Eldenminaj
2021-09-11

Is Apple overvalued now? Is it a good buy?

$Apple(AAPL)$


With Apple Market Cap hitting 2.5 Trillion USD, I am sure these questions are in your mind. 


Here are my key takeaways:

-With 94.77 Billion Free Cash flow for Trailing-Twele Months, current valuation of Apple could be 260 USD per share with a Discount Rate of 5% and Growth Estimate of 5% for the next 10 years. 


-Apple has the strongest MOAT among all smartphone producing companies, which is 20% of the global market share. 


-Apple's profits have grown at 9.6% yearly for the past 5 years. Free Cash flow has grown at a CAGR rate of 9.4% for the past years. Share buybacks has increased from 33 Billion USD in 2017 to 72 Billion USD in 2020. 


-Apple is currently working on launching Apple Cars, and its rumoured to began production by 2024. With the Tech and softwares that apple has, I am sure their cars will beat Tesla. 


-Sales and revenue of Apple is strong. With new products and constant investment into R&D, Apple is has become a brand status for everyone. 


-Apple largest contributor of revenue is Iphone which is at 44%. The second biggest is Apple's services which brought it 22% of revenue followed by 24% for ipads and Macs and 11% for weareables. 


-Warren buffet holds 5.4% of Apple Shares outstanding, and its the biggest holding of his Berkshire Hathaways Portfolio at 44.6% . If Buffet himself would bet a 44.6% stake of his portfolio into this company, investors can be assured that it is a solid company. 


My key Takeaways:

-Apple is a great company, with a strong fundamental Moat. The greatest in the world in fact. 

-I would buy, as I can foresee Apple taking more market share in the coming years. (Expected to take 40% of market share by 2024)

-With new rollouts and new projects in apple, more revenue is expected to be brought it in the voming years. 


Conservative Valuation: 150-160 (Fairly Valued)

Aggresive Valuation: 200-260 (Undervalued)


What do you guys think? Let me know!

今天什么值得买?晒晒你的交易计划!
今天你有什么交易计划?什么标的值得关注?在本主题下发帖,分享你的想法吧!
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精彩评论

  • 老夫追涨杀跌
    2021-09-11
    老夫追涨杀跌
    目前的苹果,专业机构都觉得他的估值是在合理的范围,但是如果没有创新产品,他目前的估值还是没有想象空间的。
  • 小时候可帅了00
    2021-09-11
    小时候可帅了00
    苹果的只是经营的好,乔布斯走了,也带走了苹果基因里面的创新。
  • Albertwong85
    2021-09-16
    Albertwong85
    Apple branding is strong and i do support them as long term investor.
  • 揭人不揭短
    2021-09-11
    揭人不揭短
    不是说新苹果会搭载卫星接收芯片?如果变为卫星手机应该是很有想象力的。
  • 哎呀呀小伙子
    2021-09-11
    哎呀呀小伙子
    我很喜欢苹果的产品,很良心,但是库克确实只是会炒冷饭。
  • 宝宝金水_
    2021-09-11
    宝宝金水_
    相信苹果的汽车会打败特斯拉这点需要很大的勇气呀。
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