苦涩的沙的个人主页 - 老虎社区

苦涩的沙

苦涩的沙

小白一枚，顺势而为！

IP属地：未知

5关注

2粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-06-08

他

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-08

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2019-12-06

特朗普，特不靠谱！

2018-10-17

$赫美集团(002356)$欠钱不还？？？

2018-08-20

$中兴通讯(000063)$好股

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":3495284145380611,"uuid":"3495284145380611","gmtCreate":1532190125281,"gmtModify":1532190125281,"name":"苦涩的沙","pinyin":"ksdskusedesha","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"小白一枚，顺势而为！","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf6659972b45b2bb82b78add6b262d","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":2,"headSize":5,"tweetSize":6,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":900,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.08.31","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":1,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":117404227,"gmtCreate":1623155349369,"gmtModify":1623155349369,"author":{"id":"3495284145380611","authorId":"3495284145380611","name":"苦涩的沙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf6659972b45b2bb82b78add6b262d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"他&nbsp;","listText":"他&nbsp;","text":"他","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117404227","repostId":"2141691202","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":117404157,"gmtCreate":1623155342879,"gmtModify":1623155342879,"author":{"id":"3495284145380611","authorId":"3495284145380611","name":"苦涩的沙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf6659972b45b2bb82b78add6b262d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117404157","repostId":"2141691202","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1045,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":910358401,"gmtCreate":1575619847203,"gmtModify":1704729802430,"author":{"id":"3495284145380611","authorId":"3495284145380611","name":"苦涩的沙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf6659972b45b2bb82b78add6b262d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"特朗普，特不靠谱！","listText":"特朗普，特不靠谱！","text":"特朗普，特不靠谱！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/910358401","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":307317,"gmtCreate":1539752625754,"gmtModify":1704777804883,"author":{"id":"3495284145380611","authorId":"3495284145380611","name":"苦涩的沙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf6659972b45b2bb82b78add6b262d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$赫美集团(002356)$欠钱不还？？？","listText":"$赫美集团(002356)$欠钱不还？？？","text":"$赫美集团(002356)$欠钱不还？？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/307317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1649,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":246162,"gmtCreate":1534731701980,"gmtModify":1704770763557,"author":{"id":"3495284145380611","authorId":"3495284145380611","name":"苦涩的沙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf6659972b45b2bb82b78add6b262d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$中兴通讯(000063)$好股","listText":"$中兴通讯(000063)$好股","text":"$中兴通讯(000063)$好股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/246162","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":307317,"gmtCreate":1539752625754,"gmtModify":1704777804883,"author":{"id":"3495284145380611","authorId":"3495284145380611","name":"苦涩的沙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf6659972b45b2bb82b78add6b262d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$赫美集团(002356)$欠钱不还？？？","listText":"$赫美集团(002356)$欠钱不还？？？","text":"$赫美集团(002356)$欠钱不还？？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/307317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1649,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":246162,"gmtCreate":1534731701980,"gmtModify":1704770763557,"author":{"id":"3495284145380611","authorId":"3495284145380611","name":"苦涩的沙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf6659972b45b2bb82b78add6b262d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$中兴通讯(000063)$好股","listText":"$中兴通讯(000063)$好股","text":"$中兴通讯(000063)$好股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/246162","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":910358401,"gmtCreate":1575619847203,"gmtModify":1704729802430,"author":{"id":"3495284145380611","authorId":"3495284145380611","name":"苦涩的沙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf6659972b45b2bb82b78add6b262d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"特朗普，特不靠谱！","listText":"特朗普，特不靠谱！","text":"特朗普，特不靠谱！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/910358401","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":117404227,"gmtCreate":1623155349369,"gmtModify":1623155349369,"author":{"id":"3495284145380611","authorId":"3495284145380611","name":"苦涩的沙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf6659972b45b2bb82b78add6b262d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"他&nbsp;","listText":"他&nbsp;","text":"他","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117404227","repostId":"2141691202","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2141691202","pubTimestamp":1623152280,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2141691202?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-08 19:38","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"券商下半年投资策略陆续出台 绩优成长赛道仍是最佳布局领域","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2141691202","media":"新浪财经综合","summary":"又一半导体材料龙头被挖出！　　上半年A股市场即将收官，有多家券商在近日纷纷发布了针对下半年的投资策略展望，其中，中信证券认为，A股已步入共振上行期，其中四季度的空间更大；东方证券表示，A股市场将从流动性市场向业绩市场过度，股市仍将震荡上行；中信建投的态度则是，成长股在经济下行的环境中将表现优异，短期景气和行业的长期增长将成为超额收益的源泉。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<blockquote>\n<p>投资研报</p>\n<p>又一半导体材料龙头被挖出！产品持续处于超产状态，机构高呼隐藏王者正向全球龙头迈进，新产能投放在即，价值正面临重估</p>\n<p>中国宠物市场量价齐升，万亿“宠物经济”市场又有新王者诞生？宠物护理第一股市占率遥遥领先，产能瓶颈也即将突破</p>\n<p>2000亿“南帝”突然跌停！32亿杠杆资金遭闷杀（附解读医药低位逻辑变化受益股）</p>\n<p>半导体王者归来：下半年买什么？电子行业9大核心赛道受益股全梳理（名单）</p>\n</blockquote><p><span>　　券商下半年投资策略陆续出台，绩优成长赛道仍是最佳布局领域</span></p>\n<p><span>　　来源： 证券市场红周刊 </span></p>\n<p><span>　　原创 红刊社</span></p>\n<p><span>　　记者 | 刘增禄</span></p>\n<p>　　上半年A股市场即将收官，有多家券商在近日纷纷发布了针对下半年的投资策略展望，其中，<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600030\">中信证券</a></span><span></span>认为，A股已步入共振上行期，其中四季度的空间更大；<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600958\">东方证券</a></span><span></span>表示，A股市场将从流动性市场向业绩市场过度，股市仍将震荡上行；<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601066\">中信建投</a></span><span></span>的态度则是，成长股在经济下行的环境中将表现优异，短期景气和行业的长期增长将成为超额收益的源泉。</p>\n<p>　　券商建议下半年配置成长赛道板块</p>\n<p>　　对于通胀，多数机构认为，通胀在三季度阴霾渐散，流动性预期修复，成长类板块相对盈利趋势明显占优。在此基础上，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06030\">中信证券</a>认为，三季度可以强化成长配置，建议继续关注更多由产业空间带来实质空间和估值弹性的成长板块。细分领域中，成长类制造板块建议关注新能源、科技自主可控、国防安全和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>制造；成长类消费板块建议关注化妆品、医美、免税、运动服饰、新型烟草。主题方面，建议关注受益于“碳中和”实施纲要出台预期的能源安全主题，以及二季报有望超预期且海外不稳定局势催化的国防板块。</p>\n<p>　　对于四季度，中信证券除了建议继续坚持成长股的配置，还表示在全球经济共振复苏下，国内居民可支配收入和非房信贷增速提升将驱动可选消费复苏，这将成为经济增长的新亮点，且景气持续有望到明年上半年。此时可以配置电商，线上销售占比较高的品牌服饰、美妆日化等品类和传统的可选耐用品，如家电、汽车、消费电子等板块。</p>\n<p>　　对于下半年成长板块的布局，中信建投也给出了类似的观点，认为成长股在经济下行的环境中将表现更优。建议布局医药、人工智能、新能源及新能源汽车板块。随着人口老龄化和人类健康需求的提高，生物医药行业空间大，具备良好的持续盈利能力；人工智能能够解决更多问题，也是未来发展的重要方向，人工智能行业未来5年复合增速预计为26.2%，中国人工智能复合增速预计为44.5%，属于长坡厚雪的赛道。而在“碳中和”背景下，新能源汽车、光伏等行业具有广阔的成长空间，新能源汽车在未来15年的长期复合增速预计在22%~32%之间，光伏行业装机量复合增速也在25%左右的水平。</p>\n<p>　　另外，从2016~2020年开始，以茅台为代表的白马蓝筹股获得了显著的收益，背后本质的原因是收入、利润和现金流的稳定透明，在估值的时候获得了较大的溢价。中信建投认为，从生命周期角度来看，这些公司因为有更长的持续时间，从而拥有较大的终值，也可以认为是较长的久期。因此，下半年也仍看好白酒为代表的消费赛道的长期投资机会。</p>\n<p>　　资金提前布局券商看好标的</p>\n<p>　　对于券商们看好的领域，近期机构资金已经开始有所布局，比如新能源汽车概念股<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300450\">先导智能</a></span><span></span>，在4月26日~6月4日期间，公司在大宗交易平台累计完成了34笔交易，合计成交额10.68亿元，其中只有一笔2.2万股涉及金额207.46万元的交易为机构资金卖出，而其余10.66亿元的交易全部被机构资金买进。</p>\n<p>　　观察先导智能今年首季的业绩表现，2.01亿元的净利润额较上年同期大幅增长了112.97%，身为全球领先的新能源装备提供商，在深度绑定全球锂电龙头<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">宁德时代</a></span><span></span>后，先导智能展示出了强劲的发展动能。5月31日晚间，公司披露年内以来已累计中标宁德时代锂电池生产设备约45.47亿元，这无疑将对公司的业绩产生明显的正面利好，有效提高公司收入规模和盈利能力。</p>\n<p>　　除了新能源汽车概念股，医药板块也得到了机构资金的大力认可。<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000661\">长春高新</a></span><span></span>、<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300122\">智飞生物</a></span><span></span>、<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300233\">金城医药</a></span><span></span>、<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300482\">万孚生物</a></span><span></span>、<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688321\">微芯生物</a></span><span></span>等公司二季度以来都获得了机构资金的净买入。如5月20日遭遇大股东金磊抛售的长春高新，其减持的412.42万股股份中，就有398.82万股被机构资金买进，斥资高达18.74亿元。类似的，生物制品公司智飞生物被机构资金净买入了8.58亿元；化学制剂公司金城医药，4月份以来发生的18笔大宗交易如数被机构资金接盘，合计买进1.68亿元。</p>\n<p>　　另外，观察被机构资金集中持股的<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">贵州茅台</a></span><span></span>，二季度以来也发生了多笔大宗交易且买卖席位均出现过机构的身影，但从机构的买卖金额统计，8笔机构席位卖出的交易合计卖出金额1.86亿元，5笔机构买进的交易合计买进金额3.19亿元。整体来看，贵州茅台在二季度期间获得机构持续增持。</p>\n<p>　　表1：机构资金二季度以来净买入额过亿元的公司</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/444/w550h694/20210608/14e0-krhvrxs9248695.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p>　　下半年市场机会从流动性市场向业绩市场过渡</p>\n<p>　　除了赛道板块的推荐，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03958\">东方证券</a>在近日发布的投资策略报告中也指出，市场在经历了流动性的推动后，下半年机会将逐步向业绩市场过度，过渡期中，市场一般以震荡上行为主。目前，Wind 一致盈利预期的全A股2021年归母净利润增速进一步上升至30%。从业绩增速节奏来看，Q1或是本轮增速高点，Q2开始增速逐步下行。ROE角度，2021年Q1全A主要指数的ROE进一步修复，其中净利润率上升对于整体ROE修复的带动最为明显。目前创业板指、沪深300、上证50等主要指数的ROE水平依然在10%以上，如此情况意味着，A股依然拥有较好的投资回报率。</p>\n<p>　　其次，国际比较角度，A股具备估值优势：上证综指、沪深300和上证50 的市盈率约为13~15 倍，低于道指和标普500指数。估值和资金面角度，A 股当前估值分化仍在延续：上证50、<span><span>沪深300指数</span><span></span></span><span></span>、创业板指静态估值分位依然处于高位，其他大部分指数的估值分位都处于历史60分位及以下水平。资金方面，随着A股机构化程度的加深，以及居民资产对于权益资产配置比例的扩大，资金也有望继续加速流入A股。配置上，建议布局中长期行业确定性强或者长期业绩维度高增长的公司。</p>\n<p>　　观察近期绩优股的市场表现，我们不难发现众多中报大幅预增公司都走出了不俗的升势。一季报业绩增长347.7%的<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002472\">双环传动</a></span><span></span>，今年中期的净利润增速预计高达10966.66%，4月21日业绩一经公布，股价至今已上涨24.91%，而同期大盘只上涨了3.65%。中期继续预增1927.68%的<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002900\">哈三联</a></span><span></span>，4月28日公告至今股价大幅上涨了90.33%，跑赢了同期大盘85.77个百分点。整体上，在275家中报预喜公司中，预告以来有172只个股跑赢了同期市场均值，占比达62.55%。</p>\n<p>　　表2：预告后跑赢大盘30个百分点以上的中报预喜公司</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/595/w550h845/20210608/6cc9-krhvrxs9248813.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p>　　（文中提及个股仅为举例分析，不做买卖建议。）</p>\n<div>\n<span>牛市来了？如何快速上车，金牌投顾服务免费送&gt;&gt;</span>\n<img src=\"\"/>\n</div>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读，尽在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">新浪</a>财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑：杨红卜 </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>券商下半年投资策略陆续出台 绩优成长赛道仍是最佳布局领域</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n券商下半年投资策略陆续出台 绩优成长赛道仍是最佳布局领域\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-08 19:38 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/quanshang/qsyj/2021-06-08/doc-ikqciyzi8487713.shtml><strong>新浪财经综合</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>投资研报\n又一半导体材料龙头被挖出！产品持续处于超产状态，机构高呼隐藏王者正向全球龙头迈进，新产能投放在即，价值正面临重估\n中国宠物市场量价齐升，万亿“宠物经济”市场又有新王者诞生？宠物护理第一股市占率遥遥领先，产能瓶颈也即将突破\n2000亿“南帝”突然跌停！32亿杠杆资金遭闷杀（附解读医药低位逻辑变化受益股）\n半导体王者归来：下半年买什么？电子行业9大核心赛道受益股全梳理（名单）\n　　券商下半年...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/quanshang/qsyj/2021-06-08/doc-ikqciyzi8487713.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe85c79e7ab0e902548197ca13ca8164","relate_stocks":{"510030":"价值ETF","510050":"上证50ETF","512550":"A50ETF基金","XPP":"二倍做多富时中国50ETF(ProShares)","000300.SH":"沪深300","FXP":"二倍做空富时中国50ETF-ProShares","YXI":"ProShares做空FTSE中国50ETF","000016.SH":"上证50"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/quanshang/qsyj/2021-06-08/doc-ikqciyzi8487713.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2141691202","content_text":"投资研报\n又一半导体材料龙头被挖出！产品持续处于超产状态，机构高呼隐藏王者正向全球龙头迈进，新产能投放在即，价值正面临重估\n中国宠物市场量价齐升，万亿“宠物经济”市场又有新王者诞生？宠物护理第一股市占率遥遥领先，产能瓶颈也即将突破\n2000亿“南帝”突然跌停！32亿杠杆资金遭闷杀（附解读医药低位逻辑变化受益股）\n半导体王者归来：下半年买什么？电子行业9大核心赛道受益股全梳理（名单）\n　　券商下半年投资策略陆续出台，绩优成长赛道仍是最佳布局领域\n　　来源： 证券市场红周刊 \n　　原创 红刊社\n　　记者 | 刘增禄\n　　上半年A股市场即将收官，有多家券商在近日纷纷发布了针对下半年的投资策略展望，其中，中信证券认为，A股已步入共振上行期，其中四季度的空间更大；东方证券表示，A股市场将从流动性市场向业绩市场过度，股市仍将震荡上行；中信建投的态度则是，成长股在经济下行的环境中将表现优异，短期景气和行业的长期增长将成为超额收益的源泉。\n　　券商建议下半年配置成长赛道板块\n　　对于通胀，多数机构认为，通胀在三季度阴霾渐散，流动性预期修复，成长类板块相对盈利趋势明显占优。在此基础上，中信证券认为，三季度可以强化成长配置，建议继续关注更多由产业空间带来实质空间和估值弹性的成长板块。细分领域中，成长类制造板块建议关注新能源、科技自主可控、国防安全和智能制造；成长类消费板块建议关注化妆品、医美、免税、运动服饰、新型烟草。主题方面，建议关注受益于“碳中和”实施纲要出台预期的能源安全主题，以及二季报有望超预期且海外不稳定局势催化的国防板块。\n　　对于四季度，中信证券除了建议继续坚持成长股的配置，还表示在全球经济共振复苏下，国内居民可支配收入和非房信贷增速提升将驱动可选消费复苏，这将成为经济增长的新亮点，且景气持续有望到明年上半年。此时可以配置电商，线上销售占比较高的品牌服饰、美妆日化等品类和传统的可选耐用品，如家电、汽车、消费电子等板块。\n　　对于下半年成长板块的布局，中信建投也给出了类似的观点，认为成长股在经济下行的环境中将表现更优。建议布局医药、人工智能、新能源及新能源汽车板块。随着人口老龄化和人类健康需求的提高，生物医药行业空间大，具备良好的持续盈利能力；人工智能能够解决更多问题，也是未来发展的重要方向，人工智能行业未来5年复合增速预计为26.2%，中国人工智能复合增速预计为44.5%，属于长坡厚雪的赛道。而在“碳中和”背景下，新能源汽车、光伏等行业具有广阔的成长空间，新能源汽车在未来15年的长期复合增速预计在22%~32%之间，光伏行业装机量复合增速也在25%左右的水平。\n　　另外，从2016~2020年开始，以茅台为代表的白马蓝筹股获得了显著的收益，背后本质的原因是收入、利润和现金流的稳定透明，在估值的时候获得了较大的溢价。中信建投认为，从生命周期角度来看，这些公司因为有更长的持续时间，从而拥有较大的终值，也可以认为是较长的久期。因此，下半年也仍看好白酒为代表的消费赛道的长期投资机会。\n　　资金提前布局券商看好标的\n　　对于券商们看好的领域，近期机构资金已经开始有所布局，比如新能源汽车概念股先导智能，在4月26日~6月4日期间，公司在大宗交易平台累计完成了34笔交易，合计成交额10.68亿元，其中只有一笔2.2万股涉及金额207.46万元的交易为机构资金卖出，而其余10.66亿元的交易全部被机构资金买进。\n　　观察先导智能今年首季的业绩表现，2.01亿元的净利润额较上年同期大幅增长了112.97%，身为全球领先的新能源装备提供商，在深度绑定全球锂电龙头宁德时代后，先导智能展示出了强劲的发展动能。5月31日晚间，公司披露年内以来已累计中标宁德时代锂电池生产设备约45.47亿元，这无疑将对公司的业绩产生明显的正面利好，有效提高公司收入规模和盈利能力。\n　　除了新能源汽车概念股，医药板块也得到了机构资金的大力认可。长春高新、智飞生物、金城医药、万孚生物、微芯生物等公司二季度以来都获得了机构资金的净买入。如5月20日遭遇大股东金磊抛售的长春高新，其减持的412.42万股股份中，就有398.82万股被机构资金买进，斥资高达18.74亿元。类似的，生物制品公司智飞生物被机构资金净买入了8.58亿元；化学制剂公司金城医药，4月份以来发生的18笔大宗交易如数被机构资金接盘，合计买进1.68亿元。\n　　另外，观察被机构资金集中持股的贵州茅台，二季度以来也发生了多笔大宗交易且买卖席位均出现过机构的身影，但从机构的买卖金额统计，8笔机构席位卖出的交易合计卖出金额1.86亿元，5笔机构买进的交易合计买进金额3.19亿元。整体来看，贵州茅台在二季度期间获得机构持续增持。\n　　表1：机构资金二季度以来净买入额过亿元的公司\n\n　　下半年市场机会从流动性市场向业绩市场过渡\n　　除了赛道板块的推荐，东方证券在近日发布的投资策略报告中也指出，市场在经历了流动性的推动后，下半年机会将逐步向业绩市场过度，过渡期中，市场一般以震荡上行为主。目前，Wind 一致盈利预期的全A股2021年归母净利润增速进一步上升至30%。从业绩增速节奏来看，Q1或是本轮增速高点，Q2开始增速逐步下行。ROE角度，2021年Q1全A主要指数的ROE进一步修复，其中净利润率上升对于整体ROE修复的带动最为明显。目前创业板指、沪深300、上证50等主要指数的ROE水平依然在10%以上，如此情况意味着，A股依然拥有较好的投资回报率。\n　　其次，国际比较角度，A股具备估值优势：上证综指、沪深300和上证50 的市盈率约为13~15 倍，低于道指和标普500指数。估值和资金面角度，A 股当前估值分化仍在延续：上证50、沪深300指数、创业板指静态估值分位依然处于高位，其他大部分指数的估值分位都处于历史60分位及以下水平。资金方面，随着A股机构化程度的加深，以及居民资产对于权益资产配置比例的扩大，资金也有望继续加速流入A股。配置上，建议布局中长期行业确定性强或者长期业绩维度高增长的公司。\n　　观察近期绩优股的市场表现，我们不难发现众多中报大幅预增公司都走出了不俗的升势。一季报业绩增长347.7%的双环传动，今年中期的净利润增速预计高达10966.66%，4月21日业绩一经公布，股价至今已上涨24.91%，而同期大盘只上涨了3.65%。中期继续预增1927.68%的哈三联，4月28日公告至今股价大幅上涨了90.33%，跑赢了同期大盘85.77个百分点。整体上，在275家中报预喜公司中，预告以来有172只个股跑赢了同期市场均值，占比达62.55%。\n　　表2：预告后跑赢大盘30个百分点以上的中报预喜公司\n\n　　（文中提及个股仅为举例分析，不做买卖建议。）\n\n牛市来了？如何快速上车，金牌投顾服务免费送>>\n\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑：杨红卜","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":117404157,"gmtCreate":1623155342879,"gmtModify":1623155342879,"author":{"id":"3495284145380611","authorId":"3495284145380611","name":"苦涩的沙","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7bf6659972b45b2bb82b78add6b262d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117404157","repostId":"2141691202","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1045,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}