我是想说的个人主页 - 老虎社区

我是想说

我是想说

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IP属地：四川

84关注

16粉丝

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0勋章

2025-11-10

不止损？

2025-10-30

特斯拉3车主路过，如果不用绷面子，装13，驾驶和成本至少比80万以内油车都要好，为什么说80万以内呢，因为我没来过80万以上的油车。

2025-10-17

为什么

美股全线转跌，美参议院第十次否决临时拨款法案

2025-10-06

今天涨了11%了，减仓不，长期应该还要涨，今晚上会不会跌！$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$

2025-07-18

没拿过蜜雪

2025-07-03

跑还是留，三倍做多半导体！

美国非农即将来袭！预计6月数据低于5月，美联储或在7月暂缓降息

2025-06-27

要涨？

美国5月核心PCE物价指数同比增长2.7%，优于预期，创2025年2月以来新高

2025-05-09

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 什么情况，直线下跌，我全清空了，等买入时机

2025-05-02

$沪上阿姨(02589)$ 上海少妇

2025-05-01

不是有手就行？

2025-04-23

$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ 有啥好消息？

2025-04-12

猜

2025-02-26

股价1万亿美元

雷军称小米SU7 Ultra 1万台的全年销量目标，已有9成把握

2025-02-22

没事，你还有再破产的一天

2025-02-16

Replying to @Doudou123:他这个期权更爽//@Doudou123:经历过英伟达这次暴跌，整个人都变了，充分意识到老虎3.3倍杠杆的危害

2025-02-16

这个就是赌博，也还有归0的一天

2024-11-20

不是利好？为什么跌

2024-11-05

狂欢时刻

特朗普媒体科技集团盘初涨幅一度扩大至逾15%

2024-11-02

Replying to @吾六三八:哪里能买//@吾六三八:我感觉川普能赢，川普1赔1.5哈里斯1赔3.2。波菜公司的真金白银已做出选择

2024-10-29

$小米集团-W(01810)$ 又要高开低走？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-10-17 00:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>当地时间10月16日，<strong>美国国会参议院以51票对45票的投票结果再次未能推进共和党的临时拨款法案。</strong>据悉，共和党需要60票才能推进这项将为政府提供资金直至11月底的法案。</p><p>这已经是过去两周内，在美国政府停摆之后，<strong>参议院连续10次投票均否决了该临时拨款法案。</strong></p><p>美股三大指数短线下挫，全部转跌。避险情绪升温，现货黄金、白银继续创新高。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c567bc9ecf9cafdee68cc527c85e166c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af92464db1be2429972757bd9392617e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdab102bf98c0d6aa0e3fffeaa76e11c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/347452cc99fb488c45ccd900fcf3aa20","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198526309","content_text":"当地时间10月16日，美国国会参议院以51票对45票的投票结果再次未能推进共和党的临时拨款法案。据悉，共和党需要60票才能推进这项将为政府提供资金直至11月底的法案。这已经是过去两周内，在美国政府停摆之后，参议院连续10次投票均否决了该临时拨款法案。美股三大指数短线下挫，全部转跌。避险情绪升温，现货黄金、白银继续创新高。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":1.1,".IXIC":1.1,".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1024,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":486295378882880,"gmtCreate":1759752923022,"gmtModify":1759752924936,"author":{"id":"3474411519869882","authorId":"3474411519869882","name":"我是想说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e1556d127c5dd21ab9916a4e490af0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474411519869882","idStr":"3474411519869882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"今天涨了11%了，减仓不，长期应该还要涨，今晚上会不会跌！<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"今天涨了11%了，减仓不，长期应该还要涨，今晚上会不会跌！<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"今天涨了11%了，减仓不，长期应该还要涨，今晚上会不会跌！$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/486295378882880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":457970751549448,"gmtCreate":1752846237149,"gmtModify":1752846249333,"author":{"id":"3474411519869882","authorId":"3474411519869882","name":"我是想说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e1556d127c5dd21ab9916a4e490af0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474411519869882","idStr":"3474411519869882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"没拿过蜜雪","listText":"没拿过蜜雪","text":"没拿过蜜雪","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b164b0da30693f0ae5c77e25dad7d315"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/457970751549448","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":452656577655152,"gmtCreate":1751537034074,"gmtModify":1751537035892,"author":{"id":"3474411519869882","authorId":"3474411519869882","name":"我是想说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e1556d127c5dd21ab9916a4e490af0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474411519869882","idStr":"3474411519869882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"跑还是留，三倍做多半导体！","listText":"跑还是留，三倍做多半导体！","text":"跑还是留，三倍做多半导体！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/452656577655152","repostId":"1150463035","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1150463035","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1751533980,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150463035?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-07-03 17:13","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"美国非农即将来袭！预计6月数据低于5月，美联储或在7月暂缓降息","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150463035","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"关键要点今晚20:30即将公布的美国6月非农就业数据市场瞩目。预计6月份就业增长放缓，失业率微升。预计美联储仍将暂缓降息。失业率预计将从5月份的4.2% 上升至 4.3%。时薪： 预计增长 0.3%，低于5月的0.4%。预计美联储暂缓降息预计美联储将在7月暂缓降息，根据芝商所FedWatch工具，期货市场押注这种情况发生的概率接近80%。“反对降息的主要理由是通胀预期已经上升，而且美联储担心关税带来的通胀冲击，”罗加尔说。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>关键要点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>今晚20:30即将公布的美国6月非农就业数据市场瞩目。</p></li><li><p>预计6月份就业增长放缓，失业率微升。</p></li><li><p>预计美联储仍将暂缓降息。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\">经济学家预测，6月份的就业报告将显示就业增长放缓和失业率小幅上升，因为关税和移民政策影响的不确定性笼罩着美国经济。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">根据FactSet的普遍预测，6月份<strong>非农就业人数</strong>（衡量劳动力市场的主要指标）预计将增加<strong>115,000人</strong>，低于5月份的139,000人。失业率预计将从5月份的<strong>4.2%</strong> 上升至 <strong>4.3%</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“我们看到情况在放缓，但我们认为没有理由恐慌，”贝莱德（BlackRock）全球固定收益董事总经理大卫·罗加尔（David Rogal）表示。“我们预计劳动力市场将出现温和放缓，新增就业人数在十几万的低区间。”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">6月份劳动力市场疲软的一个早期指标是每周报告的<strong>连续申领失业救济人数</strong>正在上升。“高频指标表明过去六到八周劳动力市场在走弱，”瑞银（UBS）经济学家写道，他们预计6月就业增长为100,000人。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1688358716d5edd4e8761cd52c95766f\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"676\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>6月就业报告预测要点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>报告发布日期与时间：</strong> 美国东部时间7月3日（星期四）上午8:30（东八区20:30）</p></li><li><p><strong>非农就业人数：</strong> 根据FactSet预测，预计将降至<strong>115,000人</strong>，低于5月份的139,000人增幅。</p></li><li><p><strong>失业率：</strong> 预计将从5月的4.2%上升至 <strong>4.3%</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>时薪：</strong> 预计增长 <strong>0.3%</strong>，低于5月的0.4%。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>政策不确定性笼罩就业市场</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">尽管今年迄今为止劳动力市场的放缓相对温和，但经济学家正密切关注多个可能因政府政策而受阻的领域。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">第一个是特朗普下令取消数十万人的<strong>临时保护身份（TPS）</strong>。瑞银估计，目前身份已被撤销的人数为380,000人，未来几个月内还将有558,000人的身份到期。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“我们预计与TPS相关的裁员将拖累就业，但影响有多大，以及调查是否能捕捉到这一点，都高度不确定，”瑞银经济学家写道，他们预计此举可能已导致6月报告中的就业岗位减少约5,000个。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">高盛（Goldman Sachs）的经济学家预测6月新增就业岗位仅为<strong>85,000个</strong>（低于普遍预期），并预计该政策导致6月非农就业人数减少25,000个。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">另一个未知因素是特朗普今年早些时候实施的<strong>90天关税暂停期</strong>将于<strong>7月9日</strong>到期。“尽管未来两周经济政策将面临重大节点，但关于接下来会发生什么的信息，在我们看来似乎难以捉摸，”瑞银写道。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">即使没有出现关税恢复至暂停前水平的最坏情况，经济如此重要部分的不确定性本身就具有破坏性。根据堪萨斯城联邦储备银行6月的制造业调查，约<strong>四分之一的受访企业</strong>表示已减少招聘职位，<strong>21%</strong> 的企业则已裁员。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>预计美联储暂缓降息</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">预计美联储将在7月<strong>暂缓降息</strong>，根据芝商所（CME）FedWatch工具，<strong>期货市场押注这种情况发生的概率接近80%</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“反对降息的主要理由是通胀预期已经上升，而且美联储担心关税带来的通胀冲击，”罗加尔说。“我们看到的是，目前关税传导至消费者的程度还不高。我们能得到多少传导效应的问题，是主要阻碍美联储降息的因素。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6fc824e6c2278f483cae7a11c05c3588\" tg-width=\"892\" tg-height=\"682\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国非农即将来袭！预计6月数据低于5月，美联储或在7月暂缓降息</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国非农即将来袭！预计6月数据低于5月，美联储或在7月暂缓降息\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-07-03 17:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>关键要点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>今晚20:30即将公布的美国6月非农就业数据市场瞩目。</p></li><li><p>预计6月份就业增长放缓，失业率微升。</p></li><li><p>预计美联储仍将暂缓降息。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\">经济学家预测，6月份的就业报告将显示就业增长放缓和失业率小幅上升，因为关税和移民政策影响的不确定性笼罩着美国经济。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">根据FactSet的普遍预测，6月份<strong>非农就业人数</strong>（衡量劳动力市场的主要指标）预计将增加<strong>115,000人</strong>，低于5月份的139,000人。失业率预计将从5月份的<strong>4.2%</strong> 上升至 <strong>4.3%</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“我们看到情况在放缓，但我们认为没有理由恐慌，”贝莱德（BlackRock）全球固定收益董事总经理大卫·罗加尔（David Rogal）表示。“我们预计劳动力市场将出现温和放缓，新增就业人数在十几万的低区间。”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">6月份劳动力市场疲软的一个早期指标是每周报告的<strong>连续申领失业救济人数</strong>正在上升。“高频指标表明过去六到八周劳动力市场在走弱，”瑞银（UBS）经济学家写道，他们预计6月就业增长为100,000人。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1688358716d5edd4e8761cd52c95766f\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"676\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>6月就业报告预测要点</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>报告发布日期与时间：</strong> 美国东部时间7月3日（星期四）上午8:30（东八区20:30）</p></li><li><p><strong>非农就业人数：</strong> 根据FactSet预测，预计将降至<strong>115,000人</strong>，低于5月份的139,000人增幅。</p></li><li><p><strong>失业率：</strong> 预计将从5月的4.2%上升至 <strong>4.3%</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>时薪：</strong> 预计增长 <strong>0.3%</strong>，低于5月的0.4%。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>政策不确定性笼罩就业市场</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">尽管今年迄今为止劳动力市场的放缓相对温和，但经济学家正密切关注多个可能因政府政策而受阻的领域。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">第一个是特朗普下令取消数十万人的<strong>临时保护身份（TPS）</strong>。瑞银估计，目前身份已被撤销的人数为380,000人，未来几个月内还将有558,000人的身份到期。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“我们预计与TPS相关的裁员将拖累就业，但影响有多大，以及调查是否能捕捉到这一点，都高度不确定，”瑞银经济学家写道，他们预计此举可能已导致6月报告中的就业岗位减少约5,000个。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">高盛（Goldman Sachs）的经济学家预测6月新增就业岗位仅为<strong>85,000个</strong>（低于普遍预期），并预计该政策导致6月非农就业人数减少25,000个。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">另一个未知因素是特朗普今年早些时候实施的<strong>90天关税暂停期</strong>将于<strong>7月9日</strong>到期。“尽管未来两周经济政策将面临重大节点，但关于接下来会发生什么的信息，在我们看来似乎难以捉摸，”瑞银写道。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">即使没有出现关税恢复至暂停前水平的最坏情况，经济如此重要部分的不确定性本身就具有破坏性。根据堪萨斯城联邦储备银行6月的制造业调查，约<strong>四分之一的受访企业</strong>表示已减少招聘职位，<strong>21%</strong> 的企业则已裁员。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>预计美联储暂缓降息</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">预计美联储将在7月<strong>暂缓降息</strong>，根据芝商所（CME）FedWatch工具，<strong>期货市场押注这种情况发生的概率接近80%</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“反对降息的主要理由是通胀预期已经上升，而且美联储担心关税带来的通胀冲击，”罗加尔说。“我们看到的是，目前关税传导至消费者的程度还不高。我们能得到多少传导效应的问题，是主要阻碍美联储降息的因素。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6fc824e6c2278f483cae7a11c05c3588\" tg-width=\"892\" tg-height=\"682\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b36364deff8e1c0e205249c4e528551e","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150463035","content_text":"关键要点今晚20:30即将公布的美国6月非农就业数据市场瞩目。预计6月份就业增长放缓，失业率微升。预计美联储仍将暂缓降息。经济学家预测，6月份的就业报告将显示就业增长放缓和失业率小幅上升，因为关税和移民政策影响的不确定性笼罩着美国经济。根据FactSet的普遍预测，6月份非农就业人数（衡量劳动力市场的主要指标）预计将增加115,000人，低于5月份的139,000人。失业率预计将从5月份的4.2% 上升至 4.3%。“我们看到情况在放缓，但我们认为没有理由恐慌，”贝莱德（BlackRock）全球固定收益董事总经理大卫·罗加尔（David Rogal）表示。“我们预计劳动力市场将出现温和放缓，新增就业人数在十几万的低区间。”6月份劳动力市场疲软的一个早期指标是每周报告的连续申领失业救济人数正在上升。“高频指标表明过去六到八周劳动力市场在走弱，”瑞银（UBS）经济学家写道，他们预计6月就业增长为100,000人。6月就业报告预测要点报告发布日期与时间： 美国东部时间7月3日（星期四）上午8:30（东八区20:30）非农就业人数： 根据FactSet预测，预计将降至115,000人，低于5月份的139,000人增幅。失业率： 预计将从5月的4.2%上升至 4.3%。时薪： 预计增长 0.3%，低于5月的0.4%。政策不确定性笼罩就业市场尽管今年迄今为止劳动力市场的放缓相对温和，但经济学家正密切关注多个可能因政府政策而受阻的领域。第一个是特朗普下令取消数十万人的临时保护身份（TPS）。瑞银估计，目前身份已被撤销的人数为380,000人，未来几个月内还将有558,000人的身份到期。“我们预计与TPS相关的裁员将拖累就业，但影响有多大，以及调查是否能捕捉到这一点，都高度不确定，”瑞银经济学家写道，他们预计此举可能已导致6月报告中的就业岗位减少约5,000个。高盛（Goldman Sachs）的经济学家预测6月新增就业岗位仅为85,000个（低于普遍预期），并预计该政策导致6月非农就业人数减少25,000个。另一个未知因素是特朗普今年早些时候实施的90天关税暂停期将于7月9日到期。“尽管未来两周经济政策将面临重大节点，但关于接下来会发生什么的信息，在我们看来似乎难以捉摸，”瑞银写道。即使没有出现关税恢复至暂停前水平的最坏情况，经济如此重要部分的不确定性本身就具有破坏性。根据堪萨斯城联邦储备银行6月的制造业调查，约四分之一的受访企业表示已减少招聘职位，21% 的企业则已裁员。预计美联储暂缓降息预计美联储将在7月暂缓降息，根据芝商所（CME）FedWatch工具，期货市场押注这种情况发生的概率接近80%。“反对降息的主要理由是通胀预期已经上升，而且美联储担心关税带来的通胀冲击，”罗加尔说。“我们看到的是，目前关税传导至消费者的程度还不高。我们能得到多少传导效应的问题，是主要阻碍美联储降息的因素。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,".DJI":1.1,".SPX":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":450569459560648,"gmtCreate":1751028008941,"gmtModify":1751028010879,"author":{"id":"3474411519869882","authorId":"3474411519869882","name":"我是想说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e1556d127c5dd21ab9916a4e490af0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474411519869882","idStr":"3474411519869882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"要涨？","listText":"要涨？","text":"要涨？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/450569459560648","repostId":"1186779858","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186779858","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1751027420,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186779858?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-06-27 20:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国5月核心PCE物价指数同比增长2.7%，优于预期，创2025年2月以来新高","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186779858","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国5月核心PCE物价指数同比增长2.7%，预期增长2.6%，前值由增长2.5%修正为增长2.6%","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率录得2.7%，高于预期的2.6%，创2025年2月以来新高。美国5月核心PCE物价指数月率录得0.2%，市场预期持平于0.1%。</p><p>美国5月消费者支出出现年初以来最大降幅，显示出由于特朗普政府经济政策的不确定性日益加剧，这越来越多地影响到经济增长前景。</p><p>到目前为止，2025年通胀依然温和，但许多经济学家预计，随着企业越来越多地将更高的进口关税转嫁给家庭，未来几个月通胀将会上升。</p><p>提前购物的热潮消失后，消费者支出上季度几近停滞。服务支出同步减少，导致消费支出季率仅增0.5%，创2020年二季度以来最低。该数据预示二季度消费增长路径疲软。</p><p>消费疲软叠加通胀温和的局面，仍不足以促使美联储7月重启降息。经济学家指出，当前通胀温和源于企业仍在销售关税生效前囤积的库存，预计通胀将从6月CPI数据开始抬头。</p><p>财经网站Forexlive指出，从几个方面来看，这不是一份很好的报告。核心PCE比预期更热。收入和支出疲软，符合我们听到的一些企业评论。</p><p>“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos指出：美国核心商品价格在5月份上涨了0.24%，除了3月份的下跌外，今年每个月都出现大幅上涨。住房板块上涨0.26%，为11月以来的最大温和涨幅。核心服务价格（除住房外）上涨0.13%，连续第三次出现温和读数。</p><p><strong>交易员预计美联储将从9月开始降息，并加大对美联储2025年将降息三次的押注。</strong></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国5月核心PCE物价指数同比增长2.7%，优于预期，创2025年2月以来新高</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国5月核心PCE物价指数同比增长2.7%，优于预期，创2025年2月以来新高\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-06-27 20:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率录得2.7%，高于预期的2.6%，创2025年2月以来新高。美国5月核心PCE物价指数月率录得0.2%，市场预期持平于0.1%。</p><p>美国5月消费者支出出现年初以来最大降幅，显示出由于特朗普政府经济政策的不确定性日益加剧，这越来越多地影响到经济增长前景。</p><p>到目前为止，2025年通胀依然温和，但许多经济学家预计，随着企业越来越多地将更高的进口关税转嫁给家庭，未来几个月通胀将会上升。</p><p>提前购物的热潮消失后，消费者支出上季度几近停滞。服务支出同步减少，导致消费支出季率仅增0.5%，创2020年二季度以来最低。该数据预示二季度消费增长路径疲软。</p><p>消费疲软叠加通胀温和的局面，仍不足以促使美联储7月重启降息。经济学家指出，当前通胀温和源于企业仍在销售关税生效前囤积的库存，预计通胀将从6月CPI数据开始抬头。</p><p>财经网站Forexlive指出，从几个方面来看，这不是一份很好的报告。核心PCE比预期更热。收入和支出疲软，符合我们听到的一些企业评论。</p><p>“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos指出：美国核心商品价格在5月份上涨了0.24%，除了3月份的下跌外，今年每个月都出现大幅上涨。住房板块上涨0.26%，为11月以来的最大温和涨幅。核心服务价格（除住房外）上涨0.13%，连续第三次出现温和读数。</p><p><strong>交易员预计美联储将从9月开始降息，并加大对美联储2025年将降息三次的押注。</strong></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52e6e6d04d9823325064d60aa26462e","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186779858","content_text":"美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率录得2.7%，高于预期的2.6%，创2025年2月以来新高。美国5月核心PCE物价指数月率录得0.2%，市场预期持平于0.1%。美国5月消费者支出出现年初以来最大降幅，显示出由于特朗普政府经济政策的不确定性日益加剧，这越来越多地影响到经济增长前景。到目前为止，2025年通胀依然温和，但许多经济学家预计，随着企业越来越多地将更高的进口关税转嫁给家庭，未来几个月通胀将会上升。提前购物的热潮消失后，消费者支出上季度几近停滞。服务支出同步减少，导致消费支出季率仅增0.5%，创2020年二季度以来最低。该数据预示二季度消费增长路径疲软。消费疲软叠加通胀温和的局面，仍不足以促使美联储7月重启降息。经济学家指出，当前通胀温和源于企业仍在销售关税生效前囤积的库存，预计通胀将从6月CPI数据开始抬头。财经网站Forexlive指出，从几个方面来看，这不是一份很好的报告。核心PCE比预期更热。收入和支出疲软，符合我们听到的一些企业评论。“美联储传声筒”Nick 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10:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"雷军称小米SU7 Ultra 1万台的全年销量目标，已有9成把握","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108162661","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"雷军在微博发布消息称，小米SU7Ultra的初衷，就是打造属于这个时代的新豪车。标就是，性能比肩保时捷、科技紧追特斯拉、豪华媲美BBA。小米SU7Ultra产品力很强，团队信心十足，1万台的全年销量目标，已有9成把握。小米股价现升2%再创历史新高。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>雷军在微博发布消息称，小米SU7Ultra的初衷，就是打造属于这个时代的新豪车。我们的目标就是，性能比肩保时捷、科技紧追特斯拉、豪华媲美BBA。小米SU7Ultra产品力很强，团队信心十足，1万台的全年销量目标，已有9成把握。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f8c1a5cb5524628a35958271f1a90898\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"593\"/></p><p>小米股价现升2%再创历史新高。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44f7ab62dc5a505635f56d4057e7d995\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-02-26 10:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>雷军在微博发布消息称，小米SU7Ultra的初衷，就是打造属于这个时代的新豪车。我们的目标就是，性能比肩保时捷、科技紧追特斯拉、豪华媲美BBA。小米SU7Ultra产品力很强，团队信心十足，1万台的全年销量目标，已有9成把握。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f8c1a5cb5524628a35958271f1a90898\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"593\"/></p><p>小米股价现升2%再创历史新高。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44f7ab62dc5a505635f56d4057e7d995\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aea2b9ab8a046974039715aed46d9985","relate_stocks":{"XIACY":"小米集团ADR","01810":"小米集团-W"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108162661","content_text":"雷军在微博发布消息称，小米SU7Ultra的初衷，就是打造属于这个时代的新豪车。我们的目标就是，性能比肩保时捷、科技紧追特斯拉、豪华媲美BBA。小米SU7Ultra产品力很强，团队信心十足，1万台的全年销量目标，已有9成把握。小米股价现升2%再创历史新高。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XIACY":1.1,"MIUmain":1.1,"01810":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1926,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":406184779133296,"gmtCreate":1740193012663,"gmtModify":1740193013829,"author":{"id":"3474411519869882","authorId":"3474411519869882","name":"我是想说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e1556d127c5dd21ab9916a4e490af0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474411519869882","idStr":"3474411519869882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"没事，你还有再破产的一天","listText":"没事，你还有再破产的一天","text":"没事，你还有再破产的一天","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/406184779133296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":404029906567336,"gmtCreate":1739666257225,"gmtModify":1739666259313,"author":{"id":"3474411519869882","authorId":"3474411519869882","name":"我是想说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e1556d127c5dd21ab9916a4e490af0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474411519869882","idStr":"3474411519869882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4122648192477410\">@Doudou123</a>:他这个期权更爽//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4122648192477410\">@Doudou123</a>:经历过英伟达这次暴跌，整个人都变了，充分意识到老虎3.3倍杠杆的危害","listText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4122648192477410\">@Doudou123</a>:他这个期权更爽//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4122648192477410\">@Doudou123</a>:经历过英伟达这次暴跌，整个人都变了，充分意识到老虎3.3倍杠杆的危害","text":"Replying to 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in了吧，已经涨挺久的了","text":"之前price in了吧，已经涨挺久的了","html":"之前price in了吧，已经涨挺久的了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":367822096412712,"gmtCreate":1730818216743,"gmtModify":1730818218615,"author":{"id":"3474411519869882","authorId":"3474411519869882","name":"我是想说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e1556d127c5dd21ab9916a4e490af0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474411519869882","idStr":"3474411519869882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"狂欢时刻","listText":"狂欢时刻","text":"狂欢时刻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367822096412712","repostId":"1167031511","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1167031511","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1730818136,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167031511?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-05 22:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特朗普媒体科技集团盘初涨幅一度扩大至逾15%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167031511","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"11月5日，$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$盘初涨幅一度扩大至逾15%，该股昨日大幅收涨逾12%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>11月5日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">特朗普媒体科技集团</a>盘初涨幅一度扩大至逾15%，该股昨日大幅收涨逾12%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bca7816394e8fa8aa832d2b3af87e65b\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特朗普媒体科技集团盘初涨幅一度扩大至逾15%</title>\n<style 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tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"DJT":"特朗普媒体科技集团","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4516":"特朗普概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167031511","content_text":"11月5日，特朗普媒体科技集团盘初涨幅一度扩大至逾15%，该股昨日大幅收涨逾12%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DJT":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":366360844861760,"gmtCreate":1730485258281,"gmtModify":1730485260979,"author":{"id":"3474411519869882","authorId":"3474411519869882","name":"我是想说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e1556d127c5dd21ab9916a4e490af0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474411519869882","idStr":"3474411519869882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Replying 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@吾六三八:哪里能买//@吾六三八:我感觉川普能赢，川普1赔1.5哈里斯1赔3.2。波菜公司的真金白银已做出选择","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366360844861760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":365181804355816,"gmtCreate":1730165884529,"gmtModify":1730165887822,"author":{"id":"3474411519869882","authorId":"3474411519869882","name":"我是想说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e1556d127c5dd21ab9916a4e490af0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474411519869882","idStr":"3474411519869882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$&nbsp;</a> 又要高开低走？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$&nbsp;</a> 又要高开低走？","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 又要高开低走？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365181804355816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2120,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":415030,"gmtCreate":1551705938322,"gmtModify":1704791333284,"author":{"id":"3474411519869882","authorId":"3474411519869882","name":"我是想说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e1556d127c5dd21ab9916a4e490af0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474411519869882","idStr":"3474411519869882"},"themes":[],"title":"个人低见看拼多多-不喜勿喷，紧供讨论","htmlText":"我个人确实看不懂拼多多。拼多多拼着买更便宜，拼多多一般都是2人成团，两个人形不成规模化，两个人成团购买和一个人购买，对商家来说本质上成本不会降低多少，拼购无非也就是一个宣传的手段，一个商品实质上只卖10块，拼购写成两人购买10元，一人购买11元，大家选择两人购买，总感觉自己捡了很大便宜一样。现在有商家现在淘宝卖10元，拼多多卖9.5元，现阶段商家在拼多多获得流量更容易，稍微让价也是一个促销手段，拼多多的拼购个人觉得本质上没有啥创新。拼多多的成长靠的是铺天盖地的广告与低价，拼购模式的创新贡献不是很大。 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我们谈谈低价策略，几元钱买一大卷纸巾，几块钱买几双袜子，十多块钱买一条短袖，我承认我也买过，但是买过之后，就没冲动再买了。当很多人在拼多多购物几次，就会明白便宜无好货，好货不便宜也还是真理，靠低价的但质量不令人满意的情况下，会有多少忠实用户留下来。5.5斤40卷纸8.9元还包邮，去除了邮费，算下来这纸也就1块钱每斤了，我想商家就算还有盈利，也应该是微微微利，也不排除平台直接给商家补贴了，为了低价广告效果。一元一双的袜子，5块钱体恤，也是一样，就算商家有利润，也是因为当前阶段拼多多更容易获得成交量，敢微利靠走量。 当前阶段商家都往拼多多开店，因为更容易获得流量，拼多多是一个平台，靠广告盈利，越多的商家入住他们收的钱越多，现阶段10万商家（举个例子，不是真实数据），当成长到100万商家的时候，商家还有现在这么容易获得成交量？微利跑量将不会存在。拼多多需要盈利，当一定阶段也会进入收割期，也会走入直通车，竞价排名的模式，该交的钱都得交。那个时候，商家还会敢这么低的价格来吸引顾客？当规模到达一定的阶段，大家就会发发现，价格和淘宝也没啥差距，吃肉的还是只有那几个大商家。 拼多多拼多多，湖南卫视等各平台广告疯狂轰炸，搞得我两岁女儿随口都是拼多多了。现阶段财报数据会很美观，数据各种漂亮，年前湖","text":"我个人确实看不懂拼多多。拼多多拼着买更便宜，拼多多一般都是2人成团，两个人形不成规模化，两个人成团购买和一个人购买，对商家来说本质上成本不会降低多少，拼购无非也就是一个宣传的手段，一个商品实质上只卖10块，拼购写成两人购买10元，一人购买11元，大家选择两人购买，总感觉自己捡了很大便宜一样。现在有商家现在淘宝卖10元，拼多多卖9.5元，现阶段商家在拼多多获得流量更容易，稍微让价也是一个促销手段，拼多多的拼购个人觉得本质上没有啥创新。拼多多的成长靠的是铺天盖地的广告与低价，拼购模式的创新贡献不是很大。 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拼多多拼多多，湖南卫视等各平台广告疯狂轰炸，搞得我两岁女儿随口都是拼多多了。现阶段财报数据会很美观，数据各种漂亮，年前湖","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":19,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/415030","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3475635809205467","authorId":"3475635809205467","name":"哈飞","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3475635809205467","idStr":"3475635809205467"},"content":"你这样说，看来又要涨了…","text":"你这样说，看来又要涨了…","html":"你这样说，看来又要涨了…"},{"author":{"id":"3495094013975110","authorId":"3495094013975110","name":"时间就是时间就是","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3495094013975110","idStr":"3495094013975110"},"content":"看前几句就知道了，确实是低见","text":"看前几句就知道了，确实是低见","html":"看前几句就知道了，确实是低见"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":955986682,"gmtCreate":1592280856846,"gmtModify":1704198602271,"author":{"id":"3474411519869882","authorId":"3474411519869882","name":"我是想说","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1e1556d127c5dd21ab9916a4e490af0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474411519869882","idStr":"3474411519869882"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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