再三婉拒张天爱的个人主页 - 老虎社区

再三婉拒张天爱

再三婉拒张天爱

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：北京

14关注

44粉丝

3主题

0勋章

再三婉拒张天爱

05-09

垫底？编也不能这么假啊

抱歉，原内容已删除

再三婉拒张天爱

05-08

【投票贴】现在问10个投资者，高低评价的比例有多少？

再三婉拒张天爱

05-08

Replying to @三藏大法师:有点法师的意思，世上难有两全法//@三藏大法师:评论区没几个正常人，36了就10块20块，50了就80，100

再三婉拒张天爱

04-07

半年线已经破了，筹码稳定性肯定更差了。一堆筹码在顶上。我想等破30

再三婉拒张天爱

01-23

不同的发展路径，等待未来 4 年市场消费者的选择。最好配合美开放新能源车进口，这样大川的政策才具有意义

再三婉拒张天爱

2024-04-12

$Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc(LCTX)$

再三婉拒张天爱

2024-03-26

应该剔除中信证券的分析那一段落，他已经失去公信力了

@港股研究社:小米SU7定价之战：科技巨头的汽车江湖挑战

再三婉拒张天爱

2024-03-18

小米汽车的价格被多方猜测，很多所谓米粉叫嚷着买不起，可是他们是站在自己角度，静止的看待小米和小米的发展。雷老板选择小米手机的高端化，就已经说明了小米汽车也是高端化的产品，已经成为小米集团发展的共识。那些还停留在喊价九万九的所谓米粉，其实已经不是小米 su7 的潜在客户，完全忽略了品质，时尚，价值和风潮，静止的认为小米过去走的手机路线会在汽车上复刻，这不是发展的观点。

再三婉拒张天爱

2024-02-12

还没成功🤦‍♂️

@小虎活动:【惊喜5】初三送穷鬼！分享一下你横扫投资障碍的秘笈

再三婉拒张天爱

2023-12-28

看了几乎一边倒的评论，我更坚定了。

再三婉拒张天爱

2023-09-21

蔚来这是强撸啊，可是强撸飞灰湮灭啊！等下看看手机是啥情况

抱歉，原内容已删除

再三婉拒张天爱

2023-09-15

双向印花税，还加税，就是昏招。

抱歉，原内容已删除

再三婉拒张天爱

2023-07-11

$巨星传奇(06683)$ 杰伦概念股，必得关注

再三婉拒张天爱

2023-01-29

做手机门槛这么低啊

抱歉，原内容已删除

再三婉拒张天爱

2023-01-09

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@夜行美股:视频里加了底部股票提醒进度条，想看哪支票直接拉到那个位置就可以了，欢迎关注，转发~ .IXIC、YINN、IQ、TSLA、AAPL、SOXL、TCOM、TOUR、HUYA、BZ

再三婉拒张天爱

2022-12-19

我看好港股市场和消费及资源板块，另外地产也是复苏的快捷键。这就如同海啸，总是突然退朝，然后浪头就过来了

@小虎资管:老虎独家|2023年投资主线的演变

再三婉拒张天爱

2022-12-16

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@价值投资为王:2023年，机构看好哪些港股？

再三婉拒张天爱

2022-11-24

真是路边社消息

抱歉，原内容已删除

再三婉拒张天爱

2022-09-02

继续加注而已，没到翻拍的时候。

抱歉，原内容已删除

再三婉拒张天爱

2022-05-05

yalla

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"176683618527696","uuid":"176683618527696","gmtCreate":1462636954145,"gmtModify":1594198486055,"name":"再三婉拒张天爱","pinyin":"zswjztazaisanwanjuzhangtianai","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":44,"headSize":14,"tweetSize":173,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":900,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":3,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":89,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.77%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.05","exceedPercentage":"93.89%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.18","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"location":"北京","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":2,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":433016006168600,"gmtCreate":1746750897242,"gmtModify":1746750898979,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"垫底？编也不能这么假啊","listText":"垫底？编也不能这么假啊","text":"垫底？编也不能这么假啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/433016006168600","repostId":"2534326191","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":432886537007648,"gmtCreate":1746718617548,"gmtModify":1746718998010,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"现在问10个投资者，高低评价的比例有多少？","listText":"现在问10个投资者，高低评价的比例有多少？","text":"现在问10个投资者，高低评价的比例有多少？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/432886537007648","isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"vote":{"id":4835,"gmtBegin":1746718617545,"gmtEnd":1747323323049,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"小米50元又出现了？你选择持有还是卖出？","choices":[{"id":16614,"sort":1,"name":"持有（买入）","userSize":47,"voted":false},{"id":16615,"sort":2,"name":"卖出","userSize":21,"voted":false}]},"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":432882785517632,"gmtCreate":1746718330053,"gmtModify":1746718332762,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000010490\">@三藏大法师</a>:有点法师的意思，世上难有两全法//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000010490\">@三藏大法师</a>:评论区没几个正常人，36了就10块20块，50了就80，100","listText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000010490\">@三藏大法师</a>:有点法师的意思，世上难有两全法//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000010490\">@三藏大法师</a>:评论区没几个正常人，36了就10块20块，50了就80，100","text":"Replying to @三藏大法师:有点法师的意思，世上难有两全法//@三藏大法师:评论区没几个正常人，36了就10块20块，50了就80，100","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/432882785517632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":421857611595824,"gmtCreate":1744020782088,"gmtModify":1744020784922,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"半年线已经破了，筹码稳定性肯定更差了。一堆筹码在顶上。我想等破30","listText":"半年线已经破了，筹码稳定性肯定更差了。一堆筹码在顶上。我想等破30","text":"半年线已经破了，筹码稳定性肯定更差了。一堆筹码在顶上。我想等破30","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/421857611595824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":395866809290952,"gmtCreate":1737672302041,"gmtModify":1737672304120,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不同的发展路径，等待未来 4 年市场消费者的选择。最好配合美开放新能源车进口，这样大川的政策才具有意义","listText":"不同的发展路径，等待未来 4 年市场消费者的选择。最好配合美开放新能源车进口，这样大川的政策才具有意义","text":"不同的发展路径，等待未来 4 年市场消费者的选择。最好配合美开放新能源车进口，这样大川的政策才具有意义","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/395866809290952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":294391791538464,"gmtCreate":1712896019940,"gmtModify":1712896423559,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCTX\">$Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc(LCTX)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCTX\">$Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc(LCTX)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"$Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc(LCTX)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d62ccfa2d78350228958b0c6f0ed7ca","width":"1086","height":"1713"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/294391791538464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":288489588150352,"gmtCreate":1711464675272,"gmtModify":1711465512722,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"应该剔除中信证券的分析那一段落，他已经失去公信力了","listText":"应该剔除中信证券的分析那一段落，他已经失去公信力了","text":"应该剔除中信证券的分析那一段落，他已经失去公信力了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/288489588150352","repostId":"288475140796560","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":288475140796560,"gmtCreate":1711461264055,"gmtModify":1744853278190,"author":{"id":"3516422794850265","authorId":"3516422794850265","name":"港股研究社","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f93253ece299c58b5ce6c809885d9ed","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516422794850265","authorIdStr":"3516422794850265"},"themes":[],"title":"小米SU7定价之战：科技巨头的汽车江湖挑战","htmlText":"3月25日，小米正式开放旗下首款车型SU7的静态体验，目前全国29城的59家小米之家及小米汽车门店、17个限时展厅均可体验。 在各地小米门店前，参观者络绎不绝，呈现出火爆的人气。有店员表示，因为人流量太多，咨询的人非常多，“嗓子已经喊哑了”，因此开启了预约进店模式。据店员介绍，小米SU7会在3月28日（本周四）晚7点正式上市，最快下个月就可以提车。 “打得一拳开，免得百拳来”。作为小米汽车开山之作，小米SU7承担着打开高端化品牌市场的重任。当展车进店、公开展示车辆的细节后，售价就成为小米SU7最后的“悬念”。 毕竟没有卖不出去的车，只有卖不出去的价格。 比亚迪“电比油低” 压力给到小米 小米汽车通往高端化的路，可谓荆棘密布、险阻重重。 2023年11月，小米汽车正式公示以来，发布会开了一场又一场，但是小米su7售价依然是不能说的“秘密”。在种种的期许与质疑声中，雷军给出的答案是再等等。然而，市场不等人，2月19日龙年伊始，比亚迪2024年带头“掀桌子”，喊出“电比油低”的口号，将新能源汽车价格战火烧到10万元及以下的低端市场。作为手机领域的“价格屠夫”小米，在汽车领域面对比亚迪的凶猛价格攻势，背负着更大的技术、资金、营销压力。 此外，在比亚迪官宣降价之后，上汽五菱、长安汽车等多家燃油车企、哪吒、理想、问界等新能源车企也相继加入了这场价格战。新能源车企降价的背后，是动力锂电池的成本下降，给车企提供了更大的降价空间。 根据ICC披露的数据，2023年我国动力锂电池电芯价格持续下降。磷酸铁锂动力电芯价格从2023年1月的0.82元/Wh下跌至2023年12月的0.43元/Wh，降幅超47%。三元锂动力电芯价格从2023年1月的0.92元/Wh下跌至2023年12月的0.52元/Wh，降幅超43%。 在锂电池解决了电动车里程焦虑之后，消费者更关注的是车辆的智能化与车内配置。在车载系","listText":"3月25日，小米正式开放旗下首款车型SU7的静态体验，目前全国29城的59家小米之家及小米汽车门店、17个限时展厅均可体验。 在各地小米门店前，参观者络绎不绝，呈现出火爆的人气。有店员表示，因为人流量太多，咨询的人非常多，“嗓子已经喊哑了”，因此开启了预约进店模式。据店员介绍，小米SU7会在3月28日（本周四）晚7点正式上市，最快下个月就可以提车。 “打得一拳开，免得百拳来”。作为小米汽车开山之作，小米SU7承担着打开高端化品牌市场的重任。当展车进店、公开展示车辆的细节后，售价就成为小米SU7最后的“悬念”。 毕竟没有卖不出去的车，只有卖不出去的价格。 比亚迪“电比油低” 压力给到小米 小米汽车通往高端化的路，可谓荆棘密布、险阻重重。 2023年11月，小米汽车正式公示以来，发布会开了一场又一场，但是小米su7售价依然是不能说的“秘密”。在种种的期许与质疑声中，雷军给出的答案是再等等。然而，市场不等人，2月19日龙年伊始，比亚迪2024年带头“掀桌子”，喊出“电比油低”的口号，将新能源汽车价格战火烧到10万元及以下的低端市场。作为手机领域的“价格屠夫”小米，在汽车领域面对比亚迪的凶猛价格攻势，背负着更大的技术、资金、营销压力。 此外，在比亚迪官宣降价之后，上汽五菱、长安汽车等多家燃油车企、哪吒、理想、问界等新能源车企也相继加入了这场价格战。新能源车企降价的背后，是动力锂电池的成本下降，给车企提供了更大的降价空间。 根据ICC披露的数据，2023年我国动力锂电池电芯价格持续下降。磷酸铁锂动力电芯价格从2023年1月的0.82元/Wh下跌至2023年12月的0.43元/Wh，降幅超47%。三元锂动力电芯价格从2023年1月的0.92元/Wh下跌至2023年12月的0.52元/Wh，降幅超43%。 在锂电池解决了电动车里程焦虑之后，消费者更关注的是车辆的智能化与车内配置。在车载系","text":"3月25日，小米正式开放旗下首款车型SU7的静态体验，目前全国29城的59家小米之家及小米汽车门店、17个限时展厅均可体验。 在各地小米门店前，参观者络绎不绝，呈现出火爆的人气。有店员表示，因为人流量太多，咨询的人非常多，“嗓子已经喊哑了”，因此开启了预约进店模式。据店员介绍，小米SU7会在3月28日（本周四）晚7点正式上市，最快下个月就可以提车。 “打得一拳开，免得百拳来”。作为小米汽车开山之作，小米SU7承担着打开高端化品牌市场的重任。当展车进店、公开展示车辆的细节后，售价就成为小米SU7最后的“悬念”。 毕竟没有卖不出去的车，只有卖不出去的价格。 比亚迪“电比油低” 压力给到小米 小米汽车通往高端化的路，可谓荆棘密布、险阻重重。 2023年11月，小米汽车正式公示以来，发布会开了一场又一场，但是小米su7售价依然是不能说的“秘密”。在种种的期许与质疑声中，雷军给出的答案是再等等。然而，市场不等人，2月19日龙年伊始，比亚迪2024年带头“掀桌子”，喊出“电比油低”的口号，将新能源汽车价格战火烧到10万元及以下的低端市场。作为手机领域的“价格屠夫”小米，在汽车领域面对比亚迪的凶猛价格攻势，背负着更大的技术、资金、营销压力。 此外，在比亚迪官宣降价之后，上汽五菱、长安汽车等多家燃油车企、哪吒、理想、问界等新能源车企也相继加入了这场价格战。新能源车企降价的背后，是动力锂电池的成本下降，给车企提供了更大的降价空间。 根据ICC披露的数据，2023年我国动力锂电池电芯价格持续下降。磷酸铁锂动力电芯价格从2023年1月的0.82元/Wh下跌至2023年12月的0.43元/Wh，降幅超47%。三元锂动力电芯价格从2023年1月的0.92元/Wh下跌至2023年12月的0.52元/Wh，降幅超43%。 在锂电池解决了电动车里程焦虑之后，消费者更关注的是车辆的智能化与车内配置。在车载系","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5489f36ac58bf552e00f41713750f68","width":"1065","height":"539"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55f2b9d73a53f4ab5e2c8a98e924c4b1","width":"1024","height":"458"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/316ea3e37b90852f53ab2a9d957057a3","width":"690","height":"920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/288475140796560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":285697799331960,"gmtCreate":1710768755026,"gmtModify":1710768757904,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"小米汽车的价格被多方猜测，很多所谓米粉叫嚷着买不起，可是他们是站在自己角度，静止的看待小米和小米的发展。雷老板选择小米手机的高端化，就已经说明了小米汽车也是高端化的产品，已经成为小米集团发展的共识。那些还停留在喊价九万九的所谓米粉，其实已经不是小米 su7 的潜在客户，完全忽略了品质，时尚，价值和风潮，静止的认为小米过去走的手机路线会在汽车上复刻，这不是发展的观点。&nbsp;","listText":"小米汽车的价格被多方猜测，很多所谓米粉叫嚷着买不起，可是他们是站在自己角度，静止的看待小米和小米的发展。雷老板选择小米手机的高端化，就已经说明了小米汽车也是高端化的产品，已经成为小米集团发展的共识。那些还停留在喊价九万九的所谓米粉，其实已经不是小米 su7 的潜在客户，完全忽略了品质，时尚，价值和风潮，静止的认为小米过去走的手机路线会在汽车上复刻，这不是发展的观点。&nbsp;","text":"小米汽车的价格被多方猜测，很多所谓米粉叫嚷着买不起，可是他们是站在自己角度，静止的看待小米和小米的发展。雷老板选择小米手机的高端化，就已经说明了小米汽车也是高端化的产品，已经成为小米集团发展的共识。那些还停留在喊价九万九的所谓米粉，其实已经不是小米 su7 的潜在客户，完全忽略了品质，时尚，价值和风潮，静止的认为小米过去走的手机路线会在汽车上复刻，这不是发展的观点。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/285697799331960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":273255656517776,"gmtCreate":1707750672974,"gmtModify":1707750674643,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"还没成功🤦‍♂️","listText":"还没成功🤦‍♂️","text":"还没成功🤦‍♂️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/273255656517776","repostId":"273117567549456","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":273117567549456,"gmtCreate":1707701752677,"gmtModify":1707706802838,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【惊喜5】初三送穷鬼！分享一下你横扫投资障碍的秘笈","htmlText":"大年初三也叫“穷鬼日”，这天的主题是“送穷鬼”，就是把贫穷和霉运都送走。在初三，家家户户都会拿起扫把，把年初一、初二房前屋后堆满的爆竹屑、烟头和糖果纸等垃圾，一并彻底地清扫出去。在炒股中，我们同样也会遇到“穷鬼”，比如各种各样的投资陷阱。那我们要如何避免他们呢？以下是几个避坑方法，你有在投资中使用过吗？多元化投资组合，避免把鸡蛋都放在一个篮子里，降低整体风险。了解你自己，设立明确的投资目标，包括风险承受能力。交易上头了要设定冷静期，防止过度交易。虎友们，让我们一起分享股票投资过程中存在的陷阱以及你的避坑方式。在大年初三，一起送走这些“穷鬼”吧！【参与方式】转发本贴，并在评论区分享一下股票投资过程中存在的陷阱以及你的避坑方式同时留言“恭喜发财，送走穷鬼”。 今年穷鬼就会远离你，一年都会顺顺利利发发发哦！【活动时间】2024年2月12日 - 2024年2月18日【活动奖励】所有参与评论的虎友都将获得10虎币💰💰💰。人气奖：在评论区得到最多点赞的朋友将获得10美元代金券一个幸运奖：我们还会从评论区随机选出5位虎友，每位赠予5美元代金券 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","listText":"大年初三也叫“穷鬼日”，这天的主题是“送穷鬼”，就是把贫穷和霉运都送走。在初三，家家户户都会拿起扫把，把年初一、初二房前屋后堆满的爆竹屑、烟头和糖果纸等垃圾，一并彻底地清扫出去。在炒股中，我们同样也会遇到“穷鬼”，比如各种各样的投资陷阱。那我们要如何避免他们呢？以下是几个避坑方法，你有在投资中使用过吗？多元化投资组合，避免把鸡蛋都放在一个篮子里，降低整体风险。了解你自己，设立明确的投资目标，包括风险承受能力。交易上头了要设定冷静期，防止过度交易。虎友们，让我们一起分享股票投资过程中存在的陷阱以及你的避坑方式。在大年初三，一起送走这些“穷鬼”吧！【参与方式】转发本贴，并在评论区分享一下股票投资过程中存在的陷阱以及你的避坑方式同时留言“恭喜发财，送走穷鬼”。 今年穷鬼就会远离你，一年都会顺顺利利发发发哦！【活动时间】2024年2月12日 - 2024年2月18日【活动奖励】所有参与评论的虎友都将获得10虎币💰💰💰。人气奖：在评论区得到最多点赞的朋友将获得10美元代金券一个幸运奖：我们还会从评论区随机选出5位虎友，每位赠予5美元代金券 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","text":"大年初三也叫“穷鬼日”，这天的主题是“送穷鬼”，就是把贫穷和霉运都送走。在初三，家家户户都会拿起扫把，把年初一、初二房前屋后堆满的爆竹屑、烟头和糖果纸等垃圾，一并彻底地清扫出去。在炒股中，我们同样也会遇到“穷鬼”，比如各种各样的投资陷阱。那我们要如何避免他们呢？以下是几个避坑方法，你有在投资中使用过吗？多元化投资组合，避免把鸡蛋都放在一个篮子里，降低整体风险。了解你自己，设立明确的投资目标，包括风险承受能力。交易上头了要设定冷静期，防止过度交易。虎友们，让我们一起分享股票投资过程中存在的陷阱以及你的避坑方式。在大年初三，一起送走这些“穷鬼”吧！【参与方式】转发本贴，并在评论区分享一下股票投资过程中存在的陷阱以及你的避坑方式同时留言“恭喜发财，送走穷鬼”。 今年穷鬼就会远离你，一年都会顺顺利利发发发哦！【活动时间】2024年2月12日 - 2024年2月18日【活动奖励】所有参与评论的虎友都将获得10虎币💰💰💰。人气奖：在评论区得到最多点赞的朋友将获得10美元代金券一个幸运奖：我们还会从评论区随机选出5位虎友，每位赠予5美元代金券 $老虎证券(TIGR)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad0ccdc47f4d06f9cf9a9161e7fca06f","width":"1080","height":"1080"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/273117567549456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":257093549379768,"gmtCreate":1703800525121,"gmtModify":1703800526647,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"看了几乎一边倒的评论，我更坚定了。","listText":"看了几乎一边倒的评论，我更坚定了。","text":"看了几乎一边倒的评论，我更坚定了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/257093549379768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":222410713374768,"gmtCreate":1695273736800,"gmtModify":1695274712061,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"蔚来这是强撸啊，可是强撸飞灰湮灭啊！ 等下看看手机是啥情况","listText":"蔚来这是强撸啊，可是强撸飞灰湮灭啊！ 等下看看手机是啥情况","text":"蔚来这是强撸啊，可是强撸飞灰湮灭啊！ 等下看看手机是啥情况","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/222410713374768","repostId":"1196669385","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":220170009702432,"gmtCreate":1694773646069,"gmtModify":1694773647602,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"双向印花税，还加税，就是昏招。","listText":"双向印花税，还加税，就是昏招。","text":"双向印花税，还加税，就是昏招。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/220170009702432","repostId":"1146081967","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":197017949421608,"gmtCreate":1689119921696,"gmtModify":1689119922873,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06683\">$巨星传奇(06683)$&nbsp;</a> 杰伦概念股，必得关注","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06683\">$巨星传奇(06683)$&nbsp;</a> 杰伦概念股，必得关注","text":"$巨星传奇(06683)$ 杰伦概念股，必得关注","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197017949421608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626776031,"gmtCreate":1674960493123,"gmtModify":1674960496570,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"做手机门槛这么低啊","listText":"做手机门槛这么低啊","text":"做手机门槛这么低啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626776031","repostId":"2307264681","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2966,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":628267575,"gmtCreate":1673274725497,"gmtModify":1673274727516,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628267575","repostId":"628293407","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":628293407,"gmtCreate":1673251821909,"gmtModify":1673252289143,"author":{"id":"3557463925109250","authorId":"3557463925109250","name":"夜行美股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27b0b98fb2faa5008e594953016a3f66","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557463925109250","authorIdStr":"3557463925109250"},"themes":[],"title":"夜行个人复盘笔记 20230109","htmlText":"\n \n \n  视频里加了底部股票提醒进度条， 想看哪支票直接拉到那个位置就可以了， 欢迎关注，转发~ .IXIC、YINN、IQ、TSLA、AAPL、SOXL、TCOM、TOUR、HUYA、BZ\n \n","listText":"视频里加了底部股票提醒进度条， 想看哪支票直接拉到那个位置就可以了， 欢迎关注，转发~ .IXIC、YINN、IQ、TSLA、AAPL、SOXL、TCOM、TOUR、HUYA、BZ","text":"视频里加了底部股票提醒进度条， 想看哪支票直接拉到那个位置就可以了， 欢迎关注，转发~ .IXIC、YINN、IQ、TSLA、AAPL、SOXL、TCOM、TOUR、HUYA、BZ","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1af49bf0b52de6b3433f88ea5f3cd666","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628293407","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"d8bf7f5d358948d3bf7f1b9b6ace81c7","tweetId":"628293407","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/21ac8e1d243791578363412968/szBEAJhDftYA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1af49bf0b52de6b3433f88ea5f3cd666"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":623271813,"gmtCreate":1671491402932,"gmtModify":1671491405199,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我看好港股市场和消费及资源板块，另外地产也是复苏的快捷键。这就如同海啸，总是突然退朝，然后浪头就过来了","listText":"我看好港股市场和消费及资源板块，另外地产也是复苏的快捷键。这就如同海啸，总是突然退朝，然后浪头就过来了","text":"我看好港股市场和消费及资源板块，另外地产也是复苏的快捷键。这就如同海啸，总是突然退朝，然后浪头就过来了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/623271813","repostId":"623219757","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":623219757,"gmtCreate":1671438884480,"gmtModify":1744960871853,"author":{"id":"4125646752954172","authorId":"4125646752954172","name":"小虎资管","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8da3f07459c2d29a0886a158ed1bedf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4125646752954172","authorIdStr":"4125646752954172"},"themes":[],"title":"老虎独家|2023年投资主线的演变","htmlText":"高通胀环境下美联储超预期的货币政策紧缩，以及逆全球化趋势带来的以安全为核心的产业链重构，组成了2022年的投资主线。进入2023年，这两条主线的演变结合各大经济体的经济周期与产业发展，将形成新的投资逻辑与机会。 1.演变一：从经济周期看各大经济体 2000年以来，全球化使得“地球村”各国经济周期趋同。但这次疫情以来，逆全球化、地缘政治冲突和区域防疫保护等众多因素，使得国家间的经济活动、政策以及复苏进程形成了割裂，过去的经济周期同步性遭受冲击。 来源：彭博，老虎国际 欧美节奏是比较相近的，疫情后的大水漫灌，不仅带来了复苏，还带来了通胀。因此在2022年经济增速放缓后，通胀的高企将欧洲和美国双双带入了过热期，随后滑落到了滞胀期。不过俄乌冲突给欧元区的巨大冲击，使其通胀和经济压力比美国更大。因此当前欧洲通胀率高于美国，而预期通胀及实际GDP负增长，意味着市场认为欧元区2023年大概率步入衰退。美国相对欧元区经济韧性更强，明年存在软着陆的可能，但从周期来看也是朝着衰退的方向行进。 中国与欧美走出了完全不一样的周期。国内这两年一直维持着较低的CPI，今年主要是由于疫情反复导致复苏进程受阻，即使货币政策已经宽松，经济周期也被固定在衰退阶段，与欧美从过热到滞胀的周期完全错开。而到了明年，随着重新开放，经济周期上大概率会朝着复苏或过热阶段迈进。 不同的经济现状、地缘冲突、保护主义抬头……各国经济现状不尽相同，而去年的主线将会得到延续与演变，并将致使各国在2023年朝着不同方向发展。 1.1美国：通胀？衰退？ 来源：老虎国际 根据我们基于多个经济增长与通胀预期指标独家构建的美国经济周期模型，美国自今年Q1以来进入滞胀期，而经济数据一致预期则指向明年美国会进入衰退期。不过，美联储的货币政策动向，显然会在资金成本预期上直接影响美国进入衰退期的速度与程度。 在连续四次加息75个基点之后，美联储主席","listText":"高通胀环境下美联储超预期的货币政策紧缩，以及逆全球化趋势带来的以安全为核心的产业链重构，组成了2022年的投资主线。进入2023年，这两条主线的演变结合各大经济体的经济周期与产业发展，将形成新的投资逻辑与机会。 1.演变一：从经济周期看各大经济体 2000年以来，全球化使得“地球村”各国经济周期趋同。但这次疫情以来，逆全球化、地缘政治冲突和区域防疫保护等众多因素，使得国家间的经济活动、政策以及复苏进程形成了割裂，过去的经济周期同步性遭受冲击。 来源：彭博，老虎国际 欧美节奏是比较相近的，疫情后的大水漫灌，不仅带来了复苏，还带来了通胀。因此在2022年经济增速放缓后，通胀的高企将欧洲和美国双双带入了过热期，随后滑落到了滞胀期。不过俄乌冲突给欧元区的巨大冲击，使其通胀和经济压力比美国更大。因此当前欧洲通胀率高于美国，而预期通胀及实际GDP负增长，意味着市场认为欧元区2023年大概率步入衰退。美国相对欧元区经济韧性更强，明年存在软着陆的可能，但从周期来看也是朝着衰退的方向行进。 中国与欧美走出了完全不一样的周期。国内这两年一直维持着较低的CPI，今年主要是由于疫情反复导致复苏进程受阻，即使货币政策已经宽松，经济周期也被固定在衰退阶段，与欧美从过热到滞胀的周期完全错开。而到了明年，随着重新开放，经济周期上大概率会朝着复苏或过热阶段迈进。 不同的经济现状、地缘冲突、保护主义抬头……各国经济现状不尽相同，而去年的主线将会得到延续与演变，并将致使各国在2023年朝着不同方向发展。 1.1美国：通胀？衰退？ 来源：老虎国际 根据我们基于多个经济增长与通胀预期指标独家构建的美国经济周期模型，美国自今年Q1以来进入滞胀期，而经济数据一致预期则指向明年美国会进入衰退期。不过，美联储的货币政策动向，显然会在资金成本预期上直接影响美国进入衰退期的速度与程度。 在连续四次加息75个基点之后，美联储主席","text":"高通胀环境下美联储超预期的货币政策紧缩，以及逆全球化趋势带来的以安全为核心的产业链重构，组成了2022年的投资主线。进入2023年，这两条主线的演变结合各大经济体的经济周期与产业发展，将形成新的投资逻辑与机会。 1.演变一：从经济周期看各大经济体 2000年以来，全球化使得“地球村”各国经济周期趋同。但这次疫情以来，逆全球化、地缘政治冲突和区域防疫保护等众多因素，使得国家间的经济活动、政策以及复苏进程形成了割裂，过去的经济周期同步性遭受冲击。 来源：彭博，老虎国际 欧美节奏是比较相近的，疫情后的大水漫灌，不仅带来了复苏，还带来了通胀。因此在2022年经济增速放缓后，通胀的高企将欧洲和美国双双带入了过热期，随后滑落到了滞胀期。不过俄乌冲突给欧元区的巨大冲击，使其通胀和经济压力比美国更大。因此当前欧洲通胀率高于美国，而预期通胀及实际GDP负增长，意味着市场认为欧元区2023年大概率步入衰退。美国相对欧元区经济韧性更强，明年存在软着陆的可能，但从周期来看也是朝着衰退的方向行进。 中国与欧美走出了完全不一样的周期。国内这两年一直维持着较低的CPI，今年主要是由于疫情反复导致复苏进程受阻，即使货币政策已经宽松，经济周期也被固定在衰退阶段，与欧美从过热到滞胀的周期完全错开。而到了明年，随着重新开放，经济周期上大概率会朝着复苏或过热阶段迈进。 不同的经济现状、地缘冲突、保护主义抬头……各国经济现状不尽相同，而去年的主线将会得到延续与演变，并将致使各国在2023年朝着不同方向发展。 1.1美国：通胀？衰退？ 来源：老虎国际 根据我们基于多个经济增长与通胀预期指标独家构建的美国经济周期模型，美国自今年Q1以来进入滞胀期，而经济数据一致预期则指向明年美国会进入衰退期。不过，美联储的货币政策动向，显然会在资金成本预期上直接影响美国进入衰退期的速度与程度。 在连续四次加息75个基点之后，美联储主席","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66a8671695a944520f10e23ddcbeddde","width":"632","height":"224"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76cb71ff999dc49bb65c542e5a394146","width":"632","height":"316"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/026391c3de3384cd8cca04d0d032a9d9","width":"632","height":"203"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/623219757","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":38,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":623822685,"gmtCreate":1671202259647,"gmtModify":1671202261457,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/623822685","repostId":"623861555","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":623861555,"gmtCreate":1671194068478,"gmtModify":1744960871652,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"21347731130544","authorIdStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"2023年，机构看好哪些港股？","htmlText":"看到一篇平安证券关于2023年港股预测的研报，逻辑缜密，值得学习。 首先，分析师对2022年港股的走势进行复盘，一个令人震惊的事实是恒生指数年内跌幅16.87%，小于纳斯达克的30.9%： 虽然在主要发达经济体中，恒生指数的跌幅算是大的，但英法德等国家的股市主要是old money，以金融、制造业为主，俗称价值股。而恒指和纳斯达克则以互联网等成长股为主，受美联储加息影响较大。 在历年港股走势中，恒指主要受内地经济、美元流动性和中美关系影响，内地经济决定港股盈利、美元流动性决定利率以及估值水平、中美关系影响港股的风险偏好环境，在过去的12年中，三个因子中有任意两个或两个以上的因子偏向正面则港股全年上涨，在这三个因子中任意两个或两个以上偏向负面则港股全年呈现下跌。 2022年，内地经济受地产行业下行、疫情肆虐消费承压、出口端海外需求减弱影响，PMI指数一直在景气分界线附近震荡。 美元流动性方面，受40年以来最严重的通货膨胀困扰，美联储不断加息，对全球资产价格产生压力。 中美关系方面，中概股审计监管风波、佩洛西窜台、《通胀削减法案》和《芯片技术法案》出台，在金融、科技和地缘政治上中美冲突加剧。 三因素叠加之下，港股自2021年2月中旬至2022年10月底的持续下跌时长已有20余月，持续时间超过了08年次贷危机以来的历次下跌周期。从下跌幅度来看，本轮港股下跌的最大幅度达到了53.19%，超过了2011年欧债危机、2015年A股股灾以及2018年中美贸易摩擦叠加内地“去杠杆”所带来的下跌周期，仅次于2008年次贷危机的那一轮下跌周期。 而展望2023年，三因素都有望迎来改善。 内地经济方面，疫情防控优化、地产扶持三支箭、《扩大内需战略规划纲要(2022-2035年)》出台，内地经济在多重政策支持下有望修复。 美元流动性方面，10月和11月美国CPI数据低于预期增强了全球市场对美国通胀","listText":"看到一篇平安证券关于2023年港股预测的研报，逻辑缜密，值得学习。 首先，分析师对2022年港股的走势进行复盘，一个令人震惊的事实是恒生指数年内跌幅16.87%，小于纳斯达克的30.9%： 虽然在主要发达经济体中，恒生指数的跌幅算是大的，但英法德等国家的股市主要是old money，以金融、制造业为主，俗称价值股。而恒指和纳斯达克则以互联网等成长股为主，受美联储加息影响较大。 在历年港股走势中，恒指主要受内地经济、美元流动性和中美关系影响，内地经济决定港股盈利、美元流动性决定利率以及估值水平、中美关系影响港股的风险偏好环境，在过去的12年中，三个因子中有任意两个或两个以上的因子偏向正面则港股全年上涨，在这三个因子中任意两个或两个以上偏向负面则港股全年呈现下跌。 2022年，内地经济受地产行业下行、疫情肆虐消费承压、出口端海外需求减弱影响，PMI指数一直在景气分界线附近震荡。 美元流动性方面，受40年以来最严重的通货膨胀困扰，美联储不断加息，对全球资产价格产生压力。 中美关系方面，中概股审计监管风波、佩洛西窜台、《通胀削减法案》和《芯片技术法案》出台，在金融、科技和地缘政治上中美冲突加剧。 三因素叠加之下，港股自2021年2月中旬至2022年10月底的持续下跌时长已有20余月，持续时间超过了08年次贷危机以来的历次下跌周期。从下跌幅度来看，本轮港股下跌的最大幅度达到了53.19%，超过了2011年欧债危机、2015年A股股灾以及2018年中美贸易摩擦叠加内地“去杠杆”所带来的下跌周期，仅次于2008年次贷危机的那一轮下跌周期。 而展望2023年，三因素都有望迎来改善。 内地经济方面，疫情防控优化、地产扶持三支箭、《扩大内需战略规划纲要(2022-2035年)》出台，内地经济在多重政策支持下有望修复。 美元流动性方面，10月和11月美国CPI数据低于预期增强了全球市场对美国通胀","text":"看到一篇平安证券关于2023年港股预测的研报，逻辑缜密，值得学习。 首先，分析师对2022年港股的走势进行复盘，一个令人震惊的事实是恒生指数年内跌幅16.87%，小于纳斯达克的30.9%： 虽然在主要发达经济体中，恒生指数的跌幅算是大的，但英法德等国家的股市主要是old money，以金融、制造业为主，俗称价值股。而恒指和纳斯达克则以互联网等成长股为主，受美联储加息影响较大。 在历年港股走势中，恒指主要受内地经济、美元流动性和中美关系影响，内地经济决定港股盈利、美元流动性决定利率以及估值水平、中美关系影响港股的风险偏好环境，在过去的12年中，三个因子中有任意两个或两个以上的因子偏向正面则港股全年上涨，在这三个因子中任意两个或两个以上偏向负面则港股全年呈现下跌。 2022年，内地经济受地产行业下行、疫情肆虐消费承压、出口端海外需求减弱影响，PMI指数一直在景气分界线附近震荡。 美元流动性方面，受40年以来最严重的通货膨胀困扰，美联储不断加息，对全球资产价格产生压力。 中美关系方面，中概股审计监管风波、佩洛西窜台、《通胀削减法案》和《芯片技术法案》出台，在金融、科技和地缘政治上中美冲突加剧。 三因素叠加之下，港股自2021年2月中旬至2022年10月底的持续下跌时长已有20余月，持续时间超过了08年次贷危机以来的历次下跌周期。从下跌幅度来看，本轮港股下跌的最大幅度达到了53.19%，超过了2011年欧债危机、2015年A股股灾以及2018年中美贸易摩擦叠加内地“去杠杆”所带来的下跌周期，仅次于2008年次贷危机的那一轮下跌周期。 而展望2023年，三因素都有望迎来改善。 内地经济方面，疫情防控优化、地产扶持三支箭、《扩大内需战略规划纲要(2022-2035年)》出台，内地经济在多重政策支持下有望修复。 美元流动性方面，10月和11月美国CPI数据低于预期增强了全球市场对美国通胀","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f90d65881ea1c0fdce9b8ddfc0cdea7e","width":"632","height":"338"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0d6a4d06d05d8bfdefcf2721ac4dc63","width":"632","height":"272"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc78f2814580e7acdba631cb5b3613a9","width":"632","height":"253"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/623861555","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":620951502,"gmtCreate":1669298175207,"gmtModify":1669298176947,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"真是路边社消息","listText":"真是路边社消息","text":"真是路边社消息","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/620951502","repostId":"1161333580","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":669161620,"gmtCreate":1662159334561,"gmtModify":1662159335411,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"继续加注而已，没到翻拍的时候。","listText":"继续加注而已，没到翻拍的时候。","text":"继续加注而已，没到翻拍的时候。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/669161620","repostId":"1164330592","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":616846223,"gmtCreate":1651711928556,"gmtModify":1651711928556,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yalla","listText":"yalla","text":"yalla","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/616846223","repostId":"2233832396","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1783,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":940067985,"gmtCreate":1593612083447,"gmtModify":1704202571962,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"title":"我2020年上半年投资大复盘","htmlText":"上半年收益率52.55%上半年，先后投资了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a>&nbsp;，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SDGR\">$Schrodinger Inc.(SDGR)$</a>&nbsp;，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MGM\">$美高梅(MGM)$</a>&nbsp;,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$</a>&nbsp;.。其中最为遗憾的薛定谔，没有按照计划坚持持股，以44元的成本满仓，如果拿到现在已经翻倍了。这个企业我是强烈看好，就是对他操盘的风格不太适应。眼看着美股的大幅下跌，那么多股票都杀到骨头了，竟然早早的放弃了去见便宜。没想到是丢了西瓜捡芝麻。&nbsp;最后一票卖出是在85元，而现在已经是95元了。回想上半年，最大的心得感悟就是，投资真的是长跑，只要公司优质，时间反而是朋友。看着虎友们追逐期权，做空<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$</a>&nbsp;、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟谁学(GSX)$</a>&nbsp;，心里真的也是很痒。但是，我的教训是我不适合做期权和空头。初入老虎时，100元以下买的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>&nbsp;、","listText":"上半年收益率52.55%上半年，先后投资了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a>&nbsp;，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SDGR\">$Schrodinger Inc.(SDGR)$</a>&nbsp;，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MGM\">$美高梅(MGM)$</a>&nbsp;,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$</a>&nbsp;.。其中最为遗憾的薛定谔，没有按照计划坚持持股，以44元的成本满仓，如果拿到现在已经翻倍了。这个企业我是强烈看好，就是对他操盘的风格不太适应。眼看着美股的大幅下跌，那么多股票都杀到骨头了，竟然早早的放弃了去见便宜。没想到是丢了西瓜捡芝麻。&nbsp;最后一票卖出是在85元，而现在已经是95元了。回想上半年，最大的心得感悟就是，投资真的是长跑，只要公司优质，时间反而是朋友。看着虎友们追逐期权，做空<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$</a>&nbsp;、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟谁学(GSX)$</a>&nbsp;，心里真的也是很痒。但是，我的教训是我不适合做期权和空头。初入老虎时，100元以下买的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>&nbsp;、","text":"上半年收益率52.55%上半年，先后投资了$美光科技(MU)$ ，$Schrodinger Inc.(SDGR)$ ，$美高梅(MGM)$ ,$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$ .。其中最为遗憾的薛定谔，没有按照计划坚持持股，以44元的成本满仓，如果拿到现在已经翻倍了。这个企业我是强烈看好，就是对他操盘的风格不太适应。眼看着美股的大幅下跌，那么多股票都杀到骨头了，竟然早早的放弃了去见便宜。没想到是丢了西瓜捡芝麻。 最后一票卖出是在85元，而现在已经是95元了。回想上半年，最大的心得感悟就是，投资真的是长跑，只要公司优质，时间反而是朋友。看着虎友们追逐期权，做空$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$ 、$跟谁学(GSX)$ ，心里真的也是很痒。但是，我的教训是我不适合做期权和空头。初入老虎时，100元以下买的$苹果(AAPL)$ 、","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a37dd7ec1a1b49d0516fdb9348ab64a0","width":"688","height":"1489"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/940067985","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":954738066,"gmtCreate":1593038289855,"gmtModify":1704201058862,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/API\">$声网(API)$</a>考虑了几天，打了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/API\">$声网(API)$</a>考虑了几天，打了","text":"$声网(API)$考虑了几天，打了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/954738066","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3471039804232802","authorId":"3471039804232802","name":"米格21","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3471039804232802","authorIdStr":"3471039804232802"},"content":"这股长期看不确定 但是首日应该会涨一点","text":"这股长期看不确定 但是首日应该会涨一点","html":"这股长期看不确定 但是首日应该会涨一点"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":623271813,"gmtCreate":1671491402932,"gmtModify":1671491405199,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我看好港股市场和消费及资源板块，另外地产也是复苏的快捷键。这就如同海啸，总是突然退朝，然后浪头就过来了","listText":"我看好港股市场和消费及资源板块，另外地产也是复苏的快捷键。这就如同海啸，总是突然退朝，然后浪头就过来了","text":"我看好港股市场和消费及资源板块，另外地产也是复苏的快捷键。这就如同海啸，总是突然退朝，然后浪头就过来了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/623271813","repostId":"623219757","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":623219757,"gmtCreate":1671438884480,"gmtModify":1744960871853,"author":{"id":"4125646752954172","authorId":"4125646752954172","name":"小虎资管","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8da3f07459c2d29a0886a158ed1bedf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4125646752954172","authorIdStr":"4125646752954172"},"themes":[],"title":"老虎独家|2023年投资主线的演变","htmlText":"高通胀环境下美联储超预期的货币政策紧缩，以及逆全球化趋势带来的以安全为核心的产业链重构，组成了2022年的投资主线。进入2023年，这两条主线的演变结合各大经济体的经济周期与产业发展，将形成新的投资逻辑与机会。 1.演变一：从经济周期看各大经济体 2000年以来，全球化使得“地球村”各国经济周期趋同。但这次疫情以来，逆全球化、地缘政治冲突和区域防疫保护等众多因素，使得国家间的经济活动、政策以及复苏进程形成了割裂，过去的经济周期同步性遭受冲击。 来源：彭博，老虎国际 欧美节奏是比较相近的，疫情后的大水漫灌，不仅带来了复苏，还带来了通胀。因此在2022年经济增速放缓后，通胀的高企将欧洲和美国双双带入了过热期，随后滑落到了滞胀期。不过俄乌冲突给欧元区的巨大冲击，使其通胀和经济压力比美国更大。因此当前欧洲通胀率高于美国，而预期通胀及实际GDP负增长，意味着市场认为欧元区2023年大概率步入衰退。美国相对欧元区经济韧性更强，明年存在软着陆的可能，但从周期来看也是朝着衰退的方向行进。 中国与欧美走出了完全不一样的周期。国内这两年一直维持着较低的CPI，今年主要是由于疫情反复导致复苏进程受阻，即使货币政策已经宽松，经济周期也被固定在衰退阶段，与欧美从过热到滞胀的周期完全错开。而到了明年，随着重新开放，经济周期上大概率会朝着复苏或过热阶段迈进。 不同的经济现状、地缘冲突、保护主义抬头……各国经济现状不尽相同，而去年的主线将会得到延续与演变，并将致使各国在2023年朝着不同方向发展。 1.1美国：通胀？衰退？ 来源：老虎国际 根据我们基于多个经济增长与通胀预期指标独家构建的美国经济周期模型，美国自今年Q1以来进入滞胀期，而经济数据一致预期则指向明年美国会进入衰退期。不过，美联储的货币政策动向，显然会在资金成本预期上直接影响美国进入衰退期的速度与程度。 在连续四次加息75个基点之后，美联储主席","listText":"高通胀环境下美联储超预期的货币政策紧缩，以及逆全球化趋势带来的以安全为核心的产业链重构，组成了2022年的投资主线。进入2023年，这两条主线的演变结合各大经济体的经济周期与产业发展，将形成新的投资逻辑与机会。 1.演变一：从经济周期看各大经济体 2000年以来，全球化使得“地球村”各国经济周期趋同。但这次疫情以来，逆全球化、地缘政治冲突和区域防疫保护等众多因素，使得国家间的经济活动、政策以及复苏进程形成了割裂，过去的经济周期同步性遭受冲击。 来源：彭博，老虎国际 欧美节奏是比较相近的，疫情后的大水漫灌，不仅带来了复苏，还带来了通胀。因此在2022年经济增速放缓后，通胀的高企将欧洲和美国双双带入了过热期，随后滑落到了滞胀期。不过俄乌冲突给欧元区的巨大冲击，使其通胀和经济压力比美国更大。因此当前欧洲通胀率高于美国，而预期通胀及实际GDP负增长，意味着市场认为欧元区2023年大概率步入衰退。美国相对欧元区经济韧性更强，明年存在软着陆的可能，但从周期来看也是朝着衰退的方向行进。 中国与欧美走出了完全不一样的周期。国内这两年一直维持着较低的CPI，今年主要是由于疫情反复导致复苏进程受阻，即使货币政策已经宽松，经济周期也被固定在衰退阶段，与欧美从过热到滞胀的周期完全错开。而到了明年，随着重新开放，经济周期上大概率会朝着复苏或过热阶段迈进。 不同的经济现状、地缘冲突、保护主义抬头……各国经济现状不尽相同，而去年的主线将会得到延续与演变，并将致使各国在2023年朝着不同方向发展。 1.1美国：通胀？衰退？ 来源：老虎国际 根据我们基于多个经济增长与通胀预期指标独家构建的美国经济周期模型，美国自今年Q1以来进入滞胀期，而经济数据一致预期则指向明年美国会进入衰退期。不过，美联储的货币政策动向，显然会在资金成本预期上直接影响美国进入衰退期的速度与程度。 在连续四次加息75个基点之后，美联储主席","text":"高通胀环境下美联储超预期的货币政策紧缩，以及逆全球化趋势带来的以安全为核心的产业链重构，组成了2022年的投资主线。进入2023年，这两条主线的演变结合各大经济体的经济周期与产业发展，将形成新的投资逻辑与机会。 1.演变一：从经济周期看各大经济体 2000年以来，全球化使得“地球村”各国经济周期趋同。但这次疫情以来，逆全球化、地缘政治冲突和区域防疫保护等众多因素，使得国家间的经济活动、政策以及复苏进程形成了割裂，过去的经济周期同步性遭受冲击。 来源：彭博，老虎国际 欧美节奏是比较相近的，疫情后的大水漫灌，不仅带来了复苏，还带来了通胀。因此在2022年经济增速放缓后，通胀的高企将欧洲和美国双双带入了过热期，随后滑落到了滞胀期。不过俄乌冲突给欧元区的巨大冲击，使其通胀和经济压力比美国更大。因此当前欧洲通胀率高于美国，而预期通胀及实际GDP负增长，意味着市场认为欧元区2023年大概率步入衰退。美国相对欧元区经济韧性更强，明年存在软着陆的可能，但从周期来看也是朝着衰退的方向行进。 中国与欧美走出了完全不一样的周期。国内这两年一直维持着较低的CPI，今年主要是由于疫情反复导致复苏进程受阻，即使货币政策已经宽松，经济周期也被固定在衰退阶段，与欧美从过热到滞胀的周期完全错开。而到了明年，随着重新开放，经济周期上大概率会朝着复苏或过热阶段迈进。 不同的经济现状、地缘冲突、保护主义抬头……各国经济现状不尽相同，而去年的主线将会得到延续与演变，并将致使各国在2023年朝着不同方向发展。 1.1美国：通胀？衰退？ 来源：老虎国际 根据我们基于多个经济增长与通胀预期指标独家构建的美国经济周期模型，美国自今年Q1以来进入滞胀期，而经济数据一致预期则指向明年美国会进入衰退期。不过，美联储的货币政策动向，显然会在资金成本预期上直接影响美国进入衰退期的速度与程度。 在连续四次加息75个基点之后，美联储主席","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66a8671695a944520f10e23ddcbeddde","width":"632","height":"224"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76cb71ff999dc49bb65c542e5a394146","width":"632","height":"316"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/026391c3de3384cd8cca04d0d032a9d9","width":"632","height":"203"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/623219757","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":38,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":952754063,"gmtCreate":1592228998652,"gmtModify":1704198374328,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟谁学(GSX)$</a>就问一个问题，在身边见过这公司的广告，学生，老师和课程吗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟谁学(GSX)$</a>就问一个问题，在身边见过这公司的广告，学生，老师和课程吗","text":"$跟谁学(GSX)$就问一个问题，在身边见过这公司的广告，学生，老师和课程吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/952754063","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3546510317765666","authorId":"3546510317765666","name":"淡淡igg","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3546510317765666","authorIdStr":"3546510317765666"},"content":"总有人以为自己所见就是全世界[贱笑]","text":"总有人以为自己所见就是全世界[贱笑]","html":"总有人以为自己所见就是全世界[贱笑]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":940314594,"gmtCreate":1593681093318,"gmtModify":1704202812096,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>有点滑稽了，看好的，7.3进了，现在成本8.3，真是不能折腾啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>有点滑稽了，看好的，7.3进了，现在成本8.3，真是不能折腾啊","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$有点滑稽了，看好的，7.3进了，现在成本8.3，真是不能折腾啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/940314594","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3551069398115295","authorId":"3551069398115295","name":"Sword57","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a692d2c4847ba4e01a32b549f019a77c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3551069398115295","authorIdStr":"3551069398115295"},"content":"怎么会折腾成8.3的？","text":"怎么会折腾成8.3的？","html":"怎么会折腾成8.3的？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":949040949,"gmtCreate":1594109737081,"gmtModify":1704203942956,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLCT\">$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$</a>思考了很久，昨天夜里全仓打了[害羞]，新基建概念","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLCT\">$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$</a>思考了很久，昨天夜里全仓打了[害羞]，新基建概念","text":"$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$思考了很久，昨天夜里全仓打了[害羞]，新基建概念","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/949040949","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":162986661,"gmtCreate":1624031613953,"gmtModify":1624031613953,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">$爱回收(RERE)$</a>其实不用等，不会暴涨的。周一再卖不迟","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">$爱回收(RERE)$</a>其实不用等，不会暴涨的。周一再卖不迟","text":"$爱回收(RERE)$其实不用等，不会暴涨的。周一再卖不迟","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162986661","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":88515,"gmtCreate":1503498038040,"gmtModify":1704880540981,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"title":"我一点也高兴不起来","htmlText":"$京东(JD)$#老虎美股节# 因为，不知道啥时候平仓","listText":"$京东(JD)$#老虎美股节# 因为，不知道啥时候平仓","text":"$京东(JD)$#老虎美股节# 因为，不知道啥时候平仓","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/f37852bed515aeb7208bcd3000c1d72e"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/88515","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1899,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":957252033,"gmtCreate":1593473803322,"gmtModify":1704202051559,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01477\">$欧康维视生物-B(01477)$</a>请教先知，为何老虎都港股打新融资额度真是不够，原因为何？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01477\">$欧康维视生物-B(01477)$</a>请教先知，为何老虎都港股打新融资额度真是不够，原因为何？","text":"$欧康维视生物-B(01477)$请教先知，为何老虎都港股打新融资额度真是不够，原因为何？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/957252033","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3520556575535943","authorId":"3520556575535943","name":"C.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1717ebbf0c1f2fa93cd87af24695069e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3520556575535943","authorIdStr":"3520556575535943"},"content":"和银行合作不够多呗 看其他香港券商 有本地银行 老虎在北京 又是互联网券商 资源不多啊","text":"和银行合作不够多呗 看其他香港券商 有本地银行 老虎在北京 又是互联网券商 资源不多啊","html":"和银行合作不够多呗 看其他香港券商 有本地银行 老虎在北京 又是互联网券商 资源不多啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":957692914,"gmtCreate":1593414818138,"gmtModify":1704201840839,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01477\">$欧康维视生物-B(01477)$</a>真是秒没，看来港股打新不是俺们的菜了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01477\">$欧康维视生物-B(01477)$</a>真是秒没，看来港股打新不是俺们的菜了","text":"$欧康维视生物-B(01477)$真是秒没，看来港股打新不是俺们的菜了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/957692914","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":952395334,"gmtCreate":1591869369528,"gmtModify":1704197325780,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a>本来开盘挂在138元，后来134.2元卖了。首日没有破发，再有绿鞋护航","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a>本来开盘挂在138元，后来134.2元卖了。首日没有破发，再有绿鞋护航","text":"$网易-S(09999)$本来开盘挂在138元，后来134.2元卖了。首日没有破发，再有绿鞋护航","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/952395334","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3521581119135400","authorId":"3521581119135400","name":"taigefin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99d8c3353980afcbed9e741bd489a9e2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3521581119135400","authorIdStr":"3521581119135400"},"content":"网易都被大家高估了事上网易美股也才六百亿不到","text":"网易都被大家高估了事上网易美股也才六百亿不到","html":"网易都被大家高估了事上网易美股也才六百亿不到"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":956464770,"gmtCreate":1591772712490,"gmtModify":1704196829040,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a>中一个，手续费有点高，223元。怨不得港交所股票飙呢！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a>中一个，手续费有点高，223元。怨不得港交所股票飙呢！","text":"$网易-S(09999)$中一个，手续费有点高，223元。怨不得港交所股票飙呢！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/956464770","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1857,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3515711245827749","authorId":"3515711245827749","name":"悟空悟多","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3515711245827749","authorIdStr":"3515711245827749"},"content":"哪里看手续费呀？","text":"哪里看手续费呀？","html":"哪里看手续费呀？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":950274381,"gmtCreate":1589431929443,"gmtModify":1704189865902,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09996\">$沛嘉医疗-B(09996)$</a>没中奖 坑了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09996\">$沛嘉医疗-B(09996)$</a>没中奖 坑了","text":"$沛嘉医疗-B(09996)$没中奖 坑了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/950274381","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3494547644745809","authorId":"3494547644745809","name":"大涨一个点溜了溜了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa3869ef351b299d31ea888ff3cfa272","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3494547644745809","authorIdStr":"3494547644745809"},"content":"显示未中签？我还没显示啊","text":"显示未中签？我还没显示啊","html":"显示未中签？我还没显示啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":217975,"gmtCreate":1531405877493,"gmtModify":1704896667552,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$为何港币账户的资金零头不见了？ 就是申购小米结束后，用美元购买港币还清融资后剩余的几块港币，大约4元多。今天不见了。请教啊@小虎通知","listText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$为何港币账户的资金零头不见了？ 就是申购小米结束后，用美元购买港币还清融资后剩余的几块港币，大约4元多。今天不见了。请教啊@小虎通知","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$为何港币账户的资金零头不见了？ 就是申购小米结束后，用美元购买港币还清融资后剩余的几块港币，大约4元多。今天不见了。请教啊@小虎通知","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/217975","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"content":"附上一句，小米打新抽奖的16.8元也没到账啊","text":"附上一句，小米打新抽奖的16.8元也没到账啊","html":"附上一句，小米打新抽奖的16.8元也没到账啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":345463562,"gmtCreate":1618330987056,"gmtModify":1618330987056,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>回购的直观感受，小米造车这100已启动资金，要从资本市场出。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>回购的直观感受，小米造车这100已启动资金，要从资本市场出。","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$回购的直观感受，小米造车这100已启动资金，要从资本市场出。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/345463562","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2882,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3533381024872340","authorId":"3533381024872340","name":"Edward_3450","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8d9db7957a62eac34e866ec66d186f1","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3533381024872340","authorIdStr":"3533381024872340"},"content":"大股东股票套现，然后再投资全资子公司造车？","text":"大股东股票套现，然后再投资全资子公司造车？","html":"大股东股票套现，然后再投资全资子公司造车？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":952018031,"gmtCreate":1591802801023,"gmtModify":1704197073905,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a>汝今能持否？[可爱]","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a>汝今能持否？[可爱]","text":"$网易-S(09999)$汝今能持否？[可爱]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a55ccc8dd713b711960c3f09fbe1db39","width":"750","height":"1334"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/952018031","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547510298086794","authorId":"3547510298086794","name":"美股乏力","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98a1b7665053dba3da581044ca07a8b5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3547510298086794","authorIdStr":"3547510298086794"},"content":"长期拥有？","text":"长期拥有？","html":"长期拥有？"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":332713164,"gmtCreate":1610463330558,"gmtModify":1703744533113,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KUKE\">$库客音乐(KUKE)$</a>第三次熔断竟然升级向下","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KUKE\">$库客音乐(KUKE)$</a>第三次熔断竟然升级向下","text":"$库客音乐(KUKE)$第三次熔断竟然升级向下","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/332713164","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1979,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":390260195,"gmtCreate":1605799338917,"gmtModify":1703839734908,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YSG\">$逸仙电商(YSG)$</a>没中签留念","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YSG\">$逸仙电商(YSG)$</a>没中签留念","text":"$逸仙电商(YSG)$没中签留念","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52c57a3ef6da8756d40dcd915fa69499","width":"750","height":"1334"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/390260195","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3551953091112256","authorId":"3551953091112256","name":"Janicepam","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe7ee57547db5fe4f6531c09c2a35ca7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3551953091112256","authorIdStr":"3551953091112256"},"content":"你公布了吗？我也是这个界面的呀 写着待公布","text":"你公布了吗？我也是这个界面的呀 写着待公布","html":"你公布了吗？我也是这个界面的呀 写着待公布"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":948091454,"gmtCreate":1595076795678,"gmtModify":1704207924210,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟谁学(GSX)$</a>自从被做空关注到现在，第一次看到了他的广告","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟谁学(GSX)$</a>自从被做空关注到现在，第一次看到了他的广告","text":"$跟谁学(GSX)$自从被做空关注到现在，第一次看到了他的广告","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/948091454","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3551075289452447","authorId":"3551075289452447","name":"yycjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbcf8971d91162de0614181515e5776d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3551075289452447","authorIdStr":"3551075289452447"},"content":"本来忽悠美国佬的，反正美国佬也不知道，那些机构银行评级跟着忽悠只要能挣钱，其它都不管。 结果被国内空军逼得不得不做广告了，哈哈","text":"本来忽悠美国佬的，反正美国佬也不知道，那些机构银行评级跟着忽悠只要能挣钱，其它都不管。 结果被国内空军逼得不得不做广告了，哈哈","html":"本来忽悠美国佬的，反正美国佬也不知道，那些机构银行评级跟着忽悠只要能挣钱，其它都不管。 结果被国内空军逼得不得不做广告了，哈哈"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":87982,"gmtCreate":1503416030196,"gmtModify":1704880477974,"author":{"id":"176683618527696","authorId":"176683618527696","name":"再三婉拒张天爱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5992e2342b64a8c465dfcf6a46437df","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"176683618527696","authorIdStr":"176683618527696"},"themes":[],"title":"持有，不折腾","htmlText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$#老虎美股节# 持有，不折腾","listText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$#老虎美股节# 持有，不折腾","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$#老虎美股节# 持有，不折腾","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/ba8b15908af17cf9841b1379dfe9dd8b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/87982","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}