的预期并不一致。第一，市场原本预期美联储会在九月中旬的议息会议之前对控制美国国债利率的上限提供更明确的指引，然而纪要中文字显示利率上限或目标只能带来modest benefits，而且在当前环境下是not warranted的，表现出美联储对美债利率上限的控制较为犹豫；第二，纪要明确指出，长期利率已经够低了(already low)，这意味着目前的美国长期国债利率水平远不足以触发美联储加速放水购买长期国债。这两个信息点对起到了推升","text":"今天凌晨两点，7月28-29日的美联储会议的纪要公布，美国股票、长期国债和黄金价格均出现了跳水，在距离收盘区区两小时的交易中，$标普500指数ETF(IVV)$ $ 下跌0.63%，$纳指ETF(QQQ)$ 下跌0.94%，罗素2000ETF(IWM)下跌0.77%, 美国20年以上国债ETF(TLT)下跌0.54%，$SPDR黄金ETF(GLD)$ 下跌1.36%，形成了股债金三杀的局面。美联储的纪要固然表达了对经济复苏的担忧，认为疫情仍然是经济前景的considerable risks，这与美国政府最近一贯的美国经济会V型复苏的论调完全不一致。然而，美联储对美债利率的讨论才是造成股债金三杀最主要的因素，下图为纪要原文：来源：https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20200729.htm划线部分显示了两个重要信息与市场的预期并不一致。第一，市场原本预期美联储会在九月中旬的议息会议之前对控制美国国债利率的上限提供更明确的指引，然而纪要中文字显示利率上限或目标只能带来modest benefits，而且在当前环境下是not warranted的，表现出美联储对美债利率上限的控制较为犹豫；第二，纪要明确指出，长期利率已经够低了(already low)，这意味着目前的美国长期国债利率水平远不足以触发美联储加速放水购买长期国债。这两个信息点对起到了推升","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92fd8f0c24d9fa184cffd3fd401c8ef2","width":"0","height":"0"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bef594355dd0ca3f31b50be4abd73c6b","width":"0","height":"0"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c59bf02e4f08fc7add5109514b37cd6","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/970752804","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":331974052,"gmtCreate":1609424543576,"gmtModify":1703739361857,"author":{"id":"3503529435826284","authorId":"3503529435826284","name":"可口肥仔水","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>晚会是直播么？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>晚会是直播么？","text":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$晚会是直播么？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/331974052","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
