超级卢卡斯的个人主页 - 老虎社区

超级卢卡斯

超级卢卡斯

美股探索者

IP属地：北京

76关注

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1主题

0勋章

超级卢卡斯

2021-06-28

额

港交所因黑色暴雨警告信号将取消上午时段交易

超级卢卡斯

2021-04-26

$美团-W(03690)$主力要出货的节奏吗？

超级卢卡斯

2021-02-16

$Yalla Group(YALA)$小Yalla加油冲

超级卢卡斯

2021-02-13

$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$有0吗？可以做闺蜜的那种

超级卢卡斯

2021-02-13

PDD的势头很猛啊

抱歉，原内容已删除

超级卢卡斯

2021-02-09

镰刀磨好了

抱歉，原内容已删除

超级卢卡斯

2021-01-24

$宁德时代(300750)$还能买入嘛？在哪个价位适合买入呢大神们

超级卢卡斯

2021-01-24

这个股后续走势怎么样？

超级卢卡斯

2021-01-22

长期看好阿里和蚂蚁

抱歉，原内容已删除

超级卢卡斯

2021-01-08

不是公布ET7嘛布加迪威龙的造型

抱歉，原内容已删除

超级卢卡斯

2020-12-24

跌了就补仓

抱歉，原内容已删除

超级卢卡斯

2020-12-15

日常骂京东你咋还不涨

超级卢卡斯

2020-12-15

是不是入场有点晚了

市场消息：百度与数家车企接洽商谈造车事宜

超级卢卡斯

2020-12-14

日常骂京东你咋还不涨

超级卢卡斯

2020-12-03

京东这是怎么了

超级卢卡斯

2020-11-16

$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$看看人家京东，你给点力

超级卢卡斯

2020-11-14

阿里的赢面还大吗？

抱歉，原内容已删除

超级卢卡斯

2020-11-10

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$可以后续买入今天晚上就看个热闹了

超级卢卡斯

2020-11-10

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$今天晚上打算做空一波有一起的道友吗？

超级卢卡斯

2020-11-03

$Farfetch Ltd(FTCH)$阿里跌了为啥它不跌呢

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n港交所因黑色暴雨警告信号将取消上午时段交易\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-28 09:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>6月28日讯，港交所因黑色暴雨警告信号将取消上午时段交易。</p>\n<p>此前，港交所公告称若早上9点仍不能取消天文台发出的黑色暴雨警告，将取消盘前交易。</p>\n<p>香港交易所：由于天文台发出黑色暴雨警告，证券（包括沪深股通）及衍生产品市场之早上交易时段均会延迟开市。如果上午9点黑色暴雨警告信号仍维持，上午交易将取消。</p>\n<p>上交所：香港联合证券交易所因黑色暴雨暂停交易。沪港通下港股通暂停交易。</p>\n<p>深交所：6月28日，香港联合证券交易所因黑色暴雨暂停交易。根据《深圳证券交易所深港通业务实施办法》，深港通下的港股通暂停交易。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3990c0a20608d23583a9a9f2cfa0ace3\" tg-width=\"999\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>香港黑色暴雨来袭，港股上午休市，交易安排知多少？</b></p>\n<p>6月28日消息，香港天文台在上午8时20分发出之有关黑色暴雨警告信号的特别报告：暴雨警告信号现时为黑色，表示香港广泛地区已录得或预料会有每小时雨量超过70毫米的豪雨，且雨势可能持续。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c65808ce9685f3cd97d48ee260a04e71\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"378\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">截至上午9点，黑色暴雨警告尚未解除，港股早盘交易将延迟开市。如果上午9点以后解除，港股早盘交易将取消。如果11点至11点30分解除，下午1点30开始交易；如果11点30分到12点解除，下午2点开始交易；中午12点后解除，全天休市。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa2358a6b83c103be2c4404bddf61e1a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"296\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">由于台风等天气出现频繁，香港市场已多次因天气因素影响而延迟交易，因此，港交所应对措施也较为完善。</p>\n<p>2020年8月19日，香港股市早盘休市，香港天文台19日上午11时10分改发三号强风信号。港交所随后宣布，下午交易时段将于13：30时开始。</p>\n<p>2017年8月23日，港交所于早间宣布，由于天文台现已发出八号台风信号，证券市场 (包括沪深股通) 及衍生产品市场的上午交易时段会延迟开市。</p>\n<p>2016年10月21日，港交所表示，由于天文台现已发出八号台风信号，证券市场 (包括沪股通) 及衍生产品市场之上午交易时段会延迟开市。</p>\n<p>2016年8月2日，港交所公告显示，八号风球预警仍然有效，证券市场 (包括沪股通) 及衍生产品市场之上午交易时段会延迟开市。</p>\n<p>2014年9月16日，港交所宣布，证券及衍生品市场早上交易时段均会延迟开市，此前香港天文台已针对台风“海鸥”发出八号暴风风球信号。</p>\n<p>2013年，也有数次因为台风和暴雨采取类似的行动。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e574706ced777ba0af741c0072c424","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108579788","content_text":"6月28日讯，港交所因黑色暴雨警告信号将取消上午时段交易。\n此前，港交所公告称若早上9点仍不能取消天文台发出的黑色暴雨警告，将取消盘前交易。\n香港交易所：由于天文台发出黑色暴雨警告，证券（包括沪深股通）及衍生产品市场之早上交易时段均会延迟开市。如果上午9点黑色暴雨警告信号仍维持，上午交易将取消。\n上交所：香港联合证券交易所因黑色暴雨暂停交易。沪港通下港股通暂停交易。\n深交所：6月28日，香港联合证券交易所因黑色暴雨暂停交易。根据《深圳证券交易所深港通业务实施办法》，深港通下的港股通暂停交易。香港黑色暴雨来袭，港股上午休市，交易安排知多少？\n6月28日消息，香港天文台在上午8时20分发出之有关黑色暴雨警告信号的特别报告：暴雨警告信号现时为黑色，表示香港广泛地区已录得或预料会有每小时雨量超过70毫米的豪雨，且雨势可能持续。截至上午9点，黑色暴雨警告尚未解除，港股早盘交易将延迟开市。如果上午9点以后解除，港股早盘交易将取消。如果11点至11点30分解除，下午1点30开始交易；如果11点30分到12点解除，下午2点开始交易；中午12点后解除，全天休市。由于台风等天气出现频繁，香港市场已多次因天气因素影响而延迟交易，因此，港交所应对措施也较为完善。\n2020年8月19日，香港股市早盘休市，香港天文台19日上午11时10分改发三号强风信号。港交所随后宣布，下午交易时段将于13：30时开始。\n2017年8月23日，港交所于早间宣布，由于天文台现已发出八号台风信号，证券市场 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a>看看人家京东，你给点力","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a>看看人家京东，你给点力","text":"$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$看看人家京东，你给点力","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/307114666","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301421058,"gmtCreate":1603724951274,"gmtModify":1703830514849,"author":{"id":"172848913361478","authorId":"172848913361478","name":"超级卢卡斯","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0228050e3142feb86ce5a87488e0820f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"172848913361478","authorIdStr":"172848913361478"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOVX\">$GeoVax Labs Inc(GOVX)$</a>这个股啥情况，开盘涨势很猛，现在又软了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOVX\">$GeoVax Labs Inc(GOVX)$</a>这个股啥情况，开盘涨势很猛，现在又软了。","text":"$GeoVax Labs Inc(GOVX)$这个股啥情况，开盘涨势很猛，现在又软了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301421058","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301420723,"gmtCreate":1603724608162,"gmtModify":1703830511932,"author":{"id":"172848913361478","authorId":"172848913361478","name":"超级卢卡斯","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0228050e3142feb86ce5a87488e0820f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"172848913361478","authorIdStr":"172848913361478"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"义乌小商品的老板已经知道大选结果了","listText":"义乌小商品的老板已经知道大选结果了","text":"义乌小商品的老板已经知道大选结果了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301420723","repostId":"1160787159","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160787159","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1603681501,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160787159?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-10-26 11:05","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"详解：美国大选前一周的关注点和投资策略","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160787159","media":" 中金策略","summary":"大选进入倒计时；民调差距仍显著，提前与邮寄投票激增。","content":"<p><b>i.当前民调差距依然较大，摇摆州有所收窄</b></p><p><b>ii.提前与邮寄投票、整体投票率更高或使选情复杂化</b></p><p><b>iii.关键摇摆州将是此次大选的胜负手。最关键的是佛罗里达</b>（拜登领先1.5%）<b>和得克萨斯</b>（特朗普领先4%）</p><p><b>iv.大选倒计时市场或继续以观望为主</b></p><p><b>美国第三波疫情继续升级且愈演愈烈</b>，上周五单日新增确诊超过8.5万人，已超过第二波高点，创出新高。<b>此次疫情恰逢欧美叠加、且美国财政刺激仍处于僵局，因此与6~7月美国第二波疫情时美国财政刺激发力且欧洲无复发的环境有所不同，需要关注对于情绪的扰动</b>。但死亡率一直处于低位，因此我们预计不会造成复工的全局性逆转和过大冲击。</p><p>上周披露的经济数据显示美国基本面整体依然强劲。此外，<b>10年美债利率快速走高~13bp一度超过0.87%</b>，提振了银行的表现但压制了成长股估值。</p><p><b>焦点讨论：大选进入倒计时；民调差距仍显著，提前与邮寄投票激增</b></p><p>随着上周五第二轮也是最后一轮总统辩论落下帷幕，美国大选进入最后10天倒计时。我们梳理最后一周多时间的关注点，供投资者参考。</p><p><b>i.当前民调差距依然较大，摇摆州有所收窄。</b>根据RCP汇总的最新民调数据，尽管近期有所收敛，但特朗普与拜登的民调差距依然较大，全国民调落后7.9%、博彩赔率落后30%，但关键摇摆州差距缩窄至3.8%。作为对照，在2016年距大选投票日同一时间，希拉里全国民调领先3.8%，<b>而关键州领先3.8%，与当前水平已经持平</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa94df3fe714b7ca6e5aa74250094dfe\" tg-width=\"865\" tg-height=\"560\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f05a523c6e86bf1c4d650dd23e7c0fa\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"551\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef5357fcd357a5174a5ddc580dd457b7\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"745\"></p><p><b>ii.提前与邮寄投票激增、整体投票率更高或使选情复杂化。</b>此次大选涉及到的疫情和种族问题使得两个阵营的对立更加尖锐严重，也进一步导致提前投票、邮寄投票、以及整体投票率可能大幅增加：1）截止上周五，已经有5425万人完成投票，相当于2016年总投票数的39.4%；2）已完成投票中邮寄选票3789万，相当于2016年的27.5%，而总的邮寄选票8606万，占比高达62.5%。要知道2016年，提前投票和邮寄选票的占比才分别为17.2%和5.9%。我们认为这一明显偏高的比例反过来说明今年的投票人数或将明显高于2016年。</p><p><b>这些新现象虽然不能作为一定出现巨大意外的依据，但的确会使得今年大选投票局面变得更为复杂</b>，例如一些关键的摇摆州如佛罗里达的邮寄选票比例明显高于以往。这在如果最终投票日选情异常胶着的情况下，不排除造成一定的分歧和混乱。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2ca96c815104343d956097fead1fe48\" tg-width=\"868\" tg-height=\"694\"></p><p><b>iii.关键摇摆州将是此次大选的胜负手。</b>如我们在此前专题《美国2020大选：现状、演变与影响》中分析，结合目前民调差距，<b>最关键的是佛罗里达</b>（拜登领先1.5%）<b>和得克萨斯</b>（特朗普领先4%）。由于特朗普在普选票上持续落后于拜登（近似于全国民调反映的情况），因此只能通过一些关键摇摆州的较小优势“赢者通吃”选举人票的方式来取得胜利，因此选择很有限。相比之下，拜登由于基本稳拿一些人口大州的普选票（如加州和纽约州），故需要更大的普选票差距来最终锁定胜局（2016年，希拉里普选票赢了300万票，~3%差距，但依然输了选举人票），但选择上比特朗普要多。</p><p>根据WSJ的模拟测算，若拜登赢得佛罗里达，那么特朗普只剩6种方式赢得大选；如果拜登拿下得克萨斯，那特朗普只剩1种方式赢得大选；而如果两者都是拜登获胜，那就基本没有悬念了。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17a142401a8f5d0e13dd22a7a8e2e506\" tg-width=\"863\" tg-height=\"753\"></p><p><b>iv.大选倒计时市场或继续以观望为主。</b>临近大选，我们预计市场或仍以观望为主，等待大选结果最终落地，上周初我们也提示<b>观察到一些风险偏好再度转弱的迹象。</b></p><p>我们在专题报告《美国大选的五种情形推演》中结合特朗普和拜登主张以及国会两院职能差异分析了潜在的政策前景。对市场而言，除非出现总统与国会两院完全对立、甚至短期没有结果的无序等待和混乱，我们认为<b>短期波动并不会改变复苏逐步深化的中期趋势。</b>不论是民调概率较高的民主党横扫还是概率较低的共和党完胜，对市场可能都不是坏事；而继续分裂的国会则使得市场回归原有的基本面渐进修复逻辑。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/514e42c2430e3faef2dbcd3c2eba234a\" tg-width=\"884\" tg-height=\"690\"></p><p><b>市场观察：美国疫情创新高；利率大幅抬升；10月PMI显示美国基本面继续向好</b></p><p>过去一周，海外市场震荡下行，终结了9月底以来的持续反弹，也印证了我们在上周周报中提示风险偏好走弱迹象的观察。美国第三波疫情持续升级、美国大选计入倒计时但财政僵局延续、美债利率快速走高，都可能压制了市场情绪，特别是成长股领跌。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98f940d79df7dd62dda9a6f1c65ae87d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"530\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/200418b1f67f76cb3f842464b00cf375\" tg-width=\"874\" tg-height=\"614\"></p><p><b>美国第三波疫情继续升级且愈演愈烈</b>，上周五单日新增确诊超过8.5万人，已超过第二波高点，创出新高；同时欧洲第二波也在继续升温。由于此次疫情集中较为严重的美国中西部各州都还仍处于复工状态，R0普遍抬升，因此在采取一定防控措施之前，疫情大概率会继续走高。目前疫情对于复工的影响已经有所体现，尤其对于欧洲的出行和餐饮拖累较为明显。不过，值得注意的是，<b>此次疫情恰逢欧美叠加、且美国财政刺激仍处于僵局，因此与6~7月美国第二波疫情时美国财政刺激发力且欧洲无复发的环境有所不同，需要关注对于情绪的扰动</b>。但值得庆幸的是，死亡率一直处于低位，因此我们预计不会造成复工的全局性逆转和过大冲击（《美国第三波（常态化）疫情的可能影响》）。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a094339199c00002dece32898d1ac63\" tg-width=\"1033\" tg-height=\"644\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5641491edd6984e0883b24668416824\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"588\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d6b59a5646fd9384d7a69977cf1975b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"602\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b7f62f5e857cfa60055059b2f37ac05\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"593\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf44b1e508f903ca8181cc8a1a37a777\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"592\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/723936e315523b61ac126081e8744d92\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"593\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e98b2957a1f919dfbe5c81f9dff10be\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"593\"></p><p><b>不过，上周披露的主要经济数据显示美国基本面整体依然强劲。</b>10月Markit制造业PMI继续抬升并创21个月新高、服务业PMI更是升至56%的高位。与此同时，9月房地产新开工和成屋销售也依然维持强劲。相比之下，欧洲10月制造业PMI继续改善，但服务业PMI受疫情影响进一步收缩。盈利方面，目前27%的美股公司披露了三季度业绩，其中83%的公司好于预期，<b>但市场盈利调整情绪继续回落。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afcc7cd77fdcef45de7c9f798f61295d\" tg-width=\"879\" tg-height=\"638\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47a609548083e00a1806f657ad68d9e3\" tg-width=\"880\" tg-height=\"630\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39c5074a56177fb99c599885305802c4\" tg-width=\"880\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ab0bd47c654dea10e8cb1b7913c5c50\" tg-width=\"876\" tg-height=\"635\"></p><p>值得注意的是，受通胀预期和实际利率共同提振，<b>上周10年美债利率快速走高~13bp一度超过0.87%</b>，这可能在一定程度上压制了市场估值特别是成长股估值。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/172d0a0e727ea52fddd8bc4ab2a2b245\" tg-width=\"872\" tg-height=\"682\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fad84b458915b7bdce0abb72f6367ff\" tg-width=\"886\" tg-height=\"629\"></p><p>►<b>资产表现：债&gt;股&gt;大宗；利率抬升，成长落后，美元走弱。</b>过去一周，美元计价下，大类资产排序为债&gt;股&gt;大宗，天然气、巴西与俄罗斯股市、大豆、港股等领先；原油、A股、德国、美元指数、FAAMNG和美国国债落后。本周再次出现风格轮动，成长股整体落后，汽车与零部件、银行、媒体领先，技术硬件、半导体跌幅最大。同时上周10年美债大幅走高~13bp，美元指数因美国疫情升级再度回落。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2856150e5f8af13bc4bf44ae86c8c4ec\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"542\"></p><p>►<b>情绪仓位：VIX回落，put/call比例抬升，美元转空头</b>。VIX本周回落，但put/call比例有所抬升。仓位上，美股投机性多头有所增加，不过美元投机性仓位继上周转为多头后本周再度转为空头。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ae2cd84238ff123e4f47cc184b18180\" tg-width=\"765\" tg-height=\"547\"></p><p>►<b>资金流向：美股流入放缓，新兴大幅流入</b>。过去一周，日本加速流出，美国流入放缓，发达欧洲转为流出，但新兴市场大幅流入。债市方面，高收益债本周转为流出，但利率债和利率债均加速流入。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d2dc402484aa8aa15466c662676aae7\" tg-width=\"754\" tg-height=\"543\"></p><p>►<b>基本面与政策：美国PMI继续向好，欧洲疫情拖累服务业</b>。尽管美国第三波疫情正在发酵，但美国10月Markit制造业PMI继续回升并创21个月以来新高，服务业PMI更是维持强劲；相比之下，欧元区制造业PMI虽继续提高，但受疫情二次爆发影响，服务业PMI较上月进一步收缩。盈利方面，标普500指数2020年EPS一致预期同比上修至-17.7%，2021年为24.5%，<b>但市场盈利调整情绪继续走弱</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f785e6ee06ed39255c03aaf143b060bb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"718\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c118ade84829a15fa39bb1b043d6bb8e\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"541\"></p><p>►<b>市场估值：主要市场估值回落</b>。美股12月动态PE微降至21.7倍；当前26.8倍静态PE高于增长和利率隐含的水平（25.4倍）；其他市场也普遍回落。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4f41c45f0dd07183cd2cb485b57c7ba\" tg-width=\"742\" tg-height=\"565\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07a4c7791febe7ec4696e4f4f5c598c4\" tg-width=\"760\" tg-height=\"566\"></p>","source":"lsy1569219621182","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>详解：美国大选前一周的关注点和投资策略</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n详解：美国大选前一周的关注点和投资策略\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-10-26 11:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/mT22lBUWRNYfnp16J31RyA><strong> 中金策略</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>i.当前民调差距依然较大，摇摆州有所收窄ii.提前与邮寄投票、整体投票率更高或使选情复杂化iii.关键摇摆州将是此次大选的胜负手。最关键的是佛罗里达（拜登领先1.5%）和得克萨斯（特朗普领先4%）iv.大选倒计时市场或继续以观望为主美国第三波疫情继续升级且愈演愈烈，上周五单日新增确诊超过8.5万人，已超过第二波高点，创出新高。此次疫情恰逢欧美叠加、且美国财政刺激仍处于僵局，因此与6~7月美国第二波...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/mT22lBUWRNYfnp16J31RyA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3215f0c72db89cff37efc43de1c5033f","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/mT22lBUWRNYfnp16J31RyA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160787159","content_text":"i.当前民调差距依然较大，摇摆州有所收窄ii.提前与邮寄投票、整体投票率更高或使选情复杂化iii.关键摇摆州将是此次大选的胜负手。最关键的是佛罗里达（拜登领先1.5%）和得克萨斯（特朗普领先4%）iv.大选倒计时市场或继续以观望为主美国第三波疫情继续升级且愈演愈烈，上周五单日新增确诊超过8.5万人，已超过第二波高点，创出新高。此次疫情恰逢欧美叠加、且美国财政刺激仍处于僵局，因此与6~7月美国第二波疫情时美国财政刺激发力且欧洲无复发的环境有所不同，需要关注对于情绪的扰动。但死亡率一直处于低位，因此我们预计不会造成复工的全局性逆转和过大冲击。上周披露的经济数据显示美国基本面整体依然强劲。此外，10年美债利率快速走高~13bp一度超过0.87%，提振了银行的表现但压制了成长股估值。焦点讨论：大选进入倒计时；民调差距仍显著，提前与邮寄投票激增随着上周五第二轮也是最后一轮总统辩论落下帷幕，美国大选进入最后10天倒计时。我们梳理最后一周多时间的关注点，供投资者参考。i.当前民调差距依然较大，摇摆州有所收窄。根据RCP汇总的最新民调数据，尽管近期有所收敛，但特朗普与拜登的民调差距依然较大，全国民调落后7.9%、博彩赔率落后30%，但关键摇摆州差距缩窄至3.8%。作为对照，在2016年距大选投票日同一时间，希拉里全国民调领先3.8%，而关键州领先3.8%，与当前水平已经持平。ii.提前与邮寄投票激增、整体投票率更高或使选情复杂化。此次大选涉及到的疫情和种族问题使得两个阵营的对立更加尖锐严重，也进一步导致提前投票、邮寄投票、以及整体投票率可能大幅增加：1）截止上周五，已经有5425万人完成投票，相当于2016年总投票数的39.4%；2）已完成投票中邮寄选票3789万，相当于2016年的27.5%，而总的邮寄选票8606万，占比高达62.5%。要知道2016年，提前投票和邮寄选票的占比才分别为17.2%和5.9%。我们认为这一明显偏高的比例反过来说明今年的投票人数或将明显高于2016年。这些新现象虽然不能作为一定出现巨大意外的依据，但的确会使得今年大选投票局面变得更为复杂，例如一些关键的摇摆州如佛罗里达的邮寄选票比例明显高于以往。这在如果最终投票日选情异常胶着的情况下，不排除造成一定的分歧和混乱。iii.关键摇摆州将是此次大选的胜负手。如我们在此前专题《美国2020大选：现状、演变与影响》中分析，结合目前民调差距，最关键的是佛罗里达（拜登领先1.5%）和得克萨斯（特朗普领先4%）。由于特朗普在普选票上持续落后于拜登（近似于全国民调反映的情况），因此只能通过一些关键摇摆州的较小优势“赢者通吃”选举人票的方式来取得胜利，因此选择很有限。相比之下，拜登由于基本稳拿一些人口大州的普选票（如加州和纽约州），故需要更大的普选票差距来最终锁定胜局（2016年，希拉里普选票赢了300万票，~3%差距，但依然输了选举人票），但选择上比特朗普要多。根据WSJ的模拟测算，若拜登赢得佛罗里达，那么特朗普只剩6种方式赢得大选；如果拜登拿下得克萨斯，那特朗普只剩1种方式赢得大选；而如果两者都是拜登获胜，那就基本没有悬念了。iv.大选倒计时市场或继续以观望为主。临近大选，我们预计市场或仍以观望为主，等待大选结果最终落地，上周初我们也提示观察到一些风险偏好再度转弱的迹象。我们在专题报告《美国大选的五种情形推演》中结合特朗普和拜登主张以及国会两院职能差异分析了潜在的政策前景。对市场而言，除非出现总统与国会两院完全对立、甚至短期没有结果的无序等待和混乱，我们认为短期波动并不会改变复苏逐步深化的中期趋势。不论是民调概率较高的民主党横扫还是概率较低的共和党完胜，对市场可能都不是坏事；而继续分裂的国会则使得市场回归原有的基本面渐进修复逻辑。市场观察：美国疫情创新高；利率大幅抬升；10月PMI显示美国基本面继续向好过去一周，海外市场震荡下行，终结了9月底以来的持续反弹，也印证了我们在上周周报中提示风险偏好走弱迹象的观察。美国第三波疫情持续升级、美国大选计入倒计时但财政僵局延续、美债利率快速走高，都可能压制了市场情绪，特别是成长股领跌。美国第三波疫情继续升级且愈演愈烈，上周五单日新增确诊超过8.5万人，已超过第二波高点，创出新高；同时欧洲第二波也在继续升温。由于此次疫情集中较为严重的美国中西部各州都还仍处于复工状态，R0普遍抬升，因此在采取一定防控措施之前，疫情大概率会继续走高。目前疫情对于复工的影响已经有所体现，尤其对于欧洲的出行和餐饮拖累较为明显。不过，值得注意的是，此次疫情恰逢欧美叠加、且美国财政刺激仍处于僵局，因此与6~7月美国第二波疫情时美国财政刺激发力且欧洲无复发的环境有所不同，需要关注对于情绪的扰动。但值得庆幸的是，死亡率一直处于低位，因此我们预计不会造成复工的全局性逆转和过大冲击（《美国第三波（常态化）疫情的可能影响》）。不过，上周披露的主要经济数据显示美国基本面整体依然强劲。10月Markit制造业PMI继续抬升并创21个月新高、服务业PMI更是升至56%的高位。与此同时，9月房地产新开工和成屋销售也依然维持强劲。相比之下，欧洲10月制造业PMI继续改善，但服务业PMI受疫情影响进一步收缩。盈利方面，目前27%的美股公司披露了三季度业绩，其中83%的公司好于预期，但市场盈利调整情绪继续回落。值得注意的是，受通胀预期和实际利率共同提振，上周10年美债利率快速走高~13bp一度超过0.87%，这可能在一定程度上压制了市场估值特别是成长股估值。►资产表现：债>股>大宗；利率抬升，成长落后，美元走弱。过去一周，美元计价下，大类资产排序为债>股>大宗，天然气、巴西与俄罗斯股市、大豆、港股等领先；原油、A股、德国、美元指数、FAAMNG和美国国债落后。本周再次出现风格轮动，成长股整体落后，汽车与零部件、银行、媒体领先，技术硬件、半导体跌幅最大。同时上周10年美债大幅走高~13bp，美元指数因美国疫情升级再度回落。►情绪仓位：VIX回落，put/call比例抬升，美元转空头。VIX本周回落，但put/call比例有所抬升。仓位上，美股投机性多头有所增加，不过美元投机性仓位继上周转为多头后本周再度转为空头。►资金流向：美股流入放缓，新兴大幅流入。过去一周，日本加速流出，美国流入放缓，发达欧洲转为流出，但新兴市场大幅流入。债市方面，高收益债本周转为流出，但利率债和利率债均加速流入。►基本面与政策：美国PMI继续向好，欧洲疫情拖累服务业。尽管美国第三波疫情正在发酵，但美国10月Markit制造业PMI继续回升并创21个月以来新高，服务业PMI更是维持强劲；相比之下，欧元区制造业PMI虽继续提高，但受疫情二次爆发影响，服务业PMI较上月进一步收缩。盈利方面，标普500指数2020年EPS一致预期同比上修至-17.7%，2021年为24.5%，但市场盈利调整情绪继续走弱。►市场估值：主要市场估值回落。美股12月动态PE微降至21.7倍；当前26.8倍静态PE高于增长和利率隐含的水平（25.4倍）；其他市场也普遍回落。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":307018421,"gmtCreate":1605316833363,"gmtModify":1703837501985,"author":{"id":"172848913361478","authorId":"172848913361478","name":"超级卢卡斯","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0228050e3142feb86ce5a87488e0820f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"172848913361478","authorIdStr":"172848913361478"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"阿里的赢面还大吗？","listText":"阿里的赢面还大吗？","text":"阿里的赢面还大吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/307018421","repostId":"1120060101","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":127820716,"gmtCreate":1624843678835,"gmtModify":1624843678835,"author":{"id":"172848913361478","authorId":"172848913361478","name":"超级卢卡斯","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0228050e3142feb86ce5a87488e0820f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"172848913361478","authorIdStr":"172848913361478"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"额&nbsp;","listText":"额&nbsp;","text":"额","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127820716","repostId":"1108579788","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108579788","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6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09:13","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"港交所因黑色暴雨警告信号将取消上午时段交易","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108579788","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月28日讯，港交所因黑色暴雨警告信号将取消上午时段交易。\n此前，港交所公告称若早上9点仍不能取消天文台发出的黑色暴雨警告，将取消盘前交易。\n香港交易所：由于天文台发出黑色暴雨警告，证券（包括沪深股通","content":"<p>6月28日讯，港交所因黑色暴雨警告信号将取消上午时段交易。</p>\n<p>此前，港交所公告称若早上9点仍不能取消天文台发出的黑色暴雨警告，将取消盘前交易。</p>\n<p>香港交易所：由于天文台发出黑色暴雨警告，证券（包括沪深股通）及衍生产品市场之早上交易时段均会延迟开市。如果上午9点黑色暴雨警告信号仍维持，上午交易将取消。</p>\n<p>上交所：香港联合证券交易所因黑色暴雨暂停交易。沪港通下港股通暂停交易。</p>\n<p>深交所：6月28日，香港联合证券交易所因黑色暴雨暂停交易。根据《深圳证券交易所深港通业务实施办法》，深港通下的港股通暂停交易。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3990c0a20608d23583a9a9f2cfa0ace3\" tg-width=\"999\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>香港黑色暴雨来袭，港股上午休市，交易安排知多少？</b></p>\n<p>6月28日消息，香港天文台在上午8时20分发出之有关黑色暴雨警告信号的特别报告：暴雨警告信号现时为黑色，表示香港广泛地区已录得或预料会有每小时雨量超过70毫米的豪雨，且雨势可能持续。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c65808ce9685f3cd97d48ee260a04e71\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"378\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">截至上午9点，黑色暴雨警告尚未解除，港股早盘交易将延迟开市。如果上午9点以后解除，港股早盘交易将取消。如果11点至11点30分解除，下午1点30开始交易；如果11点30分到12点解除，下午2点开始交易；中午12点后解除，全天休市。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa2358a6b83c103be2c4404bddf61e1a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"296\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">由于台风等天气出现频繁，香港市场已多次因天气因素影响而延迟交易，因此，港交所应对措施也较为完善。</p>\n<p>2020年8月19日，香港股市早盘休市，香港天文台19日上午11时10分改发三号强风信号。港交所随后宣布，下午交易时段将于13：30时开始。</p>\n<p>2017年8月23日，港交所于早间宣布，由于天文台现已发出八号台风信号，证券市场 (包括沪深股通) 及衍生产品市场的上午交易时段会延迟开市。</p>\n<p>2016年10月21日，港交所表示，由于天文台现已发出八号台风信号，证券市场 (包括沪股通) 及衍生产品市场之上午交易时段会延迟开市。</p>\n<p>2016年8月2日，港交所公告显示，八号风球预警仍然有效，证券市场 (包括沪股通) 及衍生产品市场之上午交易时段会延迟开市。</p>\n<p>2014年9月16日，港交所宣布，证券及衍生品市场早上交易时段均会延迟开市，此前香港天文台已针对台风“海鸥”发出八号暴风风球信号。</p>\n<p>2013年，也有数次因为台风和暴雨采取类似的行动。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-28 09:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>6月28日讯，港交所因黑色暴雨警告信号将取消上午时段交易。</p>\n<p>此前，港交所公告称若早上9点仍不能取消天文台发出的黑色暴雨警告，将取消盘前交易。</p>\n<p>香港交易所：由于天文台发出黑色暴雨警告，证券（包括沪深股通）及衍生产品市场之早上交易时段均会延迟开市。如果上午9点黑色暴雨警告信号仍维持，上午交易将取消。</p>\n<p>上交所：香港联合证券交易所因黑色暴雨暂停交易。沪港通下港股通暂停交易。</p>\n<p>深交所：6月28日，香港联合证券交易所因黑色暴雨暂停交易。根据《深圳证券交易所深港通业务实施办法》，深港通下的港股通暂停交易。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3990c0a20608d23583a9a9f2cfa0ace3\" tg-width=\"999\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>香港黑色暴雨来袭，港股上午休市，交易安排知多少？</b></p>\n<p>6月28日消息，香港天文台在上午8时20分发出之有关黑色暴雨警告信号的特别报告：暴雨警告信号现时为黑色，表示香港广泛地区已录得或预料会有每小时雨量超过70毫米的豪雨，且雨势可能持续。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c65808ce9685f3cd97d48ee260a04e71\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"378\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">截至上午9点，黑色暴雨警告尚未解除，港股早盘交易将延迟开市。如果上午9点以后解除，港股早盘交易将取消。如果11点至11点30分解除，下午1点30开始交易；如果11点30分到12点解除，下午2点开始交易；中午12点后解除，全天休市。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa2358a6b83c103be2c4404bddf61e1a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"296\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">由于台风等天气出现频繁，香港市场已多次因天气因素影响而延迟交易，因此，港交所应对措施也较为完善。</p>\n<p>2020年8月19日，香港股市早盘休市，香港天文台19日上午11时10分改发三号强风信号。港交所随后宣布，下午交易时段将于13：30时开始。</p>\n<p>2017年8月23日，港交所于早间宣布，由于天文台现已发出八号台风信号，证券市场 (包括沪深股通) 及衍生产品市场的上午交易时段会延迟开市。</p>\n<p>2016年10月21日，港交所表示，由于天文台现已发出八号台风信号，证券市场 (包括沪股通) 及衍生产品市场之上午交易时段会延迟开市。</p>\n<p>2016年8月2日，港交所公告显示，八号风球预警仍然有效，证券市场 (包括沪股通) 及衍生产品市场之上午交易时段会延迟开市。</p>\n<p>2014年9月16日，港交所宣布，证券及衍生品市场早上交易时段均会延迟开市，此前香港天文台已针对台风“海鸥”发出八号暴风风球信号。</p>\n<p>2013年，也有数次因为台风和暴雨采取类似的行动。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e574706ced777ba0af741c0072c424","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108579788","content_text":"6月28日讯，港交所因黑色暴雨警告信号将取消上午时段交易。\n此前，港交所公告称若早上9点仍不能取消天文台发出的黑色暴雨警告，将取消盘前交易。\n香港交易所：由于天文台发出黑色暴雨警告，证券（包括沪深股通）及衍生产品市场之早上交易时段均会延迟开市。如果上午9点黑色暴雨警告信号仍维持，上午交易将取消。\n上交所：香港联合证券交易所因黑色暴雨暂停交易。沪港通下港股通暂停交易。\n深交所：6月28日，香港联合证券交易所因黑色暴雨暂停交易。根据《深圳证券交易所深港通业务实施办法》，深港通下的港股通暂停交易。香港黑色暴雨来袭，港股上午休市，交易安排知多少？\n6月28日消息，香港天文台在上午8时20分发出之有关黑色暴雨警告信号的特别报告：暴雨警告信号现时为黑色，表示香港广泛地区已录得或预料会有每小时雨量超过70毫米的豪雨，且雨势可能持续。截至上午9点，黑色暴雨警告尚未解除，港股早盘交易将延迟开市。如果上午9点以后解除，港股早盘交易将取消。如果11点至11点30分解除，下午1点30开始交易；如果11点30分到12点解除，下午2点开始交易；中午12点后解除，全天休市。由于台风等天气出现频繁，香港市场已多次因天气因素影响而延迟交易，因此，港交所应对措施也较为完善。\n2020年8月19日，香港股市早盘休市，香港天文台19日上午11时10分改发三号强风信号。港交所随后宣布，下午交易时段将于13：30时开始。\n2017年8月23日，港交所于早间宣布，由于天文台现已发出八号台风信号，证券市场 (包括沪深股通) 及衍生产品市场的上午交易时段会延迟开市。\n2016年10月21日，港交所表示，由于天文台现已发出八号台风信号，证券市场 (包括沪股通) 及衍生产品市场之上午交易时段会延迟开市。\n2016年8月2日，港交所公告显示，八号风球预警仍然有效，证券市场 (包括沪股通) 及衍生产品市场之上午交易时段会延迟开市。\n2014年9月16日，港交所宣布，证券及衍生品市场早上交易时段均会延迟开市，此前香港天文台已针对台风“海鸥”发出八号暴风风球信号。\n2013年，也有数次因为台风和暴雨采取类似的行动。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":374397825,"gmtCreate":1619416660067,"gmtModify":1619416660067,"author":{"id":"172848913361478","authorId":"172848913361478","name":"超级卢卡斯","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0228050e3142feb86ce5a87488e0820f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"172848913361478","authorIdStr":"172848913361478"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a>主力要出货的节奏吗？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a>主力要出货的节奏吗？","text":"$美团-W(03690)$主力要出货的节奏吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374397825","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}