原油价格新纪元正式开启

2020-03-14

原油在3月9日经历了很多交易员一辈子都没见过的历史波动，一夜跌幅百分之三十到27.88美元每桶，这个价格等于一夜之间跌去了原油这20年的所有涨幅，原因是俄罗斯不再和沙特联手减产，加上疫情全球迅速扩散，飞机✈️ 邮轮停运导致的戴维斯双杀，俄罗斯为什么不再联手和沙特减产，我简单说说，先说原油成本，沙特最低，俄罗斯其次，美国最高，2016年开始，沙特和俄罗斯通过减产每日480万桶提振了油价，可是美国却立刻增产483万桶每日，等于坐收渔翁之利，原本俄罗斯就一直希望原油去美元化，兜兜转转几十年都没有合适的机会，而这次，沙特率先自杀式降价，俄罗斯心想，机会来了，美国成本最高挺不住，页岩油公司就要破产，美国出局了，不就减产了！所以俄罗斯不同意再和沙特联手，其实欧佩克已死，原油价格新纪元正式开启，到今日我的观点是，这个价格不是底部，战役才刚刚拉响。逢高做空为最好的选择，待到美国无路可退，再厚积薄发，以上观点为个人见解，不构成交易策略！$三倍做多原油ETN(UWT)$$三倍做空原油ETN(DWT)$$西方石油(OXY)$$美国原油ETF(USO)$

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

张小霖
2020-03-15
张小霖
你好，提问如果是这个价位持有1万份三倍做多原油，持有时间超过1年，假设1年后基金价格涨到20元，最后实际的资产总额是盈利的嘛？
- 佳霖回复张小霖:
  [害羞]
- 张小霖回复佳霖:
  好的受益良多非常感谢
- 佳霖回复张小霖:
  我的建议，你目前不要买这个三倍做多原油，首先它跌破了一元，你知道etn是有被清盘的风险的，你去做uso，比较稳妥，三倍做多原油 $三倍做多原油ETN(UWT)$ 已经发出风险公告，东方财富也不允许买入了，etn这个东西，长期来看都是趋于归零的，你必须做对方向才行，我承认，做对方向收益确实很大很多，但是目前低于一美金，不建议你做
- 张小霖回复佳霖:
  明白了感谢，如果在0.8左右长期持有，价格到5元卖出，理论收益是6倍嘛？
- 佳霖:
  您指三倍做多原油 $三倍做多原油ETN(UWT)$ 的价格涨到20吗？这基本已经不可能了，除非油价有跳涨，那又是历史事件了，否则三倍做多原油的价格能涨回六元已经是好运气了
leige
2020-03-15
leige
好像只能躺着等死一样，美国手里还有很多牌好吧？**万不得已，大不了打一场吗而且人家手里牌还很多慌啥呢。还不至于
- 佳霖:
  同意，都是博弈和试探，美国固然没有那么弱鸡的，一切都不确定，如果真的抄底那么容易，得有多少人财富自由，可惜往往事与愿违
阿甘_8539
2020-03-18
阿甘_8539
请问西方石油可以目前12的价位可以持有吗？
- 佳霖:
  目前仍然看不到底部，空仓是个不错的选择
百世經綸
2020-03-15
百世經綸
厉害哦[爱你]
5b49b980
2020-03-15
5b49b980
您去年就看空后来拿到现在吗
- 佳霖:
  很可惜，并没有，50美金附近平仓了，这个事情，真的没有预料到。所以，交易就要有个平常心
特斯拉笑
2020-03-15
特斯拉笑
美国国家出来收油了，不会让自己的企业随便倒的

发表看法

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受益良多 非常感谢","text":"好的 受益良多 非常感谢","html":"好的 受益良多 非常感谢"},{"id":2240964,"commentId":"2240964","gmtCreate":1584410160976,"gmtModify":1584410160976,"authorId":3495200211455083,"author":{"id":3495200211455083,"idStr":"3495200211455083","authorId":3495200211455083,"name":"佳霖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21613268d427490345ea653a3fbb085a","vip":2,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.54%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/717a877921e5ed88700305c37737450d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3546781813920898,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3546781813920898,"idStr":"3546781813920898","authorId":3546781813920898,"name":"张小霖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb655392ed574d1bf539dfbb9a10dfd3","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":964369948,"objectIdStr":"964369948","type":1,"supId":2233692,"supIdStr":"2233692","prevId":2237013,"prevIdStr":"2237013","content":"我的建议，你目前不要买这个三倍做多原油，首先它跌破了一元，你知道etn是有被清盘的风险的，你去做uso，比较稳妥，三倍做多原油<a 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