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2023-02-17
$两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares(BOIL)$
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乱里库码
2023-01-20
加死自己
市场别做梦?欧美央行“一二把手”亮明态度:加息到底
乱里库码
2021-03-01
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09:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市场别做梦?欧美央行“一二把手”亮明态度:加息到底","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2304260312","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"这一次,市场会相信吗?","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>这一次,市场会相信吗?</blockquote><p>欧美央行不断强调加息,但能否重新获得市场信任是一个问题。</p><p>1月19日,欧洲央行主席拉加德在世界经济论坛上警告称,未来还将进一步大幅加息,随后,欧洲央行其他成员以及美联储高级官员都发出了类似的警告。</p><p>拉加德在论坛上的一个小组讨论中说:</p><blockquote>我们将坚持到底,直到我们能够及时让通胀率回到2%。</blockquote><p>荷兰央行行长,欧洲央行董事会成员Klaas Knot在谈到欧洲央行即将采取的行动时表示,在下一次利率制定会议上,欧洲央行不会“在一次加息50个基点后停止”,因为数据并没有“令人鼓舞”:</p><blockquote>我们又看到了一份通胀数据,显示根本通胀压力没有减弱的迹象。</blockquote><blockquote>我们还有很多必须要做的事情,核心通胀在欧元区还没有好转,这意味着我在过去两周左右看到的市场发展,并不完全理想。我不认为这些政策与通胀及时回到2%的水平相匹配。</blockquote><p>Knot已经明确表示,至少还会有两次加息:</p><blockquote>这种50个基点的加息速度将在哪里结束,我事先不能说,但很明显,我们的主席在她的措辞中使用了复数。因此,它不会在一次加息50个基点后停止,这是肯定的。</blockquote><p>最近的数据显示,近几个月来,欧元区整体通胀有所下降,但12月的核心通胀指标(不包括食品和能源价格波动,被视为能更好衡量潜在价格压力的指标)仍然从上月的5%升至5.2%。</p><p>欧洲央行在2022年期间四次加息,将存款利率提高到2%,并且还在去年12月表示,将在2023年进一步加息,以应对高企的通胀。</p><p>与此同时,美联储副主席Lael Brainard 19日也暗示,要让通胀更接近2%的目标,美联储还有更多工作要做,尽管有迹象显示,消费者支出开始下降,劳动力市场正在降温,价格压力也有所缓解:</p><blockquote>通胀率很高,要让通胀率回落至2%,需要时间和决心。</blockquote><blockquote>我们决心坚持到底。</blockquote><p>然而,尽管欧美央行此前不断放出鹰派态度,但市场却报之以不信任。而这次市场是否还会采纳央行的预期,仍然是一个问题。</p><p>华尔街见闻早些时候曾提及,本周,货币市场的定价与美联储官员最近一再传递的信号大相径庭,就算美联储官员发布鹰派言论,市场也并没有做出明显的反应,反而还继续走高。</p><p>媒体评论指出,美联储存在两个问题,一是美联储主席鲍威尔和他的前任们都淡化了联储决策者利率预期点阵图的相关性,二是,事实证明,美联储2021年的预测有误,没能预计到2022年加息。</p><p>在金融市场从业36年的资深业内人士、Bannockburn Global的首席市场策略师Marc Chandler评论称,</p><blockquote>市场认为美联储在做没有剧本的表演,因为他们(联储)以前的预测错误,而且他们过去一直在淡化这些预测的影响。投资者判断,美国经济正走向衰退,而美联储还没有完全意识到这一点。</blockquote><p>同样从业数十年并帮助管理10亿美元资产的Laffer Tengler Investments Inc.CEO兼首席投资官Nancy Tengler评论称:</p><blockquote>美联储经常在转折点上犯错。我记得很清楚的一件事是,2021年9月的点阵图甚至没有显示美联储(的政策利率)要到2024年才能达到2%。</blockquote></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>市场别做梦?欧美央行“一二把手”亮明态度:加息到底</title>\n<style 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c7529fdbb41cb6b3c19bcb2904f4970","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680366","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2304260312","content_text":"这一次,市场会相信吗?欧美央行不断强调加息,但能否重新获得市场信任是一个问题。1月19日,欧洲央行主席拉加德在世界经济论坛上警告称,未来还将进一步大幅加息,随后,欧洲央行其他成员以及美联储高级官员都发出了类似的警告。拉加德在论坛上的一个小组讨论中说:我们将坚持到底,直到我们能够及时让通胀率回到2%。荷兰央行行长,欧洲央行董事会成员Klaas Knot在谈到欧洲央行即将采取的行动时表示,在下一次利率制定会议上,欧洲央行不会“在一次加息50个基点后停止”,因为数据并没有“令人鼓舞”:我们又看到了一份通胀数据,显示根本通胀压力没有减弱的迹象。我们还有很多必须要做的事情,核心通胀在欧元区还没有好转,这意味着我在过去两周左右看到的市场发展,并不完全理想。我不认为这些政策与通胀及时回到2%的水平相匹配。Knot已经明确表示,至少还会有两次加息:这种50个基点的加息速度将在哪里结束,我事先不能说,但很明显,我们的主席在她的措辞中使用了复数。因此,它不会在一次加息50个基点后停止,这是肯定的。最近的数据显示,近几个月来,欧元区整体通胀有所下降,但12月的核心通胀指标(不包括食品和能源价格波动,被视为能更好衡量潜在价格压力的指标)仍然从上月的5%升至5.2%。欧洲央行在2022年期间四次加息,将存款利率提高到2%,并且还在去年12月表示,将在2023年进一步加息,以应对高企的通胀。与此同时,美联储副主席Lael Brainard 19日也暗示,要让通胀更接近2%的目标,美联储还有更多工作要做,尽管有迹象显示,消费者支出开始下降,劳动力市场正在降温,价格压力也有所缓解:通胀率很高,要让通胀率回落至2%,需要时间和决心。我们决心坚持到底。然而,尽管欧美央行此前不断放出鹰派态度,但市场却报之以不信任。而这次市场是否还会采纳央行的预期,仍然是一个问题。华尔街见闻早些时候曾提及,本周,货币市场的定价与美联储官员最近一再传递的信号大相径庭,就算美联储官员发布鹰派言论,市场也并没有做出明显的反应,反而还继续走高。媒体评论指出,美联储存在两个问题,一是美联储主席鲍威尔和他的前任们都淡化了联储决策者利率预期点阵图的相关性,二是,事实证明,美联储2021年的预测有误,没能预计到2022年加息。在金融市场从业36年的资深业内人士、Bannockburn Global的首席市场策略师Marc Chandler评论称,市场认为美联储在做没有剧本的表演,因为他们(联储)以前的预测错误,而且他们过去一直在淡化这些预测的影响。投资者判断,美国经济正走向衰退,而美联储还没有完全意识到这一点。同样从业数十年并帮助管理10亿美元资产的Laffer Tengler Investments Inc.CEO兼首席投资官Nancy Tengler评论称:美联储经常在转折点上犯错。我记得很清楚的一件事是,2021年9月的点阵图甚至没有显示美联储(的政策利率)要到2024年才能达到2%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362829690,"gmtCreate":1614613242110,"gmtModify":1703478943371,"author":{"id":"3459824209784518","authorId":"3459824209784518","name":"乱里库码","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a6acc7b140b6b0823f0f84dd3927e30","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我就看你吹","listText":"我就看你吹","text":"我就看你吹","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362829690","repostId":"2116553921","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":625467617,"gmtCreate":1676645953939,"gmtModify":1676648434192,"author":{"id":"3459824209784518","authorId":"3459824209784518","name":"乱里库码","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a6acc7b140b6b0823f0f84dd3927e30","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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大亏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/625467617","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626291446,"gmtCreate":1674189159085,"gmtModify":1674189430363,"author":{"id":"3459824209784518","authorId":"3459824209784518","name":"乱里库码","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a6acc7b140b6b0823f0f84dd3927e30","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"加死自己","listText":"加死自己","text":"加死自己","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626291446","repostId":"2304260312","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2304260312","pubTimestamp":1674177180,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2304260312?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-01-20 09:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市场别做梦?欧美央行“一二把手”亮明态度:加息到底","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2304260312","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"这一次,市场会相信吗?","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>这一次,市场会相信吗?</blockquote><p>欧美央行不断强调加息,但能否重新获得市场信任是一个问题。</p><p>1月19日,欧洲央行主席拉加德在世界经济论坛上警告称,未来还将进一步大幅加息,随后,欧洲央行其他成员以及美联储高级官员都发出了类似的警告。</p><p>拉加德在论坛上的一个小组讨论中说:</p><blockquote>我们将坚持到底,直到我们能够及时让通胀率回到2%。</blockquote><p>荷兰央行行长,欧洲央行董事会成员Klaas Knot在谈到欧洲央行即将采取的行动时表示,在下一次利率制定会议上,欧洲央行不会“在一次加息50个基点后停止”,因为数据并没有“令人鼓舞”:</p><blockquote>我们又看到了一份通胀数据,显示根本通胀压力没有减弱的迹象。</blockquote><blockquote>我们还有很多必须要做的事情,核心通胀在欧元区还没有好转,这意味着我在过去两周左右看到的市场发展,并不完全理想。我不认为这些政策与通胀及时回到2%的水平相匹配。</blockquote><p>Knot已经明确表示,至少还会有两次加息:</p><blockquote>这种50个基点的加息速度将在哪里结束,我事先不能说,但很明显,我们的主席在她的措辞中使用了复数。因此,它不会在一次加息50个基点后停止,这是肯定的。</blockquote><p>最近的数据显示,近几个月来,欧元区整体通胀有所下降,但12月的核心通胀指标(不包括食品和能源价格波动,被视为能更好衡量潜在价格压力的指标)仍然从上月的5%升至5.2%。</p><p>欧洲央行在2022年期间四次加息,将存款利率提高到2%,并且还在去年12月表示,将在2023年进一步加息,以应对高企的通胀。</p><p>与此同时,美联储副主席Lael Brainard 19日也暗示,要让通胀更接近2%的目标,美联储还有更多工作要做,尽管有迹象显示,消费者支出开始下降,劳动力市场正在降温,价格压力也有所缓解:</p><blockquote>通胀率很高,要让通胀率回落至2%,需要时间和决心。</blockquote><blockquote>我们决心坚持到底。</blockquote><p>然而,尽管欧美央行此前不断放出鹰派态度,但市场却报之以不信任。而这次市场是否还会采纳央行的预期,仍然是一个问题。</p><p>华尔街见闻早些时候曾提及,本周,货币市场的定价与美联储官员最近一再传递的信号大相径庭,就算美联储官员发布鹰派言论,市场也并没有做出明显的反应,反而还继续走高。</p><p>媒体评论指出,美联储存在两个问题,一是美联储主席鲍威尔和他的前任们都淡化了联储决策者利率预期点阵图的相关性,二是,事实证明,美联储2021年的预测有误,没能预计到2022年加息。</p><p>在金融市场从业36年的资深业内人士、Bannockburn Global的首席市场策略师Marc Chandler评论称,</p><blockquote>市场认为美联储在做没有剧本的表演,因为他们(联储)以前的预测错误,而且他们过去一直在淡化这些预测的影响。投资者判断,美国经济正走向衰退,而美联储还没有完全意识到这一点。</blockquote><p>同样从业数十年并帮助管理10亿美元资产的Laffer Tengler Investments Inc.CEO兼首席投资官Nancy Tengler评论称:</p><blockquote>美联储经常在转折点上犯错。我记得很清楚的一件事是,2021年9月的点阵图甚至没有显示美联储(的政策利率)要到2024年才能达到2%。</blockquote></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>市场别做梦?欧美央行“一二把手”亮明态度:加息到底</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n市场别做梦?欧美央行“一二把手”亮明态度:加息到底\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-20 09:13 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680366><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>这一次,市场会相信吗?欧美央行不断强调加息,但能否重新获得市场信任是一个问题。1月19日,欧洲央行主席拉加德在世界经济论坛上警告称,未来还将进一步大幅加息,随后,欧洲央行其他成员以及美联储高级官员都发出了类似的警告。拉加德在论坛上的一个小组讨论中说:我们将坚持到底,直到我们能够及时让通胀率回到2%。荷兰央行行长,欧洲央行董事会成员Klaas Knot在谈到欧洲央行即将采取的行动时表示,在下一次利率...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680366\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c7529fdbb41cb6b3c19bcb2904f4970","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680366","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2304260312","content_text":"这一次,市场会相信吗?欧美央行不断强调加息,但能否重新获得市场信任是一个问题。1月19日,欧洲央行主席拉加德在世界经济论坛上警告称,未来还将进一步大幅加息,随后,欧洲央行其他成员以及美联储高级官员都发出了类似的警告。拉加德在论坛上的一个小组讨论中说:我们将坚持到底,直到我们能够及时让通胀率回到2%。荷兰央行行长,欧洲央行董事会成员Klaas Knot在谈到欧洲央行即将采取的行动时表示,在下一次利率制定会议上,欧洲央行不会“在一次加息50个基点后停止”,因为数据并没有“令人鼓舞”:我们又看到了一份通胀数据,显示根本通胀压力没有减弱的迹象。我们还有很多必须要做的事情,核心通胀在欧元区还没有好转,这意味着我在过去两周左右看到的市场发展,并不完全理想。我不认为这些政策与通胀及时回到2%的水平相匹配。Knot已经明确表示,至少还会有两次加息:这种50个基点的加息速度将在哪里结束,我事先不能说,但很明显,我们的主席在她的措辞中使用了复数。因此,它不会在一次加息50个基点后停止,这是肯定的。最近的数据显示,近几个月来,欧元区整体通胀有所下降,但12月的核心通胀指标(不包括食品和能源价格波动,被视为能更好衡量潜在价格压力的指标)仍然从上月的5%升至5.2%。欧洲央行在2022年期间四次加息,将存款利率提高到2%,并且还在去年12月表示,将在2023年进一步加息,以应对高企的通胀。与此同时,美联储副主席Lael Brainard 19日也暗示,要让通胀更接近2%的目标,美联储还有更多工作要做,尽管有迹象显示,消费者支出开始下降,劳动力市场正在降温,价格压力也有所缓解:通胀率很高,要让通胀率回落至2%,需要时间和决心。我们决心坚持到底。然而,尽管欧美央行此前不断放出鹰派态度,但市场却报之以不信任。而这次市场是否还会采纳央行的预期,仍然是一个问题。华尔街见闻早些时候曾提及,本周,货币市场的定价与美联储官员最近一再传递的信号大相径庭,就算美联储官员发布鹰派言论,市场也并没有做出明显的反应,反而还继续走高。媒体评论指出,美联储存在两个问题,一是美联储主席鲍威尔和他的前任们都淡化了联储决策者利率预期点阵图的相关性,二是,事实证明,美联储2021年的预测有误,没能预计到2022年加息。在金融市场从业36年的资深业内人士、Bannockburn Global的首席市场策略师Marc Chandler评论称,市场认为美联储在做没有剧本的表演,因为他们(联储)以前的预测错误,而且他们过去一直在淡化这些预测的影响。投资者判断,美国经济正走向衰退,而美联储还没有完全意识到这一点。同样从业数十年并帮助管理10亿美元资产的Laffer Tengler Investments Inc.CEO兼首席投资官Nancy Tengler评论称:美联储经常在转折点上犯错。我记得很清楚的一件事是,2021年9月的点阵图甚至没有显示美联储(的政策利率)要到2024年才能达到2%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362829690,"gmtCreate":1614613242110,"gmtModify":1703478943371,"author":{"id":"3459824209784518","authorId":"3459824209784518","name":"乱里库码","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a6acc7b140b6b0823f0f84dd3927e30","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我就看你吹","listText":"我就看你吹","text":"我就看你吹","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362829690","repostId":"2116553921","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}