美国就业数据和降息预期 - 老虎社区

最新新闻

12-09

花旗加入其他券商行列预测美联储12月降息25个基点，此前预测降息50基点

花旗加入其他券商行列预测美联储12月降息25个基点，此前预测降息50基点

12-09

美联储降息预期升温黄金转守为攻

美联储降息预期升温黄金转守为攻

12-09

分析：美国失业率上升或促使美联储下周降息25基点

分析：美国失业率上升或促使美联储下周降息25基点

用户讨论

12-10

非农高于预期，小时工资也高于预期，失业率也不高，通胀还略高于预期的情况下，12月降息预测概率还增高了，抽象派美国交易员，甚至硬拉着25年上半年1346只降一次息的预期硬凑出12月的降息概率……是要拉高12月预期，冲高收割过个好圣诞节吗？重点关注下周cpi数据，可能有反转

降息押注骤升！美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人，超出预期

神经不正常

12-07

好消息[龇牙]

降息押注骤升！美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人，超出预期

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"financialEventData":{"themeId":"31540f7a684da7468785fec7be638e70","name":"美国就业数据和降息预期","description":"美国11月就业数据表现良好，但市场预计美联储将在本月继续降息。","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1201dcc0482be040348fb8d4f228bb68","type":2,"style":4,"follow":false,"createTime":1733495750801,"userCounts":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/special/finance&rndata={\"themeId\":31540f7a684da7468785fec7be638e70}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","subscribe":false,"allowFollow":false,"hasReward":false,"rewardScore":0,"rewardValidDate":0,"rewardEnd":false,"symbols":[],"tweetCounts":2,"categoryId":"2929bb7468f5415f853fd96fb35d7c3b","options":[],"votedOptionId":"","totalUserCount":0,"followStatus":false,"themeName":"美国就业数据和降息预期","tweetAmount":2,"imageIsDefault":true},"news":[{"id":99802,"article_id":"2490419778","title":"花旗加入其他券商行列预测美联储12月降息25个基点，此前预测降息50基点","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733754145000,"source_id":"reuters_news_zh","language":"zh","url":"https://api.refinitiv.com/data/news/v1/stories/urn:newsml:reuters.com:20241209:nL6S3NA0G3:1","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{},"rights":null},{"id":99529,"article_id":"2490416437","title":"美联储降息预期升温 黄金转守为攻","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733734620000,"source_id":"sina","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjzx/2024-12-09/doc-incywcvt2653095.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159831":1,"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"SPY":1,"MGCmain":1,"GCmain":1,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"IAU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"DUST":0.6},"rights":{"source":"sina","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjzx/2024-12-09/doc-incywcvt2653095.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action","directOrigin":true}},{"id":99403,"article_id":"2490674374","title":"分析：美国失业率上升或促使美联储下周降息25基点","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733734143000,"source_id":"jinwu_rss","language":"zh","url":"282944","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"SPY":1,"SImain":1,"MGCmain":1,"GCmain":1,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"IAU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":99237,"article_id":"2490714885","title":"机构：美国失业率上升足以让美联储下周降息25BP","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733729570000,"source_id":"live_meigang","language":"zh","url":"https://www.ushknews.com/","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"SPY":1,"SImain":1,"MGCmain":1,"GCmain":1,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"IAU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":99134,"article_id":"2490462796","title":"大摩：维持对美联储下周减息25基点的预测","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733714230000,"source_id":"jinrongjie_highlight","language":"zh","url":"https://usstock.jrj.com.cn/2024/12/09111746155828.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":1,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"IVV":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":99118,"article_id":"2490795677","title":"美联储12月和明年1月将继续降息？谁也说不准","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733713688500,"source_id":"xnew_highlight","language":"zh","url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=155445&type=news&data_type=0","is_publish_highlight":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":1,"IVV":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":99053,"article_id":"2489783728","title":"美国就业: 最新的”三大谜团”","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733708760400,"source_id":"lsy1582083733592","language":"zh","url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/9EK4Edl5MdlSVnwoFWaXyA?global_content=%7B%22promote_id%22%3A13766%2C%22sub_promote_id%22%3A28%7D","is_publish_highlight":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98987,"article_id":"2490103761","title":"【券商聚焦】中信证券：美国失业率上行 市场上调降息预期","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733705515000,"source_id":"jinwu_rss","language":"zh","url":"282917","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98974,"article_id":"2490676627","title":"美联储下周降息只差“临门一脚”？ 债券交易员紧盯CPI和PPI数据","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733703701100,"source_id":"stock_zhitongcaijing","language":"zh","url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1221900.html","is_publish_highlight":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":1,"PPI":1,"IVV":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98947,"article_id":"2490765876","title":"重温-美国债市：10年期收益率在非农数据公布后跌至六周低点，市场押注12月减息","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733700523000,"source_id":"Reuters_global","language":"zh","url":"https://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"TIPS":1,"SPY":0.68,"IVV":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98948,"article_id":"2490676307","title":"重温-美国债市：10年期收益率在非农数据公布后跌至六周低点，市场押注12月减息","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733700523000,"source_id":"reuters_news_zh","language":"zh","url":"https://api.refinitiv.com/data/news/v1/stories/urn:newsml:reuters.com:20241208:nL6S3N70PM:1","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{},"rights":null},{"id":98940,"article_id":"2490344763","title":"黄金交易提醒：非农支撑美联储降息预期，大国时隔半年再度增持，金价将启动新一轮涨势？","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733698680000,"source_id":"fx678_fut","language":"zh","url":"https://news.fx678.com//202412090658042063.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98937,"article_id":"2490750957","title":"美联储12月降息25个基点的概率为85.1%","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733695718000,"source_id":"live_meigang","language":"zh","url":"https://www.ushknews.com/","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"US7Y.BOND":1,"SPY":1,"ZTmain":1,"ZNmain":1,"ZFmain":1,"ZBmain":1,"UBmain":1,"TNmain":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"CME":1,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,".SPX":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98854,"article_id":"1188955911","title":"非农后FOMC票委集体发声：美联储处于或接近放缓降息节点","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733543507921,"source_id":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","language":"zh","url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1221810.html","is_publish_highlight":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":1.1},"rights":null},{"id":98841,"article_id":"2489940292","title":"美联储12月降息可能性超85%加拿大央行或将大幅降息","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733537280000,"source_id":"sina_fut","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/wbstock/2024-12-07/doc-incyqytt1244920.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":0.87,"CLmain":0.7,"SImain":0.7,"QMmain":0.6,"USO":0.6,"UCO":0.6,"SCO":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"MGCmain":0.6,"BZmain":0.6,"DWT":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"DUG":0.6,"DDG":0.6},"rights":{"source":"sina_fut","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/wbstock/2024-12-07/doc-incyqytt1244920.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98761,"article_id":"2489326679","title":"美国债市：10年期收益率在非农数据公布后跌至六周低点，市场押注12月减息","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733518592000,"source_id":"reuters_news_zh","language":"zh","url":"https://api.refinitiv.com/data/news/v1/stories/urn:newsml:reuters.com:20241206:nL6T3N70OF:1","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{},"rights":null},{"id":98747,"article_id":"2489632292","title":"隔夜要闻：美股收低 原油黄金下跌 美联储理事鲍曼：抗通胀进展或已停滞 需谨慎推进降息","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733515200000,"source_id":"sina_fut","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2024-12-07/doc-incyqivz1575247.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"CLmain":1,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"QMmain":1,"USO":0.6,"UCO":0.6,"SCO":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"BZmain":0.6,"DWT":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"DUG":0.6,"DDG":0.6},"rights":{"source":"sina_fut","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2024-12-07/doc-incyqivz1575247.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98735,"article_id":"2489825268","title":"花旗调整预测 转而押注美联储12月降息25个基点","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733513485000,"source_id":"sina_us","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2024-12-07/doc-incyqiwa8346554.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":1,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,".SPX":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98734,"article_id":"2489250621","title":"全球市场-华尔街在 \"感恩节自助餐 \"式的就业数据后加大股票和降息押注","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733512518000,"source_id":"Reuters_global","language":"zh","url":"https://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,".IXIC":0.9,"GCmain":0.9,"EURmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"JPYmain":0.9,"MGCmain":0.9,"QMmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"FXY":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"ZTmain":0.6,"YCS":0.6,"ZNmain":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"QID":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"SCO":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"UCO":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"USO":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"DDG":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"DUG":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"DWT":0.6,"ZFmain":0.6,"BZmain":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"TNmain":0.6,"UBmain":0.6,"ZBmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98729,"article_id":"2489257248","title":"全球金市：金价小涨，美国就业报告支持降息押注","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733511748000,"source_id":"reuters_news_zh","language":"zh","url":"https://api.refinitiv.com/data/news/v1/stories/urn:newsml:reuters.com:20241206:nL6T3N70NE:1","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{},"rights":null},{"id":98685,"article_id":"2489255295","title":"华尔街点评非农：不足以影响美联储本月降息 下周通胀数据将成关注焦点","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733505091000,"source_id":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","language":"zh","url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3736337","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":1,"IVV":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98703,"article_id":"2489256009","title":"华尔街点评非农：不足以影响美联储本月降息 下周通胀数据将成关注焦点","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733505060000,"source_id":"sina_fut","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2024-12-07/doc-incyqcqc1684410.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":{"source":"sina_fut","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2024-12-07/doc-incyqcqc1684410.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98678,"article_id":"2489255302","title":"7x24快讯","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733504597000,"source_id":"live_jinshicaijing","language":"zh","url":"https://flash-api.jin10.com/get_flash_list?channel=2","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"US7Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"SPY":1,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98676,"article_id":"2489531162","title":"全球市场-华尔街在 \"感恩节自助餐 \"式的就业数据后加大股票和降息押注","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733503944000,"source_id":"reuters_news_zh","language":"zh","url":"https://api.refinitiv.com/data/news/v1/stories/urn:newsml:reuters.com:20241206:nL3S3N712A:1","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"MSCI":0.9},"rights":null},{"id":98670,"article_id":"2489186230","title":"美联储理事鲍曼：抗通胀进展或已停滞 需谨慎推进降息","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733501139000,"source_id":"sina_us","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2024-12-07/doc-incyqcpw8411490.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":1,"IVV":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98643,"article_id":"2489225232","title":"机构：美国就业市场展现韧性，12月降息预期或重新定价","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733499922000,"source_id":"live_meigang","language":"zh","url":"https://www.ushknews.com/","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"SPY":1,"SImain":1,"MGCmain":1,"GCmain":1,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"IAU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98618,"article_id":"2489223492","title":"南非汇市：兰特持稳，美国就业数据令美联储本月降息押注升温","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733498357000,"source_id":"Reuters_global","language":"zh","url":"https://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{},"rights":null},{"id":98619,"article_id":"2489234948","title":"南非汇市：兰特持稳，美国就业数据令美联储本月降息押注升温","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733498357000,"source_id":"reuters_news_zh","language":"zh","url":"https://api.refinitiv.com/data/news/v1/stories/urn:newsml:reuters.com:20241206:nL6T3N70JY:1","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{},"rights":null},{"id":98568,"article_id":"2489239219","title":"全球市场-就业数据公布后，华尔街股市上涨，投资者提高对美国降息的押注","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733496950000,"source_id":"Reuters_global","language":"zh","url":"https://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"QMmain":0.9,"MGCmain":0.9,"JPYmain":0.9,"GCmain":0.9,"EURmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"FXE":0.6,"YCS":0.6,"FXY":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"QID":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"SCO":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"UCO":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"USO":0.6,"DWT":0.6,"DDG":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"DUG":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"EUO":0.6,"BZmain":0.6,"MEURmain":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98484,"article_id":"1174606392","title":"无视11月非农就业超预期反弹，美联储12月降息预期升温","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733495087000,"source_id":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","language":"zh","url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1221768.html","is_publish_highlight":1,"symbols_score_info":{},"rights":null},{"id":98487,"article_id":"2489235467","title":"美国国债上涨 就业数据公布后交易员加大对美联储本月降息的押注","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733494841000,"source_id":"highlight_sina","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2024-12-06/doc-incypxha5292094.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"US10Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US7Y.BOND":1},"rights":{"source":"highlight_sina","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2024-12-06/doc-incypxha5292094.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}","selectors":".art_box, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action, .fl_popup, .weibo_info","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98496,"article_id":"2489235945","title":"全球市场-就业数据公布后，投资者提高了对美国降息的押注","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733494790000,"source_id":"reuters_news_zh","language":"zh","url":"https://api.refinitiv.com/data/news/v1/stories/urn:newsml:reuters.com:20241206:nL3T3N70VT:1","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"MSCI":0.9},"rights":null},{"id":98500,"article_id":"2489351992","title":"美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人，创半年来最大增幅，失业率超预期升至4.2%","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733494260000,"source_id":"sina","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2024-12-06/doc-incypxhh8556208.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":{"source":"sina","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2024-12-06/doc-incypxhh8556208.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98767,"article_id":"2489269259","title":"分析师：非农数据不影响美联储在下次会议上降息25Bp","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733494148000,"source_id":"tencent_tech","language":"zh","url":"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20241206A0A84500","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"US7Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"SPY":1,"SH":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":{"source":"tencent_tech","url":"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20241206A0A84500","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.title{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.author, .pubtime{#sourceStyle#; display: inline-block;} .pubtime{margin-left: 3px;}strong{font-weight:500;#lv2TextColor#}","selectors":".main-wrapper","filters":".follow_top, .channel-entry, .collapseWrapper, .pic, .gap, .showDividingLine, .loader, .container, .ct-sumary, .nav, .landad, .hairline-top, .footer, .recommend-modules, .headroom-wrapper, .elevator","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98485,"article_id":"2489235656","title":"无视11月非农就业超预期反弹 美联储12月降息预期升温","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733494113000,"source_id":"stock_zhitongcaijing","language":"zh","url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1221768.html","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":1,"IVV":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98481,"article_id":"2489323302","title":"分析师：非农报告证实美联储12月将继续降息","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733493984000,"source_id":"live_meigang","language":"zh","url":"https://www.ushknews.com/","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"SPY":1,"SImain":1,"MGCmain":1,"GCmain":1,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"IAU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98498,"article_id":"2489235488","title":"美国11月非农就业激增22.7万，美元指数短线急跌","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733493900000,"source_id":"sina_fut","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/bond/2024-12-06/doc-incypxhf1779762.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"SImain":1,"AUDmain":1,"CADmain":1,"CHFmain":1,"EURmain":1,"GBPmain":1,"GCmain":1,"JPYmain":1,"MAUDmain":1,"MEURmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"NZDmain":1,"FXE":0.6,"YCS":0.6,"FXF":0.6,"FXY":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"FXC":0.6,"FXB":0.6,"FXA":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"MGBPmain":0.6,"EUO":0.6,"DUST":0.6},"rights":{"source":"sina_fut","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/bond/2024-12-06/doc-incypxhf1779762.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98483,"article_id":"2489233427","title":"分析师：非农数据不影响美联储在下次会议上降息25Bp","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733493708000,"source_id":"live_meigang","language":"zh","url":"https://www.ushknews.com/","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"US7Y.BOND":1,"SImain":1,"SPAQ.U":1,"MGCmain":1,"GCmain":1,"SPY":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"IVV":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98502,"article_id":"2489233694","title":"美国11月非农超预期，但美联储12月降息仍箭在弦上","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733492773000,"source_id":"xnew_highlight","language":"zh","url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=155390&type=news&data_type=0","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":1,"IVV":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98501,"article_id":"2489233571","title":"美国公布 11 月季调后非农就业人口增加 22.7 万人，失业率 4.2%","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733492760000,"source_id":"sina","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/blockchain/roll/2024-12-06/doc-incypxhf1773762.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":{"source":"sina","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/blockchain/roll/2024-12-06/doc-incypxhf1773762.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98479,"article_id":"2489238219","title":"美国11月就业增长加速 但美联储本月或再次降息","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733492714000,"source_id":"live_jinshicaijing","language":"zh","url":"https://flash-api.jin10.com/get_flash_list?channel=2","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"SPY":1,"SImain":1,"MGCmain":1,"GCmain":1,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"IAU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98495,"article_id":"2489723516","title":"11月非农超预期，本月降息概率增加！黄金短线走高12美元，美指跳水30点","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733492580000,"source_id":"sina","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2024-12-06/doc-incypsyk8681348.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159831":1,"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":{"source":"sina","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2024-12-06/doc-incypsyk8681348.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98490,"article_id":"2489223357","title":"美国11月季调后非农就业人口22.7万人 预期20万人 前值3.6万人","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733492550000,"source_id":"jinwu_rss","language":"zh","url":"282902","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98499,"article_id":"2489280074","title":"美国非农人数增加22.7万 较上月大幅反弹","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733492155000,"source_id":"live_jinshicaijing","language":"zh","url":"https://flash-api.jin10.com/get_flash_list?channel=2","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159739":1,"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"SPY":1,"SImain":1,"MGCmain":1,"GCmain":1,"BA":1,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"IVV":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98480,"article_id":"2489079280","title":"非农实时评论：美联储本月降息25个基点的预期不会动摇","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733492147000,"source_id":"live_jinshicaijing","language":"zh","url":"https://flash-api.jin10.com/get_flash_list?channel=2","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"SPY":1,"SImain":1,"MGCmain":1,"GCmain":1,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SH":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"IAU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"DUST":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"ESmain":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98494,"article_id":"2489238309","title":"美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人，失业率4.2%超预期","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733491920000,"source_id":"sina","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2024-12-06/doc-incypsyk8678485.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":{"source":"sina","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2024-12-06/doc-incypsyk8678485.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98492,"article_id":"1160482155","title":"降息押注骤升！美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人，超出预期","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733491820151,"source_id":"","language":"zh","url":"","is_publish_highlight":1,"symbols_score_info":{},"rights":null},{"id":98491,"article_id":"2489802002","title":"非农数据超预期，就业增幅为半年来最大","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733491815000,"source_id":"live_meigang","language":"zh","url":"https://www.ushknews.com/","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98493,"article_id":"2489280023","title":"美国11月非农就业数据达22.7万，高于之前的1.2万。预测数字为20万。","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733491800000,"source_id":"aastocks_highlight","language":"zh","url":"http://www.aastocks.com/tc/stocks/analysis/china-hot-topic-content.aspx?id=NOW.1402445&catg=4&source=AAFN","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":null},{"id":98489,"article_id":"2489198235","title":"非农数据超预期，就业增幅为半年来最大","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733491800000,"source_id":"sina","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/7x24/2024-12-06/doc-incypsya8636599.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":{"source":"sina","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/7x24/2024-12-06/doc-incypsya8636599.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98488,"article_id":"2489238344","title":"美国11月非农就业人数增加22.7万人 预估为增加22万人","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733491800000,"source_id":"sina","language":"zh","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2024-12-06/doc-incypsyi1901269.shtml","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":{"source":"sina","url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2024-12-06/doc-incypsyi1901269.shtml","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.art_tit_h1{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.art_time, .art_cite{#sourceStyle#;} .art_cite{margin-left: 3px;}","selectors":".module-article, article","filters":"header, .voice2, .tags, #norm_qrcode_link_auto, .unfold-box, .action","directOrigin":true}},{"id":98497,"article_id":"2489819432","title":"丹斯克：非农或增加16万人，季节性因素拖累反弹","subtitle":"","subtitle_show":0,"pub_time":1733487794000,"source_id":"live_jinshicaijing","language":"zh","url":"https://flash-api.jin10.com/get_flash_list?channel=2","is_publish_highlight":0,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.6,"518880":0.6,"0NVC.UK":1,"GCmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"SImain":1,"DUST":0.6,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"IAU":0.6,"NUGT":0.6},"rights":null}],"views":[],"tweetList":[{"id":379951178658384,"gmtCreate":1733805587291,"gmtModify":1733805589805,"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"非农高于预期，小时工资也高于预期，失业率也不高，通胀还略高于预期的情况下，12月降息预测概率还增高了，抽象派美国交易员，甚至硬拉着25年上半年1346只降一次息的预期硬凑出12月的降息概率……是要拉高12月预期，冲高收割过个好圣诞节吗？重点关注下周cpi数据，可能有反转","listText":"非农高于预期，小时工资也高于预期，失业率也不高，通胀还略高于预期的情况下，12月降息预测概率还增高了，抽象派美国交易员，甚至硬拉着25年上半年1346只降一次息的预期硬凑出12月的降息概率……是要拉高12月预期，冲高收割过个好圣诞节吗？重点关注下周cpi数据，可能有反转","text":"非农高于预期，小时工资也高于预期，失业率也不高，通胀还略高于预期的情况下，12月降息预测概率还增高了，抽象派美国交易员，甚至硬拉着25年上半年1346只降一次息的预期硬凑出12月的降息概率……是要拉高12月预期，冲高收割过个好圣诞节吗？重点关注下周cpi数据，可能有反转","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379951178658384","repostId":"1160482155","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1160482155","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1733491820,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160482155?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-12-06 21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"降息押注骤升！美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人，超出预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160482155","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人，预期为20万人，前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人，预期为20万人，前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>美国11月失业率为4.2%，预估为4.1%，前值为4.1%</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>数据公布后，交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%</strong></p></li></ul><p>12月6日，由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响，美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹，且超过预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国11月季调后非农就业人口</strong>录得增长22.7万人，为2024年3月以来最大增幅，超过预期的20万人，前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。<strong>美国11月失业率</strong>录得4.2%，符合预期，前值为4.10%。<strong>美国11月平均每小时工资</strong>环比增长0.4%，高于预期的0.3%，与前值持平；同比增长4%，超过预期的3.9%，同样与前值持平；</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农数据公布后，美国短期利率期货上涨，因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。<strong>交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%。</strong></p><p>美股三大股指期货短线走高！纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%，标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨；美国国债收益率短线跳水，2年期国债收益率下行超5bp，现报4.096%；美元指数短线走低，日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨，墨西哥比索创盘中高点。</p><p>美国劳工统计局称，医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势，零售业就业岗位减少。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹，主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">机构分析指出，非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但<strong>平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲</strong>，达到0.4%，超出预期。且<strong>失业率上升并不是好事，尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师称，乍一看这份报告，我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底，但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率，目标区间的上限为4.75%，比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点，<strong>进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示，美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”，因为美国经济“状况非常好”，通胀水平略高于此前的预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称，<strong>如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升，那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化，围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Anstey认为，鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号，下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期，服务业通胀（不包括住房）将特别值得关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Joseph表示，市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息，但<strong>随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息，最终在6月或7月再次降息</strong>。考虑到即将公布的经济数据，我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比，是一个重大转变。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>降息押注骤升！美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人，超出预期</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n降息押注骤升！美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人，超出预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-12-06 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人，预期为20万人，前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>美国11月失业率为4.2%，预估为4.1%，前值为4.1%</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>数据公布后，交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%</strong></p></li></ul><p>12月6日，由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响，美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹，且超过预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国11月季调后非农就业人口</strong>录得增长22.7万人，为2024年3月以来最大增幅，超过预期的20万人，前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。<strong>美国11月失业率</strong>录得4.2%，符合预期，前值为4.10%。<strong>美国11月平均每小时工资</strong>环比增长0.4%，高于预期的0.3%，与前值持平；同比增长4%，超过预期的3.9%，同样与前值持平；</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农数据公布后，美国短期利率期货上涨，因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。<strong>交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%。</strong></p><p>美股三大股指期货短线走高！纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%，标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨；美国国债收益率短线跳水，2年期国债收益率下行超5bp，现报4.096%；美元指数短线走低，日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨，墨西哥比索创盘中高点。</p><p>美国劳工统计局称，医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势，零售业就业岗位减少。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹，主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">机构分析指出，非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但<strong>平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲</strong>，达到0.4%，超出预期。且<strong>失业率上升并不是好事，尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师称，乍一看这份报告，我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底，但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率，目标区间的上限为4.75%，比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点，<strong>进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示，美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”，因为美国经济“状况非常好”，通胀水平略高于此前的预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称，<strong>如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升，那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化，围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Anstey认为，鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号，下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期，服务业通胀（不包括住房）将特别值得关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Joseph表示，市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息，但<strong>随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息，最终在6月或7月再次降息</strong>。考虑到即将公布的经济数据，我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比，是一个重大转变。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160482155","content_text":"美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人，预期为20万人，前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人美国11月失业率为4.2%，预估为4.1%，前值为4.1%数据公布后，交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%12月6日，由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响，美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹，且超过预期。美国11月季调后非农就业人口录得增长22.7万人，为2024年3月以来最大增幅，超过预期的20万人，前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。美国11月失业率录得4.2%，符合预期，前值为4.10%。美国11月平均每小时工资环比增长0.4%，高于预期的0.3%，与前值持平；同比增长4%，超过预期的3.9%，同样与前值持平；非农数据公布后，美国短期利率期货上涨，因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%。美股三大股指期货短线走高！纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%，标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨；美国国债收益率短线跳水，2年期国债收益率下行超5bp，现报4.096%；美元指数短线走低，日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨，墨西哥比索创盘中高点。美国劳工统计局称，医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势，零售业就业岗位减少。美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹，主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。机构分析指出，非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲，达到0.4%，超出预期。且失业率上升并不是好事，尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。分析师称，乍一看这份报告，我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底，但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率，目标区间的上限为4.75%，比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点，进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示，美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”，因为美国经济“状况非常好”，通胀水平略高于此前的预期。美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称，如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升，那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”。目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化，围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。分析师Anstey认为，鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号，下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期，服务业通胀（不包括住房）将特别值得关注。分析师Joseph表示，市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息，但随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息，最终在6月或7月再次降息。考虑到即将公布的经济数据，我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比，是一个重大转变。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":34,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3498680662745699","authorId":"3498680662745699","name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbee84d06c97c8ea354bff2e5c20b6d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3498680662745699","idStr":"3498680662745699"},"content":"硬要降息也只能说失业率略高吧，但理由真的不是很充分鲍威尔也说了，美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”，因为美国经济“状况非常好”，通胀水平略高于此前的预期。","text":"硬要降息也只能说失业率略高吧，但理由真的不是很充分鲍威尔也说了，美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”，因为美国经济“状况非常好”，通胀水平略高于此前的预期。","html":"硬要降息也只能说失业率略高吧，但理由真的不是很充分鲍威尔也说了，美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”，因为美国经济“状况非常好”，通胀水平略高于此前的预期。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":378902421999984,"gmtCreate":1733530761534,"gmtModify":1733530763736,"author":{"id":"4098868629611980","authorId":"4098868629611980","name":"神经不正常","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6709bdd97c23b9c6aa301106a6e1b059","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098868629611980","idStr":"4098868629611980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好消息[龇牙]&nbsp;","listText":"好消息[龇牙]&nbsp;","text":"好消息[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378902421999984","repostId":"1160482155","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160482155","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1733491820,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160482155?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-12-06 21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"降息押注骤升！美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人，超出预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160482155","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人，预期为20万人，前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人，预期为20万人，前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>美国11月失业率为4.2%，预估为4.1%，前值为4.1%</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>数据公布后，交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%</strong></p></li></ul><p>12月6日，由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响，美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹，且超过预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国11月季调后非农就业人口</strong>录得增长22.7万人，为2024年3月以来最大增幅，超过预期的20万人，前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。<strong>美国11月失业率</strong>录得4.2%，符合预期，前值为4.10%。<strong>美国11月平均每小时工资</strong>环比增长0.4%，高于预期的0.3%，与前值持平；同比增长4%，超过预期的3.9%，同样与前值持平；</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农数据公布后，美国短期利率期货上涨，因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。<strong>交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%。</strong></p><p>美股三大股指期货短线走高！纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%，标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨；美国国债收益率短线跳水，2年期国债收益率下行超5bp，现报4.096%；美元指数短线走低，日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨，墨西哥比索创盘中高点。</p><p>美国劳工统计局称，医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势，零售业就业岗位减少。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹，主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">机构分析指出，非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但<strong>平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲</strong>，达到0.4%，超出预期。且<strong>失业率上升并不是好事，尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师称，乍一看这份报告，我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底，但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率，目标区间的上限为4.75%，比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点，<strong>进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示，美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”，因为美国经济“状况非常好”，通胀水平略高于此前的预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称，<strong>如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升，那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化，围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Anstey认为，鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号，下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期，服务业通胀（不包括住房）将特别值得关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Joseph表示，市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息，但<strong>随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息，最终在6月或7月再次降息</strong>。考虑到即将公布的经济数据，我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比，是一个重大转变。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>降息押注骤升！美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人，超出预期</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n降息押注骤升！美国11月非农新增就业22.7万人，超出预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-12-06 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人，预期为20万人，前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>美国11月失业率为4.2%，预估为4.1%，前值为4.1%</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>数据公布后，交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%</strong></p></li></ul><p>12月6日，由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响，美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹，且超过预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国11月季调后非农就业人口</strong>录得增长22.7万人，为2024年3月以来最大增幅，超过预期的20万人，前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。<strong>美国11月失业率</strong>录得4.2%，符合预期，前值为4.10%。<strong>美国11月平均每小时工资</strong>环比增长0.4%，高于预期的0.3%，与前值持平；同比增长4%，超过预期的3.9%，同样与前值持平；</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农数据公布后，美国短期利率期货上涨，因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。<strong>交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%。</strong></p><p>美股三大股指期货短线走高！纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%，标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨；美国国债收益率短线跳水，2年期国债收益率下行超5bp，现报4.096%；美元指数短线走低，日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨，墨西哥比索创盘中高点。</p><p>美国劳工统计局称，医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势，零售业就业岗位减少。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹，主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">机构分析指出，非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但<strong>平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲</strong>，达到0.4%，超出预期。且<strong>失业率上升并不是好事，尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师称，乍一看这份报告，我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底，但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率，目标区间的上限为4.75%，比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点，<strong>进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示，美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”，因为美国经济“状况非常好”，通胀水平略高于此前的预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称，<strong>如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升，那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化，围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Anstey认为，鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号，下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期，服务业通胀（不包括住房）将特别值得关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析师Joseph表示，市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息，但<strong>随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息，最终在6月或7月再次降息</strong>。考虑到即将公布的经济数据，我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比，是一个重大转变。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160482155","content_text":"美国11月非农就业人数22.7万人，预期为20万人，前值由1.2万人修正为3.6万人美国11月失业率为4.2%，预估为4.1%，前值为4.1%数据公布后，交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%12月6日，由于受到最近毁灭性飓风和持续罢工行动的影响，美国11月就业增长在此前一个月几乎停滞之后出现反弹，且超过预期。美国11月季调后非农就业人口录得增长22.7万人，为2024年3月以来最大增幅，超过预期的20万人，前值由1.2万人上修为3.6万人。美国11月失业率录得4.2%，符合预期，前值为4.10%。美国11月平均每小时工资环比增长0.4%，高于预期的0.3%，与前值持平；同比增长4%，超过预期的3.9%，同样与前值持平；非农数据公布后，美国短期利率期货上涨，因为交易员押注美联储降息的可能性加大。交易员现在认为12月美联储降息的可能性为85%，而就业报告发布前为67%。美股三大股指期货短线走高！纳指期货日内涨幅扩大至0.15%，标普500指数期货、道指期货均转涨；美国国债收益率短线跳水，2年期国债收益率下行超5bp，现报4.096%；美元指数短线走低，日内跌0.04%。新兴市场货币小幅上涨，墨西哥比索创盘中高点。美国劳工统计局称，医疗保健、休闲和招待、政府和社会援助等行业的就业呈上升趋势，零售业就业岗位减少。美国11月份创造的就业岗位之所以较上月大幅反弹，主要是因为10月份的读数受到了飓风和波音公司罢工的拖累。市场参与者已经普遍预料到11月份的数据将超过基本趋势。机构分析指出，非农就业增长几乎符合目标。但平均每小时工资月率看起来强劲，达到0.4%，超出预期。且失业率上升并不是好事，尤其是在劳动力参与率下降的情况下。分析师称，乍一看这份报告，我们并没有看到经济衰退的迹象。就业市场并没有跌至谷底，但确实有放缓的迹象。考虑到美联储的基准利率，目标区间的上限为4.75%，比核心通胀率高出一个多百分点，进一步降息的理由仍然站得住脚。非农就业报告是美联储在12月会议上决定是否连续第三次降息之前要考虑的最后一批大数据之一。美联储主席鲍威尔本周表示，美联储可以在降息问题上“更加谨慎一点”，因为美国经济“状况非常好”，通胀水平略高于此前的预期。美国银行更担心在美联储12月利率决议前公布的CPI数据可能成为其降息的阻碍。该行称，如果将在CPI数据再次出现大幅月度上升，那么“美联储可能很难坚持降息”。目前美联储12月降息的预期已经被充分消化，围绕其降息前景的争议主要集中在明年。分析师Anstey认为，鉴于今天报告中的一些复杂信号，下周的CPI通胀报告可能会对美联储2025年利率预测产生相当大的影响。鉴于今天发布的工资涨幅超出预期，服务业通胀（不包括住房）将特别值得关注。分析师Joseph表示，市场基本上预计美联储将在12月降息，但随后美联储将在1月、3月和5月跳过降息，最终在6月或7月再次降息。考虑到即将公布的经济数据，我们认为目前这种观点并非不现实。这与三个月前预测的2025年每次会议的降息幅度相比，是一个重大转变。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}]}