坐看云起丶
2020-04-17
$美国原油ETF(USO)$
这是历年USO的损耗，大家参考一下。建议已经持有的千万别割肉。
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
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牛lx人
2020-04-17
牛lx人
6月合约26块一桶了！这货才4.3！！！ [贱笑]
龙胆草
:
请问6月合约从哪里看， 7月合约什么时候出来？
小时候想发财
回复
坐看云起丶
:
18了还怎么回。。。
坐看云起丶
:
和需求有关，定价是一方面，现在疫情没有人用原油，你也没办法啊。5月份应该会有一波回暖。
Aaroncheong
2020-04-18
Aaroncheong
你好，这个远期比如第三季度，第四季度的看涨call 可以考虑吗？会有出现像etf这种换月损耗吗？ 当然期权会随着时间损耗时间价值。
坐看云起丶
:
我解释过了，因为USO跟踪的是WTI, contango的原因，每换一次合约就会引发一次roll cost累积下来你会损失很多。所以USO不适合长期持有。
本韭菜
2020-04-23
本韭菜
您有没有发现 这几天uso usl都不能很好的跟踪标的了 昨天六月合约涨20% uso还跌了6%
坐看云起丶
:
感觉是该基金的标的成分发生改变带来的问题
道家人
2020-04-20
道家人
大佬，这个ETF换06合约了，今天大概率是下跌吗？为什么不建议割肉？现在亏的少3个点，跌下来再买，不好吗？求指点。
坐看云起丶
回复
道家人
:
不过我是基于，很多国家在5月初开始开放经济来说的。不然我也没这个底气。是利是弊还得你自己判断。
道家人
回复
坐看云起丶
:
收到，谢谢
坐看云起丶
:
是的已经下跌了，合约已经换了，说明USO重新准确的跟踪新的合约，也说明contango造成的折损已经产生，你现在割肉无非就是送钱啊。你得等到下次换合约之前卖掉才能受损失少一点。今天大概率还是下跌。可以抄底，但是要在他下次换合约之前出货来削减升水带来的影响。等到下次换合约之前吧。如果现在割了你就是送钱啊。
MKPT
2020-04-18
MKPT
您好！长期看多持有原油，就买uso吗？你那个损耗表，算下来是持有平均每年损耗百分之9左右吧？
MKPT
回复
坐看云起丶
:
好的，非常感谢
坐看云起丶
:
不适合长期持有，我已经在其它帖子里解释过了。
小川你好
2020-04-17
小川你好
目前是极端行情，期货升水都看得到，对标的应该是最大值-37%。
小川你好
回复
坐看云起丶
:
光5月展期到6月就30%了，今年很可能会创记录
坐看云起丶
:
不好说。这东西就是和股票一样，赌一下呗。 [笑哭]
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