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一只优雅的猪
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20241205
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人生得意须尽欢
君不见,黄河之水天上来,奔流到海不复回。 君不见,高堂明镜悲白发,朝如青丝暮成雪。 人生得意须尽欢,莫使金樽空对月。 天生我材必有用,千金散尽还复来。 烹羊宰牛且为乐,会须一饮三百杯。 岑夫子,丹丘生,将进酒,杯莫停。 与君歌一曲,请君为我倾耳听。 钟鼓馔玉不足贵,但愿长醉不愿醒。 古来圣贤皆寂寞,惟有饮者留其名。 陈王昔时宴平乐,斗酒十千恣欢谑。 主人何为言少钱,径须沽取对君酌。 五花马,千金裘,呼儿将出换美酒,与尔同销万古愁
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2021-12-15
小小寰球,有几个苍蝇碰壁。嗡嗡叫,几声凄厉,几声抽泣。蚂蚁缘槐夸大国,蚍蜉撼树谈何易。正西风落叶下长安,飞鸣镝。多少事,从来急;天地转,光阴迫。一万年太久,只争朝夕。四海翻腾云水怒,五洲震荡风雷激。要扫除一切害人虫,全无敌。
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疫情的发展状态已经与金融市场涨跌息息相关了,在这里,我从死亡率的角度来谈谈国外疫情的现状。 首先,我要说明一下,虽然病毒具有很强的变异性,但是通常情况下,病毒所导致的死亡率会随着时间的增长而缓慢降低的,这是因为致死率高的变异病毒会让宿主死亡而中断了传播途径。 从上面图一可以看出,截至2020年3月13日的数据,国内累计确诊患者8万人,死亡3181人,死亡率3.93%。但是我也注意到,其中湖北省的死亡人数占了绝大部分,死亡率为4.52%,而其他省份累计确诊患者1.3万人,死亡119人,总体死亡率为0.9%。 疫情中心区域和其他省份的死亡率存在很大的差异,这主要是因为早期湖北省的医疗资源短缺,导致许多病人没能得到足够照顾而产生了高死亡率。这意味着,如果一个地方的医疗资源充足,那么死亡率应该能控制在0.9%左右。再来看一下国际其他区域的情况: 从图二可以看出一个很有意思的地方,就是另一个亚洲疫情严重的国家韩国的死亡率也是0.9%。而意大利、伊朗和西班牙的死亡率就非常高了,如果按照0.9%的死亡率来测算,那么这三个国家就分别有9.7万、3.7万、0.65万的患者还没被发现。当然,这是非常悲观的预测,考虑到这三个国家在医疗资源和对疫情的重视程度两方面,可能确实不如韩国和我国除湖北外的其他省份,这三个国家未发现病人的数量可能要少很多,但不管怎么样,情况都不容乐观。 其实我做这个测算,最感兴趣的是美国的数据,毕竟我也是炒美股的韭菜中顽强的一员嘛。美国疫情的发展关系到我抄底美股的时机。 从数据上看,","text":"$标普500ETF(SPY)$ 这几天,金融市场动荡不安,美联储的降息和QE都没办法把美股拉上来,其中很大的原因是货币政策治不好新型冠状肺炎的病。我猜测,股市要想真正好转,必须要先看到新型冠状肺炎疫情得到控制的曙光。 疫情的发展状态已经与金融市场涨跌息息相关了,在这里,我从死亡率的角度来谈谈国外疫情的现状。 首先,我要说明一下,虽然病毒具有很强的变异性,但是通常情况下,病毒所导致的死亡率会随着时间的增长而缓慢降低的,这是因为致死率高的变异病毒会让宿主死亡而中断了传播途径。 从上面图一可以看出,截至2020年3月13日的数据,国内累计确诊患者8万人,死亡3181人,死亡率3.93%。但是我也注意到,其中湖北省的死亡人数占了绝大部分,死亡率为4.52%,而其他省份累计确诊患者1.3万人,死亡119人,总体死亡率为0.9%。 疫情中心区域和其他省份的死亡率存在很大的差异,这主要是因为早期湖北省的医疗资源短缺,导致许多病人没能得到足够照顾而产生了高死亡率。这意味着,如果一个地方的医疗资源充足,那么死亡率应该能控制在0.9%左右。再来看一下国际其他区域的情况: 从图二可以看出一个很有意思的地方,就是另一个亚洲疫情严重的国家韩国的死亡率也是0.9%。而意大利、伊朗和西班牙的死亡率就非常高了,如果按照0.9%的死亡率来测算,那么这三个国家就分别有9.7万、3.7万、0.65万的患者还没被发现。当然,这是非常悲观的预测,考虑到这三个国家在医疗资源和对疫情的重视程度两方面,可能确实不如韩国和我国除湖北外的其他省份,这三个国家未发现病人的数量可能要少很多,但不管怎么样,情况都不容乐观。 其实我做这个测算,最感兴趣的是美国的数据,毕竟我也是炒美股的韭菜中顽强的一员嘛。美国疫情的发展关系到我抄底美股的时机。 从数据上看,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/494b4eaa40acadaeab6f06d7d7f25ac1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":49,"commentSize":21,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/964016953","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3506516713120122","authorId":"3506516713120122","name":"知行合一2022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe2b924948bcbc8ede6d7f103d1809f0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3506516713120122","authorIdStr":"3506516713120122"},"content":"同志啊,咱俩文章前面的观点一致。后面说美国是医疗强国,绝对是,可它不是医疗大国。普通人看病是很费事的。如果感冒了基本上给你一次开一片药。还有建议和白开水。。。。。。","text":"同志啊,咱俩文章前面的观点一致。后面说美国是医疗强国,绝对是,可它不是医疗大国。普通人看病是很费事的。如果感冒了基本上给你一次开一片药。还有建议和白开水。。。。。。","html":"同志啊,咱俩文章前面的观点一致。后面说美国是医疗强国,绝对是,可它不是医疗大国。普通人看病是很费事的。如果感冒了基本上给你一次开一片药。还有建议和白开水。。。。。。"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":74736,"gmtCreate":1500278123511,"gmtModify":1704878863328,"author":{"id":"203325716325336","authorId":"203325716325336","name":"一只优雅的猪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5495019151b747668bb28eb86e87e374","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"203325716325336","authorIdStr":"203325716325336"},"themes":[],"title":"不成熟的期权策略","htmlText":"$Netflix, Inc.(NFLX)$今天盘后NFLX,大家怎么看财报呢?我看了一下NFLX的隐含波动率,产生一个不成熟的期权策略,卖一个17/07/21 160的call,金额是7.3刀,然后买一个17/08/11 160的call,金额是8.29刀,总费用是99美金。产生这个想法的原因是7月的隐含波动率太高了,达到70%多,而8月的隐含波动率只有40%。求大神指点一下这种操作方法的风险是什么?风险收益比怎么样?$英伟达(NVDA)$ $AMD(AMD)$ $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $苹果(AAPL)$","listText":"$Netflix, Inc.(NFLX)$今天盘后NFLX,大家怎么看财报呢?我看了一下NFLX的隐含波动率,产生一个不成熟的期权策略,卖一个17/07/21 160的call,金额是7.3刀,然后买一个17/08/11 160的call,金额是8.29刀,总费用是99美金。产生这个想法的原因是7月的隐含波动率太高了,达到70%多,而8月的隐含波动率只有40%。求大神指点一下这种操作方法的风险是什么?风险收益比怎么样?$英伟达(NVDA)$ $AMD(AMD)$ $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $苹果(AAPL)$","text":"$Netflix, Inc.(NFLX)$今天盘后NFLX,大家怎么看财报呢?我看了一下NFLX的隐含波动率,产生一个不成熟的期权策略,卖一个17/07/21 160的call,金额是7.3刀,然后买一个17/08/11 160的call,金额是8.29刀,总费用是99美金。产生这个想法的原因是7月的隐含波动率太高了,达到70%多,而8月的隐含波动率只有40%。求大神指点一下这种操作方法的风险是什么?风险收益比怎么样?$英伟达(NVDA)$ $AMD(AMD)$ $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $苹果(AAPL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/0ca0e3b95de9c587063435a4b5064f5a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":33,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/74736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3457940408005201","authorId":"3457940408005201","name":"超级玛丽","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/c445dcaa80f859d1fa09635660e68ecb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3457940408005201","authorIdStr":"3457940408005201"},"content":"各位忘了这个交易实例了么? 今天查了一下,留个记录。20170719 两个期权都深度价内,不说了。但流动性还行好像。721-160 Call 是24.15 ;811-160 Call 是 25.81. 价差1.66。小哥大概66%的利润,虽然比不上那些三位数的大神们,也算是笔相当不错的交易了吧。希望没有算错。有没有前辈再详解一下?","text":"各位忘了这个交易实例了么? 今天查了一下,留个记录。20170719 两个期权都深度价内,不说了。但流动性还行好像。721-160 Call 是24.15 ;811-160 Call 是 25.81. 价差1.66。小哥大概66%的利润,虽然比不上那些三位数的大神们,也算是笔相当不错的交易了吧。希望没有算错。有没有前辈再详解一下?","html":"各位忘了这个交易实例了么? 今天查了一下,留个记录。20170719 两个期权都深度价内,不说了。但流动性还行好像。721-160 Call 是24.15 ;811-160 Call 是 25.81. 价差1.66。小哥大概66%的利润,虽然比不上那些三位数的大神们,也算是笔相当不错的交易了吧。希望没有算错。有没有前辈再详解一下?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":45607,"gmtCreate":1487805542909,"gmtModify":1704875208224,"author":{"id":"203325716325336","authorId":"203325716325336","name":"一只优雅的猪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5495019151b747668bb28eb86e87e374","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"203325716325336","authorIdStr":"203325716325336"},"themes":[],"title":"想不到啊","htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$目测今晚会call、put双杀","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$目测今晚会call、put双杀","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$目测今晚会call、put双杀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/45607","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"127367578255012","authorId":"127367578255012","name":"iAm22","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c911514cff6758784e9ec02839cd3c8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"127367578255012","authorIdStr":"127367578255012"},"content":"都是严重价外期权 行权越近自然都双跌 正骨只要上涨下跌趋势明确 马上就有一头期权飞起来!NVDA就是😍","text":"都是严重价外期权 行权越近自然都双跌 正骨只要上涨下跌趋势明确 马上就有一头期权飞起来!NVDA就是😍","html":"都是严重价外期权 行权越近自然都双跌 正骨只要上涨下跌趋势明确 马上就有一头期权飞起来!NVDA就是😍"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":73261,"gmtCreate":1499695746574,"gmtModify":1704878673382,"author":{"id":"203325716325336","authorId":"203325716325336","name":"一只优雅的猪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5495019151b747668bb28eb86e87e374","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"203325716325336","authorIdStr":"203325716325336"},"themes":[],"title":"做一个备兑看涨期权","htmlText":"$AMD(AMD)$查看了一下AMD的隐含波动率,高的离谱,所以手痒卖了10手AMD的call,但是我怕破产,就买了1000股AMD的正股,搞个备兑看涨期权,不知结果如何……","listText":"$AMD(AMD)$查看了一下AMD的隐含波动率,高的离谱,所以手痒卖了10手AMD的call,但是我怕破产,就买了1000股AMD的正股,搞个备兑看涨期权,不知结果如何……","text":"$AMD(AMD)$查看了一下AMD的隐含波动率,高的离谱,所以手痒卖了10手AMD的call,但是我怕破产,就买了1000股AMD的正股,搞个备兑看涨期权,不知结果如何……","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":22,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/73261","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3451648860565086","authorId":"3451648860565086","name":"Danazy","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/f1e9f5ea43e4478e6a0e64aa387c4f3b","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3451648860565086","authorIdStr":"3451648860565086"},"content":"卖期权的风险太大了,好好拿正股不好吗","text":"卖期权的风险太大了,好好拿正股不好吗","html":"卖期权的风险太大了,好好拿正股不好吗"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":956160596,"gmtCreate":1591618373715,"gmtModify":1704196129053,"author":{"id":"203325716325336","authorId":"203325716325336","name":"一只优雅的猪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5495019151b747668bb28eb86e87e374","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"203325716325336","authorIdStr":"203325716325336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a>请教大家,怎么修改出金银行?之前设置了建设银行为出金机构,可是到账后,建设银行给我打电话,说不符合要求,又把钱退回老虎账号了。现在想更改出金银行,试一下能不能用其他银行出金,可是老虎软件现在显示为之前设置的建设银行,没办法更改出金机构了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a>请教大家,怎么修改出金银行?之前设置了建设银行为出金机构,可是到账后,建设银行给我打电话,说不符合要求,又把钱退回老虎账号了。现在想更改出金银行,试一下能不能用其他银行出金,可是老虎软件现在显示为之前设置的建设银行,没办法更改出金机构了。","text":"$标普500ETF(SPY)$请教大家,怎么修改出金银行?之前设置了建设银行为出金机构,可是到账后,建设银行给我打电话,说不符合要求,又把钱退回老虎账号了。现在想更改出金银行,试一下能不能用其他银行出金,可是老虎软件现在显示为之前设置的建设银行,没办法更改出金机构了。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1176f65346c4bb60ec7eb67b2aa77faa","width":"1242","height":"2208"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/956160596","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3503087109594548","authorId":"3503087109594548","name":"回眸一笑百媚生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98f0252363d15972bda2dc2aea393841","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3503087109594548","authorIdStr":"3503087109594548"},"content":"登录盈透官网更改","text":"登录盈透官网更改","html":"登录盈透官网更改"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":61128,"gmtCreate":1495522346515,"gmtModify":1704877142268,"author":{"id":"203325716325336","authorId":"203325716325336","name":"一只优雅的猪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5495019151b747668bb28eb86e87e374","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"203325716325336","authorIdStr":"203325716325336"},"themes":[],"title":"分红影响期权吗?","htmlText":"$网易(NTES)$网易这个股票分红的准确日期是哪一天啊,app上面提醒是26号,老虎发给我的邮件是23号","listText":"$网易(NTES)$网易这个股票分红的准确日期是哪一天啊,app上面提醒是26号,老虎发给我的邮件是23号","text":"$网易(NTES)$网易这个股票分红的准确日期是哪一天啊,app上面提醒是26号,老虎发给我的邮件是23号","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/61128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"16180209980775","authorId":"16180209980775","name":"九格","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b7351b7dca167cbf31dfae7714bb158","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"16180209980775","authorIdStr":"16180209980775"},"content":"理论上不影响,实际操作中是影响的","text":"理论上不影响,实际操作中是影响的","html":"理论上不影响,实际操作中是影响的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967611943,"gmtCreate":1584589043882,"gmtModify":1704355144521,"author":{"id":"203325716325336","authorId":"203325716325336","name":"一只优雅的猪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5495019151b747668bb28eb86e87e374","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"203325716325336","authorIdStr":"203325716325336"},"themes":[],"title":"在作死的边缘疯狂试探——我的不成熟期权策略","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a>昨天晚上,也就是2020年3月18日,我买入了6手SPY2021年1月15日到期的远期看涨期权,行权价为300,其中有2手成交价为8美元,4手成交价为7美元,总体平均成交价为7.34美元。具体如上图。我当时做多的原因有两个:1、现在的市场慢慢开始有热点了,股市下跌的品种主要集中在那些受疫情严重影响的行业,比如:航空业、工业股等等,但是一些跟疫情没多大关系的品种开始慢慢止跌,甚至开始上涨了,比如:AMZN、WMT、ORCL。2、从技术面来看,这波下跌标普也到了关键点位2350,用黄金分割线来测量2008年以来的牛市,2350刚好是这波牛市回撤38.2%的关键位置,如果跌破,股指可能就直奔2000点的50%回测位置了。具体如下图:基于上面两个原因,我当晚大胆地买入净看多期权,然后熄灯睡觉。今天早上醒来,第一时间摸来手机一看,竟然赚了934美元,感觉心里美滋滋,可再定睛一看,差点吓得我小心脏停止跳动。昨晚SPY最大跌幅竟然达到了9.66%,又熔断了。好在我当时在睡觉,完全不知情,要不然我很可能就选择止损了。不得不说懒人也有懒福。好了,现在问题摆在我的面前:我现在应该怎么办?明天开盘可能继续往下跌,也可能反弹一波。在我苦苦思索了5分钟之后,我脑子里产生了一个不成熟的期权策略,希望大家给点建议:1、我现在手上有6手2021年1月到期的看涨期权,行权价300美元,期权市场价为8.9美元;2、我打算今天晚上卖掉6手2020年4月17日到期的看涨期权,行权价265美元,期权市场价为8.25美元。这样做的原因有如下几个:1、对冲掉我的大部分看多头寸,降低风险敞口,同时,我还不需要卖掉手上的远期看涨头寸2、这个策略在delta上净看空,但看空的程度不高,在theta上净看多,在vaga上","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a>昨天晚上,也就是2020年3月18日,我买入了6手SPY2021年1月15日到期的远期看涨期权,行权价为300,其中有2手成交价为8美元,4手成交价为7美元,总体平均成交价为7.34美元。具体如上图。我当时做多的原因有两个:1、现在的市场慢慢开始有热点了,股市下跌的品种主要集中在那些受疫情严重影响的行业,比如:航空业、工业股等等,但是一些跟疫情没多大关系的品种开始慢慢止跌,甚至开始上涨了,比如:AMZN、WMT、ORCL。2、从技术面来看,这波下跌标普也到了关键点位2350,用黄金分割线来测量2008年以来的牛市,2350刚好是这波牛市回撤38.2%的关键位置,如果跌破,股指可能就直奔2000点的50%回测位置了。具体如下图:基于上面两个原因,我当晚大胆地买入净看多期权,然后熄灯睡觉。今天早上醒来,第一时间摸来手机一看,竟然赚了934美元,感觉心里美滋滋,可再定睛一看,差点吓得我小心脏停止跳动。昨晚SPY最大跌幅竟然达到了9.66%,又熔断了。好在我当时在睡觉,完全不知情,要不然我很可能就选择止损了。不得不说懒人也有懒福。好了,现在问题摆在我的面前:我现在应该怎么办?明天开盘可能继续往下跌,也可能反弹一波。在我苦苦思索了5分钟之后,我脑子里产生了一个不成熟的期权策略,希望大家给点建议:1、我现在手上有6手2021年1月到期的看涨期权,行权价300美元,期权市场价为8.9美元;2、我打算今天晚上卖掉6手2020年4月17日到期的看涨期权,行权价265美元,期权市场价为8.25美元。这样做的原因有如下几个:1、对冲掉我的大部分看多头寸,降低风险敞口,同时,我还不需要卖掉手上的远期看涨头寸2、这个策略在delta上净看空,但看空的程度不高,在theta上净看多,在vaga上","text":"$标普500ETF(SPY)$昨天晚上,也就是2020年3月18日,我买入了6手SPY2021年1月15日到期的远期看涨期权,行权价为300,其中有2手成交价为8美元,4手成交价为7美元,总体平均成交价为7.34美元。具体如上图。我当时做多的原因有两个:1、现在的市场慢慢开始有热点了,股市下跌的品种主要集中在那些受疫情严重影响的行业,比如:航空业、工业股等等,但是一些跟疫情没多大关系的品种开始慢慢止跌,甚至开始上涨了,比如:AMZN、WMT、ORCL。2、从技术面来看,这波下跌标普也到了关键点位2350,用黄金分割线来测量2008年以来的牛市,2350刚好是这波牛市回撤38.2%的关键位置,如果跌破,股指可能就直奔2000点的50%回测位置了。具体如下图:基于上面两个原因,我当晚大胆地买入净看多期权,然后熄灯睡觉。今天早上醒来,第一时间摸来手机一看,竟然赚了934美元,感觉心里美滋滋,可再定睛一看,差点吓得我小心脏停止跳动。昨晚SPY最大跌幅竟然达到了9.66%,又熔断了。好在我当时在睡觉,完全不知情,要不然我很可能就选择止损了。不得不说懒人也有懒福。好了,现在问题摆在我的面前:我现在应该怎么办?明天开盘可能继续往下跌,也可能反弹一波。在我苦苦思索了5分钟之后,我脑子里产生了一个不成熟的期权策略,希望大家给点建议:1、我现在手上有6手2021年1月到期的看涨期权,行权价300美元,期权市场价为8.9美元;2、我打算今天晚上卖掉6手2020年4月17日到期的看涨期权,行权价265美元,期权市场价为8.25美元。这样做的原因有如下几个:1、对冲掉我的大部分看多头寸,降低风险敞口,同时,我还不需要卖掉手上的远期看涨头寸2、这个策略在delta上净看空,但看空的程度不高,在theta上净看多,在vaga上","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1228b009413717b75bcb5a26094a4c67"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff02c3e5f9316e159cd294e7af244bde"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06d75665d191924c69c2efbc272a5349"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/967611943","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3457950006728738","authorId":"3457950006728738","name":"做时间朋友","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/782ed946e792f811268640a22c4b8abd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3457950006728738","authorIdStr":"3457950006728738"},"content":"我觉得在底部信号未出现的时候做多远期期权是毫无意义的.截止20号收盘你做空的期权每手赚了6.36元,做多的每手亏了5.9元.也就是说本来只做空一手能赚的比你现在做对冲的值是13.8倍。你为了未来不确定的盈利0.46元(6.36-5.9)而放弃了相对确定的6.36,这在我看来是毫无意义的甚至可以说是愚蠢的做法。","text":"我觉得在底部信号未出现的时候做多远期期权是毫无意义的.截止20号收盘你做空的期权每手赚了6.36元,做多的每手亏了5.9元.也就是说本来只做空一手能赚的比你现在做对冲的值是13.8倍。你为了未来不确定的盈利0.46元(6.36-5.9)而放弃了相对确定的6.36,这在我看来是毫无意义的甚至可以说是愚蠢的做法。","html":"我觉得在底部信号未出现的时候做多远期期权是毫无意义的.截止20号收盘你做空的期权每手赚了6.36元,做多的每手亏了5.9元.也就是说本来只做空一手能赚的比你现在做对冲的值是13.8倍。你为了未来不确定的盈利0.46元(6.36-5.9)而放弃了相对确定的6.36,这在我看来是毫无意义的甚至可以说是愚蠢的做法。"}],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":387387526,"gmtCreate":1613721603665,"gmtModify":1613721603665,"author":{"id":"203325716325336","authorId":"203325716325336","name":"一只优雅的猪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5495019151b747668bb28eb86e87e374","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"203325716325336","authorIdStr":"203325716325336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>冲冲冲,小米造车啦!","listText":"<a 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