Michael_886的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Michael_886

一切皆有可能

IP属地：广东

57关注

0粉丝

1主题

0勋章

2019-11-25

$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$ 中签100股，期待。

2019-10-31

$中手游(00302)$ 跌这么多

2019-10-28

$亚盛医药-B(06855)$ 中一百股

2019-10-14

$德视佳(01846)$ 还没公布中签，要到半夜了。

2019-10-10

$鲁大师(03601)$ 中了一手。

2019-10-10

$鲁大师(03601)$ 中了一手

2019-10-09

$滔搏(06110)$ 还没公布中签

2019-10-09

$鲁大师(03601)$ 还不公布中签。

2019-08-20

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ 业绩增长二倍多，怎么大跌呢？

2019-08-15

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 我买的多，财报应不错吧。

2019-08-05

$尚乘国际(HKIB)$ 中签50股

2019-07-27

$万达体育(WSG)$ 跌好惨啊

2019-05-18

$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 惨不忍睹。

2019-05-16

$海天地悦旅(01832)$ 表现太失望了，盼了这么久，居然爆跌

2019-05-10

$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$ 不允许做空了

2019-01-10

想了解英股

2018-08-22

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2018-07-28

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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还没公布中签，要到半夜了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/931703722","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":802,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":931804730,"gmtCreate":1570638576820,"gmtModify":1704721053690,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03601\">$鲁大师(03601)$</a>&nbsp;中了一手。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03601\">$鲁大师(03601)$</a>&nbsp;中了一手。","text":"$鲁大师(03601)$ 中了一手。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/931804730","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":920,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":931804459,"gmtCreate":1570638548671,"gmtModify":1704721053517,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03601\">$鲁大师(03601)$</a>&nbsp;中了一手","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03601\">$鲁大师(03601)$</a>&nbsp;中了一手","text":"$鲁大师(03601)$ 中了一手","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/931804459","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":931801997,"gmtCreate":1570635965519,"gmtModify":1704721045715,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06110\">$滔搏(06110)$</a>&nbsp;还没公布中签","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06110\">$滔搏(06110)$</a>&nbsp;还没公布中签","text":"$滔搏(06110)$ 还没公布中签","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/931801997","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":931803405,"gmtCreate":1570635903607,"gmtModify":1704721045541,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03601\">$鲁大师(03601)$</a>&nbsp;还不公布中签。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03601\">$鲁大师(03601)$</a>&nbsp;还不公布中签。","text":"$鲁大师(03601)$ 还不公布中签。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/931803405","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":995446432,"gmtCreate":1566301165626,"gmtModify":1704714060066,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>&nbsp;业绩增长二倍多，怎么大跌呢？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>&nbsp;业绩增长二倍多，怎么大跌呢？","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$ 业绩增长二倍多，怎么大跌呢？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/995446432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":995356161,"gmtCreate":1565853114253,"gmtModify":1704713254718,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>&nbsp;我买的多，财报应不错吧。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>&nbsp;我买的多，财报应不错吧。","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 我买的多，财报应不错吧。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/995356161","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":689,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":991429570,"gmtCreate":1565019036090,"gmtModify":1704708139130,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKIB\">$尚乘国际(HKIB)$</a>&nbsp;中签50股","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKIB\">$尚乘国际(HKIB)$</a>&nbsp;中签50股","text":"$尚乘国际(HKIB)$ 中签50股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/991429570","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3522137095185532","authorId":"3522137095185532","name":"火犇1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"你申购了多少","text":"你申购了多少","html":"你申购了多少"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":993415680,"gmtCreate":1564163677940,"gmtModify":1704706783104,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSG\">$万达体育(WSG)$</a>&nbsp;跌好惨啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSG\">$万达体育(WSG)$</a>&nbsp;跌好惨啊","text":"$万达体育(WSG)$ 跌好惨啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/993415680","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":908607362,"gmtCreate":1558117983456,"gmtModify":1704696043388,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 惨不忍睹。","listText":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 惨不忍睹。","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 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不允许做空了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fb014c5cf273595273ecff0a6161a1a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/901178706","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":248530,"gmtCreate":1534953037066,"gmtModify":1704771077190,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/248530","repostId":"1808146227","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1808146227","pubTimestamp":1534930475,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1808146227?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2018-08-22 17:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股最长牛市：近500股涨10倍，诞生70家超级公司","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1808146227","media":"数据宝","summary":"只要周三标普500指数不暴跌20%，那么该指数就会录得历史上持续时间最长的牛市。","content":"<p>只要周三标普500指数不暴跌20%，那么该指数就会录得历史上持续时间最长的牛市。<br></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caa89a55d52b53fcd26da409e829283c\"></p> \n<p>美股周二继续走高，标普500指数一度上涨至2873.23点，创历史新高。并且极有可能创造历史上持续时间最长的牛市。本周三美股牛市将进入第3453天。只要周三标普500指数不暴跌20%，那么该指数就会录得历史上持续时间最长的牛市。本轮美股牛市始于2009年3月9日，至今标普500指数已累计上涨318.94%。</p> \n<p><strong>美股表现惊艳全球</strong></p> \n<p>美股市场的表现惊艳全球。数据宝统计显示，2009年3月9日以来，全球市场指数中，委内瑞拉IBC、阿根廷MERV分别累计涨幅8992倍、26倍排名第1、第2位。</p> \n<p>委内瑞拉股市的爆发式上涨主要原因是由于该国通胀和货币贬值所致，今年委内瑞拉股市上涨近266倍。作为曾经非常富有的石油生产国，委内瑞拉正面临着危机。国际货币基金组织（IMF）23日更新对拉丁美洲地区的经济预测，预计委内瑞拉通货膨胀今年年底将达到“年涨一万倍”水平，拖累拉美整体表现。</p> \n<div> \n <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/064bf039b6da581d5b9b4f5b9b568555\"> \n</div> \n<p>同样，受通货膨胀和货币贬值的影响，阿根廷股市近些年不断狂飙，但股市疯狂的背后，阿根廷经济状况已经陷入窘境。自4月中旬以来美元指数显著走强，让阿根廷比索一度崩盘式大跌。阿根廷国家统计局的数据显示，2017年阿根廷通胀率为24.8%。今年以来，国内脆弱的经济状况叠加美元走强带来的影响，阿根廷比索一泻千里，年内兑美元跌幅一度达25%。</p> \n<p>抛开委内瑞拉和阿根廷不说，纳斯达克指数507.43%排名全球第1位，标普500指数累计涨幅318.94%排名第7位。此外，不俗表现的还有丹麦OMX20、雅加达综指、孟买SENSEX30、开罗CASE30、挪威OSEAX等。</p> \n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37b6ecfecbee66b6f5e5d02649de1db5\"><span><b>近500股累计涨幅超10倍</b></span></p> \n<p>在近九年的美股牛市行情中，多数美股上市公司股价表现不俗。数据宝统计显示，2009年3月9日以来，全部上市美股（不含OTC）中，超2600只美股期间累计涨幅翻倍，占比过半，其中近500股累计涨幅在10倍以上。</p> \n<p>从这些涨幅10倍以上的美股行业来看，可选消费类个股105只分布最广，日常消费类个股22只，两者合计共计127只，消费类股票占比近四分之一。其次信息技术、工业和金融类股票也分布较广。</p> \n<p>美股市场表现最好的是La Jolla Pharmaceutical，2009年3月9日以来，该股累计涨幅2538倍。La Jolla Pharmaceutical是一家生物制药公司。该公司专注开发用于抑制半乳糖凝集素的产品，并以此作为治疗慢性器官衰竭和癌症等疾病的方式。累计涨幅在100倍以上的还有RIMINI STREET、爵士制药<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JAZZ\">$(JAZZ)$</a>、SLEEP NUMBER、GGP信托等。</p> \n<p><strong>美股诞生70余家千亿美元级上市公司</strong></p> \n<p>美股指数连连走强，上市公司市值也在持续增长。截至目前，美股上市公司中，有70余家美股公司总市值（包含美股、港股、A股等全球股市市值之和）达到千亿美元级别。包括我们熟知的苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>公司、亚马逊<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>、谷歌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$(GOOG)$</a>、微软<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a>、伯克希尔<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">$(BRK.A)$</a>哈撒韦、FACEBOOK，还有中国公司阿里巴巴<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$(BABA)$</a>、中石油<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTR\">$(PTR)$</a>和中国移动<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00941\">$(00941)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHL\">$(CHL)$</a>等。苹果公司当前市值1.04万亿美元，是全球唯一一家市值超万亿美元的上市公司。</p> \n<div> \n <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/380891ad23f6e7081bc509628d56d006\"> \n</div> \n<p>按照经典经济学理论，股价是公司未来预期盈利能力的折现。苹果公司的确展示出了超强的盈利能力。苹果公司公布的第三季度财报显示，截止到2018年6月30日，苹果公司营收533亿美元，比去年同期增长17%，连续第四个季度呈双位数增长；净收入为115亿美元，收入和利润均超过市场预期。今年5月份，《财富》发布了美国500强排行榜，苹果净利润达到了约484亿美元，成为最赚钱的公司。</p> \n<p>美国五大科技巨头之一的亚马逊、谷歌、微软最新总市值均在8000亿美元以上，FACEBOOK总市值接近5000亿美元。美股上市的中国公司阿里巴巴最新市值4576亿美元，排在FACEBOOK之后。</p> \n<p><strong>美股牛市或仍将持续</strong></p> \n<p>Chaikin Analytics公司CEO Marc Chaikin表示：“没人能料想到这一轮牛市，直到现在还有人不信。许多人被危机吓破了胆，他们都没能搭上牛市的顺风车。”Chaikin认为，美股的这一轮牛市还会继续下去，“我们的经济没有过热，利率仍然很低。再加上人们很难找到憎恨这个市场的理由，市场已经具备了继续上涨的完美条件。”</p> \n<p>美国商务部最新公布的数据显示，今年第三季度美国实际国内生产总值（GDP）初值按年率计算增长3%，显示飓风灾害对经济影响暂时有限，预计本周美联储的货币政策安排不会做出调整。此次数据略低于美国第二季度的3.1%，但超过市场预期的2.5%。3%的经济增速，在当今世界发达国家中，足以名列前茅。</p> \n<p>据据日本共同社8月10日报道，日本内阁府10日公布的2018年二季度（4月至6月）国内生产总值（GDP、季节调整值）初值显示，剔除物价变动因素后比上季度增长0.5%，换算成年率为增长1.9%。据悉，法国上半年名义国内生产总值为1.167万亿欧元，剔除价格等因素后的GDP实际同比增速为1.9%。</p>\n<p><br></p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股最长牛市：近500股涨10倍，诞生70家超级公司</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股最长牛市：近500股涨10倍，诞生70家超级公司\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2018-08-22 17:34 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://app.finance.sina.com.cn/toutiao/content?zxtype=&from=7041593012&uid=&url=http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2018-08-22/doc-ihhzsnea9594925.shtml?source=cj&dv=1&device_size=414*736&wm=b122&device_model=iPhone 6 Plus&app_key=2399350321&filter=1&cooked=cooked&stockkeynewwords=&version=4.1.5&chwm=3045_0100&device_carrier=中国移动&imei=3e1ea711bcedf76297db8cc7956203dd&docid=comos:hhzsnea9594925&device_os=IOS&device_osv=10.300000><strong>数据宝</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>只要周三标普500指数不暴跌20%，那么该指数就会录得历史上持续时间最长的牛市。\n\n美股周二继续走高，标普500指数一度上涨至2873.23点，创历史新高。并且极有可能创造历史上持续时间最长的牛市。本周三美股牛市将进入第3453天。只要周三标普500指数不暴跌20%，那么该指数就会录得历史上持续时间最长的牛市。本轮美股牛市始于2009年3月9日，至今标普500指数已累计上涨318.94%。\n美股...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://app.finance.sina.com.cn/toutiao/content?zxtype=&from=7041593012&uid=&url=http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2018-08-22/doc-ihhzsnea9594925.shtml?source=cj&dv=1&device_size=414*736&wm=b122&device_model=iPhone 6 Plus&app_key=2399350321&filter=1&cooked=cooked&stockkeynewwords=&version=4.1.5&chwm=3045_0100&device_carrier=中国移动&imei=3e1ea711bcedf76297db8cc7956203dd&docid=comos:hhzsnea9594925&device_os=IOS&device_osv=10.300000\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d5653bdfe33a54503fd25b3dd5805d1","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://app.finance.sina.com.cn/toutiao/content?zxtype=&from=7041593012&uid=&url=http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2018-08-22/doc-ihhzsnea9594925.shtml?source=cj&dv=1&device_size=414*736&wm=b122&device_model=iPhone 6 Plus&app_key=2399350321&filter=1&cooked=cooked&stockkeynewwords=&version=4.1.5&chwm=3045_0100&device_carrier=中国移动&imei=3e1ea711bcedf76297db8cc7956203dd&docid=comos:hhzsnea9594925&device_os=IOS&device_osv=10.300000","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"1808146227","content_text":"只要周三标普500指数不暴跌20%，那么该指数就会录得历史上持续时间最长的牛市。\n\n美股周二继续走高，标普500指数一度上涨至2873.23点，创历史新高。并且极有可能创造历史上持续时间最长的牛市。本周三美股牛市将进入第3453天。只要周三标普500指数不暴跌20%，那么该指数就会录得历史上持续时间最长的牛市。本轮美股牛市始于2009年3月9日，至今标普500指数已累计上涨318.94%。\n美股表现惊艳全球\n美股市场的表现惊艳全球。数据宝统计显示，2009年3月9日以来，全球市场指数中，委内瑞拉IBC、阿根廷MERV分别累计涨幅8992倍、26倍排名第1、第2位。\n委内瑞拉股市的爆发式上涨主要原因是由于该国通胀和货币贬值所致，今年委内瑞拉股市上涨近266倍。作为曾经非常富有的石油生产国，委内瑞拉正面临着危机。国际货币基金组织（IMF）23日更新对拉丁美洲地区的经济预测，预计委内瑞拉通货膨胀今年年底将达到“年涨一万倍”水平，拖累拉美整体表现。\n\n\n\n同样，受通货膨胀和货币贬值的影响，阿根廷股市近些年不断狂飙，但股市疯狂的背后，阿根廷经济状况已经陷入窘境。自4月中旬以来美元指数显著走强，让阿根廷比索一度崩盘式大跌。阿根廷国家统计局的数据显示，2017年阿根廷通胀率为24.8%。今年以来，国内脆弱的经济状况叠加美元走强带来的影响，阿根廷比索一泻千里，年内兑美元跌幅一度达25%。\n抛开委内瑞拉和阿根廷不说，纳斯达克指数507.43%排名全球第1位，标普500指数累计涨幅318.94%排名第7位。此外，不俗表现的还有丹麦OMX20、雅加达综指、孟买SENSEX30、开罗CASE30、挪威OSEAX等。\n近500股累计涨幅超10倍\n在近九年的美股牛市行情中，多数美股上市公司股价表现不俗。数据宝统计显示，2009年3月9日以来，全部上市美股（不含OTC）中，超2600只美股期间累计涨幅翻倍，占比过半，其中近500股累计涨幅在10倍以上。\n从这些涨幅10倍以上的美股行业来看，可选消费类个股105只分布最广，日常消费类个股22只，两者合计共计127只，消费类股票占比近四分之一。其次信息技术、工业和金融类股票也分布较广。\n美股市场表现最好的是La Jolla Pharmaceutical，2009年3月9日以来，该股累计涨幅2538倍。La Jolla Pharmaceutical是一家生物制药公司。该公司专注开发用于抑制半乳糖凝集素的产品，并以此作为治疗慢性器官衰竭和癌症等疾病的方式。累计涨幅在100倍以上的还有RIMINI STREET、爵士制药$(JAZZ)$、SLEEP NUMBER、GGP信托等。\n美股诞生70余家千亿美元级上市公司\n美股指数连连走强，上市公司市值也在持续增长。截至目前，美股上市公司中，有70余家美股公司总市值（包含美股、港股、A股等全球股市市值之和）达到千亿美元级别。包括我们熟知的苹果$(AAPL)$公司、亚马逊$(AMZN)$、谷歌$(GOOG)$、微软$(MSFT)$、伯克希尔$(BRK.A)$哈撒韦、FACEBOOK，还有中国公司阿里巴巴$(BABA)$、中石油$(PTR)$和中国移动$(00941)$$(CHL)$等。苹果公司当前市值1.04万亿美元，是全球唯一一家市值超万亿美元的上市公司。\n\n\n\n按照经典经济学理论，股价是公司未来预期盈利能力的折现。苹果公司的确展示出了超强的盈利能力。苹果公司公布的第三季度财报显示，截止到2018年6月30日，苹果公司营收533亿美元，比去年同期增长17%，连续第四个季度呈双位数增长；净收入为115亿美元，收入和利润均超过市场预期。今年5月份，《财富》发布了美国500强排行榜，苹果净利润达到了约484亿美元，成为最赚钱的公司。\n美国五大科技巨头之一的亚马逊、谷歌、微软最新总市值均在8000亿美元以上，FACEBOOK总市值接近5000亿美元。美股上市的中国公司阿里巴巴最新市值4576亿美元，排在FACEBOOK之后。\n美股牛市或仍将持续\nChaikin Analytics公司CEO Marc Chaikin表示：“没人能料想到这一轮牛市，直到现在还有人不信。许多人被危机吓破了胆，他们都没能搭上牛市的顺风车。”Chaikin认为，美股的这一轮牛市还会继续下去，“我们的经济没有过热，利率仍然很低。再加上人们很难找到憎恨这个市场的理由，市场已经具备了继续上涨的完美条件。”\n美国商务部最新公布的数据显示，今年第三季度美国实际国内生产总值（GDP）初值按年率计算增长3%，显示飓风灾害对经济影响暂时有限，预计本周美联储的货币政策安排不会做出调整。此次数据略低于美国第二季度的3.1%，但超过市场预期的2.5%。3%的经济增速，在当今世界发达国家中，足以名列前茅。\n据据日本共同社8月10日报道，日本内阁府10日公布的2018年二季度（4月至6月）国内生产总值（GDP、季节调整值）初值显示，剔除物价变动因素后比上季度增长0.5%，换算成年率为增长1.9%。据悉，法国上半年名义国内生产总值为1.167万亿欧元，剔除价格等因素后的GDP实际同比增速为1.9%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":229411,"gmtCreate":1532707708759,"gmtModify":1704898116140,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/229411","repostId":"1108286441","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108286441","pubTimestamp":1532677990,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108286441?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2018-07-27 15:53","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"当前美股的估值见顶了吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108286441","media":"点拾投资","summary":"如何看待目前的美股？作为美股历史上第二长的牛市，市场每一次下跌后都会重新收复失地。","content":"<p><b>作者：&nbsp;专注海外投资</b></p>\n<p>导读：如何看待目前的美股？作为美股历史上第二长的牛市，市场每一次下跌后都会重新收复失地。过去几年每一个对美股见顶提出判断，指手画脚的人都被打脸，包括我们自己。那么目前美股到底在什么估值，是不是涨多了就要卖出呢？我们和大家分享一些从客观数据上看到的情况。 </p>\n<p><b>美股估值处于历史中位数水平</b> </p>\n<p>许多人认为美股涨了那么多了，那估值一定很贵了。其实估值和股票价格并不是一个概念。这一轮美股上涨的核心驱动力还是来自基本面因素，许多公司反而出现了越长越便宜的特征。我们看到目前标普500的动态市盈率在16.1倍，和过去25年平均估值水平恰巧吻合。过去25年估值最高的时候是2000年网络股泡沫的顶部，估值最低的时候是2008年金融危机的底部。值得重视的是，今年以来标普500的动态市盈率出现了快速的下滑，导致今天的估值水平和15，16年差不多。合理的估值是此轮牛市和网络股泡沫那次最大的不同。我们如果看2000年那轮泡沫的话，当初美股从1995年一个较低的估值水平直接上涨，摆脱了地心引力。直到2000年3月见顶，当时标普500的平均市盈率达到了24倍左右。 </p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d777874d49733406e3e4655e224b7a69\"></p>\n<p>那么为什么一季度美股的估值会下降那么多？难道是盈利出现了大幅增长吗？其实真正的原因还是天量回购。整个上半年美股回购的金额上涨100%以上，预计今年回购将达突破10000亿美元，创历史新高。 </p>\n<p>上一次的高点是2007年7210亿美元。特朗普税改政策是推动美股回购规模激增的主要原因。对美国企业的海外业务来说，税改前如果要想把海外利润带回美国，必须交35%的税，税改之后，税率仅为15.5%，而诸如房地产这样的非现金持有企业，税率更是低至8%。税改之后，美国企业超万亿美元的海外利润流回国内，这成为企业回购股票重要的资金来源。对投资者而言，企业大规模的回购股票是利好消息，因为在过去几年中，企业回购一直是推动美股上涨的重要动能。 </p>\n<p>除了回购以外，业绩的强劲增长也是估值回落的驱动因素。目前美股已经进入二季度财报季，目前标普500中已经有21.4%的公司公布了二季报，其中盈利超预期的公司达到了80.6%，收入超预期的公司为74.1%。根据Factsets的数据，华尔街预期二季度盈利增速为20%。我们再看一下有完整数据的一季度财报，其中一个非常重要的变化是美国企业毛利率大幅提高。平均毛利率高达16.6%，而过去17年美股平均毛利率只有3.8%。毛利率的大幅扩张，成为了盈利增长最大源头。一季度美股的EPS增速高达26.8%。 </p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cca7ed9cbfd247a2b309192517968f63\"></p>\n<p><b>今年以来美股表现分化</b> </p>\n<p>2017年美股是出现了一次全面牛市，也是受益于全球的一次牛市共振。从道琼斯、纳斯达克、到MSCI中国、新兴市场国家等都出现了全面性的上涨。今年以来市场出现了分化，标普500上半年涨幅2.8%，纳斯达克有差不多10%的涨幅。分行业来看，今年上半年有五个行业出现了下跌，分别是必选消费（下跌8.5%），通信（下跌8.4%），工业（下跌4.7%），金融（下跌4.1%），原材料（下跌3.1%）。表现最好的行业是可选消费（上涨11.5%），科技（上涨10.9%）。值得注意的是，其实亚马逊和阿里巴巴在美国，属于可选消费板块。所以如果把这两家电商巨头算进去，美股今年上半年都是科技股在上涨。 </p>\n<p>从风格的九宫格来看，今年由于科技股表现很好，比较适合成长股风格。上半年表现最好的风格因子是小盘成长（涨幅9.7%），表现最差的风格因子是大盘价值（跌幅1.7%）。如果把周期拉长，回到2007年10月的上一轮牛市高点，在经历了一轮大的牛熊转换后，表现最好的风格因子是大盘成长（涨幅168%），表现最差的风格因子是大盘价值（79%）。为什么大盘价值表现那么差，因为许多金融股都是算在大盘价值中的，他们中大部分股票在金融危机时出现了暴跌。 </p>\n<p><b>经济持续扩大108个月</b> </p>\n<p>从经济基本面角度看，此轮经济扩张达到了惊人的108个月，这个扩张周期是1900年以来，第二长的经济扩张周期。这是一个非常惊人的数据。许多人可能已经习惯了美股走牛，美国经济持续增长。但所有的一切都是有轮回，都是会回归的。美国历史上最长的一次经济扩张是80年代婴儿潮那次。那也是美国历史上最长的牛市，奠定了美股的地位。历史平均的经济扩张周期为47个月。当然，过去不代表未来，我们不能因为历史平均扩张47个月，就认为目前108个月的经济扩张很快会见顶。关键还要找到背后的关键因素是什么。美国此轮经济扩张还是来自科技带来的生产效率提升。流动性也保持在比较宽松状态，利率水平一直被压低。短期看个一年，美国经济依然讲保持增长。 </p>\n<p>同样，目前失业率水平已经回落到了3.8%，已经低于历史平均的6.2%。从失业率中看，拥有大学本科学历以上的人，其失业率只有2%，而学历不足高中的人，失业率有5.4%。科技带动的经济增长，对于就业人口的基本素质要求越来越高。 </p>\n<p>另一个我们之前最担心的数据是十年期国债收益率，目前稳定在2.85%，并没有突破3%。我们曾经对于美股最担心的就是无风险收益率上升。目前看还是在低位，但这将成为未来美国风险中最大的变量。 </p>\n<p><b>后金融危机时代的美股红利</b> </p>\n<p>整个2008年金融危机之后，美国的竞争优势相对全球绝大多数国家都在扩大。虽然金融危机的源头是美国，但最终美国企业是这一次财富再分配最大受益者。其在全球市值最大100家公司的数量从2009年的42家上升到了2016年底的55家。究其原因，美国央行的“全球铸币权”以及美国科技的创造力功不可没。中国的数量不变，但结构发生了变化。BAT们起来取代传统经济的一些公司。欧洲和日本相比2009年出现比较大的下滑。在发达国家中，美国的竞争力变得越来越强。而对于大部分发展中国家，美国也甩开了和他们的差距。我们看到金融危机之后，美国股市涨幅302%，而剔除美股的全球股票市场涨幅115%。 </p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b06603a6ed16f3a67c01fb3fcef25d55\"></p>\n<p><b>美股未来何去何从？</b> </p>\n<p>我们更希望通过客观的数据分析以及背后的逻辑，单纯去预测市场涨跌就如同抛硬币，最终一半正确一半错误。从基本面看，美股目前估值处于历史平均水平，减税带来的股票回购进一步拉低了美股的估值。科技创新带来了毛利率的大幅扩张以及生产效率的提高。美国经济也在以创记录的108个月持续扩张。当然更重要的一点是，美国上市公司的数量相比90年代的8000家，目前下跌了一半，只有4000家左右。大量劣质公司退市，优秀企业上市，让美国股市保持了活力。从2009年以来，标普500指数只有2015年出现了1%的下跌，其他年份都出现了上涨。在这过程中有7年指数出现了超过10%的跌幅，每一次下跌后买入都是赚钱的。 </p>\n<p>未来怎么走，我们不得而知。从基本面看，我们依然关注无风险收益率上升的情况。由于无风险收益率极低，许多公司通过发债来融资，进而回购股票推动股价上扬。一旦融资成本继续上升，会对股市造成影响。除此之外，我们需要关注经济持续扩张会到哪一天终结。任何一次牛市终结，一定是基本面的因素，而非涨多了的因素。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n当前美股的估值见顶了吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2018-07-27 15:53 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>点拾投资</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者： 专注海外投资\n导读：如何看待目前的美股？作为美股历史上第二长的牛市，市场每一次下跌后都会重新收复失地。过去几年每一个对美股见顶提出判断，指手画脚的人都被打脸，包括我们自己。那么目前美股到底在什么估值，是不是涨多了就要卖出呢？我们和大家分享一些从客观数据上看到的情况。 \n美股估值处于历史中位数水平 \n许多人认为美股涨了那么多了，那估值一定很贵了。其实估值和股票价格并不是一个概念。这一轮美股...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7aa8515190e6aa81a212f43fd6304063","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108286441","content_text":"作者： 专注海外投资\n导读：如何看待目前的美股？作为美股历史上第二长的牛市，市场每一次下跌后都会重新收复失地。过去几年每一个对美股见顶提出判断，指手画脚的人都被打脸，包括我们自己。那么目前美股到底在什么估值，是不是涨多了就要卖出呢？我们和大家分享一些从客观数据上看到的情况。 \n美股估值处于历史中位数水平 \n许多人认为美股涨了那么多了，那估值一定很贵了。其实估值和股票价格并不是一个概念。这一轮美股上涨的核心驱动力还是来自基本面因素，许多公司反而出现了越长越便宜的特征。我们看到目前标普500的动态市盈率在16.1倍，和过去25年平均估值水平恰巧吻合。过去25年估值最高的时候是2000年网络股泡沫的顶部，估值最低的时候是2008年金融危机的底部。值得重视的是，今年以来标普500的动态市盈率出现了快速的下滑，导致今天的估值水平和15，16年差不多。合理的估值是此轮牛市和网络股泡沫那次最大的不同。我们如果看2000年那轮泡沫的话，当初美股从1995年一个较低的估值水平直接上涨，摆脱了地心引力。直到2000年3月见顶，当时标普500的平均市盈率达到了24倍左右。 \n\n那么为什么一季度美股的估值会下降那么多？难道是盈利出现了大幅增长吗？其实真正的原因还是天量回购。整个上半年美股回购的金额上涨100%以上，预计今年回购将达突破10000亿美元，创历史新高。 \n上一次的高点是2007年7210亿美元。特朗普税改政策是推动美股回购规模激增的主要原因。对美国企业的海外业务来说，税改前如果要想把海外利润带回美国，必须交35%的税，税改之后，税率仅为15.5%，而诸如房地产这样的非现金持有企业，税率更是低至8%。税改之后，美国企业超万亿美元的海外利润流回国内，这成为企业回购股票重要的资金来源。对投资者而言，企业大规模的回购股票是利好消息，因为在过去几年中，企业回购一直是推动美股上涨的重要动能。 \n除了回购以外，业绩的强劲增长也是估值回落的驱动因素。目前美股已经进入二季度财报季，目前标普500中已经有21.4%的公司公布了二季报，其中盈利超预期的公司达到了80.6%，收入超预期的公司为74.1%。根据Factsets的数据，华尔街预期二季度盈利增速为20%。我们再看一下有完整数据的一季度财报，其中一个非常重要的变化是美国企业毛利率大幅提高。平均毛利率高达16.6%，而过去17年美股平均毛利率只有3.8%。毛利率的大幅扩张，成为了盈利增长最大源头。一季度美股的EPS增速高达26.8%。 \n\n今年以来美股表现分化 \n2017年美股是出现了一次全面牛市，也是受益于全球的一次牛市共振。从道琼斯、纳斯达克、到MSCI中国、新兴市场国家等都出现了全面性的上涨。今年以来市场出现了分化，标普500上半年涨幅2.8%，纳斯达克有差不多10%的涨幅。分行业来看，今年上半年有五个行业出现了下跌，分别是必选消费（下跌8.5%），通信（下跌8.4%），工业（下跌4.7%），金融（下跌4.1%），原材料（下跌3.1%）。表现最好的行业是可选消费（上涨11.5%），科技（上涨10.9%）。值得注意的是，其实亚马逊和阿里巴巴在美国，属于可选消费板块。所以如果把这两家电商巨头算进去，美股今年上半年都是科技股在上涨。 \n从风格的九宫格来看，今年由于科技股表现很好，比较适合成长股风格。上半年表现最好的风格因子是小盘成长（涨幅9.7%），表现最差的风格因子是大盘价值（跌幅1.7%）。如果把周期拉长，回到2007年10月的上一轮牛市高点，在经历了一轮大的牛熊转换后，表现最好的风格因子是大盘成长（涨幅168%），表现最差的风格因子是大盘价值（79%）。为什么大盘价值表现那么差，因为许多金融股都是算在大盘价值中的，他们中大部分股票在金融危机时出现了暴跌。 \n经济持续扩大108个月 \n从经济基本面角度看，此轮经济扩张达到了惊人的108个月，这个扩张周期是1900年以来，第二长的经济扩张周期。这是一个非常惊人的数据。许多人可能已经习惯了美股走牛，美国经济持续增长。但所有的一切都是有轮回，都是会回归的。美国历史上最长的一次经济扩张是80年代婴儿潮那次。那也是美国历史上最长的牛市，奠定了美股的地位。历史平均的经济扩张周期为47个月。当然，过去不代表未来，我们不能因为历史平均扩张47个月，就认为目前108个月的经济扩张很快会见顶。关键还要找到背后的关键因素是什么。美国此轮经济扩张还是来自科技带来的生产效率提升。流动性也保持在比较宽松状态，利率水平一直被压低。短期看个一年，美国经济依然讲保持增长。 \n同样，目前失业率水平已经回落到了3.8%，已经低于历史平均的6.2%。从失业率中看，拥有大学本科学历以上的人，其失业率只有2%，而学历不足高中的人，失业率有5.4%。科技带动的经济增长，对于就业人口的基本素质要求越来越高。 \n另一个我们之前最担心的数据是十年期国债收益率，目前稳定在2.85%，并没有突破3%。我们曾经对于美股最担心的就是无风险收益率上升。目前看还是在低位，但这将成为未来美国风险中最大的变量。 \n后金融危机时代的美股红利 \n整个2008年金融危机之后，美国的竞争优势相对全球绝大多数国家都在扩大。虽然金融危机的源头是美国，但最终美国企业是这一次财富再分配最大受益者。其在全球市值最大100家公司的数量从2009年的42家上升到了2016年底的55家。究其原因，美国央行的“全球铸币权”以及美国科技的创造力功不可没。中国的数量不变，但结构发生了变化。BAT们起来取代传统经济的一些公司。欧洲和日本相比2009年出现比较大的下滑。在发达国家中，美国的竞争力变得越来越强。而对于大部分发展中国家，美国也甩开了和他们的差距。我们看到金融危机之后，美国股市涨幅302%，而剔除美股的全球股票市场涨幅115%。 \n\n美股未来何去何从？ \n我们更希望通过客观的数据分析以及背后的逻辑，单纯去预测市场涨跌就如同抛硬币，最终一半正确一半错误。从基本面看，美股目前估值处于历史平均水平，减税带来的股票回购进一步拉低了美股的估值。科技创新带来了毛利率的大幅扩张以及生产效率的提高。美国经济也在以创记录的108个月持续扩张。当然更重要的一点是，美国上市公司的数量相比90年代的8000家，目前下跌了一半，只有4000家左右。大量劣质公司退市，优秀企业上市，让美国股市保持了活力。从2009年以来，标普500指数只有2015年出现了1%的下跌，其他年份都出现了上涨。在这过程中有7年指数出现了超过10%的跌幅，每一次下跌后买入都是赚钱的。 \n未来怎么走，我们不得而知。从基本面看，我们依然关注无风险收益率上升的情况。由于无风险收益率极低，许多公司通过发债来融资，进而回购股票推动股价上扬。一旦融资成本继续上升，会对股市造成影响。除此之外，我们需要关注经济持续扩张会到哪一天终结。任何一次牛市终结，一定是基本面的因素，而非涨多了的因素。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":995446432,"gmtCreate":1566301165626,"gmtModify":1704714060066,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>&nbsp;业绩增长二倍多，怎么大跌呢？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a>&nbsp;业绩增长二倍多，怎么大跌呢？","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$ 业绩增长二倍多，怎么大跌呢？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/995446432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375593,"gmtCreate":1547118089105,"gmtModify":1704786400480,"author":{"id":"3494663847832356","authorId":"3494663847832356","name":"Michael_886","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"想了解英股","listText":"想了解英股","text":"想了解英股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375593","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}