樱花葬的个人主页 - 老虎社区

樱花葬

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2020-02-28

能把疫情全球爆发硬说成是次贷危机为了赚点学员费不用这样往自己脸上贴金太小看美联储了

抱歉，原内容已删除

2019-04-28

$麦当劳(MCD)$ 开启年度圈钱活动

2018-12-05

$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 过了今天就买不到14块以下了 [龇牙]

2018-11-03

$网易(NTES)$ 纠结了想买来着暗黑铁粉

2018-10-05

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ 刚才13块精准抄底了，腾讯12.67加的仓能跌破？

2018-09-06

$拼多多(PDD)$ 这几天的图形算双头吗

2018-08-30

$Eleven Biotherapeutics Inc.(SESN)$ 希望早日回本

2018-08-29

$拼多多(PDD)$ 财报出了？哪里能看啊

2018-08-10

$网易(NTES)$ P/E都低于20了吧必须涨回去么这里没人玩第五人格吗

2018-08-10

$网易(NTES)$ 感觉一个月就能涨回来

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希望早日回本","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/255342","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":989533708,"gmtCreate":1582869654904,"gmtModify":1704348072861,"author":{"id":"3495959654666944","authorId":"3495959654666944","name":"樱花葬","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3495959654666944","idStr":"3495959654666944"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"能把疫情全球爆发硬说成是次贷危机 为了赚点学员费不用这样往自己脸上贴金 太小看美联储了","listText":"能把疫情全球爆发硬说成是次贷危机 为了赚点学员费不用这样往自己脸上贴金 太小看美联储了","text":"能把疫情全球爆发硬说成是次贷危机 为了赚点学员费不用这样往自己脸上贴金 太小看美联储了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/989533708","repostId":"2014876123","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2014876123","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1582865640,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2014876123?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-02-28 12:54","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"唐嘉俊：2.28 这一次，我们战胜了美联储","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2014876123","media":"来源：FX168财经网人物频道","summary":"3.2020年2月27日，美国三大股指再度重挫，六个交易日下跌10%。至此，道琼斯工业指数，已经将2019年10月美联储回购后的涨幅系数回吐。这一次，战胜美联储的那个分析师，叫唐嘉俊。也许你会觉得，唐老师在装逼。但...","content":"<html><body><div>\n<div><p><span><strong>3.</strong></span></p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/02/28/637184903769317442.jpg\" width=\"402\"/></p><p><strong>2020年2月27日，美国三大股指再度重挫，六个交易日下跌10%。至此，道琼斯工业指数，已经将2019年10月美联储回购后的涨幅系数回吐。这一次，战胜美联储的那个分析师，叫唐嘉俊。</strong></p><p>也许你会觉得，唐老师在装逼。但你不知道的，是我们从什么时候开始布局这个行情，过程中，又经历了什么。以至于，你可能无法体会到，我昨天晚上兴奋的在家里大吼大叫。。。<strong>然后老婆让我睡了沙发。</strong></p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/02/28/637184904698077502.jpg\" width=\"344\"/></p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/02/28/637184904807145621.jpg\" width=\"333\"/></p><p><strong><span>2.</span></strong></p><p>这是怎样的行情呢？</p><p>除1987.10黑色星期一、2000.04互联网泡沫破灭、2001.09恐袭9-11和2008.10全球金融危机之外，这是二战后最快出现10%回调的一次暴跌；VIX恐慌指数飙升逾150%，速度之快为有史以来第四；美国十债收益率5000年新低。</p><p>从波动率上来看，目前的幅度，<strong>已经达到了次贷危机的一半。</strong>亦或者，其实<strong>次贷已经发生了。只是，我们还没给他起名字</strong>。后人或许会称这次的事件为新冠病毒事件，就好比当年的千年虫事件。</p><p>那又为什么说我们战胜了美联储？</p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/02/28/637184905100277910.jpg\" width=\"674\"/></p><p>我们看到，道琼斯工业指数已经跌破了去年10月的区间——别忘了，去年十月，是我们第一次做空美股，但是在国庆长假之后，我们马上反手做了多：因为，美联储开始回购了。</p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/02/28/637184905204031235.jpg\" width=\"525\"/></p><p>当时我们提到，<strong>你的对手盘变成了美联储，美联储开始不断地在美股市场接纳证券，</strong>将美股推到了史无前例的高点。不过，这并不代表，这是长久之计。<strong>而昨天，跌破去年10月的区间，也就意味着，市场向世人宣告：</strong></p><p>美联储！鲍威尔！你的回购全部作废了！这四个月的努力，白做了！</p><p><strong>其实，历史上，哪一次干预市场，是善终的呢？</strong></p><p>近有瑞士黑天鹅事件，远有日本联合G7国家合力干预市场失败。。。。。。</p><p><strong>呜呼！秦人不暇自哀，而后人哀之；后人哀之而不鉴之，亦使后人而复哀后人也。</strong></p><p><strong>1.</strong></p><p>操作上，昨天我们在道琼斯跌破回购区间后，第一次收兵了。而其他品种方面，欧美抵达1.0980，美瑞反弹，原油继续破位，逼近42.5-45，白银黄金继续走弱，我们也做了一定程度的收兵，但没有撤退。</p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/02/28/637184905641231249.jpg\" width=\"513\"/></p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/02/28/637184905751804645.jpg\" width=\"678\"/></p><p>而今天早上，我们也取消了A股和AUDJPY原定的加仓计划。</p><p>呵呵，<strong>很多人是不是都很纳闷，美股都跌成这样了，黄金怎么不避险？</strong></p><p>但，是不是只有我们提示过大家，<strong>黄金这里是用来做美股对冲的</strong>。美股不涨，黄金就没有上涨理由了。白银是替代品的替代品，俗称千斤顶，会比黄金还要弱。</p><p>是不是只有我们说过，<strong>原油今年只空不多的话</strong>？反弹目标53-54说了多久了？但大家只想着抄底，去抄底吧，你们一起上，我赶时间。</p><p>其实进入2020年以来，我们一直关注的主线，就是【<strong>美油美股美债美元】。一月我们看到了美油崩盘，二月我们看到了美股崩盘，那……美债还会远吗？</strong></p><p>所以接下来的操作很简单：</p><p>1.【美油】<strong>中期目标42.5-45，不破楼兰终不还</strong>。你们喜欢抄底的尽管去抄，去找你们的分析师满仓抄底求信仰吧。预告一下，距离抄底的时间，也不算太远，20个交易日以内。<strong>具体，我会提前5个交易日和大家说的，现在还不是时候。</strong></p><p>2.【美股】<strong>这才是第一轮行情，</strong>今年就是美股的坟墓。道琼斯跌破美联储回购区间后，<strong>我们收了一波，</strong>但这不代表可以抢反弹，趋势向下，让*飞一会儿。</p><p>3.【美债-黄金】韩赵魏亡，楚燕齐只是时间问题。<strong>下一个目标，就是美债了</strong>。美股的崩盘，<strong>代表了美联储回购的失败</strong>。那么，债券市场，美联储又是什么时候开始回购的呢？<strong>如果美债要收复美联储回购的失地，要看向何方呢？</strong>所以，<strong>黄金我们1660昨晚尝试了一下，我们会看向一个很远很远的位置，</strong>具体点位我先不说攒攒人品，但美股跌的有多惨，后面黄金也会有多惨。另外，白银还是会比黄金弱，因为长得好看。</p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/02/28/637184906984400614.jpg\" width=\"458\"/></p><p>4.【美元】韩赵魏亡，楚燕齐。美油美股美债美元。美元时间未到。<strong>接下来美债行情走完，才会轮到美元。</strong>灭六国，也是讲究先后顺序的。之前我们提到的中期节奏，欧美反弹1.0980已经走完了。欧元和瑞郎我们做了减仓，英镑一单止盈，一单打了保护。后面是涨是跌不确定，预计3/19美联储决议前震荡概率大一些。</p><p>5.【A股】早上我们取消了原定于月底的加仓计划，AUDJPY也是一样。<strong>大妈股神满仓抄底涨停战法，就此陨落</strong>。如果勇气可以做交易，那券商分析师还要写研究报告干什么？至于抄底时间，后面会有的，先让大妈股神们折腾会儿。</p><p><strong><span>今晚20:30公开课</span></strong></p><p>好吧，说实话，今天有点过于兴奋了。面对如此大的胜利，<strong>似乎我也控制不住的有点骄傲自满。文字上如果有哪里不舒服，还请大家见谅。。。</strong></p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/02/28/637184907340193301.jpg\" width=\"645\"/></p><p>晚上20:30有公开课，地址https://edu.fx168.com/live，欢迎大家来玩。</p><p><strong>当然，如果你想在这个市场，走的更远。</strong>不想错过美油美股后的美债行情，欢迎静下心来，好好学习一下我们的课程。<strong>也许我的课程不是市面上最好的，但一定是你在别的地方买不到的。</strong></p><p>新学员报名地址：</p><p>https://edu.fx168.com/course/381</p><p>老学员报名地址：</p><p>https://edu.fx168.com/course/370  </p><p>课程助理微信：</p><p>FX168CJXY-KF1</p><p><img ignore=\"1\" src=\"https://snsfile.tradeking168.com/Uploads/BarThread/2020/02/28/637184907590984611.jpg\" width=\"388\"/></p><p><strong>交易的世界里，一个公众号就够了</strong></p><p>唐嘉俊</p><p>微信号 : fx168fxs04</p><p>FX168财经学院金融分析师</p><p>FX168第三届分析师评选亚军</p><p>外汇分析师（高级）证书</p><p>上海第一财经广播特约分析师</p><p>厦门经济交通广播特约分析师</p><p>浙江经济广播特约分析师</p><p>福建经济961特约分析师</p><p>三万小时金融衍生品实盘经验</p><p>九年金融衍生品市场交易经验</p></div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li>\n\t\t                \t\t                          投资英雄\n\t\t                \t\t                      </li>\n</ul>\n</div>\n<div>\n<div>分享</div>\n<div>\n<div>  </div>\n</div>\n</div>\n</div>\n</div></body></html>","source":"fxdaily_fut","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n唐嘉俊：2.28 这一次，我们战胜了美联储\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-02-28 12:54 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://news.fx168.com/opinion/column/tangjiajun/2002/3652704.shtml><strong>来源：FX168财经网人物频道</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>3.2020年2月27日，美国三大股指再度重挫，六个交易日下跌10%。至此，道琼斯工业指数，已经将2019年10月美联储回购后的涨幅系数回吐。这一次，战胜美联储的那个分析师，叫唐嘉俊。也许你会觉得，唐老师在装逼。但你不知道的，是我们从什么时候开始布局这个行情，过程中，又经历了什么。以至于，你可能无法体会到，我昨天晚上兴奋的在家里大吼大叫。。。然后老婆让我睡了沙发。2.这是怎样的行情呢？除...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.fx168.com/opinion/column/tangjiajun/2002/3652704.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://news.fx168.com/opinion/column/tangjiajun/2002/W020200228464804942322.jpg","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://news.fx168.com/opinion/column/tangjiajun/2002/3652704.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2014876123","content_text":"3.2020年2月27日，美国三大股指再度重挫，六个交易日下跌10%。至此，道琼斯工业指数，已经将2019年10月美联储回购后的涨幅系数回吐。这一次，战胜美联储的那个分析师，叫唐嘉俊。也许你会觉得，唐老师在装逼。但你不知道的，是我们从什么时候开始布局这个行情，过程中，又经历了什么。以至于，你可能无法体会到，我昨天晚上兴奋的在家里大吼大叫。。。然后老婆让我睡了沙发。2.这是怎样的行情呢？除1987.10黑色星期一、2000.04互联网泡沫破灭、2001.09恐袭9-11和2008.10全球金融危机之外，这是二战后最快出现10%回调的一次暴跌；VIX恐慌指数飙升逾150%，速度之快为有史以来第四；美国十债收益率5000年新低。从波动率上来看，目前的幅度，已经达到了次贷危机的一半。亦或者，其实次贷已经发生了。只是，我们还没给他起名字。后人或许会称这次的事件为新冠病毒事件，就好比当年的千年虫事件。那又为什么说我们战胜了美联储？我们看到，道琼斯工业指数已经跌破了去年10月的区间——别忘了，去年十月，是我们第一次做空美股，但是在国庆长假之后，我们马上反手做了多：因为，美联储开始回购了。当时我们提到，你的对手盘变成了美联储，美联储开始不断地在美股市场接纳证券，将美股推到了史无前例的高点。不过，这并不代表，这是长久之计。而昨天，跌破去年10月的区间，也就意味着，市场向世人宣告：美联储！鲍威尔！你的回购全部作废了！这四个月的努力，白做了！其实，历史上，哪一次干预市场，是善终的呢？近有瑞士黑天鹅事件，远有日本联合G7国家合力干预市场失败。。。。。。呜呼！秦人不暇自哀，而后人哀之；后人哀之而不鉴之，亦使后人而复哀后人也。1.操作上，昨天我们在道琼斯跌破回购区间后，第一次收兵了。而其他品种方面，欧美抵达1.0980，美瑞反弹，原油继续破位，逼近42.5-45，白银黄金继续走弱，我们也做了一定程度的收兵，但没有撤退。而今天早上，我们也取消了A股和AUDJPY原定的加仓计划。呵呵，很多人是不是都很纳闷，美股都跌成这样了，黄金怎么不避险？但，是不是只有我们提示过大家，黄金这里是用来做美股对冲的。美股不涨，黄金就没有上涨理由了。白银是替代品的替代品，俗称千斤顶，会比黄金还要弱。是不是只有我们说过，原油今年只空不多的话？反弹目标53-54说了多久了？但大家只想着抄底，去抄底吧，你们一起上，我赶时间。其实进入2020年以来，我们一直关注的主线，就是【美油美股美债美元】。一月我们看到了美油崩盘，二月我们看到了美股崩盘，那……美债还会远吗？所以接下来的操作很简单：1.【美油】中期目标42.5-45，不破楼兰终不还。你们喜欢抄底的尽管去抄，去找你们的分析师满仓抄底求信仰吧。预告一下，距离抄底的时间，也不算太远，20个交易日以内。具体，我会提前5个交易日和大家说的，现在还不是时候。2.【美股】这才是第一轮行情，今年就是美股的坟墓。道琼斯跌破美联储回购区间后，我们收了一波，但这不代表可以抢反弹，趋势向下，让*飞一会儿。3.【美债-黄金】韩赵魏亡，楚燕齐只是时间问题。下一个目标，就是美债了。美股的崩盘，代表了美联储回购的失败。那么，债券市场，美联储又是什么时候开始回购的呢？如果美债要收复美联储回购的失地，要看向何方呢？所以，黄金我们1660昨晚尝试了一下，我们会看向一个很远很远的位置，具体点位我先不说攒攒人品，但美股跌的有多惨，后面黄金也会有多惨。另外，白银还是会比黄金弱，因为长得好看。4.【美元】韩赵魏亡，楚燕齐。美油美股美债美元。美元时间未到。接下来美债行情走完，才会轮到美元。灭六国，也是讲究先后顺序的。之前我们提到的中期节奏，欧美反弹1.0980已经走完了。欧元和瑞郎我们做了减仓，英镑一单止盈，一单打了保护。后面是涨是跌不确定，预计3/19美联储决议前震荡概率大一些。5.【A股】早上我们取消了原定于月底的加仓计划，AUDJPY也是一样。大妈股神满仓抄底涨停战法，就此陨落。如果勇气可以做交易，那券商分析师还要写研究报告干什么？至于抄底时间，后面会有的，先让大妈股神们折腾会儿。今晚20:30公开课好吧，说实话，今天有点过于兴奋了。面对如此大的胜利，似乎我也控制不住的有点骄傲自满。文字上如果有哪里不舒服，还请大家见谅。。。晚上20:30有公开课，地址https://edu.fx168.com/live，欢迎大家来玩。当然，如果你想在这个市场，走的更远。不想错过美油美股后的美债行情，欢迎静下心来，好好学习一下我们的课程。也许我的课程不是市面上最好的，但一定是你在别的地方买不到的。新学员报名地址：https://edu.fx168.com/course/381老学员报名地址：https://edu.fx168.com/course/370  课程助理微信：FX168CJXY-KF1交易的世界里，一个公众号就够了唐嘉俊微信号 : fx168fxs04FX168财经学院金融分析师FX168第三届分析师评选亚军外汇分析师（高级）证书上海第一财经广播特约分析师厦门经济交通广播特约分析师浙江经济广播特约分析师福建经济961特约分析师三万小时金融衍生品实盘经验九年金融衍生品市场交易经验\n\n\n\n\n\t\t                \t\t                          投资英雄\n\t\t                \t\t                      \n\n\n\n分享","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":259646,"gmtCreate":1536186360558,"gmtModify":1704772494589,"author":{"id":"3495959654666944","authorId":"3495959654666944","name":"樱花葬","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3495959654666944","idStr":"3495959654666944"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$拼多多(PDD)$ 这几天的图形算双头吗","listText":"$拼多多(PDD)$ 这几天的图形算双头吗","text":"$拼多多(PDD)$ 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