Shoko
2021-11-17
Yes
@期权小班长：
又见年化收益40%的sell put机会
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<td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>144</td> \n <td>0.33</td> \n <td>58%</td> \n <td>7%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>DIDI</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>8</td> \n <td>0.12</td> \n <td>80%</td> \n <td>48%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>本周曾推荐</td> \n <td>仅做跟踪记录</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>TSLA</td> \n <td>2021/11/19</td> \n <td>850</td> \n <td>1.17</td> \n <td>91%</td> \n <td>——————</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>NIO</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>36</td> \n <td>0.26</td> \n <td>61%</td> \n <td>——————</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>XPEV</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>41</td> \n <td>0.61</td> \n <td>88%</td> \n <td>——————</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>NVDA</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>260</td> \n <td>1.21</td> \n <td>61%</td> \n <td>——————</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>SNOW</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>340</td> \n <td>0.8</td> \n <td>52%</td> \n <td>——————</td> \n </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 今天拼多多公布财报日期，正好是下周五，那这张put做的就很舒服了，收益很高，而且能基本吃满整个周期。如果怕财报风险下周四平仓即可。行权价选择很保守，月k MA30再减3块，我觉得82也可以吧。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7bcd95f3f2e716e2124755e290630a3\" tg-width=\"908\" tg-height=\"927\">在<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">$Visa(V)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$</a> 之间考虑了一下，决定选择走势相对好看的Visa。Visa财报营收同比增长更好，增速也创3年新高。相比之下PYPL可能需要进一步解决合规方面问题，等走出显著大底之后再做sell put考虑。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 今年以来走势惨烈，虽然18号财报，但我觉得没有什么太大影响，每次大跌都不是因为财报，你懂的。从iv波动率上来看，正股可能的波动深度也应该不及拼多多，预计财报大跌最低也不过140。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$滴滴(DIDI)$</a> 昨天看到有朋友在滴滴下面问怎么做才能扩大收益，今天就跑了一下滴滴的数据，发现put确实异常，一单交易年化高达48%！估计和年底恢复上架的传闻有关。</p> <p>我倾向于滴滴目前价格比较合适，政策风险较低，毕竟只是停止上架整改，而不是直接停止业务，说明公司业务具有可持续性，出租车这个东西又不可能非赢利，这行业不像教育股，不涉及家庭额外支出，所以8块接盘也可以吧，少卖几手就行了。</p> <p>但从想要重仓获利角度来说，sell put是最挨不着边的；备兑也不是好策略，锁定了利润，恰恰吃不到股价的暴涨部分。</p> <p>最暴利的方法理论上买call，或者买call 然后sell put，sell put赚取权利金，对冲持仓call 的时间成本，但最大亏损是损失call权利金+接盘sell put行权正股。使用这个方法要做好全部亏损的准备，所以是否要用这么激进的策略，需要考虑自己的风险承受能力，和账户厚度。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 可能这周就这么错过特斯拉put机会了也说不定。但对于刚接触期权的朋友来说是个好例子，挺直观的了解股价波动和期权走势的关系。昨天特斯拉最低跌了5%，但put没有再像上周跌12%那样极速拉升。半小时跌5%和10分钟跌4%，对put来说完全不一样的概念。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cba3aa68801e0b47c33657f4c3d4e50\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"1703\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>谈谈对滴滴的想法。</p> <p>今日卖put池：</p> <table> \n <colgroup></colgroup> \n <tbody> \n <tr> \n <td>标的代码</td> \n <td>到期日</td> \n <td>行权价</td> \n <td>权利金</td> \n <td>隐含波动率</td> \n <td>年化收益%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>PDD</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>80</td> \n <td>1.09</td> \n <td>81%</td> \n <td>43%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>V</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>200</td> \n <td>0.54</td> \n <td>28%</td> \n <td>9%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>BABA</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>144</td> \n <td>0.33</td> \n <td>58%</td> \n <td>7%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>DIDI</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>8</td> \n <td>0.12</td> \n <td>80%</td> \n <td>48%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>本周曾推荐</td> \n <td>仅做跟踪记录</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>TSLA</td> \n <td>2021/11/19</td> \n <td>850</td> \n <td>1.17</td> \n <td>91%</td> \n <td>——————</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>NIO</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>36</td> \n <td>0.26</td> \n <td>61%</td> \n <td>——————</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>XPEV</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>41</td> \n <td>0.61</td> \n <td>88%</td> \n <td>——————</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>NVDA</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>260</td> \n <td>1.21</td> \n <td>61%</td> \n <td>——————</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td>SNOW</td> \n <td>2021/11/26</td> \n <td>340</td> \n <td>0.8</td> \n <td>52%</td> \n <td>——————</td> \n </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 今天拼多多公布财报日期，正好是下周五，那这张put做的就很舒服了，收益很高，而且能基本吃满整个周期。如果怕财报风险下周四平仓即可。行权价选择很保守，月k MA30再减3块，我觉得82也可以吧。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7bcd95f3f2e716e2124755e290630a3\" tg-width=\"908\" tg-height=\"927\">在<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">$Visa(V)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$</a> 之间考虑了一下，决定选择走势相对好看的Visa。Visa财报营收同比增长更好，增速也创3年新高。相比之下PYPL可能需要进一步解决合规方面问题，等走出显著大底之后再做sell put考虑。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 今年以来走势惨烈，虽然18号财报，但我觉得没有什么太大影响，每次大跌都不是因为财报，你懂的。从iv波动率上来看，正股可能的波动深度也应该不及拼多多，预计财报大跌最低也不过140。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$滴滴(DIDI)$</a> 昨天看到有朋友在滴滴下面问怎么做才能扩大收益，今天就跑了一下滴滴的数据，发现put确实异常，一单交易年化高达48%！估计和年底恢复上架的传闻有关。</p> <p>我倾向于滴滴目前价格比较合适，政策风险较低，毕竟只是停止上架整改，而不是直接停止业务，说明公司业务具有可持续性，出租车这个东西又不可能非赢利，这行业不像教育股，不涉及家庭额外支出，所以8块接盘也可以吧，少卖几手就行了。</p> <p>但从想要重仓获利角度来说，sell put是最挨不着边的；备兑也不是好策略，锁定了利润，恰恰吃不到股价的暴涨部分。</p> <p>最暴利的方法理论上买call，或者买call 然后sell put，sell put赚取权利金，对冲持仓call 的时间成本，但最大亏损是损失call权利金+接盘sell put行权正股。使用这个方法要做好全部亏损的准备，所以是否要用这么激进的策略，需要考虑自己的风险承受能力，和账户厚度。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 可能这周就这么错过特斯拉put机会了也说不定。但对于刚接触期权的朋友来说是个好例子，挺直观的了解股价波动和期权走势的关系。昨天特斯拉最低跌了5%，但put没有再像上周跌12%那样极速拉升。半小时跌5%和10分钟跌4%，对put来说完全不一样的概念。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cba3aa68801e0b47c33657f4c3d4e50\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"1703\"></p></body></html>","text":"谈谈对滴滴的想法。 今日卖put池： 标的代码 到期日 行权价 权利金 隐含波动率 年化收益% PDD 2021/11/26 80 1.09 81% 43% V 2021/11/26 200 0.54 28% 9% BABA 2021/11/26 144 0.33 58% 7% DIDI 2021/11/26 8 0.12 80% 48% 本周曾推荐 仅做跟踪记录 TSLA 2021/11/19 850 1.17 91% —————— NIO 2021/11/26 36 0.26 61% —————— XPEV 2021/11/26 41 0.61 88% —————— NVDA 2021/11/26 260 1.21 61% —————— SNOW 2021/11/26 340 0.8 52% —————— $拼多多(PDD)$ 今天拼多多公布财报日期，正好是下周五，那这张put做的就很舒服了，收益很高，而且能基本吃满整个周期。如果怕财报风险下周四平仓即可。行权价选择很保守，月k MA30再减3块，我觉得82也可以吧。在$Visa(V)$ 和$PayPal(PYPL)$ 之间考虑了一下，决定选择走势相对好看的Visa。Visa财报营收同比增长更好，增速也创3年新高。相比之下PYPL可能需要进一步解决合规方面问题，等走出显著大底之后再做sell put考虑。 $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 今年以来走势惨烈，虽然18号财报，但我觉得没有什么太大影响，每次大跌都不是因为财报，你懂的。从iv波动率上来看，正股可能的波动深度也应该不及拼多多，预计财报大跌最低也不过140。 $滴滴(DIDI)$ 昨天看到有朋友在滴滴下面问怎么做才能扩大收益，今天就跑了一下滴滴的数据，发现put确实异常，一单交易年化高达48%！估计和年底恢复上架的传闻有关。 我倾向于滴滴目前价格比较合适，政策风险较低，毕竟只是停止上架整改，而不是直接停止业务，说明公司业务具有可持续性，出租车这个东西又不可能非赢利，这行业不像教育股，不涉及家庭额外支出，所以8块接盘也可以吧，少卖几手就行了。 但从想要重仓获利角度来说，sell put是最挨不着边的；备兑也不是好策略，锁定了利润，恰恰吃不到股价的暴涨部分。 最暴利的方法理论上买call，或者买call 然后sell put，sell put赚取权利金，对冲持仓call 的时间成本，但最大亏损是损失call权利金+接盘sell put行权正股。使用这个方法要做好全部亏损的准备，所以是否要用这么激进的策略，需要考虑自己的风险承受能力，和账户厚度。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 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