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泡椒鱼
2020-03-14
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看
道指跌入熊市后多久才能走出泥潭？平均需206个交易日
泡椒鱼
2020-03-03
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看
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14:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"道指跌入熊市后多久才能走出泥潭？平均需206个交易日","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188050891","media":"环球外汇网","summary":"美国股市周三遭重创，道指自金融危机以来首次确认进入熊市区域，为史上最长的11年牛市行情画上了句号。标普500指数、纳斯达克指数也都在盘中逼近下跌20%的熊市门槛。那么，这波才刚展开的道指熊市会持续多久","content":"<p>美国股市周三遭重创，道指自金融危机以来首次确认进入熊市区域，为史上最长的11年牛市行情画上了句号。标普500指数、纳斯达克指数也都在盘中逼近下跌20%的熊市门槛。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13071d5321be13a155a1854a5b29c621\" /><b>那么，这波才刚展开的道指熊市会持续多久？如果历史可供借鉴，平均而言将会长达206个交易日。</b></p><p>MarketWatch发布的数据显示，道指熊市平均会持续206个交易日，标普500指数为146个交易日。此外，观察自近期高点一直到坠入熊市并触底，道指平均会下跌35.46%，标普500指数为35.61%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fae13e8ba612c6d5b3f4d0b7fcada589\" />道指自2月触及历史高点直到周三遁入熊市，历时仅仅19个交易日，是历年进入熊市时间第二短的。最快进入熊市的纪录是1931年美国经济大萧条，道琼在短短15个交易日内就从高点回跌了20%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4925d94359d310fccb8616979c6887e\" /><b>对于不少基金经理而言，看着新型冠状病毒吞噬万亿美元计的全球市值就已经够糟了。但更糟的是，目前还看不清这波疫情对于经济、企业财务、以及基金经理投资组合的实质影响有多严重。</b></p><p>新冠病毒在短短几周之内跨越无数边境，入侵近百个国家，官方公布的经济数据和企业交易声明难以跟上这样的脚步。这意味着向来根据预估来引导投资决定或策略方向的许多基金经理及分析师，根本已经顾不得这些官方数据和企业声明。</p><p>简言之，痛恨不确定性的投资人，目前正小心翼翼地在多年来最严重的股市动荡和成长恐惧中摸索前进。</p><p>Macro Risk Advisors首席执行官Dean Curnutt表示，“市场走到这一地步是因为一个异常，且可能是前所未有的情况——疫情，也是因为市场信心破灭了。长期以来，股市波动率一直很低，这导致很多人的仓位都不小，在市场面临不确定性时刻，很多投资者不得不重新审视市场是否会经历永久性的结构性变化，所以仓位的调整非常大，最终造成踩踏。</p><p><b>“随着控制疫情的措施可能继续扩大，我们认为股市还未消化此次疫情的最差情形，”高盛资产管理欧洲、中东、非洲和亚太地区全球投资组合解决方案团队负责人Shoqat Bunglawala在接受采访时表示，“因此，我们承认从目前水平仍然存在下行风险。”</b></p><p>高盛的全球投资组合解决方案团队在最近几周将其对全球股票的配置从高配降至中性，因该病毒迅速在中国以外传播，席卷了欧洲和美国，威胁了全球经济成长并影响了企业盈利。该团队将保持其在固定收益证券中的高配头寸，并配置趋势跟踪策略，建立债券多头头寸和股票的空头头寸。</p><p>“我们不知道疫情何时会结束，这种不确定性将继续造成很大的动荡”， GuideStone 资本管理公司总裁斯派卡（David Spika）说道， “我们也不知道如何就此类事件建模，因此也无法预测接下来会发生什么。”</p>","source":"hqwhw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>道指跌入熊市后多久才能走出泥潭？平均需206个交易日</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n道指跌入熊市后多久才能走出泥潭？平均需206个交易日\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-03-12 14:33 北京时间 <a href=http://www.cnforex.com/news/html/2020/03/12/371cbfda379b28fce3f93d20067e8769.html><strong>环球外汇网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国股市周三遭重创，道指自金融危机以来首次确认进入熊市区域，为史上最长的11年牛市行情画上了句号。标普500指数、纳斯达克指数也都在盘中逼近下跌20%的熊市门槛。那么，这波才刚展开的道指熊市会持续多久？如果历史可供借鉴，平均而言将会长达206个交易日。MarketWatch发布的数据显示，道指熊市平均会持续206个交易日，标普500指数为146个交易日。此外，观察自近期高点一直到坠入熊市并触底，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.cnforex.com/news/html/2020/03/12/371cbfda379b28fce3f93d20067e8769.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26944ef77f9d7d38cca31ee8a899894b","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://www.cnforex.com/news/html/2020/03/12/371cbfda379b28fce3f93d20067e8769.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188050891","content_text":"美国股市周三遭重创，道指自金融危机以来首次确认进入熊市区域，为史上最长的11年牛市行情画上了句号。标普500指数、纳斯达克指数也都在盘中逼近下跌20%的熊市门槛。那么，这波才刚展开的道指熊市会持续多久？如果历史可供借鉴，平均而言将会长达206个交易日。MarketWatch发布的数据显示，道指熊市平均会持续206个交易日，标普500指数为146个交易日。此外，观察自近期高点一直到坠入熊市并触底，道指平均会下跌35.46%，标普500指数为35.61%。道指自2月触及历史高点直到周三遁入熊市，历时仅仅19个交易日，是历年进入熊市时间第二短的。最快进入熊市的纪录是1931年美国经济大萧条，道琼在短短15个交易日内就从高点回跌了20%。对于不少基金经理而言，看着新型冠状病毒吞噬万亿美元计的全球市值就已经够糟了。但更糟的是，目前还看不清这波疫情对于经济、企业财务、以及基金经理投资组合的实质影响有多严重。新冠病毒在短短几周之内跨越无数边境，入侵近百个国家，官方公布的经济数据和企业交易声明难以跟上这样的脚步。这意味着向来根据预估来引导投资决定或策略方向的许多基金经理及分析师，根本已经顾不得这些官方数据和企业声明。简言之，痛恨不确定性的投资人，目前正小心翼翼地在多年来最严重的股市动荡和成长恐惧中摸索前进。Macro Risk Advisors首席执行官Dean Curnutt表示，“市场走到这一地步是因为一个异常，且可能是前所未有的情况——疫情，也是因为市场信心破灭了。长期以来，股市波动率一直很低，这导致很多人的仓位都不小，在市场面临不确定性时刻，很多投资者不得不重新审视市场是否会经历永久性的结构性变化，所以仓位的调整非常大，最终造成踩踏。“随着控制疫情的措施可能继续扩大，我们认为股市还未消化此次疫情的最差情形，”高盛资产管理欧洲、中东、非洲和亚太地区全球投资组合解决方案团队负责人Shoqat Bunglawala在接受采访时表示，“因此，我们承认从目前水平仍然存在下行风险。”高盛的全球投资组合解决方案团队在最近几周将其对全球股票的配置从高配降至中性，因该病毒迅速在中国以外传播，席卷了欧洲和美国，威胁了全球经济成长并影响了企业盈利。该团队将保持其在固定收益证券中的高配头寸，并配置趋势跟踪策略，建立债券多头头寸和股票的空头头寸。“我们不知道疫情何时会结束，这种不确定性将继续造成很大的动荡”， GuideStone 资本管理公司总裁斯派卡（David Spika）说道， 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