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htyzbadou
2017-06-29
$星巴克(SBUX)$又要起飞了吧
htyzbadou
2020-07-15
$阿里健康(00241)$
跌跌更“健康”?感觉减持是正常的吧,更主要的是阿里对体系内资源的调动、整合和破圈儿。
htyzbadou
2017-03-31
$星巴克(SBUX)$三月初就想买,钱都压在其他票上了…可惜不得了…
htyzbadou
2018-06-01
有合作
$通用汽车(GM)$ 通用汽车(General Motors)表示,日本软银旗下的愿景基金(Vision Fund)计划22.5亿美元投资该公司的无人驾驶公司GM Cruise Holdings,并持有后者19.6%的股权。交易一旦完成,通用汽车将追加11亿美元投资。此次投资将分两笔注入,第一笔9.00亿美元将在交易完成时到位,剩余的13.5亿美元将在Cruise的无人驾驶汽车实现商业化部署时到位。交易预计将为公司2019年起无人驾驶汽车的大规模商业化提供必要的资金。
有合作
htyzbadou
2018-06-26
$美国运通(AXP)$ 判决有利
htyzbadou
2017-06-26
向20进发
$First Data Corp(FDC)$向20进发
向20进发
htyzbadou
2020-08-06
$美团点评-W(03690)$
也太厉害了
htyzbadou
2020-02-20
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
大数据中的商业百态:九毛九受打击最严重,B站流量涨30%
htyzbadou
2019-08-20
恭喜百度。问题在于,支持长期价值的AI等发展有不确定性,无人驾驶团队不都大不如前了么
htyzbadou
2018-06-05
这震荡的也太大了
$搜狗(SOGO)$ 没有明确信息的结果
这震荡的也太大了
htyzbadou
2018-02-09
一致的态度=不理性=机会
$搜狗(SOGO)$ 一致的态度=不理性=机会
一致的态度=不理性=机会
htyzbadou
2017-09-29
$Square, Inc(SQ)$Square is strengthening its presence in online commerce through a deal with Eventbrite which will see Jack Dorsey's firm process payments for, and make a $25 million investment in, the event ticketing outfit.
htyzbadou
2017-08-18
跟Apple Pay合作了!
$Green Dot(GDOT)$ 支付合作
跟Apple Pay合作了!
htyzbadou
2017-07-07
$Vantiv(VNTV)$ 99亿美元收购WorldPay,怎么连个反应都没有。。
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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判决有利","listText":"$美国运通(AXP)$ 判决有利","text":"$美国运通(AXP)$ 判决有利","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/208901","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":198626,"gmtCreate":1528211702335,"gmtModify":1704894179510,"author":{"id":"3447711992504132","authorId":"3447711992504132","name":"htyzbadou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/820ac915646533c53fbb849da3b9fd75","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3447711992504132","authorIdStr":"3447711992504132"},"themes":[],"title":"这震荡的也太大了","htmlText":"$搜狗(SOGO)$ 没有明确信息的结果","listText":"$搜狗(SOGO)$ 没有明确信息的结果","text":"$搜狗(SOGO)$ 没有明确信息的结果","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198626","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":196922,"gmtCreate":1527832838616,"gmtModify":1704893954719,"author":{"id":"3447711992504132","authorId":"3447711992504132","name":"htyzbadou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/820ac915646533c53fbb849da3b9fd75","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3447711992504132","authorIdStr":"3447711992504132"},"themes":[],"title":"有合作","htmlText":"$通用汽车(GM)$ 通用汽车(General Motors)表示,日本软银旗下的愿景基金(Vision Fund)计划22.5亿美元投资该公司的无人驾驶公司GM Cruise Holdings,并持有后者19.6%的股权。交易一旦完成,通用汽车将追加11亿美元投资。此次投资将分两笔注入,第一笔9.00亿美元将在交易完成时到位,剩余的13.5亿美元将在Cruise的无人驾驶汽车实现商业化部署时到位。交易预计将为公司2019年起无人驾驶汽车的大规模商业化提供必要的资金。","listText":"$通用汽车(GM)$ 通用汽车(General Motors)表示,日本软银旗下的愿景基金(Vision Fund)计划22.5亿美元投资该公司的无人驾驶公司GM Cruise Holdings,并持有后者19.6%的股权。交易一旦完成,通用汽车将追加11亿美元投资。此次投资将分两笔注入,第一笔9.00亿美元将在交易完成时到位,剩余的13.5亿美元将在Cruise的无人驾驶汽车实现商业化部署时到位。交易预计将为公司2019年起无人驾驶汽车的大规模商业化提供必要的资金。","text":"$通用汽车(GM)$ 通用汽车(General Motors)表示,日本软银旗下的愿景基金(Vision Fund)计划22.5亿美元投资该公司的无人驾驶公司GM Cruise Holdings,并持有后者19.6%的股权。交易一旦完成,通用汽车将追加11亿美元投资。此次投资将分两笔注入,第一笔9.00亿美元将在交易完成时到位,剩余的13.5亿美元将在Cruise的无人驾驶汽车实现商业化部署时到位。交易预计将为公司2019年起无人驾驶汽车的大规模商业化提供必要的资金。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196922","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2015,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":158524,"gmtCreate":1518152183119,"gmtModify":1704889193616,"author":{"id":"3447711992504132","authorId":"3447711992504132","name":"htyzbadou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/820ac915646533c53fbb849da3b9fd75","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3447711992504132","authorIdStr":"3447711992504132"},"themes":[],"title":"一致的态度=不理性=机会","htmlText":"$搜狗(SOGO)$ 一致的态度=不理性=机会","listText":"$搜狗(SOGO)$ 一致的态度=不理性=机会","text":"$搜狗(SOGO)$ 一致的态度=不理性=机会","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158524","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":99126,"gmtCreate":1506615254350,"gmtModify":1704881724205,"author":{"id":"3447711992504132","authorId":"3447711992504132","name":"htyzbadou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/820ac915646533c53fbb849da3b9fd75","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3447711992504132","authorIdStr":"3447711992504132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$Square, Inc(SQ)$Square is strengthening its presence in online commerce through a deal with Eventbrite which will see Jack Dorsey's firm process payments for, and make a $25 million investment in, the event ticketing outfit.","listText":"$Square, Inc(SQ)$Square is strengthening its presence in online commerce through a deal with Eventbrite which will see Jack Dorsey's firm process payments for, and make a $25 million investment in, the event ticketing outfit.","text":"$Square, Inc(SQ)$Square is strengthening its presence in online commerce through a deal with Eventbrite which will see Jack Dorsey's firm process payments for, and make a $25 million investment in, the event ticketing 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08:23","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大数据中的商业百态:九毛九受打击最严重,B站流量涨30%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124013022","media":"阿尔法工场研究院","summary":"导语:盘点新冠病毒对各大行业的经济影响。\n2020年,中国以举国之力紧张焦灼地抗击疫情。同时,疫情对经济的影响更是不可小觑。笔者一直坚持客观立场,致力于高效地为市场提供经济运行的真实面貌。\n当下,各种","content":"<p><i><b>导语:盘点新冠病毒对各大行业的经济影响。</b></i></p>\n<p><span>2020年,中国以举国之力紧张焦灼地抗击疫情。同时,疫情对经济的影响更是不可小觑。笔者一直坚持客观立场,致力于高效地为市场提供经济运行的真实面貌。</span></p>\n<p><span>当下,各种信息尤其纷乱爆炸:谣言与真相交错,且大众对真相和事实的渴求十分强烈,我们也愈发感受到肩上的重担。</span></p>\n<p><span>在过去的两周时间里,笔者迅速组织研发力量,对各行各业展开大数据实时跟踪,这里特与大家分享报告的精选内容。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>餐饮行业</span></b></p>\n<p><span>笔者持续跟踪官方公布的疫情动态,并按照确诊人数挑选了全国前20大重点受灾城市。这些城市既包含湖北的大多数城市,也包含北上广深等一线城市,占全国确诊病例近77%。</span></p>\n<p><span>同时,我们也将受灾城市与各大餐饮品牌的全国分布情况进行了精准匹配。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85569defd4fca34853d99c934afdfdf2\"></p>\n<p><span>可以看到,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09922\">九毛九</a>(HK:09922)受到的潜在打击最大,有60%的旗下门店(包含太二酸菜鱼)处在疫情重灾区。</span></p>\n<p><span>相对而言,肯德基(YUMC.US)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">海底捞</a>(HK:06862)仅分别有28%和33%的门店位于重灾区。</span></p>\n<p><span>如果全国疫情在未来持续分化、重灾区继续保持高压防控态势,而灾情较轻的地区逐渐恢复正常的生产经营活动,那不同餐饮企业的复苏轨迹也可能产生分化。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eff8f55e36bf1cf51dcdbd72f1715c26\"></p>\n<p><span>虽然<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a>(NASDAQ:LK)官方并没有披露门店运营数据,但我们能清晰地看到,截止2月7日(上周五),全国共有4494家瑞幸门店(含小鹿茶)处于关门状态。全国关店率达到94%,湖北省关店率达到100%。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cefe37d42644abdb372744fd5d5f931a\"></p>\n<p><span>这种严峻情势从2月10日起得到一定缓解,全国关店率小幅下降到87%,其中北京关店率从上周五的91%下降到60%,上海下降到71%。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>酒旅行业</span></b></p>\n<p><span>疫情对旅游行业的打击是显而易见的。笔者持续跟踪全国航班、各<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00045\">大酒店</a>集团入住率等日颗粒度数据。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1747f899312ea5f138f22cee1b783617\"></p>\n<p><span>我们看到,截止1月31日,无论是全国范围内,还是北京、上海这些重点机场,出境航班满座率都大跌至50%水平,且还在持续走低。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41442c1a5535a604fa3dcd416ec74454\"></p>\n<p><span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTHT\">华住</a>集团(NASDAQ:HTHT)旗下酒店也开始大规模关店,截止1月31日关店比率达到50%(红线)。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bda9e693ccd0f3a65593e284aff7d99\"></p>\n<p><span>华住酒店在湖北、陕西、甘肃、河南、山东、浙江等省份的关店情况尤其严重(红色),而华住在全国范围内酒店入住率也仅处在20%-40%的水平(灰线)。相比而言,华住集团在2019年1季度的整体入住率高达81%。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>互娱行业</span></b></p>\n<p><span>突如其来的疫情也催生了新的行业机会。生活还要继续,足不出户也依然要活得精彩。市场普遍认为,这次疫情为在线娱乐、在线教育、在线办公等行业带来新的发展机会。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/165fae56b22dfdd74a31446a356e345f\"></p>\n<p><span>笔者发现,随着全国学校整体延迟开学,广受年轻人欢迎的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>(NASDAQ:BILI)在1月份取得了30%以上的观看数和活跃up主数的增长。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bebe89e325975f6782dbf85ac21531f\"></p>\n<p><span>整体来看,生活类和游戏类在1月份的环比增长最大。我们也观察到,B站在生活类视频中新添加了“抗击肺炎”主题,该类主题的视频的观看量占到了全站观看量的5%。如果剔除“抗击肺炎”主题的影响,增长最大的类别是游戏。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>O2O及餐饮行业</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/074eb6f4f6aa52a132c5a469da5d7f00\"></p>\n<p><span>根据笔者的数据监测,2月上旬约有83%的美团外卖(HK:03690)商家处在关闭的状态。该数据也能一定程度上反映全国餐饮行业整体的关店情况。</span></p>\n<p><span>受打击最大的省份包括湖北、陕西、河南、甘肃和江西。在这些省份里,超过90%的餐馆处于停业状态。</span></p>\n<p><span>北京、广东、上海的情况相对较好,均有30%以上的门店依然开放。</span></p>\n<p><span>对于肯德基(NYSE:YUMC)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">麦当劳</a>(NYSE:MCD)这些国际快餐品牌来说,虽然在湖北省关店率达到100%,但在全国其他地方的营业状况都显著好于行业平均水平。</span></p>\n<p><span>例如在北京,肯德基和麦当劳的关店率分别只有5%和6%,显示出了较强的运营能力。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d0f7ed91cc77a7608f989c309da2424\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77599794906fc70113d215a39013f836\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93cc45a1e227e770d76cb8cbf7986a10\"></p>\n<p><b><span>酒旅行业</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e777d340219210e2368b0acfd0922632\"></p>\n<p><span>首先看全国航空流量。目前,全国航班满座率普遍在30%-40%之间,而航班取消率也仍然高达20%水平。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b19bf02e48e030f898ccdf14b74dd17\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec732be59b25aade5c6a5d6cc7a0ef10\"></p>\n<p><span>再来看酒店行业的数据。以华住集团(NASDAQ:HTHT)为例,截至2月9日,依然有50%的门店保持关闭状态,导致整体入住率也保持较低水平。相对而言,北京、上海的酒店入住率依然相对最好,能够达到约50%的水平。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>教育行业</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd2c71b296acc624fb588b2f95588a4\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/febca16c53640b74e07dd491942d8425\"></p>\n<p><span>截至2月6日,东方优播(HK:01797)和学而思网校(NYSE:TAL)的春季课报名人数取得大幅增长。由于春季课在2月底才开始报名,这样的增长可能只是刚刚开始。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>娱乐行业</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e24523432774df6e0ca8f33582d01ec2\"></p>\n<p><span>哔哩哔哩(NASDAQ:BILI)的观看量、活跃UP主数继续大幅增长。百观数据显示,在1月6日到2月3日之间,这两项指标的增长高达34%和58%。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52e12f86529e05a0a05a3b3a5bdd3af8\"></p>\n<p><span>在笔者跟踪的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUYA\">虎牙</a>(NYSE:HUYA)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOYU\">斗鱼</a>(NASDAQ:DOYU)、YY(NASDAQ:YY)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOMO\">陌陌</a>(NASDAQ:MOMO)、酷狗和全民K歌(NYSE:TME)等6大直播平台中,绝大多数平台在春节后的收入增长并不明显。</span></p>\n<p><span>看起来,直播行业似乎并未从疫情中大幅受益。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>电商行业</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9fbb6bab4eda3d9ed2a22e520c7e6d8\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c4f5dd0086e453de34861f412f30c6a\"></p>\n<p><span>从笔者监测的电商数据来看,在月销售额超过1亿人民币的商品品类中,1月份口罩的MoM增长的确是最快的。</span></p>\n<p><span>其他增长较快的与疫情相关的品类包括洗手液、体温计、消毒液、QQ充值(HK:00700)、游戏软件、游戏点卡等。</span></p>\n<p><span>在医疗大品类中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a>(NYSE:MMM)是增长最快的品牌。3M的口罩和护眼产品分别获得394%和768%的暴涨。国产品牌海氏海诺的增长排名第二。</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大数据中的商业百态:九毛九受打击最严重,B站流量涨30%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大数据中的商业百态:九毛九受打击最严重,B站流量涨30%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/55\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/4df70e92a2d64be896797ea06b5e676a);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">阿尔法工场研究院 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-02-20 08:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i><b>导语:盘点新冠病毒对各大行业的经济影响。</b></i></p>\n<p><span>2020年,中国以举国之力紧张焦灼地抗击疫情。同时,疫情对经济的影响更是不可小觑。笔者一直坚持客观立场,致力于高效地为市场提供经济运行的真实面貌。</span></p>\n<p><span>当下,各种信息尤其纷乱爆炸:谣言与真相交错,且大众对真相和事实的渴求十分强烈,我们也愈发感受到肩上的重担。</span></p>\n<p><span>在过去的两周时间里,笔者迅速组织研发力量,对各行各业展开大数据实时跟踪,这里特与大家分享报告的精选内容。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>餐饮行业</span></b></p>\n<p><span>笔者持续跟踪官方公布的疫情动态,并按照确诊人数挑选了全国前20大重点受灾城市。这些城市既包含湖北的大多数城市,也包含北上广深等一线城市,占全国确诊病例近77%。</span></p>\n<p><span>同时,我们也将受灾城市与各大餐饮品牌的全国分布情况进行了精准匹配。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85569defd4fca34853d99c934afdfdf2\"></p>\n<p><span>可以看到,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09922\">九毛九</a>(HK:09922)受到的潜在打击最大,有60%的旗下门店(包含太二酸菜鱼)处在疫情重灾区。</span></p>\n<p><span>相对而言,肯德基(YUMC.US)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">海底捞</a>(HK:06862)仅分别有28%和33%的门店位于重灾区。</span></p>\n<p><span>如果全国疫情在未来持续分化、重灾区继续保持高压防控态势,而灾情较轻的地区逐渐恢复正常的生产经营活动,那不同餐饮企业的复苏轨迹也可能产生分化。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eff8f55e36bf1cf51dcdbd72f1715c26\"></p>\n<p><span>虽然<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">瑞幸咖啡</a>(NASDAQ:LK)官方并没有披露门店运营数据,但我们能清晰地看到,截止2月7日(上周五),全国共有4494家瑞幸门店(含小鹿茶)处于关门状态。全国关店率达到94%,湖北省关店率达到100%。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cefe37d42644abdb372744fd5d5f931a\"></p>\n<p><span>这种严峻情势从2月10日起得到一定缓解,全国关店率小幅下降到87%,其中北京关店率从上周五的91%下降到60%,上海下降到71%。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>酒旅行业</span></b></p>\n<p><span>疫情对旅游行业的打击是显而易见的。笔者持续跟踪全国航班、各<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00045\">大酒店</a>集团入住率等日颗粒度数据。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1747f899312ea5f138f22cee1b783617\"></p>\n<p><span>我们看到,截止1月31日,无论是全国范围内,还是北京、上海这些重点机场,出境航班满座率都大跌至50%水平,且还在持续走低。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41442c1a5535a604fa3dcd416ec74454\"></p>\n<p><span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTHT\">华住</a>集团(NASDAQ:HTHT)旗下酒店也开始大规模关店,截止1月31日关店比率达到50%(红线)。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bda9e693ccd0f3a65593e284aff7d99\"></p>\n<p><span>华住酒店在湖北、陕西、甘肃、河南、山东、浙江等省份的关店情况尤其严重(红色),而华住在全国范围内酒店入住率也仅处在20%-40%的水平(灰线)。相比而言,华住集团在2019年1季度的整体入住率高达81%。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>互娱行业</span></b></p>\n<p><span>突如其来的疫情也催生了新的行业机会。生活还要继续,足不出户也依然要活得精彩。市场普遍认为,这次疫情为在线娱乐、在线教育、在线办公等行业带来新的发展机会。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/165fae56b22dfdd74a31446a356e345f\"></p>\n<p><span>笔者发现,随着全国学校整体延迟开学,广受年轻人欢迎的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>(NASDAQ:BILI)在1月份取得了30%以上的观看数和活跃up主数的增长。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bebe89e325975f6782dbf85ac21531f\"></p>\n<p><span>整体来看,生活类和游戏类在1月份的环比增长最大。我们也观察到,B站在生活类视频中新添加了“抗击肺炎”主题,该类主题的视频的观看量占到了全站观看量的5%。如果剔除“抗击肺炎”主题的影响,增长最大的类别是游戏。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>O2O及餐饮行业</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/074eb6f4f6aa52a132c5a469da5d7f00\"></p>\n<p><span>根据笔者的数据监测,2月上旬约有83%的美团外卖(HK:03690)商家处在关闭的状态。该数据也能一定程度上反映全国餐饮行业整体的关店情况。</span></p>\n<p><span>受打击最大的省份包括湖北、陕西、河南、甘肃和江西。在这些省份里,超过90%的餐馆处于停业状态。</span></p>\n<p><span>北京、广东、上海的情况相对较好,均有30%以上的门店依然开放。</span></p>\n<p><span>对于肯德基(NYSE:YUMC)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">麦当劳</a>(NYSE:MCD)这些国际快餐品牌来说,虽然在湖北省关店率达到100%,但在全国其他地方的营业状况都显著好于行业平均水平。</span></p>\n<p><span>例如在北京,肯德基和麦当劳的关店率分别只有5%和6%,显示出了较强的运营能力。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d0f7ed91cc77a7608f989c309da2424\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77599794906fc70113d215a39013f836\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93cc45a1e227e770d76cb8cbf7986a10\"></p>\n<p><b><span>酒旅行业</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e777d340219210e2368b0acfd0922632\"></p>\n<p><span>首先看全国航空流量。目前,全国航班满座率普遍在30%-40%之间,而航班取消率也仍然高达20%水平。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b19bf02e48e030f898ccdf14b74dd17\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec732be59b25aade5c6a5d6cc7a0ef10\"></p>\n<p><span>再来看酒店行业的数据。以华住集团(NASDAQ:HTHT)为例,截至2月9日,依然有50%的门店保持关闭状态,导致整体入住率也保持较低水平。相对而言,北京、上海的酒店入住率依然相对最好,能够达到约50%的水平。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>教育行业</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd2c71b296acc624fb588b2f95588a4\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/febca16c53640b74e07dd491942d8425\"></p>\n<p><span>截至2月6日,东方优播(HK:01797)和学而思网校(NYSE:TAL)的春季课报名人数取得大幅增长。由于春季课在2月底才开始报名,这样的增长可能只是刚刚开始。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>娱乐行业</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e24523432774df6e0ca8f33582d01ec2\"></p>\n<p><span>哔哩哔哩(NASDAQ:BILI)的观看量、活跃UP主数继续大幅增长。百观数据显示,在1月6日到2月3日之间,这两项指标的增长高达34%和58%。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52e12f86529e05a0a05a3b3a5bdd3af8\"></p>\n<p><span>在笔者跟踪的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUYA\">虎牙</a>(NYSE:HUYA)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOYU\">斗鱼</a>(NASDAQ:DOYU)、YY(NASDAQ:YY)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOMO\">陌陌</a>(NASDAQ:MOMO)、酷狗和全民K歌(NYSE:TME)等6大直播平台中,绝大多数平台在春节后的收入增长并不明显。</span></p>\n<p><span>看起来,直播行业似乎并未从疫情中大幅受益。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>电商行业</span></b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9fbb6bab4eda3d9ed2a22e520c7e6d8\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c4f5dd0086e453de34861f412f30c6a\"></p>\n<p><span>从笔者监测的电商数据来看,在月销售额超过1亿人民币的商品品类中,1月份口罩的MoM增长的确是最快的。</span></p>\n<p><span>其他增长较快的与疫情相关的品类包括洗手液、体温计、消毒液、QQ充值(HK:00700)、游戏软件、游戏点卡等。</span></p>\n<p><span>在医疗大品类中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a>(NYSE:MMM)是增长最快的品牌。3M的口罩和护眼产品分别获得394%和768%的暴涨。国产品牌海氏海诺的增长排名第二。</span></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6de9a684c67674fb8033c0e2e7e716a","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124013022","content_text":"导语:盘点新冠病毒对各大行业的经济影响。\n2020年,中国以举国之力紧张焦灼地抗击疫情。同时,疫情对经济的影响更是不可小觑。笔者一直坚持客观立场,致力于高效地为市场提供经济运行的真实面貌。\n当下,各种信息尤其纷乱爆炸:谣言与真相交错,且大众对真相和事实的渴求十分强烈,我们也愈发感受到肩上的重担。\n在过去的两周时间里,笔者迅速组织研发力量,对各行各业展开大数据实时跟踪,这里特与大家分享报告的精选内容。\n餐饮行业\n笔者持续跟踪官方公布的疫情动态,并按照确诊人数挑选了全国前20大重点受灾城市。这些城市既包含湖北的大多数城市,也包含北上广深等一线城市,占全国确诊病例近77%。\n同时,我们也将受灾城市与各大餐饮品牌的全国分布情况进行了精准匹配。\n\n可以看到,九毛九(HK:09922)受到的潜在打击最大,有60%的旗下门店(包含太二酸菜鱼)处在疫情重灾区。\n相对而言,肯德基(YUMC.US)和海底捞(HK:06862)仅分别有28%和33%的门店位于重灾区。\n如果全国疫情在未来持续分化、重灾区继续保持高压防控态势,而灾情较轻的地区逐渐恢复正常的生产经营活动,那不同餐饮企业的复苏轨迹也可能产生分化。\n\n虽然瑞幸咖啡(NASDAQ:LK)官方并没有披露门店运营数据,但我们能清晰地看到,截止2月7日(上周五),全国共有4494家瑞幸门店(含小鹿茶)处于关门状态。全国关店率达到94%,湖北省关店率达到100%。\n\n这种严峻情势从2月10日起得到一定缓解,全国关店率小幅下降到87%,其中北京关店率从上周五的91%下降到60%,上海下降到71%。\n酒旅行业\n疫情对旅游行业的打击是显而易见的。笔者持续跟踪全国航班、各大酒店集团入住率等日颗粒度数据。\n\n我们看到,截止1月31日,无论是全国范围内,还是北京、上海这些重点机场,出境航班满座率都大跌至50%水平,且还在持续走低。\n\n华住集团(NASDAQ:HTHT)旗下酒店也开始大规模关店,截止1月31日关店比率达到50%(红线)。\n\n华住酒店在湖北、陕西、甘肃、河南、山东、浙江等省份的关店情况尤其严重(红色),而华住在全国范围内酒店入住率也仅处在20%-40%的水平(灰线)。相比而言,华住集团在2019年1季度的整体入住率高达81%。\n互娱行业\n突如其来的疫情也催生了新的行业机会。生活还要继续,足不出户也依然要活得精彩。市场普遍认为,这次疫情为在线娱乐、在线教育、在线办公等行业带来新的发展机会。\n\n笔者发现,随着全国学校整体延迟开学,广受年轻人欢迎的哔哩哔哩(NASDAQ:BILI)在1月份取得了30%以上的观看数和活跃up主数的增长。\n\n整体来看,生活类和游戏类在1月份的环比增长最大。我们也观察到,B站在生活类视频中新添加了“抗击肺炎”主题,该类主题的视频的观看量占到了全站观看量的5%。如果剔除“抗击肺炎”主题的影响,增长最大的类别是游戏。\nO2O及餐饮行业\n\n根据笔者的数据监测,2月上旬约有83%的美团外卖(HK:03690)商家处在关闭的状态。该数据也能一定程度上反映全国餐饮行业整体的关店情况。\n受打击最大的省份包括湖北、陕西、河南、甘肃和江西。在这些省份里,超过90%的餐馆处于停业状态。\n北京、广东、上海的情况相对较好,均有30%以上的门店依然开放。\n对于肯德基(NYSE:YUMC)、麦当劳(NYSE:MCD)这些国际快餐品牌来说,虽然在湖北省关店率达到100%,但在全国其他地方的营业状况都显著好于行业平均水平。\n例如在北京,肯德基和麦当劳的关店率分别只有5%和6%,显示出了较强的运营能力。\n\n酒旅行业\n\n首先看全国航空流量。目前,全国航班满座率普遍在30%-40%之间,而航班取消率也仍然高达20%水平。\n\n再来看酒店行业的数据。以华住集团(NASDAQ:HTHT)为例,截至2月9日,依然有50%的门店保持关闭状态,导致整体入住率也保持较低水平。相对而言,北京、上海的酒店入住率依然相对最好,能够达到约50%的水平。\n教育行业\n\n截至2月6日,东方优播(HK:01797)和学而思网校(NYSE:TAL)的春季课报名人数取得大幅增长。由于春季课在2月底才开始报名,这样的增长可能只是刚刚开始。\n娱乐行业\n\n哔哩哔哩(NASDAQ:BILI)的观看量、活跃UP主数继续大幅增长。百观数据显示,在1月6日到2月3日之间,这两项指标的增长高达34%和58%。\n\n在笔者跟踪的虎牙(NYSE:HUYA)、斗鱼(NASDAQ:DOYU)、YY(NASDAQ:YY)、陌陌(NASDAQ:MOMO)、酷狗和全民K歌(NYSE:TME)等6大直播平台中,绝大多数平台在春节后的收入增长并不明显。\n看起来,直播行业似乎并未从疫情中大幅受益。\n电商行业\n\n从笔者监测的电商数据来看,在月销售额超过1亿人民币的商品品类中,1月份口罩的MoM增长的确是最快的。\n其他增长较快的与疫情相关的品类包括洗手液、体温计、消毒液、QQ充值(HK:00700)、游戏软件、游戏点卡等。\n在医疗大品类中,3M(NYSE:MMM)是增长最快的品牌。3M的口罩和护眼产品分别获得394%和768%的暴涨。国产品牌海氏海诺的增长排名第二。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":995404192,"gmtCreate":1566261941216,"gmtModify":1704713952176,"author":{"id":"3447711992504132","authorId":"3447711992504132","name":"htyzbadou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/820ac915646533c53fbb849da3b9fd75","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3447711992504132","authorIdStr":"3447711992504132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"恭喜百度。问题在于,支持长期价值的AI等发展有不确定性,无人驾驶团队不都大不如前了么","listText":"恭喜百度。问题在于,支持长期价值的AI等发展有不确定性,无人驾驶团队不都大不如前了么","text":"恭喜百度。问题在于,支持长期价值的AI等发展有不确定性,无人驾驶团队不都大不如前了么","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/995404192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":198626,"gmtCreate":1528211702335,"gmtModify":1704894179510,"author":{"id":"3447711992504132","authorId":"3447711992504132","name":"htyzbadou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/820ac915646533c53fbb849da3b9fd75","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3447711992504132","authorIdStr":"3447711992504132"},"themes":[],"title":"这震荡的也太大了","htmlText":"$搜狗(SOGO)$ 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