Song_3918
2019-11-05
$蔚来(NIO)$
今天大涨,为各位持仓做多的朋友高兴。前几周我1.49买入1.69出掉了赚到就好不能贪心。上周一直在等入场时机但是错过了。在这大涨的时候更需要冷静思考,这次大涨是10月交付量提升带动的。但是交付量≠销量。另外蔚来这次重跌的核心问题就是亏损和现金流,目前也并没有什么利好信息出来。并且目前卖一台亏一台的情况下销量上涨对本就紧张的现金流压力只多不少。希望蔚来能扛过这一关,各位股友也发大财。
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
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HH2088
2019-11-05
HH2088
交付量确实不等于销量,实际销量其实比交付量大
Song_3918
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不加倍抢地主
:
谢谢
不加倍抢地主
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Song_3918
:
十月下大定的数量预测超过3000辆
不加倍抢地主
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Song_3918
:
9月销量2019辆,10月销量2526辆
meloy2
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Song_3918
:
你说的应该是9.10月的大定数量。我只能说看起来很不错。但是现在交付有前期积累订单。我不好评估是多是少。
Song_3918
:
我也更想知道9月和10月销量数据。不知道有哪位朋友能找到。
敬辉
2019-11-05
敬辉
所谓卖一台亏一台并非是售价低于成本,而是把全公司的研发和运营成本摊到每台车上去算的。实际上是卖的越多,成本越低,越能接近盈亏平衡甚至扭亏为盈,参见特斯拉。
乌利赛斯
2019-11-05
乌利赛斯
“卖一台亏一台的情况下销量上涨对本就紧张的现金流压力只多不少。”您这逻辑牛逼!赶紧劝李斌关门大吉好了,再卖下去老底都亏没了。
敏锐性p
:
两个杠精
Song_3918
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乌利赛斯
:
杠精好玩吗?
乌利赛斯
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Song_3918
:
没问题,推荐你去蔚来出任CFO!👏👏👏
Song_3918
回复
乌利赛斯
:
我并没说亏有什么问题,只是融资才是核心点,目前并没有任何利好出来。蔚来需要融资来供血维持销量来达到盈利产量点.所以现阶段现金流紧张卖的多对现金流压力更大有什么问题?
乌利赛斯
回复
Song_3918
:
难道不卖车就不会亏了???
全部6条回复
_ID唐影木_
2019-11-05
_ID唐影木_
逻辑没毛病,每多产一台,现金流随之减少,越靠近盈利生产量,越受资本看好,越能够长久。那么问题来了循环点还是在现金流能够支撑,订单持续增长。交付量只是奶了一口,血线依然堪忧
Song_3918
:
是的关键点就是现在供血能不能供上,融资问题才是核心。
纵观三界九流
2019-11-05
纵观三界九流
腾讯前段时间入股可转债一亿美金,进一步说腾讯有实力完全买下蔚来,纯属意淫 [贱笑]
Song_3918
:
以目前蔚来总市值腾讯要想买就像你下楼买一包利群一样 [笑哭]
我只看看
2019-11-05
我只看看
卖车就是收入啊,卖的越多摊薄固定成本啊
Song_3918
回复
敏锐性p
:
目前就是缺钱,所以关键问题就是融资。看李总的本事了。
Song_3918
:
卖的越多,单车亏损越少是事实。但每卖一辆车还是亏本是客观存在的,所以叫烧钱。
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