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tigerLi
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IP属地:北京
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tigerLi
2021-03-09
挂350
@猛虎财经:百度未来展望:能否依靠三大业务提升估值
tigerLi
2021-03-06
$百度(BIDU)$
未来可期不
tigerLi
2021-01-12
$百度(BIDU)$
开始了
tigerLi
2021-01-11
$百度(BIDU)$
今天会涨多少?
@金刚骷髅娃
tigerLi
2021-01-05
$百度(BIDU)$
大单在买进,为啥跌?
tigerLi
2021-01-01
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
应该100卖掉,反手再上车
tigerLi
2020-12-16
$百度(BIDU)$
这要过200了
tigerLi
2020-01-28
$苹果(AAPL)$
咋看不了老虎软件的新闻栏了
tigerLi
2020-01-10
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
收下我的膝盖
tigerLi
2020-01-06
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
怎么盘前静悄悄
tigerLi
2020-01-03
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
还得买有护城河的优质股并长期持有,像这种股票短线吵吵,耽误精力还赚不到钱。
tigerLi
2020-01-02
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
庄家真绝,上当啦
tigerLi
2019-12-27
80年代改革开放,2000年房地产,2020年互联网,以后应该是高科技产业逐步主导的天下。
抱歉,原内容已删除
tigerLi
2019-11-22
$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$
我觉得阿里不会破发,国家不允许,港股不允许,阿里也不允许。
tigerLi
2019-11-13
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
啥时候出财报
tigerLi
2019-10-25
$迅雷(XNET)$
赶快抛,打赌收盘到不了3
tigerLi
2019-09-27
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
这几天阴跌
tigerLi
2019-09-24
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
$爱奇艺(IQ)$
$京东(JD)$
$Dropbox Inc.(DBX)$
10月1不投了,市场不稳
tigerLi
2019-09-21
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
什么情况全盘大跌
tigerLi
2019-08-27
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
太让人失望了,这怎么一跌再跌!
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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2020 年,随着公司人员调整及组织架构调整的落地、核心业务运营效率的持续改善以 及云计算及智能驾驶业务的加速货币化,百度基本面进入逐步复苏通道,市值亦达到千亿 美元量级。在本篇报告中,我们尝试从偏中长期的逻辑,对百度各业务板块的成长性进行 分析,以探讨其合理的估值定价逻辑。业务概览:移动生态为主,拓展智能云、智能驾驶等业务。在维持搜索与信息流产品 的稳定增长以及在线广告货币化基础上,百度亦逐步向 AI 云、智能驾驶等领域进行拓展, 经过 5 年的发展,百度创新业务(百度核心非广告收入)在 2020 年实现收入 124 亿元(+28%),占百度核心收入的比重达到 16%。在线广告虽在 2020 年受疫情影响遭到逆风, 但在新业务的持续带动下,百度整体的收入亦基本与 2019 持平,显示出新业务的对公司 业绩的正向支撑。作为与百度相对而言最为接近的海外科技巨头,谷歌作为全球领先的搜索巨头,在视频化趋势下,在线搜索流量亦在 2019 年面对一定压力。但谷歌通过收购 YouTube 进军视频领域,并提供视频进行订阅、广告等形式进行变现,并在 2C 流量之外进行云计算等业务的探索,成为北美第三大云计算巨头。由此我们看到,市场对于谷歌的估值亦出现变化,随着视频广告、云计算收入占比的提升,其估值水平亦逐步达到 1.4 万亿美元。一. 移动生态:产品优化&效率改善,在线广告有望恢复双位数增长。公司流量的复苏在以字节跳动、腾讯等为代表的超 级 APP 的竞争下,能否继续维持当前的复苏趋势;在线广告领域,面对信息 流、短视频&直播广告的快速增长,百度搜索广告的复苏能否继续延续,百度信 息流广告能否在字节跳动、腾讯等厂商的快速增长趋势中占据更大的份额;运营能力:百家号、小程序、托管页三大基础设施实现流量闭环 百度:内容生产 + 小程序 + 托管页等推动流量闭环,提升","listText":" 2020 年,随着公司人员调整及组织架构调整的落地、核心业务运营效率的持续改善以 及云计算及智能驾驶业务的加速货币化,百度基本面进入逐步复苏通道,市值亦达到千亿 美元量级。在本篇报告中,我们尝试从偏中长期的逻辑,对百度各业务板块的成长性进行 分析,以探讨其合理的估值定价逻辑。业务概览:移动生态为主,拓展智能云、智能驾驶等业务。在维持搜索与信息流产品 的稳定增长以及在线广告货币化基础上,百度亦逐步向 AI 云、智能驾驶等领域进行拓展, 经过 5 年的发展,百度创新业务(百度核心非广告收入)在 2020 年实现收入 124 亿元(+28%),占百度核心收入的比重达到 16%。在线广告虽在 2020 年受疫情影响遭到逆风, 但在新业务的持续带动下,百度整体的收入亦基本与 2019 持平,显示出新业务的对公司 业绩的正向支撑。作为与百度相对而言最为接近的海外科技巨头,谷歌作为全球领先的搜索巨头,在视频化趋势下,在线搜索流量亦在 2019 年面对一定压力。但谷歌通过收购 YouTube 进军视频领域,并提供视频进行订阅、广告等形式进行变现,并在 2C 流量之外进行云计算等业务的探索,成为北美第三大云计算巨头。由此我们看到,市场对于谷歌的估值亦出现变化,随着视频广告、云计算收入占比的提升,其估值水平亦逐步达到 1.4 万亿美元。一. 移动生态:产品优化&效率改善,在线广告有望恢复双位数增长。公司流量的复苏在以字节跳动、腾讯等为代表的超 级 APP 的竞争下,能否继续维持当前的复苏趋势;在线广告领域,面对信息 流、短视频&直播广告的快速增长,百度搜索广告的复苏能否继续延续,百度信 息流广告能否在字节跳动、腾讯等厂商的快速增长趋势中占据更大的份额;运营能力:百家号、小程序、托管页三大基础设施实现流量闭环 百度:内容生产 + 小程序 + 托管页等推动流量闭环,提升","text":"2020 年,随着公司人员调整及组织架构调整的落地、核心业务运营效率的持续改善以 及云计算及智能驾驶业务的加速货币化,百度基本面进入逐步复苏通道,市值亦达到千亿 美元量级。在本篇报告中,我们尝试从偏中长期的逻辑,对百度各业务板块的成长性进行 分析,以探讨其合理的估值定价逻辑。业务概览:移动生态为主,拓展智能云、智能驾驶等业务。在维持搜索与信息流产品 的稳定增长以及在线广告货币化基础上,百度亦逐步向 AI 云、智能驾驶等领域进行拓展, 经过 5 年的发展,百度创新业务(百度核心非广告收入)在 2020 年实现收入 124 亿元(+28%),占百度核心收入的比重达到 16%。在线广告虽在 2020 年受疫情影响遭到逆风, 但在新业务的持续带动下,百度整体的收入亦基本与 2019 持平,显示出新业务的对公司 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2020 年,随着公司人员调整及组织架构调整的落地、核心业务运营效率的持续改善以 及云计算及智能驾驶业务的加速货币化,百度基本面进入逐步复苏通道,市值亦达到千亿 美元量级。在本篇报告中,我们尝试从偏中长期的逻辑,对百度各业务板块的成长性进行 分析,以探讨其合理的估值定价逻辑。业务概览:移动生态为主,拓展智能云、智能驾驶等业务。在维持搜索与信息流产品 的稳定增长以及在线广告货币化基础上,百度亦逐步向 AI 云、智能驾驶等领域进行拓展, 经过 5 年的发展,百度创新业务(百度核心非广告收入)在 2020 年实现收入 124 亿元(+28%),占百度核心收入的比重达到 16%。在线广告虽在 2020 年受疫情影响遭到逆风, 但在新业务的持续带动下,百度整体的收入亦基本与 2019 持平,显示出新业务的对公司 业绩的正向支撑。作为与百度相对而言最为接近的海外科技巨头,谷歌作为全球领先的搜索巨头,在视频化趋势下,在线搜索流量亦在 2019 年面对一定压力。但谷歌通过收购 YouTube 进军视频领域,并提供视频进行订阅、广告等形式进行变现,并在 2C 流量之外进行云计算等业务的探索,成为北美第三大云计算巨头。由此我们看到,市场对于谷歌的估值亦出现变化,随着视频广告、云计算收入占比的提升,其估值水平亦逐步达到 1.4 万亿美元。一. 移动生态:产品优化&效率改善,在线广告有望恢复双位数增长。公司流量的复苏在以字节跳动、腾讯等为代表的超 级 APP 的竞争下,能否继续维持当前的复苏趋势;在线广告领域,面对信息 流、短视频&直播广告的快速增长,百度搜索广告的复苏能否继续延续,百度信 息流广告能否在字节跳动、腾讯等厂商的快速增长趋势中占据更大的份额;运营能力:百家号、小程序、托管页三大基础设施实现流量闭环 百度:内容生产 + 小程序 + 托管页等推动流量闭环,提升","listText":" 2020 年,随着公司人员调整及组织架构调整的落地、核心业务运营效率的持续改善以 及云计算及智能驾驶业务的加速货币化,百度基本面进入逐步复苏通道,市值亦达到千亿 美元量级。在本篇报告中,我们尝试从偏中长期的逻辑,对百度各业务板块的成长性进行 分析,以探讨其合理的估值定价逻辑。业务概览:移动生态为主,拓展智能云、智能驾驶等业务。在维持搜索与信息流产品 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托管页等推动流量闭环,提升","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1320d6be7567bcd4b5a77bc2b54e18c","width":"451","height":"352"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7296fa0f345b0c3731ef99c1a63e140","width":"480","height":"352"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee39cdebee658e15024843e0384bccb3","width":"688","height":"216"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323319117","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":19,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":332753910,"gmtCreate":1610465216230,"gmtModify":1703744591393,"author":{"id":"241076337357750","authorId":"241076337357750","name":"tigerLi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e6f797efd202f4471401ba7c542c74","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"241076337357750","authorIdStr":"241076337357750"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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还得买有护城河的优质股并长期持有,像这种股票短线吵吵,耽误精力还赚不到钱。","text":"$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$ 还得买有护城河的优质股并长期持有,像这种股票短线吵吵,耽误精力还赚不到钱。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/911927779","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":913184999,"gmtCreate":1577377035512,"gmtModify":1704335683757,"author":{"id":"241076337357750","authorId":"241076337357750","name":"tigerLi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e6f797efd202f4471401ba7c542c74","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"241076337357750","authorIdStr":"241076337357750"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"80年代改革开放,2000年房地产,2020年互联网,以后应该是高科技产业逐步主导的天下。","listText":"80年代改革开放,2000年房地产,2020年互联网,以后应该是高科技产业逐步主导的天下。","text":"80年代改革开放,2000年房地产,2020年互联网,以后应该是高科技产业逐步主导的天下。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/913184999","repostId":"1994662420","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1994662420","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1577364491,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1994662420?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2019-12-26 20:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"刘二海:迎接新基础设施时代","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1994662420","media":"36氪","summary":"新中国成立70周年,基础设施的建设不仅改善了大众的生活品质,更带动了国民经济其他部门的发展。随着改革发展进入深水区,新基础设施更将为创新创业和国民经济注入新动能,孕育出一批优秀的巨型公司。愉悦资本创始","content":"<div>\n<p>新中国成立70周年,基础设施的建设不仅改善了大众的生活品质,更带动了国民经济其他部门的发展。随着改革发展进入深水区,新基础设施更将为创新创业和国民经济注入新动能,孕育出一批优秀的巨型公司。愉悦资本创始及执行合伙人刘二海应新浪财经邀请撰写了《迎接新基础设施时代》一文——这是企业家、投资人的机会,但更是所有中国经济参与者的机会,是所有中国经济建设者的机会。新基础设施时代的大幕徐徐开启,恰逢建国七十年。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xw.qq.com/cmsid/20191226A0S07A00\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"tencent_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>刘二海:迎接新基础设施时代</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n刘二海:迎接新基础设施时代\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2019-12-26 20:48 北京时间 <a href=https://xw.qq.com/cmsid/20191226A0S07A00><strong>36氪</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>新中国成立70周年,基础设施的建设不仅改善了大众的生活品质,更带动了国民经济其他部门的发展。随着改革发展进入深水区,新基础设施更将为创新创业和国民经济注入新动能,孕育出一批优秀的巨型公司。愉悦资本创始及执行合伙人刘二海应新浪财经邀请撰写了《迎接新基础设施时代》一文——这是企业家、投资人的机会,但更是所有中国经济参与者的机会,是所有中国经济建设者的机会。新基础设施时代的大幕徐徐开启,恰逢建国七十年。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xw.qq.com/cmsid/20191226A0S07A00\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://inews.gtimg.com/newsapp_ls/0/11066578860_640330/0","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xw.qq.com/cmsid/20191226A0S07A00","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1994662420","content_text":"新中国成立70周年,基础设施的建设不仅改善了大众的生活品质,更带动了国民经济其他部门的发展。随着改革发展进入深水区,新基础设施更将为创新创业和国民经济注入新动能,孕育出一批优秀的巨型公司。愉悦资本创始及执行合伙人刘二海应新浪财经邀请撰写了《迎接新基础设施时代》一文——这是企业家、投资人的机会,但更是所有中国经济参与者的机会,是所有中国经济建设者的机会。新基础设施时代的大幕徐徐开启,恰逢建国七十年。未来,中国经济将更多基于新基础设施,这在中国经济发展中,是具有里程碑意义的重大节点。改革开放的最初三十年,是中国基础设施建设飞速发展的时期。从遍布全国的高速公路、高速铁路网络到机场、港口和码头,再到电力系统和电信系统,及至珠三角、长三角这样的全球级的生产加工基地。这些“传统基础设施”成为当时国民经济各个行业发展的决定性力量。“要想富、先修路”,这句八十年代的流行语是对当时经济特色最直接的写照。基础设施的投资一直是国家拉动经济、以及带动其他经济部门发展的重要手段。很多人都在问下一个投资热点是什么,看好哪些领域。我们知道,任何一个大的趋势性的机遇出现都依托于生态的改变。中国的基础设施在历经了几十年的建设与发展之后,现在已经进入到“新基础设施”逐步成熟的阶段,这必将催生出一批优秀的巨型企业。技术推动的万亿级产业的转型,是非常值得关注的方向。2019年5月17日,成立18个月的瑞幸咖啡(Luckin Coffee)在纳斯达克上市。自成立至今的两年多时间里,瑞幸已经在全国开出近3000家门店、拥有2280万交易用户、一年间营收增长了近7倍。瑞幸的迅速崛起给人留下深刻印象。真正启动了处于临界点的中国咖啡消费市场。这些数字是惊人的,甚至,让美国的国民品牌星巴克都为之惊诧。时至今日,共享单车已经成为大众出行的重要交通工具。人们难以想象,骑自行车居然可以如此方便,随时随地。当然,乱停放也带来了城市管理问题。但大家对便捷出行的好处,都是很欢迎,政府也给予了很大的支持。因为这种无碳的出行方式不仅环保,还极大地缓解了交通拥堵、提升了出行效率。以摩拜单车为例,不到一年的时间,日订单接近2000万,强大的增长动力来自广泛用户群的真需求。从瑞幸到摩拜,这样的速度是前所未有的。这就是新基础设施的力量。新基础设施是什么呢?和我们前文提到的“传统的基础设施”不同,“新基础设施”涵盖了如下领域:首先,互联网及移动互联网。1995年前后,中国互联网产业开始启动,20多年后的今天,已经从互联网时代发展到移动互联网时代,中国在终端、系统、应用上都产生了一批开创性的创新、创造。其次,移动支付。用户已经超过八亿,这在全球任何其它地方都是难以想象的。第三,物流业蓬勃发展提升了整个经济的效率,使得中国成了电子商务最便捷的国家,极大地提高了货物运转效率。甚至,还使得城市内外卖快速发展,用一个创新的方法,促进了餐饮业的扩容。第四,大数据、人工智能、云计算、物联网(IoT),毋庸置疑,也都是新基础设施。中国制造是我特别想强调的新基础设施的一个组成部分。以共享单车为例,也许有人说,共享单车满大街都是,太浪费了。但你换一个角度思考,如果没有中国制造,是不可能一年造出几千万辆自行车,包含太阳能板、物联网、机械等功能模块,更不可能在遥远的欧洲、美洲,看到一家来自中国的、只有短短两年历史的创业公司的产品和服务。我们曾经在硅谷投资的一家公司WISH,现在估值已经达到100多亿美金。WISH把中国的货卖到欧洲和美国。我的一位西班牙朋友说,自己经常在WISH上买东西,因为WISH“质量好非常好、价格也公道”。中国制造,品质好,价格有竞争力。中国制造本身已经成为重要的新的基础设施。为什么新基础设施如此重要?首先,新基础设施引发客户关系的革命。商家可以和客户7×24小时沟通,这在商业史上,是从来没有过的。商家不再需要“中介”联络客户,而是可以直接与自己的客户联系,这是非常不得了的一个事情。这使得普通的制造业和服务业企业,能够直接经营客户,这是商业历史上的重大事件。进一步,新基础设施催生了企业新物种的诞生。过去20年间,互联网基本上做得都是客户端的事。但是今天站在这个时点上,我们有了一个机会——中国制造崛起了。中国制造起来之后,新公司们就又可能一手抓客户一手抓产品,这将完全重塑一个产业的价值体系。未来,将会有一大批公司是以这样的形态出现。需要说明的是,随着技术与产业的渗透融合度越来越高,还会不断有新基础设施产生。还有一点,大家可能比较关心。新基础设施与技术的关系。基础设施具备几个特点:普遍性、安全性、可靠性及经济性。新基础设施是基于新技术的,同时,技术只有转化成基础设施,才能深刻地影响到更广泛的行业,发挥其价值。中国的新基础设施正在完善,而中国很多大型产业的发展会基于新基础设施。与发达国家相比,这是中国的优势。新基础设施会改变企业价值创造体系。基础设施的构建者,往往成了大型企业,不管是支付,还是物流,甚至是云计算。利用新基础设施的企业,会从根本上提升经济体整体运转效率、实现从“传统”向“现代”的发展。我们生活在一个非常激动人心的年代,这个时代是企业新物种如雨后春笋一样涌现的时代。因为有了新基础设施,你有可能参与到万亿级行业的重塑中、参与到社会经济变革的过程中、做出一些与众不同的事。这是企业家、投资人的机会,但更是所有中国经济参与者的机会。是所有中国经济建设者的机会。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1272,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":933118696,"gmtCreate":1569592735515,"gmtModify":1704719726033,"author":{"id":"241076337357750","authorId":"241076337357750","name":"tigerLi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79e6f797efd202f4471401ba7c542c74","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"241076337357750","authorIdStr":"241076337357750"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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