hqygs的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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2020-01-26

$AbbVie Inc.(ABBV)$ 洛匹那韦，第三版新型冠状病毒肺炎指南用药

2019-10-09

$Viela Bio(VIE)$ Viela Bio今日与三菱田边制药公司展开战略合作，获得3000万美元授权许可费用于在日本和其他亚洲地区开发，用于自身免疫性疾病的英比利珠单抗并将其商业化，英比利珠单抗治疗视神经脊髓炎,已经被FDA批准，基于迄今为止最大的视神经脊髓炎单疗法研究结果，FDA授予inebilizumab此项突破性疗法资格认定

2019-11-13

$SpringWorks Therapeutics, Inc.(SWTX)$ 该公司的Nigarocestat是治疗神经纤维瘤的孤儿药，获得突破性疗法称号，疾病控制率100%，目前神经纤维瘤无有效治疗方法，手术后容易复发，难得终于有方法治疗了

2019-10-31

$Viela Bio(VIE)$ 最近交易有点活跃，难道是背靠阿斯利康这个大树，大家都认同这个小公司了吗？

2020-03-17

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 今晚会反弹，34天之后会不会跌倒17300多点，也就是4月21号左右，这时会不会到底部了

2020-06-09

$Nextcure Inc.(NXTC)$可以媲美PD-1疗效的药物，PD-1无效时可以用N318，会不会是下一个K药，ASCO的II临床数据已经发表，如何才能看到这篇文章？有大神下载到吗？

2020-01-28

$AbbVie Inc.(ABBV)$ 第四版新型冠状病毒肺炎诊疗方案https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/zquMNZL0XhOU3zbq2vwIcA

2020-03-25

美股而已，A股一直趴着

历次熊市回顾：美股复苏最短只需百天？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Inc.(NXTC)$可以媲美PD-1疗效的药物，PD-1无效时可以用N318，会不会是下一个K药，ASCO的II临床数据已经发表，如何才能看到这篇文章？有大神下载到吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/956822811","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":920467777,"gmtCreate":1585112919299,"gmtModify":1704356949901,"author":{"id":"3481891351558811","authorId":"3481891351558811","name":"hqygs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481891351558811","authorIdStr":"3481891351558811"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美股而已，A股一直趴着","listText":"美股而已，A股一直趴着","text":"美股而已，A股一直趴着","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/920467777","repostId":"1197446633","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197446633","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1585059357,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197446633?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-03-24 22:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"历次熊市回顾：美股复苏最短只需百天？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197446633","media":"金十数据","summary":"我们无需害怕熊市，因为熊市终将过去——而且是以较快的速度过去。","content":"<p>Wealthfront联合创始人兼首席执行官安迪·拉赫列夫（Andy Rachleff）认为，<b><u>股市入熊并不是世界末日，历史经验告诉我们，由熊转牛往往比由牛入熊来得更快，更容易。</u></b>他在著名分析网站Seeking Alpha上发表了一篇专栏文章，专门论述这一观点。</p>\n<p>2020年开年阶段股市屡创新高，但新冠疫情的爆发让形势急转直下。2月19日至3月11日，经过连续三周暴跌，道指和标普500指数无奈入熊。哪怕美联储降息100个基点并且启动7000亿美元救市计划，也没能成功拯救市场，反而让投资者的恐慌情绪飙升，恐慌指数VIX更一度升至十年来的最高水平。</p>\n<p>之前每当出现熊市时，许多散户会在市场下跌时迅速抛售，因为他们担心牛市一去不复返。具体到这次危机，由于美股在此前多次刷新历史新高，而且市场泡沫巨大，导致投资者对一丁点下跌信号都格外敏感。因此，当利空出现时，投资者受到强烈的心理冲击，恐惧和不确定性在市场迅速蔓延，许多投资者撤离股市，转向固定收益资产。</p>\n<p><b>然而，事实恰恰相反，牛市不仅会卷土重来，而且历史证明回来的速度比投资者想像的还要快。</b></p>\n<p>那么熊市会持续多长时间呢？历史数据可以给我们提供参考。从下面的图表中可以看到，自1965年以来，美股已经出现过16次市场修正（即从高点下降10％）和12次熊市。下表显示了每次市场调整的规模以及市场成功反弹、回升至到峰值时所花费的时间。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28b4ccc68958a16774849bb943edda1e\"></p>\n<p>统计显示，出现<b>市场修正后，股市的平均恢复时间为126天，这对于长期投资者来说并不长。</b>然而，许多研究机构发现，只要市场下跌，散户就会马上退出市场，导致他们平均每年损失3.5％的收益。</p>\n<p><b>毫无疑问，走出熊市的时间要长得多，平均为637天。</b>但需要注意的是，1970年代美股花了六年时间走出熊市，大大拉低了平均复苏速度。而最快的一次复苏，只花了121天。<b>从历史上看，坚持撑过了熊市的投资者在接下来的1.7年中获得超过20％的收益，回报率非常诱人。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f721ddd08f7a2eca15486e9affaa42cf\"></p>\n<p>综上所述，股市入熊并不是世界末日。对于长期投资者而言，熊市不是其退出市场的理由。相反，拉赫列夫认为在熊市上进行投资可以增加你退休时持有的股票的价值。</p>\n<p>“简单地说，如果你在1965年1月1日开始投资股市，并在接下来的55年中忍受了所有的市场调整和熊市，到今天，你的复合收益率将达到6.51％，远远超过3.91％的复合通货膨胀率。”</p>\n<p>但是人性的恐惧很难克服，很少有投资者可以在市场动荡的时候做到忽略市场调整和熊市、坚持不退场，哪怕你是征战股市多年的沙场老手。</p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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}\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n历次熊市回顾：美股复苏最短只需百天？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-03-24 22:15 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58066><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wealthfront联合创始人兼首席执行官安迪·拉赫列夫（Andy Rachleff）认为，股市入熊并不是世界末日，历史经验告诉我们，由熊转牛往往比由牛入熊来得更快，更容易。他在著名分析网站Seeking Alpha上发表了一篇专栏文章，专门论述这一观点。\n2020年开年阶段股市屡创新高，但新冠疫情的爆发让形势急转直下。2月19日至3月11日，经过连续三周暴跌，道指和标普500指数无奈入熊。哪怕...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58066\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/144fcf63ccaceb7d59c371695c704fb3","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58066","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197446633","content_text":"Wealthfront联合创始人兼首席执行官安迪·拉赫列夫（Andy Rachleff）认为，股市入熊并不是世界末日，历史经验告诉我们，由熊转牛往往比由牛入熊来得更快，更容易。他在著名分析网站Seeking Alpha上发表了一篇专栏文章，专门论述这一观点。\n2020年开年阶段股市屡创新高，但新冠疫情的爆发让形势急转直下。2月19日至3月11日，经过连续三周暴跌，道指和标普500指数无奈入熊。哪怕美联储降息100个基点并且启动7000亿美元救市计划，也没能成功拯救市场，反而让投资者的恐慌情绪飙升，恐慌指数VIX更一度升至十年来的最高水平。\n之前每当出现熊市时，许多散户会在市场下跌时迅速抛售，因为他们担心牛市一去不复返。具体到这次危机，由于美股在此前多次刷新历史新高，而且市场泡沫巨大，导致投资者对一丁点下跌信号都格外敏感。因此，当利空出现时，投资者受到强烈的心理冲击，恐惧和不确定性在市场迅速蔓延，许多投资者撤离股市，转向固定收益资产。\n然而，事实恰恰相反，牛市不仅会卷土重来，而且历史证明回来的速度比投资者想像的还要快。\n那么熊市会持续多长时间呢？历史数据可以给我们提供参考。从下面的图表中可以看到，自1965年以来，美股已经出现过16次市场修正（即从高点下降10％）和12次熊市。下表显示了每次市场调整的规模以及市场成功反弹、回升至到峰值时所花费的时间。\n\n统计显示，出现市场修正后，股市的平均恢复时间为126天，这对于长期投资者来说并不长。然而，许多研究机构发现，只要市场下跌，散户就会马上退出市场，导致他们平均每年损失3.5％的收益。\n毫无疑问，走出熊市的时间要长得多，平均为637天。但需要注意的是，1970年代美股花了六年时间走出熊市，大大拉低了平均复苏速度。而最快的一次复苏，只花了121天。从历史上看，坚持撑过了熊市的投资者在接下来的1.7年中获得超过20％的收益，回报率非常诱人。\n\n综上所述，股市入熊并不是世界末日。对于长期投资者而言，熊市不是其退出市场的理由。相反，拉赫列夫认为在熊市上进行投资可以增加你退休时持有的股票的价值。\n“简单地说，如果你在1965年1月1日开始投资股市，并在接下来的55年中忍受了所有的市场调整和熊市，到今天，你的复合收益率将达到6.51％，远远超过3.91％的复合通货膨胀率。”\n但是人性的恐惧很难克服，很少有投资者可以在市场动荡的时候做到忽略市场调整和熊市、坚持不退场，哪怕你是征战股市多年的沙场老手。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":964732923,"gmtCreate":1584456013262,"gmtModify":1704354286445,"author":{"id":"3481891351558811","authorId":"3481891351558811","name":"hqygs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481891351558811","authorIdStr":"3481891351558811"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>&nbsp;今晚会反弹，34天之后会不会跌倒17300多点，也就是4月21号左右，这时会不会到底部了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>&nbsp;今晚会反弹，34天之后会不会跌倒17300多点，也就是4月21号左右，这时会不会到底部了","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 今晚会反弹，34天之后会不会跌倒17300多点，也就是4月21号左右，这时会不会到底部了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/964732923","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":912846178,"gmtCreate":1580186382694,"gmtModify":1704340991848,"author":{"id":"3481891351558811","authorId":"3481891351558811","name":"hqygs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481891351558811","authorIdStr":"3481891351558811"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">$AbbVie 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洛匹那韦，第三版新型冠状病毒肺炎指南用药","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9fda9c925833cbe3ba0ccb234b1d389","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/912379577","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3502357797012219","authorId":"3502357797012219","name":"龙玉涛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0903c95e179379394c3255e0f1828fca","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3502357797012219","authorIdStr":"3502357797012219"},"content":"这药不能随便吃啊，对肝肾伤害大","text":"这药不能随便吃啊，对肝肾伤害大","html":"这药不能随便吃啊，对肝肾伤害大"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":935646663,"gmtCreate":1573602361352,"gmtModify":1704726330031,"author":{"id":"3481891351558811","authorId":"3481891351558811","name":"hqygs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481891351558811","authorIdStr":"3481891351558811"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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洛匹那韦，第三版新型冠状病毒肺炎指南用药","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9fda9c925833cbe3ba0ccb234b1d389","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/912379577","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3502357797012219","authorId":"3502357797012219","name":"龙玉涛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0903c95e179379394c3255e0f1828fca","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3502357797012219","authorIdStr":"3502357797012219"},"content":"这药不能随便吃啊，对肝肾伤害大","text":"这药不能随便吃啊，对肝肾伤害大","html":"这药不能随便吃啊，对肝肾伤害大"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":931803373,"gmtCreate":1570635502892,"gmtModify":1704721044848,"author":{"id":"3481891351558811","authorId":"3481891351558811","name":"hqygs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481891351558811","authorIdStr":"3481891351558811"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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最近交易有点活跃，难道是背靠阿斯利康这个大树，大家都认同这个小公司了吗？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4ccf0110a2c37c91c7060297d3f1335","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/932922572","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3542454975615180","authorId":"3542454975615180","name":"L_3515","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e201d55ed35843584f1576ad60f64249","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3542454975615180","authorIdStr":"3542454975615180"},"content":"手机上没办法看技术指标？","text":"手机上没办法看技术指标？","html":"手机上没办法看技术指标？"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":964732923,"gmtCreate":1584456013262,"gmtModify":1704354286445,"author":{"id":"3481891351558811","authorId":"3481891351558811","name":"hqygs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481891351558811","authorIdStr":"3481891351558811"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>&nbsp;今晚会反弹，34天之后会不会跌倒17300多点，也就是4月21号左右，这时会不会到底部了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>&nbsp;今晚会反弹，34天之后会不会跌倒17300多点，也就是4月21号左右，这时会不会到底部了","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 今晚会反弹，34天之后会不会跌倒17300多点，也就是4月21号左右，这时会不会到底部了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/964732923","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":956822811,"gmtCreate":1591633985433,"gmtModify":1704196282806,"author":{"id":"3481891351558811","authorId":"3481891351558811","name":"hqygs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481891351558811","authorIdStr":"3481891351558811"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NXTC\">$Nextcure Inc.(NXTC)$</a>可以媲美PD-1疗效的药物，PD-1无效时可以用N318，会不会是下一个K药，ASCO的II临床数据已经发表，如何才能看到这篇文章？有大神下载到吗？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NXTC\">$Nextcure Inc.(NXTC)$</a>可以媲美PD-1疗效的药物，PD-1无效时可以用N318，会不会是下一个K药，ASCO的II临床数据已经发表，如何才能看到这篇文章？有大神下载到吗？","text":"$Nextcure Inc.(NXTC)$可以媲美PD-1疗效的药物，PD-1无效时可以用N318，会不会是下一个K药，ASCO的II临床数据已经发表，如何才能看到这篇文章？有大神下载到吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/956822811","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":912846178,"gmtCreate":1580186382694,"gmtModify":1704340991848,"author":{"id":"3481891351558811","authorId":"3481891351558811","name":"hqygs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481891351558811","authorIdStr":"3481891351558811"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">$AbbVie Inc.(ABBV)$</a>&nbsp;第四版新型冠状病毒肺炎诊疗方案https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/zquMNZL0XhOU3zbq2vwIcA","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">$AbbVie Inc.(ABBV)$</a>&nbsp;第四版新型冠状病毒肺炎诊疗方案https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/zquMNZL0XhOU3zbq2vwIcA","text":"$AbbVie Inc.(ABBV)$ 第四版新型冠状病毒肺炎诊疗方案https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/zquMNZL0XhOU3zbq2vwIcA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/912846178","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":920467777,"gmtCreate":1585112919299,"gmtModify":1704356949901,"author":{"id":"3481891351558811","authorId":"3481891351558811","name":"hqygs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481891351558811","authorIdStr":"3481891351558811"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美股而已，A股一直趴着","listText":"美股而已，A股一直趴着","text":"美股而已，A股一直趴着","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/920467777","repostId":"1197446633","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197446633","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1585059357,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197446633?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-03-24 22:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"历次熊市回顾：美股复苏最短只需百天？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197446633","media":"金十数据","summary":"我们无需害怕熊市，因为熊市终将过去——而且是以较快的速度过去。","content":"<p>Wealthfront联合创始人兼首席执行官安迪·拉赫列夫（Andy Rachleff）认为，<b><u>股市入熊并不是世界末日，历史经验告诉我们，由熊转牛往往比由牛入熊来得更快，更容易。</u></b>他在著名分析网站Seeking Alpha上发表了一篇专栏文章，专门论述这一观点。</p>\n<p>2020年开年阶段股市屡创新高，但新冠疫情的爆发让形势急转直下。2月19日至3月11日，经过连续三周暴跌，道指和标普500指数无奈入熊。哪怕美联储降息100个基点并且启动7000亿美元救市计划，也没能成功拯救市场，反而让投资者的恐慌情绪飙升，恐慌指数VIX更一度升至十年来的最高水平。</p>\n<p>之前每当出现熊市时，许多散户会在市场下跌时迅速抛售，因为他们担心牛市一去不复返。具体到这次危机，由于美股在此前多次刷新历史新高，而且市场泡沫巨大，导致投资者对一丁点下跌信号都格外敏感。因此，当利空出现时，投资者受到强烈的心理冲击，恐惧和不确定性在市场迅速蔓延，许多投资者撤离股市，转向固定收益资产。</p>\n<p><b>然而，事实恰恰相反，牛市不仅会卷土重来，而且历史证明回来的速度比投资者想像的还要快。</b></p>\n<p>那么熊市会持续多长时间呢？历史数据可以给我们提供参考。从下面的图表中可以看到，自1965年以来，美股已经出现过16次市场修正（即从高点下降10％）和12次熊市。下表显示了每次市场调整的规模以及市场成功反弹、回升至到峰值时所花费的时间。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28b4ccc68958a16774849bb943edda1e\"></p>\n<p>统计显示，出现<b>市场修正后，股市的平均恢复时间为126天，这对于长期投资者来说并不长。</b>然而，许多研究机构发现，只要市场下跌，散户就会马上退出市场，导致他们平均每年损失3.5％的收益。</p>\n<p><b>毫无疑问，走出熊市的时间要长得多，平均为637天。</b>但需要注意的是，1970年代美股花了六年时间走出熊市，大大拉低了平均复苏速度。而最快的一次复苏，只花了121天。<b>从历史上看，坚持撑过了熊市的投资者在接下来的1.7年中获得超过20％的收益，回报率非常诱人。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f721ddd08f7a2eca15486e9affaa42cf\"></p>\n<p>综上所述，股市入熊并不是世界末日。对于长期投资者而言，熊市不是其退出市场的理由。相反，拉赫列夫认为在熊市上进行投资可以增加你退休时持有的股票的价值。</p>\n<p>“简单地说，如果你在1965年1月1日开始投资股市，并在接下来的55年中忍受了所有的市场调整和熊市，到今天，你的复合收益率将达到6.51％，远远超过3.91％的复合通货膨胀率。”</p>\n<p>但是人性的恐惧很难克服，很少有投资者可以在市场动荡的时候做到忽略市场调整和熊市、坚持不退场，哪怕你是征战股市多年的沙场老手。</p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>历次熊市回顾：美股复苏最短只需百天？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; 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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n历次熊市回顾：美股复苏最短只需百天？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-03-24 22:15 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58066><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wealthfront联合创始人兼首席执行官安迪·拉赫列夫（Andy Rachleff）认为，股市入熊并不是世界末日，历史经验告诉我们，由熊转牛往往比由牛入熊来得更快，更容易。他在著名分析网站Seeking Alpha上发表了一篇专栏文章，专门论述这一观点。\n2020年开年阶段股市屡创新高，但新冠疫情的爆发让形势急转直下。2月19日至3月11日，经过连续三周暴跌，道指和标普500指数无奈入熊。哪怕...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58066\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/144fcf63ccaceb7d59c371695c704fb3","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/58066","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197446633","content_text":"Wealthfront联合创始人兼首席执行官安迪·拉赫列夫（Andy Rachleff）认为，股市入熊并不是世界末日，历史经验告诉我们，由熊转牛往往比由牛入熊来得更快，更容易。他在著名分析网站Seeking Alpha上发表了一篇专栏文章，专门论述这一观点。\n2020年开年阶段股市屡创新高，但新冠疫情的爆发让形势急转直下。2月19日至3月11日，经过连续三周暴跌，道指和标普500指数无奈入熊。哪怕美联储降息100个基点并且启动7000亿美元救市计划，也没能成功拯救市场，反而让投资者的恐慌情绪飙升，恐慌指数VIX更一度升至十年来的最高水平。\n之前每当出现熊市时，许多散户会在市场下跌时迅速抛售，因为他们担心牛市一去不复返。具体到这次危机，由于美股在此前多次刷新历史新高，而且市场泡沫巨大，导致投资者对一丁点下跌信号都格外敏感。因此，当利空出现时，投资者受到强烈的心理冲击，恐惧和不确定性在市场迅速蔓延，许多投资者撤离股市，转向固定收益资产。\n然而，事实恰恰相反，牛市不仅会卷土重来，而且历史证明回来的速度比投资者想像的还要快。\n那么熊市会持续多长时间呢？历史数据可以给我们提供参考。从下面的图表中可以看到，自1965年以来，美股已经出现过16次市场修正（即从高点下降10％）和12次熊市。下表显示了每次市场调整的规模以及市场成功反弹、回升至到峰值时所花费的时间。\n\n统计显示，出现市场修正后，股市的平均恢复时间为126天，这对于长期投资者来说并不长。然而，许多研究机构发现，只要市场下跌，散户就会马上退出市场，导致他们平均每年损失3.5％的收益。\n毫无疑问，走出熊市的时间要长得多，平均为637天。但需要注意的是，1970年代美股花了六年时间走出熊市，大大拉低了平均复苏速度。而最快的一次复苏，只花了121天。从历史上看，坚持撑过了熊市的投资者在接下来的1.7年中获得超过20％的收益，回报率非常诱人。\n\n综上所述，股市入熊并不是世界末日。对于长期投资者而言，熊市不是其退出市场的理由。相反，拉赫列夫认为在熊市上进行投资可以增加你退休时持有的股票的价值。\n“简单地说，如果你在1965年1月1日开始投资股市，并在接下来的55年中忍受了所有的市场调整和熊市，到今天，你的复合收益率将达到6.51％，远远超过3.91％的复合通货膨胀率。”\n但是人性的恐惧很难克服，很少有投资者可以在市场动荡的时候做到忽略市场调整和熊市、坚持不退场，哪怕你是征战股市多年的沙场老手。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}