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实现一个小目标
2021-03-16
$1.5倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$
做空美股都是苦命人
实现一个小目标
2020-04-21
看的很透彻,受教了
还在看原油暴跌的热闹?这是大型经济危机的信号啊
实现一个小目标
2020-01-27
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
给力虎,上车
实现一个小目标
2020-01-27
2020年我看好
$京东(JD)$
实现一个小目标
2020-01-27
金鼠年来啦,我想所有人健健康康!
实现一个小目标
2020-01-10
$迅雷(XNET)$
4.6的平台磨了那么久,这波起来就要冲8块的平台了,加油
实现一个小目标
2020-01-09
$迅雷(XNET)$
放个量出来吸引下人气
实现一个小目标
2019-12-13
$迅雷(XNET)$
是时候放量拉一波了
实现一个小目标
2019-06-26
$迅雷(XNET)$ 癌股,比特币都1万3千刀了,你还这个**样,丢人
实现一个小目标
2019-06-18
$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 给大家表演一个高台跳水
实现一个小目标
2019-06-18
$迅雷(XNET)$ 今晚回3元!
实现一个小目标
2019-05-13
迅雷第一季度净亏损720万美元,同比大幅
【 IT之家5月13日消息 迅雷今晚公布了2019年第一季度未经审计财报。财报显示,本季度迅雷集团总营收为4130万美元,环比下滑2.3%。净亏损860万美元,而上一财季度净亏损3240万美元。不按美国通用会计准则(non-GAAP),净亏损720万美元,而上一财季净亏损3090万美元。 根据财报披露,本季度迅雷会员业务实现了增长,收入达到2120万美元,环比增长16.1%,截至2019年3月31日,用户数为457万,而截止2018年12月31日会员用户数为378万。此外,云计算及其他互联网增值服务收入为1600万美元,比上一季度减少了11.4%。迅雷认为,减少部分主要受直播季度性收入下滑的影响。另据财报披露,本季度迅雷毛利实现增长,为2120万美元,比上一季度增长13.0%;毛利率增51.2%,上一季度为44.3%。截至2019年3月31日,迅雷持有的现金、现金等价物和短期投资总额为2.987亿美元,而截至2018年12月31日为3.195亿美元。迅雷集团CEO、网心科技CEO陈磊表示:“在2019年第一季度,迅雷在许多领域取得了进步和发展。在迅雷会员业务方面,得益于不断提升的服务质量和季节性的推广活动,过去几个月以来的会员数量有所回升。在云计算及其他互联网增值服务业务方面,我们新签署了数家互联网头部企业,并预计近期带宽使用将逐步增加。”
迅雷第一季度净亏损720万美元,同比大幅
实现一个小目标
2019-04-05
$迅雷(XNET)$筹码收集好了,gogogo
实现一个小目标
2019-03-28
$迅雷(XNET)$老庄,筹码洗的差不多了,该拉升了
实现一个小目标
2018-12-14
$蔚来(NIO)$该加仓的加仓,该上车的上车,以后这个价格可能买不到了
实现一个小目标
2018-11-16
今晚应该能达成短期目标$8$
@实现一个小目标:$蔚来汽车(NIO)$这周破8元
实现一个小目标
2018-11-14
$蔚来汽车(NIO)$这周破8元
实现一个小目标
2018-09-25
$京东(JD)$还有人比我惨的吗?
实现一个小目标
2018-03-08
系好安全带
$Qiwi plc(QIWI)$ 随时准备起飞!
系好安全带
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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21:47","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"还在看原油暴跌的热闹?这是大型经济危机的信号啊","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2029368490","media":"新浪财经-自媒体综合","summary":"还在看原油暴跌的热闹?这是大型经济危机的信号啊!\n 作者:侯安扬 \n 来源:侯安扬看投资 \n 今天一大早起来,我发现朋友圈里全在说一件事:原油跌到负价格了。\n 其实,这个只是一个快到期的合约,","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p> <strong>还在看原油暴跌的热闹?这是大型经济危机的信号啊!</strong></p>\n<p> 作者:侯安扬 </p>\n<p> 来源:侯安扬看投资 </p>\n<p> 今天一大早起来,我发现朋友圈里全在说一件事:原油跌到负价格了。</p>\n<p> 其实,这个只是一个快到期的合约,5月美国轻质原油期货,昨天价格暴跌到<strong>-37.63</strong>美元。对,你没看错,真的是有一个负号。</p>\n<p> 为什么会出现负的呢?白送给别人也不行么?这个跟期货的性质有关系,我稍微做点两岁小朋友都看得懂的科普。</p>\n<p> 因为期货合约到期了,你就得把货物交出去,从卖家手里到买家手里(专业术语就得说多头、空头了)。但是,这次因为疫情带来了需求大幅度下跌,油生产得太多了,用不完。</p>\n<p> 油过多了,那价格自然就跌下来了。但是,多到白送给别人都不要的程度。</p>\n<p> 因为石油的储存是耗钱的,有成本的。这时候,卖家宁愿贴点钱给你,也需要你把这批油赶紧拉走。就出现负的价格了。</p>\n<p> 里面其实有很多细节其实还是需要专业词汇描述的,但是我连多头、空头这种词都不用,主要是为了介绍清楚个大概,好让更多人理解一点。我最近在训练自己用大白话讲清楚事情的能力,我发现做到这点不太容易。</p>\n<p> 其实吧,在我家乡,曾经有过这种事情,我自己非常能理解这种行为和价格的产生。</p>\n<p> 我们那盛产香蕉。有一年,香蕉丰收,实在是太多了。</p>\n<p> 但是,因为市场消化不了那么多,一开始降价还有效。过了某个点后,你把价格压得再低,大家也不会因为便宜多吃一倍。</p>\n<p> 这时候,你要是雇人去地里砍,还要花人力的钱。砍了后,还没法卖给别人。所以,慢慢的,农民都只能无可奈何的让香蕉烂在地里了。</p>\n<p> 这个是我家乡发生过的事情,就只在2017年。</p>\n<p> 我那时候起,就意识到一件事情了:原来中学时候学的资本主义倒牛奶,那个是一个理性的、不得不做的经济行为。因为我们不是奶农,没法理解奶农这种悲壮的心里:你好不容易搞出来的东西,谁愿意倒到河里啊?</p>\n<p> 我们那时候的历史课本,拿这件事来黑资本主义,说资本主义没良心。其实,过剩经济比短缺经济要好太多了。到我们走上了市场经济路线,不也照样出现了这种经济现象么?</p>\n<p> 可能有些朋友会说,那干嘛不送给别人呢?</p>\n<p> 其实,我家乡当时香蕉过剩的时候,也有大量送给别人的。但是,你送给别人,也得雇人去地里砍摘回来。这个同样也是要额外花钱的。</p>\n<p> 花一点钱还好,花很多的时候,你就会发现:让它烂在地里那是更划算的行为。已经是血亏了,还要贴钱去,让农民是受不了的。</p>\n<p> 这次的石油,明显是出现了严重过剩的情况。不过,因为我们研究过很多商品价格的历史,我倒是认为不全是疫情的事。</p>\n<p> 从石油本身的格局来看,其实从页岩油革命开始,美国就已经成为全球最重要的石油生产国了。石油的供给格局已经变化了,这个事情是非常深远的。</p>\n<p> 往小里说,只是个石油价格的变化。往大的地方看,搞不好地缘政治都要发生变化。</p>\n<p> 假如石油价格长期低迷——中东国家很多都是靠石油的,它们的财政就会出问题,而像沙特这种以卖石油为主的国家,搞不好都要返回发展中国家的地步了。</p>\n<p> 我16年的时候,当时在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">微博</a>上发过这个看法。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/crawl/693/w550h143/20200421/9274-isqivxf8767139.jpg\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> 原话是:我们这代人,应该能见到沙特重新成为发展中国家。事实上,沙特当发达国家也就是短短几十年。石油格局的历史性变化带来非常大的冲击慢慢会出现。。。</p>\n<p> 你想啊,中东国家被打回发展中国家的话,后面能引发多少事情?想想都头皮发麻。</p>\n<p> 等到后面,我再研究石油价格的历史时,发现更重要的事情:<strong>石油价格是全球经济的晴雨表</strong>。</p>\n<p> 如果石油的供给格局不变,那需求会起着价格主导作用。</p>\n<p> 我把它这几年价格串起来看,发现这次暴跌的原因,并不是供给格局带来的,而是需求萎缩带来的。</p>\n<p> 新冠疫情毫无疑问会严重冲击到石油的需求。比如,你待在家里,就不会去开车出行了。不用汽油,那石油自然就得过剩了。</p>\n<p> 如果是短期的,那就是简单的事件冲击而已。等瘟疫过去了,大家重新恢复原样的生活。</p>\n<p> <strong>万一,过剩是长期的呢?</strong></p>\n<p> 个别东西过剩的时候,是不会有什么问题的。但如果东西普遍都过剩了,那这个就是我们中学课本上讲的:经济危机。</p>\n<p> 而石油,因为它的应用特别广:如果全球需求出问题了,反应到它的价格上,就是一个极其重要的信号。</p>\n<p> 前面说了,石油价格对全球经济有重要的指示作用,我们要审慎的考虑这个事情:是不是出现了全球性、大量的商品过剩了?</p>\n<p> 这个对将来10年的投资方向,是至关重要的,在过剩的年代,肯定也有它的投资方式,但是可能跟过去光景好的时候的经验相背离。</p>\n<p> 过去石油价格暴跌的时候,很多人抄底,都带来盆满钵满。这次,石油价格暴跌到负价格,白送给别人都不行,就让很多人抄底被活埋了。这个就是老经验、教条主义失效的典型例子。</p>\n<p> 前阵子,我在这里也写过几篇关于石油的文章。不过,当时是因为巴菲特用优先股的形式投资了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">西方石油</a>(OXY.N),作为巴菲特和芒格的忠实信徒,我就研究了这个公司。</p>\n<p> 你看,巴菲特这个抄底,就没亏什么钱。因为西方石油已经是暴跌了,但巴菲特用优先股的形式隔离了这个风险。</p>\n<p> <strong>同样是抄底,股神能做到失败了也能全身而退。</strong></p>\n<p> 每个时代都有每个时代的机会。大家别光顾着见证历史、看石油价格暴跌的热闹啊。</p>\n<p> 我最后出个考题给大家吧:今天有个小公司,做仓储业务的,叫<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002492\">恒基达鑫</a>(002492.SZ),开盘无量涨停。</p>\n<p> 你看得懂市场在意淫它什么吗?</p>\n<p><span>免责声明:自媒体综合提供的内容均源自自媒体,版权归原作者所有,转载请联系原作者并获许可。文章观点仅代表作者本人,不代表<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">新浪</a>立场。若内容涉及投资建议,仅供参考勿作为投资依据。投资有风险,入市需谨慎。</span></p>\n<p>责任编辑:陈鑫 </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>还在看原油暴跌的热闹?这是大型经济危机的信号啊</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n还在看原油暴跌的热闹?这是大型经济危机的信号啊\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-04-21 21:47 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/future/roll/2020-04-21/doc-iircuyvh9088785.shtml><strong>新浪财经-自媒体综合</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>还在看原油暴跌的热闹?这是大型经济危机的信号啊!\n 作者:侯安扬 \n 来源:侯安扬看投资 \n 今天一大早起来,我发现朋友圈里全在说一件事:原油跌到负价格了。\n 其实,这个只是一个快到期的合约,5月美国轻质原油期货,昨天价格暴跌到-37.63美元。对,你没看错,真的是有一个负号。\n 为什么会出现负的呢?白送给别人也不行么?这个跟期货的性质有关系,我稍微做点两岁小朋友都看得懂的科普。\n ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/future/roll/2020-04-21/doc-iircuyvh9088785.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3032b14c2473d66d67c993a1e0a753c0","relate_stocks":{"USO":"美国原油ETF","DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN","DDG":"ProShares做空石油与天然气ETF","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/future/roll/2020-04-21/doc-iircuyvh9088785.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2029368490","content_text":"还在看原油暴跌的热闹?这是大型经济危机的信号啊!\n 作者:侯安扬 \n 来源:侯安扬看投资 \n 今天一大早起来,我发现朋友圈里全在说一件事:原油跌到负价格了。\n 其实,这个只是一个快到期的合约,5月美国轻质原油期货,昨天价格暴跌到-37.63美元。对,你没看错,真的是有一个负号。\n 为什么会出现负的呢?白送给别人也不行么?这个跟期货的性质有关系,我稍微做点两岁小朋友都看得懂的科普。\n 因为期货合约到期了,你就得把货物交出去,从卖家手里到买家手里(专业术语就得说多头、空头了)。但是,这次因为疫情带来了需求大幅度下跌,油生产得太多了,用不完。\n 油过多了,那价格自然就跌下来了。但是,多到白送给别人都不要的程度。\n 因为石油的储存是耗钱的,有成本的。这时候,卖家宁愿贴点钱给你,也需要你把这批油赶紧拉走。就出现负的价格了。\n 里面其实有很多细节其实还是需要专业词汇描述的,但是我连多头、空头这种词都不用,主要是为了介绍清楚个大概,好让更多人理解一点。我最近在训练自己用大白话讲清楚事情的能力,我发现做到这点不太容易。\n 其实吧,在我家乡,曾经有过这种事情,我自己非常能理解这种行为和价格的产生。\n 我们那盛产香蕉。有一年,香蕉丰收,实在是太多了。\n 但是,因为市场消化不了那么多,一开始降价还有效。过了某个点后,你把价格压得再低,大家也不会因为便宜多吃一倍。\n 这时候,你要是雇人去地里砍,还要花人力的钱。砍了后,还没法卖给别人。所以,慢慢的,农民都只能无可奈何的让香蕉烂在地里了。\n 这个是我家乡发生过的事情,就只在2017年。\n 我那时候起,就意识到一件事情了:原来中学时候学的资本主义倒牛奶,那个是一个理性的、不得不做的经济行为。因为我们不是奶农,没法理解奶农这种悲壮的心里:你好不容易搞出来的东西,谁愿意倒到河里啊?\n 我们那时候的历史课本,拿这件事来黑资本主义,说资本主义没良心。其实,过剩经济比短缺经济要好太多了。到我们走上了市场经济路线,不也照样出现了这种经济现象么?\n 可能有些朋友会说,那干嘛不送给别人呢?\n 其实,我家乡当时香蕉过剩的时候,也有大量送给别人的。但是,你送给别人,也得雇人去地里砍摘回来。这个同样也是要额外花钱的。\n 花一点钱还好,花很多的时候,你就会发现:让它烂在地里那是更划算的行为。已经是血亏了,还要贴钱去,让农民是受不了的。\n 这次的石油,明显是出现了严重过剩的情况。不过,因为我们研究过很多商品价格的历史,我倒是认为不全是疫情的事。\n 从石油本身的格局来看,其实从页岩油革命开始,美国就已经成为全球最重要的石油生产国了。石油的供给格局已经变化了,这个事情是非常深远的。\n 往小里说,只是个石油价格的变化。往大的地方看,搞不好地缘政治都要发生变化。\n 假如石油价格长期低迷——中东国家很多都是靠石油的,它们的财政就会出问题,而像沙特这种以卖石油为主的国家,搞不好都要返回发展中国家的地步了。\n 我16年的时候,当时在微博上发过这个看法。\n\n 原话是:我们这代人,应该能见到沙特重新成为发展中国家。事实上,沙特当发达国家也就是短短几十年。石油格局的历史性变化带来非常大的冲击慢慢会出现。。。\n 你想啊,中东国家被打回发展中国家的话,后面能引发多少事情?想想都头皮发麻。\n 等到后面,我再研究石油价格的历史时,发现更重要的事情:石油价格是全球经济的晴雨表。\n 如果石油的供给格局不变,那需求会起着价格主导作用。\n 我把它这几年价格串起来看,发现这次暴跌的原因,并不是供给格局带来的,而是需求萎缩带来的。\n 新冠疫情毫无疑问会严重冲击到石油的需求。比如,你待在家里,就不会去开车出行了。不用汽油,那石油自然就得过剩了。\n 如果是短期的,那就是简单的事件冲击而已。等瘟疫过去了,大家重新恢复原样的生活。\n 万一,过剩是长期的呢?\n 个别东西过剩的时候,是不会有什么问题的。但如果东西普遍都过剩了,那这个就是我们中学课本上讲的:经济危机。\n 而石油,因为它的应用特别广:如果全球需求出问题了,反应到它的价格上,就是一个极其重要的信号。\n 前面说了,石油价格对全球经济有重要的指示作用,我们要审慎的考虑这个事情:是不是出现了全球性、大量的商品过剩了?\n 这个对将来10年的投资方向,是至关重要的,在过剩的年代,肯定也有它的投资方式,但是可能跟过去光景好的时候的经验相背离。\n 过去石油价格暴跌的时候,很多人抄底,都带来盆满钵满。这次,石油价格暴跌到负价格,白送给别人都不行,就让很多人抄底被活埋了。这个就是老经验、教条主义失效的典型例子。\n 前阵子,我在这里也写过几篇关于石油的文章。不过,当时是因为巴菲特用优先股的形式投资了西方石油(OXY.N),作为巴菲特和芒格的忠实信徒,我就研究了这个公司。\n 你看,巴菲特这个抄底,就没亏什么钱。因为西方石油已经是暴跌了,但巴菲特用优先股的形式隔离了这个风险。\n 同样是抄底,股神能做到失败了也能全身而退。\n 每个时代都有每个时代的机会。大家别光顾着见证历史、看石油价格暴跌的热闹啊。\n 我最后出个考题给大家吧:今天有个小公司,做仓储业务的,叫恒基达鑫(002492.SZ),开盘无量涨停。\n 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