$道琼斯(.DJI)_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2019-09-28

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 下周极大概率，某一天收盘价低于60日线。过去5 8月，只要某天由上到下，下影线蹭60日线，未来5日中，大概率破60日线。标志是收盘价低于60日线。

60日线已经是很低的线了。在健康的趋势中，此线不会被触碰。个股摸60日线，多是击穿后一蹶不振，很难重返线上。$麦当劳(MCD)$ $Shopify Inc(SHOP)$ $亚马逊(AMZN)$ 等。

而大盘可以迅速从60线下强势重返线上。这已经被5 8月的情形验证。周五收盘，$标普500ETF(SPY)$ 收盘价在上方，本周有三天下影线蹭60日线。无一日收盘价低于60日线。

蹭蹭不进去，是不可能的。

结合历史经验，以及普遍规律，下周至少有一天击穿60日线，并收盘价小于该线。

要有哪个男人能在那里蹭三次忍住不进去，真的厉害！

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

卑鄙的我
2019-09-29
卑鄙的我
这波可能要跌上15个点，明年再创新高。
- 雨进回复卑鄙的我:
  请问跌的呢？ [笑哭]
- 卑鄙的我回复雪崩:
  就是明年之前qe，现在美联储已经连续回购债券，市场已经极度缺水。不qe上哪里找钱去。
- 卑鄙的我回复雨进:
  技术指标这么明显要跌，你看不出来？
- 卑鄙的我回复雨进:
  几个技术指标已经死叉，纳指5日线连续击穿30日和60日两条线。这些指标你都不看的吗？
- 雪崩:
  不会了，周k macd 在0轴震动。美联储已经降息，历史重演。这次跌下去，再新高需要qe。
雪崩
2019-10-02
雪崩
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 这可不是马后炮。跌破60线后，两种走法。重复5 8 月，当周拉回60线上。之后多空继续较量。第二种，当周没有一天拉回60线上。最惨的是第二种情况。就历史经验而言。首次跌破60线，当周无一日拉回60线上的情况只发生了一次。就是去年10月股灾。这次与5 8月不同的点是，首次击破60线，当日不是大跌。指大于2%的跌幅，收盘价记。情况从一开始就不一样了。
冯升
2019-09-28
冯升
哈哈哈哈这个比喻厉害
- 雪崩回复冯升:
  看过去，首次跌破60，当日都是大跌为主，后面就会狂拉，上60。收盘价跌破60 put全清。可能短多。
- 冯升回复雪崩:
  现在操作什么
- 冯升回复雪崩:
  全仓put吗 [笑哭]
- 雪崩回复冯升:
  细心看， $麦当劳(MCD)$ 击穿60日线后没有一天高于次线。
- 冯升回复雪崩:
  我看麦当劳还可以啊其他已经击穿
雨进
2019-09-28
雨进
我的表情👇
- 雨进回复雪崩:
  是你太会分析行情了行情只走在当下。 [可爱]
- 雪崩:
  你们是看不懂，还是排版太乱？
小小侠
2019-09-28
小小侠
看来你颇有心得，老实交代，到底蹭了多少次？
- 已逝勿念:
  哈哈哈哈哈哈哈
Tony特别帅
2019-09-28
Tony特别帅
我的表情👇
- 冯升:
  非洲警告

发表看法

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[笑哭]","text":"请问跌的呢？ [笑哭]","html":"请问跌的呢？ [笑哭]"},{"id":1861468,"commentId":"1861468","gmtCreate":1569742303690,"gmtModify":1569744625703,"authorId":3503632606630426,"author":{"id":3503632606630426,"idStr":"3503632606630426","authorId":3503632606630426,"name":"卑鄙的我","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3506153078214938,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3506153078214938,"idStr":"3506153078214938","authorId":3506153078214938,"name":"雪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51161e985eca732d547e36570f5522dc","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84859c65fc2d7681e28f6b8e9b0535a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":933815634,"objectIdStr":"933815634","type":1,"supId":1861136,"supIdStr":"1861136","prevId":1861333,"prevIdStr":"1861333","content":"就是明年之前qe，现在美联储已经连续回购债券，市场已经极度缺水。不qe上哪里找钱去。","text":"就是明年之前qe，现在美联储已经连续回购债券，市场已经极度缺水。不qe上哪里找钱去。","html":"就是明年之前qe，现在美联储已经连续回购债券，市场已经极度缺水。不qe上哪里找钱去。"},{"id":1861472,"commentId":"1861472","gmtCreate":1569742607535,"gmtModify":1569742607535,"authorId":3503632606630426,"author":{"id":3503632606630426,"idStr":"3503632606630426","authorId":3503632606630426,"name":"卑鄙的我","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3527685793108973,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3527685793108973,"idStr":"3527685793108973","authorId":3527685793108973,"name":"雨进","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2593a6590e073b59782d9effa453c38","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":933815634,"objectIdStr":"933815634","type":1,"supId":1861136,"supIdStr":"1861136","prevId":1861335,"prevIdStr":"1861335","content":"技术指标这么明显要跌，你看不出来？","text":"技术指标这么明显要跌，你看不出来？","html":"技术指标这么明显要跌，你看不出来？"},{"id":1861469,"commentId":"1861469","gmtCreate":1569742433138,"gmtModify":1569742433138,"authorId":3503632606630426,"author":{"id":3503632606630426,"idStr":"3503632606630426","authorId":3503632606630426,"name":"卑鄙的我","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3527685793108973,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3527685793108973,"idStr":"3527685793108973","authorId":3527685793108973,"name":"雨进","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2593a6590e073b59782d9effa453c38","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":933815634,"objectIdStr":"933815634","type":1,"supId":1861136,"supIdStr":"1861136","prevId":1861335,"prevIdStr":"1861335","content":"几个技术指标已经死叉，纳指5日线连续击穿30日和60日两条线。这些指标你都不看的吗？","text":"几个技术指标已经死叉，纳指5日线连续击穿30日和60日两条线。这些指标你都不看的吗？","html":"几个技术指标已经死叉，纳指5日线连续击穿30日和60日两条线。这些指标你都不看的吗？"},{"id":1861333,"commentId":"1861333","gmtCreate":1569734653504,"gmtModify":1569735046533,"authorId":3506153078214938,"author":{"id":3506153078214938,"idStr":"3506153078214938","authorId":3506153078214938,"name":"雪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51161e985eca732d547e36570f5522dc","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84859c65fc2d7681e28f6b8e9b0535a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":933815634,"objectIdStr":"933815634","type":1,"supId":1861136,"supIdStr":"1861136","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"不会了，周k&nbsp; macd&nbsp; 在0轴震动。美联储已经降息，历史重演。这次跌下去，再新高需要qe。","text":"不会了，周k&nbsp; macd&nbsp; 在0轴震动。美联储已经降息，历史重演。这次跌下去，再新高需要qe。","html":"不会了，周k&nbsp; macd&nbsp; 在0轴震动。美联储已经降息，历史重演。这次跌下去，再新高需要qe。"}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":1866385,"commentId":"1866385","gmtCreate":1569984348708,"gmtModify":1569996284766,"authorId":3506153078214938,"author":{"id":3506153078214938,"idStr":"3506153078214938","authorId":3506153078214938,"name":"雪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51161e985eca732d547e36570f5522dc","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84859c65fc2d7681e28f6b8e9b0535a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":933815634,"objectIdStr":"933815634","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 这可不是马后炮。跌破60线后，两种走法。 重复5 8 月，当周拉回60线上。之后多空继续较量。 第二种，当周没有一天拉回60线上。 最惨的是第二种情况。就历史经验而言。首次跌破60线，当周无一日拉回60线上的情况只发生了一次。 就是去年10月股灾。 这次与5 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情况从一开始就不一样了。","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":1860859,"commentId":"1860859","gmtCreate":1569683790900,"gmtModify":1569683790900,"authorId":3505260674572464,"author":{"id":3505260674572464,"idStr":"3505260674572464","authorId":3505260674572464,"name":"冯升","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82fd94fc3c9432bf16476cca31aaf610","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":933815634,"objectIdStr":"933815634","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"哈哈哈哈 这个比喻厉害","text":"哈哈哈哈 这个比喻厉害","html":"哈哈哈哈 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