城主字的个人主页 - 老虎社区

城主字

城主字

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2021-04-30

这帮畜生

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2021-04-30

下跌的原因找到了

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2021-03-31

垃圾玩意

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2021-03-30

烦死了

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2021-03-21

看来谈判有成果

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2021-03-09

老乡别走

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2021-03-09

垃圾

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2021-02-26

这文章写的太好了，太专业了，很喜欢，希望老虎以后多发表这种文章。

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-24

哈哈，杀鸡取卵

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2021-02-21

还好我把小米清了

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2021-02-11

猎巫

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2021-02-02

阴谋论是中国人的最爱

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2021-02-01

呵呵

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2021-01-18

那里是出埃及记，明明是逃离德黑兰

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2021-01-18

荣耀在等拜登上台

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2021-01-18

都散了吧，太监逛青楼

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2021-01-17

国企。。哎，烂泥扶不上墙

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2021-01-15

又来搞打折促销

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2020-12-31

评论里面的人鼠目寸光，默默的继续加仓比特币，等央行数字货币出来，你们拿什么脱离监控？还不是要买比特币？

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2020-12-31

比特币行情来了

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去老虎APP查看更多动态

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给员工发了福利, 鼓舞了士气, 京东这么多年一股没送, 相比较小米一次送几亿元股票, 豪气. 第二, 并不会产生抛压, 除了不会立刻解禁之外, 这次给员工大面积开户以后, 要知道小米的员工工资都是比较高的, 而且对公司都有比较高的认同感, 没有认同感的都跳槽走了(这个行业跳槽很容易). 既然这样, 公司员工不但不会卖出股票, 而且会参与到以后的股票炒作中来, 虽然雷布斯每人送了1000股, 但是吸引来的资金量可能每人1万股都不止. 但是也要看到, 第二季度的手机销量下滑厉害, 同时, 港股通7月份开通应该希望渺茫, 大家要理性判断, 我个人依然坚信小米的困难是暂时的, 小米的征程才刚刚启航.$小米集团-W(01810)$","listText":"第一, 给员工发了福利, 鼓舞了士气, 京东这么多年一股没送, 相比较小米一次送几亿元股票, 豪气. 第二, 并不会产生抛压, 除了不会立刻解禁之外, 这次给员工大面积开户以后, 要知道小米的员工工资都是比较高的, 而且对公司都有比较高的认同感, 没有认同感的都跳槽走了(这个行业跳槽很容易). 既然这样, 公司员工不但不会卖出股票, 而且会参与到以后的股票炒作中来, 虽然雷布斯每人送了1000股, 但是吸引来的资金量可能每人1万股都不止. 但是也要看到, 第二季度的手机销量下滑厉害, 同时, 港股通7月份开通应该希望渺茫, 大家要理性判断, 我个人依然坚信小米的困难是暂时的, 小米的征程才刚刚启航.$小米集团-W(01810)$","text":"第一, 给员工发了福利, 鼓舞了士气, 京东这么多年一股没送, 相比较小米一次送几亿元股票, 豪气. 第二, 并不会产生抛压, 除了不会立刻解禁之外, 这次给员工大面积开户以后, 要知道小米的员工工资都是比较高的, 而且对公司都有比较高的认同感, 没有认同感的都跳槽走了(这个行业跳槽很容易). 既然这样, 公司员工不但不会卖出股票, 而且会参与到以后的股票炒作中来, 虽然雷布斯每人送了1000股, 但是吸引来的资金量可能每人1万股都不止. 但是也要看到, 第二季度的手机销量下滑厉害, 同时, 港股通7月份开通应该希望渺茫, 大家要理性判断, 我个人依然坚信小米的困难是暂时的, 小米的征程才刚刚启航.$小米集团-W(01810)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/993336724","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15834,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463446769405484","authorId":"3463446769405484","name":"123x13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b84db6b69ddd9a2009dd889301c66ea5","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3463446769405484","authorIdStr":"3463446769405484"},"content":"第二点，全靠意 淫 ？","text":"第二点，全靠意 淫 ？","html":"第二点，全靠意 淫 ？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":203176,"gmtCreate":1528984660791,"gmtModify":1704894797768,"author":{"id":"3446519747099431","authorId":"3446519747099431","name":"城主字","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4b84d60228fd635398563ef34b45109","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3446519747099431","authorIdStr":"3446519747099431"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$虎牙(HUYA)$ 第一, 到18年底, 虎牙的营收应该有40亿人民币左右, 换算成美元, 6.3亿美金营收. 当前市值为80亿美金, 市销率大于12, 大幅高估. 第二, 虎牙的母公司目前市值72亿, 而 虎牙高达80亿, 当前股价的非理性昭然若揭. 第三, 虎牙的政策风险, 最近在用虎牙的人都知道, 虎牙管理突然趋严, 弹幕都发不出来了, 主播露个烟头立马封直播间, 可以看到虎牙的压力和危机意识. 同时应该看到, 直播行业的野蛮生长时代结束, 直播巨头已经若隐若现, 虎牙的直播地位非常值得肯定, 但是当前的股价已经透支了未来3到5年的营收规模, 做多的话应该非常非常谨慎了. 大胆预测下, 40美元将是虎牙的一道坎, 从40美元至少有10美元以上的下跌调整幅度, 50美元是做空出击的绝佳点(可能到不了). 且行且珍惜啊, 当前股价已经是40.80了.. 拭目以待","listText":"$虎牙(HUYA)$ 第一, 到18年底, 虎牙的营收应该有40亿人民币左右, 换算成美元, 6.3亿美金营收. 当前市值为80亿美金, 市销率大于12, 大幅高估. 第二, 虎牙的母公司目前市值72亿, 而 虎牙高达80亿, 当前股价的非理性昭然若揭. 第三, 虎牙的政策风险, 最近在用虎牙的人都知道, 虎牙管理突然趋严, 弹幕都发不出来了, 主播露个烟头立马封直播间, 可以看到虎牙的压力和危机意识. 同时应该看到, 直播行业的野蛮生长时代结束, 直播巨头已经若隐若现, 虎牙的直播地位非常值得肯定, 但是当前的股价已经透支了未来3到5年的营收规模, 做多的话应该非常非常谨慎了. 大胆预测下, 40美元将是虎牙的一道坎, 从40美元至少有10美元以上的下跌调整幅度, 50美元是做空出击的绝佳点(可能到不了). 且行且珍惜啊, 当前股价已经是40.80了.. 拭目以待","text":"$虎牙(HUYA)$ 第一, 到18年底, 虎牙的营收应该有40亿人民币左右, 换算成美元, 6.3亿美金营收. 当前市值为80亿美金, 市销率大于12, 大幅高估. 第二, 虎牙的母公司目前市值72亿, 而 虎牙高达80亿, 当前股价的非理性昭然若揭. 第三, 虎牙的政策风险, 最近在用虎牙的人都知道, 虎牙管理突然趋严, 弹幕都发不出来了, 主播露个烟头立马封直播间, 可以看到虎牙的压力和危机意识. 同时应该看到, 直播行业的野蛮生长时代结束, 直播巨头已经若隐若现, 虎牙的直播地位非常值得肯定, 但是当前的股价已经透支了未来3到5年的营收规模, 做多的话应该非常非常谨慎了. 大胆预测下, 40美元将是虎牙的一道坎, 从40美元至少有10美元以上的下跌调整幅度, 50美元是做空出击的绝佳点(可能到不了). 且行且珍惜啊, 当前股价已经是40.80了.. 拭目以待","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/203176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3446519747099431","authorId":"3446519747099431","name":"城主字","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4b84d60228fd635398563ef34b45109","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3446519747099431","authorIdStr":"3446519747099431"},"content":"刚才有人问, 为什么50元是暂时不可逾越的鸿沟, 在40元做空风险可控, 因为50元时, 市值将破百亿, 百亿美金市值是定位公司规模的重要指标和心理界线, 从各个方面看, 虎牙都不够百亿市值的量级.","text":"刚才有人问, 为什么50元是暂时不可逾越的鸿沟, 在40元做空风险可控, 因为50元时, 市值将破百亿, 百亿美金市值是定位公司规模的重要指标和心理界线, 从各个方面看, 虎牙都不够百亿市值的量级.","html":"刚才有人问, 为什么50元是暂时不可逾越的鸿沟, 在40元做空风险可控, 因为50元时, 市值将破百亿, 百亿美金市值是定位公司规模的重要指标和心理界线, 从各个方面看, 虎牙都不够百亿市值的量级."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":908710346,"gmtCreate":1558454197385,"gmtModify":1704696595396,"author":{"id":"3446519747099431","authorId":"3446519747099431","name":"城主字","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4b84d60228fd635398563ef34b45109","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3446519747099431","authorIdStr":"3446519747099431"},"themes":[],"title":"百足之虫, 死而不僵, 百度加油","htmlText":"$百度(BIDU)$ 回顾百度这些年的经营轨迹, 可以得出很清楚的结论, 对百度的总结如下: 百度在google离开中国之后, 广告竞价排名带来了可观的现金流, 但是也带来了两个隐患, 第一个隐患就是百度失去了奋斗的动力, 如果一家公司可以不用努力就会有人大把送钱过来, 广告现金流比那些电商, 即时通信软件的质量还要要好, 还要稳定. 干嘛还要去创新呢? 从此百度彻底的失去了努力的动力, 被养懒了, 不仅是工程师门懒了, 管理层的发展思路也跟整个互联网格局脱节了, 后面会讲到这一点.第二个隐患就是医疗竞价排名, 彻底把百度的口碑打到了冰点, 从这一刻, 百度只能成为优秀的赚钱公司, 却没法成为伟大的公司了. 因为被竞价排名圈养, 管理层思维都僵化了, 没法用互联网思维来思考了, 甚至觉得, 自己不需要去开疆扩土, 看到市场上有新方向出现时, 手握大量现金的百度直接收购成品就可以了, 有钱又有搜索作为流量入口, 那时的百度确实炙手可热. 所以才有了后来的看到O2O兴起, 自己好像有点恍然大悟, 砸200亿收购外卖公司, 看到小视频兴起, 赶紧搞小视频, 看到人工智能被科技界传的玄之又玄, 赶紧成立AI公司, 搞无人驾驶, 甚至都不考虑如何与汽车商合作以及变现模式. 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一切都好说.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/903720676","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3705,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3514497448120999","authorId":"3514497448120999","name":"逗逗爸比","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21f226eba5a5f9ecfcd518c51efcb7c1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3514497448120999","authorIdStr":"3514497448120999"},"content":"小米的问题在于没有核心竞争力，虽然它市场份额不小（而且在印度的份额也很大），但是它的手机的东西没有一样是它自主研发的（包括销量挺不错的小米电视），所以对以后小米的成长并不乐观。","text":"小米的问题在于没有核心竞争力，虽然它市场份额不小（而且在印度的份额也很大），但是它的手机的东西没有一样是它自主研发的（包括销量挺不错的小米电视），所以对以后小米的成长并不乐观。","html":"小米的问题在于没有核心竞争力，虽然它市场份额不小（而且在印度的份额也很大），但是它的手机的东西没有一样是它自主研发的（包括销量挺不错的小米电视），所以对以后小米的成长并不乐观。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":117346,"gmtCreate":1510941974845,"gmtModify":1704884032244,"author":{"id":"3446519747099431","authorId":"3446519747099431","name":"城主字","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4b84d60228fd635398563ef34b45109","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3446519747099431","authorIdStr":"3446519747099431"},"themes":[],"title":"这公司三季报要黑","htmlText":"$华住(HTHT)$ 我朋友是去哪网业务部的，可以查到酒店的统计预定数据，第三季度比去年差不少","listText":"$华住(HTHT)$ 我朋友是去哪网业务部的，可以查到酒店的统计预定数据，第三季度比去年差不少","text":"$华住(HTHT)$ 我朋友是去哪网业务部的，可以查到酒店的统计预定数据，第三季度比去年差不少","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117346","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"106859762886660","authorId":"106859762886660","name":"学未来","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/c21a2e3473afcf9c2231b997039acd96","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"106859762886660","authorIdStr":"106859762886660"},"content":"华住可以撤了，酒店业务支撑不住现在价格","text":"华住可以撤了，酒店业务支撑不住现在价格","html":"华住可以撤了，酒店业务支撑不住现在价格"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369978,"gmtCreate":1546531863677,"gmtModify":1704785697327,"author":{"id":"3446519747099431","authorId":"3446519747099431","name":"城主字","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4b84d60228fd635398563ef34b45109","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3446519747099431","authorIdStr":"3446519747099431"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度的买点来了, 150附近不管怎么看, 都是非常超值的价格. 百度根基于互联网搜索, 押宝于AI应用, 这种企业在中概甚至A股中凤毛麟角, 面对突破千亿的营收和2倍多一点的市净率. 如果这都不敢买, 还有什么敢买呢? 短期利空是谷歌可能会推出墙内版, 但是我觉得影响非常有限, 甚至是自己吓唬自己.","listText":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度的买点来了, 150附近不管怎么看, 都是非常超值的价格. 百度根基于互联网搜索, 押宝于AI应用, 这种企业在中概甚至A股中凤毛麟角, 面对突破千亿的营收和2倍多一点的市净率. 如果这都不敢买, 还有什么敢买呢? 短期利空是谷歌可能会推出墙内版, 但是我觉得影响非常有限, 甚至是自己吓唬自己.","text":"$百度(BIDU)$ 百度的买点来了, 150附近不管怎么看, 都是非常超值的价格. 百度根基于互联网搜索, 押宝于AI应用, 这种企业在中概甚至A股中凤毛麟角, 面对突破千亿的营收和2倍多一点的市净率. 如果这都不敢买, 还有什么敢买呢? 短期利空是谷歌可能会推出墙内版, 但是我觉得影响非常有限, 甚至是自己吓唬自己.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369978","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3498688392569478","authorId":"3498688392569478","name":"枫之","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab545ff3d5752c5391da89d3a79f71e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3498688392569478","authorIdStr":"3498688392569478"},"content":"买吧买吧……就这形势就得忍住，宁愿少赚10个点也不冒风险亏20个点，因为盈亏比未平衡就得等等等","text":"买吧买吧……就这形势就得忍住，宁愿少赚10个点也不冒风险亏20个点，因为盈亏比未平衡就得等等等","html":"买吧买吧……就这形势就得忍住，宁愿少赚10个点也不冒风险亏20个点，因为盈亏比未平衡就得等等等"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":902134629,"gmtCreate":1559533901161,"gmtModify":1704698402523,"author":{"id":"3446519747099431","authorId":"3446519747099431","name":"城主字","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4b84d60228fd635398563ef34b45109","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3446519747099431","authorIdStr":"3446519747099431"},"themes":[],"title":"没买的可以再等等，买了的我给你打打气","htmlText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 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1.小米作为手机行业的颠覆者，从诞生一刻起就群起而攻之，常言道“砸人饭碗如杀人父母”，直到今天，各个营销号收钱黑小米的也不在少数，小米手机就是在一片鄙视和骂声中在国内越来越弱势。目前还看不到拐头的迹象，在第二季度，华为凭借民族情绪，恐怕会更加挤占小米的市场，国内手机销量第二季度堪忧。 2.小米作为行业颠覆者，颠覆的第一个行业是手机，第二个行业就是电视，各大电视厂商纷纷亏损，恨不得小米马上倒闭，参见海信电视，创维电视的财报。电视行业小米已经站稳了脚跟，但是第三季度华为电视将要推出，在中国华为你懂的，作为华为前员工，华为的狼性我是见识过的，不止技术过硬，各种阴招损招层出不穷，小米根本不是对手。 3.小米第二季度开始发力米家大家电，6月11日有个发布会，大家一定要去看看，小米再次充当了冲锋陷阵的勇士杀入了白色家电，虽然是被逼的，等到小米把互联网家电的市场打开以后，等到人们开始接受了互联网家电的概念的时候，华为又会紧接着进入，这时候进入不需要再去开拓市场，可以轻松的吞噬掉小米开拓的市场，手机是这样，穿戴设备是这样，电视是这样，家电也会是这样。就是这么的无可奈何。 4.小米的前景的天花板是华为，只要有华为在，小米不管是在国内还是国外都没有前景，但是，但是！！！华为现在被制裁了，而且是全方位围堵，作为10几年的芯片设计者和行业从业者，我可以负责任的说，这次华为被打缺了一条腿，EDA, arm等禁令会让华为彻底失去竞争力。 我看好小米是建立在看衰华为的基础上的，就拿这次小米暴跌的诱因“京东618”销量来说吧，华为有再次怎么low怎么来了，荣耀8a是一款一年前发布的，各方面都没有竞争力的产品，结果6月一日当天销量","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ $小米集团-W(01810)$ 今天小米一跌，人心惶惶，持有的想割肉痛苦不堪，对小米的未来也逐渐迷茫起来。 我从几个方面来客观的看待一下小米： 1.小米作为手机行业的颠覆者，从诞生一刻起就群起而攻之，常言道“砸人饭碗如杀人父母”，直到今天，各个营销号收钱黑小米的也不在少数，小米手机就是在一片鄙视和骂声中在国内越来越弱势。目前还看不到拐头的迹象，在第二季度，华为凭借民族情绪，恐怕会更加挤占小米的市场，国内手机销量第二季度堪忧。 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