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又来操控世界了
IEA大胆预测：油价可能会在这个时候跌到25美元！
成讯
2019-08-27
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@CALL:气人不，哎，，，
成讯
2018-03-16
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
抱歉，原内容已删除
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</p></blockquote><p>国际能源署（IEA）的一份新报告称，随着清洁技术的发展以满足不断增长的电力需求，<strong>世界正朝着更便宜的能源迈进，这将导致石油和天然气供应过剩。</strong></p><p>在主要情景下，<strong>倡导绿色技术的IEA预测，清洁能源将在2023年至2035年期间满足“几乎所有”能源需求增长，导致所有三种化石燃料的需求在2030年前达到峰值。</strong></p><p>这意味着2030年石油价格约为每桶79美元，高于其目前的交易价格。但<strong>在世界在中期实现净零排放目标，以限制全球变暖的方式下，IEA预计到2050年石油价格将跌至每桶25美元。</strong>该报告称：“清洁电力是未来，本展望的一个显著发现是电力需求的快速增长。”</p><p><strong>IEA连续第三个月下调了对今年石油需求增长的预测</strong>。IEA预计，今年全球石油需求增速将从之前的90.3万桶/日放缓至86.2万桶/日，明年的全球石油需求增速将从95.4万桶/日略微上调至99.8万桶/日。</p><p>此外，该机构目前预计2024年和2025年的总需求分别平均为1.028亿桶和1.038亿桶。IEA的预测仍远低于欧佩克的预测。本周早些时候，欧佩克连续第三次下调预期，但仍认为今年和明年的需求增长将保持在每日193万桶和164万桶的健康水平。</p><p>IEA指出，过去十年，电力使用量以整体能源需求的两倍速度增长，其中大部分需求来自中国。IEA强调了由中国主导的电动汽车行业的兴起是如何“打乱”石油生产商的。</p><p>该报告称，“电动汽车目前在全球新车销量中约占20%，到2030年这一比例将上升至50%……到那时，电动汽车将取代每天约600万桶的石油需求。”</p><p>该报告还提到了即将投产的大量新的液化天然气项目，这将导致到2040年之前出现供应过剩。报告称，“价格水平的下降将带来一些可喜的缓解，尤其是在燃料进口国。”</p><p>然而，IEA警告说，<strong>更便宜的天然气可能会减缓向绿色能源的结构性转变，因为这会降低消费者转向绿色能源的经济效益。</strong></p><p>另外，对于中东冲突，<strong>IEA并不担心石油供应中断</strong>，该组织指出，<strong>如果伊朗和以色列之间的冲突导致供应中断，世界可以利用全球石油库存，并依靠欧佩克+的闲置产能。</strong></p><p>IEA表示，它“准备在必要时采取行动”。除5亿桶行业义务库存外，仅其公开的石油库存就超过12亿桶。在俄乌冲突后，这一国际能源机构曾于2022年协调了两次紧急库存释放。如果供应中断从伊朗石油业延伸到霍尔木兹海峡，全球对库存的依赖将变得更加明显。但IEA表示，<strong>只要供应持续流动，明年市场将面临“相当大的供应过剩”。</strong></p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIEA大胆预测：油价可能会在这个时候跌到25美元！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-10-17 18:15 北京时间 <a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=150720&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IEA并不担心中东冲突将导致石油供应中断，并指出只要供应持续流动，明年市场将面临“相当大的供应过剩”。 国际能源署（IEA）的一份新报告称，随着清洁技术的发展以满足不断增长的电力需求，世界正朝着更便宜的能源迈进，这将导致石油和天然气供应过剩。在主要情景下，倡导绿色技术的IEA预测，清洁能源将在2023年至2035年期间满足“几乎所有”能源需求增长，导致所有三种化石燃料的需求在2030年前达到峰值。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=150720&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdc7ca9eb3fdcde7868d42c981e73b12","relate_stocks":{"BK4129":"建筑与工程"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=150720&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2476118541","content_text":"IEA并不担心中东冲突将导致石油供应中断，并指出只要供应持续流动，明年市场将面临“相当大的供应过剩”。 国际能源署（IEA）的一份新报告称，随着清洁技术的发展以满足不断增长的电力需求，世界正朝着更便宜的能源迈进，这将导致石油和天然气供应过剩。在主要情景下，倡导绿色技术的IEA预测，清洁能源将在2023年至2035年期间满足“几乎所有”能源需求增长，导致所有三种化石燃料的需求在2030年前达到峰值。这意味着2030年石油价格约为每桶79美元，高于其目前的交易价格。但在世界在中期实现净零排放目标，以限制全球变暖的方式下，IEA预计到2050年石油价格将跌至每桶25美元。该报告称：“清洁电力是未来，本展望的一个显著发现是电力需求的快速增长。”IEA连续第三个月下调了对今年石油需求增长的预测。IEA预计，今年全球石油需求增速将从之前的90.3万桶/日放缓至86.2万桶/日，明年的全球石油需求增速将从95.4万桶/日略微上调至99.8万桶/日。此外，该机构目前预计2024年和2025年的总需求分别平均为1.028亿桶和1.038亿桶。IEA的预测仍远低于欧佩克的预测。本周早些时候，欧佩克连续第三次下调预期，但仍认为今年和明年的需求增长将保持在每日193万桶和164万桶的健康水平。IEA指出，过去十年，电力使用量以整体能源需求的两倍速度增长，其中大部分需求来自中国。IEA强调了由中国主导的电动汽车行业的兴起是如何“打乱”石油生产商的。该报告称，“电动汽车目前在全球新车销量中约占20%，到2030年这一比例将上升至50%……到那时，电动汽车将取代每天约600万桶的石油需求。”该报告还提到了即将投产的大量新的液化天然气项目，这将导致到2040年之前出现供应过剩。报告称，“价格水平的下降将带来一些可喜的缓解，尤其是在燃料进口国。”然而，IEA警告说，更便宜的天然气可能会减缓向绿色能源的结构性转变，因为这会降低消费者转向绿色能源的经济效益。另外，对于中东冲突，IEA并不担心石油供应中断，该组织指出，如果伊朗和以色列之间的冲突导致供应中断，世界可以利用全球石油库存，并依靠欧佩克+的闲置产能。IEA表示，它“准备在必要时采取行动”。除5亿桶行业义务库存外，仅其公开的石油库存就超过12亿桶。在俄乌冲突后，这一国际能源机构曾于2022年协调了两次紧急库存释放。如果供应中断从伊朗石油业延伸到霍尔木兹海峡，全球对库存的依赖将变得更加明显。但IEA表示，只要供应持续流动，明年市场将面临“相当大的供应过剩”。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":994568714,"gmtCreate":1566867206238,"gmtModify":1704715181437,"author":{"id":"3481323530801424","authorId":"3481323530801424","name":"成讯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/9c792313cb9d09e788f37aede19fb32d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481323530801424","authorIdStr":"3481323530801424"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/994568714","repostId":"994638102","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":994638102,"gmtCreate":1566620812506,"gmtModify":1704714881965,"author":{"id":"3518088597554014","authorId":"3518088597554014","name":"CALL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5006a4a3c5b384b1cfc43b9550af8fc4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3518088597554014","authorIdStr":"3518088597554014"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"气人不，哎，，，","listText":"气人不，哎，，，","text":"气人不，哎，，，","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1628f5532bd8709dd6965922571a39d","width":"720","height":"1440"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/994638102","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":168172,"gmtCreate":1521211079552,"gmtModify":1704890419606,"author":{"id":"3481323530801424","authorId":"3481323530801424","name":"成讯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/9c792313cb9d09e788f37aede19fb32d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481323530801424","authorIdStr":"3481323530801424"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168172","repostId":"2911239","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1087,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":361195881988224,"gmtCreate":1729218104762,"gmtModify":1729218490204,"author":{"id":"3481323530801424","authorId":"3481323530801424","name":"成讯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/9c792313cb9d09e788f37aede19fb32d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481323530801424","authorIdStr":"3481323530801424"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"又来操控世界了","listText":"又来操控世界了","text":"又来操控世界了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361195881988224","repostId":"2476118541","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2476118541","pubTimestamp":1729160136,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2476118541?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-10-17 18:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"IEA大胆预测：油价可能会在这个时候跌到25美元！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2476118541","media":"金十数据","summary":"IEA并不担心中东冲突导致石油供应中断，并指出只要供应持续流动，明年市场将面临“相当大的供应过剩”。 ","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>IEA并不担心中东冲突将导致石油供应中断，并指出只要供应持续流动，明年市场将面临“相当大的供应过剩”。 </p></blockquote><p>国际能源署（IEA）的一份新报告称，随着清洁技术的发展以满足不断增长的电力需求，<strong>世界正朝着更便宜的能源迈进，这将导致石油和天然气供应过剩。</strong></p><p>在主要情景下，<strong>倡导绿色技术的IEA预测，清洁能源将在2023年至2035年期间满足“几乎所有”能源需求增长，导致所有三种化石燃料的需求在2030年前达到峰值。</strong></p><p>这意味着2030年石油价格约为每桶79美元，高于其目前的交易价格。但<strong>在世界在中期实现净零排放目标，以限制全球变暖的方式下，IEA预计到2050年石油价格将跌至每桶25美元。</strong>该报告称：“清洁电力是未来，本展望的一个显著发现是电力需求的快速增长。”</p><p><strong>IEA连续第三个月下调了对今年石油需求增长的预测</strong>。IEA预计，今年全球石油需求增速将从之前的90.3万桶/日放缓至86.2万桶/日，明年的全球石油需求增速将从95.4万桶/日略微上调至99.8万桶/日。</p><p>此外，该机构目前预计2024年和2025年的总需求分别平均为1.028亿桶和1.038亿桶。IEA的预测仍远低于欧佩克的预测。本周早些时候，欧佩克连续第三次下调预期，但仍认为今年和明年的需求增长将保持在每日193万桶和164万桶的健康水平。</p><p>IEA指出，过去十年，电力使用量以整体能源需求的两倍速度增长，其中大部分需求来自中国。IEA强调了由中国主导的电动汽车行业的兴起是如何“打乱”石油生产商的。</p><p>该报告称，“电动汽车目前在全球新车销量中约占20%，到2030年这一比例将上升至50%……到那时，电动汽车将取代每天约600万桶的石油需求。”</p><p>该报告还提到了即将投产的大量新的液化天然气项目，这将导致到2040年之前出现供应过剩。报告称，“价格水平的下降将带来一些可喜的缓解，尤其是在燃料进口国。”</p><p>然而，IEA警告说，<strong>更便宜的天然气可能会减缓向绿色能源的结构性转变，因为这会降低消费者转向绿色能源的经济效益。</strong></p><p>另外，对于中东冲突，<strong>IEA并不担心石油供应中断</strong>，该组织指出，<strong>如果伊朗和以色列之间的冲突导致供应中断，世界可以利用全球石油库存，并依靠欧佩克+的闲置产能。</strong></p><p>IEA表示，它“准备在必要时采取行动”。除5亿桶行业义务库存外，仅其公开的石油库存就超过12亿桶。在俄乌冲突后，这一国际能源机构曾于2022年协调了两次紧急库存释放。如果供应中断从伊朗石油业延伸到霍尔木兹海峡，全球对库存的依赖将变得更加明显。但IEA表示，<strong>只要供应持续流动，明年市场将面临“相当大的供应过剩”。</strong></p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIEA大胆预测：油价可能会在这个时候跌到25美元！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-10-17 18:15 北京时间 <a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=150720&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IEA并不担心中东冲突将导致石油供应中断，并指出只要供应持续流动，明年市场将面临“相当大的供应过剩”。 国际能源署（IEA）的一份新报告称，随着清洁技术的发展以满足不断增长的电力需求，世界正朝着更便宜的能源迈进，这将导致石油和天然气供应过剩。在主要情景下，倡导绿色技术的IEA预测，清洁能源将在2023年至2035年期间满足“几乎所有”能源需求增长，导致所有三种化石燃料的需求在2030年前达到峰值。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=150720&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdc7ca9eb3fdcde7868d42c981e73b12","relate_stocks":{"BK4129":"建筑与工程"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=150720&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2476118541","content_text":"IEA并不担心中东冲突将导致石油供应中断，并指出只要供应持续流动，明年市场将面临“相当大的供应过剩”。 国际能源署（IEA）的一份新报告称，随着清洁技术的发展以满足不断增长的电力需求，世界正朝着更便宜的能源迈进，这将导致石油和天然气供应过剩。在主要情景下，倡导绿色技术的IEA预测，清洁能源将在2023年至2035年期间满足“几乎所有”能源需求增长，导致所有三种化石燃料的需求在2030年前达到峰值。这意味着2030年石油价格约为每桶79美元，高于其目前的交易价格。但在世界在中期实现净零排放目标，以限制全球变暖的方式下，IEA预计到2050年石油价格将跌至每桶25美元。该报告称：“清洁电力是未来，本展望的一个显著发现是电力需求的快速增长。”IEA连续第三个月下调了对今年石油需求增长的预测。IEA预计，今年全球石油需求增速将从之前的90.3万桶/日放缓至86.2万桶/日，明年的全球石油需求增速将从95.4万桶/日略微上调至99.8万桶/日。此外，该机构目前预计2024年和2025年的总需求分别平均为1.028亿桶和1.038亿桶。IEA的预测仍远低于欧佩克的预测。本周早些时候，欧佩克连续第三次下调预期，但仍认为今年和明年的需求增长将保持在每日193万桶和164万桶的健康水平。IEA指出，过去十年，电力使用量以整体能源需求的两倍速度增长，其中大部分需求来自中国。IEA强调了由中国主导的电动汽车行业的兴起是如何“打乱”石油生产商的。该报告称，“电动汽车目前在全球新车销量中约占20%，到2030年这一比例将上升至50%……到那时，电动汽车将取代每天约600万桶的石油需求。”该报告还提到了即将投产的大量新的液化天然气项目，这将导致到2040年之前出现供应过剩。报告称，“价格水平的下降将带来一些可喜的缓解，尤其是在燃料进口国。”然而，IEA警告说，更便宜的天然气可能会减缓向绿色能源的结构性转变，因为这会降低消费者转向绿色能源的经济效益。另外，对于中东冲突，IEA并不担心石油供应中断，该组织指出，如果伊朗和以色列之间的冲突导致供应中断，世界可以利用全球石油库存，并依靠欧佩克+的闲置产能。IEA表示，它“准备在必要时采取行动”。除5亿桶行业义务库存外，仅其公开的石油库存就超过12亿桶。在俄乌冲突后，这一国际能源机构曾于2022年协调了两次紧急库存释放。如果供应中断从伊朗石油业延伸到霍尔木兹海峡，全球对库存的依赖将变得更加明显。但IEA表示，只要供应持续流动，明年市场将面临“相当大的供应过剩”。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":994568714,"gmtCreate":1566867206238,"gmtModify":1704715181437,"author":{"id":"3481323530801424","authorId":"3481323530801424","name":"成讯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/9c792313cb9d09e788f37aede19fb32d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481323530801424","authorIdStr":"3481323530801424"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/994568714","repostId":"994638102","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":994638102,"gmtCreate":1566620812506,"gmtModify":1704714881965,"author":{"id":"3518088597554014","authorId":"3518088597554014","name":"CALL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5006a4a3c5b384b1cfc43b9550af8fc4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3518088597554014","authorIdStr":"3518088597554014"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"气人不，哎，，，","listText":"气人不，哎，，，","text":"气人不，哎，，，","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1628f5532bd8709dd6965922571a39d","width":"720","height":"1440"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/994638102","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":168172,"gmtCreate":1521211079552,"gmtModify":1704890419606,"author":{"id":"3481323530801424","authorId":"3481323530801424","name":"成讯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/9c792313cb9d09e788f37aede19fb32d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3481323530801424","authorIdStr":"3481323530801424"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168172","repostId":"2911239","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1087,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
